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tv   Fast Money  CNBC  April 27, 2021 5:00pm-6:00pm EDT

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year we got a new buy back from alphabet that will be part of this company >> we're out of time here today. you just missed out on a record lose, the dow up by one basis point. "closing bell" is now over for us, please start now tonight on "fast" we're all over this monster night for earningings. microsoft, visa, starbucks just some of the names on the move. many of the analyst calls just getting under way. wall to wall coverage all evening long we're standing by to break the news josh has the numbers for microsoft. >> remember going into this report microsoft was up about
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20% so far this acquire. a year giving some of that wac is for the report itself. microsoft beating on the bottom and the top. productivity and business processes, 3.6 billion that was an increase in 15%. within that commercial revenue growth of 22%. linkdin increasing 25% and then the intelligent cloud azure revenue growth was 15% 46%, and finally more personal cop puting $13 billion windows oem revenue there. xbox jumping 34% i checked in with kirk who covers the name. he noted that there was a very high bar he said the stock was up huge and azure up was slightly below
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the whisper number which is more in the high 40s. he says you're at least initially commercial bookings and backlogs are both up strongly and that confirmed the long-term cloud thoesis is well in tact here they are on the call and they bring you the headlines as they come >> thanks for that, josh lipton. microsoft was an out performer versus it's peers. it didn't have as high of a multiple, of course. it had a give and take scenario. it was up like four times the igb, and the bar was set very, very high. and deservedly so. i had the number, you know the street was looking for 42%
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maybe the whisper number was higher okay, i get that number two, operating margins came in close to 41% i think the reason the stock is selling off we have seen it before people saying maybe 31 times earnings is a little too much. we have seen this, only to see it making new all-time highs a week or so later that's the environment that we find ourselves in again. a great quarter, not good enough on the knee jerk >> what's your take on the quarter? what do you want to know on this call that gets under they be 27 minutes. >> yeah. the quarter itself was magni magnificent. they hit the numbers the numbers in the margins, it all looks fantastic. we want to know what is next
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we always want to know what's next, right? that is what we're going to find out. we'll get a little more guidance for a long time we weren't getting guidance from companies and now we're starting to hear more and more companies give us some of that guidance and i think it will be really interesting to see what microsoft has to say going forward. the numbers were extraordinary all throughout each and every one of these segments. they're beats after beats. the bullpull back makes a little sense. it was almost so high that no matter what they said, maybe they sell it off i bought some may options. the may options, can they give me a little time, give me prom approximately a month for this to playout >> yeah, there are a lot of things they could address in terms of the next big thing this month it was a $16 billion
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acquisition. they did not have a call after that acquisition with analysts there are still a lot of questions about what this deal will bring bring microsoft >> yeah, i would not be too concerned about this half hours sell off for now i think the real key during the call beyond what the other kind of products are is is the trend sustainable? is it sustainable or is this just the last push because covid and everybody had a go to digital and all of that? and is it then going to slow down or is this the trend now? i think it is the trend. i happen to think you will have a hybrid approach for businesses i'm not that concerned about weakness in the stock. >> yeah, they pulled 200 plus collaborative software decision
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makers they expected a hybrid or remote working environment for a permanent basis that lends itself to a push into cloud to remain number two or gain market share on amazon and the growth in teams that we have seen >> coming from the only guy at the floor of the new york stock exchange now i would love to see a hybrid model take hold just touching on the moving averages of the stock. this stock habitually tagged the 50 day the stock is at 2:53 now p postearnings i was looking for a drop of 7% i would like to see this tap the 50, then start back up on the staircase that it has been doing and anyone with achart, home gamers can look at the moving
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averages this is tagged, a 50 day moving average, habitually almost once a month. so i expect this to trade lower and then ratchet right back up i think, guys, valuation is the key. >> so your entry is around 242 >> jcorrect. >> let's get on to alphabet now. >> melissa they are just kicking off that call on a somber note saying the recovery is far from uniform across the globe as tragic scenes remind us. in terms of financials, it is really a strong quarter. google is being seen as the winner along the mega cap group and the results justifying that performance. a 30% plus gain this year. i spoke to the cfo and she attributed it to the impact of
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covid and what she calls excellent performance. the businesses increasing nearly 50% year over year i asked if 2021 would be another investment year. and she says there is still sizable opportunities. so they will continue to invest. while investors continue to shrug off regulation, the comments suggest they are keeping a close eye on things saying it is part of what we do. no question and regulation is rapidly evolving >> keep us posted on that which is eight minutes in at this point. let's trade and so many times we talked about a re-rating of alphabet this seems to be a confirmation
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of that re-rating. >> i think the market has this one right. not only have they had their legacy business done well, but now things are starting to accelerate look at you tube if you have a new approach, that will be another driver for google the other side of the coin and what we're seeing in industrial earnings are cost pressures. so you could see people rotate into tech as an -- not an inflation edge, but you might justify the inflations because the input costs are unlikely to rise like they will be the industrials. >> in the after hours session, alphabet shares touching all-time highs the analysts coming in se the second half of the year will be
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a good set up for alphabet if we just saw wasn't good and the second half will be even better, that boasts pretty well in terms of ad spending when it comes to travel, entertainment, media, et cetera >> i know karen is watching sitting on her peloton no doubt. you said, mel, that this is the reopening trade that no one talks about. i will say this. last quarter i said post earnings the stock is cheaper. i'll say it again do you do the math they will make from 90 to $105 per share. in the old days they would have to pre-announce this this all coincides with when ruth took over look at what the stock did since she has been on board. i think it's not ridiculous to say given their earnings power a
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30 multion this and people will be talking about a $3,000 stock in the next few days >> reupping the share by $50 billion, that isn't bad either, steve, for investors >> yeah, i like the idea of the buy back and before this earnings came out it would have been the mirror image of what microsoft was which would have been a 7% check back i'm looking for a pullback in google and i know that is very unpopular. i would wait for tremendously lower prices before i jump in. >> pete, what do you think of the suggest? i think if he is right i would
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be there with him buys, but i don't know that i see that, but, if that were to happen i certainly would then be pretty excited about what is going on with google. the numbers are pretty extraordinary and when you extrapolate out you start to look at the company and you say there is print of areas they can still have that growth you talk about you tube all of the time, an area where they have been working on it and getting better but they have not really made a dent yet and there is plenty of room in the cloud space they just need to take it. i think you're seeing microsoft take more of that hare, but i think that google is starting to show a little bit of that ability to start eating away at some of that as well and it's just the others, it could be huge for them so for those reasons i think
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there is plenty of jump size if you get 11% pull back, i'm in, mel. >> my question is do you think steve will be right or that people will miss the boat? that doesn't help anybody, right? sure people love to buy google if they wanted to buy google or alphabet, 11% lower is an even better price, obviously. >> yeah, and to guy's point i think it right here you will see the stock go even higher i don't see it going down 11%. and too many times people just run. they say something is wrong and i don't want to touch this >> and people think maybe is is going away from me when you look at alphabet, do you look -- what do you feel
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more inclined to do? >> that is fascinating i think well since i said it i think google is cheaper now than it was to start the day i would have to say google, but that's not to cast dispersions on microsoft, but i think microsoft would be up 4% >> great to have you with us what is your take on the giants? >> i think guy's point is spot on, look at the beat you're seeing letter revenue growth with their surge business growing year over year, but they crushed profits. so by definition it is cheaper now than it was an hour ago. and when you look at what is happening under the hood welcome
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youtube up nearly 50%, and google cloud is not even at scale yet. imagine when that starts to hit it's stride, and i think you mentioned our survey earlier, in terms of what is happening, work from anywhere, work from home, they are accelerating at an opening rate look at the opening commentary they talk about the adoption curve just getting started and i think that is exactly right. i think you see some expectations missed, but they're still growing 46% year over year so it is still very early days and i think that will benefit technology as a whole. >> even if work from home remains a part of people's lives, i don't know that it would ever be what it has been
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during the dynamic so is it capped? in terms of what you see for alphabet and where it is with this updwing in the economy right in front of it >> i think that is a great point and google is going to capture more of the cyclical exposure. not only do they benefit from the trends that we're talking about, but they capture that as the economy reopens in the back half of the year microsoft, remember, they have a ton of exposure and business that's will absolutely benefit to the upside, but for sure, google is more in the context of a cyclical recovery. >> i understand you're going to hand out and thereon these calls. thank you very much.
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now that we talked about both of these tech commspecial hiss. >> i guess the favorable thing right now would be google. let's not forget this stock hit new highs today and now it pulled back 3% i'll still a huge believer in microsoft. ir say buy microsoft down 3% >> the company's call is under way let's gate to kate rooney with all of the details. >> visa has been up about 2% after a beat on the top and bottom lines they were 11 cents over the estimate visa not giving full year guidance, due they say, to economic uncertainty the call just kicking off here
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they say the recovery is still dependent on vaccine rollouts. kelly says he believes we're at the gipping of the end of the pan pandemic, the recovery is well under way in a number of markets. one line just from the earnings call a couple minutes ago was that one in ten in-person payments are now tap to pay. so consumers are using that more talking about the death of cash. he expects that behavior to persist. he mentioned that is one green shoot. also that contactless payments doubled since the beginning of the pandemic international travel looking like it will take a little while longer to double it was down 11% year over year and international travel will remain at a stand still. but they did say that improved
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slightly from the first quarter, it was up about 3 points from q 1. >> thank you, kate where do you go with this reopening trade in. >> well, for visa it's about that cross board payments. you have a ftail wind they think is likely to continue into the post opening or the reopening here people got used to not carrying as much cash and now it's fairly easy to use that, but investors are looking to gain cross quarter payments to come back up, and based on how they were traded since march, it is also relative they are betting that hey when this gets better they have a whole other leg of their business to kick in. >> the same could be said for master card. so then the question becomes
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which payment? these are trends that will happen in the payment space. >> i think stimloulus checks gie a little noise, but they ratchet higher everything goes up with these you can't go wrong with owning one or both. visa is up about 5% year to date master card up 9%, but still both in the general direction, lower left, upper right, can't go wrong with a payment with a credit card processor. >> visa up 2% right now. the microsoft conference call kicking off in a few minutes we'll bring you all of the market moving headlines ahead. check out the movement on
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but is it secure? sure it's secure. and even if the power goes down, your connection doesn't. so how do i do this? you don't do this. we do this, together. bounce forward, with comcast business. welcome back to "fast money. we have more earnings to share here let's get to courtney reagan
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with all of the details. starbucks putting up a mixed second quarter earnings beat, revenues light. they are raising their forecast for earnings and revenues with the midpoint of the ranges given beyond the street's consensus. it was slightly below fact sets. same store sales up 12%. they say that was driven by an increase in an average ticket. many of us are still not back to the normal communities also driven by a strong increase there. on the conference call, kevin johnson says starbucks is adapting to consumer behavior that may be here to stay saying vaccinates are a key to vaccination. we're using predictive analytics to monitor the rates in key
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markets. they say it is a significant part in the recovery hitting all-time high in ticket frequency. mobile orders were 26% of orders in the u.s. up 18% from last year the 90 day active u.s. starbucks rewards members grew 23% kevin johnson will be on "squawk on the street" tomorrow around 9:30 make sure you tune in. >> thank you, let's trade this one. given the run in the stock, did you think this would go down more down less than 2% right now. >> i thought it would, i should it would test that march high level. but yes. with the disappointing revenues, revenues disappointing, but i
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think what is bringing them out is the fact that they raised guidance on the side and on the margin side. i think the street is giving them a pass. it's not a cheap stock and i'm surprised it's not down more than it is to your point if it gets down to 111 i think you buy with both hands. >> steve were your take here >> i agree with guy. the 50 day moving average is 109.61 i would wait for a couple more percent to the downside. i think what people are giving the it benefit of is that europe hat a lot of rolling lock downs again. we saw france have an issue. we saw asia have some issues there. canada had an issue. and i think the people looking past that knowing that people want to gather again today they're willing to say okay there is a speed pump here, but
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we know there is a light at the end of the tunnel. >> coming up our mega earnings coverage continues we have full coverage on those names straight ahead a warning on wall street, tony dwyer saying a significant pullbackco is ming and he will tell us why when we return we're not as far from our goals as it may appear. ♪ because things are coming back. ♪ making now, the time to move forward. ♪ at u.s. bank, our goal is getting you to where you really want to be. ♪ because side by side, there's no telling how far you'll go. ♪ u.s. bank. we'll get there together. ♪ did you know that petco, is now a health and wellness company? i adore their groomers and their vets our physical, social, and mental
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welcome back to fast money k calls are e kicking off. tony, it is great to have you
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with us. last time you were here you were sounding cautious as well. >> it is exactly the same. i was on the show the day that we made that tactical downgrade. but it was a tactical downgrade and the indicators are in the same spot and the indices are in the same spot. it's hard to say that it is different. but that's what it has been. >> is there anything about earnings season that you're watching that could change your mind or maybe make a stronger case for what you're predicting? >> this is not a call based on risk from a fundamental basis. it's not like credit is having a problem. credit is incredible right now there is access, liquidity earnings, block buster we earned our raised our
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earnings estimate. there is nothing saying that this is a horrible environment and you to be careful and all it lost it is definitely not that it is that everything is so good that it creating a condition right for a pullback one of my favorite lines is corrections only feel natural, normal, and healthy until you're in one and then when you're down 2% you get scared. i would rather be prepared for it even if it is a little early. i would wrath ver people take some profit. >> tony, this is something that to dig a little deeper you have been on the show for years now and when you look at some of the other calls you had years ago they seemed more dire to me.
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so just to biggie back that last answer can you drill down just a bit more this dunts seem that dire. it seems like you might change your mind more than you would have in the other downgrades, just give me the difference? >> this is not what happened january of 2020. do you remember when the yield curve on verted and the thing on the screen was dwyer's dooms day clock. this is not that you do not have tightening financial conditions if you go into a sustained decline when you have a need for money and limited or no access to it. the opposite is true we have a historic amount of
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excess liquidity but when we got really bullish last may and the top two sectors since then have been financials and industrials we know the economy is reopening we know that you're at a maximum level of monetary stimulus we know a maximum level of fiscal stimulus. so it is a great question. this is a tactical call based on an extreme overbought condition and excess enthusiasm, not a fundamental head for the hills kind of call >> so your big call is banks and ta tanks. where do we stand now? is there still room or where do you see some of the best areas right now have your money shifted over towards in terms of where to see the markets go from
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here we just came through the big earnings season with the banks themselves >> pete, great question. our call on the banks and tanks, the economically sensitive issues, it's a multiyear call. it's not the next 15 minutes for me i'm pretty good on the intermediate to long-term. until youthis belief that shou we're going to go back into a recessionary environment i do believe that you have a good out performance of the cyclicals but when the u.s. treasury yield was at 177, who believed it would pull back in we thought it would pull back, we thought it would on the financials. so a few weeks ago we pulled
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back again i would rather be in into the cyclicals. so they may go down less, but as today was dloor that but i think that's where you want to be positioned into year end and next year. >> tony, thank you, good to see you. >> tony dwyer. we have had a lot of strategists turn more bearish recently we mad mike wilson of morgan stanley last week, i believe it was. brian kelly, how do you weigh all of strategists that are getting more bearish the calls have not worked out yet because the market keeps going high sore it is tough to stick by this. >> right, i think all of these calls and tony's in particular
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it is a tactical move. what does that mean. you made a lot of money this year i think that is probably the move here. if i look at the market and say what are the dangers out there i think the biggest danger is the federal reserve under estimatins and then you get wage inflation and a policy mistake comes nap is what will probably stop this rally on a more permanent basis. >> are you in wyoming now? >> i might be. >> i ask that because you mentioned the fed. i'm thinking about jackson hole. when do they, that confab happen over the summer, and i'm thinking about the fed possibly using language to indicate that
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maybe they will taper their bond purchases this year which is what a recent survey indicated and how the markets guy would take something like that i love, first of all you're totally in my head i was going to mention it from last night, and then i was going to say i would love to see montana. but i said take tony's call and take tactical call from someone spot on for the last couple years. he is saying be prepared for something that no one sees coming right now which ek coats what mike was saying i think the vix at 17 and change is too cheap, but i thought it was at 21 as well. >> the earnings parade marches on we'll break down the details next and later we're setting the table for another big night of earnings apple set to report tomorrow
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we'll have more when fast money returns.
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♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ deposit, plan and pay with easy tools from chase. simplicity feels good. chase. make more of what's yours. welcome back to "fast money. we're tracking the after hours action on chips.
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on the move after reporting results. bertha combs is standing by along with leslie picker >> amd shares higher on about 4% first quarter results. revenue nearly doubled year over year guidance also coming in ahead of estimates. earlier forecasts amd said quarter over quarter growth will be driven by data centers and on g gaming the company has entered a "high performance computing mega c cycle. as far as supply chain constraints that affected the industry recently, sue said it is very sight but they have seen improvements we'll hear more from su tomorrow on "squawk on the street" in a first on cnbc interview.
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let's go to texas instruments and bertha with the information there. >> a beat as well on the tom and bottom lines quarter highlights include industrial revenues up 30%, automotive was flat sequentially but up 25% from a year ago guidance also strong on the call there was questions about whether or not there were cancellations and pushouts they said they have not seen any and he says they're going to continue to raise incrementally their capacity over the next year and a half until their fab 2 comes online stressing their in-house production puts them at an advantage over competitors. >> thank you, let's trade the chip names i feel like go through this with texas instruments every quarter where they have a decent
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quarter, you know at first g glance >> it gets dragged up with the rest of the chips. that's the beauty of the etfs and stuff. you get to be dragged along. you don't have revenue growth. for example, amd just told you you will have 50% revenue growth for this year. last time texas instruments shot up 50% revenue growth is whe computers were the size of phonebooks amd has the groutt an i think it will manifest. >> what do you make of amd's quarter? >> it was absolutely extraordinary. i think if you want to compare
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the two stocks i think you have to say let's look at the 52 weeks. the stock is nearly doubles. and the fundamentals are there but to guy's point they don't have the same type of rowth. amd has doing more they had a nice move in the afterhours right now their numbers are extraordinary, their growth is there, and when you look back at it both of these two names can continue to work but to text insas instrumei would make sense after the bell, if we don't see texas instruments get back into positive territory >> pinterest on the move after creatings earnings
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they say it is akrcross 145 million in daily active calls. so they have gone up by 30 million daily active users pete, i'm wondering if this is the next thing, does this make you feel better about microsoft's quarter that they're still ableto grow teams at the pandemic settles down? >> yes, absolutely i think that is exactly right. when we look at a lot of various stocks and we talk about the pandemic and those on the reopening side of things that can be concerning, but i think this does reflect really well on what microsoft has been able to do what they created, and the direction they're going. and they continue to find ways to get growth including u acquisition. they have done a lot of things that have been spectacular
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>> shares are down 10% but the monthly active users fell short they believe the lockdowns probably pulled down user growth through 2020 particularly in the u.s. they warn that is slowed active user growth and lowered engagement and while they saw better retention they don't know how long that retention will last the company' guidance did surpass expectations this speaks to the fact that all 19 million new pinterest users came from outside of the u.s and revenue per user grew nearly twice as fast as that revenue per user group inside the u.s. marketers saying this means that pinterest will need to continue
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to double down on ad products to get more revenues out of existing users >> a dramatic pull forward and not really a grasp on how well the company will retain the new user, this smacks of netflix to me >> you know i was all pinterest only in terms of pinterest page. people are concerned about what julia just said. there is no user growth, right but i will tell you what there is there is operating margin growth and by the way, tim would tell everybody what that stands for, if you can look past the fact that you're not getting the user growth but you're getting better metrics. you to figure out what makes sense to you you're talking about tremendous growth on the revenue side i think here at the $68 level makes a lot of sense i think you can buy it in the
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mid 60s. >> brian kelly, what do you think downtown percent >> no, i don't think so. it's all nertwork effect, right? once you start losing that nerkt it doesn't matter it's great that you're making money, but if you're losing the network it's not over, but the business model changes. so for me down 5%, i don't like it >> up next, get ready for apple 'lharting earnings tomorrow. wel ve your set up when wel ve your set up when "fast money" returns.
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>> i think this stock will be higher when we walk in tomorrow. i think it will be $750 by air time tomorrow night. >> didn't quite happen that way today. 7.5 is where we close. close at session low what did you make of the price action here? >> lousy that is a fast fire. it wasn't without thought behind it we have seen this picture so many different times with tesla. you get negative numbers and
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they sale it off early and the next day the stock is ratcheting higher that's not, again, to say that the story is over. i don't think it is over by any stretch. i get all of the naysayers selling credits and their bitcoin. that's why they had such a huge beat, but they figured it out for quarter after quarter. i learned the hard way years ago and i'm going to stick by it i think tesla will trade higher in the next week or so >> let's get to tomorrow apple will be reporting, we have mike with the set up >> in apple we saw calls out pacing puts by 2 two one that's consistent with the calls we have seen in the last 20 days or so. right now the options market is implying a move of about 5% after he reported that they have arverages more than 2%
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over 43,000 of the calls, for $2.56. but the puts were the second most active, trading for about $2.90. it was mostly retail flows on the call buys and mostly institutional flows on the put buying and the stock is up about 11% in the last month >> what's your take on the set up and into the quarter? >> apple, i personally own apple and when you look at the average it is spiked down. i'm looking for higher prices. look at 180. >> mike, thank you for that. more options aks turn into the show at 5:30 eastern time on friday
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final trade time >> sptk, buy buy buy >> i'm going with microsoft on this dip, i think it's a bye >>
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buy. >> i think mosaic fertilizer, springtime planting. i like that one. >> guy >> citi as a tangible buck just too cheap >> "ma my mission is simple, to make you money i'm here to level the playing field for all investors. there is always a bull market somewhere and i promise to help you find it. "mad money" starts now hey, i'm cramer. welcome to "mad money. welcome to cramerica other people want to make friends, i'm trying to make you a little money my job is not just to entertain but educate and teach you. welcome to the gauntlet. this 72-hour period where the bulk of the biggest companies report is pure mayhem ou

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