tv Street Signs CNBC May 17, 2021 4:00am-5:00am EDT
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avexploded to up side. it's like it's been re-energized with its own drink. ♪♪ good morning welcome to "street signs." i'm joumanna bercetche julianna tatelbaum is in central london and steve is in gatwick a license to hug lockdown measures ease with restaurants opening for indoor service. the rise of new variants could still derail progress. >> we need to be very vigilant to the spread of the disease and
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the metaphor the prime minister uses is great one. we are in a race with the vaccination program and the virus. the ban on the international travel is the limited. michael o'leary posting the worst record losses. >> strong snap back of bookings. travel starting from june, july, august if these trends continue, we would be looking reasonably optimistic to a strong second quarter of travel recovery a $150 billion mega merger at&t in advanced talks with discovery in a bid to create a streaming giant to take on netflix and disney plus. the death toll in gaza rises around 200 nearly half are women and children as israel is launching
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more rockets in the city more calls for cease-fire call, but the prime minister promising more raids >> we continue to act now as long as it takes to bring quiet and community to you, israel it will take time. good morning happy monday welcome to "street signs." a busy show coming up. a big day in the uk today. this is the country as it is reopening today. i will talk about travel rules and you will be allowed to visit on the green list, including portugal, israel it is not just that, restaurants will serve customers and cinemas. limits on weddings and funerals
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will be relaxrelaxed a big day, julianna, as she has been covering this story for us. julianna, the weather is not great for outdoor dining today walk us through what is on the menu today for reopening >> reporter: joumanna, i see what you did there very nice. many restaurants will be happy to hear that people like you want to get back inside. today marks a huge step forward for the uk as it reopens indoor dining for the first time since december it has been a long slog for this sector 1 in 10 restaurants has permanently closed since the beginning of the pandemic. the outlook is brightening from today, but it will be a difficult road ahead there are restrictions that pubs
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and restaurants need to abide by you can only dine in groups of six or fewer people and up to two householdis max. staff shortages is a concern on the flip side, we have seen an acceleration of the adoption of technology in the hospitality space. this marks a significant step forward, but a difficult road ahead. all of this comes amid mounting concern of the rise of the variant from india here in the uk boris johnson, the prime minister, and the health secretary issuing a cautious warning as we move into the next step that we should continue to practice caution although hugging is now allowed in the uk a major step forward to discuss what this means for the uk economy and what is happening in europe broadly, i'm happy to welcome bert colin from
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img. bert, a big day here in the uk i was outlining changes in the hospitality sector one challenge we are seeing crop up is finding staff for a lot of these hospitality and retail businesses at the start of the pandemic, this was a big debate. whether the approach to the expanded unemployment benefits or if the uk approach is better. what is your opinion now we are entering a reopening phase >> well, i think ultimately what we have seen is that the european approach of freezing the labor market for the entirety of the pandemic has been helpful and stabilizing incomes. that is not where we saw it happening in the u.s. with the first wave of unemployment
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the unemployment benefits and other coronavirus support measures have been generous in the u.s. that has been helpful. when looking at shortages emerging, it looks like the u.s. has seen shortages emerge sooner, especially here in europe in that sense, it looks like the big shock to the labor market in the united states with the very generous unemployment support has caused shortages to emerge sooner the u.s. is a few weeks or months ahead in terms of the recovery compared to the rest of europe it is a difficult comparison to be made here >> when we talk about europe, we often talk about it as a whole region when it comes to the eurozone and compared to the u.s. and uk. how are you thinking about the differences that are emerging between core and peripheral
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countries? h in how they come out of the pandemic >> very good question. this comes out of research we have done at ing there is not one harmonious europe when looking at the recovery from the pandemic we have seen that the decline has been harder in the traditional periphery of the eurozone where core countries have managed to limit damage with gdp to smaller percentages. the fact that these countries have a larger gap to make up for means the risk of prolonged slump is higher. it is also because there is a bit of an unfair thing to the coronavirus crisis it specifically hits countries with a larger amount of small and medium enterprises and countries dependent on travel
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and tourism. increasing risk of bankruptcies when the pandemic ends and fiscal measures fade we still deem the risk of the longer recovery in the countries and increasing divergence in the recovery phase as quite high >> it is really interesting what you have to say about the divergence of fortune with the core countries and peripheries two points i want to come back on that argument number one, isn't it the case that the swifter the decline, the swifter the recovery is going to be? you will get a quicker bounceback for spain, italy and por portugal as far as the recovery funds, a big chunk are directed toward the countries you mentioned. how do recovery funds come in
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and change the picture in the medium term? >> so, let me answer the first question first it is a very good point. we are going to see a larger bounceback once economies reopen and indoor dining comes back to europe and countries dependent on that are set to gain more as well what we like to look at is the point in time. before the pandemic started which countries get to that level the quickest spain and portugal are set to have strong increases in gdp once economies reopen, it will take time to get back to the pre-pandemic level of activity it will take long as opposed to countries like germany and netherlands that could be there this year easily then to the second question about the recovery fund. that's a very good point something that is likely to have a positive impact in terms of
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limiting the divergent damage that could be done we see that the funds are ending up in the countries that need it the most from the pandemic as well that is positive also the plans that have been sent out have been encouraging italy has put in a very large program and it is set to gain a lot and see potential gdp improved over the course of the next years for the short-term, the amount is still small in terms of immediate fiscal impact it brings for 2021. if you compare it to the u.s. with the massive program put in place there, then it is still quite small. even for the countries set to gain most. we think the recovery phase and initial phase of coming out of the pandemic will still see
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diffic diverging patterns. >> how closely should they be watching the watching the weakness and periphery versus what you are expecting in core >> i think they will take that into account that seems to have been on their mind through the pan demdemic. it has been beneficial for the countries needing it most and limits have been helpful in the sense. ecb has been focused on leaving no country behind which is the same the european commission has done over the course of the pandemic it looks like they will probably take this on board looking at when they will move out of their crisis mode that they have been in so far. the fact that the latest deal that they are talking about
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tapering is taken into account nicely. >> another follow-up point on ecb. what do you make of the pet policies so far and they committed to buying up more and now dialing back down again. they said don't focus on the weekly purchases and we are watching them closely. what do you think is going on here in terms of the strategy? >> it's a very good point. we're all very still focused on the weekly purchases although they say don't it looks like the ecb has not committed to huge purchases to convince markets that rich are in check and are controlled by the ecb at this point. it looks like the ecb is looking at numbers that are recovering more positive for the eurozone
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in general we have seen encouraging pmi numbers out and consumer numbers. it looks like consumers are eager to go out and spend. it makes for a difficult environment for the ecb at the moment they seem to be on board with somewhat improving rates at this point as the economy does show signs of stronger recovery at this point it looks like the ecb is walking a fine line of what yields to accept at this point and seems to be willing to keep some money in the coming months to make sure they will not be caught shorthanded once the fate of the economy turns again. there is a lot of uncertainty and the ecb is taking that on board. >> clearly the case. bert, thank you. we are watching the travel situation globely.
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i want to bring you the latest news from singapore. the transport ministry said the travel bubble with hong kong will be deferred there was hope or expectation they would introduce a travel bubble between hong kong and singapore, but it looks like that decision has been pos postponed. the hong kong government says the news will be made again on june 13th. just a reflection of how another wave of coronavirus is beginning to grip the asian region this is something that julianna was talking about with the reopening in the uk. a lot of concern about the emerging of the indian variant and how it is quickly spreading in the uk. what is happening in asia could be a signal of what could happen in europe and the uk we are watching that closely in terms of the european
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markets price action today we are now trading negative. we started off the day with a positive footing, but things have turned south in the last half hour. on the back of the volatile week last week, stoxx 600ended the day in negative territory. we have some of the travel companies trading at the bottom of the ftse 100. disappointment there were not more countries included in the green list something we will talk about with steve at gatwick today. xetra dax down as well we are watching the chemical company trading on the back foot after losing the second appeal for the weed killer roundup. cac is trading in the red.
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the only index in the green p is ftse mib and the u.s. markets pointing to a negative open. data is taking a bit of a breather after the numbers we had last week in the uscpi the first two on the up side in terms of what to watch this week, u.s. retailers will be taking center stage with the earnings season. home depot and walmart report on tuesday. target and lowe's announce results on wednesday the week will round out with kohl's on thursday. i talked about retail sales growth stalled in april as the boost from stimulus checks faded. it comes after the bumper reading in march with sales surging 11% as americans spent the government checks. the services industry saw
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greater action in april amid eased restrictions amid the vaccine rollout. elsewhere, sticking to retail sales in china, the retail sales grew 17.7% in april that as industrial output growth declined in march. the recovery is not yet secure coming up on "street signs." sunday marked the deadliest day yet in the conflict in gaza. we will have the latest for you from the region in moments shipstation saves us so much time it makes it really easy and seamless pick an order print everything you need slap the label on ito the box and it's ready to go our cost for shipping, were cut in half just like that go to shipstation/tv and get 2 months free
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benjamin netanyahu promised forces would carry on with attacks. >> translator: we continue to act now as long as it takes to bring quiet and security to you, citizens of israel it will take time. i want to say something. i speak about international pressure there's always pressure. all in all, we are receiving series backup. back up from the united states i want to again thank our friend president biden and many other countries. in the attempt to kill innocent citizens, we have international back up and we use it in the natural right to defend ourselves. >> palestinian foreign minister called for an end to israel advances urging the united nations to act now so freedom can prevail. >> israel is executing our people committing war crimes against humanity some may not want to use these
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words. war crimes and crimes against humanity they know they are true. israel is unapologetic in pursuing the colonial policies >> nbc news' raf has joined us from israel. we have seen the building housing al jazeera and ap get blown up and no signs of a cease-fire tell us more >> reporter: joumanna, that is right. israel carrying out massive strikes overnight using dozens of aircraft and targeting the hamas underground tunnel network. as you said, one strike went wrong yesterday killing dozens of civilians in gaza city. including 16 women and 10 children all day yesterday, we watched
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that death toll rise as more and more bodies were pulled out of the rubble of the collapsed homes. i asked the israeli military what were you aiming at here and what was the target here they were going after an underground hamas military facility when that was struck, the building collapsed we have not verified the claim of the under ground military facility if this was a legitimate target, the question is under international law, does the military significance outweigh the massive loss of life you heard prime minister benjamin netanyahu not looking for a cease fire right now he wants more time on the battle field to degrade the hamas capabilities for now, we are not seeing much public pressure from the biden
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administration on israel to move toward a cease-fire. hamas has fired more than 3,000 rockets toward israel over the last week. many of those intercepted by israel's state-of-the-art iron dome missile defense system. that rocket fire continued last night. at a slower pace than the last week possibly that is an indication that hamas is running low on ammunition possibly is indication that israel's military effort is succeeding and they are degrading hamas' capabilities. the united nations security council met yesterday in new york we heard a lot of expression of concern and not much action on a cease-fire joumanna, the reality is, a cease-fire will not be brokered in manhattan it will be brokered here in the middle east. usually through a strange choreography, hamas and israel
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do not speak to each other they speak to egypt and qatar. they are looking to the middle eastern governments to broker a cease-fire as they have done in last three gaza conflicts. right now, though, no sign of that process moving forward and civilians on both sides desperately waiting for news of the end to fighting. joumanna. >> the report that there was a broker the truce, but that did not happen you are in beirut right now. what is the reaction because some have normalized conflict. we have the accords signed last year the sense at the time for palestinians is they have been sold down the river and those countries had gone ahead and signed a deal with israel and
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forgotten about the palestinian cause. what is the reaction now being on the ground from arab countries seeing what has happened in the last week and how bloody it has been >> reporter: joumanna, that is right. there is a huge sense of be betrayal to gulf countries which moved ahead with deals with israel with no progress on the palestinian state. it is hard to imagine, but eight months ago that president trump was beaming on the south lawn of the white house signing those abr abraham accords declaring we moved on from conflict and division it certainly does not feel that way for palestinian civilians today in gaza. bahrain is in an uncomfortable spot they normalized relations with
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israel and talking about tech and posting pictures of themselves at horse races and palestinians being killed by israeli bombs. uae has called for a cease-fire, but this is certainly an uncomfortable position across the broader middle east and here in lebanon, there is anger. we have seen protesters heading south to the israeli border. in some cases trying to cross the border fence at least one person killed by israeli fire after trying to cross the fence. according to the israeli military it is also worth noting that in many other arab countries, including those which normalized with israel, egypt and bahrain, we are not seeing the kind of protests that you are seeing in the uk and other western countries. that is a reminder that these are authoritarian states and the public may be angry, but not able to express that anger on
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the street because the leadership has made these agreements with israel it would be unacceptable to see a public expression of anger joumanna >> thank you, raf sanchez from nbc news. coming up on "street signs." the uk has a list of countries opening up for travel. we have the latest with steve fromatck gwi coming up.
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welcome back to "street signs. i'm julianna tatelbaum along with joumanna bercetche. a license to hug lockdown measures eased and restaurants opening for indoor service. the rise of new variants could still derail progress. >> we need to be very vigilant to the spread of the disease and the metaphor the prime minister uses is correct.
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we are in a race with the virus and the vaccination program. and michael o'leary with an optimistic tone despite the losses on record. >> we are seeing snap back and travel beginning to start from june, july, august if the trends continue, we are optimistic to a strong second quarter of travel recovery a $150 billion mega merger at&t is reportedly in talks with discovery plus. and israel is launching more rocket into the city growing calls for cease-fire, but the prime minister promises more raids >> translator: we continue to act now as long as it takes to
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bring quiet and security to you, the citizens of israel it will take time. welcome back to the show let's catch you up on the european markets last week, stoxx 600 did end up down things were not looking good, but we did see a rebound forward the end of the week. today, we are searching for direction. trading more positive early on you see the major indices dipped into negative territory. one of the cases of the second phase of the reopening a big day as indoor dining resumes and international travel allowed for certain countries. you can see the reaction is not
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positive on the ftse 100 with the main index down .30% you can see cec is down .10% one stock we are watching is senofi positive results on the covid vaccine. something that charlotte talked about on "squawk box." we are not yet in phase three. the timeline of that is still something to watch out for next year one stock in particular is bayer. right at the bottom of the index after the chemical company lost its appeal on the weed killer roundup. this is an ongoing story since it acquired monsanto a couple of years ago. bayer is trading on the back foot spain up .20%.
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italy up .40%. swiss index is up .10% let's take you to sectors and talk about the breakdown here. it is mixed at the bottom. oil and gas is down .70% big tech was in a slide. travel and leisure is down perhaps some days appoip disappn there were no more countries on the list up at the top, we have teleco. the reaction to the news and media. the news that potentially we could see a merger with at&t and discovery. more on that later in the show we are seeing th the positive
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reaction stocks are up 8 percentage points auto up .70%. it could bodewell for the electric vehicle segment of the market that is something we are watching as well u.s. futures s&p down 7%. dow is down 70 points and nasdaq down 5 it was a big week with the consumer sales number dropping we had the bumper news with the markets going into a frenzy before recovering on friday. the data this week is lighter. we are watching out for the major focus for u.s. markets. turning back to corporate news over here in europe ryanair reported a record loss
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as the budget carrier was forced to cancel 45% of the flights the firm called the year the most challengeing year ever. michael o'leary said he is optimistic demand will recover >> we think it is right to ease restrictions we look forward to spain, italy and greece added to the uk green list in the next couple weeks. that will accelerate the recovery of bookings short of holidays from the uk to europe through june, july, suggest and september. and the uk reopens much of the economy today. the next step is planned easing of covid rules traveler can visit portugal, israel and iceland
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british airways said not to visit on the amber list was exce excessive. steve joins us live from gatwick airport. steve, i did a segment a couple of weeks ago for cnbc. typically they see 50,000 passengers a day when we were there, it was 1,000 passengers how is that number going shape up and evolve over the summer? what are people telling you about the months ahead >> reporter: that was a 78% drop of passengers. they can handle 1,000 flights a year at gatwick. a lot of that carrying freight rather than individuals. we were talking to individuals earlier on and talking about the expansion of the green list being key to the future of the
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summer season and future of travel this year for gatwick there are high hopes that pete buttigieg can push ahead and get agreement on trans atlantic travel united and american and virgin are all pushing hard to get action on that front that is the most lucrative routes for north america, canada and the rest and let's be honest. no one will be going to the georgia. you can't go to new zealand or australia. we are talking about gibralter and iceland for travel this is a great day. we had really tough days on covid. i've covered horrendous stories in the last 15 months. it is high hope what we are
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seeing today is the start of something more meaningful as well yes, there are concerns at the government level of the indian variants the vaccination progress can sort out the vulnerable people with the second vaccination and we can make real progress. i want to show you this. i was by the north terminal. now i'm somewhere interesting. i'll show you where i am this is the northern runway. i'm actually on the runway at gatwick. our hosts have been fantastic. what i have to my left here is the main runway here at gatwick. a treat for you as the plane here coming in here. this is not something that i would say is note worthy or news
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worthy we have live arrivals and departures just on cue for you, joumanna, we told the peilot to come in here normally you see a queue of planes at gatwick with it looks like a british airways plane on the main runway here at gatwick. live on "street signs. t the plane i was standing next to, the faroe flight a large amount of holiday makers a lot of them have homes in portugal i saw you people with golf clubs and surfboards and saying we want to do something which is legal. go on a plane on a green list
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flight the health secretary saying people shouldn't travel unless essential. the uk airlines association is saying you made it legal to travel from today. why are you lambasting people traveling for other reasons? after the spring we had and weather in the uk, you can understand why people want sun and sand or a bit of sangria it is bringing real concerns going forward. back to you. >> the highlight of my year seeing that airplane land. the closest i have got to traveling, steve i almost fastened my seatbelt in the studio thank you for bringing us the latest from gatwick. indeed, a rare treat to see an airplane land and takeoff. we hope to do more of that i want to bring in our next guest from william, o'neil
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let's start with the travel industry our colleague steve was talking about the importance of getting more countries added to the green list for the revival of the travel sector. the main secretor has been positive there is not enough on the list to help a solid revival of the industry how important would you say it is for some of the airline carriers to have warnings added? >> correct as your colleague mentioned, it is important for the airlines that the green list is expanded. i'm optimistic that they will be if you look at portugal and other continents and european countries on a similar trajectory i think research done by some medical people suggest leading european countries administering
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first dose by july and 100% by september. as the vaccine continues to rollout at speed across the continent and europe, you will see the expansion of the green list and that will be positive for many airline companies particularly the lower cost carriers like ryanair. for many of those companies, leisure travel is important. >> it seems here we have to make a distinction with short-haul and long-haul. if the vaccinations rollout, clearly that will help boost the short-haul travel. it doesn't change the fortunes of long-haul unless it opens with u.s. and south america. how do you draw a distinction with the companies set to benefit from short-haul versus long-haul development sfs.
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>> yes, you are right. long-haul travel will take much longer to recover. india and latin america where covid-19 continues to be a problem. many of the emerging countries are dealing with rampant second wave the global economic recovery isn't going to be synchronized that is going to impact the legacy carriers. most of the carriers are dependent on business travel and longer-haul travel for the lower cost carriers like rainair, given the progress in europe, those carriers are better placed as vaccinations roll out across europe >> coming back to today, this
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does mark a milestone in the uk's road map to reopening it is clear that there's a bit of a shadow hanging over today amid the rise in cases of this variant. first emerged in india and here in the uk. if people are permitted to travel internationally, to what extent will they be deterred to travel >> i think from a consumer point of view and what i see in the surveys and based on the anecdotal evidence, there is pent-up demand for leisure travel i think the survey was done by jpmorgan chase which suggested 70% of consumers planned to book a leisure trip in the next 12 months speaking to friends and family, there is demand.
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savings rates are elevated across the developed world there is a lot of pent-up demand airbnb said they saw a big spike in bookings after the announcement of the easing of restrictions which were eased by boris johnson. there is demand, but as you say there are risks with the indian variant which is more transmissible. the survey suggested 30% to 40% more transmissible the ball is now in the court of the uk government and whether they decide to act i know they are following the data closely they said they will be data driven if we see this variant transmit more widely across the younger population, then that can create risks and the travel sector could be badly affeffected if ty
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welcome back bitcoin prices fell on sunday after elon musk suggested tesla could be selling the rest of the holding in the cryptocurrency. the ceo later clarified on twitter that tesla has not sold bitcoin yet. last week, tesla said it will no longer accept bitcoin for electric cars. now talking about dogecoin as a form of payment at his other company spacex. at&t is in talks to merge
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warner media the $150 billion deal could be announced today. at&t acquired warner media assets in 2018 and launched hbo max last year. the new group would rival netflix and disney with both companies boasting 300 million paid subscribers between them. we have the list of subscribers each company has big competition. let's get to the tech analyst. thank you for joining us on the show i'll just ask you straight off what do you make of the potential deal between the two especially with at&t being laden with debt at this point? >> good morning. it is a big blockbuster investments with directv and
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warner media it failed to get the success what you are seeing now from at&t is moves to divest and refocus the business it is concentrating on directv and warner media in the content space, it is all about scale. >> what are the regulatory outlet do you expect anti-trust issues to crop up with the deal >> i think it will be heavily scrutinized by the regulators. that was the case when at&t announced the acquisition of time warner. the collection of all of those content assets into one place is going to raise eyebrows. particularly, assure equal access to everybody in the market >> i want to come back to the comment around content we have the notion of content is king streaming services heavily
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investing in content what will it look like after five years how many major players will survive? >> that is a great question. too many companies chasing few dollars. the holy grail is content a aggregation. netflix is part of the household set up then you have disney plus and then amazon prime and a long tail of other services that's why we see moves by the content giants getting together. this is the start of consolidation. otherwise we will have casualties >> paolo, the top three are so far ahead. netflix and disney plus which surged in the last year. amazon prime so far ahead of the others
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it will be extremely difficult to make a dent in the market in this case, you have hbo max what will they get merging with discovery? >> another good point. you highlighted nicely free netflix paved the way. all of the others are jumping in a lot of low-hanging fruit out there as you launch the service. hbo max has done well to date in the u.s. now going global the next month. there is clearly many opportunities for the next year or two similar with discovery plus. it is late to market in this particular space there are subscribers out there to acquire it will take time before they get to the serious millions to the point where netflix and disney plus are. growth with netflix will slowdown the pandemic party has come to
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an end i think it is important to compete in scale rather than the separate entities. it is about strengthening the portfolio. we have seen that to the extent with disney. launching with disney plus this year, a push with disney p plus these services are platforms and a window for all forms of content and movie releases >> pa origolo, thank you for jog us that is it for the show. thank you for watching for myself and julianna in central london as we watch another flight take off wfrom gatwick.
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it is 5:00 a.m. at cnbc global headquarters. here is the top five at 5:00 going for three. stocks trying to rally after the best day since march down but not out wild week for pbig tech is not deterred clients double down for the long haul. a massive media merger at&t may dump tv business and merge with discovery in a deal that is the biggest combination in years middle east tension rising isra
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