tv Power Lunch CNBC March 12, 2025 2:00pm-3:00pm EDT
2:00 pm
like secret agents? no, more like autonomous minions that you control. to do what? well, jim's agents resolve simple customer issues. and patty's agents flag network problems. - proactively. - yup. i'm lovin' my agents. wait, you all have agents? oh yeah. and on the servicenow platform, everyone's agents work together so everything works better. can i have agents? maybe. ♪♪ and welcome to. >> power lunch. >> alongside kelly. >> i am brian. >> tara fears. >> they're back on. >> the. >> shelf. >> at. least for now. >> the markets. >> are holding up, but citigroup says. >> hold up. >> you got. >> to own this. instead of that, we'll. >> take a. >> swing at what that. >> is and take. >> a big. >> swing with the. >> head of. >> the pga tour. >> see what i. >> did there? >> very nice. i'm looking
2:01 pm
forward to that. and welcome back. thank you. let's get a check on markets though. with the dow turning slightly higher and then giving up its gains once again it's down about a 2/10 of a percent. the s&p is up 20 points right now. and the nasdaq has been leading the way all day long. nearly 2% gain earlier up a little less than 1% right now. and some of those really hard hit names seeing a bounce back including in the mag seven big gains for nvidia and tesla. meta also retracing some lost ground. nvidia is up 5.5% today. and check out the rallies in these momo names applovin, palantir, reddit, and carvana all up 4 to 6%. but remember, they've lost a quarter of their value or more in the past month. even including today's bounce back, we'll take a closer look at momentum versus the safety trade coming up the inflation data, giving investors a temporary reprieve from the selling pressure. the headline number is better than expected, but compared to last year, prices still rose by almost 3% 2.8 key staples. those are even higher eggs, up 12% month over month and nearly 60% year on year. meat, up 7% from last year. shelter up 4%, vehicle insurance up 11%. we're also
2:02 pm
seeing consistently higher prices across discretionary spending. so you know, sporting events, 12% higher dvds, physical media. who's buying dvds anyway? that's up 20%. >> about eight tracks. >> yeah, yeah. the popular subscription and video rental. yes, that's up 9%. so you're even seeing some inflation in your streaming services. dry cleaning up seven, haircuts up five. we're all feeling it. so is inflation really tamed just because one month isn't as bad as expected? or will these higher prices remain a threat to consumers ability to keep spending? let's bring in with that and discuss with carson groups, ryan dietrich and our very own rick santelli. welcome to you both. ryan, let's just start with you. what do you think is going on with the consumer here? >> yeah. >> first off, thanks for having me in early saint patrick's day. so i know that's a big day for you there. >> so listen. >> i'm glad to be back. and the consumer is it or are they. slowing down. you know there's some cracks out there. one thing we've been saying for a while at carson group is. still incomes are still strong inflation. >> i know today's data. we can
2:03 pm
pick it a little bit. just don't forget last year. >> in january. >> february came a little higher on inflation. then it rolled over. we think that's probably going to be the case. but i just want to touch on this. there's so much uncertainty. >> out there. what are we. >> certain of. well five years ago today the s&p fell 10% in one day. so happy. >> anniversary on that one. >> yeah i know we're down ballpark 9% or so on average. we know most. >> years have a 10% correction. >> we haven't seen one since late 23. you know i mean we can list all these things. but you know i know that scary headlines are there. last comment on this. the s&p is down ballpark. >> 4% on the year after gaining 2,020% two years in a row. we get it. high yield corporate bonds are up on the year. if there is a monster under the bed. to me, i think there would be more stress in the credit markets. we're not seeing that this is very uncomfortable. don't get me wrong, the uncertainty that's out there. at the same time, maybe we were just due for some early seasonal weakness that you tend to see in a post-election year. you tend to see after 20% gain. and we've seen, honestly, the last 20 years, we bottomed right around
2:04 pm
now, the last 20 years on average. so, you know, it's not easy. but i think there's some positives still out there. >> yeah i. >> mean. >> listen rick. >> santelli, first off. >> i will be in your city for saint patrick's day. >> i just. emailed you. i'll be in. >> chicago. i'd love to. >> the river's. green i'll be with rick. >> maybe we'll see. >> what happens. >> rick how. >> do. >> you. >> as you gave. >> the bond. >> auction this morning. >> a b minus not an. >> awful grade. >> the bond market. >> you just heard. >> you know, ryan, talk about it. how do you vis a vis the bond market, rick. >> view the economy. >> view the stock market? >> well, first of all, i. >> gave it a b plus. >> i thought it was a. >> good ten year auction. >> here's the. >> here's the way i view the. >> fixed income. >> market, specifically sovereigns. >> you need to. >> look towards europe. >> at this point. >> all those hundreds and hundreds of billions of euros that are going to be put forth in a stimulus effort. they're all going to result in more supply. so supply will be an issue as far as growth versus inflation. well, there's a perception out there that we
2:05 pm
have slower growth. and i say perception because as ryan just pointed out, just because you have a few cracks doesn't mean the yolk and the whites of the egg are on top of the table. at this point, we are far from that. and the general perception of slowing leads to a natural hypothesis of less pricing pressure. now, i don't necessarily agree with it, but i find it pretty ironic that so many bring up the term stagflation. but if you really look at what's going on in the market, our january release of cpi on the 12th of february resulted in some hot numbers that weren't revised, a path for 1% on headline, 3.3 on year over year core. that was hot, and we settled at 463 that day a month ago. rates have gone down, so i think you want to concentrate on growth. but stagflation will remain an issue because pricing pressures really haven't gone away. >> rick, take a listen to the sound bite from jamie dimon. speaking at a blackrock retirement summit. asked about
2:06 pm
the consumer. here's his latest take. >> obviously. >> if you look at the economy today, you see a weakening. you know. >> consumers are still. >> spending money. jobs are still plentiful. wages are still going up. cpi is kind of leveled off a little bit. but you do see a weakening of sentiment, certain spend, certain type of spend that people consider more discretionary. and you know what changes that. it's hard to tell. you know i don't think the i don't think the average american consumer who wakes up in the morning and goes to work, which are like 175 million of them, changes what they're going to do because they're reading about tariffs. so i just question that a little bit. >> yeah. and that was showing up in some of the survey data. rick. and again he mentions there some of the weakness that he's picking up a little bit on the consumer front as well. >> yeah. no, i completely agree with jamie dimon. i'll even take it a step further. i think that his bank and many banks, they monitor credit purchases. if you look at who's doing the consumption, as treasury secretary said on her own channel, an inordinate amount of
2:07 pm
that is coming from a certain demographic older that doesn't really need credit. and to take that a step further, like me, many people have been paying in cash when they go out. i think the consumer is doing pretty good. what you're seeing that's been anticipating slower growth is the deleveraging domestically and globally. the uncertainty causing that deleveraging is showing up in big time in equity prices, which i consider all to be a temporary move. >> well let's. >> let's go more. >> into that. >> because i think a lot of. >> people do care. >> about what happens to the stock market. >> especially if. >> they're watching. >> or listening. >> to this fine network. >> ryan. >> and listen. >> when. >> i look, when i looked up and i saw. >> applovin was down. >> you. >> know, whatever it was and palantir was down, whatever it was, my first thought was, why the hell do they have to do with tariffs? absolutely nothing. people were selling what they could sell to raise money. these were sky high valuation names. i'm not picking on them. but i
2:08 pm
think to your point and some of your competitors data as well, ryan, i'm not saying it's just a garden variety sell off because i know it's scared scary. but the reality is we've had far worse than this over the last few years. and almost every time, if you bought, you made money a year later. >> no, you're right. and you know, one of the things there, brian, is, as of friday, right, for the year, i know we had a big sell off monday, but as of friday, nine sectors are up on the year, right? technology communication services were down. i've come on your network for a while, so we're more neutral technology because it is pricey. there's a lot of growth coming there, but there's a lot of other areas. i mean, i mean, i know it sounds almost boring to say, but if you're diversified you're having an okay year right now, right? bonds are up a couple percent, gold is up double digits, europe is up double digits. we know china is making three three year highs. i mean there really are. diversification can be a dirty word because it hasn't worked because everybody just in mag seven and that was great for everyone. but we've been preaching stay diversified here,
2:09 pm
especially in a post election year. you get that volatility early i think brian, that makes sense. one more comment on this. remember, i know everyone remembers on this network early august, right. we had that 8% correction really quickly. yen carry trade unwind. if you look at you know triple b spreads corporate spreads they were more stressed then than they are now. we've pulled back ballpark about the same amount approximately. yet there's less stress in the credit markets. i mean it can change in a hurry. but again i just think this is more of your i know it doesn't feel like it garden variety pullback. it's sure scary when it happens. no one likes it when it's your money when it does this. but listen prepare for volatility in a double digit correction. we said that all year coming into this year. and now it's here. and we don't think it's going to get all that much worse. it's probably going to be an opportunity. when we look up 6 to 9 months from now. >> i. >> think it is. >> the 15th worst. >> sell off. >> in the last 12 years or something. >> and it feels like the worst one, right? because they all. >> they all. >> and maybe they'll go, maybe it'll keep going down from. we'll see. by the way, we do
2:10 pm
have some break guys. sit tight. going to get back to you. we've got some breaking news on treasury data with megan cassella in dc. megan. >> hey, brian. so for all the talk in washington recently of. >> cutting federal. >> spending. >> we. have yet. >> to see any. >> of that show up in the official data. >> treasury's latest statement. >> shows that overall. >> spending hit a record. >> high for the month of. >> february, and spending and the overall deficit are both now at all time. >> highs for the. >> first five. >> months of the fiscal year. so the. >> deficit today is about 17% bigger than it was this time last year, and that's due to spending up at nearly every agency. one of the biggest drivers is the growing cost of interest on the debt. we've spent almost half $1 billion on interest so far this fiscal year. social security, medicare, medicaid, they are all spending more, both because they have more beneficiaries than ever and because of the higher cost of living defense spending. that one was also up across the board. and guys, the treasury official was asked specifically whether they were seeing any impact yet of the doge effort to cut spending. they told reporters that one of the only areas seeing spending decline as
2:11 pm
of february was the department of education, which had spent $6 billion less than the same month a year ago because of lower spending on elementary and secondary education. we might see more impact in future months, but for now, one of the only areas so far of real impact guys. >> so is it fair to say, megan, that that there was a big burst of spending to end last fiscal year, that we had a lot of spending? and so that's we're not seeing any cuts so far in the data. >> that's right. so this is the first five months of the fiscal year. that's the end of the biden administration and the beginning of this one. but spending is at an all time high for those five months, but also for the month of february. it's the highest it's ever been for the month of february. so it's not just that we can blame all of this on the biden administration. and again, there could be cuts in the future. they did acknowledge march april. we might see more on the cut side. we also might see more on the tariff side. we're not seeing much of that yet. for now, we're still just seeing a
2:12 pm
whole lot of spending, carrying through to the early part of this administration. >> all right. megan casella in d.c. megan, thank you very much. you know what, kelly, very quickly, we got to get to the tease. i think that's very newsworthy indeed, that there was this huge burst of spending to end last year and that the cuts that we're getting have not shown up in the data yet. >> not just that the january numbers, which were already astounding, also included some shift of payments from february into jan because the feb one fell on a weekend. so the fact that we're not seeing a big rebound in improvement in feb and maybe the data adjust feb, i don't i'm not sure it tells you that even with that taken into account, these numbers are still high. it's the spending number that's up double digits and the ten year. for what it's worth, it was already at around 430 today. but pressure like this is going to kind of reports like this will keep upward pressure on those long long end yields for sure. >> and we'll see where the data goes from here. but as of now, not only no sign of cuts, right. signs of just massive amounts of new spending. on that happy note on deck citigroup telling clients to maybe sell this and
2:13 pm
buy that. what? those are coming up. >> the bond report is brought to you by pimco, a global leader in active fixed income. ever worry that you're drinking too much? take back. >> control with or health. >> or health provides access. >> to medication proven to help. >> a daily pill to drink. less or to quit drinking altogether. qualify for treatment at or health.com. >> it's game. >> on with bed mgm. >> originals bets you can't find. >> anywhere else. >> from one of a kind head to head player markets to unique live in game bets. bed mgm
2:14 pm
live in game bets. bed mgm originals have you covered. that moment you walk in the office and people are wearing the same gear, you feel a sense of connectedness and belonging right away. and our shirts from custom ink help bring us together. we make it easy to wow all your groups with high quality custom apparel and promo products, all backed by our guarantee at customink.com. at odyssey trust, we're more than just a transfer agent. we're on a mission to deliver peace of mind by making things simple, fast and easy. we're proud to be the trusted partner of over 1000 clients in canada and the united states. like you're not being heard? >> thank you for calling. >> please hold. >> now that's better. >> trey palmer doesn't have a massive call center. instead, your calls are answered by real people who know you by name and are empowered to help. like me. hey, chuck, how are you? what
2:15 pm
hey, chuck, how are you? what can i do for you? comcast business helps turn the pga tour into a... ...ticketless-ticketing... ...multi-shot-tracking... ...birdie-putt-obsessing... ...swag-securing... ...global-broadcast- orchestrating... ...will billy be a-winning? easy, rich. no, jinxing. ...tee shot-mashing ...absolutely thrilling ...game-changing golf experience. powering the connectivity of the pga tour. comcast business
2:16 pm
fast and reliable solutions from comcast business can help turn your business into a... reliably up-and-running cybersecuring... performance boosting... storm preparing... ...wifi backup is working... ...reliably-connected, modern business. powering the engine of modern business. comcast business omni luxe ledcom. >> all right, welcome back america's time as the world's favorite place to invest may be over, at least for now. according to citigroup, the firm cutting its overall rating on american stocks to neutral. that's all basically a national view, citing, among other things, a, quote, pause in u.s. exceptionalism. instead, citigroup says you may want to
2:17 pm
own china. it upgraded china stocks to overweight. china's, by the way, already outperforming many american equities this year. let's talk more about this call and bring in the person behind it. that is dirk miller. he is the head of macro strategy and asset allocation at citi research. dirk has has most of the money in the american market already been made? >> great question. i will call it a pause in u.s. exceptionalism. >> and the reason is. >> not that we. >> are necessarily that bearish on the s&p. i mean, we downgraded equities overall actually on a global level in february. and we thought there should be a correction on the back of the tariffs but not a recession. we're not in the us recession camp. we are in the correction camp. and so we do think that the s&p has a bit more downside. but the main question to ask is will the s&p keep. >> outperforming the. >> rest of the world. and we think over the next three months or so that's unlikely. and the reason is really coming from both sides. i think you had very positive news out of europe in
2:18 pm
terms of the huge fiscal package out of germany and the rest of europe, potential, of course, for ceasefire in the ukraine. you also had really quite positive news out of china, both in terms of the technology sector, but also in terms of government support. broadly speaking, at the same time, when the us data is turning soggy and it will remain soggy for quite some. >> time. >> you know, that's how dirk go into that, the what you call government support. we've seen this in germany recently. it's not a done deal. but they're proposing this stimulus bazooka in germany, in the german stock market and european stock markets. they've done better than the us. we spent trillions of dollars during covid, so did other countries, but we spent proportionally more than most. how much does this idea of stimulus, whether it's china or europe or whatever, how much does that matter to overall equity market outperformance? >> i mean, it mattered a lot for growth differentials. i think the fact that the us went all
2:19 pm
out during covid and maybe more than some other countries clearly was supporting growth. i mean, sending checks in the mail to that extent was clearly very, very helpful for the us consumer. and that was part of the story initially. and the us has other things in its favor, right? no doubt. i mean, earnings growth, which is linked to growth, but it's not just gdp growth. it's more than that has also outperformed the other markets tremendously. and that's why to be honest we call it a pause. we just think for the next, you know three months or so the job numbers will remain quite poor in the us. the consumer might pull back a little bit. and because of the fiscal stimulus and other stimulus measures, that might not be the case in china. so we are upgrading our growth estimates in europe. we're upgrading our growth estimates in china. we're downgrading or actually we have already below growth estimates in the us. so that is where that is coming from. in the very big picture. i do think the us will eventually come back because it's really
2:20 pm
partly about the quality of the companies. and in particular it's about being part of the ai story, which europe is just not. china is as well. right. so, so eventually i think when we get through this soft patch in q q1, q2, at some stage, i will again be the leadership in the market, which benefits both china and the us, and not so much europe. but i think just right now we have at the very same time, when the us is hitting a weak pocket on the back of tariffs and on the back of the d.o.j. cuts, at the very same time, we have a lot of stimulus in other places, which makes it a better bet. >> so, dirk, the only thing you know, i could i see money rotating out of, you know, the mag seven and going into europe and supporting international stocks for some time. sure. but in the longer run, i mean, where's going to be the ecosystem of startups that bring the next great companies that are going to be the trillion dollar market cap names in europe or in china? i mean, and maybe china is showing more capability on that front with some of its breakthroughs in ai lately. so we can grant it that. but then again, it has a big
2:21 pm
broader economic growth and demographics problem. so is this just a 3 to 6 month move or is this something more. >> we call it pause in the in the exceptionalism for the us. so we think of it on a 3 to 6 month basis. maybe i agree with you that in the end, the peak of the equity markets and the onset of the bear market will only happen when the ai story has played out. and until then, the us is strategically still very well placed. i would not disagree with that. and we don't think that the ai bubble has already popped. so we see it really as a as a as a tactical call at this stage. i would say the amazing thing is that the countries that have the biggest targets on their back for tariffs being china, europe, mexico and canada, all of them outperform the s&p quite strongly. right. and the interesting thing is that in 2018 the opposite was true. so basically countries that i mean back then it really was mostly china right. there was only one
2:22 pm
country the us really went after and it was china. china underperformed tremendously this time. the us goes after all of the countries really. and that is leading actually to the us underperforming because it's much, much more difficult for the us economy to keep performing well with tariffs if everyone is tariffs rather than if it's really just one country. and then you can always get supplies from other countries. so it's a big difference. and that's part of this pausing call for us exceptionalism, which eventually may well come back as you point out. i mean, the ai story can only be rivaled by china, but probably not by europe. >> all right, dirk, we'll leave it there. thanks so much for your time today. dirk miller with citi research third shop to downgrade us equities so far this year. well forget about set it and forget it. volatility here in the us is fueling some 401 k trading. we'll break down the numbers and whether this is a good thing next. >> crypto watch is sponsored. >> by crypto.com.
2:23 pm
>> and. >> and. >> crypto.co when emergency strikes, first responders rely on the latest technology. that's why t-mobile created t-priority built for the 5g era. only t-priority dynamically dedicates more capacity for first responders. templeton, we're expanding access to the growing opportunity in private markets, offering the potential for greater diversification and enhanced returns through our world class specialist investment managers, we are empowering advisors with solutions to build the portfolios of the future today. portfolios of the future today. alternatives by franklin your record label is taking off. but so is your sound engineer. you need to hire. i need indeed.
2:24 pm
indeed you do. our advanced matching helps find talented candidates, so you can connect with them fast. visit indeed.com/hire more. >> all backed by our 100% guarantee. >> right now. >> you'll. get 12 omaha steaks >> you'll. get 12 omaha steaks bu custom ink helps us motivate our students with custom gear. we love how custom ink takes care of everything we need so we can focus on the kids. we make it easy to wow all your groups with high quality custom apparel, accessories, and promo products, all backed by our guarantee at customink.com. strategy. you've worked for a comfortable retirement for years now you need to plan for retirement income. learn ways to avoid common mistakes like. being too conservative or not setting retirement goals. have
2:25 pm
someone on your side to keep you on track. call for fishers comfortable retirement kit with the help you need to make your retirement a success, including the investor's guide to a comfortable retirement. 13 retirement blunders to avoid and maximize your social security. call one (800) 759-4477. fisher tailors a plan to keep you on track for a retirement you want, and as a fiduciary, we do better when our clients do better. call now for your comfortable retirement kit. call 1-800-759-4477. call us today. you don't have it coming to you unless you plan for it. if your. >> portfolio is 1. >> million or more. >> call 1-800-759-4477. breaking earnings after the bell. >> a cnbc exclusive. >> adobe ceo first word on q1 numbers. ai breakthroughs the state of the sector insight and analysis for investors john fort, morgan brennan closing bell overtime for eastern. cnbc.
2:26 pm
>> welcome back to power lunch. after two great years back to back, it's been a rough start to 2025. the nasdaq down 8.5% even with today's 1% rebound. that has some people making changes to their 401 s. but should they? sharon epperson is at a retirement summit in washington, dc with more on that topic today. hi, sharon. hi, kelly. >> you know, there's. >> been a lot of discussion at this summit that's. >> being sponsored by. >> the bipartisan. policy center and blackrock about president trump's trade war and market turmoil and the. >> impact on. >> retirement savings. here's what blackrock chairman and. ceo larry fink says could happen next. >> i would not be surprised to see elevated inflation over the next five months. i would not be surprised to see an across every ceo i talked to starting to talk about a more a more fearful economy going on right now. and a lot of it is that fear. but i but i but i do believe. >> this is going to. >> be more short term once we
2:27 pm
understand the policies, once we become more accustomed to it. >> now. >> more than half of the $11.6 trillion that blackrock has in assets under management are in retirement savings, and many investors right now are still fearful about market downturns. some are actually making moves rather than following a buy and hold strategy. it's only a small portion of overall balances, but net trading activity in 401 k plans has doubled in the past three weeks. that's according to a light solutions 401 index. in the first week of march, nearly 60% of outflows in 401 k plans came from large cap u.s. equity funds, while one third came from target date funds, and more than 40% of inflows went into stable value funds, more than a quarter into bond funds and 18% into money market funds. now, the question is, if the market.
2:29 pm
here? blackrock's larry fink said that's a possibility, but it's also a buying opportunity in the long run. kelly ryan, it's interesting. >> yeah. and obviously sharon, you you are in washington. the hot topic of conversation are budget and job cuts. last week we spoke with glenn youngkin. he's the governor of the great state of virginia. you had a chance to speak with the governor of maryland, wes moore. what did he have to say about the cuts and what the concern is? >> well, maryland's governor, wes moore, is also working to create jobs in his state and place federal workers into positions where there are openings here in the state. but it's a tall task for maryland. maryland has over 160,000 federal workers. it has the highest percentage of federal workers than any state in the nation, including about 23,000 veterans. and the doge cuts have impacted jobs in the state, but also key programs. >> these are. >> not glancing. blows to. >> maryland's economy. >> these are direct shots that are happening to our state. it's having a massive economic impact and it's having a massive economic impact. you know, both because we are watching people in many cases, just arbitrarily laid off agencies being shuttered without any demonstrable evidence as to how that actually is serving the people better. >> there's also uncertainty, of course, swirling around president trump's trade war, and it's impacting investors, but also many aspects of maryland's economy. >> the on again, off again tariffs and the numbers that move every other day seemingly as though what product we're going to put a tariff on and what number are you going to put it on. like this is having a
2:30 pm
significant impact, even just on the psyche of investors, the psyche of business owners, the psyche of our society and our community who are wondering if they're going to be next. >> now, governor moore is also working to increase state residents access to capital. he says it's important to do this through entrepreneurship, through home ownership, as well as investments. he talked a great deal about maryland saves, a public private partnership in the state to help small business workers save for retirement, as one initiative that he's going to be focusing on very clearly in the coming months for more strategies, of course, on retirement savings and investing, you can go to the money 101 newsletter series, use the qr code there to sign up, or go to cnbc.com/money 101. back to you guys. >> sharon thank you very much. especially timely with everything going on in the markets right now. sharon epperson up next, speaking of which, the rotation debate is red hot again. we'll discuss what to do in three stock lunch next. >> a us bank. we know how good it feels to reach your. >> milestones. >> but we also know what really goes into. >> getting you there. >> that's why we introduced codebrowse, which connects you to a real banker in real time. >> to help you. >> do anything from adding a new debit card. learning how to save smarter. even creating. >> spending limits.
2:31 pm
>> do you mind if i scrub. >> the one. >> with codebrowse? we're always there. >> for you. >> on your road to here. because >> on your road to here. because there's nothing as powerful what if you could invest in a future where skin cancer treatment is noninvasive and relatively painless? medicus pharma's groundbreaking solution delivers chemotherapy directly to the tumor site, offering a mostly painless alternative to invasive surgeries. with the skin cancer treatment market expected to exceed $20 billion by 2030. medicus is poised to meet the demand for cost effective non-surgical options. now advancing phase two studies. medicus pharma, leading the charge in skin cancer innovation. tracey from lillie's of charleston will watch 60 contestants eat 60 hot wings all covered in lillie's hot sauce oh honey, don't touch your face will be in this ad 60% of the time
2:32 pm
2:33 pm
for one low monthly price. -yes. so, people could stream the shows they love. and we could call it... xfinity streamsaver! mmmmm. what about something like: streamsaver? ooooooo. -i love that. add streamsaver with apple tv+, netflix and peacock included for only $15 a month... and stream all your favorite entertainment, all in one place. >> get your. >> trial set for just $7. >> at. >> harry's .com slash. >> smooth. >> welcome back to power lunch. i'm bertha coombs with your cnbc news update. >> an immigration and. >> customs enforcement official. >> said today that. immigration detention in the u.s. >> is now. >> filled to. >> capacity at. 47,600 detainees. he added that. ice is now expanding its bed count to. house more, with help from the defense. >> department, marshals service and bureau of prisons. >> the revelation comes. >> amid president trump's vow of mass. deportations for
2:34 pm
undocumented immigrants. former philippine leader rodrigo duterte has surrendered to the custody of the international criminal court after touching down earlier today in the netherlands. he is facing murder charges linked to his anti-drug crackdown. >> the icc. >> warrant for. >> his arrest. >> claims he funded and armed. >> death squads that carried out murders of. >> purported drug users. and dealers, and billy joel is. postponing his tour until july because of a medical issue. piano man said on instagram that he's recovering from a recent. >> surgery and. >> has to undergo physical therapy. >> the post said. >> that he is expected to make a full recovery, but he didn't go into any further detail. we wish him a speedy and total recovery. back over to you. >> yep. bertha, thanks very much, bertha coombs. it's time for three stock lunch. and today we're trading stocks caught in the middle of a growing debate. growth versus safety. courtney
2:35 pm
garcia is here to settle things for us. she is senior wealth advisor at payne capital management and a cnbc contributor. courtney welcome. and this is the trillion dollar question right now. let's start with robin hood down 10% this week. although popping back nicely today up 8%. would you jump in here or no. >> i would actually. >> stay away from robin hood here for a couple of reasons. so this is a company that's done really well. i mean, they're up over 130% over the last year. and a lot of that has to do with cryptocurrency. so trading activity specifically in crypto is a lot of their revenue source. that was about 22% of their total revenue back in 2024. so what you're seeing is with this new administration, people were very pro crypto. you're seeing more trading going in there, which has benefited them. but a lot of that i think has already been priced in. what you're seeing is they trade kind of with that risk on trade. so as people are more optimistic about the markets, you're seeing more risk on trading, you're seeing more cryptocurrency. that's what's going to benefit a robin hood. but as you're seeing
2:36 pm
some of these growth scares like we saw earlier this week, this was actually down even more so than like across the banking sector. and this was actually seeing more volatility. and i think you'll continue to see that. so i think a lot of the crypto optimism is probably priced in. it's going to affect this stock a lot like you saw back in 2021 and then 2022 with a big sell off. so i would actually stay away from this for the time being. >> what about at&t? huge debt load. everybody was running one way. and this year at&t is actually higher courtney. >> yeah i think a surprise. i don't think any of us thought we'd be talking about at&t a lot less than stock. but it is one of your kind of typical value stocks here. pays over 4% dividend. and even with their debt load i mean you're seeing that they're having optimism that they are going to bring down their debt. plus they have $10 billion in share buybacks later this year, which is just showing optimism in their cash flow and how the company is doing in order to sustain their dividend moving forward. but this also just a turnaround story. they just posted year over year revenue growth for the first time since 2023. they're really, you know, kind of a pure
2:37 pm
play after they're divesting their direct tv exposure here later this year. and they had over $17 billion in cash flow last year. it's expected to still be over 16 billion this year even without direct tv. so i think this is a company that yeah, i don't think we thought we'd be talking about. but it's a good play here. >> all right then that brings us to johnson and johnson. i have a feeling i know which camp this one's going in, but let's see. it is a dividend play. they got that acquisition of intra-cellular therapies to look at. the shares are down about 2% this week. do you like it. >> i do i'm more of a hold here kind of neutral. now this is a company that honestly anytime a client asks me what's the difference between growth versus value. this is like a company. i always use my example of a value company. it's not going to change the world overnight. it does pay a good dividend and it has over 3% dividend. it trades about 15 times next year earnings, which is about in line with its historical average. so it's not a discount. it's also not expensive. this is a company that does tend to weather economic downturns, which is why you're seeing this year. people
2:38 pm
are trading out of growth and into value. this is one of those good diversifying plays as something to have in your portfolio. but there's a few headlines that you want to kind of keep on track of later this year. so the first, for example, is they have their loss of exclusivity with stelara, which can affect their earnings. but they also have on a positive note, they have a acquisition with interstellar intracellular therapy therapies, which should be a positive, though that is going to still be pending regulatory approval. so i think you want to keep an eye on those, but i think this is something if you have it, i would continue to hold it. >> all right, courtney, thanks very much. appreciate it today, courtney garcia. thanks for having me. remember you can recap every three stock lunch anytime you want. just scan that qr code on your screen right now. >> but up next, a very cool tv event between us and the golf event between us and the golf channel. food is gina's passion. but diabetes threatened to take that all away. with dexcom g7... gina learned how different foods affect her sugar levels in real time.
2:39 pm
...so she doesn't have to choose between the foods that she loves and her health. finances with a spreadsheet instead of using quicken. quicken pulls all your financial info together in one place and updates it automatically. how easy is that? >> 16 million americans suffer from chronic back pain, the six most costly health condition in the us. meet creative medical technology stock symbol sells on the nasdaq. creators of stem spine, a regenerative medicine using stem cells to help fix the multibillion dollar chronic back pain problem. stem spine was shown to be 87% effective at improving mobility and reducing chronic back pain, and that could be worth a fortune. creative medical technology stock symbol. sells. >> guys. >> this is the start of a cyber attack. that is not good. >> a breach.
2:40 pm
>> what? >> never mind. i'll be right there. >> yep. ransomware. and this is the chaos. it calls us. but what if you could rewind to before the attack? commvault recovers. not just your data, but your business. ten times faster. >> like it. >> never happened. >> it's the fastest, most >> it's the fastest, most complete cidp is no walk in the park. that's true. but i take vyvgart hytrulo. same! it's the first major innovation in cidp treatment in over 30 years. vyvgart hytrulo has been proven to significantly reduce the risk of symptoms getting worse. and my cidp can be treated with once-weekly injections that take about 30 to 90 seconds. do not use vyvgart hytrulo if you have a serious allergy to any of its ingredients. serious allergic reactions, like trouble breathing and decrease in blood pressure leading to fainting, and allergic reactions such as rashes, swelling under the skin, shortness of breath, and hives have been reported. the most common side effects are respiratory and urinary tract infections, headache, and injection site reactions. it may increase the risk of infusion-related reactions and infection.
2:41 pm
tell your doctor if you have a history of infections or symptoms of an infection. i'm hittin' fairways with the fellas. i'm hittin' the road with my number 1. ♪♪ that's how we live vyvidly with vyvgart hytrulo. visit livevyvidly.com or talk to your neurologist. ♪♪ tank marathon. tonight starts 7:00 eastern, presented by cnbc make it's new online course. how to start a side hustle. special offer ends april 1st. >> so far have been crazy. markets. let's get a power check. see where things are right now. we are higher across the board. the nasdaq a big pop. in fact nasdaq up 1.4%. energy also along with tech a big winner. today oil is higher at just under 68 bucks. you got names like valero, apa, marathon petroleum all higher today by a
2:42 pm
couple of percent. those volatile names though, which got heated up along with you know that and then got cooled off. they're now heating up again. vistra constellation energy nuclear provider anglo talen energy corporation they're all higher. a special cnbc golf channel simulcast is coming up next. dom chu will sit down with the pga commissioner. >> our new book shows you how our simple option strategies offer you a lower cost way to trade stocks with limited downside risk and remarkable upside rewards. get your free copy today at. it's not an option.com that's it's not an option.com. >> there's nothing worse than losing your. >> dog before. >> their time. >> that's why i created. doctor marty nature's blend. >> designed to help dogs with. >> everything from digestive issues to itching, even moving better. >> nature's blend works because it's freeze dried, so instead of destroying the nutrients with high heat, they all get right into your dog's body. >> take it from a veterinarian with over 50 years of experience
2:43 pm
saving dogs lives. i have never seen a food make this much impact on a dog's. >> health for a limited time. get up to 54% off doctor marty nature's blend plus a free gift with our special tv offer. call or go to doctor martin.com/tv. >> as a. >> cardiologist. >> when i put my patients on a statin to reduce. >> cholesterol. >> i also tell them it can deplete their coq10 levels. i recommend taking. qanon coq10. schnoll has three times better absorption than regular coq10. kunal. the brand i trust. within two two. >> and a half weeks. >> i. noticed immediately a difference. >> in my. >> wellness and my gut. it was the key element that was missing in my daily routine and has absolutely. >> made me. >> feel. >> 1,000,000% better. >> for me. squawk box is.
2:44 pm
2:45 pm
model. >> all right. welcome back to a special cnbc and golf channel simulcast. the business channel and the golf channel are teaming up this time around from the players championship at tpc sawgrass in ponte vedra beach, florida, with a very special interview. right now, we are thrilled to be joined by pga tour commissioner jay monahan. jay, thank you very much for taking the time to be here with us on this simulcast segment edition of cnbc and the golf channel. >> dom. >> it's great to be here with you, and. >> it's great to. >> be part of this final segment here. a first. >> we're making. >> a first. this is a lot of pressure on both. >> of us. i think on both of us
2:46 pm
right now. a lot of eyes watching for sure. so, jay, maybe i'll start right now with a quick question with something that you led off with. it was important enough for you to lead off with, with regard to your state of the tour and everything, just yesterday in the press conference, and that is the ongoing negotiation with the saudi private investment fund, the importance of live golf with the pga tour, pga tour enterprises, a cnbc audience often knows that the biggest sticking point for a potential merger or acquisition deal is oftentimes, valuation terms can't be established. people can't come together on the value of an asset or a company. how much do valuations factor into the discussions that you're currently having right now with yasir al-rumayyan and the folks over in the saudi side of the equation for pif? >> listen, tom, i think if you look at where we are right now and i've and i've talked about this yesterday and, you know, we've had over the last few weeks, we've had two visits to
2:47 pm
the white house. we had a meeting that the president facilitated with yasir in attendance alongside tiger woods and adam scott. it was a constructive and productive meeting. you know, we continue to go down the path in good faith of having, you know, those negotiations and those discussions and you, more so than anybody else, understand all the different variables that come into any negotiation. certainly valuation would be one of them. but right now we're we're continuing to focus on two things. number one, making certain that we're doing everything we can to, you know, drive to reunification for our fans. at the same time, you know, we are continuing to focus on making this incredible tour stronger and stronger every single day. and as i talked about yesterday, there's just tremendous momentum behind the pga tour. so we're again, we're committed to those negotiations. and as as more progress is made, we look forward to sharing that
2:48 pm
progress. but at this point, that's that's where things stand. >> there was news also out earlier today involving brooks koepka, very talented top golfer in the world, who is now part of the live tour. he was asked a question about whether or not he would be looking to come back to the pga tour. he maybe demurred a little bit and said, i have a contractual obligation. i will serve that out and then we'll see. it doesn't seem like any kind of a strong endorsement or denial one way or the other. i guess the question there is, is if there is a pathway for golfers who are on liv to come back to the pga tour, what could it potentially hypothetically look like in your eyes? >> well, i'll tell you what it looks like in my eyes right now as we sit here on the eve of the players championship. and as the leader of the pga tour, my focus 100% is on this organization, making this organization stronger. and we've got 144 players that come here trying to win this prestigious championship, their championshi. with scottie scheffler being in a rare position to try and
2:49 pm
threepeat here at the players. so you look at the quality of player on a pga tour and you look at the quality of direction that we're heading, and that's got 100% of my focus and i really can't comment on what other people are saying outside the pga tour. >> from a business perspective. outside of the saudi involvement, strategic sports group, which is a consortium of sports minded private equity investors, is now a big part of the for profit pga tour enterprises. the private equity component of this with fsg has brought a new business focused dynamic to a nonprofit organization. that was the pga tour prior. in your mind, how exactly does that involvement change the landscape for how you operate as a business, and what kinds of return profiles you need to generate for those investors that are now part of the pga tour? >> well, if you go back to last january, when we announced that strategic sports group was investing a billion and a half dollars into pga tour enterprises, that did two things. it allowed the pga tour to create a for profit company,
2:50 pm
and it also allowed us to, in turn, make our players owners of their tour. roughly 180 of them. and so when you look at ssg to have the likes of arthur blank and john henry and sam kennedy and steve cohen in our boardroom alongside our other other, our other independent directors, puts us in a position where we get the benefit of their expertise, both in sport and outside of it. and listen, we've got with investment capital, we've got the ability to leverage the strength of our brand to be able to look at opportunities in real estate, look at, look at opportunities, hospitality, tourism, look at enhancing the investments that we've made in technology to continue to improve the tour. but their involvement and their experience has certainly already had a significant positive impact on the tour. and their exations are high because they should be, because right now you look at the game of golf, the game of golf is
2:51 pm
booming. you look at, you know, you look at the audience of the game of golf. we've got 8 million core fans. we've got roughly 40 million casual fans. 47% of golfers both on and off course are under the age of 35. so you're going through not only a talent regeneration here on the pga tour, but also within the game itself. and we've got a lot of opportunity now as we look forward. >> from a commercial standpoint. you and the tour have just announced that you've inked another $4 billion worth of commitments and sponsorship deals through the year 2035. this is a big number for a lot of folks out there for the game of golf and for professional golf overall. what exactly do you think is the draw for corporate sponsorships to want to spend money on the pga tour, as opposed to maybe other places in the media market? >> listen, i think if you look at, as i said, the game itself, the game, you know, is booming, the game is thriving, the game is getting younger. the way people interface and play. with play, the game has changed
2:52 pm
significantly over the last 5 to 10 years. and when you look at the pga tour and the strength of the individual 72 hole stroke play competition on iconic venues with tournaments that fans are familiar with and the meaning of every single sunday and the stars that are coming through the, you know, through the pipeline. i think i think our sponsors see tremendous value today. and if you would, dom, i would just say this is when you look at having great partners like nbc and golf channel, having international media reach, like we have with the players championship and with the tour. and on top of that, to be able to bring your customers here most weeks, to be able to be inside the ropes, competing alongside the best players in the world, to be able to come into a community and make a huge impact, both in terms of their charitable contribution, but showcasing a great place like ponte vedra beach. our our partners take great pride in that. and that's
2:53 pm
why if you look at our partners, 40% of our partners have been with the pga tour for 15 years or longer. and that that stat you cited is correct. and they just left a meeting over at the sawgrass marriott with several hundred of our partners in the room. and that that energy and that sense of momentum and their contribution to it is very palpable. all right. >> jay monahan, commissioner of the pga tour, thank you very much for taking the time to join us on cnbc and the golf channel as well. now, that was pga tour commissioner jay monahan. for those members of our cnbc audience, we're going to return you to our regular markets coverage after the commercial break for our golf channel audience. live from the players will return right after this. >> cnbc sport is sponsored by >> cnbc sport is sponsored by comcast. the way i approach work post fatherhood, has really trying to understand the generation that we're building devices for. here in the comcast family, we're building an integrated in-home wifi solution for millions of families like my own.
2:54 pm
in the average household, there are dozens of connected devices. connectivity is a big part of my boys' lives. it brings people together in meaningful ways. at ameriprise financial we know our clients are so much more than clients. they're conquerors and champions, and what matters most to them matters most to us. it's no wonder we have a 4.9 out of five client satisfaction rating. ameriprise financial. we've been a firm in motion for over 75 years, always innovating. today we are a leader in public and private markets, digital assets and custom tax management, empowering advisors with solutions to build the
2:55 pm
portfolios of the future. today. franklin templeton, your trusted partner for what's ahead. pado you have a life insurance policy you no longer need? now you can sell your policy - even a term policy - for an immediate cash payment. call coventry direct to learn more. we thought we had planned carefully for our retirement. but we quickly realized we needed a way to supplement our income. our friend sold their policy to help pay their medical bills, and that got me thinking. maybe selling our policy could help with our retirement. i'm skeptical, so i did some research and called coventry direct. they explained life insurance is a valuable asset that can be sold. we learned we could sell all of our policy, or keep part of it with no future payments. who knew? we sold our policy. now we can relax and enjoy our retirement as we had planned. if you have $100,000 or
2:56 pm
more of life insurance, you may qualify to sell your policy. don't cancel or let your policy lapse without finding out what it's worth. visit coventrydirect.com to find out if your policy qualifies. or call the number on your screen. coventry direct, redefining insurance. tailored education. >> get an expanding library filled. >> with new online. >> videos, webcasts. >> articles, courses and. >> more, all crafted just for traders and with guided learning paths stacked with. >> content curated to fit your unique goals. >> you can spend less. >> time searching and. >> more time learning. trade brilliantly with schwab. >> welcome back. morgan stanley just slashed its price target on apple, and for morgan stanley to
2:57 pm
do it caught our attention a little bit. now they cited the tariffs. they also i believe steve can correct me if i'm wrong. talked about this delay in the rollout of series i features, which i'm a little sad about. steve kovach is here on set to discuss. and look, the stock is under pressure and it's just one of these things. is it caught up in the sell off or is there something more fundamental here. >> something more fundamental? i think because it's the only maj7 stock right now in the red. all the other peers in here are trading in the green today. dow's green. so what's going on here. this is the thing we've been talking about all week. that siri delay is a big part of it. and morgan stanley's cut today they're basically saying hey we're not going to be able to predict as many iphones are going to sell this year. in fact, they're predicting iphones are going to be flat year over year for this this year of 2025 and up slightly, maybe about 5 or 6% in 2026. add on to that the china tariffs, which they say is going to be about $2 billion in input costs for apple unless they can get some relief. by the way, no signs that relief is going to happen. put that all together. and it's really tough
2:58 pm
time right now for apple to just move these iphones. and we're not going to get another leg. on what the ai story is for apple until june. >> i think you kind of called it. >> what. >> even indirectly because you don't make calls. but when you were standing outside the apple store, when was that? >> yes. oh, and the lions. >> and you said and i was, you know, i'm always watching and listening to cnbc. and i heard steve kovach say, there's usually a line, there's. >> not around the block. and it wasn't around the block. and by the way, they missed on their first quarter sales. this was the first full quarter that december holiday quarter missed. >> that was what you said was i mean that was a tell. >> that was a big tell. and the other tell that we were talking about in the days after that, were all these the preorders, the preorder windows were shortening, and that was the sign that we also got that, hey, maybe they're not selling a bunch of these iphones. everyone is waiting for this big siri ai update that was going to be the real ai update that made apple intelligence super cool and super useful. compete with chatgpt, what have you. instead, you're stuck with all these
2:59 pm
minor features and everyone's saying that catalyst we're waiting for is pushed out probably until 2026, at least until the iphone 17. >> to tell you about what's going on internally there. and i mean, look, again, as we're all using these, we're talking there sesame, which is a new chat agent you can use, but even just grok and chatgpt the leading ones, you can talk to them there. so they're losing every day the customer that they want to kind of bring into siri. >> yeah. and this really falls on one guy. his name is john giannandrea. he is the vp. and yeah you don't know who he is. >> i was. >> like, yo, i think. >> tim cook cook. >> and all of a. >> sudden i. >> hear his name is john. you've never heard of him. >> but he is. he is in charge of artificial intelligence at apple. and this was supposed to be his kind of coming out party, his debut. he's been there for a number of years. apple had to meet this ai moment, and they basically whiffed on their biggest update. and now we don't know what's. >> going to come. and this reminds me of two years ago when google was way behind. and then it kind of caught up. so, you know. >> yeah, there's still a chance for them to catch up. but this for this cycle, for this right now in the short to medium term. that's why you're seeing morgan
3:00 pm
stanley cut their price target. >> and maybe we maybe we change mag seven to fab five because with tesla slide and maybe with apple they start cutting. >> steve thank you steve kovach. >> like andre like your buddy may be soon. >> we'll see. by the way the analysts at morgan stanley analyst behind that call coming up on closing bell. and speaking of which. >> which is next? >> yeah. we'll see you tomorrow. >> all right. >> guys, thanks so much. welcome to closing bell. i'm scott wapner live from post nine here at the new york stock exchange. this make or break hour begins with the tech bounce today. whether the worst of the selling is now behind that sector. we'll have more on that in just a moment. in the meantime, we'll show you the scorecard here. with 60 to go in regulation, nasdaq has been leading the day all day. nvidia getting a much needed boost today. several of the other mega-cap stocks moving higher as well including tesla yet again but getting hammered as you know lately. but 8% in the green today. apple though it is lower as you just heard. the star analyst eric woodring of morgan stanley cutting his price
0 Views
IN COLLECTIONS
CNBCUploaded by TV Archive on
