question. turkey's people need an army to protect them from many threats including isis right next door, but freedom of speech is surely not one of those threats. thanks to all of you for being a part of my program this week. i will see you next week. straight ahead in "the newsroom," two days away from the midterm. the final push in full swing before voters head to the polls. we have team coverage from the campaign. and we are learning more on what happened mid-flight when the virgin spaceship two exploded. and it's the manhunt that held a community hostage for weeks. we learn about the circumstances surrounding eric frein's capture and how he got the cuts on his face.

hello, everyone. i'm fredericka whitfield. congressional candidates are out in force right now bolstered by big name supporters like hillary clinton and chris christie. and the clock is ticking. polls open in less than 48 hours. and the vote could change the balance of power in the u.s. senate. republicans need just six seats to win a majority and three of the seats are considered sure wins. that leaves just three competitive races for the gop to win, to take control of the u.s. senate. cnn's political team is covering all the critical races. joining me from massachusetts, david gergan, former advisers to presidents nixon, ford and clinton. and our senior political correspondent brianna kieler in new hampshire. we'll start with mark and david,

i want to start with brand new polls that bode well for the gop in three key southern states. nbc/maris poll shows republicans making gains in georgia, kentucky and louisiana. here's the picture in georgia. david purdue leading democrat michelle nunn 48% to 44%. and then in kentucky, senate minority leader mitch mcconnell has a nine-point lead over alison hundred lundergran grimes. and senator mary landrieu is at the 4% over bill cassidy at 36%. >> as you said, we keep talking at the magic number being six.

but really the magic number is number three because we expect three democratically held seats to go republican. they only need to pick three after that. and if you're looking from new hampshire and north carolina all the way across to alaska, you're seeing seven democratic seats that are on the edge of going republican. if democrats were able to pick up georgia or if they were able to pick up and knock off the senate minority leader mitch mcconnell in kentucky, that would be easier. if there's momentum it appears to be republican. >> and we'll look at "the des moines register" conducting this between october 31st and november 1, joni ernst is leading bruce braley by seven points. how important is this particular race particularly for republicans? >> absolutely a crucial race, fredericka. the democrats could still win it. they have surprised republicans in recent elections with their

turnout operations of beating the polls. having said that the momentum is marking toward republicans and often does against incumbents right at the last minute. we see that frequently. as particularly important in iowa as you bring up. the republicans thought they had about five in the bag. if iowa goes republican and joni ernst opened up this significant lead, it would put it over. it's been recorded harry reid said in the last 48 hours that if iowa goes republican, that's it. >> so mark, what happened here? this seat in iowa being held for the past 30 years by retiring democrat senator tom harkin. what changed here? >> well, it's not even iowa but also colorado. these are two seats if you go back seven months ago republicans weren't necessarily talking them up like for them being in the pocket to win. but we saw strong candidates

like joni ernst who was in the military and is running a disciplined campaign. and we are seeing the same thing with cory gardner challenging senator udall in colorado. republicans unlike 2012 picked really good candidates in key states and that's why we're seeing, not in addition to president obama's low popularity across the coup industry, but we're also seeing good republican candidates. >> david, if the gop has had the anti-obama campaign in its pocket, what has been in the pockets of the democrats? >> well, the democrats have a hard time fending off this campaign. but this election is clearly about obama's low ratings in the mid-30s. but the democrats thought they had a campaign going about women. and a protection of women, some

women -- in a variety of women's rights issues like abortion, for example, but it did not pay off like they hoped. they thought it would pay off in colorado, but right now it doesn't seem to be. very strikingly, we were talking about the republican candidate in iowa, of course, as mark just said, that's a woman, joni ernst. and she is very winsome. the republicans are putting up more mainstream, much more acceptable, more win some candidates this year than they have in the last couple of elections where the senate or for the senate and are doing better as a result. >> mark preston, thank you so much. appreciate it. one of the fiercest senate battles is taking place in new hampshire. the state's democratic incumbent jean shaheen is fighting to keep her seat. shaheen is getting pretty high

profile support in the form of hillary clinton. what is at all happening there, brianna? >> reporter: yeah, a lot of help from hillary clinton a very popular democratic surrogate for the vulnerable democrats along with her husband bill clinton who has been separately barnstorming the races with hillary clinton. she was in louisiana and kentucky yesterday. she was in iowa this past weekend. here in new hampshire, a key in the nation. she's actually just wrapping up on the ropeline having finished this rally here, fred. and what she was saying, her overarching message to folks in new hampshire was to not let this vote on tuesday be a protest of the dysfunction in washington. especially when it comes to the senate race. jean shaheen is an incumbent democrat facing off against scott brown. you may recognize that name and he was the senator in massachusetts and trying to win

a senate seat here in new hampshire. here's what she said. >> you know, it's really hard to express how grateful i am on behalf of my husband an myself to the people of new hampshire starting back in 1991 when you opened your homes and hearts to us. >> reporter: hillary clinton talked about the issues resonating as well as with women, not necessarily the hot button issues, but equal pay and more of the economic message. women, so key in this election for democrats. in full show. also, you do want to pay attention come tuesday night, this is a day when the results will start to come in.

and we are seeing a tough night for democrats across the country. fred? >> thank you so much. of course, back to the midterm elections momentarily. thursday night is cnn's full coverage of the elections beginning at 5:30 p.m. eastern time. now to news we are following in the newsroom. we know the names of the two deadly pilots in a plane crash that happened. michael alsbury died on friday when the spaceship two disintegrated just two minutes after separating from the jet-powered aircraft. virgin group's founder richard branson says their bravely cannot be overstated. i want to bring in alexandria field, what more are you learning about the moments right after the test flight took off

and then failed and exploded in the air and is the surviving pilot to help fill in the bla s blanks. >> that would be for the rest of the investigation they are working on. we do know he's able to talk. we are told he has injuries that are moderate to serious. he's in the hospital, but he isn't able to speak to investigators quite yet. that will take some time. the nt srgs b. >> the question is have we interviewed the surviving pilot? we have not because doctors do not recommend to do an interview at this state. so we are in not going to interrupt the family. >> he had his parachute with him

so they are looking to see if he was thrown from space or fell from this. and now to the details of the alleged takedown of the cop killer in pennsylvania. you may have seen the image of eric frein and wondered how he got the cuts on his nose and his forehead there. well, his face was scratched after being arrested. and now an -- when he and the officers approached frein, his chest was down but his head was up looking like them. and the property come so frein was forced to be face down on the asphalt and his face was cut in the process. he was on the run for 48 days.

nick valencia is live outside a church in atlanta. >> reporter: none are more important than the race happening here in the state of georgia. we'll tell you all that and more right after the break. you're catching "cnn newsroom." [ female announcer ] we help make secure financial tomorrows a reality

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two of the midterm election's hotly contested include one here in georgia. david perdue reads michelle nunn by four points within the margin of error. and the governor's race is too close to call between incumbent republican nathan deal and democratic candidate jason carter. we are outside a church there in atlanta that is soul to the polls. in this red state are you finding democrats energized by the tight races? >> reporter: yeah, we are outside the grainy pine baptist church where the souls to the polls push is to get voters mobilized. more on that in a minute. two hotly contested races, the gubernatorial race against nathan deal and jason carter,

the grandson of former jimmy carter. and we saw him out stumping for his grandson before, but michelle nunn is also against david perdue, the cousin of the former governor of georgia here. and really that has implications far beyond georgia, really in washington as well and could decide whether or not the power of the senate stays in the hands of the democrats. as i mentioned earlier, 36 seats are up for grabs in the senate and this race is perhaps one of the most important. we have not seen too much mudslinging between nunn and perdue with a debate on our affiliate where nunn was on the fences sticking to her talking point of calling perdue a corporate titan proud of his legacy in corporate america as being an outsourcer of jobs. meanwhile, perdue launched back to say nunn is a rubber stamp

for the obama administration and a vote for her is a vote for obama. but we have also seen here in georgia what's happened in a lot of democratic states, we have seen the democratic candidates sort of distancing themselves from president obama. fred? >> and then, nick, where you are, are you getting a sense that parishioners and voters are inspired to vote on tuesday because so often midterm elections, you know, there's a lot of apathy, people aren't as enthusiastic about getting out to the polls. >> reporter: yeah, you just have to look at the numbers. a million people voted for the president in the presidential election in 2012 and 2008 here in the state of georgia. and that increasingly, i should say, that decreases by about 300,000 votes when you factor in the midterm elections. but when talking to the parishione parishioners, they do understand the importance of the vote. not just for the gubernatorial race but for the local races. i caught up to one parishioner and asked why it is so important

to vote and why it stayed here. >> georgia is one of the five state where is the senate race is really going to determine the move for the democratic vote, the republican vote and the majority of the senate. this that relates to president obama. so him getting his message out, him getting his agenda out, we have to get out as democrats and vote. >> reporter: and it is areas like this in de kalb county that have a 55% african-american population that the democrats are counting on. i talked to the church organizer who say this is is a strong message for them and their con gre gets. already 80% of their parishioners early voted. >> nick valencia, thank you so much. appreciate it. a programming reminder, get all the election night coverage on cnn this tuesday beginning at 5:00 p.m. eastern. also, up next, new horrors from isis militants. we go live to the region to hear more on the fate of a group of

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isis militants accused of kidnapping dozens of men and boys, a sunni tribal leader in anbar province says many victims were pulled from their beds in the middle of the night. it's feared they have been executed along with hundreds of fellow tribal members.

we'll bring in nick payton walsh in southeastern turkey. nick, what do you know about the fate of the men and boys who have disappeared? >> reporter: early saturday morning near the town in anbar ca called hiit was victim of isis to take everybody away. in this case, a lot of women and men and children's whereabouts are not known. this tribe is historically a sunni tribe prone to resisting al qaeda when the americans were in iraq. there were fears, we believe, in isis about them to begin authorizing against them. this may have been an attempt to stem that. there are hundreds of similar victims in the past week or so. we believe most of them end up being executed when isis conduct

this is kind of terrible operation. but it's because effectively isis is worried they face the city tribal uprising against them. we hear from one of the leaders of this tribe that in fact there were 2,000 fighters willing to fight isis, but they are waiting for weapons from the iraqi government. and until that iraqi government in baghdad predominantly shares hostility with them, america is not willing to give them extra military aid as well. a lot depending on the iraqi government and this potential for a sunni tribe the face isis down. >> victor payton walsh, thank you so much from turkey. all right. back in the u.s., it's crunch time in the midterms, but there's one factor that could change everything in tuesday's election. president barack obama, will his low approval rating have a drag on democrats? or will it even mat her? we'll discuss that, next.

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happened but we're okay. and you can see the damage to the windshield there. some player were reportedly a little shaken up by the crash. in new york there was heightened concern over an individual who is already under an ebola quarantine. the department of health said the unnamed person will now be subject to direct active monitoring. this person was quarantined because of contact with dr. craig spencer. he contracted ebola had an aid worker in guinea but didn't show symptoms until returning to new york. and it was a very chilly start for these runners in new york city for that marathon today. the big one. but some 50,000 runners still laced up to take part in the race. the winners include mary katani of kenya. she won the women's elite division. and wilson kinseng of kenya also taking the winning position for the men's position.

some celebrities took place in the race. tennis star wozniaki and nfl commissioner adam silva among them. and it is crazy time in the midterm elections. touchdown president obama is in connecticut and pennsylvania. but with obama's sagging popularity, it is stumping a health or hindrance. joining me now is cnn's aaron mcpike at the white house. aaron, is the president seen as a liability for democrats in this midterm season? >> reporter: certainly. his approval rating is just 45% in our most vent cnn/orc poll. now, that is not as low as president george w. bush's was in 2006 going into those

midterms before the last two years of his presidency. but what i would point out to you is that president obama head lined five rallies so far this cycle and has two more today. he's not doing any more campaigning on monday and tuesday. that's just seven. and remember, president obama has been a campaign k for the last decade. so this is a little strange. to give you context, there's no single overriding issue that has really taken ahold in this election season. and to fill that void, what republicans are campaigning on is what they say is president obama's competence and crisis. his lack of leadership and having him on the campaign trail in some of the more competitive races, it doesn't necessarily hurt with democrats. the problem is really that it gavelizes more republicans to come out to vote for republican candidates. >> and then, erin, how concerned is the white house if it were to lose or i should say see a sixth seat gain by the republicans in

the senate? >> reporter: fred, there are two big things to watch. if there's a republican-controlled senate, the thing you have to think about are any nominations that president obama will want to make in his last two years. that's especially true if there's a supreme court vacancy because with a republican senate, president obama is not going to get the liberal justice he would want. and that of course is a legacy issue. the other thing is legislatively. obviously, congress has done very, very little in the past you years, but if republicans controlled both houses of congress, we may see some kind of push on immigration reform. that has not been successfully done recently, but going into the 2016 race. if republicans can claim measures for small measures on immigration reform, that could help them slightly with the latino vote, fred. >> aaron mcpike at the white house, thank you so much. get all of your election night coverage on cnn this tuesday beginning at 5:00 p.m. eastern time. all right. if the threat of a nuclear iran

doesn't send chills down your spine, this just might. new reports that iran is working with al qaeda in one of the most volatile areas of the world. 25 years after winning the u.s. open, boris becker is back on the world tour. i caught up with him. he was hired as the head coach at the start of the season. >> a great student. somebody that has won so much already. a very rich man. he really wants to learn and really wants to get better and be in the history books of tennis. yet he's very hard-headed, he's very convinced upon his way and he should be. so some of the conversations wasn't that easy or easy, but sometimes we have a different point of view. so it's up to my magic to find a way to convince him.

you have had such a great tennis career and you are such a competitor. how does it feel to be right back in it coaching the man who is number one? >> it feels like something i haven't felt in a while. you get used to the pet odors in your couch.

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we're just three weeks away from the nuclear deadline for iran. iranian leaders giving themselves until november 24th to reach and agreement with the united states and five other nations on its nuclear program. but there are mixed assessments on just how it will all play out. joining me on the phone, elise

labbott, what is happening in the final days that you can speak of and what happens in the decades long search for disarmament fails? >> reporter: fred, as we approach the november 24th deadline, the u.s. and european officials meeting with iranian officials trying to hammer out this comprehensive deal on iran's nuclear program. now what officials said is they have made impressive progress on a lot of issues that have in the past seemed entractable, but they compare it to a rubik's cube. while the deal isn't full until all the pieces are kind of put together. now, they have talked about some signs of a potential compromise in terms of dismantling some of iran's centacceptability centrifuges.

they are also on the process of lifting iranian sanctions. so i want say that the possibility of a full deal by november 24th isn't looking very good. national security adviser susan rice said the other day, it was kind of 50/50. but what i do think is probably going to happen is there could be an agreement reached on a cluster of issues on things they have already agreed to, such as iran's iraq research facility. other types of more thing that is could justify an extension, if you will, to get the final deal. >> okay. then in an unrelated situation, what more do you know about this report involving some payment exchange that would have some iranians financing this fight against assad. >> well, it is interesting, there was a video obtained from the syria rebels, which i have to be clear, we cannot verify but some of the people fighting

on behalf of the regime appear to be afghans. there are many afghans that went over to iran to try to get more opportunities, with all the situation going on in afghanistan, feel they can do better in iran. and a lot of the people they are finding on the battlefield according to the video don't speak arabic but are talking in dari, an afghan language and appear to be one of afghan nationalities. it shows in some ways how the syrian regime gained ground in some areas after appearing to be on the defensive. so as you see what is going on with the battle, there's a lot of moving parts in syria, up after michigan, you have this introduction of the afghan, but you have syrian opposition which is isis but we are getting more

proof on how serious this war is. the regime has picked up moment momentum. we already know the revolutionary garfield warriors could be paying someone else to do their battling for them. elise labott, appreciate it. while the united states pushes for new information on their nuclear capabilities. iraq never expected quite what he says. >> i think people's minds will be blown by iran. because this really is an extraordinary look and extraordinary country. >> one of the most potential and

most complicated. their official policy is to be friendly toward us, not adversarial or violent. and yet of all the counts i have gone out to be on television, me and my have -- you might have policies and what they say about us is extremely at odds with what you see, taste, smell, feel and hear on the streetlight. it's an extraordinary place that

make makes us watch what we see on the news so we know our paths together. >> okay. be sure to watch anthony bourdain can't to the next time. financial noise financial noise financial noise

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in hawaii the lava threatening homes has slowed to a trickle, but residents still need to keep on alert as the lava could start flowing at any time. martin savage is on the big island of hawaii. so, there you are. all right. where is the lava heading and what is it doing today? >> reporter: pretty much it is where it was exactly at the same time yesterday. the lava front has stalled but they are concerned about the breakouts farther upslope. in the meantime, the history of volcanos in the state does not bode well for this town. in the town here, it's another day of worrying about what the lava will do. >> the evacuation will continue -- >> reporter: but if residents want a glimpse at their possible

future, they need to go about nine miles to the end of the road. this is where the road ends and i brought you here because there's something to see up this way. this was the town of catana. hundreds of people used to live here. the kilauea hurricane burned it and buried over it. uncle robert counted the homes that survived. >> probably a couple in this area. >> reporter: just as he now thinks, they would miss the

hou house where i'm standing now is where the beach was. so is this the same thing? >> it is like things can happen with the magna supply. >> reporter: but if the worst does happen, uncle robert offers this advice -- >> understand that we have no control. >> reporter: back on calipana there are signs of new life. there it is. the big island of hawaii, this is the biggest of the hawaiian

island chains. and still because of the hawaii island -- >> that lava also changes the big island and plans there. it is a little miscan i -- and guess what, an injured football player told to be tough and it cost him terribly. we'll be right back. r gr i just talked to ups. they got expert advise, special discounts, new technologies. like smart pick ups. they'll only show up when you print a label and it's automatic. we save time and money.

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all right. with college football in full swing across the nation, there's a hidden danger on the field that's taking lives and destroying families. concussions. and a new cnn investigation found that the ncaa has stiffer rules than the nfl when it comes to players and concussions. we have uncovered case after case of college football players being seriously injured or killed by traumatic brain injuries that happened on the field. investigative correspondent sarah gannon is tracking this

story. >> reporter: the ncaa has ignored more than a decade of concussion research according to critics. even some if paid for. >> the ncaa does have a problem. >> reporter: this neurosurgeon bob canu has funded several studies showing athletes require a full seven days to recover from a concussion and players with one concussion are susceptible to more. why do you think they didn't take drastic action when they asked you to study those issues? >> i suspect that part of the reason is they didn't have to at that particular point in time. >> reporter: the ncaa has rules for everything from scholarships to autographs to free meals, only has one rule when it comes to concussions. that schools have to have a plan. in fact, the ncaa admitted to cnn it does not punish

universities for the way player injuries are handled. and there's no ncaa rule preventing injured athletes from being sent back into play after a concussion, even though research shows another hit can be dangerous. >> there's massive increase in intercranial pressure bringing herniation to a very high degree. >> reporter: yet this e-mail points out it's not a requirement for the student athlete from being precluded from athletic activities. the ncaa has concussion guidelines but it is up to the universitys to police themselves. adrian harrington grew up poor in mississippi. college football was supposed to lead to opportunity. >> i was excited to go to easton. i was the first person in my

family to get a degree and that was my goal. >> reporter: instead, he has frequent seizures and other symptoms of brain damage. >> i have memory loss every day. i have migraine headaches every day. >> reporter: arrington loved the game, but by his senior year he was struggling. >> my agent told me, you need to take your trainer about this. they told me to take these pills and i would be fine. >> reporter: a survey found half of college trainers admitted to athletes being allowed to go back into a game after suffering a concussion. pressure from coaches is cited as part of the problem. >> the irony is that the founding principle of the ncaa is player safety. >> reporter: this is arrington's attorney. >> the reason people like adrian had these things happen to them is the ncaa doesn't have mandatory protocol that is are binding on schools. >> reporter: despite all the research that exists, the ncaa

told cnn it does not have rules on concussions because there is very little published science to guide us at this point, but current recommendations may become ncaa rules as definitive medical evidence becomes available. right now the ncaa says it only enforces academic and amateurism issues and leaves health and safety best practices to the schools which didn't help arrington in 2009. he was sent right back into a game of hitting his head until his father ran to the field and stepped in. >> he's not going back into the game. please take him out of the game. he's had too many concussions and he's done playing football. >> reporter: was that your last game? >> that was my last game. >> reporter: arrington is a member of the first case against the ncaa to implement rules for the first time and set aside $75 million for research and

screening of athletes going back 50 years. critics of the settlement say it's shameful. >> it draws a lot of parallels to the cigarettemakers and the tobacco industry. >> reporter: the president of the national college players association says the settlement doesn't do nearly enough to protect players. >> they have known for quite a while the problems associated with concussions and how they should be managed. sitting back doing nothing and cashing in on lucrative tv revenues and ticket sales, at the very least, if it's not illegal it's definitely immoral. >> and adrian arrington won't get any of the $75 million from the settlement as none of that money goes directly to players. much more ahead in "the cnn newsroom" and it starts right now.