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tv   Fareed Zakaria GPS  CNN  August 9, 2015 10:00am-11:01am PDT

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in the army after having lost his father, and worked in the breyer's ice cream plant. >> i'm the only one to separate siamese twins. >> the money paid by consumption is paid by everybody, including illegals, prostitutes, pimps and drug dealers. drug dealers. >> and then -- >> senator cruz. any word from god? >> no word on who god is endorsing. >> thanks for watching. i'm jake tapper in washington. "fareed zakaria gps" starts right now. this is "gps," the global public square. welcome to all of you in the united states and around the world. i'm fareed zakaria. today, a special edition of the show featuring an exclusive interview with the president of the united states, barack obama. his passionate defense of the nuclear deal with iran. >> this is the best way for iran not to get a nuclear weapon.
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>> his response to criticisms that he compared republicans in congress to hardliners in iran. >> they do have a lot in common with hardliners who are much more satisfied with the status quo. >> his feelings about iran's supreme leader, who tweeted out an image of obama with a gun to his head. >> you don't negotiate deals with your friends. you negotiate them with your enemies. >> and why he says there is no option but the deal. let's get right to the big interview. i normally give you my take in this space. today, i'll give it to you after you've heard from the president of the united states. so let's get started. ♪ ♪ mr. president, thank you for joining us. >> good to be with you. >> since you announced the
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agreement with iran, it appears, if you look at several polls, that the majority of american public oppose it and the majority of the united states congress oppose it. why do you think that is? >> because people haven't been getting all the information. it's a complicated piece of business. and we are negotiating with a regime that chants "death to america" and doesn't have a high approval rating here in the united states. but the people who know most about the central challenge that we're trying to deal with, which is making sure that iran does not get a nuclear weapon, they are overwhelmingly in favor of it. experts in nuclear proliferation, nuclear scientists, former ambassadors, democrat and republican, and as a consequence, one of my main tasks over the last several weeks, and this will continue
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into september, is to make sure that people know and understand that this is a diplomatic breakthrough that ensures we are cutting off all the pathways by which iran might get a nuclear weapon. >> in your speech at american university you made a comparison. you said that iran's hardliners were making common cause with republicans. it's come under a lot of criticism. mitch mcconnell says even democrats who oppose the deal should be insulted. "the wall street journal" shows this rhetoric shows you've abandoned the hope of getting any republicans and moderate democrats and you're targeting the core of house democrats that are going to sustain your veto. >> fareed, your question is about politics. let me talk about substance. what i said is absolutely true factually. the truth is inside of iran, the people most opposed to the deal are the revolutionary guard, the
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quds force, hardliners who are implacably opposed to any cooperation with the international community, and there is a reason for that. because they recognize that, if in fact this deal gets done, that rather than them being in the driver's seat with respect to the iranian economy, they are in a weaker position. and the point i was simply making is that, if you look at the facts, the merits of this deal, then you will conclude that, not only does it cut off a pathway for iran getting a nuclear weapon, but it also establishes the most effective verification and inspection regime that's ever been put in place. it also ensures that we are able
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to monitor what they do with respect to stockpiles, plutonium, their underground facility, and that it does not ask us to relinquish any of the options that we might need to exercise if, in fact, iran cheated or if, at some point, they decided to try to break up. and so the reason that mitch mcconnell and the rest of the folks in his caucus who oppose this jumped out and opposed it before they even read it, before it was even posted, is reflective of an idealogical commitment not to get a deal done. and in that sense, they do have a lot in common with hardliners who are much more satisfied with the status quo. >> you don't think you're going to get any republican support? >> well, i didn't say that. what i said was that there are
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those who, if they did not read the bill before they announced their opposition, if they are not able to offer plausible reasons why they wouldn't support the bill or plausible alternatives in preventing iran from getting a nuclear weapon other than potential military strikes, then that would indicate that they're not interested in the substance of the issue, they're interested in the politics of the issue. >> you talked about iran's hard-liners, the old guard. one member of iran's old guard certainly seems to be ayatollah khamenei, the supreme leader. >> he would qualify. >> he would qualify. his twitter feed posted a likeness of you with a gun pointed to your head. >> yes. >> is this a guy you can really make a deal with? >> well, as i said, fareed, you don't negotiate deals with your friends. you negotiate them with your enemies.
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and superpowers don't respond to taunts. superpowers focus on what is it we need to do in order to preserve our national security. and the national security of our allies and our friends. and i think that he tweeted that in response to me stating a fact, which is that if we were confronted with a situation which we could not resolve this issue diplomatically, that we could militarily take out much of iran's military infrastructure. i don't think that's disputable. i don't think there is a military expert out there that would contest that. the supreme leader obviously doesn't want to hear that. and i understand. but i am not interested in a twitter back-and-forth with the supreme leader. what i am interested in is the
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deal itself and can we enforce it. keep in mind, fareed, when we got the interim deal, as you're aware, the way this thing evolved was first we essentially froze their program. they had to roll back their very highly enriched uranium stock piles. and for that, we turned on the spigot a little bit so they could access more of their money. all the same critics of this deal suggested that this is terrible, this is an historic mistake. and for the last two years, as we've been negotiating the more comprehensive deal, not only have they continued to suggest that it was a mistake until very recently, but the supreme leader was saying all kinds of anti-american stuff. but the deal held. they did exactly what they were supposed to do. the few times that they didn't, we identified it, told them they had to correct it, and they did. so there's always a gap between rhetoric and action. and you know, the supreme leader
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is a politician, apparently, just like everybody else. what i'm focused on is can we make sure that they are doing what they have to do and that we have sufficient safeguards, verification mechanisms, to ensure that they don't have a nuclear weapon. again, fareed, it is very important, i think, over the next several weeks to not get distracted by tone, vote counts, is mitch mcconnell's feelings hurt, but let's address the argument. and the central point i was making yesterday, fairly exhaustively, it was a long speech, was that nobody has presented a plausible alternative, other than military strikes, to prevent iran from getting a nuclear weapon.
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nobody has presented a more effective way to ensure they don't have a nuclear weapon, including military strikes, because we know actually, if this deal is executed, it will provide more limitations on the iranian nuclear program for a longer period of time in a more verifiable way, and that central argument hasn't really been effectively contested. nobody has had a good answer for that. >> so i think the answer that some might provide is that the alternative is not war but more pressure and a better deal and specifically that iran should not have the right to enrich. there are a lot of nuclear countries with peaceful nuclear programs that don't have the right to enrich. was it impossible to stick hard on that? was that a concession you had to
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make? >> first of all, there is no support for that position in iran, including opposition members who were subsequently jailed back in 2009. so you have a consensus inside of iran that they should have a right to enrich. the non-proliferation treaty is very clear about guarding against the weaponization of nuclear power, but it does not speak to prohibitions on peaceful nuclear power. and we did not have the support of that position among our global allies who have been so critical in maintaining sanctions and applying the pressure that was necessary to get iran to the table. and so, in the real world, the alternatives you just described were not available. and i think that the notion that the united states congress rejecting a deal that has been negotiated by the u.s. secretary of state, our top nuclear experts, with unanimous support around the world, other than the state of israel and perhaps
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behind the scenes some of our allies who were also suspicious of iran, that somehow, in the face of that, countries like russia or china would continue to voluntarily abide by sanctions in a way that would continue to put pressure on iran is a fantasy. and i think that's demonstrable. when we come back, much more of my exclusive interview with president obama from the white house. i will ask him about israeli prime minister, benjamin netanyahu. is it appropriate for a foreign head of government to inject himself into a debate that is taking place in washington?
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more than four months before the iran deal was even inked, prime minister benjamin netanyahu appeared before a joint meeting of the united states congress to argue strongly against it. now that there is a deal between the world and iran, netanyahu has publicly and vocally condemned it. >> what a stunning, historic mistake. >> the prime minister has found many sympathetic ears for certain. there are others, including some in israel, have called his rhetoric and actions into question. i wanted to know how the president of the united states felt. >> prime minister netanyahu has injected himself forcefully into this debate on american foreign policy in washington. >> right. >> can you recall a time when a foreign head of government has done that? is it appropriate for a foreign head of government to inject himself into an american debate? >> i'll let you ask prime
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minister netanyahu that question, if he gives you an interview. i don't recall a similar example. obviously the relationship between the united states and israel is deep, it is profound, it's reflected in my policies because i have said repeatedly and, more importantly, acted on the basic notion that our commitment to israel security is sacrosanct. it's something that i take very seriously, which is why we provided more intelligence cooperation to israel than any previous administration. as i said in the speech yesterday on the substance, the prime minister is wrong on this. and i think that i can show that the basic assumptions that he has made are incorrect. if in fact my argument is right that this is the best way for
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iran not to get a nuclear weapon, then that's not just good for the united states, that is very good for israel. in fact, historically this has been the argument that has driven prime minister netanyahu and achieved consensus throughout israel. so the question has to be, is there in fact a better path to preventing iran from getting a nuclear weapon than this one. and i've repeatedly asked both prime minister netanyahu and others to present me a reasonable, realistic plan that would achieve exactly what this deal achieves, and i have yet to get a response. so, as i said yesterday, i completely understand why both he and the broad israeli public would be suspicious, cautious about entering into any deal with iran, but what i also tried
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to remind everyone yesterday is that, when we entered into arms treaties with the soviet union, they had missiles pointed at every single major american city. we actually had to constrain ourselves and reduce our firepower. the risks were much more severe there. here, we're preserving all of our options so that if iran does cheat, we can still exercise the same set of options that we have in place today. and i've been very clear about the fact that, if israel were attacked by iran, for example, there is no doubt that, not just me, but any u.s. administration, would do everything that we needed to do to make sure that
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israel was protected. so there are all kinds of hedges, if in fact iran weren't to abide by the deal. but if in fact iran does abide by the deal, as it has the interim deal over the last two years, then we have purchased, at a very small price, one of the single most important national security objectives that both the united states and israel has. >> there has been some debate about the amount of money that iran will get as a result of sanctions relief. whatever the amount is, it's clear they're going to get some resources. >> yes. >> and some part of it, and there being out of the sanctions regime. >> preserve their economy. >> will be applied to the economy but some to regional
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activity. >> right. >> i want to be clear. are you saying to the region, to the gulf states, to arab countries, look, this is inevitable. iran is going to play an increased role in the region, get used to it. >> i think the message is that the nefarious activities that iran engages in, whether it's providing arms to hezbollah or stirring up destabilizing activities among some of their gulf neighbors is something that they've been able to do consistently at very low cost. that i have no doubt that, as iran's economy improved or they got some financial in-flows that relieves some fiscal pressure on their military, they may be able to fund some additional activities, but it's not a game changer. and the reason that iran has been effective has less to do with the amount of money they've spent, has more to do with the fact that, although gulf countries, for example, spend eight times more at least combined on defense than iran's entire defense budget, they haven't deployed it in ways that have been as strategically effective.
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and part of the function of our meeting up at camp david with gulf leaders was to describe how we can work with them to create a more effective counter to these kinds of activities. and whether it's countering cyberattacks or a possible ballistic missile threat, but more typically, the kinds of asymmetric proxy activities that iran has developed over the last several decades. you know, those are things that we know how to do if all those countries are cooperating and we're doing it systematically. that will have a greater impact than simply preventing this deal from taking place. the flipside of it is, if iran is able to get a nuclear weapon, if its breakout time remains as short as it is right now and they are installing advanced
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centrifuges and so on, then they will be emboldened to engage in more of the activities that have been discussed, which are not constrained or bound by the amount of money iran has but, rather, have to do with the very strategic decisions iran is making at any given time. we'll be back with the president in just a moment. we're in the map room of the white house. the map room was essentially an early version of the situation room during world war ii. it is where franklin delano roosevelt came to ponder next moves in the war. i will ask president obama if he will need to seriously think about a war with iran if this deal falls through.
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back now with president obama on iran, isis, the taliban, and what happens if the nuclear deal falls through. listen in. >> right now iran is probably one of the strongest fighting forces against isis. >> mm-hmm.
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>> in afghanistan, it has historically been opposed to the taliban, just as the united states has. >> right. >> do you think that these overlapping interests might allow for a more productive and constructive relation between the united states and iran? >> i think it is conceivable, but the premise of this deal is not that iran warms towards the united states or that we are engaging in any kind of strategic reassessment of the relationship. within the four corners of the agreement, we deal with the nuclear problem, and i believe that is incontestable. i think we are doing that better than any other alternative. is there the possibility that, having begun conversations around this narrow issue, that you start getting broader discussions about syria, for example, and the ability of all the parties involved to try to
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arrive at a political transition that keeps the country intact and does not further fuel the growth of isil and other terrorist organizations, i think that's possible. but i don't think it happens immediately. >> so far, no signs? >> well, you know, what i have been encouraged by is that the russians are now more interested in discussions around what a political transition or at least framework for talks would look like inside of syria, and presumably iran is seeing some of the same trends that are not good for them. and i do think that it is even conceivable that saudi arabia and iran, at some point, would begin to recognize that their enemy is chaos as much as
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anything else, and what isil represents, what the collapse of syria or yemen or others represent is far more dangerous than whatever rivalries that may exist between those two nation states. >> final question. if this deal falls through somehow and what you predict does happen, iran does go back to trying to produce centrifuges on an industrial scale, it perhaps restarts some of the weaponization programs, are you worried that you would confront, within your remaining term, the strong possibility that you might have to use nuclear -- that you might have to use military force to prevent iran from getting a nuclear weapon? >> i have a general policy on big issues like this not to anticipate failure. and i'm not going to anticipate failure now because i think we have the better argument. and i just go back again and again, fareed, to those who are
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opposed to the deal can't just say, we want a better deal. they can't just say, we're going to be tougher. this is serious. and it requires us asking tough questions and engaging in a substantive conversation about how are we to achieve what even my fiercest critics would acknowledge should be a shared goal, which is preventing iran from getting a nuclear weapon. if congress were to reject this deal, then that central goal would be harder to achieve and the international unity that we've brought about over the last several years would fray. not just with respect to sanctions but with respect to the world's attitude about u.s.
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leadership and how they gauge who is at fault in this dispute between the united states and iran. and as i said yesterday. the issue here, and i've said this to members of congress, is not simply the deal itself. it's certainly not just an issue for my presidency. the issue, as you well know, fareed, because you travel around the world a lot, is does the rest of the world take seriously the united states' ability to craft international agendas, to reach international agreements, to deliver on them in ways that garner the respect and the adherence from other countries. and that's continually tested. and what congress needs to understand is is that we're the most powerful country on earth, but our power does not simply come from the fact that we've
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got the biggest military. our power derives from the fact that, since world war ii we have put together international institutions that have served our interests but have also served the interests of the world. as much as people may complain about the united states, they still recognize that we've been able to operate on the basis of principles and values and built human institutions that function effectively and fairly around the world. and if we stop doing that, then our power will be diminished, no matter how big our military budget is. and it will become a much more dangerous world. that's why i don't intend to lose on this. >> mr. president, pleasure to have you. thank you so much. >> thank you so much.
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appreciate it, fareed. coming up next, i will give you my take this week. the president's critics say he is naive. i'll tell you what i think when we come back. and when i finally told my doctor, he said humira is for adults like me who have tried other medications but still experience the symptoms of moderate to severe crohn's disease. and that in clinical studies, the majority of patients on humira saw significant symptom relief. and many achieved remission. humira can lower your ability to fight infections, including tuberculosis. serious, sometimes fatal infections and cancers, including lymphoma, have happened; as have blood, liver, and nervous system problems, serious allergic reactions, and new or worsening heart failure. before treatment, get tested for tb. tell your doctor if you've been to areas where certain fungal infections are common, and if you've had tb, hepatitis b, are prone to infections, or have flu-like symptoms or sores. don't start humira if you have an infection. ask your gastroenterologist about humira.
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and now here is my take on president obama's foreign policy. many critics of the nuclear deal with iran believe that the problem lies in the very disposition of the president. rick perry says he is a very, very naive man who does not know how the world works. lindsey graham calls him dangerously naive. in fact, as you heard, obama is not naive, but disposition does matter, and obama is basically an optimist about the world, america's place in it, and even the threats it faces in the middle east. and history suggests that it's the optimists who have tended to be right. today, we are awash in pessimism with people who see the world as a dark and dangerous place, where threats are growing and
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enemies are gaining strength. in 2014, senator john mccain declared that the world is, quote, in greater turmoil than at any time in my lifetime, unquote, which includes the rise of fascism, naziism, world war ii, and the soviet nuclear threat. we've seen this doom and gloom before, often. in an essay in 1989, the harvard scholar, samuel huntington, noted the united states was experiencing its fifth wave of this kind of pessimism since the 1950s. first, he explained, sputnik shocked america, and by the early 1960s, the country was convinced the soviet union was on a path to overtake it technologically, economically and militarily. in the late 1960s and early 1970s, as vietnam sapped the nation's confidence, the nixon administration urged americans to get used to a multi-polar world with a diminished place for washington. when the oil shocks of the 1970s
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hit, people saw the middle east's petrol states as the world's new power brokers. by the end of the 1970s, with the soviet union modernizing its nuclear arsenal and on the march from afghanistan to central america, scores of commentators prophesied that moscow was winning the cold war. and when huntington wrote his essay, it was conventional wisdom that an invincible japan would soon become the world's number one economic power. of course, not one of these fears proved to be valid. there was a kernel of truth in each of them, an event or trend that deserved to be countered or responded to, but the dark view almost always led to a vast overestimation of our adversary's power and strategic capacity. i would update huntington's list
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to add the fears that have bubbled up since 9/11, that radical islam is an existential danger and that we are defenseless against it, that saddam hussein's iraq posed an intolerable danger to america, and now that imperial iran is poised to dominate the middle east. in his speech at american university this week, president obama tried to place iran in context. "it is a middling regional power with some limiting powers and capacity." as he pointed out, its gulf foes outspend it militarily by eight to one. america outspends it by 40 to 1. tehran is trying to prop up the regime in syria and meanwhile it's fielding forces in iraq to fight the new rising threat from isis, which is, above all, an anti-shiite terror group. being forced to fight on two fronts to preserve your security is not a sign of strength. think of the mistakes the united states has made when it's acted out of fear.
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in the 1950s it, helped depose democrats in the third world, fearful that they would become socialists. later, it intervened in vietnam. it supported the apartheid regime in south africa. it invaded iraq. on the other hand, when we have kept threats in perspective and understood that time was on our side, we have patiently organized allies, negotiated agreements with adversaries, built our internal strength and, in the end, prevailed. it's not as satisfying as the imagined thrill of military victory, but it has been a much surer path to stability and success. look at the facts. the united states has outlasted monarchy, fascism, revolution and communism. it will handle the threat from a second-tier power like iran. it will outlast radical islam,
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an ideology that has no answers for the modern age. to recognize this is not naivete but confidence, a confidence in america that is confirmed by history. for more, go to cnn.com/fareed and read my "washington post" column this week. and next on "gps," something completely different. blending cellphones, burning tax codes and making bacon with a machine gun. is that how you prove your presidential mettle these days? we'll discuss with a great historian. vo: today's the day.
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you've called women you don't like fat pigs, dogs, slobs and disgusting animals. your twitter account -- >> only rosie o'donnell. >> no, it wasn't. >> one of my guests last week aptly described the present moment in american politics as "silly season." i think many americans would agree. who would have thought that american presidential candidates would be releasing each other's private cellphone numbers or releasing videos of themselves subsequently destroying an outed cellphone in a blender.
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and, by the way, who would have imagined lindsey graham still had a flip phone? who would have thought that we would see rand paul burning, sawing and chipping the u.s. tax code. is that how you make yourself appear presidential? who might have foreseen a man proving his presidential mettle by making bacon with a machine gun. well, my next guest wouldn't have put it past any of them. she says there are lots of great american political history behind all of this nonsense, except for perhaps lindsey graham still having a flip phone. there's no real precedent for that. joanne freeman is a history professor at yale university and wrote a piece titled "the long history of political idiocy." so, forget about dueling cellphones, you pointed out >> exactly. one of the things that people would do after losing an election would be either they or one of their friends would find
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a way to provoke a duel with the winner or one of his friends as a way to counteract the democratic loss they would have an aristocratic win and be proving themselves leaders to the public and they'd go to the papers and describe the duel, describe how they were leadership material. essentially a duel was the way of saying next time around vote for me. which is extraordinary considering they're illegal. >> the most famous duel we know about is burr-hamilton. was that motivated by these kinds of concerns? >> that was related. hamilton said a lot of things about aaron burr. burr said, for 15 years you said a lot of things about me. burr had lost the election in 1804 to become governor of new york. so he was already kind of on the lookout for a way to redeem himself when someone handed him a piece of paper with hamilton's insult on it. >> what did the piece of paper say? >> it was a description of a dinner conversation at which
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hamilton was speaking and hamilton said burr is not fit for the reins of government. the letter said hamilton more despicable things about burr that i won't put in writing. that's the sentence that burr grabbed on. >> despicable leads to a duel, which led to hamilton being killed? >> eventually. there was a spiraling of the anger between them. >> we tend to think of the time we're in as very partisan, but you pointed out that, actually, it resembles a period in the 19th century a great deal because when the debates over slavery were really heating up in the 1840s and '50s it got very nasty. >> it certainly did. as a historian, when you're living in polarized times you look to the past and say, okay, there is another really polarized time. and certainly, in a sense, the spirit of the thing, there was a lot of similarity.
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>> what about the kind of silly stuff, the gossip, the things like that? that was also a rich, rich tradition of political gossip being part of the campaigns, right? >> absolutely. that goes all the way back. i'm sure even before the fact that there was a united states. certainly in the beginning of the united states in the 1790s gossip was really effective. it's hard to imagine that because the media is so sort of basic in that period. you have a national, national newspaper like the "national gazette" reaches maybe 1500 people. but gossip spread easily through word of mouth and letters. particularly during an election it was a handy thing to drop pieces of gossip into conversations or post handbills. it might take a while to counteract a rumor. >> what are the other kinds of rumors and gossip that flourished at the time? what's your favorite one?
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>> my favorite jefferson one happened during the 1800 election when someone, somewhere, in a newspaper, did what i consider to be the savviest and goofiest ploy of all time and he announced that jefferson had died. it's hard to counteract that. for a little while there was some angst. oh, no! the tragedy. >> the easiest way for people to decide not to vote for him is to say he's gone. >> yes. >> it worked in a sense, because it was tough to figure out stuff in those days. >> right. news travelled more slowly, which is, in a way, part of what happens in the 1840s and '50s. you have the telegraph and the public can now hear things more quickly and there is a much broader reach. the birth of a mass media in the 1840s and '50s is part of what helps raise some of what we would now call silly or certainly extreme and over the top talk because there is a bigger audience. >> joanne freeman.
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pleasure to have you on. >> thanks so much for having me. next on "gps." we'll bring president obama back to pick his book of the week. ng brought us r but that's not the only thing that keeps us coming back. here's to friends who reach for better. fewer carbs, fewer calories, superior taste. michelob ultra. the superior light beer.
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there are 7.3 billion people on this planet. according to u.n. forecasts, that number will reach 9.7 billion by 2050. that's 2.4 billion more people in just 35 years. india will surpass china to become the world's most populous country in less time. it brings me to my question. which country will be the
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world's third most populous country in 2050 after india and china. indonesia, nigeria, brazil or the united states? stay tuned and we'll tell you the correct answer. for our book of the week, this week i asked another voracious reader for his suggestion. >> what book have you read since we last talked that you would recommend to our readers. >> i'm going to recommend the readers go to the white house website and read the iran deal. it's scintillating reading. >> it's almost as long as a book. >> it's probably too long to printout, but you can read it on your laptop. >> the correct answer to the "gps" challenge question is b. by 2050, nigeria is expected to overtake the united states in overall population and become the world's third most populous country. nigeria's economy will grow along with its population. it's expected to become the ninth largest economy in the world by 2050, and that's a big
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change from number 20 in 2014. according to pwc's latest world in 2050 report. thanks to all of you for being part of my program this week. i will see you next week. hello, everyone. thanks for joining me, i'm fredricka whitfield. we begin with donald trump. he says he has no apologies to make, telling cnn's jake tapper his comments are just being misunderstood and questions to him were unfair. trump has been facing heat since he made disparaging remarks about fox news anchor megyn kelly after she questioned him during the republican primary debate. republican front runners, like jeb bush, were quick to criticize the comments, saying it was in no way putting him in a position to win an election and trump should apologize.