number of people surround us on the live shot. some of them we believe were blast survivors, but others security personnel videotaping us. we have throughout the day seen social media these are pictures that beijing doesn't want the world to see. the fact that this car could see this kind of damage and beyond that, this civic center building could have its windows blown in, the houses of thousands of people in the city of 15 million also having their windows blown in. you can't see it, but many of those windows have been blown out. hundreds of people in the hospital right now. ten different hospitals treating the wounded. and all of this the result of what is likely looking like a preventable industrial accident. this morning horrific video pouring in of a series of catastrophic explosions in a

major chinese port city late wednesday. watch this surveillance video obtained by abc news of a man standing near the entrance of a building. the blast decimating the wall, caving in right on top of him. the explosions felt miles away emanating from an industrial warehouse in a city of 15 million two hours south of beijing. the chemical material inside dangerous and unknown according to a nationwide news agency. firefighters are attending to the flames but are fearing the chemicals could pose a serious threat. this as the death toll continues to rise. dozens now dead including firefighters and more than 500 injured. the house collapsed, we didn't know what happened, said one survivor. during my live report from outside the hospital, tempers

flared. a group of apparently distraught survivors along with security officers demanding to see the pictures on my phone forcing me off the air. police don't stop them. emotions running high. the massive explosions equivalent to a small earthquake according to a china data center. >> when you look at all the devastation here, it's really remarkable. >> reporter: the aftermath felt far and wide, buildings destroyed and cars completely charred more than a mile away from the blast site. and you can see the smoke plumes still burning. that fire remains out of control because it is just not safe for firefighters to tackle it right now because they don't know what toxic chemicals are burning. and this damage all happening more than a mile away from that explosion to give you a sense of just how devastating this was. and we're also learning, newly confirmed information, that there was a meeting between city officials and factory owners. this is at one of china's industrial centers. that meeting was about the

safety of these plants that are handling the hazardous chemicals. that happened just earlier this month. and now you see this, you see a city that has been rocked by this explosion, chris, and it's an explosion because of unsafe perhaps working conditions. that's where this investigation will be going in the coming weeks, an issue china has been dealing with. the factories that produce all the lower cost items that get exported but it often comes with a human toll when there are accidents that end up in lives lost. >> all that damage so far from the actual blast site. as a reminder, you said there are 15 million people living in that city. will, be safe and we'll check back to you. we'll turn now to the 2016 presidential race. donald trump is a real problem for the gop. in a newly-released poll, this is the statement of the iowa caucuses. you'll see that's on the democratic side. you have clinton, a prohibitive frontrunner there, but bernie gaining on the gop side. it's a very different story going on and there are headlines

in these numbers. a big change in tone is also happening as many are taking aim at the frontrunner. we have all theening angles cov and let's go to sara murray live in washington for us. >> reporter: if you are the frontrunner like donald trump is, you have a big target on your back. and this team it is senator rand paul going after the frontrunner. let's take a look, if. donald trump dominating the air waves once again this morning. >> in many cases, i probably identify more as a democrat. >> reporter: this time in the form of an attack ad released by rival candidate rand paul. the punch thrown as trump tops the field in iowa with 22%. eight points ahead of his closest rival, dr. ben carson. and a whopping 17 points ahead of paul. according to the latest cnn/orc poll of likely caucus goers.

but paul is not backing down. >> thank you. >> reporter: even using the limelight at last night's nassua town hall to do the best trump impression. the reason i tell women they are so ugly is because i'm so good looking. right? >> reporter: just hours before paul's appearance, donald trump talking to cnn slamming rand paul. >> the super pac is supporting him. >> they have been indicted so he's a mess, there's no question about it. >> reporter: but last night's political drama wasn't just limited to trump versus paul. >> black lives matter! black lives matter! black lives matter! >> reporter: jeb bush ended his town hall after a black lives

matter chant talking about his response to racial equality. >> i have a report of empowering people in communities that had no chance. they were told they were assigned to failing schools and it was very easy to understand why that exists, why people don't believe the system works for them. >> reporter: now our new cnn poll is showing quite a shakeup in the gop field in iowa. jeb bush and marco rubio falling out of the top five. and one of the people climbing is carly fiorina tied for fifth place at 7% in thele w ll polls mike huckabee, so that's a big move for her. thank you. now we'll flip to the democrats, hillary clinton holding steady. the newly-released cnn/orc poll is showing that hillary clinton is leading bernie sanders in iowa with a large margin, even after all the controversy surrounding her e-mail server still haunting her campaign. will her stronghold ultimately weaken if joe biden pops into the race? we turn to cnn's don malvo live

with that angle. good morning, . >> reporter: the latest poll of the likely caucus goers in iowa finds that hillary clinton firmly is in the lead holding at 50% to 31%. her lead there over bernie sanders. vice president joe biden who is yet to even decide if he's going to run for the presidency lands in third place with 12%. the rest of the field flat at 1% or less. we see two big divides in this state. the clinton numbers are 30 points higher when it comes to conservatives. look at new hampshire, the state that put hillary clinton back in the race in 2008 to give her husband a victory as well. the other new poll showing sanders is taking the lead at 44%. clinton falling to 37%.

sanders benefiting from representing neighboring vermont, obviously. and all of this is playing out while the fbi is investigating whether or not any rules were broken for clinton to use her personal e-mail accounts and the potential release of classified information when she was secretary of state. even though most voters do feel that clinton's intentions may have been acceptable, there's majorities of 52% saying her e-mails should be subject to a criminal investigation. 41% say no. this is taking a hit on how voters feel about clinton. back to iowa we see sanders ahead of her when it comes to 35% finding him more honest and trustworthy, rather 35% to clinton's 28%. and again, striking that biden even to announce here is creeping up behind. michaela? >> the trust numbers have to be a problem for the hillary clinton camp for sure.

and governor john kasich is quietly moving up in thele whos. the recent poll showing him third in new hampshire, just six points behind trump. he's a moderate conservative accept i accepting allowances for abortion. dana bash had a chance to talk to him one-on-one with ohio's governor. >> immigration. >> yeah. >> you talked about granting citizenship to ultimately to some undocumented americans. >> well, that's not -- >> you said, i'm not opposed to it. everyone in this country needs to feel like they have an opportunity. explain your position. >> i would prefer for them to be legalized once we find out who they are. i feel like if they committed a crime, they need to be deported or put in prison. the only reason i say that is we have to solve this, but i don't favor citizenship because as i teach my kids, you don't jump the line to get into a taylor

swift concert. >> so you're leaving the door open to citizenship. >> let me be clear, i don't favor it. look, the congressman from ohio, if someone comes in illegally and they have a kid and the kid is a citizen, maybe we shouldn't do that but i think we need to get over that. let these people who were born here be citizens and that's the end of it. i don't want to dwell there anymore. >> we'll talk about foreign policy. there was another beheading at the hands of isis. if you were sitting in the oval office now, would you commit more american ground troops? >> i would be working to get the other countries to jump in to join us. i don't want to go alone. >> there are a lot of people as you well know who are reluctant to do anything more. >> well, i'm not one of them. look, let me tell you what i would do. first of all, i would have supported the rebels in syria that were under the top of assad. secondly, i would have a coalition of other countries including us on the ground beginning to degrade and destroy isis. because as you begin to do it, that whole caliphate begins to

fall apart in my judgment. thirdly, i want to praise chuck schumer to the high heaven. he may not like it, but i think he's shown great courage on this deal with iran. and my greatest fear there is we are going to revive the economy, they are going to have many dollars to give to many radical groups who work against our interests and the interests of a lot of our friends. >> dana bash getting some good information out of john kasich. now you can decide whether or not that resonates with you. we'll bring in our cnn political reporter, sara murray is joining us to break down the new poll numbers. headlines to go through. and we have patricia murphy, columnist for "the daily beast." we'll look at the numbers, the big headline is trump, he's the real deal out on top, we see it. but i want to talk about what happened to jeb bush. jeb bush a month ago we were saying, well, he's probably going to be the guy. what do you account him at the bottom of the polling? >> ben carson, carly fiorina,

ted cruz as a washington outsider, there's a theme here. people are looking at the candidates who either are not politicians or trying to cast themselves outside of the normal mold in a politician. it is very difficult for jeb bush to do that when that is the sentiment right now. look, his dad was president, his brother was president, it is hard to call him anything but an establishment candidate. and i don't think that's what the iowa voters are excited about right now. the poll also shows two-thirds of iowa voters still are not sure who they are going to vote for. so this is a very fluent seal. it is hard to say people have made up their minds, but in the early look, it doesn't look like jeb bush is doing that well in iowa. >> sara is smarter than i am, but i'm going to be more provicktive. i think the narrative could be worse for jeb bush at this particular time. we'll put up another number why people are resonating with trump and also to sara's point, carson and fiorina, we want change.

who is more likely to change. when they say voting for trump, 35% say that's why. you saw the raw score of 44% saying he's more likely to do it. bush isn't in contention. now, change often means new, whether that's good or not. how does jeb bush deal with this just on name alone? >> i honestly don't know how jeb bush deals with this at this point. when you look at the money that he has already raised, when you look at the fact people consider him the frontrunner when he's assumed to be electable, somebody to take republicans into the white house if he got to the general election, he's at 5% in iowa at this point with near universal name i.d. you got to start thinking about skipping iowa and somebody who skips iowa is going to have a really hard time winning this nomination. you can't write off conservatives and say, no, i'm going to cut off that part of the electorate, i don't care, because that's where the energy is. that's where the ideas are. those are the people who are going to get this nominee across the finish line. those are people who need to come out and vote. those are the people that you

need their energy and those are the people who just don't like jeb bush. when you talk to people who like donald trump, for example, they like the fact that he is not only a fresh face to the scene, but they like the way he talks and the things he says. the fact he takes a strong position on so many issues. and you give them the numbers, they beat trump on the economy, immigration, they trust him on the issues as well as what he's saying and the way he's saying it. so jeb bush is very difficult to see what he does other than just to hang in there. campaigning in iowa, getting him into small crowds and start to change some minds. but 5% is a disaster for jeb bush at this point in iowa. >> sara, also a function of this is trusting trump because as a function of how little they trust anybody else and while patricia is making a good point about skipping it practically, jeb bush can't skip iowa. he has to be there. also, the problem with women that trump has, there's a little bit bubbling under the surface there beyond the numbers about

whether or not he can put out the proof that he actually does hire and pay women in a way that shows that he cares on a level that matters. it may change things, but right now in the general, how bad is it for him with women? >> look, if you are a republican and you want to win the white house, you need to win women and win them by a lot. the reality is it is difficult for republicans to win the hispanic vote. you have to make up for that with other demographic groups. the fact that trump is trailing with women and made controversial comments about women, as more people tune in and hear about that, it is possible to see him trail more. that's a big problem if you want to win the election. maybe you can win the republican nomination that way, but you can't win the white house that way. so if donald trump is serious about this and serious about winning the presidency, and i'm in his circle of advisers, that's something i'm working on right now. how do we prove the candidate is good for women? that some of the comments he's made offhand or in a howard stern interview don't reflect

how he feels. >> sara, we are now discussing what donald trump needs to do to become president of the united states. a month ago we were having a different conversation. that shows why you have to cover politics incrementally. one last point this morning, patricia, any coincidence that just after the mention of the e-mail server being turned over that we get a new poll and new numbers on trustworthiness and clinton takes another hit? remember, the open question was turning over the server, would that help or hurt, what is the tale now? >> reporter: i don't think it's a condense because this is the story line for hillary clinton for the last month and will be for many more months. just the incremental release of the e-mails off her server. the fact that the fbi has requested they actually get the server. when you are having polls by monmouth university that talk about should there be a criminal investigation for you, that's

troubling for hillary clinton and troubling for the democrats because they see the honesty numbers going down just a little bit every time. and they really know they don't have a plan b at this point. so when you are a democrat seeing this, and the way clinton is responding to these allegations, it feels a little bit -- it feels dishonest, just the way they are clamping down. it doesn't feel forthcoming and she's not doing herself any favors. she's certainly not doing democrats favors the way she's handling this. >> 52% said she should be subject to criminal investigation. patric patricia, welcome to new day. sara, we'll check back with you in a bit. one place to go, cnnpolitics.com. new details e merging on the health of jimmy carter and his fight with cancer. the 39th president had surgery to remove a mass from his liver earlier this week when doctors discovered the cancer. the 90-year-old carter revealing it has spread to other parts of his body. for more on president carter's

condition and prognosis, we turn to martin savage outside of the hospital there. >> reporter: it was the president himself who announced his diagnosis in a statement yesterday. let me read part of it. cancer is now in other parts of my body. i will be rearranging my schedule as necessary. the president is expected to undergo treatment in atlanta. we don't know what kind of cancer, but carter's family has a long and painful history of pancreatic cancer. he lost his brother and sister and his mother as well. going on 91, that could alter the regimen he goes through. not to say he can't successfully make it through cancer treatment, but well wishes have been pouring in. it was president obama who put a statement out saying michelle and i send our best wishes to president carter for a fast and

full recovery. jimmy, you're as resilient as they come. and along with the rest of america, we are rooting for you. democrats, republicans, celebrities, fans of all sorts have also been adding to their well wishes and messages of support. finally, i'll show you a political cartoon that was put out by michael lukavich showing a person putting a campaign sign in their front yard that reads jimmy carter for cancer survivor. carter's grandson immediately retweeted that. a lot of people would say, amen to those wishes. back to you. >> martin savage reporting live for us. our wishes are also with the carter family. some breaking news overnight. isis claiming responsibility now for carrying out a deadly blast in baghdad. a truck bomb exploding in a crowded market. cnn now confirming 36 people are dead, 75 injured. and reports emerging regarding the death toll is much higher in the shia area that has been

victim to several attacks by the terrorist group. and we have something new to tell you in syria. an air strike being launched from a neighboring base in turkey for the first time. turkey agreed weeks ago to open their u.s. military bases to u.s.-led forces fighting the terror group. we have cnn international correspondent nick paton walsh joining us live from near the base. nick, what is the status? >> reporter: chris, you join me as two f-16 jets have just landed on the runway behind us here circling above us moments ago. i can't tell if they are american or turkish, but the americans have six f-16s. now they have started to use this base for attack runs instead 15 minutes now from the syrian air space. quite a remarkable reduction in the flying spice. they have been flying from elsewhere in the gulf and can use that advantage to stay in the air longer, to refuel faster

and reload ammunitions faster. the strikes that began yesterday hit inside syria multiple targets. but it's going to be a key advantage for the united states moving forward. they've had a lot of complex negotiations with turkey to get this space. turkey wants a safe zone just across the border they can clear out of isis and the kurdish forces. they also don't like they are fighting alongside the americans on the ground as their ground troops and coalition are there, but the key advantage now we can see is a very busy morning behind me here. a lot of movement in the background. the united states clearly making the best use of this area they now have in their hands. thank you. back here at home, temperatures on the rise out west with hot readings heading to the northeast for the weekend and some severe weather could fire up in the upper midwest. let's turn to jennifer grey to look at the forecast. folks back west are bracing for a heat wave there. >> yes, absolutely. the fire danger is remaining high as well. the story today, we are looking at high pressure across the country's midsection.

that's going to be the best weather. storm ace cross the midwest as well as florida. throughout the day we'll start to see a couple of isolated showers fire up with the heating. but mainly florida, that's the good news. south florida in an extreme drought. miami included. and they could pick up a couple inches of rain through saturday. which will be a welcomed sight. on the flip-side, very hot conditions with the ridge of high pressure in the west. that's going to result in a high fire danger. we already have about 43 large fires burning in the west. and so red flag warnings anywhere from washington state all the way down to california. the concern is in eastern washington with lightning strikes. the wind is going to be the major concern in southern sections. chris? all right, thank you very much, appreciate it. we'll check back with you and you can tell us if anything changes. donald trump is on top in iowa. that's the obvious part. but the new poll shows new realities. we'll tell you why the numbers may be a window into the future.

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it would appear everything is rosey for donald trump in iowa. the latest cnn/orc poll shows him leading. let's dig through the details with political analyst mr. john avalon. we are digging through top issues in the 2016 race, economy, foreign policy, immigration. but interesting to see how low social issues are playing for donald trump. >> that's exactly right.

not only donald trump but this is likely among republican caucus goers. social issues are a distant fourth in terms of priorities. and it plays to donald trump's strengths to help avoid his weaknesses. >> let's dig in, shall we. at the top we have the economy. obviously, there's a little sense we can get from donald trump. >> we can be taking the jobs away from china, away from all the countries that are stealing from us. they are stealing our base, our money, our manufacturing, we are going to be bringing it back to the united states. >> okay. so here's the question, is that substantive enough for voters? >> of course not but it doesn't matter right now. it's not a surprise that donald trump is winning this measure. he's famously a rich guy. he's famous for being a rich guy on reality tv, so people look at that and associate economic strength. what is interesting if you listen to that side, bear out policy in there, it's a protectionist trade stance.

somewhere between bernie sanders and pat buchanan, it is far from market economics but he has the reputation for being a successful businessman and runs away with the economy. >> let's move on to somewhere el else, terrorism. recently coming out with policy. let us take a listen. >> i would take their oil away, i would take their money away. >> how do you take the oil? >> i would absolutely go in and take their money source away. and believe me, they would start to wither and would collapse. >> so then the question is here, is that a plan that he can sell to the american public and also the military? >> no and no. but here's a really important point, this is a great example of strong and wrong. there's decisive action as to posed to a lot of the dithering and commission communication about isis that continues to felter. do people support troops in syria and iraq? no, but he's able to make that

case strongly. the military including says pick that, not that. >> kind of like the funding, that's a smart strategy by cutting off the oil. >> cutting off the funding works for the mafia in important wars, absolutely true. but putting troops on the ground to support the military fire, the military says, hey, pal, it does not work that way. >> we know that he says things of immigration of late that came out strongly from day one. 35%. and he's continued to beat this drum of build a wall, build a wall, build a wall. realistic? >> well, look, you know, towns saying we're going to build a wall and have mexico pay for it, no, that's a complete shell game. there's a little thing called national sovereignty. he can say he has leverage but does deserve credit for raising this in a much harder way than the senate. not a surprise. >> last but not least, we have to run after this. this is very interesting. which candidate is more likely to change washington? oh, my goodness, the top two candidates? 44% and 9%. >> yeah, and not surprisingly, i

have nothing here to do with washington or serving in electorate office. it is about who can send a message best. donald trump running away with it. >> thank you. back to you. disaster unfolding in china after a devastating explosion leveling a warehouse that has hazardous materials inside. dozens are dead and hundreds injured or missing. now investigators want to know how this has happened. (woman) you want to eat... ...you want to eat, who wants to eat... (dog) do i want to eat? yes, i want to eat. (woman) do you want to eat? (dog) do i want to eat, yes. that's like nine times you've asked...yes. i mean it's beneful. i can actually see the meaty chunks and carrots right there...look at it. it's beautiful. mmmmmmm, thank you so much... but you know tomorrow night... ...how 'bout we just assume i do want to eat... ...you know speed things up a little. (vo) beneful chopped blends, a healthy blend... ...your dog will love. made with real beef. plus carrots and barley that you can see. beneful. healthy with a side of happy.

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breaking news this morning, a series of violent explosions at a warehouse in china. the warehouse handled hazardous materials. we don't know what yet. that's part of the problem for firefighters. they don't know what is burning and don't know how to stop it. we do know the death toll is high and going higher. 44 people, 500 others still in the hospital.

the situation is very fluid. the heat, so extreme cars are melting in the streets. windows on high-rises miles away being blown out. the city, you may have never heard of it, but there are 15 million living there. unsafe working conditions are being blamed. that's as emotions are running high as families wait for words from their loved ones. former president jimny camy carter is battling cancer. doctors discovered the mass while removing his liver earlier this week. the nation's former president said he learned that the cancer moved to other parts of his body. we don't know what type of cancer he's facing or what his prognosis will be. >> we wish him well. anger is building over the toxic spill in colorado caused by the epa. a week after officials accidentally released 3 million gallons of waste water. contamination levels are returning to normal in the animas river.

the epa, however, is blasted for its slow response and perceived lack of transparency. john boehner calling on president obama to be accountable and protect everyone impacted in colorado, new mexico and utah. all right. business news now, time for cnn money and chief business correspondent christine romans is joining us in the money center. china devaluing its currency for the third straight day. what is going on? >> reporter: that's right. the chinese say they are done devaluing the yuan after the third day in a row. this dramatic move has shaken everything up. here's how it matters to you. first, cheap mortgage rates. investors are running away from risky assets and into safehavens like government bonds driving down interest rates. refinance your mortgage or lock in your rate. rates are still low here. number two, gas prices are falling and could be back to $2 a gallon in just a few weeks as commodity prices tumble. and number three, this market volatility means your 401(k) has been hit, your retirement money heavily invested in stocks is worth less today than the beginning of the year.

three ways china's moves matter to you right now. >> and eyes are on what happens next. christine, thank you very much. we have sad news for you this morning about america's 39th president, jimmy carter. he reveals he's battling cancer. the disease is spreading. the latest on his condition and his prognosis. he's 90 years old but still a fighter. we'll have the latest for you ahead. at ally bank no branches equals great rates. it's a fact. kind of like mute buttons equal danger. ...that sound good? not being on this phone call sounds good. it's not muted. was that you jason? it was geoffrey! it was jason. it could've been brenda. [whirring drones] just stay calm and move as quietly as possible. ♪ [whirring drones] ♪ no sudden movements. ♪ [screaming panic] ♪ [whirring drones]

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former president jimmy carter reveals to us he does, indeed, have cancer and it is spreading. the disease was discovered when doctors removed a mass on his liver last week. the early word was that it had gone well and the complete recovery was expected. so obviously his family is taken by this news. we'll bring in douglas brinkley, he's a presidential historian. and thank you for being on the show. as i just said, they thought this was one thing and now it

turned into something else. what does this mean within the family? and what is the president's perspective on how to take it on? >> well, jimmy carter takes everything on full bore. he globe trots, works on his river blindness programs in africa. he'll go fishing in mongolia. so if there's a 90-year-old to pull through this, jimmy carter's the person. he makes sure he eats right, he doesn't smoke or drink. he will be in fighting trend to table cancer like he has so many other things. >> obviously, the healthier you are going into this situation but the reality is you have cancer. you were describing this to me as cancer, what does this mean to you? >> it probably started somewhere else and spread to the liver. that's what they are indicating saying the cancer has spread.

we don't know where the primary is, but the suspicion is it may be pancreatic cancer. >> when you hear he's 90 years old, common sense says you have had a full life, but we are hearing from doug this is no normal 90-year-old. he's become more vital outside the presidency than some would argue during it. so what do you do if you want to fight? >> i think if you're 90 and a vital person, you can go forward with the treatment. sometimes treatments are adjusted because a 90-year-old is not going to respond as a 4-year-old would, but it doesn't mean that you can't be treated. >> he said that's exactly what he intends to do. in terms of the motivation to live, that's so important when people are in later stages of life and are hit with anything. what fuels the president though? >> the love of his wife. and they are a real partner that go everywhere together. the fact that he has children and grandchildren. but mainly christianity.

his mother at the age of 70 joined the peace corps to help people with leprosy. he still feels that he can help heal the world and it fuels him every day. >> so, look, we're going to be thinking about him and trying to help. what is this going to look like in a typical process? do you have anything to base it off of, someone this hold dealing with something like this, what is the routine? what is the rigor? >> it is hard to say. first you have to see where the primary cancer came from to help determine zp-- >> can you identify that? >> not always. but sometimes you can look at the genetics of the tumor and get an idea where it came from. plus they will do further testing to see if there's cancer anywhere else or to see if they can find out where it originated. >> now, you hear about two different types of treatment when it comes to cancer. there's one kind of chemo/radiation combo where people go on with their lives and go in and out. and the other one is when they are locked up in there and going through a course. do you think he can do this on

an outpatient kind of basis? >> most cancer treatments are an out-patient basis. that's probably how it will be done. sometimes during the treatment you have to be put into the hospital if there's some sort of complication, but generally it's an out-patient treatment. >> doug, is it true that the president's early words to insiders was, i am not going to be taken out of the ordinary dynamic to deal with this treatment. i'm going to do the treatment but i'm going to keep doing the work that matters most. is that true? >> absolutely true. and that is jimmy carter. he's a man on a mission. he is setting up the carter center to be one of the most effective governmental issues in the world. it's his passion. and he remembers, i remember when the writer christopher hitchenson ended up dying of cancer and carter wrote a book about it. we're all going to be watching how he goes through this and will hope that other people in the united states learn to fight cancer like he's going to. >> bringing in douglas brinkley

always suggests we are looking to tell the life of the story of the president. we are not there yet and i think we should all empower his fight and let him know we are talking about this new face. doug, thank you for the perspective. we know the fight is ahead. so we'll bring you back when we know how he's doing. thank you very much. 90 years old and still inspiring and going. should u.s. troops be embedded with iraqi forces in the fight against isis? well, the outgoing army chief of staff says yes. but will the white house even consider this? we'll have a closer look ahead. imagine - she won't have to remember passwords. or obsess about security. she'll log in with her smile. he'll have his very own personal assistant. and this guy won't just surf the web. he'll touch it. scribble on it. and share it. because these kids will grow up with windows 10. get started today.

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take the roar out of snore. yet another innovation only at a sleep number store. i believe that if we find many the next several months we are not making the progress we have, we should absolutely consider embedding soldiers to see if that would make a difference. that doesn't mean there would be fighting but would be maybe betting them and moving with them. >> that's the outgoing army chief of staff saying the u.s. should consider embedding american soldiers with the iraqis to fight against isis. so how would that work? how long might a plan like that

last? here to discuss, bobby is here and we appreciate your expertise. you agree with the american general that putting american forces on the ground could be effective, why? >> i think it is inevitable. because it's become clear that we don't really have the time -- it will take a lot of time for the iraqi military to stand up on their own. that's become very clear. we don't have the luxury of waiting for that to happen because isis will continue to make gains. and it may come too late. i know that this sounds like -- to use the expression from another war and another time, mission creed, but it is inevitable. it is what the circumstances on the ground are demanding. we've already seen this creed take place. this was going to be -- well, we are just going to send a few advisors. >> now we have like 2900 americans there in this region. >> and these guys are not all sitting in the green zone in

baghdad. they are out, quite a lot of them are out in close proximity to war. the logical step to some of them is to get into the -- embed with the iraqi troops. i would disagree with the general with perhaps just gliding over some facts. i cannot an american trainer or advisor embedded with an iraqi, let's say platoon, and goes out into combat and they won't pick up a weapon and shoot. >> and they are not in the fight. >> that sounds completely plausible to me. especially if they are there to protect these men. i cannot imagine the situation where they are going to watch their men fight. >> i understand what you're saying but the american public may not want boots on the ground. in fact, the most recent poll shows 55% oppose this idea. u.s. troops could lose lives and we've also heard from other military experts who say it's not all about the u.s. in the long-term. it has to be the iraqis taking

ownership. what do you think of the critics? >> that's the trouble. we have been saying this from the beginning, the long-term. when this started out, we thought that the long-term meant a few months. but as we have gotten a closer and better look at the quality of the iraqi troops, we have a better sense of what the long-term means and it's a lot better than we thought. meantime, the enemy, isis, they are getting better with more and more experience. so the trouble is, as i said, the realities on the ground are forcing these circumstances. i don't think the president would necessarily want that to happen. i don't think they want to put their lives at risk. but that's what the circumstances on the ground are going to demand. and he's clearly seen that. >> let's talk about what happened in egypt. a croatian beheaded and isis continuing with the executions, but this is the first time something happened in egypt. is this a sign isis is still

expanding? >> absolutely. they have a lot of presence in africa, libya and tunisia. it was a matter of time before they came to egypt. there's a lot of different terrorist groups operating in the sinai region. it is a badland. the military has done a poor job of driving them out of there. we have seen this in other parts of the world. when a terrorist group wants to achieve additional credibility, they announce suddenly, well, we are signing or swearing allegiance to isis and naming ourselves isis. we are building our isis franchise here. something similar is going on here in egypt. a group that was a local group now wants to become part of this larger isis trend. and they are following clearly from the isis playbook. they kidnapped a foreigner, made an impossible demand. >> and civility makes a right situation for them to get in there. >> and they used beheading, a classic isis tactic.

it is something we'll see more and more of. and the trouble is that the egyptian military is very good at reading up on unarmed pro-democracy protestors. not so good at when it comes to fighting against people who can shoot back. >> real quickly, i do want to ask you about turkey and its involvement in this fight against isis. the u.s. now launching those first air strikes from inside turkey, but turkey was the life of the party. >> several days later and several dollars short. now, i have sympathy for fur key as they have taken on a huge amount of refugees in syria. it is not like turkey is doing absolutely nothing, but they are a member of nato. nato is in this fight and shouldn't have taken this long for turkey. >> is this going to change the fight, do you think? >> from the american perspective. but until the turkish military gets more involved, it's merely a case of allowing a naval base or an air force base. the turkish military has to get involved to participate in the fight against isis. they have the most to lose. they are right there.

it's happening on their border. >> bobby goshe, great expertise. we are following a lot more news. let's get to it. it blew out the glass and the doors. >> explosions described as so powerful they have registered as earthquakes. >> families desperately awaiting word from their loves ones. our new cnn poll is showing quite a shake-up in the gop field. >> things can change very quickly at this point in the race. hillary clinton will probably face a challenge. black lives matter, especially now. >> new details emerging on the health of jimmy carter and his fight with cancer. >> it sounds like it's in or around the liver. >> it was the president himself who announced his diagnosis. >> this is certainly going to take a toll. >> this is "new day" with chris cuomo, alyson camerota and michaela pereira.

we begin with breaking news, a series of deadly explosions in china. so powerful and violent, people could see and feel them for miles. they even registered as earthquakes. >> dozens have been killed. the numbers are early. we do know that of those killed, a lot of them are firefighters. they are not really sure what the chemicals are yet and are not sure how to stop it. there are hundreds, as many as 500 in the hospital. emotions with relatives running very high because word of who is in and who is hurt still not coming. but we do have cnn's will ripley in the city where this is happening. there's extensive damage. he's experienced it himself and is covering it for us. what's the latest? >> reporter: you know, the latest is that communication problems continue to be an issue here. so we switched to our telephone because of the fact that at times during the day, we suspect signals have been jammed. in fact, the internet police here in tianjin have been

warning people about false information on this tragedy that will be greeted with very severe consequences. but you can see this damage behind me. i'm standing more than a mile from the blast site. so i'm going to switch the camera here so i can show you, you see that smoke plume off in the distance there. still burning, the fire still burning right now. that's more than a mile away. but look at the force of the blast and what it did to this car right here, to this civic center here, to this light rail station where train service has been disabled. and all of the windows of these apartment blocks have been smashed out. and many of those off in the distance are actually empty. thousands of people are staying in shelters right now. ten hospitals are treating the hundreds of injured. and all of this happening, we are told, the result of an industrial accident. toxic chemicals that were stored dangerously close to residents. this morning horrific video

poring in from catastrophic explosions in a major chinese port city late wednesday. watch this surveillance video obtained by abc news of a man standing near the entrance of the building. the blast decimating the wall, caving in right on top of him. the explosions felt miles away emanating from the city of tianjin, 15 miles west of beijing. the chemical material inside unknown and dangerous according to a state-run news agency. they are reporting firefighters are now suspended from tending to the building flames in fear of the mysterious chemicals that could pose a further threat. this as the death toll continues rising. dozens now dead, including firefighters and more than 500 injured. the house collapsed, we didn't know what happened, says one survivor. during my live report from

outside the hospital, tempers flared. a group of apparently distraught survivors along with security officers demanding to see the pictures on my phone forcing me off the air. police don't stop them. emotions running high. the massive explosions equivalent to a small earthquake according to a china data center. when you look at all the devastation here, it is really remarkable. the aftermath felt far and wide, buildings destroyed and cars are completely charred more than a mile away from the blast site. and you can see this fire has continued to burn throughout the day. there are no longer firefighters on the scene because they just don't know if it's safe for them. with all the toxic mix of chemicals that were stored in that industrial plant that are being released into the air, there are a thousand firefighters that right now are basically keeping people safely away until they figure out what to do next. there was a meeting just a short time ago, just days ago here in

this city, where officials talked to the owners of the factories housing the chemicals telling them to ensure the safety of residents who lived so close. but you can see, again, just by looking at the smoke there and those buildings, all of those people living and feeling the effects of this blast in this city of millions of people and many of them don't have a place to sleep tonight here because of what has happened, chris. >> will, thank you for adapting to the circumstances and bringing us the transmission. two big takeaways of this ongoing story and we'll check back in with you, you are a mile away. will ripley is a mile away from the fire sight and that's the explosive power that experienced all the cars and all that behind him. and 15 million people are dealing with it right now. we'll go back to him. we'll turn to stateside politics. a just released cnn/orc poll showing donald trump with a huge lead over his rivals. and guess what?

that's not the biggest surprise in iowa because as the weather heats up, so are the war of words. people are getting after him, but they are shuffling in a way that we never expected. we've got all the angles covered for you this morning. let's begin with cnn's political reporter, sara murray, live in washington. sara? >> reporter: good morning, chris. like you pointed out, donald trump is on top and that means some of the folks lower in the polls are punching up trying to break into the top tier. the latest is rand paul. let's take a look. donald trump dominating the air waves once again this morning. >> in many cases, i've probably identified more as a democrat. >> reporter: this time in a form of an attacked a released by rival candidate senator rand paul. the punch thrown as trump talks the field in iowa with 22%. eight points ahead of his closest rival, dr. ben carson. and a whopping 17 points ahead of paul. according to the latest cnn/orc

poll of likely caucus goers. but paul isn't backing down. >> thank you. thank you. >> reporter: even using the limelight at last night's nassua town hall to do his best trump impression. >> the reason i am doing so well among women is because i'm so good looking. >> reporter: just hours before trump spoke to cnn's jake tapper about the ongoing sparring match. >> you know, you look at a guy like rand paul who is failing in the polls, he's weak on the military, he's pathetic on military. hasn't his whole team been indicted? >> the super pac is supporting him. >> yeah, they have been indicted. so he's a mess. there's no question about it. >> reporter: but last night's political drama wasn't just limited to trump versus paul. >> black lives matter! black lives matter! black lives matter! >> reporter: jeb bush abruptly left his las vegas town hall after a crowd of black lives

matter activists chanted during his exit. their response to his final answer about racial inequality. >> i have a record of empowering people in communities that had no chance. they were told there were signs of failing schools. and it was very easy to understand why that exists, why people don't think the system works for them. >> reporter: now the big news isn't just trump on top in iowa, but it's a big shakeup in the gop field across the state. jeb bush falling out of the top five, now edges 5%. and carly fiorina is moving up to the top five. she's tied there at 7% with mike huckabee. back to you. >> lots of good info there. thank you. on the other side of the aisle, hillary clinton maintaining a commanding lead in iowa. the cnn/orc poll shows that she is beating her rival, bernie sanders, even with the e-mail server controversy. still hanging over her campaign, but what happens if joe biden

gets into the race? we turn to cnn's suzanne malvo live with that angle of the story. >> reporter: good news for hillary clinton. bernie sanders is lead iing in certain states, but hillary clinton is dominating in iowa coming on the back of yesterday's poll showing sanders taking the lead in new hampshire with 44%. all of this playing out while the fbi investigates whether any rules were broken over clinton's use over a personal e-mail account as secretary of state. and whether classified information was improperly handled. well, even though most voters feel clinton's intentions may have been acceptable, a majority now, 52%, they are now saying that her e-mails should be subject to a criminal investigation. this is taking a hit on how voters feel on clinton. obviously, back to iowa, sanders

ahead of her, 35% to find him more honest and trustworthy to clinton who is at 28%. and again, striking here is that biden yet to announce is creeping up behind. very close. chris? >> yes, who knows, it is worth saying again, right? >> well, he's vice president of the united states. so he's been a little marred. what is he going to do? we don't know but we'll talk about it. let's turn to editor and chief of "the daily beast." the obviously headline is that trump is leading. i don't think that's such -- you know, not so notable anymore. someone is on top, someone has to take him out, but it's about why. i'm concerned if i'm in the gop about how everybody else is slipping and why. what do you see? >> here's what you need to know about iowa. i say this as a proud iowa homeowner. i've spent a lot of time in iowa. >> start flashing your disclaimer on the screen. >> let me tell you --

>> put up her numbers. >> in 2008 and 2012, iowans decide historically late who they like. many have said they have not made up their minds. still 40% of iowans don't know who they are voting for. 17% don't know before the day of the caucuses. >> if the numbers are showing this early in the game in a place where numbers are fluent, does this speak to a trend we could see play out nationwide? >> there's a deeper trend and margaret is trying to make the point, sure, it's early, but this poll in particular shows a trend that should have responsible republicans really worried. not only donald trump at the top of the field in the caucus, but ben carson in second. what they share among other things, they don't share much in common, but it's zero percent governing experience. that kind of conservative populist appeal.

>> look at that. most likely to change washington, people like the idea of an outsider coming in to shake things up. >> they want the outsider and see government experience as a negative for the chief executive of the united states. that's not exactly a winning message for a general election, but it satisfies a deep emotional appeal. so the underlying trends should draw more republicans as much as they try to spin it out to say it's early. >> it is early. and we also know they are troubled. i'll give you that. scott walker -- >> you or they? >> both. >> i am not troubled. >> you are troubled. >> i am not troubled. i am troubled that -- by the phenomenon of donald trump. >> he says you love him. because you're ament wi menmen e him. >> there's deductive lodgic. we know scott walker is worried about him because he's seized and not taken up on the bait that donald trump put out about him until two days ago. he didn't refer to him by name

and said that other guy in the race and started to hit on him. >> he cannot be named. >> and so walker is disturbed and probably shaken that his numbers have dropped to trump's in iowa. because that's walker's play. walker has been very clear that iowa is his past and present. >> and now rand paul clearly as we just heard is doubling down on the attacks on donald trump. do you think it helps him? he's talking about his kids, rand paul, donald trump's kids and making fun of his boys. is that the personal attempt? >> the danger is you have an arm's race towards outrage where candidates just feel the more outrageous and personal you get the more likely you are to get the air time. >> can i look at another number here? the likely republican goers divided among women, men and gender, i feel this is what the trump campaign needs to look at when we talk about the conversation about how he is or not appealing to women. that's a big discrepancy between

the fellas and the gals. >> it's a huge discrepancy. it's not surprising. >> why? >> for all the obvious reasons from megyn kelly on down. that trump is broadly saying i love women and will be great for women, i'm terrific. that's my trump impression. i'm working on that. thank you very much. you're going to have that gap. i mean, potentially if you go down, some candidates like ben carson are doing well. scott walker, that balance is in place and that tells you a great deal about the outreach. and so extent, the policies behind that. >> let me ask you something, margaret, if donald trump comes out with information that in his organization he not only puts women in positions of authority but pays them the same or in some cases better than men, how does your opinion of him as a woman change? >> that helps. if he has parody in his organization between men and women, that changes my impression a little bit. full men and women in the trump organization? >> because it came up in our

interview. it could make him from someone saying i'm different to actually moving and proving he's different. a lot of times politicians say that and are not doing anything about it. could it be a big swing for him? >> big swing, i don't know. the field is fluent. we are all open to new information about all the candidates. the reason donald trump is leading is because more people know who he is than anyone else. >> i don't know. >> let's talk about bush in iowa. his father, his brother, both won. he is trailing by a lot. i think we have that number. >> like a rock. >> kelly, you raise the right point. his father shocked the world by winning iowa in 1980. his brother won it in a walk. but the jeb bush name is troubling to the bush campaign. they may not bet on winning iowa, but this is a significant shot. >> can i say something about black lives matter? he was interrupted at a rally.

we have seen it happen to bernie sanders are. the candidates paying enough attention to the black african-americans in the nation? >> republicans should be meeting with black lives matter. in fact, jeb bush in iowa did meet with black lives matter. i believe it was in iowa, double checking, but he did meet with black lives matter and republicans should. jeb bush knows among republicans you have to broaden the coalition of demographics, much bigger than mitt romney went for in order to win the gop nomination. good on him for doing it. frankly, hillary clinton is, too. it's a movement and a real thing and has to be acknowledged and incorporated into part of what we are talking about in this campaign. >> jeb and marco rubio have been passionate about creating an illusive view for the republican party. that's a general winning message. >> thank you, as always. politics of a different kind now, former president jimmy carter announcing he's battling cancer and says the disease is

spreading. this news comes after doctors performed surgery removing the mass from his liver. we'll go to martin savage live outside the carter center in atlanta with more on carter's condition and his prognosis. martin? >> reporter: good morning. there's just a whole load of good wishes and prayers coming the way of the former president this morning. here at the carter center we are awaiting an update on his condition. but it's expected there will be more revealed about his cancer. he was the 39th president himself who revealed the fact of the diagnosis. this came after he had surgery earlier in the month and that was done on. /* -- it has spread throughout other parts of his body. that has to be concerning. we should point out we don't know what kind of cancer we are talking about, but it is well-known the carter family has a long and painful history with p

pancreatic cancer. he's lost a brother and two sisters and his mother. he'll be treated here in the atlanta area, but just because of his age doesn't mean he can't have a very successful outcome. and then, of course, the result and support that i mentioned. it was the president last night who said that michelle and himself are rooting for the president, as are so many other americans. that, too, was in a statement coming from the president. the president and vice president reached out by tell fen. so he's got all of this coming his way. republicans, democrats, celebrities, fans of all sorts because of the good work the president has done over the years. so many are now rooting for him. lastly, let me show you this cartoon. usually the political cartoon is biting but this one is not showing a person putting a campaign sign in their yard that says, jimmy carter for cancer survivor. you know that there are a lot of people who say jimmy carter has their vote when it comes to getting better. back to you both. >> martin, those are words that

need a resounding amen sentiment. thank you for that. for the first time u.s. fighter planes in turkey are attacking isis in general syria. the u.s. may also need to put boots on the ground in iraq to fight the terror group. we are following the developments from the pentagon. good morning, barbara. >> reporter: even at this hour isis is still on its bomb blasts at a vegetable market in baghdad earlier today killing 36 and wounding 75. isis claiming responsibility for that latest attack. there have been other attacks in that area until recent day. now all of this comes as the u.s. war planes for the first time have taken off from southern turkey into syria. this is the area that the u.s. hopes to push war planes out of. all of this as the top u.s. army

couple of days met with ire in a reporters yesterday and gave his very candid assessment of the war against isis and raised the possibility indeed it could require boots on the ground. >> if we find in the next several months that we are not making a progress that we have, we should probably, absolutely consider embedding soldiers to see if that will make a difference. >> reporter: but always a very tough proposition putting any u.s. troops on the ground, even if they are going to be trainers or out in the field and companying with the troops. >> it is an interesting thing to see the shift coming our way. thank you for the report. now to the white house who say the percentage of uninsured americans has dropped to 9.2%. that's the first time in decades

the rate would drop below 10% and would represent 15.8 million americans now being insured. since 2013 the white house says the numbers show that obamacare is working. the department of justice is now involved in the case of an unarmed south carolina teenager who was shot and killed by a police officer. federal officials want to know if police violated 1980-year-old daniel wright. the officer claims hammond trying to run him over during an arrest, but the family shows the independent autopsy shows the teen was not moving when shot in thing baa. a frightening video out of minneapolis. a chunk of a nightclub collapses during a club on first avenue. witnesses tell cnn that water was pouring in from the ceiling. we understand there were a few hundred people in the club. early, i was away at the convention in minneapolis and we

were at that exact place a week ago today. a big popular nightclub right there in downtown minneapolis. a really old building? >> i think it has history. i think we shot purple rain there. very concerning when that happens on such a crowded place. >> so scary. you are not going to be surprised when i tell you donald trump is on top in iowa, but you'll be surprised when you find out who is rising. we'll go through the trump rise with former campaign advisor roger stone. he left the team recently. what happened there? the answer is ahead. but it is not the device that is mobile, it is you. real madrid have about 450 million fans. we're trying to give them all the feeling of being at the stadium. the microsoft cloud gives us the scalability to communicate exactly the content that people want to see.

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see car insurance in a whole new light. liberty mutual insurance. new poll, donald trump on top in iowa big. why? just as important as the numbers themselves, look at number two. ben carson, doctor, neurosurgeon, why are these two pulling away in iowa? it's because what people are saying about what they want. and the word is change. so let's discuss what the strengths and weaknesses are of donald trump and how this could be a window into the future for the party's future. we have roger stone with us, former republican consultant. good to have you here. >> good to be here. >> we'll dispence your situation first. you say you left, donald says he fired you, why did you leave? what happened?

>> "the new york times" and politico have resources to say i resigned, but it is irrelevant. i remain a strong supporter of donald trump because i'm the only one who believes he can bring real change to washington. that's the driver in the poll. the three non-career politicians are all gaining in iowa. i think that speaks to the fact that voters are fed up with a system, they think it is broken and rigged against the average citizen. and trump's real-life experience in his credibility with a job creator in the economy drive the poll more than any other issue. it explains why the numbers are not big, they are huge. >> and i want to find out what you know about why he's resonating from what you saw inside the machine there and when you go out. but just help me one more step on this, if you love the guy so much and believe in him so much, why aren't you on the team anymore? >> i'm on the team in that i'm

still supporting trump, but i had to go rogue to have a more profound impact on his campaign. it pleases me they are talking about releasing more of his issue papers and i've seen them. they are outstanding. trump has very solid ideas about growing the economy and creating jobs, for example. so i remain a strong supporter. in terms of why he's doing so well, i think it's pretty simple. people view him as independent. you can't buy donald trump. they believe the system is rotten at its core, the special interest money is controlling our politics. that all the career politicians have been gorging on lobbyist contributions. and trump is independent of all that and stands apart from all of that. >> how does he get over the problem with women? >> i think that will come in time. he needs to talk about the women in his organization, his business organization. he has promoted women and has women in key positions. >> he said in an interview with me a couple days ago, i think this is a big moment for him. here's why. he's got trouble with women on a lot of different levels.

fair, unfair, true, it's certainly true, but fair and unfair is up to the voter. he says, listen, i'm going to be great for women. hyper bollic. no, not hyperbolic, i hire them in positions of authority. they make as much or more as the men in similar positions. i say you put to the the proof. he says, i will. do you think he can show that? >> yeah, absolutely. i think you'll find that women -- >> because you know what happens if he can't show it. >> women have risen to the top and trump is a great supporter of women in the marketplace. and i think that will trump any -- bad choice of words, that will trump any of the other nonsense about personalities and so on. he is a supporter of women in the construction industry where he has promoted women to places they have never been in new york city in terms of super vising multimillion construction projects. trump is a supporter of women in the marketplace. >> why do you think that women aren't reflecting that in their feelings about him? just about the comments? >> well, he's making transition from being a pop culture figure

to being a leading candidate for president of the united states. that's an important transition. this campaign has another year-plus to go. >> but you don't watch a horse race just as the wire. you watch it from the beginning to see the moves to dictate what happens at the wire, do you believe -- obviously, he's for real. that speculation has to be finished now, but how does he retain or translate people's outrage into positive energy to select him in a general election? because that's still the big question on him. maybe he gets by these first few primaries, but it's going to have to be something else than just base sub for him to win. you know what i mean? >> he has to lay out enough specifics. politics at the presidential level is about broad concepts, not a 20-point plan. ask president gingrich how that works out. they don't want to see that. they want a big picture view

like ronald reagan. trump will lay out his visions and has announced he'll do that. he has a great growth and economics plan and a great federal reduction spending plan. and he brings great experience to it. >> you are saying there's plans in the works? >> there's no question about it. he knows where he stands and a campaign is about laying these things out. i'm confident he will. >> any chance you wind up back on the team? >> i think it is unlikely. >> you will not tell me what happened there? >> look, i have confidentiality agreement and no interest in divulging my personal conversations with donald trump. he's someone i have an enormous affection and respect for. nobody cares about this process of who works for who, this campaign is not about roger stone or anybody else. it's about america and saving the country. trump has the size and the boldness and the vision to be the leader we need. that's why i'm still strongly for him. >> roger stone, appreciate you being on the show. >> appreciate being here. one thing the republican

field can agree on, hillary clinton's private e-mail server. the gop ramping up attacks on their fine democratic rival and onking looks at how this could change the race on "inside politics." yearscustomer record. our cloud can keep them safe and accessible anywhere. my drivers don't have time to fill out forms. tablets. keep it all digital. we're looking to double our deliveries. our fleet apps will find the fastest route. oh, and your boysenberry apple scones smell about done. ahh, you're good. i like to bake. add new business services with at&t and get up to $500 in total savings. so you think this chip is nothing to worry about? well at safelite we know sooner or later, every chip will crack. these friends were on a trip when their windshield got chipped. so they scheduled at safelite.com... they didn't have to change their plans, or worry about a thing. and i fixed it right away... ...with a strong repair they can trust.

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john king on "inside politics." another thing you thought you would see, roger stone quits off the campaign and still comes on to boost donald trump's campaign. what next? >> that's a great question. there's something in the water this year, we'll leave it there. we'll see how this one plays out. and mr. trump leading the polls. that's where we start this morning "inside politics." i have ron fornay of national journal here. a lot of people watched the debate and his confrontation with megyn kelly, what he said about women and what viewers have been reminded about what he said in the past about women is going to hurt him. but donald trump is leading the pack in iowa with 22%.

dr. ben carson moves to second place. scott walker is in third place. and a big break through for carly fiorina. she moves up as well. if you are jeb bush, i know you can say, we were never heavily invested in iowa. being down to 5% is not a good thing. why do they love trump? this is important. they believe -- next to his closest republican rival, he's got a 35-point advantage over who will most change washington. a 25-point advantage on the economy. 23% on immigration. and more iowa republicans now believe donald trump is the strongest candidate in the general election. so there is something in the water and it's not going away. >> i don't think it's going away. i mean, the change in washington number is so interesting. it is clear that if you elected somebody like donald trump, you probably would change washington. and there is a hunger out there among americans for something different in this town. republicans, in particular, have

watched the party have leadership roles on capitol hill. they think the party has squandered the opportunities and think that electing a senator or even a governor just wouldn't get things done any differently. >> but this is bigger than trump and the republican party. you remember tim russert who used to say florida, florida, florida, this is about disrupti disruption, disruption, disruption. 51% of the vote, the top 51% of the vote went to outsiders, trump, carson and fiorina. a majority of voters want something that has nod to go with washington. when reflecting the top values, the top four were all outsider, carson, trump, huckabee and walker. >> and if you look to people on top in iowa, i don't know cjohn move a bit in iowa. >> you know from iowa voters that they decide late.

>> right. 15% of people in iowa said they have made up their minds. rand paul is going down. scott walker is critical of trump because he's going down. let's listen to rand paul and then on the other side, have we reached out to a point where somebody is going to start spending real money on tv ads? >> we have now people up there who say such profound things as, you're stupid. you're fired. you're a pig. you look terrible. but my favorite is, the reason i tell women they are ugly is because i'm so good looking. >> rand paul's criticizing him more and more and likes this fight. he was one of the early ones going after hillary clinton. but he's going this way right now and also looking at it in iowa, tea party supporters, trump, walker, rand paul, cruz, he's disappeared. >> a lot of the questions the campaigns have right now is how do you go after trump? there's a sense he'll be in this

for a while so you do have to start to take him seriously and start criticizing his policies and things he's saying. at the same time, there's a risk that reflects poorly on you because people who have done that have either gone down in the polls or faced criticism. one of the questions i'm asking and really interested in is, where is the jeb bush super pac that has so much money? they are one organization that could be spending money on the air and going after trump and we have seen nothing from them. >> his strategy with his brother calling him the tortoise, there's always a pat buchanan. john mccain was the disrupter against his brother in 2000. you had michele bachmann and herman cain, it has happened in the past. there's no difference it will happen this time around. >> these are weird and unpredictable times. the candidates actually have the same problem that i realize we have as journalists. i was watching that debate the other night and realized i need to be real careful how i where this. i really want to attack donald trump and point out that this guy is as liberal as any bush

and as slippery as any cliff. but he's not capable of being president in this country. but you have to be careful. if it is hard for me to do it, it has to be hard for republicans. >> we'll move to the democratic race. being respectful to the voters, i was reminded of the bad news about president carter. sometimes there's something in the water and the administration lapses and lapses and the outsider comes on to become president of the united states. the post watergate, pre-twitter, all that, but sometimes voters want something different and they get it and want it. we'll look at the democratic horse race in iowa. clinton is losing to we are no sanders in new hampshire but she's winning in iowa, 50% to 31%. in 2007 at this point, hillary clinton was above barack obama in iowa. she's ahead of bernie sanders but shouldn't be popping champagne just yesterday. only 28% of the iowa democrats,

these are the democrats, fewer than three in ten say she's honest and trustworthy. on the empathy question, which who best understands the problems facing me, she breaks even and just barely beats bernie sanders. so she's winning but -- >> it shows there's room for either a democrat to take her on in a serious way or there's room for republicans in a general election to defeat her. she is a strong candidate in the sense that people think that she -- if you look at the latest polls, she's qualified to be president. she's a weak candidate in the sense that they don't trust her and don't think she understands her problems. those kind of factors really can be damaging throughout a long campaign. >> they respect her but don't love her. but if you're joe biden and this is your summer vacation and looking at the numbers, we know he's making phone calls and asking people what he should do, 9% of new hampshire, 12% in iowa, at a time when democrats know if you have been watching and covering politics, and they do in those states, people have been saying he's thinking about

this. there's no message to john biden from the poll numbers to jump in. >> when you describe hillary's numbers with trust, trust, trust, if you are joe biden and you take a serious look at this, you have to give pause. yesterday we had hillary clinton's chief spokesperson actually argue that the central core of her argument and the spin document she put out is hillary clinton is not a target in the investigation. when you argue that technically your candidate is not the target of the investigation, you're losing. >> i remember some -- nevermind. i have some days of arguing with clinton people on the grand juries and the definition of is and things like that. >> we should do a memory lane thing. >> no, we should not. we could think about that. thank you for coming in. sometimes it does depend on the definition of "is," i guess is the way to say it. luckily, you are too young

to remember most of that or lived through it as a journalist, so god bless you and good luck. >> god bless you, too, this morning, john. thank you so much. we are learning disturbing details now about the young mississippi newlyweds who allegedly wanted to link up with isis. now we're going to talk to the family friend of the husband to learn more about this recent college grad turned alleged terrorist supporter. e won't havo remember passwords. or obsess about security. she'll log in with her smile. he'll have his very own personal assistant. and this guy won't just surf the web. he'll touch it. scribble on it. and share it. because these kids will grow up with windows 10. get started today. windows 10. a more human way to do. ♪"once there was a hushpuppy" by dan romis man kind?eitlin ♪ are we good?

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welcome back to "new day." we are learning more about the couple arrested at the mississippi airport for allegedly traveling to syria to join isis. this is jaelyn delshaun young and her husband muhammad dakhlalla. the charges come as a shock to the town of sharkville, mississippi, especially to those who knew him. he's an attorney and a long-time friend of the dakhlalla family. i know you are not representing mohommad in this case, but you have known the family for over 15 years, what is their reaction to muhammad's arrest?

>> it's like being hit between the eyes with a two-by-four and you're still blinking, you're still shaking your head and the pain hasn't set in yet. >> so they didn't see this coming at all. >> no. they found out about it when the fbi agents knocked on their door. >> how would you describe muhammad or mo as you know him? >> mo is one of the sweetest, nicest kids i ever knew. much nicer of a kid than i ever was. he comes in the room, i have never seen him mad, never seen him angry, never seen him react negatively to his parents when they ask him to do anything. he is just a sweet guy. that's all. >> i understand he comes from a fairly religious family. his father is an e imam.

where there any signs of him developing radical beliefs in any way? >> none. and i'm not sure he developed radical beliefs. none of us are sure exactly where this came from. other than the internet and whoever the -- his wife was talking to. oda and the people of that mosque teach islam as a religion of peace. oda teaches christian groups about islam and tells them that christians and jews are people of the world just as much as muslims and are to be respected and protected. anything to do with isil is amazingly foreign to them and has nothing to do with how mo was raised. >> that being said, we understand he recently got married, at least in the religious tradition.

his documents were not necessarily filed with the court, but do you know much about the relationship between this woman, jaelyn young and muhammad? >> no, i have never met her. this is fairly recent, so i have not had a chance to meet her. >> what does the family want everybody to know? >> they want them to know that mo is completely nonviolent. this is not something that has anything to do with the way mo was raised, the way -- that this news is disturbing to them, disturbing to most americans and parents. how could a child get on the internet and be taken in by this? and that's -- that's what everybody is trying to wrap their head around, including the

dakhlallas. >> that's why we do the segments to find out if there were clues missed. and looking back, it sounds like there were no clues. but thank you so much, dennis harman, for joining us. we appreciate your time and will be following the case certainly. all right, anna, a new cnn poll showing donald trump leading the gop in iowa. we're going to take a look at it, break it down, why do voters trust him? can he hold the lead? stay tuned. no sixth grader's ever sat with the eighth grade girls. but your jansport backpack is permission to park it wherever you please. hey. that's that new gear feeling. this week, filler paper and folders just one cent. office depot officemax. gear up for school. gear up for great.

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money, money, money, money. it's time for cnn money now. what's going on today? >> stocks expected to go higher after china devalued its currency for three straight days. now china says that devaluation is coming to an end. and markets around the world are snapping back. she tweeted how does your student loan debt make you feel, tell us in three emojis or less.

one user tweeted, you know what people who went to college can use? words. of course, student loan reform is meant to be a cornerstone of her domestic policy. by th but that fell a little bit flat. donald trump dominating again in iowa, but the real story is who is shaking out at the top of this poll. they share things in common. and the people at the bottom share things in common as well. ♪

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bernie sanders. >> the one and only gloria g gaynor sitting across from me. >> this is "new day" with chris cuomo, alisyn camerota and mikayla pereira. >> mick and i are joined by ana cabrera. we have breaking news in china. massive explosions destroying people and things miles away from the blast site. more than 700 injured. the explosions so violent they registered as earthquakes. >> the blasts are having a broad impact on a city of about 15 million people. relatives of the dead and injured waiting for word of

their loved ones. will is more than a mile away from the center of where those explosions occurred. >> reporter: we are still amile away from the epicenter of the explosions. this is someone's living room window that has been blown down, fallen down into the street, a street that is littered with debris from people's homes. there's glass from shattered windows. every time there's a wind gust, the glass comes raining down on us here. there's also -- you can still smell the smoke that's burning, again, from the site that is more than a mile away. we just learned in the past few minute that is the death toll has gone up sadly. 50 people now confirmed dead. and there are 77 people in critical condition. people who live here, they can't

go back to their homes tonight. this is deemed unlivable just because of the fact that most of these homes don't even have windows and part of their walls are now gone. there are thousands of people staying in shelters. all of this has happened because of what appears to be a truly tragic industrial accident with toxic chemicals sitting dangerously close to people's homes. this morning, horrific video pouring in of a series of catastrophic explosions in a major chinese port city late wednesday. watch this surveillance video of a man standing near the entrance of a building, the blast decimating the wall, caving in right on top of him. the explosions felt miles away, emanating from an industrial warehouse in a city of 15 million, two hours south of

beijing. the chemical material inside, unknown, and dangerous according to shin wah, a state run news agency. this as the death toll continues rising. dozens now dead, including firefighters and more than 500 injured. the house collapsed, we didn't know what happened, says one survivor. during my life report from outside the hospital, tempers flaired. a group of apparently distraught survivors along with security offices demanding to see the pictures on my phone, forcing them off the air. the massive explosions equivalent to a small earthquake. when you look around at all the devastation here, it's really remarkable. the aftermath found far and

wide, buildings destroyed and cars are completely charred more than a mile away from the blast site. 15 million people live here in, the -- tianjin. just this month with city officials residents had voiced their concerns about living so close to these toxic mix of volatile chemicals. and now the evidence of the danger faced by people. they were just sitting at home, sleeping at home last night when this explosion a mile away did this. and now they don't have anywhere to sleep tonight. >> it's amazing that you're amia mile away from where this is ongoing. the numbers you've been suggesting, certain to go up. stay on it and stay safe, will. appreciate it. turning now to politics. we know who will not be

president of the united states according to iowa voters. donald trump is in first. and those all coming one him have something in common. they have never held elected office. this reality setting off a new round of ugly attacks from politicians against insurgents, mainly trump. we've got sarah murray live in washington. >> reporter: like you said, donald trump is at the top of the pack. and along with that comes a very big target on his back. this time it's rand paul going after him. let's take a look. donald trump dominating the air waves once again this morning. this time in the form of an attack adreleased by rival candidate rand paul. and a whopping 17 points ahead

of paul, according to the latest cnn orc poll of likely caucus goers. but paul isn't backing down. even using the limelight at last night's town hall to do his best trump impression. >> my favorite is the reason i tell women they're ugly is, i'm so good looking. >> reporter: just hours before paul's event in new hampshire trump spoke with cnn's jake tapper. >> rand paul is failing in the polls. he's weak in the military. he's pathetic on the military. hasn't his whole team been indicted? >> the super pack supporting him. >> reporter: last night's political drama wasn't just limited to trump versus paul. jeb bush abruptly left his las

vegas town hall after a crowd of black lives matter activists chanted during his exit, their response to his final answer about racial inequality. >> i have a record of empowering people in communities that had no chance. they were told they were assigned to failing schools. it's easy to understand why that exists, why people don't think the system works for them. >> reporter: our latest cnn poll in eiowa doesn't just show trum on the top. falling out of the top five is jeb bush, coming in at just 5% support. >> one thing that's consistent on the democratic side is hillary clinton, still on top in iowa in the latest cnn o.r.c. poll. you can see she is leading bernie sanders 51% to 31%.

how would the dynamics change if joe biden, who you can see is in third right now -- what if he were to jump into the race? >> clearly this is good news for hillary clinton, but she leads bernie sanders 50% to his 31%. this is the interesting part, right. vice president joe biden has yet to decide whether or not he's going to make a run for the presidency. he's coming in third place with 12%. yesterday's polls showing sanders taking the lead in new hampshire with 44%. all of this is playing out while the fbi is investigating whether any rules were violated for clinton's use of a personal e-mail account as secretary of state. even though most voters feel that clinton's intentions may

have been acceptable, 52% say e-mails should be subject to a criminal investigation. this is taking a hit on how voters feel about clinton. if you go back to iowa sanders is ahead of her, 35% finding him more honest and trust worthy to clinton, who's at 28%. biden not even announcing yet, creeping up behind. donald trump may be dominating the headlines, but john kasich is starting to get noticed these days. he is now third in the polls in new hampshire. his brand of moderate conservatism resonating with voters. >> you sound like a democrat sometimes. >> i tell you something that's really weird about all this.

i balance more budgets than about anybody walking on the face of the earth. i'm kind of kidding, but i've done that. i've cut taxes. i'm for school choice. we're getting at the problem of higher education costs. and somehow because i care about people or i care about the environment, that that makes me something other than a conservative. i think republicans allowed themselves to be put in a box, like if i care about people -- some lady whispered to me when i walked out of the town hall, thanks for caring about people. to me it's giving everybody a chance to be successful. that's how reagan was. that's common sense. >> hillary clinton met yesterday in new hampshire with some black lives matter protesters. i don't know if you saw bernie sanders had a disruption in one of his events because of

protesters. martin o'malley apologized for saying all lives matter. >> do you think it's appropriate to apologize for this? >> in ohio they've come up with 23 recommendations including two things, one, a state-wide politician policy on the use of deadly force. it's going to be in effect very soon. all lives do matter. black lives matter especially now, because there's a fear in these communities that, you know, the justice isn't working for them. but it's about plabalance. i'm not going to get myself caught in some sort of a wedge. the community has to understand the challenges of police. and the police have to understand the challenges of the community. if we work together, we can get

through this. >> you think donald trump is a positive force in the gop field? >> i think he's tapping into people's anxieties as i mentioned at the town hall. i think people have had it with frustrations in their lives connected to the government, connected to the loss of jobs. but i don't think people want to stay on the negative side. i think they want to know what the solutions are. and they're skeptical. when i talk over there, what's going through my mind, are they going to believe me? that's why i keep telling them to check my record. . fair point he made about the challenge and the opportunity that donald trump presents. tweet us on that. now let's get to the numbers on this iowa polling. i was worried about your last name, cathy. say your last name for me.

>> cathy o'bradevich. you could say it's because, cathy, none of them have been in elected office before. do you agree and how does that telescope? >> you know, this is amazing, chris, because no one who has never been elected before has ever won the iowa caucuses and now you have three candidates leading the polls in iowa who have -- some of them have never even run for office before, let alone being elected. i think this shows -- you heard people already this morning talking about how donald trump taps into anger at the establishment. i think that is part of it. i think also people are attracted to the personality factor. donald trump has a huge personality. ben carson, an amazing life

story. people are really at tracted to him as someone who is considered to be extremely intelligent, well spoken and actually a very, very nice man. and now carly fiorina really rocketing up the polls. she's been in the bottom tier all year and a standout debate performance even though she was in the cocktail hour debate. and suddenly we've got three candidates very very different from wa hat we normally see in iowa. >> let's look at the numbers of why people are saying trump should be the choice. change washington, plus 35 points over his closest rifval, then the economy, then immigration. what does that mean to you, that that's changing washington and the economy and they trust him

more than everybody else? cathy? we're going to try and get josh back online. what does that mean to you that he's that far ahead on that kind of issue? >> i think that it's clear that he is a change agent. he is, you know, somebody who is really not speaking the word that we normally hear from politicians in washington. you know, he kind of rips the veil off and really lets it rip. when i talk to voters, that is what they really like about donald trump. now, not all change is good change. and you may have some people in your polls who say he's going to change things for your, but i don't know if it's going to be for the better. >> he's the face of discontent. and he's show head can go toe to toe with these guys.

now, one vulnerability is women, for the gop, for donald trump specifically. now, there is a potential -- i don't want to say potential. i want you to judge it, cathy. a magic pill for thim if he can make good on his proposition that i'm doing it, i hire women and put them in positions of authority and pay them as well or better than the men. what if he can prove it? what would it mean for women? and what if he can't prove it? >> i think that would help him walk back some of the comments he's said in the debate, things he's said about women that are insulting and that he's all about dating and marrying supermodels and not really that interested in moving women forward in careers and society.

i think there is something holding him back in iowa. and that is he's very negative toward the other candidates. my experience in iowa is women voters in particular do not like hearing candidates ripping into people in their own party. >> we lost josh there. but that's how it goes with this technology. appreciate your perspective on the numbers. it's early, but you've got to watch a horse race because you've got to see the moves and what happens at the wire. breaking overnight, isis now saying it's behind a deadly blast in baghdad. this is the scene left behind. a truck bomb exploded in this crowded market. 36 people are dead, 75 injured. there are still reports that the death toll could be much higher. this is a predominantly shia

area. it has been targeted by sunni terrorists several times. u.s. planes launch aircra s strikes from a base in turkey. we go to nick at that air base in turkey. >> reporter: what we're seeing behind here is a pretty busy morning. we can't tell if turkish ones that have long been using this or the american jets that as of yesterday began their strikes. it's partially that latter idea, being able to keep jets in the air a lot longer over isis controlled areas in syria that's so attractive to americans in trying to get use of this base. it's 15 minute flight only to syria from here, remarkably short time, makes refuelling

easier, makes the amount of time they can look for stray isis a lot longer. we've had a long bargaining time to get here. the use of this base could significantly change the speed of u.s. operations against isis. the nfl deflategate scandal is playing out now in federal court. judge richard berman repeatedly asking the league's laurs to provide direct evidence linking tom brady to deflated footballs. this isn't just the court of public opinion. it's about knowi ining only whau show at court. the nfl admits it does not have this smoking gun. it's this court sketch of brady that's getting all the buzz.

other people are comparing him to one of the guys from the adams family. courtroom artist jane rosen burg apologizing for not making brady as good looking as he is. tom brady only looks like this to jets fans. >> i think so. and to heart broken patriots fans perhaps. >> even my wife saying why can't he play without his helmet? >> also don't you think on the flip side if they made this gorgeous glowing portrait of him -- people would complain about that too. bernie sanders has seen his presidential campaign soar to new levels. we are going to hear from his campaign manager straight ahead. you totalled your brand new car.

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the numbers tell the story. bernie sanders, senator from vermont, certainly gaining momentum as he's trying to take

down hillary clinton in the race for the white house. take a look. he's trailing, of course, but he is pulling ahead of clinton in new hampshire. yes, it's the neighboring state, but there could be residents beyond that. the crowds that are coming out to hashtag feel the bern. here's someone who better say yes, bernie sanders campaign manager jeff weaver. it's good to have you on the show. as you know early on we were pushing the senator to run because it was good to have more voices in there. but no one saw crowds like this coming. what is making people hashtag feel the bern? >> people are feeling the bern because bernie sanders is speaking to the reality they know in their own lives. they know they can't afford to send their kids to college, they know they're working longer hours for lower wages. bernie sanders is speaking clearly and openly about those

issues and people are responding. >> what do you think it will take for him to catch and pass hillary clinton? can he do it? >> yes, we can do it. this past weekend we had over 70,000 people at rallies on the west coast. hundreds of thousands of people have given us contributions at berniesanders.com. this is a grass roots campaign and it is catching fire from one coast to the other. >> the clintons are known as being more centrist. but there's another number here that i think will give you some better leverage against this conversation. trustworthiness, sanders 35%, clinton 28%. the senator doesn't really talk about hillary's e-mail troubles. why not? >> this campaign is about the united states and what we need

to do to fix the ails of the country. this is not about gossip. this is about real issues that affect real people. people are sick and tired of not having leaders that are ready to address the problems they face in their everyday lives. that's what bernie does. >> true enough. leadership is about accountability. and what's going on with the e-mail stuff is the subject of a federal investigation. it's not gossip. >> that will play itself out, but we want to talk about the issues that are important to people in their immediate lives, the high cost of college education, the fact that wages are stagnant in this country, those are the issues that people want to hear about that their next president is going to deal with. >> you're neck and neck with her. we just put up the numbers. they are 40-39.

statistical dead heat. what changes for the senator if the vice president gets in the race? >> look, anybody is free to enter the race who wants to enter the race. we're going to continue doing what we've been doing, which is talking about the issues, which is traveling the country and meeting with tens and tens and tens of thousands of people. it's not going to affect how we run our campaign. our campaign is about the issues and that's what we're sticking to. >> let me ask you about this wrinkle in the plans. the gop numbers are showing here's what we know for sure. that's in quotes because we don't know anything for sure. trump, carson, fiorina with a climb. they are outsiders. the senator has been in the game since the '80s as mayor. how does he claim that portion of the outrage? >> i've worked with bernie sanders off and on for 30 years. he has stood up for working

people, middle income people and the poor in this country. people know he is a fighter in washington. he's the outsider on the inside we like to say? >> he also says he is a social li socialist? >> absolutely, yes. because the issues we're talking about are the issues resonating with americans. you can see by the poll numbers, by the crowds and by the grass roots funding we've received. >> true or false, bernie sanders the senator from vermont never imagined that the race would pick up this way this quickly? >> that's absolutely true. that's true of everybody. if i had come on this show four months ago and said we're going to be ahead in new hampshire and we're going to be in the same place that barack obama was with respect to hillary clinton at this time back in 2007, you

would have laughed me off the show. >> it just showing what an amazing campaign manager he must have. it's clearly all about the engineering of strategy. pass along the best to the senator. we are always looking forward to a robust debate. since he has gotten in the game, not easy to get him on "new d " day." >> we won't forget you, chris. >> we'll be following every step of the way. thank you very much, sir. what do you think? are you feeling the bern? if so, why or if not, why. the pictures out of china are horrific. an earthquake, almost like an earthquake, but this was an explosion that could be felt from miles away. we'll have more stunning pictures from this huge catastrophe coming up next. i don't want to live with the uncertainties of hep c. or wonder...

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. here are the five things you need to know. number one, a series of violent explosions at a chinese warehouse, the death toll now rising to 50, more than 700 others injured. the warehouse handled hazardous material. new poll shows donald trump dominating republican rivals in the iowa. on the democratic side, hillary clinton beating rival bernie sanders despite that e-mail server scandal. president jimmy carter is battling cancer. doctors detected the disease after an operation to remove a mass from his liver. the cancer has now spread to

other parts of his body. isis claiming responsibility for a deadly blast in baghdad with a truck blast. 36 dead, 75 others injured. the death toll is expected to rise. mariners pitcher throwing a no-hitter against the baltimore orioles. the first no-hitter in the american league in three years. you can get more on the five things to know by visiting new day at cnn.com. music may calm your nerves if you are having surgery. check it out. researchers at queen mary university of london found that patients who listened to music before and after an operation were less anxious and needed less pain relief. it did not reduce the hospital stay, though. the research examined about 7,000 patients. one caveat, probably not listen to heavy metal and rap music.

the sounds need to be soothing. i'd argue that a tribe called quest would be just right. the new cnn polls showing what you already know and that is donald trump is still on top. he has not lost any steam in iowa. but ben carson and carly fiorina are also getting a bufferin. there are some others, though, seeing their stars fade. who could be in trouble in the 2016 race? we'll discuss. we got the new tempur-flex and it's got the spring and bounce of a traditional mattress. you sink into it, but you can still move around. now that i have a tempur-flex, i can finally get a good night's sleep. (vo) change your sleep. change your life. change to tempur-pedic.

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fiorina has come out of nowhere. bush is way down. when you look at this, who's in trouble? >> first of all, i think the key word you said is 15 months. let's not put too much stock in today's polls. i think the person who is in trouble is jeb bush. he hasn't caught fire. scott walker's campaign is tanking. he's not connecting with people. we know that anecdotally. >> why is that? >> you have to talk to the people of iowa and the registers republicans for that answer. let me try something different. the big beneficiary of this environment, this changing environment is joe biden if he chooses to enter the race. he's looking at it right now. his people believe he may do it. some say yes, some say no. but the distrust factor with hillary clinton, the whole trump excitement and bubble that will

probably burst gives a great opportunity to biden to capture the imagination of the press, of this race, of democrats who don't want to see hillary clinton, who are worried about the distrust factor with her. one thing that i keep hearing about biden is that if he were to declare and say because age is such a problem for him if he does, i want to be a one-term president, i want to serve for four years, unite washington, i've dealt with the republicans in congress all my adult life. i think there's a conversation going onto that effect among his aides and friends. it could light fire to the current political environment. >> i like what you've done. >> i do that from talking to people. >> i do like what you're suggesting, though. >> i'm not in the business of advising candidates. i'd be terrible at it.

it's why i wrote a book about hillary clinton, the standard biography. i don't give her advice either. instead of looking at who's failing is who's getting an opportunity for this. we're in the first yards of a marathon. we're not even in the first mile. this is a time for sloughing off. we've already seen that rick perry didn't even make the graphic on our cnn poll here because he's at 1%. we understand he stopped paying campaign staffers. this is the time we start seeing some of this occur, correct? >> that is correct. the thing that was unforeseen is trump phenomenon and how it's shaking up the whole environment in both parties. we need to keep our eye on who would be elected in a general election. that means someone who cannot just appeal to the republican base in iowa, but to the country at large. for that, you have to look at

what's happening with fee riori and kasich, who is a very different kind of republican, who said he'll take medicaid funds and has a different view on immigration than those who are pandering to the base. the other surprise is rubio who has painted himself so far to the right, who has put abortion so front and center to his campaign as to render him unelectable. let's go back to the surprises. the surprise is that both jeb bush and hillary clinton are in trouble with their bases to some extent. >> why do you think hillary is in trouble when you look at the poll in iowa and she had 50% of the majority supporting her there? >> let's say something about

iowa. the idea that a few thousand people have the power of this whole country to vote says something about how screwed up our system is. once we get past new hampshire, which we will, there will be some relative sanity and balance restored to the electoral process. hillary is in trouble because she had done damage to herself. her enemies are taking advantage of the situation with the server. jeb bush has his own, quote, server problem. he too used a private server. he discussed national guard deployments, i believe, in the middle east on that server.

at the same time, hillary's server shenanigans for lack of a better word are going to continue to plague her, because what happened is real. and what happened is that classified information which should have remained classified went across this server. and we don't know how and whether it was compromised. if you look at hillary clinton's own comments about people being prosecuted for breeaching national security through leaks -- >> the concern is obvious. >> it's a problem. and it's not going to go away. gun, i come back to biden. >> thank you so much, carl bernstein. let's see what happens in the week ahead. special guest coming up. one of the best known songs of

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. ♪ i will survive ♪ oh, as long as i know how to love, i know i'll stay alive ♪ the tune, the 'tude. now i've got the one and only gloria gaynor sitting across from me. what a pleasure to have you here. >> thank you. >> such a big part of a moment with culture, a moment in time. do you know that? >> i think so. >> when you hear the song, i know you still play it when you perform. i know it's part of how you see your musical history. but what does the song mean to you now? >> it means a lot to me because i've found that it is the

foundation for my purpose. >> foundation for your purpose. you called the song to me a divine appointment. >> right. >> how so? >> well, i was asked by the record company to record another song. and when i went to the producers, they made a deal with the record company to write the b side. i said what's the b side? they said what do you want it to be? what do you like to sing? what kind of emotions? after that conversation they said you're the one we've been waiting for to record this song two years ago. >> they used the word anthem for the song that is about purpose, that is about perseverance. what did you take from it early on? >> exactly that. when i read the lyrics, i was standing there in a back brace after having surgery on my spine. i had a performance at the b

beacon theater in new york and fell down. i'm standing there in a back brace reading these lyrics and relating this to this. and the fact my mother had recently passed away, something i never thought i'd survive. so if i'm relating these things to this song that's really about unrequited love, other people would do the same thing. >> it's set to disco music. disco is kind of a dirty word, isn't it? it was the disco era. and people always want to put stink on disco. does that fit? >> not at all. first of all, i've always believed that the backlash on disco was orchestrated. >> oh. >> by someone whose bottom line was being negatively affected by the advancements and popularity of disco music.

>> so you buy into the whole chicago white sox, that night that disco supposedly died that the rock labels had paid djs and people to bad-mouth disco music. >> absolutely. i'm analytical enough to have looked at that situation and thought, if they hated disco music, why did that have all those records to burn. >> what pops out at you about disco music in the '70s kwe? >> what i want to remember is we had camaraderie and we had a coming together of people on the dance floor and off the dance floor and then in the cities and communities around the world. what stands out to me that i don't want to remember is we got caught up in a sort of pseudoinnocence and started doing thing that were not good for us, over indulging. >> that's part of the stink,

that you could only enjoy disco music if you were high. >> those things were attached to the music. so those people were listening to disco music and they did that, that wasn't a fault of the music. >> who did you love back then? >> i loved thelma houston with "don't leave me this way." i loved donna summer. my all-time favorite song to dance to is "brick house ". >> what a song. >> yeah. >> gloria is getting ready to record a new album. you're doing christian music now? >> yes. it's definitely christian music, it's christian based, but the sound, the music are inspirational can apply to anyone. of course, christ applies to anyone if they want him. >> you don't have to be a christian to like the music. >> you don't. >> because it's coming out of

you and you have a beautiful voice. and you accept that you have a place in history from the '70s and beyond. >> absolutely. >> we need this song probably today more than we've ever needed it. >> thank you. >> gloria gaynor. >> bless you. my pleasure. >> please tune in tonight for the season finale of the seventies. they lived. ♪ they lived. ♪ they lived. ♪ (dad) we lived... thanks to our subaru. ♪ (announcer) love. it's what makes a subaru, a subaru.

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♪ em-ma very good sweety, how do you feel? good. yeah? you did a really good job, okay? [ female announcer ] to nurses everywhere, thank you, from johnson & johnson. today's good stuff is a tale of unbelievable honesty. a georgia woman recently took her grand kid to the nascar hall of fame. that's nice. bought them a souvenir. when she got home, she discovered there was an extra eraser in the bag. how do we know? because she mailed a handwritten letter to the store along with a check for $2. the clerks were shocked.

>> you know you could have just kept the extra eraser and it would all have been okay. >> listen, i've got somebody to answer to. the lord. i want to be honest. >> she didn't want to be honest. she was honest. needless to say the store is not going to cash the check. >> thank you for being here with us. >> alisyn is getting her deserved time off and sleeping in. >> it's good to have you. >> you too. good morning. you guys have a great day. "newsroom" starts now. ♪ happening now on the "newsroom," trump still on top. guess who he's winning over? we break down the latest poll numbers. plus, putin a big problem? why a top american general say it's russia we really need to worry about. and rex to the rescue. this