this gps, the global public kwarment welcome to all on you in the united states and around the world. i'm fareed zakaria. we'll start today's show with what could be the next war in the middle east. saudi arabia versus iran. sus -- sunni versus shia. what will the next step be? will this cold war turn hot and what role should america play? i have a terrific panel to talk about all of that. then, the next recession. we're due for another one.

and some see it coming from china. what in the world? i will explain. also, the most controversial secretary of state of all time, perhaps, henry kissinger. war criminal, foreign policy master mind, something in between. i will ask his biographer. neil fergs ferguson. vladmir putin. he's just declared nato a threat to russia but how much of a threat is he to the west? finally, one of the world's top fashion houses. they make shoes, handbags, skirts and now jobs. yes, indeed. first, here's my take. over the last two decades, the united states has approached the middle east through its own conceptual frame works, secularism versus religion, order versus chaos.

but the most significant trend shaping the region today is something different. sunnis versus shiites. that struggle affects every aspect of the region's politics. it's confounded american policy in the past. it's pressured the shiaa revival. the american invasion of iraq in 2003 was the tipping point. the u.s. suffered bringing democracy to iraq. >> we will not relent until your country is free. >> but people in the region saw something different. the upending of the balance of power. sunnis who make up 85% of all muslims had long dominated the arab world even in shiite majority countries. like iraq and bahrain. in one stroke that changed. iraq, a major arab state would

now be ruled by shiites. this rattled other arab regimes and their anxieties have only grown since then. though there's always a tension, sunnis and shiites did live in peace for the most part recently. the only shiite power, iran, was ruled by the shah. the regime was neither religious or sectarian. when the shah was overthrown, the country that first game him save harbor was egypt, the region's largest sunni power. the shift took place in 1979. the islamic revolution in iran brought to power an aggressively religious ruling class determined to export its ideas and support shiites in the reon. -- region. militant radicals took over the in mecca proclaiming opposition to the royal family and its lax ways. the event scared the saudis

pushing the regime to the religious right. saudi arabia's governing ideology was viewing the sect as he receipt iks. saudi arabia responded by adopting an even more sectarian edge to its policies. this may be about more than just geo-politics. saudi arabia's facing a series of challenges from isis to domestic extremists. the country's large inactive social media is dominated by radical islamists. as oil price plunge, government revenues have collapsed and the country's generous subsidies to its people will prove hard to sustain. the regime needs greater legitimacy. that's why we see a more aggressive foreign policy that saudi arabia has ever pursued. the strategy is not without risk. about 10 to 15% of saudi arabia is shiite.

they live in the eastern province atop the kingdom's oil fields. neighboring bahrain and yemen are now filled with resentful shiites who see saudi arabia as repressing them. it should not take sides in the broader sectarian struggle. this is someone else's civil war. after all washington's principal ally in the fight against isis the shiite dominated government in baghdad. the single greatest threat remains radical sunni jihadist. many of whom have drawn inspiration, funding and doctrines from saudi arabia. there are very few good guys in this story. for more go to cnn.com/fareed

and read my "washington post" column this week. let's get started. let's dig deeper into the middle east cold and hot wars with a really terrific panel. joining me here in new york, robin wright a contributing writer at the u.s. institute of peace and the woodrow wilson center. the dean of the john hopkins school of advanced international studies and former top advisor at the state department. he's also an iranian american. he's now an executive vice president at brookings and in geneva, a visiting fellow at harvard's center for science and international affairs and a columnist for an arab newspaper.

he from saudi arabia. robin, you say this scism is perhaps turning into one of the biggest divides in the world of islam in 14 centuries. >> i think so. in terms of the scope of the impact and the damage that's being done, this is something with a two rival powers that plays out politically, ideology, strategically and every range and it's having an extraordinary impact on the four critical peace initiatives that were supposed to begin playing out this month. the effort to get the government and opposition together in syria. the effort to push the various warring factions in yemen to a second round of peace talks after the collapse of the cease-fire, to help the iraqis move both militarily and politically to solve the cry with isis. this timing really comes at an extraordinary moment at each one

and having a rippling impact across the region. >> do you think that saudi arabia recognized what it was getting itself into with the execution of this shiite cleric? >> well, at least they should have known largely because the mood in the region is very tense. there's already heightened sectarian in iraq. the uprisings in bahrain became very quickly sectarian. also there had been warnings from iran and the united states that this could be the start of a wedge issue that could polarize the already tense situation that existed. >> do you know of what we are seeing in saudi arabia is the saudi's taking on a much more assertive and aggressive foreign policy to defend themselves from

what they see as iran's maneuver and encroachment and what they see as a kind of abandonment of saudi arabia interests by the obama administration. is that a fair characterizations of your views? >> this is correct. you have a loss of u.s. presence and of u.s. leadership in the region. you have to have the most powerful of the arab states that's still standing take on the role and take on a role that's going to be able to negate and then start pulling back slowly iranian presence in the arab world. that's ongoing. it's only going to increase in the next several years. >> what do you make of that criticism of the obama administration? in the sense the republicans make it as well that if the united states were more assertive, more engaged and many of them keep saying we should be supporting our allies, saudi arabia, more strongly. >> after the iran nuclear deal

was done, i think president obama tried very hard with the new leadership in saudi arabia to get on the same page. the consequence of that when this headstrong young leader in saudi arabia under the king, his son and also the crown prince, took saudi arabia and the rest of the gulf states into a war in yemen instead of obama saying hold on guys, this might not be such a good idea. you're going to get stuck in a quagmire here. we went along with it. now they are stuck. now 50% of the gulf military capability is being eaten up in war that's causing humanitarian crisis in yemen. that's to the advantage of iran. it's not containing iran. the gulf states of the military capabilities when we need them to be active elsewhere in the region, particularly against

isis. we have an urgent need to try to get on the same page. that requires both sides to be more engaged with each other in confronting both the iranian ambitions and the challenge in isis. >> what do you think? >> i agree with that. that statement of the problem. i would put it differently. once the united states started talking to iran it changed the whole strategy of the region. for 40 years it was a very close alliance between saudi arabia and iran. saudi arabia and the united states to contain iran. now there's a breach in that alliance. the united states has decided it's not as committed to containing iran has saudi arabia would have expected. but the problem is not containing iran. there are too many shias in the region. they basically have to accept to live under a political order that existed before 2003 iraqi

invasion. >> which is a sunni dominated. >> an order in which iran will have absolutely no influence and the shias have absolutely no ability to rely on iran. the dilemma you might even be able to contain iran, but you can't contain half the population of the region which sense iraq has woken up. there's no going back to an order before 2003 where there should be passive acceptance of an american sunni/arab architecture that keeps iran outside and you have the populations where the minorities and majorities, the shias would accept things as they were. >> do you think the iranians want to come in from the cold and become more modern?

do you think they're seeking to spread their influence through the shia populations of the middle east? what is iran's goal here? s. >> it looked as january as a month that almost after two generations it was going to end its pariah status. and it saw relations being warmed around the world. its place being restored. its is the most populous country and it has a huge consumer base, enormous resources that it was looking for the restoration of its stature, proud civilization. now this crisis has begun to derail that. the gulf countries cutting off relations. the questions being asked, if we do warm relations, will other embassies be ransacked in tehran, too? yet again, attacking another embassy. the thing that's so interesting and the reason that the ability of the outside world is limited

in -- in writing this very difficult showdown is because both countries are really in transition. iran is in a transition in the sense that it's going to elections next month that will decide the future course of the revolution. will decide whether the balance of power will shift or remain as it has been in the last decade in the hands of hardliners. in saudi arabia, you have a king who's been in power a year. he's ailing. he's deferred a lot of the power to his young son. both countries feel kind of vulnerable in transition at the moment. next on gps, we will tackle some of the other top stories happening in the world, most notably the north korean nuclear test.

rheumatoid arthritis like me... s ed sfrs pain and protect my joints from further damage. this is humira helping me reach for more. doctors have been prescribing humira for more than 10 years. humira works for many adults. it targets and helps to block a specific source of inflammation that contrubutes to ra symptoms. humira can lower your ability to fight infections, including tuberculosis. serious, sometimes fatal infections and cancers, including lymphoma, have happened, as have blood, liver and nervous system problems, serious allergic reactions, and new or worsening heart failure. before treatment, get tested for tb. tell your doctor if you've been to areas where certain fungal infections are common,

and if you've had tb, hepatitis b, are prone to infections, or have flu-like symptoms or sores. don't start humira if you have an infection. talk to your doctor and visit humira.com this is humira at work.

we are back. s -- let me ask you about this new order, this new ruling elite in saudi arabia.

there are lots of people who tell me that they are very worried. the king is ailing, the person the defacto ruler is the 29 or 30-year-old deputy crown prince who is also defense minister and chairman of the ruling counselor of the saudi oil company. he seems to have done things that people say are rash and impulsive. the war in yemen. much more aggressive saudi foreign policy in general and some of these anti-shia, anti-iranian moves, how does it look to yous sdrk you? >> he was already faced with several challenges. one of them was yemen. you have a coalition where you listen to ideas and policies that don't really work or take

things into your own hands. they're in iraq funding see shia militi militias. he was faced with a set of factors and a set of challenges. through this new committee that's been established, they've had to make decisions and go forward. will they plan out? will they not plan out? time will tell. he didn't have the luxury to stand still and see things happening around itself in the region which it should dominate in the arab world and wait for instructions and some guidance from the u.s. which weren't coming in the first place. >> we have to move on. robin, you went to north korea with madeline albright.

you look at this recent test. what is most interesting is, china was not informed. the chinese seem upset about it. in the past they have never wanted to pull the plug. they provide most of the fuel and food that keeps north korea going. is there any sign that will change? >> not yet. one of the great challenges, what do you do to try to convince the regime this is not a wise course of action without the chinese participating. it's the most critical element. it's tried increasing sanctions. neither has had enough impact. while there are calls for more sanctions, without the chinese squeezing the north koreans, the prospect of getting any shift is

unlikely. this is a young man, very insecure. this is his macho response and it's a very dangerous course of action. >> when you were in government, you were advising the secretary of state, what do you make of these reports that the taliban s may now actually control more territory in afghanistan than it did in 2001? that after 14 years, after all this money, every time we draw back from a town, the taliban seems to be able to encroach? >> the idea there was a security force that could take over from the u.s. military as we drew down was overstated and oversold. the afghan security forces are not able to with stand the taliban. as wes we shrank our forces, the

taliban began to encroach. it's not just the taliban. it's isis showing up in afghanistan in pockets in the north and east that are controlled by extremists that are ally to isis. that's another source of worry. the other problem is that the afghan government that we invested so much hope in is not performing the way we thought it should. in a sense, afghanistan is going sideways and downwards like when the united states left iraq. we created scenario where we market it as good enough. afghanistan good enough, iraq good enough but it's not good enough. >> what are we supposed to do? we can't stay in these countries forever. it's been 14 years and probably a trillion dollars in afghanistan. >> that's true. but i think that what happened in iraq with our complete draw down and the chaos that emerged from that with another ruler there who was a real problem

that pulling out altogether is not a good idea in afghanistan. s we at least have a leadership there we can work with. i think it's worth while to stay the course there. president obama is in his final year. he has to start to think about handing over things to the next president. that's part of his responsibility. and try to find a way to move against isis more effectively. try to ensure that afghanistan does not fall apart. focusing on the rebalancing. here's we have an opportunity. picking up on what robin was saying. the challenge is to get the chinese to put the pressure on the north koreans. that's where the leverage lies. our leverage lies in making clear to the chinese that if they don't, we will have no choice but to boost our presence in their region so as to protect

our allies, south korea and japan. they don't want that and that may give us to get them to pressure the north koreans. >> this is sounding like a very, very complicated world to start the new year. thank you very much. terrific panel. next, the great recession that almost became a depression might seem like it was yesterday but in reality it began eight years ago and some think the next recession could already be on its way. it's all about china. i'll tell you what you need to know when we come back. e basketball hall of famer dominique wilkins... ...are taking charge of their type 2 diabetes... ...with non-insulin victoza®. for a while, i took a pill to lower my blood sugar. but it didn't get me to my goal. so i asked my doctor about victoza®. he said victoza® works differently than pills. and comes in a pen. victoza® is proven to lower blood sugar and a1c. it's taken once a day, any time. victoza® is not for weight loss,

but it may help you lose some weight. victoza® is an injectable prescription medicine that may improve blood sugar in adults with type 2 diabetes when used with diet and exercise. it is not recommended as the first medication to treat diabetes... ...and should not be used in people with type 1 diabetes or diabetic ketoacidosis. victoza® has not been studied with mealtime insulin. victoza® is not insulin. do not take victoza® if you have a personal or family history of medullary thyroid cancer... ...multiple endocrine neoplasia syndrome type 2, or if you are allergic to... ...victoza® or any of its ingredients. symptoms of a serious allergic reaction... ...may include itching, rash, or difficulty breathing. tell your doctor... ...if you get a lump or swelling in your neck. serious side effects may happen in people who take victoza®... ...including inflammation of the pancreas (pancreatitis). stop taking victoza®... ...and call your doctor right away if you have signs of pancreatitis such as severe pain that will not go away in your abdomen

or from your abdomen to your back... ...with or without vomiting. tell your doctor about all the medicines you take... ...and if you have any medical conditions. taking victoza® with a sulfonylurea or... ...insulin may cause low blood sugar. the most common side effects are headache, nausea... ...diarrhea, and vomiting. side effects can lead to dehydration... ...which may cause kidney problems. if your pill isn't giving you... ...the control you need... ...ask your doctor about non-insulin victoza®. it's covered by most health plans.

now for our what in the world segment. the big short tells the story of the unlikely characters that predicted the financial crisis of 2008. >> who doesn't wear shows knowing more than alan greenspan. >> yes, he does. >> it's a riveting tale likely to receive some oscar nominations this week. the film also makes you wonder what might cause the next global crisis. this past week the markets may have given us more than a hint. on monday and again on thursday, china's main shanghai market plummeted 7% each day. the drop was so dramatic that trading was halted on both days.

other markets around the world took some big hits as a consequence. all the turmoil suggests a frightening possibility, a global recession born in china. richard, an expert on emerging markets at morgan stanley has been warning about that scenario for months. he says the world is about due for a recession. since the early 1970s, global downturns have struck every seven and a half years on average. it has been seven years since the last one. these days china is the world's biggest driver of economic growth. a reversal of years past when the united states powered growth. the world economy hinges on china like never before. beijing is mired in debt and keeps on racking up more. levels have skyrocketed to around 300% of the total economy.

no developing country has taken on debt faster than china in recent years. when debt levels go up so fast and so furiously, that's the single most reliable predictor of financial crisis, he says. china is staring into this abyss thanks to the hubris of its rulers. for years, they delivered miraculous double digit growth. they lifted tens of millions out of poverty. when the financial crisis hit in 2008, they wanted to keep things going. so they began a massive stimulus program and they have not wanted to pull the plug on it for fear that economic growth would come crashing down. ironically while the country technocrats don't have to worry about elections, they are so worried about angering the population that they are unwilling to stop goosing the

economy. beijing still has extraordinary tools at its disposals include ing strong fundamentals and huge experts of cash. chi china's stock market is less reflective of the nation's economy compared to other countries. every nation on earth will be affected by the policies in the next year. >> china's killing us. >> you'll likely hear lots of china bashing in the 2016 election, but the truth is americans should be rooting for china to succeed. if not, americans will feel the pain right here at home. next on gps, understanding henry kissinger. richard nixon secretary of state is one of the most controversial people to hold that office. is that controversy grounded in factor fiction? i'll ask neil ferguson, the author of a massive biography of the 92-year-old elder statesman. then, i decided to have my dna tested through

ancestry dna. it turns out i'm scottish. so, i traded in my lederhosen for a kilt. aren't moving in the right direction,bers it can be a burden. but what if you could wake up to lower blood sugar? imagine loving your numbers. discover once-daily invokana®. with over 6 million prescriptions and counting, it's the #1 prescribed sglt2 inhibitor that works to lower a1c. invokana® is used along with diet and exercise to

significantly lower blood sugar in adults with type 2 diabetes. it's a once-daily pill that works around the clock. here's how: invokana® reduces the amount of sugar allowed back in to the body through the kidneys and sends some sugar out through the process of urination. and while it's not for weight loss, it may help you lose weight. invokana® can cause important side effects, including dehydration, which may cause you to feel dizzy, faint, lightheaded, or weak, especially when you stand up. other side effects may include kidney problems, genital yeast infections, urinary tract infections, changes in urination, high potassium in the blood, increases in cholesterol, or risk of bone fracture. do not take invokana® if you have severe kidney problems or are on dialysis. stop taking and call your doctor right away if you experience symptoms such as rash, swelling, or difficulty breathing or swallowing. tell your doctor about any medical conditions,

medications you are taking, and if you have kidney or liver problems. using invokana® with a sulfonylurea or insulin may increase risk of low blood sugar. imagine life with a lower a1c. are you loving your numbers? there's only one invokana®. ask your doctor about it by name. you're down with crestor. alright! now there's a way you can get crestor for $3. adding crestor, along with diet, lowers bad cholesterol. crestor is not for people with liver disease, or women who are nursing,pregnant, or may become pregnant. tell your doctor all medicines you take. call your doctor if you have muscle pain or weakness; feel unusually tired; have loss of appetite, upper belly pain, dark urine or yellowing of skin or eyes. these could be signs of serious side effects. ask for the crestor $3 card. ask your doctor about crestor.

henry kissinger is a controversial figure. that's probably an understatement. on the one hand, the opening up of china to the west and the world, but also the 1973 nobel prize for attempts to bring peace to vietnam. but his critics have called him a war criminal. so which is it? neil ferguson has done a deep dive into the life and papers of

henry kissinger and come out with the first installment of his biography of the former secretary of state. i talked to ferguson about kissinger and his title, the idealist. you spent a lot of time talking about his upbringing. you pointed out something that might surprise people. he grew up an unorthodox jew in germany. this is something he doesn't bring up a lot. this is something others don't spend a lot of time on. do you think that orthodox jewish background was important to understanding kissinger? >> yes. in the sense that one has to understand the youth to understand anyone really. growing up between 1923 and 1938, he grew up in a pretty

strict orthodox community. it was a part of germany that was by no means friendly to jews. you're right next door to nurembe nuremberg. and nuremberg was one of the hotbeds of national socialism, a place that produced the magazine. i think the fact that he grew up unorthodox in that very hostile environment mattered a lot. >> one of the things people are sure about about henry kissinger, he is very clever about advancing his own career. do you see him as the young man, the harvard assistant professor, plotting and planning his way carefully to get to be this very young national security advisor and then secretary of state? >> no. i mean, i thought i would. i thought i was going to call this book american machiavelly.

his inept attempts were. we think of the later kissinger of a master manipulator of the press. the early kissinger makes massive blunders. i came to realize that this younger kissinger is kind of politically slightly naive and at times almost bungling and propelled by the realism he encounters. it's very telling he's shocked by the deals that kennedy does, say, over the berlin wall or over the cuban missile swap for u.s. missiles in turkey. kissinger goes through is grubby to doe these deals with the soviets. >> you know that you are writing

this under the shadow of a huge amount that's been written about henry kissinger, in particular very tough nasty indictments. the book and movie essentially accusing him of war crimes. this does again, happened in his period in power. but you do talk a little bit about it at the front of the book. you think that the indictment of henry kissinger as a war criminal is unfair. >> i think it requires a double standard. it requires you to say that things that were done by the nixon administration were uniquely wicked and were not done by other administrations. and i think if you apply a single standard, it's very striking that there's a continuity in u.s. foreign policy. if you take specific example. it is by no means only in chile that a military coup takes place that the united states is happy about if not actually supports. if you take the case of the bombing of cambodia, it is not a

unique situation that an american administration is responsible for bombing a country that it is not formally at war with. in fact, these things go on in our own time. think only of the restoration of aid to al sisi's regime in egypt, a regime likely to kill a lot more people in the end than in chile or the bombing that has gone on in pakistan. today, we have drones rather than b-52s. this is not it seems to me substantially different from what was going on in cambodia in the early 1970s. >> they used that far more frequently -- >> and if you carry on thinking what was done in the 1950s and 1960s, you'd have to conclude that they were all war criminals.

nearly all the secretary of states also be accused of these things and nearly all the presidents too. that seems to me the main problem. not to say it's all okay. if we're going to assess american policy during and indeed after the cold war, we should have a single standard. >> fascinating book. can't wait for the second value. >> thank you. up next, the former world chest champion from the days of the soviet union has now become one of the biggest thorns in vladimir putin's side. he'll take us inside russia, inside moscow, even inside putin's head with some startling revelations when we come back.

iall across the state belthe economy is growing,day. with creative new business incentives, and the lowest taxes in decades, attracting the talent and companies of tomorrow. like in the hudson valley, with world class biotech. and on long island, where great universities are creating next generation technologies. let us help grow your company's tomorrow, today at business.ny.gov

♪ light piano today i saw a giant. it had no arms, but it welcomed me. (crow cawing) it had no heart, but it was alive. (train wheels on tracks) it had no mouth, but it spoke to me. it said, "rocky mountaineer: all aboard amazing".

as 2015 was turning into 2016, russian president vladmir putin did something rather extraordinary. something that got lost in the shuffle of new year's celebrations. putin signed an executive order naming nato as a threat to russia's national security due to the military alliances approach to russian borders and its buildup of military potential. so just how bad is the state of affairs between russia and the west? to talk about that and much more, i had gary kasparov in the studio. best known for becoming the

youngest world chest champion at age 22. since retiring from chest, he's become a campaigner for human rights and democracy in russia. gary kasparov, pleasure to have you on. you think that russia is in a very dangerous stage right now because of the nature of putin's rule. the book, the title is haunting, "winter is coming," and you really think that it's going to get pretty bad in russia. >> oh, it will get worse before it gets better. >> because oil prices are collapsing, the foundation of his regime -- >> absolutely. you should look at putin's budget. he's now struggling with cash, first time during his 50 years in power, he doesn't have enough cash to pay for everything. he had to make tough choices. he's cutting pensions. he's cutting social spendings. but he keeps increasing military

spending, and propaganda. this is the war budget. i can make only one prediction. he will continue his aggressive foreign policy because his propaganda machine needs these victories. they have to present putin as the white knight, the only one able to defend mother russia against endless enemies. >> these actions in ukraine and crimea have been very popular. but then they go to the fridge and it's empty. in russia right now -- >> this is -- it's also the joke. i'm waiting for the fridge eventually to take over, but it's -- you know, i -- i can rely on my mother. she's 78. she was born and raised under stalin. she has been listening to this, you know, massive 24/7 attacks,

the brainwashing attacks. she told me the difference between the propaganda, it's still contained some element of positive future, bright future of communism, brotherhood. putin's propaganda, it's like cult of death. we have to fight everybody. so soviet union had some friends. here we have enemies. of course americans, jews, it's everywhere. that's why, first time in my life, i'm fairly pessimistic about the outcome because i see no positive scenario. it's all just choice for less horrible. >> a lot of western leaders probably would not disagree with your analysis. it's a huge country, ten time zones or whatever it is, 3,000 nuclear weapons. we have to do business with

russia. >> you know, i'm not telling you confronting putin today could solve all the problems and it will bring the sufferings in russia or outside of russia caused by putin's regime to an end, but any day putin stays in power simply will raise the price. unless we -- unless we try to, you know, have a real red line, it will not end nicely. >> you're very critical of the west from the start. and you talk about president bush. what do you think bush was thinking when he said i can look into his soul and i saw a man i could trust? >> i think it's not just a problem of bush 43 or bush 41 or bill clinton or barack obama, it's a fundamental problem of the west after the collapse of the soviet union and the end of the cold war. it's complacency. it was won.

so, fine, we won, now let's dream about the future. so bush tried to, you know, work with putin probably because it was 9/11, and putin was -- let's give him credit. he's a very capable kgb officer who could read the mind of his counterparts and he proved to be an excellent negotiator, i would even call him poker player, who knows how to bluff even with a very weak hand. >> and you think that the obama administration has continued to bush administration's sort of attempt to engage the russians? >> absolutely. that's why i'm critical about the u.s. because four administrations failed to actually come up with a plan how to integrate russia into this democratic world and how actually to pave the road for a better future. and naturally today we are dealing with problems that we

thought were gone 25 years ago. bymy book is an attempt to actually explain why it's happened and what we should do now to make sure it' not going to be bad. >> if you lp to the version of history that vladimir putin believes, and there are many russians who believe this, the problem is that the west was always trying to keep russia down, that the west attacked serbia, russia's ally, that the west criticized russia about chechnya, that the west has expanded nato to russia's borders, in other words, that there was an attempt -- there was a hostility that the west showed to russia, triumphism, and that's why russia has had to react in the way it has. >> unfortunately, adolf hitler, when he was trying to explain why germany behaved as it did, i'm not talking about 1940 but about '33, '34, '35, and by the way, the harsh conditions

imposed on post world war germany and nothing could be compared with very preferential treatment offered to russia and boris yeltsin by the united states and europe. there were credits. doors were opened. russia was accepted in g-7, turned to be g-8, not big in a normal democracy and not the greatest industrial power. so there was a good credit line both financial and political. and as for the expansion of nato, look, eastern european neighbors of russia had some bad mem rishgs and nobody doubts now if not for nato membership putin's stance would be entirely unacceptable today. i think it's the only thing that protects them because putin definitely looks for the weak spot on the map and he believes if he can grab it, he does it. >> very sobering thoughts. >> winter is coming. next on "gps," i will give you some fashion advice for

2016, or at least i'll tell you about one luxury designer with a very surprising new collection. stay with us. except that managing my symptoms was all i was doing. and when i finally told my doctor, he said humira is for adults like me who have tried other medications but still experience the symptoms of moderate to severe crohn's disease. and that in clinical studies, the majority of patients on humira saw significant symptom relief. and many achieved remission. humira can lower your ability to fight infections, including tuberculosis. serious, sometimes fatal infections and cancers, including lymphoma, have happened; as have blood, liver, and nervous system problems, serious allergic reactions, and new or worsening heart failure. before treatment, get tested for tb. tell your doctor if you've been to areas where certain fungal infections are common, and if you've had tb, hepatitis b, are prone to infections, or have flu-like symptoms or sores. don't start humira if you have an infection.

ask your gastroenterologist about humira. with humira, remission is possible. whei just put in the namey, of my parents and my grandparents. and as soon as i did that, literally it was like you're getting 7, 9, 10, 15 leaves that are just popping up all over the place. yeah, it was amazing. just with a little bit of information, you can take leaps and bounds. it's an awesome experience.

♪ light piano today i saw a giant. it had no arms, but it welcomed me. (crow cawing) it had no heart, but it was alive. (train wheels on tracks) it had no mouth, but it spoke to me. it said, "rocky mountaineer: all aboard amazing".

we know we can't stop every act of violence, every act of evil in the world, but maybe we could try to stop one act of evil, one act of violence. >> that was of course an excerpt of president obama's emotional speech on guns this week and it bri brings me to my "question of the week." which u.s. state has the highest rate of gun violence per 100,000 people? alaska, illinois, mississippi, or texas? stay tuned and we'll tell you

the correct answer. this week's "book of the week" is actually a movie called "meet the patels." it is a funny documentary about an indian man who finds himself still unmarried at the ripe, for india, old age of 29. despairing of dating, he asks his parents to arrange a marriage for him. so they all tour around the united states searching for the perfect wife. it is a really funny story with lots of humanity mixed in. definitely worth watching. now for "the last look." we have a lot to look forward to in 2016. in the fashion world apparently tie-dye is making a comeback and lace will be tres chic this year. i guess i'll need to update my wardrobe. the top design has dolce & gabbana making news this week and not for their line of colorful dresses or handbags. they debuted a line of high-end hijabs and abayas on style.com/arabia.

the site describes the religious wear as coming in, quote, neutral hues, and you can see the lace i mentioned earlier. it is not surprising such a well-known brand wants a piece of this fashion pie. muslims spent $230 billion on clothing in 2014 according to the most recent state of the global islamic economy report. yes, there is such a thing. that number is expected to grow to $327 billion by 2020. if this clothing market were a country, it would rank third after the u.s. and china, the largest two clothing markets in the world, the report said. it suspect just clothing and footwear. muslims spent $54 billion on cosmetics in 2014, and that number will grow to $80 billion by 2020. so the dolce and gabana designers are on to something and they certainly aren't the only ones. the report points out other brands like tommy hilfiger, dkny, and mango have made

connections appealing to muslim women. head scarves, hijabs, i buy yas and other types of islamic clothing are debated in many parts of the world. are they symbols of faith, modesty, or more? the most important thing it seems to me is women should be free to choose to wear or not to wear any of them. the correct answer to the challenge question is a. according to new analysis by the violence policy center, alaska had the highest rate of deaths caused by guns in 2014 with 19.68 deaths per 100,000 people followed by louisiana and mississippi. that state was also number one in 2013. and to put this in perspective, alaska had a higher rate of gun deaths than mexico, according to gunpolicy.org. the study found a correlation of higher death rates in states with lax gun laws and high gun ownership. 56% of alaska households have

guns. the lowest gun death rates were found in hawaii and rhode island, where between 12% and 16% of households own guns. thanks to all of you for being part of my program this week. i will see you next week. happening right now in the "newsroom." el chapo and sean penn. their shocking meeting. the world's most wanted drug lord and an oscar winner deep in a secret mountain hideaway. now mexican authorities want to know where it all happened, how, and when, and who's the mexican a actress who made it all come together. you're live in the news knew. news nutz. >> i'm fredricka whitfield. bewe begin with the stunning new details in the cam chur of the world's most