sleep is for the week! so i want you ready to order takeout, every single night! now are you with me? to awesomeness! to watchathon!! big is back. xfinity watchathon week starts april 18. the greatest collection of shows free with xfinity on demand. this is gps, the global public square. welcome to all of you in the united states and around the world. i'm fareed zakaria. we'll start today's show with janet yellen, the second most powerful person in the united states. a rare chance to hear from the chair of the federal reserve. >> i feel more positive. >> i was asked to moderate an extraordinary event that gathered all living fed chairs.

yellen, bernanke, greenspan and volken. we will bring you the highlights. also the panama papers have been out for just a week and they have already taken their toll on world leaders. but this is only the start of a growing trend. data dumps that embarrass the wealthy and powerful. we will tell you where it will go next. finally, we will teach you how to sleep, not while watching the show of course. arianna huffington has a new book out that she hopes will have you snoring. again not now, but i'll let her explain. but first, here's my take. in an interview during the 2008 campaign, barack obama explained that ronald reagan had changed the trajectory of america in a way that richard nixon and bill clinton had not. clearly he aspired to be a transformational president like

reagan. at this point it's fair to say that he has succeeded. look at what's happened during his tenure to the country, his party and most telling, the opposition. the first line in obama's biography would have to do with who he is, the first african-american president. but what he has done is also significant. obama's signal accomplishment is healthcare of course, where he was able to enact a law that has resulted in 90% of americans now having health insurance. while the law has its problems, it achieves a goal first articulated by theodore roosevelt 100 years ago. then there's the transformation of america's energy policy. the administration has made investments and given a variety of incentives to place the united states at the forefront of the emerging energy revolution. just one example, over obama's term as president, solar costs have plummeted by 70% and solar generation is up 3,000%.

obama has also pursued a new foreign policy informed by the lessons of the last two decades that limits america's involvement in establishing political order in the middle east, focusing instead on counter-terrorism. this has freed the administration to pursue new approaches with countries like iran and cuba and to direct attention and resources to the asia pacific, which in just a few years will be home to four of the world's five largest economies. in that 2008 campaign interview, obama pointed out that reagan didn't change the country single handedly. he took advantage of a shift in the national mood. the same could be said about america today. years of stagnant wages, rising inequality, and a big financial crises all created a new political atmosphere, one that obama has helped shape. the biggest impact of his presidency, however, can be seen in his opposition. the republican party which is

the midst in an idealogical breakdown. surveying the scene, daniel hennen jer, the conservative columnist, writes in the wall street journal that obama is now close to destroying his political enemies -- the republican party, the american conservative movement, and the public policy legacy of ronald reagan. obama's success in this regard, if it can be called that, is a passive one. he led his opponents to self-destruct and never overplayed his hand. from the first month of his presidency, the g.o.p. decided that obama was a socialist radical who had to be opposed no matter what. obama didn't take the debate, governing from the center left. perhaps unable to paint him as a socialist, perhaps for other reasons, many republicans' rhetoric about obama quickly became personal with insinuations about his origins, race, religion, faith, and loyalty to the country. again, obama never lashed out, demonstrating discipline even as

his opposition grew wilder. as obama kept his cool, the republican party descended deeper into the politics of identity, flirting with racial, religious, and ethic grievances and moving away from its core tenants of living government, free markets and free trade. the result has been an idealogical implosion, and it is still unclear what will emerge from the debris. barack obama has repeatedly maintained that one of his principles in foreign policy is, don't do stupid stuff. it looks like it works in domestic politics just as well. for more, go to cnn.com/fareed and read my "washington post" column this week. let's get started. on thursday evening, i participated in an extraordinary event, a conversation with all

of the living chairs of the federal reserve, current and former -- poll voluntary kerr, allen greenspan, ben bernanke and of course janet yellen. the group was gathered by a residence and program house in new york city founded to turn today's scholars into the next global leaders. it's a great organization. i sit on its board, and i was honored to moderate such an important discussion. first up, my conversation with the current chair of the federal reserve, janet yellen. many believe that she's the second most powerful person in america, second only to the president. she rarely sits down for an interview, so listen in. let me ask you to start. you look at the economy very carefully. are we in an economic bubble? is the economy as perilous as some people on the political campaign trail are suggesting? >> so, i would say the u.s.

economy has made tremendous progress in recovering from the damage from the financial crises. slowly but surely the labor market is healing. for well over a year we've averaged about 225,000 jobs a month. the unemployment rate now stands at 5%. so we're coming close to our assigned congressional goal of maximum employment. inflation which my colleagues here, paul and allen, spent much of their time as chair bringing inflation down from unacceptably high levels. for a number of years now inflation has been running under our 2% goal and we're focused on moving it up to 2%. but we think that it's partly

transitory is claiming oil prices and the strong dollar that are responsible for pulling inflation below the 2% level we think is most desirable. although interest rates are low and that is something that can encourage, reach for yield behavior, i certainly wouldn't describe this as a bubble economy. we have relatively weak global growth, but the u.s. economy has been doing well and domestic strength has been propelling us forward in spite of the fact that we're suffering a drag from the global economy. >> in december, you raised rates. many people, including summers, paul krugman, martin wolf, very distinguished economists, felt it was a mistake. in retrospect, was it a mistake? >> well i certainly don't regard it as a mistake.

we set two criteria to boost the funds rate that led to the december decision. one was we wanted to see substantial progress in the labor market, and we felt that had been satisfied. and we also, recognizing that inflation was running below our 2% objective, wanted to feel reasonably confident that inflation would move up over the medium term back to 2%. we all felt, i think, that those conditions were satisfied in december and justified taking a step. but we've tried to make very clear, there's not a preset course of rate increases. we will watch very carefully what is happening in the economy and adjust policy as appropriate. so we took one step. now, the u.s. economy has

continued to progress in a sass -- satisfying way. that was our expectation when we raised rates in december. we indicated that we thought the path of rate increases would be gradual, and that remains our best guess and expectation, that if the economy continues on the path it's on of recovery, that further rate increases will be justified, but for a variety of reasons, particularly a set of headwinds that are the legacy of the financial crises that we suffered and weak global growth and the strong dollar that has gone with that, that the level of rates that is sometimes called the neutral rate, a level of short-term rates that would neither be particularly

stimulating the economy or holding it back. >> one of the regional fed chairs, neil cash carry, made a speech very recently in which he said the big banks need to be broken up. do they? >> well, we have been very focused since the financial crises and the dodd frank act has directed us to pay attention and try to put in place policies that will deal with too big to fail. so we certainly -- i certainly share president cash carry's concern with too big to fail. i feel more positive on the progress that we've made. first of all, we've put in place policies through supervision and regulation that has greatly enhanced the safety and soundness of the banking system.

we have more capital, higher quality capital, more liquidity. we do rigorous stress tests in our supervision, so i think the odds of failure of large financial institutions is lower. >> next on gps, we'll get into some of the more human aspects with the rest of the fed chairs, bernanke, greenspan, volker, on the politics and the psychology of being chairman of the federal reserve. >> allen greenspan, i recall once at a senate hearing i think it was, the senator said, i think i heard you say clearly, and you interrupted him and said, if i said it clearly, senator, i must have misspoken. did you -- were you trying to be deliberately incomprehensible at times? >> i thought i succeeded marvelously. every day you read headlines about businesses being hacked

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about the way your wealth is managed? wealth management, at charles schwab. back now to more of the extraordinary gathering i moderated this week, all four living current and former chairs of the federal reserve board of governors. joining me on stage in new york were the current chair, janet yellen, her predecessor, ben bernanke, and paul volcker who served from 1979 to '87, alan greenspan who led the fed for almost 20 years joined the group from a d.c. studio. listen in to some of the highlights. >> alan greenspan, when you were running the federal reserve, people would sometimes describe your performance there as god on a good day. i think senator john mccain said that his strategy to succeed you was to have a dummy made up of alan greenspan and put him in

the federal reserve chair like "weekend at bernie's", that movie. in wall street they would celebrate your birthday with cakes and things like that. did that go to your head? >> no, but it sure enough embarrassed me. i very much appreciated that. i got past the embarrassment very easily. >> paul volcker, you had a very different situation. you were hung in ef agee when you raised interest rates because people thought you had single handedly plunged the american economy into a recession. how difficult was it to deal with that? >> i thought they were cheering me. >> you thought they were cheering you? >> look, to answer your basic question, what's it like to be the chairman, you got a board, you've got a public. you've got reserve bank

presidents, quite a few you quite exactly do what you want without a lot of people being encouraged to agree with you and sometimes disagree. so it's not quite so absolute as you suggest. look, i always get asked this question about circling the federal reserve and so forth. we wouldn't have survived without a lot of public support. people thought there was a big problem and they didn't know all the answers, but people were unhappy with malaise and inflation rate going up by a couple of percent every quarter. they were unhappy and i think they gave us some rope to hang ourselves. they felt we were doing something. they were going to be patient for a while. >> did you feel like -- because inflation was very high. you raised rates to break the back of inflation. did you feel -- did you worry

that you would run out of time, that the public would lose patience? >> we had a longer period than i would have anticipated, yeah. did i worry? i worried all the time. this rug on the floor of the federal reserve office shows where i was walking up and down it all the time. is it still there? >> ben bernanke, when you adopted your extraordinary measures to save the american economy through this global recession and crises, you faced a lot of people from what was in a sense your own party. you were appointed by a republican president and you had republican congressmen, republican senators. you had the republican governor of texas saying that you were engaging in treason. how did that make you feel? >> it didn't make me happy.

you described the job as powerful. i think more of the responsibility side and we had very huge responsibilities, all of us in different context and different events to try to use the power of the federal reserve along with our colleagues and the staff. it's a wonderful institution. it's not a single-person organization. there are a lot of people, wind working together. we had to try the address these terrible risks and i think it's a good thing that within reason that the federal reserve does have some independence that we could do what was needed at least as long as we could maintain broad support. that was our strategy. so i didn't take the job for acknowledge lags and certainly if i had it wouldn't have

worked. there's really no alternative to doing what has to be done in your best judgment to try to address whatever problem you see. >> and then there's the issue of communication, how do you communicate the views you want to communicate but at the same time you want to leave things -- you want to give yourself room to maneuver. alan greenspan, i recall once at a senate hearing i think it was the senator said, i think i heard you say clearly, and you interrupted him and said, if i said it clearly, senator, i must have misspoken. were you trying to be deliberately incomprehensible at times? >> i thought i succeeded marvelously. >> when we come back, the panama papers have already created turmoil in governments around the world, from iceland to

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now for our "what in the world "segment. this week many of the world's most powerful people were chosen by a scandal of historic proportions which has been called the biggest document leak in history, the panama papers. wikileaks, the pentagon papers, even edward snowden's revelations may end up paling in comparison. more than 11 million documents were apparently leaked from the panamanian law firm mossack mon second ka for creditly creating off shore accounts for the rich and powerful. 12 current and former world leaders and over 100 other public officials were referenced in the documents. off shore accounts aren't generally illegal in themselves, but they are a signature tool for money laundering, tax evasion, drug deals and other activities that require keeping money a secret. an anonymous source sent the documents to a german newspaper

which shared them with the international consortium of investigative journalists. the law firm's co-founder told icm that the allegation is false and full of inaccuracies. countries and leaders around the world have responded with outrage. one world leaden has already fallen. the prime minister of iceland who denied wrongdoing, nevertheless resigned over his alleged links to off shore holdings. no secret is safe in the digital age, no matter how powerful that person. as colossal as the leak is, it's actually a small window into the shadow of finances. in a fascinating book that came out last year, berkeley economics professor, gabriel zukman, tried to quantify the wealth held in tax havens worldwide. the total was at least $7.6 trillion he said, 8% of the

world's household wealth. that share is even higher in developing countries, 20 to 30% in many latin american and african nations and as much as 50% in russia he says. perhaps it wasn't surprising that one of the stars of the panama papers was vladimir putin. a kremlin spokesman says that the allegations were simply a show of putin phobia, but it was alleged that at least $2 billion was transferred through secretive financial entities connected to putin's associates. how did the united states fair in the panama scandal? no prominent american public officials have been named so far. but the truth is that americans don't really need to go off shore to keep their finances secret. as matthew gardener of the institute on taxation and economic policy recently pointed out on cnn.com, the tax justice network ranked the u.s. as the

world's third worst offender for allowing financial secrecy. it is easier to set up a secretive shell company in delaware and nevada than in the kaman islands, he says. all the secrecy and finance around the world, often a cover for ill-gotten wealth, also enables people to avoid paying taxes and forces more of the tax burden on low and middle income households. it takes money from schools and services and exacerbates income inequality. it fuels cynicism and rage in our politics, breeding ugly nationalist and public movements and scapegoating outsiders. the panama papers is a good thing because it sheds light an on underappreciated threat to democracy. unfortunately, it may be just the tip of the iceberg. next on gps, the middle class in america is angry, the american dream seems dead for them with no chance to move up the ladder. why is that? a fascinating answer when we come back. hey!

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a large part of the reason for the rise of donald trump has been the fall of the american middle class. that heart of america has been stagnating as middle class wages have been flat for a generation. why? because american productivity has also been flat mostly. and why is that? well, a powerful new book says that despite all the gee wiz aspects of the information revolution around us, it actually hasn't brought nearly the progress of past revolutions. in other words, the invention of electricity, the light bulb, internal combustion, air travel, all of these far outweigh the map of the human genome. that creativity is stifling the

middle class. we brought him with andrew mcafee to begs to differ. listen to a spirited debate that is really at the heart of the fears animating the campaign trail. >> robert gordon, andrew mcafee, welcome. let's start with you. this is a monumental work but the basic message, is it fair to say, is you're telling us you think we're living in a world of extraordinary technological progress, you really don't know what technological progress is. explain what the progress you regard as truly transformative was and when was it. >> well, i talk about a special century that goes from 1870 to 1970. there were an enormous number of very important inventions at the beginning of that century. in 1879 alone, we had thomas edison's electric light. we had carl benza's internal combustion engine and little

known englishman who invented wireless. by 1940 we were connected five ways -- electricity, gas, telephone, running water and sewage removal. that absolutely completely fundamentally changed the way life was for housewives and at the same time working conditions were changing. all at the same time, in the early part of the 20th century, we conquered infant mortality. some people have calculated that that's worth more than everything else put together. in 1890 your chance of having your baby die was 22% in the first year. that was down below 1% by 1950. so in all of these different multi-dimensions, phone graph, radio, television, motion pictures, we had a tremendous change. since 1970, we've had of course the computer, we've had communications, we have mobile phones, but that's a much

smaller part of human existence than the great inventions of the early 20th century. >> explain electricity alone because what it does is it makes it possible to power factories, to transform night -- >> think of new york city. new york city is only possible because of electric elevators. that's another example of the multi-dimensions that we have. by the end of the 1920s, new york was a semblance of its current high-rise self, after only 50 years of electricity. think of super storm sandy back in 2012. it took away the 20th century for many new yorkers who lost power. they couldn't even fill up their cars with gasoline and they certainly could not recharge their cell phones. >> andrew, you say, yes, i think you concede the point that the 1880s to 1910s was an extraordinary period, transformed life. but you're saying we're on the cusp of a similar kind of

transformation. >> yeah, that's what i believe. and bob makes the excellent point that it is so easy for us to underestimate the transformations that we enjoy on the back of this century worth of progress. i think that bob underestimates how much we've already seen because of the digital revolution and i think more fundamentally how much things are going to change going forward. i don't think that global communication networks and things like this are trivial in any sense of the word compared even to the fundamental innovations that he's talking about. for me, we are on the brink of, for the very first time in human history, interconnecting the majority of human beings with a pretty powerful device, giving them access to a good chunk of the world's accumulated knowledge, and letting them contribute to that knowledge. i think you have to be a huge pessimist about the benefits of knowledge in order to find that und underwhemg. >> i think all of that is

wonderful but it happened a long time ago. we've been pretty much in a situation of stasis, of standing still, in the way offices all over our economy work since about 2005. i completely agree on all the glories of the digital age. i just think that we're slowing down, and that's one reason why our nation's productivity has been growing at only half a percent per year for the past six years running. >> and i think that people like bob gordon say all the stuff you described, it's sort of fascinating, exciting, it's made a bunch of people very rich in silicon valley, but it doesn't seem to show up in the data, that if you look at productivity growth, other than the brief period in the 1990s where it goes up, it doesn't really go up. so maybe this is all cool stuff but where is the data? >> and maybe bob's right that we automated the heck out of our white collar work 20 years or more ago and we've just been having a little bit better interface and a little better search engines. let me tell you why i don't

believe that's the case. in the times there was a story about a startup that's completely automating the work of pretty high end either industry or financial industry research. so push a button and get a report about the last 20 currency crises that were at about this level. it's doing it about as well as a human being would do it right now. it's doing it in seconds instead of a week's worth of work, and the person who used to do that work was getting paid hundreds of thousands of dollars. that's a brand new innovation. it's going to take a little bit of time to diffuse in the economy but i think it's going to spread pretty quickly because of the cloud and because of the demand for them. i think they really are going to rewrite the way a lot of white collar work is done. >> but that raises another problem and i think andy and i are on the same wave length there, that many of the jobs that are being replaced by artificial intelligence are good upper middle level jobs that earn people relatively incomes.

we're currently cranking out lots of jobs in the u.s. economy. we've created 13, 14 million new jobs since the recession was over, but those jobs are disproportionately low paying service sector, restaurants, retail, temporary help agencies. and we've permanently lost jobs in manufacturing and construction. >> and the reason those are relatively unimpressive jobs is that they are low pay, pretty precarious, and they're low productivity jobs, home health aid or short order cook are a couple classic examples there. they involve human interaction. we have not figured out how to robot size them yet. i don't think that's going to happen any time soon, but they are not the source of the large stable prosperous middle class that we grew up enjoying. >> then your dream begins to sound for most americans like a nightmare. >> if we don't take the right actions, then the headwinds that we're facing with jobs and wages are going to continue. but you can't be pessimistic about jobs and pessimistic about

technology. the reason these headwinds exist is because of tech progress. >> absolutely fascinating book, a conversation starter, agenda setter. thank you so much. >> thank you. next on gps, we all need more sleep, says arianna huffington. i talked to her about her latest crusade to get us all to switch off and shut down, especially donald trump. int that's not only in the top of its class but lets you breathe as deeply as this or this or this. not guilty. if it doesn't upset your allergies like paint, is it still paint? natura is certified asthma and allergy friendly. and you can only find it at your benjamin moore retailer.

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i want to help you, dear viewer, to go to sleep. no, not right now but tonight. one of the most high energy people i know, arianna huffington, has just published a fascinating book about how to wind down that energy and get a good night's sleep. it is called "the sleep revolution." to get the full effect, i met her in a darkened, quiet, cool room, so that she could tell me all about the slumber solutions she learned while researching the book. pleasure to have you on. >> great to be with you. >> i'm dressed sort of halfway back to sleep. >> love it. >> there was a famous new yorker

profile of you many years ago, and it described a woman whose activity level seemed beyond belief -- four phones, cars rating for you everywhere, 17 appointments in a day. how can you of all people write a book about sleep? >> well in fact, fareed, what is interesting is that when i get a full night's sleep which for most people according to modern science is seven to nine hours, then i can do a fully active life without stress and with much more joy and being much more present in what i'm doing and being much more clear and making better decisions. >> describe the circumstances that made you realize you needed more sleep. >> exactly. i got to it the hard way actually exactly nine years ago. in april 2007 i collapsed from exhaustion and sleep deprivation, hit my head on the way down, broke my cheekbone. and that's why i've become -- >> it was at a table so you hit

your head on the keyboard, right? >> on the corner of the desk. and then, you know, you go from doctor to doctor trying to see what's wrong with you, do you have a heart problem, a brain tumor. and then they give you the diagnosis which is sleep deprivation and burnout. then i started studying the new science of sleep which, fareed, is very we learned more about how nonnegotiable sleep is, how an evolutionary need, everything in your life, your health, your capacity to lead gets better, if you just get enough sleep. >> you talk in the book about the fact that sleep for most of human history was something viewed very differently than it is today. what was it viewed like before the industrial revolution? >> it was actually revered. you had special sleep temples at

luxor or in greece or in rome where you could go to incubate dreams either for leadership insights or insights in your every day life or for healing. then what happened -- because i was fascinating by the same question, what happened, how did we start devaluing and scorning sleep and congratulating people for working 24/7, and it started happening during the first industrial revolution when we really began to think that we could treat human beings like machines and minimize down time. and then the second industrial revolution with thomas edison and the light bulb exacerbated things. then the third revolution, the digital revolution, makes it worse because it becomes harder and harder to disconnect and allow ourselves to surrender to sleep. >> how much of a problem is it

that these devices all have back lit screens which is like having light shining in your eyes and that's not exactly con deucive to going to sleep? >> it's a huge problem because it makes it much harder to power down our brains and that's what wakes us up in the middle of the night because our bodies are exhausted. but we haven't done this transition to sleep that allows our brains to slow down, and that's why after i got through the science and the history of sleep, i have an entire section of very practical steps, tools and techniques very simple that we can introduce in our lives to be able to get a good night's sleep. the most important one is having a transition to sleep which has been eliminated in modern life. and yet everybody who is a parent knows that you don't drop your young children in dead. you have a ritual for them. you give them a bath, you put them in their p.j.s, you sing them a lullaby. we need to create a rish wall for ourselves. >> one of the people who boasts

that he only needs four hours of sleep is donald trump. >> yes. >> what's your comment on that? >> well, actually donald trump displays all the symptoms of chronic sleep deprivation according to the american academy of sleep medicine. his inability to process even simple information, his meade swings, his irritability, he has trouble listening to others. he has paranoid tendencies, constant regurgitating of problems. all of these are scientific symptoms of chronic sleep deprivation. but what we need to change is when somebody says that, we should actually recognize that he's running on empty. he's running on fumes, and it becomes cumulative. so you saw what happened in the last week of his campaign. he started making statements that he had to retract which is very rare for him because he's made some pretty absurd

statements that he did not have to retract. so it gets harder and harder to function. >> so the solution to donald trump's problem is give him a good night's sleep? >> the solution to all our problems. >> arianna huffington, pleasure to have you. >> thank you, fareed. your boyfriend's got it bad. maybe think about being single until the start of the season.

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earlier in the show we discussed fallout over the panama papers. the first obvious fallout came in iceland where over 22,000 protestors took to the streets of rake avick to ask for the prime minister's resignation. it was the largest protest in that nation's history. it brings me to my question. what percentage of iceland's population protested? .5%? 2.5%? 6.6%? or 15.4%? stay tuned and we'll give you the correct answer. this week's book of the week is done lion's invention. if you've ever wondered what it is really like to work at a tech startup, or watched hbo's

hilarious silicon valley and wondered how much of this stuff really happens, you have to read this book. he chronicles the mix of lack of self-awareness that often characterizes the world of technology companies. a must read. also, don't miss the final episode of the great series here on cnn, "race to the white house." this focuses on the 1992 clinton/bush race and airs at 9:00 p.m. tonight. now for the last look, temps town, jackson hole, for ens ya village, replicas of foreign landmarks, entire towns have popped up in china in recent decades. the government apparently wants this to stop. according to china's official news agency, the country's civil affairs minister recently declared that bizarre foreign names should be reconsidered.

and thus, china will clamp down on foreign names and roads, buildings, residential compounds, and even bridges. earlier this year, chinese officials also banned bizarre architecture, saying buildings that were, quote, oversized zone oh, centric, weird, would not be approved, as the "new york times" has pointed out. china mass restrict foreign influences by banning names, only time will tell whether or not these directives will have a lasting impact. what happens, for example, if a great deal maker comes to china and asks to slap a well known brand name often used around the world, would the chinese approve of a trump any -- city? the correct answer to our gps challenge question was c. 6.6% of the icelandic people came out to protest their prime minister after the panama papers were released. if 6.6% of other nations

protested, that would mean 5 million germans, 20 million americans massing at the capitol, or 90 million angry chinese at the tie enaman scare. thanks for being a part of my program this week. i will see you next week. good morning, it's time for reliable sources, our weekly look at the story behind the story of how news and pop culture get made. this hour, fox news star megan kelly says she may leave the network. is it somehow tied to donald trump's bid for the white house? outgoing "new york times" public editor margaret sullivan is here and she has stories to tell. what's it likes to be the paper of record's top journalism cop. and later, someone you have to meet, the 9-year-old reporter winning accolades and animosity for breaking news about a murder in her