>> so we're already seeing long lines across the country. take a look at some live pictures. there's so much at stake. you're looking at north carolina here. let's begin with cnn's phil mattingly. he's in raleigh, north carolina. phil, what's the latest? >> reporter: good morning, alisyn. obviously a crucial swing state here, a state that both campaigns say really is still a toss-up, a state that hillary clinton could effectively close the door on donald trump's campaign if she wins. that is exactly why even into this morning at 1:00 a.m., she was still talking to supporters, trying to close that deal. hillary clinton back home in new york after crisscrossing the country on her final day of campaigning, hoping to make history tonight. >> our core values are being tested in this election, but my faith in our future has never been stronger. >> reporter: appealing to voters at a midnight rally in raleigh, north carolina. flanked by jon bon jovi and lady

gaga. >> there is no reason why america's best days are not ahead of us. >> reporter: tens of thousands gathered outside philadelphia's independence hall for her largest rally of the campaign. president obama and the first lady rallying voters for clinton. >> are you fired up? are you ready to go? >> reporter: and pleading with them to protect their legacy. >> i'm also emotional because in many ways speaking here tonight is perhaps the last and most important thing that i can do for my country as first lady. >> i am betting that tomorrow you will reject fear and you'll choose hope. >> reporter: obama symbolically passing the torch, pulling out clinton's step stool for her to speak. clinton zeroing in on her closing argument.

>> every issue you care about is on that ballot. >> reporter: trying to move past this divisive campaign. >> we have to bridge the divides in our country. i regret deeply how angry the tone of the campaign became. >> reporter: a deliberate move, aides tell cnn, to prepare for what happens next should she win tonight, governing. >> tomorrow night this election will end, but i want you to understand our work together will be just beginning. >> reporter: and while the field teams are hard at work, definitely busting it at the very end here today, the candidates only have one thing to do. that's vote. something tim kaine has already done. i know you're talking to him in a couple minutes. you have to ask him about this. betsy cline pointing out tim kaine was second in line to

vote. who's in front of him? 99-year-old minerva. election day is very, very cool. >> yes, it is. i think we can all agree on that. we'll ask him, phil. donald trump using one last campaign swing to hit many of the same notes used throughout his unconventional run. he's slamming clinton, the washington establishment, and the media. cnn's sunlen serfaty at trump tower with more. >> reporter: good morning, alisyn. we certainly saw vintage donald trump out on his last and final day of the campaign trail. trump arriving back here in new york just a few hours ago after making that aggressive final push in michigan, campaigning until past 1:00 a.m. this morning. trump says that this has certainly been a long journey for him. now 511 days after that journey first started here at trump tower, it comes down to this.

>> it's now officially tuesday, november 8th. >> reporter: donald trump pulling off one final campaign frenzy. >> today is our independence day. today the american working class is going to strike back. >> reporter: sprinting to the finish with a rousing midnight speech in grand rapids, michigan, blitzing through five states in the final 24 hours. >> i thought new hampshire was going to be my last speech, and i heard that crooked hillary clinton was coming to michigan. i said, let's follow it up. >> reporter: trump knocking clinton's celebrity supporters. >> we don't need jay-z or beyonce. we don't need john bon jovi. we don't need lady gaga. >> reporter: and trying to project confidence.

>> today we're going to win the great state of michigan, and we are going to win back the white house. >> reporter: the republican candidate even reflective in his final campaign rally. >> it's almost hard to believe. we started a year and a half ago. we started with 17 very talented people. now we have one flawed candidate left to beat. >> reporter: earlier trump talking up a celebrity friend of his own, new england patriots quarterback tom brady. >> he called today, and he said, donald, i support you, you're my friend, and i voted for you. >> reporter: but brady hasn't publicly endorsed trump, and yesterday he denied having cast his ballot on a boston radio show. >> no, i haven't voted yet. >> reporter: and trump will be casting his vote later today here in new york city. he'll spend some part of the day here at trump tower. later he'll move to his watch party taking place a short distance away at a midtown manhattan hotel. interestingly, that's only 1.5

miles away from where hillary clinton is hosting her own watch party. so fascinating that these candidates will be so close as the results come back. >> all these jokers online talking about how it could turn into a brawl like one of those things in "anchorman." hopefully everybody votes, everybody votes their conscience, and tonight you have a winner and a loser and both start to move together. sunlen, thank you very much. polls just opened in florida, arguably one of the most coveted prizes among the battleground states. we have cnn's boris sanchez live north of miami. boris, you've been reporting excellently about how you are seeing a great increase in the hispanic and latino vote, but the cuban vote is something unique unto itself. >> reporter: it certainly is, chris. and it's something that donald trump is really banking on to try to help him close the gap that there is between republicans and democrats in early voting right now. traditionally gop-leaning cuban

community is something that has swayed elections before. this time, though, it might be different. we've seen this community become more progressive over time. the question obviously now is which direction will they turn. here we've seen a steadily line of about two dozen, almost three dozen people now starting to get into the polls. overall in the state of florida, we've seen tremendous turnout. 6.5 million floridians have already cast their ballots. that's more people than voted in the 2000 election altogether. we're expecting tremendous turnout today and in the coming hours. again, that 89% jump in the latino vote is something to watch for. not just here in miami but also in orlando and all across the i-4 corridor, chris. >> i'll take it, boris. thanks so much for that. so both campaigns are hitting the campaign trail in michigan on the campaign's final day. donald trump hoping to crack hillary clinton's blue wall. cnn's jessica schneider is live in warren, michigan. polls have just opened moments ago. what are you seeing there, jessica? >> reporter: well, alisyn, no

shortage of enthusiastic voters out here. that's right. the polls open at 7:00 a.m. i actually talked to the first woman who was in line. she got here at 5:45, an hour and 15 minutes before these polls even open. so you can see the long lines forming out here. michigan has become a focal point in just the past week or so. the candidates and their surrogates making a beeline out here to try to capture the 16 electoral votes that are at stake. in fact, donald trump held his final rally in michigan in the western part of the state last night. he was right here in macomb county. hillary clinton also making a stop in this state yesterday. now, this state hasn't gone for a republican nominee since 1988. so what's different this year? this county, in fact, might be different. we're in macomb county. these are the blue-collar suburbs of detroit. and this is the home of the reagan democrat. so donald trump is counting on this county to potentially flip. it voted for president obama in

'08 and 2012. wondering, though, if this year could be different. no early voting, though, so today is the only day that really counts. alisyn and chris? >> big day in the alleged blue wall vote there in michigan. we'll be all over it. jessica, thank you very much. let's discuss what's happening and the implications with our panel. cnn political commentator, senior writer for "the federalist," mary katherine ham. "washington post" reporter, abby phillip. and cnn editor for "the atlantic," ron brownstein. washington bureau chief for "the daily beast," jackie kucinich. you've been burying me with numbers all morning. does this proposition come down to this? which one of these candidates gets rejected less by the group they are trying to court. donald trump trying to avoid this blue collar coalition looking at him and saying, you ain't us. and the obama coalition of emerging latinos and hispanics and african-americans looking at

hillary clinton and saying, you ain't us. >> they both need to -- look, the divergence in the preferences are so great that they both need to max out turnout from their side. i think you have an election that is fast forwarding changes that we have been seeing over the last 20 years but really accelerating our republican coalition that's becoming more dependent on blue-collar, working class white america and will focus more on those rust belt states like michigan, ohio, iowa. a democratic coalition, hillary clinton has really tried to embrace, but as you point out has had problems getting the embrace returned that is increasingly white-collar whites and minority america. that's tilting them more toward the sun belt. >> panel, stick around. we are joined right now by the democratic vice presidential nominee and senator tim kaine. good morning. >> hey, guys. great to be with you. thanks. >> great to have you here. how are you feeling? >> i feel good. i voted, got to my polling place about quarter until 6:00.

we open polls at 6:00 a.m. in virginia. there was already a line. by the time i had voted a few minutes after 6:00, the line was very long. combined with what we've seen in early vote and absentee voting, we think that there's going to be a huge turnout. and that is good news for democracy when people participate. >> we actually watched you vote. here you are. there were a lot of questions about who the lovely lady next to you was as you walked in. we found out that, that is 99-year-old minerva terpin. i don't know if you chatted her up on your way in. >> i did. >> who's she voting for? >> well, ms. terpin gave me reason to believe that i might win her vote. she is the -- i voted at a senior center that's two blocks from my house. she is the president of the resident's association. so she welcomed me. she was the first voter. i was the second voter. she pinned my "you voted" sticker on after i completed my ballot. >> that is very sweet.

so senator, let's talk about the message of unity that hillary clinton is now hitting and what's going to happen maybe tomorrow. i want to play for you -- i know you were there, but what hillary clinton said last night in terms of she wants to be president for the whole country. so watch this moment. >> i also want you to know i will be a president for all americans. democrats, republicans, independents, not just the people who support me in this election, everyone. >> so senator, that's a lovely message. why hasn't hillary clinton been hitting that message harder for more weeks and months? >> well, i will say this, alisyn. the stronger together message is what she chose a year or so ago. and that really is what we've been trying to convey, that we are a nation that's stronger

together. that's the e pluribus unum. we have john warner, our long-time senator, who's a republican supporting a democratic nominee for the first time in his life. so you have to draw contrast. it's important to do that. but the burden will be on our shoulders, if we're fortunate enough to win, to put together a team and promote policies and speak in a way that shows that we want to be an administration for everybody. >> but senator, i mean, yes, you say she had the slogan stronger together for more than a year now, but it was also during one of the debates where she named republicans as her greatest enemy. she also more recently called half of donald trump's supporters deplorables. that's not the message of unity and i want to be president for everybody. >> well, and then she within a day said, wow, i shouldn't have said it that way, taking responsibility. i know this from on the campaign trail. we say things because we're given tons of speeches a day and

then say, you know what, i could have said that better. that's what she does. i'm in the senate. hillary clinton was in the senate for eight years. she's got a lot of colleagues there on the republican side who tell me hillary was a great person to work with. she was a great partner. she is going to put those skills to the test. i was a democratic governor in virginia where i had two republican houses. i worked well across the aisle in the senate. again, if we have the blessing of being able to serve, we've got to show right out of the gate that we want to bling people together. and that's in words. it's in the team we put together. also, we have to promote policies that show people even who didn't vote for us that we've been paying attention to concerns they have and we're trying to address them in a good-faith way. we'll be up to the task. >> i mean, and that is actually what i'm getting at, which is what happens tomorrow? let's say you are fortunate enough to win. how do you incorporate donald trump on to your team or at least all of his passionate

supporters? >> well, you know, there are going to be some who are not going to just automatically say, great, i'm glad hillary clinton is president. we're not unrealistic about that. but a lot of donald trump supporters have some of the same concerns that our supporters have. there's economic anxieties, the economy is growing again, the unemployment rate has been cut in half, people are moving upward out of poverty at record rate between 2014 and 2015. but there's still an income anxiety because of the zip code they live in or maybe the industry they trained in. they don't see the path for themselves to be successful. that is the first thing we have to speak to. if we can work with congress to speak to that economic anxiety, to do what hillary has said, put a jobs package on the table that is significant, then even folks who didn't vote for us will say, well, they're listening. and it will be up to us to work and try to make some accomplishments in areas that will show people that we have been paying attention. hillary is a great listener. we know what the concerns are

out there. again, we don't take anything for granted. we want people to participate. we have to win first. if we do, we have to speak to those concerns. >> if you and hillary clinton win tomorrow, what is director james comey's fate? >> you know, that's something that we haven't even spent time thinking about. we've been so focused on this issue of winning. we are at least happy that after the letter came out two fridays ago and we said, look, if you're going to raise a question, please answer it. give the public all the information they need. we were very happy when sunday he clarified, okay, we've looked at these e-mails. they don't change the conclusion. no reasonable prosecutor would move forward on this case. he testified to congress that wasn't even a close call. and we're very glad he clarified that once again on sunday. >> back to all of donald trump's supporters for a moment. you know, the democratic party has long been the party of the working guy. but this year something different is happening. it's possible that donald trump

will win those folks by a margin of two to one over you both. so where do you think the disconnect is? >> well, look, you know, we're a closely divided nation. we feel really good about the hillary coalition, the coalition of voters of all income levels, of all races around this country that are turning out in early vote in ways that make us feel good about the likely outcome. i would say an issue we have to grapple with is the one i talked about early, which is economic anxieties. president obama came in with the economy in a free fall. we've added 15.5 million jobs. 401(k) policies are worth something again. just because the economy is doing better on average doesn't mean that everybody is doing better. that means this notion of an economy that works for everybody, not just those at the top, which is the first of the three pillars of hillary's campaign. that's something that we've got to focus on.

>> if there's anybody out there watching right now who is still undecided, senator, what's your final pitch to them? >> i would say hillary's got a lifelong passion to empower families and kids. she's got the experience and the judgment to build that economy that works for everybody and to keep us safe in a challenging world. finally, hillary and i believe in a community of respect and togetherness, not a community of insults and division. and i think that notion of we're all in this together is something that's deeply held by the american public. i think that's the kind of president that hillary will be. i'm going to do everything i can to make sure that the administration succeeds in that. >> would hillary clinton put a republican in the cabinet? >> you know, we haven't talked about it, but look, i think you're going to see a cabinet -- this is my prediction. i think you're going to see a cabinet that really represents who america is in a most trend-setting and path-breaking way. that is regional.

that's demographic. but it's also different points of view. that's for her to decide. we've talked about it, but i think you're going to see a cabinet that looks like america. >> very quickly on the lighter note, i wanted to read a headline that cbs news had, which was "clinton has a universe of star surrogates and also tim kaine." ouch, number one. >> that just has the ring of truth to it. >> but you know what, they're selling you short. you were playing harmonica with bon jovi last night. i believe we have some b-roll. come on. tell me there isn't some star power on that stage. what was it like to be next to my jersey boy? >> well, we had a great time playing "you give love a bad name." i played a lot of harmonica on the trail. i would say that and being able to speak spanish are the two fun things it i've been able to do during my 105-day adventure. being with jon bon jovi on

stage, it's hard to beat that. >> thanks so much for taking time to be on "new day." we'll speak to you again. >> all right. thanks so much. coming up on "new day," we'll hear from the other side when donald trump jr. will join us live in our next hour. chris? >> well, he's got the enthusiasm going. that's what you need. the candidates making their final pitches to voters who may still be making up their minds. how successful were the closing arguments? what are the main questions for the voters as they enter that all-important booth today? reaction next.

we just heard from democratic vice presidential nominee tim kaine about what's at stake today, why he believes his ticket is the right one for america. so what is this final proposition that the voters are going to carry into the booth this morning? let's discuss. we have mary katherine ham, ron

brownstein, abby phillip. this interesting proposition that alisyn was putting to tim kaine. you say that you're going to be good for all of america and you have this unique hillary coalition. the question is, does that coalition think that kaine and clinton are for them? >> yeah, well, i think that coalition does, but the other coalition is really in a different place. you know, go back to the '90s. a lot of people who voted for bill clinton respected george h.w. bush or bob dole. in 2000 it was commonplace. even obama/mccain. i think a lot of people respected the other candidate. look at the polling now. 90% of clinton voters say they have a deeply unfavorable view of trump. 90% of trump voters say they have a deeply unfavorable view of clinton. whoever wins will come in with 45% of the country really, really unhappy they're president and probably a divided government as well. certainly if clinton wins. so there's a lot of work to do to find any kind of reasonable

coalition that can move forward on the big challenges facing the country. i think the resistance to the winner -- we've been kind of heading in this direction -- but the resistance to the winner is going to be greater than we've seen in the last 25 years. >> i brought up the basket of deplorables comment with tim kaine. he said she apologized after that. but she apologized for saying half, not for saying they are deplorable. what would make donald trump supporters think hillary clinton is now going to embrace them? >> in the last couple of weeks, we've watched hillary clinton really come to terms with this reality that if she's elected, she's going to have to be the one to really do that task, bringing the country together. she said in a recent interview, maybe this is just what i have to do, maybe this is sort of fate. i think the irony of it is not lost on her. she's a really divisive person in american politics. she recognizes that. and i think that the basket of deplorables didn't help her, but that's in some ways kind of the least of her worries. we're going into a situation where republicans have basically said, hey, if she's elected,

we're just going to investigate her from now until kingdom come. and that's something that makes a lot of americans' stomachs turn. it makes them want this to not be the reality they're facing. >> m.k., you're a great illustration of this struggle within the ideological base of the republican party to deal with donald trump. so in psychology, they have reaction formation. i'm calling this rejection formation, which is where you got blue-collar workers, struggling middle-class families, and your traditional gop base, many whom look at trump and say you ain't us. whoever gets that answer at the best caliber, clinton or trump, that reaction of negativity of this rejection, will probably win this race. >> right. well, one idea after the election, if indeed clinton won, is that -- actually, either way. if tim kaine could talk us to in his dad voice for a couple days and let everybody chill out, he might be the better messenger. this whole race has been a race to the bottom of the barrel.

not just rhetoric, not just tv ads. but the fact that these two candidates are deeply untrusted and disliked. so it is a battle about who rejects them more. and i think what you are seeing in the clinton side is you're seeing some of these college-educated and suburban voters that a romney would have gotten come over to her side. maybe there's a little more crossover in this polarized nation for her than there was in the past. but on the trump side, you see that drop off in white blue-collar voters that comes to his side. so we're seeing this odd mixing but a polarization at the same time. >> jackie, what are you looking at on this last day? >> just to jump off what mary katherine said there, some of the republicans that are voting for her don't like her. they're not thrilled by her. they're probably voting cross ballot. they're voting -- i've got friends in florida voting for hillary clinton and marco rubio. those cross-ballot votes, to the extent they are both sides, i feel like it's more on the

democratic side, that's going to be really interesting to see at the end of the night, how much that actually played in. there were moments where hillary clinton was targeting those -- the republican voter who just wasn't sure about donald trump. >> you know, it's almost certain that in the exit polls tonight a majority of the voters will say they don't trust hillary clinton. that doesn't mean she can't win. a majority of the voters said they didn't trust bill clinton in 1996 in the exit poll and he won by eight points. 20% of the people who said they didn't trust him voted for him because there are other things they cared about. but the fact is, she's going to -- if she wins, and i think for donald trump it will probably be the majority who don't trust him. whoever wins is going to come in with this big headwind. further, talk about separate nations. almost all the republicans who win are going to come from places that voted against clinton. and almost all the democrats who win are going to come from places who voted for trump. the hard part is it's going to not be easy for any president to kind of pull it back together. >> especially when so much of

the dialogue has been division. i know the clinton campaign will say, no, our hand was forced by everything he said. whatever. you make choices in elections. his message has been clear. everything stinks. america's never been in worse shape. and i can fix it. hers has been, you know, largely look at this guy. he can't be president. so how do you expect people to be anywhere but like this? >> never, i think, has a republican nominee or really any presidential nominee been vilified the what they donald trump has been vilified in this election. the clinton campaign is responsible for that. they have set this guy up as a boogey man, and his supporters as -- >> his mouth has done a lot of it. >> that's true. >> i give him like 70% of the credit. >> the point is that there are going to be a lot of people who cast ballots for donald trump. and hillary clinton is going to have to reach out to them in a way that's vastly different from the way it's been done up until this point. there are people who agree with

donald trump on the core tenants of his candidacy. democrats have to reconcile. >> that will be a challenge for republicans as well. a lot of republican leaders in congress don't agree with those core tenants. >> panel, thank you very much. great to get all your insights. >> this is just the beginning. we have, i think, 17 states opened up now. millions of people getting to exercise the franchise of the vote. but there's a lot more to go. we will have every count in every state covered the way only cnn can. and guess what, let's party a little early tomorrow. 3:00 a.m. eastern we'll be showing up here, going through 9:00, because it may not be over everywhere yet. >> all nighter for us. >> woo-hoo. >> after endless campaigning and a frenetic 11th hour push, who has the edge today? we walk through the 270 map with david gregory and get a sense of the state of the race from michael smerconish next. [burke] at farmers, we've seen almost everything,

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all right. the polls are open in pennsylvania for a half hour now. both campaigns holding closing rallies in that battleground state last night. we have cnn's miguel marquez live from pittsburgh with more. what a battle that state is expected to be. what's the action? >> reporter: yeah, we're actually just south of pittsburgh in washington county. this is trump country. it looks more like a busy airport this morning than a polling station. this is the township center. the line snakes around that way inside. like an airport, it snakes all the way into where they're voting in there. we probably have 150 people. who do you think he's voting for? i'm not entirely sure. it's a subtle message he's sending this morning. but the line snakes all the way back here.

there's only six machines in there. so they're getting through there fairly quickly, but it is taking probably a half hour or so. people very, very motivated. this is a county that donald trump must do very, very well in. it's a place where hillary clinton actually has an office. romney beat obama in 2012 here. clinton wants to be somewhat competitive here. trump needs to be very competitive in these counties. he needs to win them huge, and he also needs to stay up with hillary clinton in those urban areas. polls just opened at 7:00. no early voting here. they close 8:00 p.m. we'll know the winner then. alisyn? >> okay, miguel. thanks so much for that. donald trump and hillary clinton barnstorming key states in the final hours last night. so which states does each candidate need to win to reach that magical 270 number? cnn political analyst david gregory is here to break down the numbers. david, what are you seeing? >> a couple things to look at. first of all, where did they end, their final rallies? it tells us something about what

they're thinking. for hillary clinton, she's already at 268 on our map, very close to that magic number. she ended her night in pennsylvania. why? that's a firewall for her. if she can shut trump down there, she doesn't need some of these other swing states we're talking about. that's a key part of that blue wall and prevents him from building that momentum in the midwest. it's important. she's also spending time in north carolina. you've got that surge of latino voting. highest percentage increase of latino voters in north carolina. back in philadelphia, it's minority votes. it's also college-educated whites, which we'll talk more about in a moment. for donald trump, look where he ended in michigan. why? he thinks working-class white voters and a surge of those voters could surprise people and give him a path to victory and might say something about his ability to dominate this region overall. he may need that as insurance if he can't pick up all these other swing states as well as holding the romney states that go back to 2012. a couple things we'll look at in a couple states i think are

interesting. let's go to our national map. let's go to florida. as these returns come in and you're coming home from work and you start to watch county by county, there's a couple things to look at. what are we talking about in the surge potentially of hispanic voters? this plays so big in a state like florida. you're going to look at miami. miami-dade county, this is huge. look at the margins in 2012. 62 to 38 for barack obama. you're going to look to see if hillary clinton is performing at that level, maybe even overperforming when you look at that. if we go back, we're still in florida, we look in the orlando area. that's orange county. similar situation. a lot of central american voters, puerto ricans who have moved to florida. they could be part of that latino surge. look at the margins for barack obama, 59 to 40. that's huge. you're going to look for similar numbers. pennsylvania is one where you talk about chester county, one of those collar counties in pennsylvania. narrowly won, actually, by mitt romney in 2012. that's going to be a sign as we

look at chester county. i could think about it and it shows up. 50 to 49 for romney. this is a republican area. if donald trump can't win here, that portends a difficult time for him to win a state like pennsylvania. we look for that as the polls close tonight. >> that's how at one you are with the magic wall. >> i feel it. >> you now just think it. >> telekenesis. >> so where does the race stand today on election day? michael smerconish is the most of "smerconish" and cnn political commentator. michael, can you believe we're here today? >> also, remind people why we call you mr. pennsylvania. >> listen, my wife voted in those philadelphia suburbs at ten minutes to 7:00. she was in line. it was already 50 to 70 deep. i'm usually in that line first, and it's ten deep. so the interest is tremendous, as you might expect. >> okay. so what strikes you today? i mean, let's start with their closing arguments. what do you think is going to

win the day? >> i thought what was interesting in terms of how they wrapped up last night was they both had these enormous crowds. so the enthusiasm is there. when i look at donald trump, i see someone who's relying mostly on an organic effort. i know sean spicers d disagrees with me when i say their metrics and ability to bring out people they've already identified is superior to that which the gop has assembled. what the republicans say they have going for them is something that we can't measure in these polls. people are going to come out today to reject the status quo, to reject the media, to reject all office holders and to support donald trump. so it's sort of old school and new school in terms of how they're driving the vote. there's so much data to try and digest, i come back to one data point that i've shared with the two of you time and again. it's this. george herbert walker bush in 1988 got 59% of the white vote. it earned him 426 electoral

votes. mitt romney in 2012, the exact same percentage of the white vote, only 206 electoral votes. the takeaway, it is a different country. and so all the information that you've been sharing about hispanic voters coming out in record proportions, i think thus far potentially is the story of the cycle. >> we have the same thing with reagan, right. he won the noncollege educated white voter by the same margin that trump is predicted to, and he got 59% of the vote. trump's looking at somewhere in the 40s. so the complexion of the country has changed. who makes the better adjustment probably wins. when you look at the map, as people are coming home and hearing about exits and seeing different things, which states are you watching most closely and why? >> so we're tuned in. it's cnn tonight, 7:00 p.m., if not sooner. there's going to be a lot of data that's going to come soon. many things are going to pop on the east coast. you're going to look at florida. you're going to look at north carolina.

you're going to -- i'm working up the eastern seaboard. maybe you spend some time on virginia. but it's really then pennsylvania and new hampshire. i don't know how long it will take them to count those votes, but there will be indications relatively soon in terms of how the night is breaking. and if he has not -- if he has not pulled something from hillary clinton in one of those states, then i think he's going to have a very difficult climb. >> what if he has? what if donald trump has won north carolina and florida on the east coast? then what happens? >> then get the popcorn because we need to focus then on the midwest. we need to know what happens in michigan. hey, i remember being in this bureau on primary election night in michigan, and bernie shocked the world. everybody keeps wondering, why all this attention, why did he go to michigan, why did she go to michigan? people have forgotten. bernie sanders delivered a thunder clap back in primary and caucus season. so that's kind of a crap shoot. then you shift, of course, further west and wonder about

arizona and wonder about nevada and you wonder what e man mcmullin is really doing in utah. so if the mysteries are not solved on the eastern seaboard, then we're going to be here for a while. >> and why are there more mysteries? i think that takes us to the unprecedented negativity and disaffection in this election. i started calling it rejection formation. donald trump is saying to blue-collar americans, i'm going to fight for you. they may look at him to a certain degree and say, you ain't us. hillary clinton has her own coalition, but really it's the obama coalition, and trying to get some of bernie's farther to the left. she's saying, i'm going to take care of you, and they're looking at her saying, no, you're not, you don't represent what we want. so who gets less of that winds up being your winner. >> you know, i'd say it differently, and i totally agree, chris, with what you're saying. politics makes strange bedfellows. never more so than in this election. you need to look well beyond. it's misleading just to see how many early ballots have been returned by republicans and how

many have been returned by democrats. the demographics matter. race matters. ethnicity matters. education matters. and gender matters. you need more data than just to look at rs and ds. >> so if there's record turnout tonight, what do you think that means? is that a silver lining, that people have been engaged, or does that just show anger? >> maybe they're just -- you know, i just had this conversation with my wife. i said, do you think they're lined up because they want to make sure it's really over, or is it that they're so enthused? look, you know what the numbers are. they may complain about it, but they're watching us, they're paying attention, they're following cnn. i think they're into it but eager for it to be over. >> fair enough. michael smerconish, thanks so much. great to talk to you on this election day. >> early voting has certainly given us insights, increasingly so. latinos especially. record-breaking numbers in early voting, especially in florida. florida is going to have well over 50% turnout before we even count what happens today.

unheard of. so what is that vote going to mean? we're going to talk about that. >> and if you want a chance to be featured on cnn's election day coverage, tag your voting instagrams with #myvote. let us know who you voted for and where you voted. we'll be showing some of them throughout the day. >> how about a little taste now? what do we have? >> we have some live pictures from parma, ohio. >> just as good. there we go. look at that, usa all the way. that's nice. little voter sticker there on the way to the gym. respect it. changes to make things right. first, all customers who have been impacted will be fully refunded.

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early voting data. very instructive. it shows at a minimum record-breaking surging among latino voters in several different battleground states. let's take a look here. 89% up in florida from 2008. florida has over 50% turnout already and the polls are just opening there. 79% latinos are up in early voting in north carolina.

144% in georgia. that's an important state there. that's since 2012. some are saying there could be a secific reason behind the numbers. take a listen. >> they're bringing drugs. they're bringing crime. they're rapists, and some, i assume, are good people. somebody's doing the raping, don. you know, i mean, somebody's doing it. women being raped. well, who's doing the raping? this judge is giving us unfair laws. we're building a wall. he's a mexican. we're building a wall between here and mexico. we will build a great wall and mexico will pay for the wall 100%. >> so is that what it's about? let's debate with our cnn political commentator. we have cory leeuwie lewandowsk christine quinn. the reason we've seen softening in wall talk and a softening in the anger towards immigrants that trump was voicing early on,

is it because you guys know that this group can hurt you? >> well, i think, look, anybody who doesn't realize the political reality of the country is changing is going to fail. there's no question about that. what we do know is that the states like north carolina and states like florida, there is an uptick in hispanic turnout. we know that. there's also an uptick in white turnout in north carolina. there's a down tick in african-american turnout. i don't want to look at just one part, one nationality and say this is going to be the make or break. of course the country continues to change. you're going to see that in a state like nevada where the hispanic turnout was up much more so than four years ago. at the end of the day the country is more diverse. >> ironically, donald trump said that after the 2012 he was one of those weighing in and saying, boy, if you don't pass immigration reform and start treating these people with respect, you republicans are never going to win anything and yet he doubled down on the ugly side of that message, however, what does that mean for hillary

clinton? if they're coming out just to voice an expression of donald trump and rejection, that's one thing, but you have the cuban community, latinos, they are not the african-american community. they have different sense of family values and economic establishment in this country that they favor which could create a different break. they won't be 95/5, maybe it's 80/20. maybe it's 78/22, what does that mean? >> clearly for today, election day, we know that the vast, vast, vast majority of latino and hispanic voters who are turning out are turning out in support of clinton. is part of that because donald trump has been vile and racist? yes. but part of that is also because of hillary's support for the community, her work with community and her history of fighting for women and children. now i don't really think even with communities who people think vote in a monolithic way.

they're incredibly diverse. that's why hillary is the best person absolutely in this race to represent that community, because she's somebody who's built her career on listening, on engaging and problem solving. not putting cookie cut answers out there that she thinks speaks for a huge bunch of americans. that's not what she's going to do. that's why she's going to represent that community and so many others in an informed and effective way. >> so to the extend that we have untrained minds going into the polls this morning who are literally. too ugly, too angry, what do you say to the voter who is saying it's hillary clinton. this e-mail stuff bothers me. i need to know that i can trust one of these people. she has been there a long time through a lot of things. i want something different. why is hillary clinton the choice for that person? >> well, i would say a couple reasons. i mean, i've known hillary clinton and had the great honor and privilege of calling her a mentor and working for her through 20 years. this may sound like one of those

spin tactics, but it is true that there have been almost 30 years of groups and entities and people attacking her and atta attacking her husband. i can tell you personally hillary clinton is a person who has called me on every birthday since we've met, on every gay pride when i've had bad, bad political moments, she's the first one to call and say, call me if you need me. keep your chin up. she's somebody who cares about people deeply, and as president, that's going to be her focus. women and children and how to make this country better, and she has -- you know, there's a discussion of change and change just for change sake isn't good. can you change and go in the wrong direction and get profoundly lost in a way that will hurt this country. she has experience and commitment and that's what we need right now. >> and the proposition of rejection potentially on your side is what this man says and what he says he's going to do

offends me and i don't believe that he is one of the working class. he's a billionaire and he's never done anything for that group but i do want something different. i don't like the status quo. why should they vote for trump? >> look, i think we all can agree that washington, d.c., is broken and politicians on both sides of the aisle, republicans and democrats, for 30 years have made promises they don't deliver on. one in four and one in five latinos live in poverty today. our debt is at $20 trillion. that's something we're going to leave to our children and our grandchildren. we have an obligation to do something different and when you ask the american people republicans and democrats combined, do you think our country is going on the right track or wrong track, the plurality at this say we're going on the wrong track. if you like the way things have gone, you think washington is going well, then absolutely you should elect someone who has 30 years of washington, d.c., experience. if you think it's time to fundamentally change washington and elect somebody that isn't

bought and paid for by special interests, that is going to put americans first, then you say i'm going to give donald trump the opportunity to do that. >> if donald trump loses this election, what is he saying tonight? >> i think you have to see what the outcome is. >> if he loses? >> sure. look, if it's a decisive loss -- >> decisive, nobody can question it, he loses hypothetically what does he do? >> i don't think that's going to be the case. what he would say and what i would counsel him to say is this has been an historic movement and you can never give up. he has brought people together that have been outside of the political process for a long time. let me say this, when barack obama was first elected, i was a romney guy. you want to support the president of the united states and you want hope and if donald trump doesn't win tonight, i'm going to be devastated, disappointed. i put a lot of time and effort into that campaign. let me say this, the country always comes back, regroups and does what's the best. >> and you know what -- >> same question to you. if hillary clinton loses, what

does she say tonight? >> she says congratulations, mr. trump, and i'm here ready to help you in any way to lead the country. she'll accept the results and i think that's historic and important contrast between the two candidates. what cory said is not what donald trump has said, not at all. he said he'll accept the results if he wins. he doesn't hold the foundation and real meaning of this country, he doesn't hold it close to his heart by saying he won't follow that commitment. >> the three most powerful words and amorphous words, we will see, because you could argue whoever loses is going to matter more tonight than whoever wins in terms of bringing this country together. thanks to both of you. it's been a joy. all right. there's a lot of news going on including a live interview with donald trump jr. in just a moment. let's get to it. >> none of us want to wake up wednesday morning and wish we had done more.

>> today is our independence day. . we are going to win back the white house. >> your vote. you can say this country has always been great. >> do you want america to be ruled by the corrupt political class. welcome to our viewers around the world. you're watching "new day" and it is election day in america. the finish line is in sight for donald trump and hillary clinton. now it is up to you, the voters. the polls are opening this hour in 14 states including michigan

and arizona. >> the good news, people are lining up. i know, you have to wait, it's inconvenient but, hey, this is about exerr chasing the franchise. it's worth a little inconvenience. live pictures from chappaqua, new york. you know who lives there? hillary clinton. she is expected to vote any minute. we cannot exaggerate how much is at stake. let's begin our coverage with cnn's phil mattingly live in pennsylvania. all eyes on that state for sure. >> reporter: no question about it. a true tossup. if you talk to the advisors in both campaigns, they say we don't really know how it's going to go. that's exactly why you saw donald trump here many times, that's exactly why you saw hillary clinton here last night. as you see right now on screen, hillary clinton actually voting right now. let's go ahead and take a look at that.