we have the best political team in the police covering all of this breaking news for you. let's begin with john berm ton break down all of the numbers, john, lay it out for us. >> this is where things stand just after 5:00 a.m. on the east coast. as you said, donald trump will be the 45th president of the united states. he has 289 electoral votes avenue of right now, hillary clinton at 218. there are still three states waiting to be called, michigan, minnesota and new hampshire. donald trump with a slight edge there. let's look at new hampshire this has been close all night long. in the state of new hampshire, donald trump ahead by 300 votes. just 300 votes. but the bottom line is, he doesn't need them, he's got enough already, when it's all said and done, he may end up with 300 electoral votes. that is a sizable victory. as of now, hillary clinton at 218. the key overnight, the blue wall crumbling. it's a cliche now but it's very important to understand. donald trump picked up wins in

wisconsin and pennsylvania. no republican has won pennsylvania since 1988. no republican has won wisconsin since 1984. hillary clinton didn't even go there. she thought she had it in the bag. one of the other big surprises in this sea of surprises. donald trump he had coattails. the republicans, they will keep control of the senate winning at least 51 seats, no tiebreaker. mike pence is not going to have to pass the tiebreak. the republicans easily maintaining control of that chamber. at least 235 seats. nine seats remaining. democrats did pick up six seats. you see a democratic pickup. you say that's good for the democrats that is nothing like what they thought they might pick up three weeks ago. we're still waiting for three states that haven't been called yet. alisyn. donald trump addressing the nation for the first time as president-elect it was shortly

before 3:00 in the morning. he congratulated hillary clinton for a hard fought campaign. and he told his supporters that there's a lot of work to be done. >> i've just received a call from secretary clinton. she congratulated us, it's about us. on our victory. and i congratulated her and her family on a very, very hard fought campaign. i mean, she fought very hard. hillary has worked very long and very hard over a long period of time. and we owe her a major debt of gratitude for her service to our country. i mean that very sincerely. now, it's time for america to bind the wounds of division,

have to get together. to all republican, democrats, republicans across this nation, i say it is time for us to come together as one united people. it's time. i pledge to every citizen of our land that i will be president for all americans. and this is so important to me. for those who have chosen not to support me in the past, of which there were a few people. i'm reaching out to you for your guidance and your help, so that we can work together and unify our great country. >> all right. that was the first moment we got

to hear from trump as president-elect. let's go to cnn's sumlin serfaty live at trump tower for more on president-elect's big night and what is first. sumlin, are his remarks notable for what he did not mention more than what he did say? that conciliatory tone very different. >> reporter: absolutely. we saw different president-elect trump and candidate trump, the goal was for him to come off gracious, and they believe they largely achieved that goal tonight. president-elect trump has spoken to president obama. we know that president obama called him a short time ago. and this, according to one of our star campaign reporters who caught up with kellyanne conway as she was leaving the victory party. kellyanne conway describing the discussion between the two men as great and describing that they will meet at the white house some time soon.

we know that president obama has cleared his calendar for the potential meeting on thursday. we'll see the details of that as it comes together. on trump, back here at trump tower, i can tell you it's still very much a party-like atmosphere. a lot of supporters still gathered chanting "trump, trump, trump" wearing their make america great hats. trump getting a few hours of sleep before the work starts today. and the work really does start in a different way. not only does he have a new title, but he has new things to think about, most importantly the transition. we know that the completed plans was delivered here last night at 5:00 p.m. according to gop sources. the work according to everyone on the trump team starts today. >> sumlin, thank you very much. hillary clinton did not speak publicly last night but is expected to speak this morning. cnn's phil mattingly is with us. >> her decision not to concede

publicly underscores a key reality here. they never expected those happen. a senior democrat telling me that clinton needed time to digest this. really get her message together. the speech itself we don't know when it's coming or where it's coming. it is coming this morning. and it will be talking about healing. kind of a reflection on where this campaign needs to go. gracious was one word a democratic supporter used to describe the message that hillary clinton will try to get across. this wasn't expected to happen. devastated the word you hear over and over again. democrats asking how they could possibly be at this. this isn't a narrow loss. this is a very big loss. i did talk to some of the few clinton supporters who are actually picking up their phone. going into discuss morning, they felt good about where they sat and they felt they had a number of different pathways to 270. i asked, was their data off?

they said, look, we're not going to trash our programs here. we were looking at a program that was not tracking reality of what happened on tuesday night. we'll see what hillary clinton has to say this morning. again, most of her top advisers pretty much shut down their phones by late afternoon yesterday. guys. >> all right, phil. we want to break down this morning. david gregory, john avalon, john berman and jackie kucinich. it's great to have you all. john, what happened? >> that is a question we're going to be analyzing if not for days, for years. this is one of the greatest upsets in american political history. and when donald trump was campaigning the last few weeks in states that republicans haven't won since ronald reagan. i said to tom, either they're geniuses or they're complete fools. well, they're not foolish today. they pulled off a win today by flipping states that republicans hadn't really played in. and the analysis of why the

polling was off. why the predictiveness was off. how a candidate who had fundamentally divisive appeals was able to match among the latino vote and not do worse. the rule of class were all things. >> and that he could overcome such division in the electorate. the things that he said about women. and his own past with women, that "access hollywood" tape and yet, he did very well among noncollege educated white women. the gender gap was not as big as the class gap that he exploited. he understood something about the electorate that so many of us, i didn't think he could win, that his path was skissi iexcee narrow. he understood it. he got it. when he said tonight, the people, men and women forgotten, will be forgotten no more. he knew who he was speaking to

all along. >> jackie, do we see any proof that provides an answer to the question did he win because of all of the ugly things that he says, or despite them? >> i don't really know the answer to that yet. i really don't. there are so many questions and so much data to go through and so many people to speak to. i was docking to a longtime republican pollster last night. and he said that trump basically -- he exceeded all expectations and ran a perfect game. and this person have been in it a long time and never seen it. >> no voter says i like the "access hollywood" tape. they just say i don't believe or i do believe it and don't care. >> they don't like the status quo. because we're looking at convention, right, if the president has a good approval rating that usually bodes well for the person in his party. it didn't this time. >> the more crash the more unorthodox, not that i don't

believe it, yeah, he was making everybody crazy in the media. in washington. >> part of that change. i also think there's a certain amount of debt of denial that happened in the last week or so. when the polls in new hampshire started closing. two or three points, yes, hillary clinton was ahead. that's within the margin of error. a lot of us close to look at it and say, yeah, it's in the margin of error, and we believed the high end of it and every state it turned out to be wrong. >> setting expectations very low, i think a lot of internal numbers didn't see this coming. one of the factors is, how much was it celebrity, how many first-time voters were there? it's a concept that bill clinton used to talk about, ironically. a strong leader will give people comfort in a time of chaos. that clearly worked.

the quell right now, can we unite, we have to unite. the tone president-elect trump said is a step in that direction. >> well, look, that's conventional thinking also. you could make a different suggestion you stay with what got you there. trump seems to be answering that question early this morning as president-elect. he came out, he didn't mention the wall. he didn't talk about muslims. he didn't talk about us versus them. he talked about we. i get that that's what you usually do. however, you don't usually get there by playing up all of the those differences in the worse way that you can. >> he did this after -- i mean, with primary that we're talking about, after he beat ted cruz at one point. he came out, he didn't call him lying ted, he called him senator cruz. we all were taken aback and, oh, is he turning a page. now, we haven't seen him in a position where he hasn't been in

competition. one of the trump surrogates that truck me said he was going to fight republicans, he was going to fight democrats. but then he was saying, they're going to have to work together. he's going to have to figure out what he's going to do and how that's going to work in terms of working with congress. >> this is not an ideological guy. >> no. >> he doesn't care. >> the thing that made him win was the fact that republicans decided that he was ideological enough for them. that he wouldn't pick the supreme court justices that they wouldn't like. that he was going to repeal obamacare. all of the republicans, i've seen the numbers this morning, i'm sure it's up close to 90 or higher than that. >> i don't think he's as ideologically rigid as president. >> but the right is going to try to hold him accountable. ralph reed is holding a press conference this afternoon. >> he leads a movement that is

bigger than ralph reed. >> and look, part of the whole -- what we're trying to figure out how much of the divisive demagogic talk would be blustered and how much of it affects who he really is? and how is that going to be navigated? because it is different. >> the last part is key, though, there are people who just put him in power because they're pissed off, they feel forgotten and they wanted to change. drain the swamp. now, he's the biggest alligator in the swamp. >> president obama has a 54% approval rating. so the voters who say they're very, very angry, at the same time they're saying we really like to -- >> they didn't have do go out and vote for obama this time. >> 60% of -- the exit polls seem to be a bit fraught. we'll have to get into greater detail on that. 60% of voters said he wasn't experienced enough. and yet, we elected him with a clear majority. that's a conundrum.

>> clear electoral majority. >> by the way, what about the democrats because you have an opposition here that doesn't just oppose him, isn't just against him, but fears him. so how are they going to position themselves? are they going to give him his due, create space for him. >> box tail, it better to be feared or loved? better to be feared, especially in government. >> oh contraire. panel, thank you. coming up on "new day," trump's campaign manager kelley anne conway where had a great tweet where she said stop saying all the pollsters got it wrong. of course, she's a pollster. and some say implausible. we're breaking down the vote to see who put him over the top. that's next. ♪

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>> announcer: breaking news. the next president of the united states is donald j.

trump. why? we're breaking down the exit polls. >> let's start with terrorism. trump won overwhelmingly, 57% of the nationwide electorate, 39% for hillary clinton. an even bigger margin of victory who say immigration is the most important. 64% for trump, 32% for clinton. he won florida. look at this, we asked voters what could happen to illegal immigrants working in the u.s.? 70% of floridians say they should be offered legal status. 22% want deportations. of those who want deportation, 93% breaking for trump. 6% for hillary clinton. this was a trend on a lot of issues. trump supporters were huge on votes that believed on his message. even for clinton, the votes, weren't enough of them there.

they agreed with trump that trade agreements hurt american workers. half of all workers in michigan said international trade kills u.s. jobs. 59% for trump. 39% for clinton. his promising to bring back factory jobs resonating. you can see clearly his america first. america first on trade, immigration, terrorism, really resonating in a lot of these states, guys. >> that's helpful. thank you very much, christine for that. let's talk about it with our panel. and what propelled trump to the presidency. john avalon, david gregory, jackie kucinich and john berman. you seem like you want to say something. >> yes, i was giving my eager eyes and holding my sally rafael glasses. i think trump tapped into something even with his inexperience about foreign affairs. where he can say the leaders in the republican party got us into afghanistan and iraq. these were apparently all the smartest in the republican party, what good did that get

you. hillary clinton has all of this experience in foreign acompaffa look what happened in libya. i think there's confusion with americans on what power means in the world and how effective it can be. and i think he tapped into the kind of reluctance of projection in american power that we seemed to out our history in times of conflict. i think that's striking. >> just the complete blank slate of what he intends to actually do beyond the bumper sticker is itself. >> i'm talking about the wariness. >> and that's a good point. even that, it's a little pressing because it actually skips a point. we need to see where we are right now. you know what we got some meat on the bones of this suggestion. these are the exit polls. how do you feel if trump wins? 13%, excited. scared, 36%. john berman is shaking his head

at this because -- >> because so much of what we're seeing in the exit polls doesn't make sense, 56% are either concerned or scared yet he won 61% of the electoral votes. what did that tell you? how do we explain that? >> i'm not sure we can. >> there are a lot of pollsters and business people who are soul searching and maybe looking for new professions. but there are contradictions that we need to understand is there a problem with the poll or a contradiction. >> well, let's talk about that. >> alisyn made this point a lot during the actual campaign. i'm scared. i'm scared, somebody says. okay. we assume that means i'm scared of trump because i'm responding. because you've often said, there are a lot of people scared that's why they're voting for trump. >> i don't know how they phrased the question. >> there are a lot of people scared, that's why they're scared. afraid of isis or economic insecurity.

>> it's been highly entertaining. that's the danger of amusing yourself. >> well, let's talk -- i wouldn't distance -- >> no, no. look. donald trump dominated coverage of this campaign. he was the center of gravity. hillary clinton did not generate nearly the amount of attention. nearly the amount of articles. to that extent, he was a pop culture, political fascination that we have chosen to carry through. in democracy, you get the country you deserve. to the extent with a reality to this election and rocked the political establishment in history, that's celebrity. that wanting this show to go on may have some impact on people's decisions. >> one last point about pollsters did they not interview working class whites? why do we think they missed the ground swell? >> i don't know. >> i was just talking to pollsters last night, one of the things i heard they underestimated the number of rural voters that would come out for trump.

>> clearly the modeling on white men was off. >> right. >> you look at the exit polls there weren't more working class whites who voted. it's the same proportion as before. it's just that trump crushed it. the percentage of people they spoke to from the last time, it's not the modeling's fault. it's that people may have changed their minds at the last minute. >> or speaks to what trump may have referred to a lot. they're afraid you in the media are going to judge them. how about the favorable poll -- >> unfavorable, 60%. john berman, still doesn't make sense. >> still doesn't make sense. people think the country is on the wrong track and they want change. if that's what they want more than anything, i was looking at numbers before, in states like michigan and pennsylvania, michigan we still haven't called

yet. but wisconsin, these rust belt states change was the number one position. even if you have an unfavorable true of trump, they decided he was the right person. >> and hillary clinton also have unfavorables. but can donald trump bring back manufacturing jobs? that's one of the defining issues that christine romans just laid out jobs and factory workers want back in. is that possible? >> the economic pain that donald trump tapped into has to do with the slow recovery from the great recession. but it goes far back on that. you know, had it to do with outsourcing of jobs. closing of factories. is it within the power of a president to bring those solely back? probably not. does that benefit the american people. >> what you're saying a problem that david axelrod, our colleague talked about, so many people who voted for obama projected qualities on to him that he didn't necessarily have and then were disappointed.

he himself, president obama, why he wrote this in his book was overwhelmed by all of the optimism and expectation that he came into office with knowing that people would be disappointed. now there is tremendous pressure on donald trump who says this is about our movement, this is what we've done together. he now has to start delivering. >> jackie, how about this connect then, you get brought in on a wave of i hate everything, yet the man responsible for everything, is obama, he's at 53% in the exits. is that crazy talk also? >> i don't know if it's crazy talk but there is dissidence. how is it 53% and then the unfavorable guy ends up winning the election. >> i don't know, guys. one of the things he's going to have to square, talking about trade, you can't start a trade war and have goods go up. and hit people in the pocket book. that is not something that has

been delved into. >> with president obama, how does he get out of bed tomorrow morning, right? this is a repudiation of -- >> one leg at a time. just like every day. >> repealing obamacare, you have to know that will happen. >> all the capital on the line. campaigned for hillary clinton. >> campaigned harder than any incumbent president has campaigned. >> and it showed on obama, stated it in deeply personal terms. >> it is is not easy to get someone to vote for someone else. it's one thing to do it for somebody else. >> panel, thank you very much. >> all right. so, we're discovering what this may mean. we know what it already does mean on the markets all over the world. futures are tanking. that was not unexpected, but it is surprising to a certain degree. and we'll tell you why on "new day," next. my belly pain and constipation?

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>> announcer: this is cnn breaking news. we're going to have a lot of breaking news this morning.

a momentous market. global markets are down sharply. reacting to institution of donald trump a's victory. >> "economist" magazine called fright night for global investors. u.s. stock futures down sharply here. down 304 points off the worst levels, though. it had been much worse than this in the early going. still, that is the selloff, many people predicted if donald trump were to win. look what happened when it looked like donald trump was able to secure the electoral votes. you saw the market fall dramatically, now, it's starting to recover a little bit as cooler heads are prevailing and folks are trying to figure out what could happen here. donald trump's position on trading and immigration could be global for the u.s., but could he get something done on, say, tax reform or an infrastructure built? those are things we don't know.

still overnight in asia, big losses there. you had emergency meetings of financial folks in the governments over there. look at tokyo down 5%, 900 points. this is europe, off the worst levels of the night. again, a bounceoff of what is going here. and my business colleagues will tell you this is what happens, they rush into gold. you can see gold here. quick, this is the peso, record low for peso's trump's view on the relationship with mexico, building a wall would be detrimental to the mexican economy. and this peso has been a proxy for donald trump and his proposals. three hours almost to the opening bell. i predict with great certainty, uncertainty. >> hold on, christine, that answer will get you a seat at the table. come join us. now, in full disclosure. markets, futures they're moving now. they're not as deep as they were. they are expected to be down.

we'll keep an eye on it. let's discuss the economic implications, rhonda fruhard and richard quest. quest, you have a british accent. i blame you for that. this is seen as analogy to brexit. that had been rejected by the big brains. they say, why, well, the polling always showed that brexit was clearer in the end. do you see alerts? >> with what happened last night? >> absolutely. >> it's brexit redone on steroids what happened last night. there's no question about it. it's an angry electorate taking it out at the polls. the problem is, how many of those people this morning will have expected their neighbor to have voted differently and to have given a different result and will now be saying -- i can't saying it on public

television -- >> voter's remorse? >> voter's remorse. >> what has happened in britain, are there polls that they wish they hadn't voted that way? >> no, if you look at most people say brexit, all right, that's what we've got. the difficulty is once you've done it, you've done it. it becomes an issue of practicalities. as teresa may is discovering now in the uk. in this case in the u.s., you've now got to have revocation of nafta. you've got to repeal and replace obamacare. you've got to get rid of the tpp. you've got to lower the taxes that you promised. >> and the big one -- >> the wall? >> you've got to build the wall. for teresa may. daunting task. people didn't know about that vote, this is harder. that is one thing. you have to leave the union. let's see if we can do it and

how it works. he's got a list of things that now he may not want to deliver on. he may not be able to deliver on, he has a group of people that are demanding that change. >> the trade issues are going to be profound. we knew if this happened we knew this would be a severe dip. i think we'll see volatility, don't get me wrong. everybody is waiting to see what is going to happen. are we going to have a trade war. >> let's not forget, the insiders in that game love the volatility. this is where they beat the mom and pop at home investor. they play volatility. >> if he makes a false move and you heard the u.s. economy with trade policies, you hurt the very people who elected him. >> you can do that? can you tear up a contract? >> he says he can.

>> he's broken up a wave, you see trade complaints coming into the wtro already. that's going to increase. you may see other countries starting to put up barriers in anticipate. >> i just went back and read his speech at the economic club in new york. it's quite clear, he says he's going to renegotiate nafta. now, that is the back bone of north american trade at the moment. but he said he's going to do it, so he's got to do it. >> but how does he do that? >> well shg, he's got to get th consent of the canadians and the mexicans as well. >> what if they say we don't want to renegotiate? >> well, the mexican president has admitted he might be agreeable to -- justinthreodoux has -- >> he can use those remittances

to build a wall. >> it must be a tax and therefore levied through kang. he's not going to unilaterally do it. >> let's also see if president obama tries to rail through tpp, the transpacific partnership before he leaves office. >> but that's -- >> well, he said he's going to try. >> he said he's going to try. i think that's going to increase the anti-trade sentiment. trade was hillary's weak point. if trade is about anything, it's about anti-establishment sentiment. regardless -- you can understand this in working class population in michigan and ohio. even at higher levels people feel that the existing system has not served them as well as it could. and if obama tries to basically push down everybody's throat a trade deal that a lot of people don't believe in anymore, i think that's going to be bad.

>> we thought this was a working class anxiety. and we saw in the exit polls this anxiety spread to people with college degrees and rust belt states. if he can do an infrastructure build. if you have a gop-controlled washington with infrastructure build that would be the payback. >> right. >> but then the republicans have to get on board with that. >> by the way, they're doing -- if his plan goes through, tax cuts at the same time unfunded. you're going to get big debt and deficits. >> keep in mind, 4% growth. >> he said -- >> no there's a number out there, that's what i'm saying. there's a number out there. he's nailed his colors to the mass. 4% growth is what he's promised to the u.s. economy in terms of growth. we shall see. >> christine, rana, brexit, thank you very much. we want to go to john berman for a look at key senate race.

john, what have you been following? >> headline here is republicans have retained control of the house and senate. right now, republicans have at least 51 seats, that guarantees them a majority. let's look at this in a race by race basis. let's start with the one bright spot with democrats. illinois this was the one flip so far, representative tammy duckworth defeated incumbent mark kirk easily. that was it for the democrats. marco rubio elected for a second term to defeat patrick murphy. and todd young defeating evan bayh. he turned out to be a flawed candidate. that goes to the republicans. missouri very interesting as well. incumbent senator roy blunt barely defeating jason kander.

this is interesting because donald trump barely pulled him over the coattails. in nevada, catherine cortez mastowe defeated joe heck. harry reid won the state of nevada for hillary clinton and really helped win this senate seat. in new hampshire, the race is too close to call. the republican incumbent kelly ayotte with a narrow lead. they're still counting votes there. 95% counted as they are in the presidential race. but ayotte has a margin. let's move to north carolina right now, richard burr defeated deborah ross, richard burr would have been in trouble, had hillary clinton not done better in that state. pennsylvania same thing, pat toomey defeated katy mcginty. and wisconsin incumbent ron

johnson defeated russ feingold, a lot of those states you can see donald trump's victories made a big, big difference. >> donald trump stunning upset making hillary clinton's blue wall crumble. how did he pull it off? and how did the pollsters get it so wrong? we look at all of that -- next. whoa, this is awful, try it. oh no, that looks gross what is that? you gotta try it, it's terrible. i don't wanna try it if it's terrible. it's like mango chutney and burnt hair. no thank you, i have a very sensitive palate. just try it! guys, i think we should hurry up. if you taste something bad, you want someone else to try it. it's what you do. i can't get the taste out of my mouth! if you want to save fifteen percent or more on car insurance, you switch to geico. it's what you do. shhh! dog, dog, dog.

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>> announcer: this is cnn breaking news. donald j. trump, president-elect of the united states. let's discuss this historic upset with historians. douglas brinkley cnn presidential historian. and julian zelizer, historian at princeton. a man that fuels the anger, spoking hate, demagoguery that sometimes raises but does not elevate all the way. he does this time what does it mean? >> i think he promoted fear, franklin roosevelt, we have nothing to fear but fear itself. he made americans feel very

afraid. very afraid about isis. very afraid about immigrants. very afraid about muslims, even your neighbors. and mccarthy, to kind of paper out mccarthyism. there was a no nothing party in the 19th century. but now, he's president. can he not be that way? can he be a uniter like i thought was a quite eloquent victory speech. >> you know what would have been historic about hillary clinton's win. what's so historic about donald trump's? >> obviously you have somebody who has no experience in politics. >> and that's never happened before? >> dwight iceisenhower.

but hoover, but that's different. someone who played to the fringe elements of american society. to the anger, hatred, but made it the mainstream message of a party. now, he's the president of the united states. i'm more skeptical about the kind of transition that he's going to make. he now has united government. that's the third important part of what's just happened. we're not talking about that. >> well, but you are using the historical definition ever united government which is the senate and house will have the same party designation. but they ain't united douglas. he's got to figure out how to get his own in his own tents. he ran as much against them as he did against hillary clinton. >> and it's a divided bop las vegas still. this is 2000 bush v. gore redone. john kerry versus bush. meaning it's very tight in there. i think it's going to be interesting to see whose the new trump cabinet. i think newt gingrich has been a survive. >> do you think he'll be in the

cabinet? >> i think he will. >> rudy giuliani? >> giuliani, homeland security. >> how about chris christie being that he's wounded by the court case but a loyalist to donald trump? >> trump likes loyalists. there might be a position for him. >> i don't think he gets through confirmation. >> he might have to be the white house adviser on domestic policy or security. >> i would say, though, even with the divisions in the gop, it's important we don't overstate that from the start. a lot of his views have support in the house republican caucus, for example, in immigration. this has been an issue. they now have a president to support them. and the republicans lined up behind donald trump. i know there are outli lialieou know there are critics. he got the nomination. my guess is through the thrill and excitement of united government and the potential could motivate those in congress to put aside their differences.

>> well, he made the immigration plan very simple. it was word for a long time "wall." most of the country does not want a wall. deportation would be easier to sell if he has the money to effect it. but then we saw something that is again going to require historical analysis. he gets there by stoking people's fears and anger, period. last night, he says no more fear and anger, let's unify. it's usual to hear somebody be as conciliatory as the president of the united states. but how does that work? >> walt whitman once said i am large, i can change multitudes so what if i contradict myself. it's kind of an american characteristic. we talked about him being a buffalo bill or b.t. barnum. but also we like improvisation in america. twitter, on the spot. all of the things he did.

kind of an american character, in many ways, donald trump. look, he won hillary clinton, because all good sports she did run a great campaign. she never got rid of the e-mail problem. she had a walter mondale syndrome to her. it was an amazing history to mark. we.first woman to get the nomination of a major party. big deal. but i don't think there are going to be great writeups coming in that they ran a kind of campaign -- even though they won three debates. that's what's amazing. >> she won all three debates according to whom? >> according a lot of people. >> good point. >> in terms of unity, what does history teach us, even in other countries after all the toxicity, can there be unity? what's the path to that? >> i'm always skeptical. it doesn't last long. you can think of 9/11, for example, we had a national crisis and there was unity.

>> even international unity at that time. >> but it broke down quickly. and the partisan divide was so deep that airport security became points of partisan attention months after the attack. and with elections they don't heal. many democrats are waking up, they're anger, they're ready to try to win the white house in the next election. and republicans are going to double down. i don't think they're going to calm down. >> more than anything else, the democrats are afraid. that's something that trump can use to create progress. >> barack obama i think has an opportunity as a president to kind of bond with trump in some kind of way to move the national narrative forward. >> we know that's going to be quite a visit. >> they sure will. gentlemen, thank you very much. how did donald trump crack that so-called democratic blue wall? let's discuss with the architect of the blue wall. >> he's the author. >> architect, author, builder

senior analyst, ron braunstein, what are your thoughts? >> the blue wall in 18 states that have voted democratic, the three loosest bricks in the wall, historically have been michigan, wisconsin and pennsylvania. right now, donald trump has dislodged them all. although michigan may go to hillary clinton before the night is over. and what's the consistency there? those are states with a lot of working class white voters. and part of the democratic challenge in this election was, their success in presidential races since 1992 has depended in part on an act of political levitation. they have run slightly better than working whites in the u.s. better than others who have moved away from them. what happened is they have moved away from them much more sharply in the past. donald trump won white voters

without a college degree with a larger margin than ronald reagan did against walter mondale in 1984. the proportions, as the graphic shows didn't really change as much, the census may have a different opinion when it shows who voted, what it does is a big change. not only did trump win big, big, big among blue collar, he won white women without a college education by 28 points. the gap between noncollege white women and college white women voted is bigger than the all women, it exceeded the gender gap. the geography followed it. donald trump has one-point wins in pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin that are the difference. she holds those three states,

the fact is she won, virginia, colorado, new mexico and nevada. those are states that would have put her over the top if the blue wall had held. >> so clinton underperformed. you didn't have a huge surge in turnout. you didn't have a huge dropoff in turnout. you had trump win a larger percentage of the turnout than expected which goes dovetails with her underperforming. and then you the x factor on tom of it. what was the x factor? >> i think the x factor, to me, was the death of a thousand cuts. it was that donald trump just did better in all of the small places everywhere. look at every state map. and you seal how few blue counties there are in wisconsin. in michigan, even in minnesota in pennsylvania. very few places. obama won a broader range of counties in 2012. and donald trump was able to either flip them or narrow the democratic margins. look at north carolina. in north carolina she did what she wanted to do, look at wade

and mecklenburg, raleigh, the two biggest counties. she won them by 100,000 votes than president obama won them in 2012. there the white voters consolidated against donald trump. we saw that in the travel schedule, chris, every week we saw president obama or hillary clinton or in raleigh. and donald trump in north carolina. and a coalition of restoration of voters who are uneasy with the economic and cultural and d demographic changes in the country. it worth noting before the evening is over, she may be ahead in the popular vote. we have occasion where the democratic party would have won the popular vote in six of the past seven presidential elections and will control nothing. not the senate, the house or supreme court. that would be an extraordinary

kind of statement of where the narrow divides and the inefficiencies. >> not all of the numbers are there. let's look at the popular vote. look how close this is. 58 million, 700,000 basically to 58500. >> you look at california and washington. she's act 60%. and the other two i believe as well, in oregon. the odds are reasonably higher that she's ahead in the popular vote. if that happens you'll have two elections since 2000 where we've had a divergence between the electoral college and the popular vote. the popular vote loser each time will have won the house if it happens. it hasn't happened in 100 years. and now it's happened twice.

it's a situation, where eye utter collapse to compete in working class america have cost narrow loss us. by the way, she chose not to defend wisconsin or michigan, spend a lot of money, $6 million in ohio and florida and lost lost all three. >> ron, thank you for all of the context along it's way. we have a new president-elect this morning. let's get to our complete coverage. >> announcer: this is cnn breaking news. we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and around the world. you are watching "new day." and we have some stunning news for you if you are just waking up. donald trump will head from fifth avenue to pennsylvania avenue. he is now president-elect of the united states. president obama called donald trump to congratulate him. the two plan to meet this thursday. trump defeating hillary clinton.

trump talked about unifying a divided nation last night. >> i've just received a call from secretary clinton. she congratulated us. it's about us. on our victory. and i congratulated her and her family on a very, very hard fought campaign. i mean, she -- she fought very hard. >> hillary clinton is expected to speak later this morning. as you heard, she did call donald trump to concede. trump right now, 289 electoral votes. we still have three states just too close to call. republicans are going to keep control of the senate and the house of representatives. the markets, very different reaction. volatility is the enemy of the market. this was expected to happen if trump won but not to this degree. however, we're following the futures, and they went very

deep. they're turning around. >> we have the best political team in the >> hold on a second. >> they're going to fix your mike and we'll get him right back. you're looking at the map there. we're going to explain it. >> a lot of red on that map, as you can see. states that people -- the blue wall that hillary clinton was expected to carry there up along the northern tier did not happen. you can see the yellow. those are the states that are still too close for us to call. >> that's the rust belt. minnesota, we haven't seen since mondale. all he won was minnesota. now, it's too close to call. maybe trump got it. michigan -- let's get back to john berman and take us through