. this is gps, the global public square. welcome to awful you in the united states and around the world. i'm fareed zakaria. we have a big show for you today. starting with james baker, the great elder statesman of the grand old party. i will ask the former secretary of state, former chief of staff what he makes of president-elect trump and his foreign policy. then some startling, depressing new facts and figures from the arab world. there is some hope. also, welcome to 2017. what will the new year bring? predictions, trends, new topics, with a terrific panel. tina brown, ian bremmer, bret

stevens, and the great kneel degrass tyson. but first, here's my take. i'm glad that donald trump has finally gotten a briefing on the unanimous conclusion of america's intelligence agencies that the russian government was behind the hacking of the democratic national committee and hillary clinton's campaign chairman. but, he should also request and receive a political briefing on russia that can shed light on the backdrop to that country's actions. we need to understand why russia might behave the way it has. it all started, you see, with the arab spring. the sudden mass demonstrations and demands for democracy took most the world by surprise. in particular, they rattled moscow at a precarious moment. the kremlin was in the midst of managing the country's political future and worried greatly about

opposition at home. parliamentary actions were scheduled in less than a year, to be followed by a presidential election. and vladimir putin was not then president having stepped aside and allowed dimitry ves med everybody in keeping with the russian -- -- large opposition rallies in moscow and other cities in russia during 2011, 2012. he argues that the kremlin watched in these countries as street protests morphed into broader opposition, created instability, and then attracted the intervention of western powers. moscow was determined that no such scenario would play out in russia or in any close neighbor like ukraine. as dan writes, for conservativy

russian elites the arab spring confirms such factional divisions in the guys of democracy promotion only lead to internal disorder, societal conflict, and the loss of the sovereign integrity of the state. and the fact that hillary clinton encouraged russian democracy protesters at this sensitive moment branded her forever an arch enemy in the eyes of the kremlin elite. a year later, in 2013, the chief of staff of the russian armed forces, a general, wrote an article suggesting that russia's key strategic challenge was responding to the underlying dynamics of the arab spring and north africa's clofr color revolutions. he advocated that russia better understand and develop the non-military asymmetrical methods, including special operations, information warfare, and the use of internal opposition so as to cripple an enemy's society. since then, moscow has made

information and asymmetrical warfare central to its foreign and military policy. when asserting itself in georgia and ukraine, russia has used a hybrid strategy that involves the funding of local politicians and militias, fake news, and cyber attacks, leading german and polish politicians have said that russia has engaged in some such activities in their countries as well, and now of course there is the involvement in america's election. the idea of information warfare is not new, of course. the soviet union developed and practiced a strategy of disinformation throughout the cold war, complete with fake news and the penetration of western political parties and media organizations. but revival this approach and the aggressive and sophisticated manner in which it is now being used in a social media landscape mark a new and dangerous trend in geopolitics. this is the political backdrop behind the technical evidence that russia interfered in last november's elections.

it needs to move out of a partisan framework and be viewed in a much broader context. since the end of the cold war, no major country has substantially challenged the emerging international system. but now a great strategy designed to work insidiously could well succeed in sewing doubt, division, discord, and ultimately destruction within the western order. for more g to cnn.com/fareed and read my washington post column this week. and let's get started. ♪ in the pantheon of living republicans james baker looms very large. he has been white house chief of staff, secretary of the treasury, secretary of state. he also ran presidential

campaigns and ran george w. bush's florida recount effort, which was of course successful. balker has met with trump and was a key conduit in the president-elect's selection of rex tillerson to be his secretary of state. james baker, welcome back to the show. >> thank you, fareed. nice to be with you. >> so i was thinking to myself, what did your great boss, ronald reagan, stand for? and i put down for myself, free trade, free markets, cutting government spending, taking deficits seriously. reforming entitlements, particularly social security. engage foreign policy that supported democracy and human rights around the world. i think it's fair to say that donald trump disagrees with every one of those. what does it say about trump the republican party that he is the standard bearer of the party? >> well, i'm not sure he disagrees with every one of those. i don't know for sure whether that's true. i also know, though, from my

experience of having run five presidential campaigns, fareed, that sometimes people say things when they are campaigning that they don't necessarily follow up on when they are governing. and so i don't know to what extent that may be in play here. we'll have to wait and see. on the trade issue, i do agree with you that it's -- free trade is something that ronald reagan believed in. ing? that george h.w. bush believed in. i'm not sure president-elect trump doesn't believe in free trade you but he may believe in better free trade deals, free trade deals that treat the united states in a better life. we'll have to wait and see when he becomes president to see why where all that shakes out. >> let me ask you about the free trade particularly because he does say we have had lousy trade deals negotiated by lousy people. >> that's right. >> we keep loosing. >> you are one of the guys who

negotiated these and i tend to think of you as one of the toughest negotiators in the world and your protege bob bzdelik negotiated a bunch of them. have we done so badly? when i talk to other trade minutesters around the world they say the u.s. gets whatever it wants. >> i want to tell you, i think we got a hell of a good deal on a lot of those trade deals. so i disagree with some of the statements that the president-elect made while he was campaigning, particularly with respect to the canadian free trade agreement, which i did negotiate, which morphed of course into nafta. and i think nafta, i would disagree with the president-elect. i think nafta has been a success, generally speaking. yes, there are suggments in every free trade deal that get hurt when the agreements are implemented. but generally speaking, free trade creates economic growth, promotes economic growth, and creates jobs. and that's what we've seen

happen with respect to nafta. now have we lost a lot of manufacturing jobs? yes, indeed, we have. that's bane that i think that the president-elect tapped into. and that's the reason that he was able to bring the so-called reagan democrats back across the line in places like wisconsin and pennsylvania and michigan to win the election. >> let me ask you about the intelligence briefings and, you know, what i want to ask you about is is the attitude the president-elect is taking not taking the intelligence briefings, disparaging the intelligence community -- is this kind of refreshing willingness to shake up the system? or does it worry you? >> well, i hope it is a willingness to shake up the system. right now, so far, it doesn't worry me because we don't really know what's going to -- what's -- again, what's going to shake out there. but let me say this to you,

fareed. when i was secretary of state, i had the view at that time that there was too many -- there were too many conflicting intelligence entities. there was too much redundancy in it. today we have 17 intelligence agencies. and they are all to some extent or another doing the same job. and as part of the overall problem with our government, it is too big, we have too many people trying to do the same thing and it creates a lot of confusion and a lot of beercratic infighti-- bureaucra infighting. when i left the office 25 years ago a long time ago, fareed. i was shocked to find out that we were spending $30 billion a year on intelligence. i hate to think of what we mighting spending today, with 17 different intelligence agszs. and i think it could be a very

healthy thing for a new administration to take a look at that and see if we're doing the best job in the best way. >> next on gps, i will ask james baker with the u.n.'s resolution condemning israeli settlements and about russian foreign policy, what does he think on those two crucial issues? [bullfighting music]

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i won this 55 inch tv for less than $30 on dealdash.com. visit dealdash.com for great deals. and start bidding today! we are back with james baker, the former secretary of state and secretary of treasury and so much else. jim, let me ask you about the resolution in the u.n. in which the united states for the first time did not veto a resolution condemning the building of settlements in israel. you railed against these

settlements when you were secretary of state and you got into some hot water but you held to your position denying loan guarantees to the government. what do you make of what the obama administration did? >> first of all, fareed, let me suggest to you it wasn't the first time that the united states didn't veto. abstaining in that situation was very consistent with long standing u.s. policy. if you go back and look at a lot of the resolutions -- in fact there was one in 19 81980 specifically on settlements in which the united states sustained didn't veto. in many instances you will see critical things that the united states support. this was not a break wiaeeak wi standing tradition. the reason why i think settlements are a bad idea is

they tend to create facts on the ground which make it hard to negotiate for that piece of land according to resolutions 242 and 338. if you create facts on the ground there is nothing really left to discuss about trading land for peace. and so i don't think there is anything unusual about this. i think that a two-state solution is the only real solution to the arab -- to the israeli/palestinian problem. without a two-state solution, if it's just a one-state solution, i don't see how israel can maintain both her democratic character and her jewish character because the demographics are such that sooner or later she will be overwhelmed with a palestinian population and she will be faced with having to face the issue of

whether to deny them full voting rights and so forth. as a matter of fact it was former prime minister barack of israel who said israel needs to make the tough decisions if it wants to avoid becoming an apartheid state. so that's why i think it was appropriate in this instance for the united states to abstain. if we are talking about abandoning the two-state solution and leaving it, that's going to create serious problems for the united states. not just with respect to the arab/israeli dispute, but it's goes to create serious problems for us more generally in the region as a whole. let me say one final thing. the president-elect has said he would like to be the president that solves the arab/israeli conflict or the israeli/president clintonian flingt. let's hope he can do that. i hope he will immerse himself in it and really work at it

because it takes leadership at the very top of america's government if that's got any chance of succeeding. but you can't think you can succeed at that if you are in effect so biased one way or the other. you cannot be israel's lawyer and expect to solve the palestinian/israeli dispute. so i hope he is successful in doing it. but you have to be -- you have to be seen to be at least semi -- a semihonest broker. >> what do you make of the decision then by the president-elect to choose as his ambassador to israel a man who argues that the west bank should be annexed or he would be perfectly comfortable with it and advocates moving the u.s. embassy from tel aviv to jerusalem? >> of course i don't agree with that position. i don't know the ambassador designate. i have no information whatsoever about him. but i feel generally speaking

the president of the united states ought to have the right to select whoever he wants to serve in his government. but if he expects to solve this terribly difficult problem of israeli/arab conflict, he is going to have to be seen to be somewhat of an honest broker or i ain't gonna happen. >> let me ask you about russia. russian foreign policy over the last five or six years has seemed to be very -- very much directed at in some way or the other pressuring the western established order sewing divisions within the european union, sewing divisions within nato. >> yeah. >> there is of course the annexation of crimea, what it did to ukraine, georgia. what do you think the american strategy and response to this should be? because there are a lot of republicans who feel we need an

even tougher response than the fairly tough one that obama has, but the president-elect again seems to have a different view. >> well, i don't think it's -- i don't think it's a question of all-out war or appeasement. i think that you can work with a country to manage the differences you might have with that country and cooperate in the areas where you mightv common interests. and you know, i would remind you that for 15 years after the collapse of communism and after the implosion of the soviet union the united states and russia worked very closely together at a time when russia was led by boris yeltsinin, but also at a time when it was led by vladimir putin. and the west worked generally closely with russia at that time. so it's not beyond the realm of possibility that we could get back there. we sure as hell ought to try to get back there if we can. that doesn't mean that we have

to accept some of the russian behavior that you have alluded to. much of which is just -- is not acceptable. if you don't like what's going on in a neighboring country you don't just roll the tanks the way the russians did in crimea. and therefore, when we went out with our western allies and imposed sanctions on russia for that, it was the right and appropriate response as far as i was concerned. and it may be that we'll have to use both carrots and sticks as we approach this russia/u.s. relationship with a new u.s. administration. but it's really important that we try to -- that we try to improve it. it has been going in the wrong direction. russia is going to have to know, though, that they can't -- they can't push us around. >> james baker will be back later in the show. next on gps we all know the arab world is in bad shape.

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now for what in the world segment.

while we were all paying attention to other things at the end of the last year, a you in report came out from the u.n. it's obvious it's a troubled part of the world but the statistics paint a stark picture. even though the arab region is home to 5% of the world population it was responsible for 45% of terrorist attacks in 2014. the data comes from the arab human development report, a frank and lengthy assessments of where the arab world is headed. hess forically the report says nearly 20% of the world's conflicts since 1948 have come from the arab world but in 2014 it was responsible for almost 70% of the world's battle related deaths. these human development reports all authored by arabs began to to be issued after 9/11 when people realized the problems in the arab world were spilling out affecting the entire world. many of the problems they pointed to in the first report remain.

for example, women inclusion is at all all time low in the labor force with unemployment rate hovering around 47%. only a comparatively small number of women have decision making positions. at political institutions in any arab countries. since the simultaneous use events of the arab spring of 2011 a new emphasis has been placed on the youth of the arab world. and this is where the report has some good news. almost 60% of the population of the arab region is below 30 years of age. but contrary to popular conceptions the u.n. report says that most of these young people are not prone to extremism and radicalization. instead, they believe the islamic state to be a terrorist organization and the vast majority of young people in the arab world reject the violence that is perpetrated in the name of religion even though many are conservative in their religious and social believes. this is not to say that all is well with arab youth. their unemployment rate for example, is the highest in the world, hovering at almost 30%.

and the report estimates that at least 60 million jobs will be needed to be created by 2020 in order to just keep up with the number of people entering the job market. what happens in the arab world does not stay there. just look at the unintended effects of the war in syria. the refugees entering europe from that conflict have been one of the main spark force the nationalist movements sweeping across the united kingdom, france, italy, more. is there a solution? the report notes there are many. arab governments needs to make improvements in education, health care, liberalize their economy, usher in greater tolerance for freedom of expression, equality for all and ends of discrimination. all this will take decades and honestly with the exception of owe acies of progress like the united arab emirates and jordan the trends are not moving forward. until they do, except more turmoil from this region. next on gps, looking into the crystal ball. what will 2017 bring for america

and the world and the universe? i have a great panel to discuss it all when we come back.

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one week down, 51 to go. 2017 came in like a lion. will it go out like a lion or a lamb? we have assembled a terrific panel. to gaze into the future and tell us what they see. tina brown founded the daily beast, edited magazines like the new yorker and "vanity fair." and now runs tina brown live media, which brings us women in the world and lots more. >> ian bremmer is the president of the -- and author of super power. kneel degrass tyson, an atroe physicist. brett stephens is a columnist for the wall street. journal. if you are aren't impressed by those resumes, there is

something wrong. tina, what are you -- this is for most people, 2016 has been a -- at least a tumultuous year depending what whether or not you liked it. what are you optimistic about? i'm so optimistic about medical breakthroughs. i think we hear so much about the sort of sexy tech companies, uber and amazon and facebook. but the really exciting thing about the nexus between technology and medicine and all the amazing breakthroughs. we now have ft just this week reported on new drugs that are preventive which really are having an effect on aids. we might see a final nail in the coffin on aids in the next few years. even though we have millions of people affected this is knew preventative cures are going to be extraordinary. we have new diagnostics in terms of jen eltics, cancers, with up

municipal therapies. alzheimer's and depression. i think these thing are going to be get stamerred out. >> unlike things like uber and the tech revolution in san francisco they don't take any jobs. >> they save lives, which is incredible. i'm excited about this. >> kneel i'm sure you can one up us on the optimism about skin. >> a couple of things. what will be very important going forward to sustain just this kind of progress is how a nation, the united states, chooses to invest in its science and technology innovation. and consider that you could put money just in medicine and hope or expect that there would be progress. but if you walk into a hospital and take a look at every machine with an on/off switch that is brought into the service of diagnosing your condition without cutting you open it's based on a principal of physics who was discovered by a

physicist who had no interest in medicine. the advances should be throughout of as an fire frontier of investments in science and technology. >> that is why you think it's important to have big science projects like the mission to mars. you want to go big everywhere? >> if you go big and and audacious you can attract the best people because you are challenging them to the limits of their intellectual abilities, which people like to have happen. for example, if we went to nars and we announce that what do you need? do you need like the best engineers of all stripes. you need biologists if you are looking for life. you need chemists if you want to till the soil. and there will be patents, innovations, discoveries all along the way. in mars, you might want to extract the water from its -- that's submerged in the soil. there won't be much. but someone who wants to do that

might invent a device might bring it back to earth and get the water out of the sahara. but if you told that person i need you to get the water out of tahera that might not excite them as much as on mars. from my reading of history if you want to turn a sleepy country into an innovation nation the large projects galvanize everybody's energy and capacity to think about the future. >> meanwhile, back on earth, what are you optimistic about? >> i'm out there now. >> we can stay there. >> two things. starting at home, i actually think despite all the discontent with the election of donald trump, the fact that you have a republican president, a republican house a republican senate means you are actually going to get policies through. i don't think it's irrational exuberance in the market. i think you are going to get regulatory pull back on things that will help industry.

i shutly believe we will spend more on infrastructure and i think at the end of the year people are going to be looking at the united states as still having a robust economy. boy we need that in 2017. the other thing i would say that makes me optimistic is that in a world where leadership from politician is seen as lacking and lacking in trust, that we're going to find new leaders born out of adversity from very unorthodox places. it will be sort of individuals, young people, that people haven't heard of before. they are going to capture the imagination, infire and make a difference. some will be private sector, some public sbegt uls, some religious figures. i think 2017 is going to so the diversity of the human spirit actually -- it makes much more of a difference than the traditional organizations and institutions that we feel constrained by. >> you showcase a lot of these leaders who happen to be women. >> absolutely. i'm extraordinarily optimistic

about that as well. i think that the women are absolutely charging ahead in the most fabulous way, particularly the younger women, too. and the millennial young woman who are smug thinking that a tweet is a vote now are realizing that a lot of things are in danger, in peril and actually will bring forth a lot of energized as you say sort of out of adversity some incredible leaders are going to come forward. >> all right. we are going to tease to bret stevens. that islev to stay with me to find out what bret stevens is excited about and worried about. we're also going to talk about other thing. don't go away. (vo) maybe it was here,

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we are back with tina, neil, ian, and bret. bret, i didn't let you in on the last one, i want to ask you what

are you most optimistic about? then since we are going to turn to doom and gloom what worries you about 2017. >> i was almost relieved that i didn't get a chance in the last segment to talk about optimism because as you were speaking i was thinking what am i optimistic about? a couple of things i'm hopefully optimistic about is one of them is a return to a normal interest rate poll see. i think we have been too low for too long and it has fundamentally distorted the economy in favor of investors or speculators, but against the interests of mom and pop savers. if you have had your money mainly in a checking account or in a savings account these last few years it's been a very rough ride for you and you are watching a new class of people, people with savvy investors, money in the market, do very very well at your expense. and so to return to a normal interest rate regime will infact favor a middle class that has taken it in the chin for the past eight years.

and i have been trying to say nice things about the incoming administration on the theory that they should be treated as innocent until proven guilty. and one thing i will say gives me a great deal of hope. i travel around the country a fair bit and i talk to business leaders, especially businesses that are medium sized businesses. and time and again they tell me a story of how regulations from dodd/frank and the compliance requirements, sarb/ox. one regulation after another is killing them. so if president trump makes good on his promise to start paraing back the regulatory state and allowing these companies to breathe that's going to be a tremendous growth enhancer for the country. there has been estimates that since 1980 regulations have taken $4 trillion off the u.s. economy. it's time to bring that's back into line with reality. >> one piece on the regulatory state i imagine that you would worry about is environmental regulations and more broadly this issue of kind of are we

taking care of the planet. is that a fair concern? >> yeah, sure. i think of course to hear it in those terms, yeah, regulations are a strangle hold or at least can be, especially if you are not a large enough entity to just hire whole branches of your organization to deal with it, be they lawyers or compliance officers. but of course on the other side of that, regulations are for the protection of our health and our well-being. and on the larger scale for the protection of the planet. who as the saying goes, we have borrowed from our descendants. and so i think, sure, regulation can constrain what could otherwise be creative growth. but it should not be at the expense of what is just sensible protection measures for -- i mean look at the airline industry. there was a day when people complaineds that overregulated. now you don't hear that. it's the safest way to travel. >> what are you most looking

forward to or dreading this year, 2017. >> the geopolitical environment. i'm worried about the end of pax americana. the fact that other countries around the world as we engage in america first no longer know what we stand for, no longer believe we are committed to our alliances, no longer believe we are committed to the international arcticture we actually created, whether the u.n. or the imf for world bank. i think when you get rid of the guardrails when you erode the trust that exists between major nations then it's much harder to deal with conflicts and crises as they emerge. since the soviet union collapsed if you had asked me did i think it was remotely possible we could see a major world war i would say no. i still don't think it's going to happen but i now think it's possible. and that worries me. but i think a lot of people feel fearful about 2017 and the world going forward because they understand it's becoming more dangerous and it's that lack of

trust that's causing a problem. >> i have to ask you about the other element that's new -- that seems at least to have come to the fore in 2017, which is all this digital disruption, by governments, fake news. i mean you are probably the most successful magazine editor of your generation. what do you make of this? how should we deal with it? >> this is my big fear, the collapse of credible information, the collapse of media, the corruption of media because what we are living in right now is a perfect storm. you have on the one side the digital disruption which has destroyed the revenue model which has laid off so many journalists and decimated so many newsrooms happening also at a time when you have an authoritarian sort of government coming in, when you have fake news, when you have just the proliferation of, you know, of men dasity. you have no idea what is true anymore. and it's really undermining

democracy. there is no doubt about it. that people don't each know -- don't trust credible sources anymore. everything was -- somebody said to me when i ran into on vacation in the gym. we were watching the news and watching kerry's address about and i was so aggravated by it. are you telling me that the secretary of state is standing up there lying? it's a new thing that everybody says. nothing is true. there's a -- >> everything is a lie. >> everything came from a place you don't believe. an it's very frightening. >> and this is the most important election of any of our lifetimes. and almost 50% of americans couldn't bother to vote. and it's that lack of trust, occupy wall street is not the issue. it's apathy. it's not going to be occupy white house. >> i have a hard time faulting americans who didn't vote in this election. but i think tina is putting her finger on something fundamental,

which is the collapse of authority and its substitution with power or success as a value in its own right. those institutions that were centers of authority had a lot of work to do to make themselves worthy of it. but the corrosive cynicism that went into your comment of your companion at the gym, erodes the foundations of a democracy. it has to have institutions at some level, you trust. >> we have to close on a high note. give us one event -- one event that we should look forward to in 2017. >> okay, sure. this might sound a little django-i django-istic. in august, there's a total solar ellipse, whose landfall is only in america. >> an american eclipse. >> the moon's shadow hits earth. in the pacific northwest, and

crosses the country, and exits into the atlantic and disappears there. >> it could be a metaphor. >> heart of darkness. >> neil degrasse tyson has made america great again, on this show. you heard my guests give me their productions. next on "gps" i'll tell you one positive piece of news that is happening this year. it is pretty big news. stay with us. the holidays may be over but if you hurry, you can still get the best deals on the best network. like verizon's best smartphones for only $10 per month. like the samsung galaxy s7. the pixel, phone by google. or the motoz droid. for only $10 per month. plus, hurry in and switch to verizon now and get up to $650 to cover your costs. there's still time to get amazing deals at verizon.

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by now, you probably have heard of the universal basic income. president obama talked about it. i've discussed it here on the show. and silicon valley executives are intrigued by it. the idea is all citizens would receive a check from the government, no questions asked. the question is it could soften the coming job losses from robots and artificial intelligence. which of the following countries announced they will experiment with the basic income scheme this year, giving a group of 2,000 citizens about $600 a month. finland? france? sweden or switzerland? stay tuned and we'll tell you the correct answer. this week's book of the week is

a television show. "deutch land 83." for those of you who enjoyed "the americans" this is a german series. and east german army officer is sent into west germany to spy at the highest levels in 1983. the result is a completely gripping picture of the cold war at its height, as seen through the fulcrum of two germanys. it's on itunes. but you will forget about that in minutes. now, for the last look. the world may have just avoided making elephants go the way of the dodo birds and the dinosaur. over the last decade, 20% of elephants have been slaughtered, according to the union for the conservation of nature. the ivory that poachers getter if tausks is $1,000 a pound.

there is news for this animals. china pledged to shut down its ivory market, which is the largest in the world, in one year's time. i spoke to secretary james baker about this issue. and about china's recent decision. >> when i became secretary of state, way back in 1989, i was instrumental in getting a global ban on the trade in ivory, which at that time, brought the elephant populations back somewhat. since that time, the ban has become leaky. and we're facing a critical situation. most people don't know this. but we lose 35,000 elephants a year to poachers, who slaughter them for their tusks. that's 96 elephants a day. that's a reason for my interest in trying to promote a global ban on the trade in ivory. but it's not going to happen

without leadership from the united states. and we have a new secretary of state taking office, and he's in the same position i was in 1989, to get that ban passed. and get it supported by the countries of the convention on international trade in endangered species. i hope that's what he will do. and my only interest in this, i never shot an elephant. i'm a big hunter. i love to hunt. i love to hunt cape buffalo. there's plenty of dangerous game. i never thought an elephant in my life and i never would shoot an elephant. i think it's the wrong thing to do because they are majestic creatures. and my great grandkids, i hope they grow up in a world that has elephants. >> that was james baker. the correct answer to the gps challenge question is, "a" finland. 2,000 fins unemployed and

receiving welfare will be given about $600 a month for two years, guaranteed, regardless of future income or wealth. if successful, it could expand to the whole country. and the hope is it can simplify the welfare program. thanks for being part of my program this week. i will see you next week. ♪ hello, everyone. thank you for joining me. i'm fredricka whitfield. we begin with distressing new video from the ft. lauderdale shooting, showing the moment the gunman opens fire in the baggage area. we want to warn our viewers that the video is difficult to watch. but it is crucial in understanding the context of the shooting. this is a freeze frame of what appears to be security camera footage obtained by tmz. the man in the blue shirt is