welcome to inside politics. i'm john king. thank you for sharing your day with us. president trump said his white house is a well-oiled machine, but he's on a manhunt for aides who think otherwise. they try now to avoid a government shut down and prepare for the mid-terms. plus, the president channels james carville saying it's the economy, stupid. he has good reason to brag. why twist the facts and lie? survivor democratic edition. nancy pelosi acknowledges the revolt on the left and insists

she has one good reason to fight to stay in power. >> i do agree that it's time for new blood and move on. if hillary clinton had won and affordable care act was protected, i was happy to go my way to. have no woman at the table and have the affordable care act at risk, as long as he's here, i'm here. politics in a moment, but first an important update on a very major story we are watching affecting millions along the east coast. florence is a major hurricane churning towards the carolinas. a major evacuation effect for the outer banks. tracking the storm for the cnn weather center, a new update and it's a big one. >> it's rare for them to issue updates at 12:00.

usually they are at 11:00 and 2:00. they want to you know it increased to the next category. at 11:00, we were a category three and now up to a category four storm. winds sustained at 130 miles per hour for this storm gusting up to 140. the other thing is the eye is starting to come into play where you can see it visible on the images. we expect it to mayintain the strength as it approaches the u.s. right now, virginia, north carolina and south carolina are all at play for an actual landfall. the reason we give two days is the models are torn as to when land fall is expected. the blue model is the european and wants to make landfall thursday afternoon, but the red dot, the american model holds it off until early friday morning. it could be anywhere between thursday at noon to friday at noon for the actual landfall. the main concern going forward is the tremendous amount of

rain. once it makes landfall, it's expected to sit in place. we will have a lot of time to dump a tremendous amount of rain. both models, both the european and the american show the white and purple showing 10 to 20 inches. the difference is where. the european model pushing it inland and the american model, right along the coast. we will keep a close eye on this. >> you mentioned how rare it is to get an update. they give a rare update that said cat four. what does it tell us about the strength of this storm and the water which you worry about most? >> to tell people to start to prepare. if you live in any of those states, prepare now and don't wait until wednesday to do it. >> appreciate that. it's important and people are saying why are you telling me on monday rather than wednesday?

that's it right there. turning now to big political news and the president's fixations gcompeting with governing. the government shuts down in 21 days and we go to the polls in 57. they want to stop a democratic take over of congress. amen, the leaders say when the president starts the day as he did today building by pounding the economic success story. oh, my is the polite version when the morning tweet fest takes a detour to what is most animating the president. fiction. the president said of the unflattering portrait in the bob woodward book. i will write the real book, he promise. the op-ed 4y is still fresh and the president is talking about the suspects list and lie detector tests and traitors in their midst. the problem doesn't promise to

end. the president already tweeting about the author's morning "today" show interview. >> i have never seen an instance when the president is so detached from the reality of what's going on. but there is a war on truth by him. he says oh, these are unnamed sources, but these are not unnamed incidents. specific people on specific dates. >> let's go to abby phillips at the white house. one school of thought is ignore this, let it go. the president obviously can't. >> clearly. the president is preoccupied by bob woodward's book as it is expected to come out tomorrow. the president tweeting so many times about woodward trying to undermine this book and trying to timeout his economic successes which he was frustrated was not part of the narrative that woodward told and

the anecdotes that came out. he said this is a smooth running machine at the white house, but it's belied by what we have seen from the last couple of days. this anonymous op-ed from an administration official has rel set this white house into this parlor game of finger pointing and people saying it's not me, even vice president mike pence said he was willing to take a lie detector test and kellyanne conway, counsellor to the president denouncing the leaker and saying this person was trying to sow chaos. they are continuing to talk about the prospects that president trump wants to out this person. he said attorney general jeff sessions ought to investigate, but still as of yet, there is no indication there was anything to investigate other than aides in this administration continuing to raise doubts and questions about president trump's fitness to lead.

john? >> live at the white house, appreciate that. sharing the reporting and the insights, the associated press and cnn. michael warren with the weekly standard. the drama is just indisbeautable. the question is, you write a great piece about this today. the republican leaders want to keep the government open. they have an election in 57 days. a petting person today would say the probability of losing the house and possibility of losing the senate and the president keeps focussing on this anyway, but the president turning it up. >> he keeps putting it there. it's frustrating if are the republican leaders because despite history against them, they have a good story to tell. they can talk about the economy and lean heavily on the tax plan they passed at the end of last year. even when they get the president

to tweet about that, he overshadows it and he continues to do thatta because he is personally frustrate and we know the president has an inability to put aside his personal feelings not just of the greater good of his party, but his own presidency. the consequences for this president are enormous. he has not grasped that. >> the other thing is the president said one thing in the morning and he said something different hours later. are he said they are not going to shut down a government and he has an interview and he said maybe i will. i was at a breakfast with congress last week and he said i can't tell enough people how bad a shut down will be for the party and the country. you have conflicting -- that's not even are inially something that stays the same throughout the day. >> i would say that what you just described is confirmed what

the woodward book describes is the president and a white house and administration that is pulled in all sorts of different directions. i think the president is going to have a hard time refuting the book in does give interesting insights and specific examples of what we have all reported on. what is actually pretty apparent to the public. the president cares most about the things that affect him directly, whether it's the mueller investigation and whether the press is covering him. what the book does and his response is and that is confirm what we know already. >> to the point that you have this rush of what i call the not me movement in the white house. he has to deny the op-ed writer about the 25th amendment. he has to deny this and listen to him on fox news sunday.

we are 57 days from the mid-term election. the government shut down is right before us. the vice president has been around a long time. he is smart enough to know you can change the question and say that's stupid and let's talk about this instead. he knows about the audience of one. so -- >> should all top officials take a lie detector test and would you take one? >> i would take it in a heart bit and submit to any. >> do you think they would do that? >> that would be a decision for the president. >> i think that pence is concerned about the speculation and the aftermath that he was the one or someone in his universe was involved with writing the op-ed and clearly this is demonstrated with the president's obsession about finding this author. kellyanne conway was on fox and

peppered with questions about who wrote that op-ed. the president himself is obsessed with it. lindsey graham was talking to him last week and talked to the president after this op-ed and told the president don't make this your obsession. don't make the book your obsession. you are just going to sell more copies of the book. just fight back smartly. the president said he wanted to fight back. that's what he told lindsey graham and clearly he's not listening to that advice. >> it's important that we think through the consequences of this in the west wing. there is a lot of discussion of who is this and it's a parlor game, but think about going to work in that west wing every day. it was a place with a lot of trust. leaking to the press every day. you add on the woodward book and this op-ed. how do you trust your colleagues and have a sensitive discussion with them? how do you have a debate over

important issues over things happening there. that's a really untenable work environment. >> omarosa was just on "the view" and played a snippet of a tape. the president with the communication staff and said this is about hillary clinton and the president goes off, but yes, mr. president. absolutely, mr. president. whatever. the president keeps lashing out at the deep state and the media. these are people the president put in trusted positions. omarosa writes a book and bob woodward cooperated with the book and the president wants to know not let's figure out how do we not shut down the government, but who are these people? >> they say it's disgruntled employees and there are so many ex-employees at this point coming out of this white house. sometimes you can't help that and innocent yon the other hand.

talk about history in the administration. the top levels of the this administration has completely turned over sometimes a couple times over. >> the frustration when you talk to senior administration officials is you never know what the president wants and trying to interpret what the president wants and they believe he wants to do this and decided to take this step or that step and turns out to be something different because the president changed his mind and that leads to a lot of frustration and finger pointing and factions within the administration. >> it is him and how he conducts his business that is central to voters and independent suburban women especially. that's the substance and the timing of this. we will continue the administration. the economy is going strong and have the facts to back it up. why does the president twist facts and lie about how good it is? when we were dating, we used to get excited about things

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president trump downright giddy about the economy today. his twitter feed is full of gems. take a look at some. president trump needs a magic wand to get 4% gdp. i guess i have a magic wand. we will do better than this and have just begun. the economy is so good. perhaps the best in our country's history. remember, it's the economy, stupid. there is more. he opened up the beautiful economic engine with regulation and tax cuts. we are enjoying a beautiful e n economy at the moment. the president has every reason to brag. why lie then? the gdp rate is higher than the unemployment rate for the first time in over 100 years. not true, mr. president. not even close. the gdp has been higher than the unemployment rate dozens of times in that span. most recently in 2006 which

brings you to the question, why? he does have whether you like this president or not or agree with his policies or not or think obama deserves more questionedit, he's president and the economy is booming. it's a tradition and the president benefits. he has every reason to brag and republicans want him to talk about the economy. why throw a lie in there to intercept this conversation? >> you are getting mired in the detailed. he is unable to talk about the woodward book. something that comes through a lot in the book is he is unable to not exaggerate and not boost up his own accomplishments. i think it's something that he is just has to be the best at everything he's done. this is another example. i am wondering why the president does not simply talk about this and talk about none of the other -- the mueller stuff.

it's like asking a fish not to swim in water. it's his nature and we can't be surprised he is unable. >> how much of this push back has to do with the fact that president obama came out on friday and started to make that case clearly. that trump inherited this economy. he said that obviously that got under the skin of this president. you have not really heard democrats making that sustained argument up until this point. >> you department heidn't hear hillary clinton make that argument. >> why didn't you make this case ourselves? that's what obama is doing and maybe this is getting under trump. >> i think it gets under obama and his advisers's skin because he takes credit for this economy. the gains started under the obama administration, but they have continued. if you look at unemployment and

gdp and confidence has increased under this president because businesses were in favor of the tax cut, but the other policies as well. we will talk about tariffs. that is the big looming question. >> from a policy perspective, you may see deregulation and other things. there is a reckoning around the corner. we had 95 consecutive months of growth and president trump has been president for 19 months. it accelerated under president trump. that's a fact. one of the reasons donald trump is president is because a lot of blue collar america, people who work with their hands don't feel even if the economy did come back under president obama, they didn't feel it affected them. this shows blue collar job growth. a lot of it is during the trump presidency. instead of lying about the

statistics, but they are wrong, sir. why not focus on the stuff where you say hey, look. i promised you and i'm delivering. >> it's an excellent question. there really is not a good explanation other than what mike was talking about. it's not in his nature not to exaggerate. i don't think you can take away the rivalry with president obama. should he talk about that? sure. he should. >> he throws into it over the weekend, ford abruptly killed a plant to sell a chinese-made small vehicle because of the prospect of higher tariffs. this car can be built in the usa. ford said it would not be profitable given an expected sales volume of fewer 1150,000 units ford said it's not going to happen. doing the races in the u.s., they say the national economic numbers are great, but they wory

in pockets important to them elector electorally, there are signs of coming. >> they should be leaning towards the republican, but the democrats are starting to feel better in part because of what he is hearing for farmers and people who will be impacted by this. i think republicans if they have one major concern that's not the tweets, that's a standard concern, but one major concern going into this fall election is the impact of the tariffs will start to be seen or the fear of the tariffs coming will under cut all this positive economic news. >> that puts the squeeze of both of the groups of republican voters. the suburban republican voter who is don't like trump and it was not hillary so they voted for him. the cost of everything could be going up and the blue collar worker, a lot of them voted for obama or democrats in the past who are now very happy to be

seeing more jobs and wage growth there, but they could be feeling the squeeze, too. it's not inconceivable to vote for someone like joe donnelly. they voted for donald trump, but they are willing to swing. that puts a squeeze. >> that gives the democrats an issue to separate themselves from the president without looking like they are being partisan. >> they are running on a traditional republican economic message which is not trump's message in 2016. >> we look at the great economic numbers to go state by state and in some cases within big complicated states. it is quite complicated. up next for us, republicans texas. sos. they are calling in reinforcements in what most of us view as a ruby red state. instead of your brother. hey! oh, that's my robe. is it? when you switch to liberty mutual, you could save $782

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welcome back. 57 days now until the mid-term elections. we talk a lot about the house, but new race rankings underscore a highly competitive fight in the senate and explain a republican red alert in the most unlikely place. texas. if you take the races that are solid, likely orleaning for each party and assign them, we had 49 seats solid, likely orleaning republican. 44 seats, solid, likely or

leaning. it goes from seven toss up to six and democrats pick up one. not dramatic, but the democrats remain in play with the senate. it's what changed that is interesting. if you are the republicans you are happy with this. north dakota from a toss up to lean republican. new jersey is steeper, but moving to likely democrat. here's where republicans need to be nervous. tennessee to toss up. that's republican-held right now. west virginia to lean democratic. trump won his state by 42 points. here's the one causing a lot of alarm in republican toll picks. texas. from likely republican to lean republican. can it move to the republicans? ted cruz said no. he is clearly alarmed and well,

this is interesting. >> we are seeing tens of millions of dollars flooding into the state of texas from liberals all over the country who desperately want to turn the state of texas blue. they want us to be just like california. right down to tofu and silicon and dyed hair. >> tofu, silicon, and dyed hair. >> you make a joke, but you make a key point. is ted cruz running now in the texas that exists now? one of the reasons it's not just a strong candidacy by beto o'rourke, but texas is slowly becoming a different place and maybe tofu and silicon and dyed

hair may not carry the day. >> he was in katy, texas. that's a suburb of houston and tends to be more conservative. that said, the idea that the hippies are coming in to take over texas is not going to be his biggest problem. it's going to be hispanics and women who are not pleased with what's going on in washington and perhaps in the trump administration. that's who he needs to worry about, not the hippies. >> texas is the great white whale. they watch the demographics shift and they have the national mood and a democratic candidate who is running a good race. if all the forces come together, this takes him over the finish line. what i think we should be watching is to jackie's point. we are seeing republicans watch the suburban districts and independents and women are fleeing republicans. no way republicans feel like they can get the voters back in this cycle. does that play in the same way

in a republican state like texas? >> that's a concern of republican leaders. ted cruz and a lot of them don't like ted cruz, but they want the seat. even a mitch mcconnell who doesn't like ted cruz will send money because they need the seat. they need to keep it republican. a couple of congressional seats and state races. in mid-term years, a lot of people think it doesn't matter. yet if you have a candidate who is signing up people and spending his money smartly and organizing, that could go. now they will spend in president trump to campaign for ted cruz. remember 2016, lyin'paraging th cruz and said his dad helped assassinate president kennedy. he responded the to president. >> it is no surprise that donald

is throwing yet another temper tanned rum or trumper tanned rum. his reaction to everything is to throw a fit. i don't get angry often, but you mess with my wife, you mess with my kids, that will do it every time. you are a sniffling coward and leave heidi the hell alone. >> why are they desperate to give up the principals and support donald trump? the answer is simple. donald trump and hillary clinton are both rich new york big government liberals. >> as they say in literature, that was then, this is now. >> two years is a long time. >> forever ago. >> he refused to endorse the president in that high profile speech. he was booed and hissed and heidi cruz had to be escorted out because of concern about her safety. ted cruz said i am not going to be a puppy dog and endorse this president. i talked to texas republicans and he could face his own

primary challenge in 2018 because of the way he handled the president. he needs the president's supporters right now. they are crucial to his base, but people have not forgotten that and that may be the reason he is in this position. >> he needs that seat and cruz is the guy imperfect from his perspective and what i think with all the changes is sort of how the states are all shifting. the map is shifting. on the federal level. we can say it's a red state. it's a light red state. it was a swing state. it's getting older and it's very, very trumpian. modern republican party. like north dakota who have elected democrats from a long time. that 2006, 2012 class. you have the red state republicans that are in trouble

as well. there is a shifting. >> a terroristing in the map and a continued volatility that exists. you don't think he likes the fact that ted cruz needs him? a big announcement this hour with big implications for the mideast. welcome to the place...

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and back pain made it hard to sleep and get up on time. then i found aleve pm. the only one to combine a safe sleep aid, plus the 12 hour pain relieving strength of aleve. i'm back. aleve pm for a better am. topping our political radar, andrew cuomo said he didn't about a male advertisement cynthia nixon was soft on aspect semitisim. nixon attends synagogue and is raising her children in the newish faith. governor cuomo has a huge lead over nixon. the trump administration announcing new measures the palestinians say represent reckless to you towning to israel. they will close washington and right now john bolton is giving

a speech outlining other measures. they help people who prosecute the united states and allies before the criminal court. joe manchin in west virginia, dusting off his shotgun for a new ad targeting his opponent's position with obamacare. he sued the government saying the affordable care act is unlawful. preexisting conditions is what governor manchin is zeroing in on. >> that's me treating the cap and trade bill. it was bad for west virginia. now the threat is this lawsuit. to take away health care from people with preexisting conditions. he is dead wrong and that ain't going to happen. i'm joe manchin and i approved this message because for me it's all about west virginia. >> a little lightning round

here. let's start with that. this is one race where democrats say health care is helping them with the close. they said our party has no answer and democrats think it works. >> the decision to reverse course and overturn the affordable care act and preexisting protections is given the democrats an issue to run on. it has been helpful for manchin in particular and remarkable how the politics of how the law have shifted. democrats were running away and now they are embracing it. >> you can't take that as anything other than the administration getting closer to israel. there is no peace process. >> there is talk about this flan still exists and i don't know have i have talked to thinks there is a realistic possibility of that moving forward if they continue to put off the palestinians. they are only pushing them further away. >> the democratic governor of

new york said he didn't know his party put out this reckless near against cynthia nixon. >> he is clearly scare and worried this primary from nixon who i think he dismissed early on is a real threat. that's a problem. >> anything to keep your power we find in both parties. up next, the race is again at the center for the run for florida governor.

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racially tinged comments. this is quoting that activist from "the washington post," african-americans owe their freedom to white people and the country's only serious race war is against whites. you got that? african-americans owe their freedom to white people. the only race war is against whites. that's what he said. the congressman is proud of his record and proud of his supporters and he is not responsible for the views of others. the florida governor's race is one of this year's marquee contests. the candidate is tallahassee's mayor, andrew gillum. desantis is facing criticism for this description of his opponent. >> the last thing we need to do is monkey this up with huge tax increases and bankrupting the state. that's not going to work and be

good for florida. >> the congressman said that was not racist and they said one of the four appearances they organize by david horowitz has been reported. he insists he is not racist and said it's unfair to pin me on desantis. the congressman spokesman said he is not responsible for the views of these other people. he went four times. he went four times. is it not fair to judge a person by the company they keep? >> there are national, state, regional things in the broader movement. one of the things they have been raising the alarm for the last sfrt ye la several years. they were disinvited from the national action conference.

it's guilt by association. these views that these people have say them all the time on twitter and tv and on radio. these politicians ought to know better if they do not espouse these views which i don't think he does, they should be doing their homework more. >> it's not going to start out for the general election defending whether or not he's a racist. that's not a good look now matter how you play. >> you can make the case. i'm going to show up at this event because i have something to say. i will show up and challenge the people. that will be a principal thing. he didn't speak to the post, but the office said you can't judge him by the views. here's ron desantis and david horowitz's effects. >> what an honor it has been to be here to speak. david has done such great work. they have been to the conferences in the past.

i have been a big admirer and tells american people the truth and standing up for the right thing. >> tells american people the truth and standing up for the right thing. >> it he is embracing those views. >> i have to assume jeb bush who cares deeply about diversity in the republican party and conservative principals has to just be pounding his head off the wall when you read something like this to think his state could go in that direction. >> it will have the effect in this contest of really galvanizing african-american supporters and hispanic voters and that's who andrew gillum needs to turn out. he had a contest that had the element to it. both because gillum would be the first black governor of florida and the comment desantis made that was not intending to talk about gillum in that way and you

have this racial undercurrent in the contest that only fuels that further and democrats believe it will help him because it turns out the motors he needs to pull this out. >> look. on the other hand donald trump went on alex jones's radio show. he said vile, disgusting things, not simply racial, but gone after others. the terrible thing he said about the school shooting in connecticut. and trump was elected. >> trump said he respected alex jones and said positive things about alex jones. desantis may be taking a lesson from that. >> i say it all the time. some people don't want to believe what we do for a living. census.gov. go to census.gov and study where the country is going. it's not a sustainable basis. the numbers won't allow it. nancy pelosi spells out why she

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>> welcome back. ordnance pelosi can count. even her fiercest critics marvel at the tenacity of the root to becoming the highest ranking woman in history. she knows the depth of the

generational up rising in her democratic party. listen to this county argument. she told christian amanpour she said she will make her case she is most qualified to be the speaker and lead the opposition to the president. >> i do agree it's time for new blood. if hillary clinton won i would feel i was happy to go my way, but it on have no woman at the table and have the affordable care act at risk, as long as he's here, i'm here. 45 not to be disrespectful, but -- >> you mean president trump. >> yes. >> 45 not to be disrespectful and see this said president trump. can she sell that? >> she has the benefit of not having an apparent successor and there is no leader inside that

caucus that can fund raise and has the history she does. >> she needs a massive democratic win and not a narrow majority. a huge majority. there are all these candidates on record who will a pose her. they can change their vote and some probably will, but it's a public vote. a lot of these guys in the districts will be hammered by that. that's different. the persistence of nancy pelosi. that's the first time she has been on the cover of time. she said that's proof of the double standard. she's right. she is the most successful woman in american political history. you have to tip your had to her

skills. she said in the article if i weren't effective i wouldn't be a target. >> two things that drive republicans crazy. one she can raise a ton of money and two, she can count votes. we have seen the republican battles that play out where they can't figure out if they will be able to pass something or not and spill on to the house floor. she knows where her caucus is and has been effective. >> the margin matters a lot. if it's a big margin, she can say that was my money. she has to cut a deal and if you need me now, i'm willing to build the plan to get me out of here. >> the detriment with the leadership.

they have been around. she doesn't have a lot of people. 57 days. this is fascinating. jim starts right now. >> per hello, i'm jim chuto and it's 1:00 in washington. the east coast on high alert, bracing for a monster hurricane as several major storms fill the atlantic. president trump defiant as pressures mount after his officials question his fitness to be president either through a book or op-ed. the vice president said he would be willing to take a lie dete detector