tv Inside Politics CNN October 14, 2018 5:00am-6:00am PDT
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the crew and everyone were professionals and it worked out all right. they were able to walk away. i'm sure they'll fly again. >> leroy, thank you. always good to have you with us. and hope you have a good day. make good memories today. >> absolutely. "inside politics" with john king starts right now. racing from rally to rally, hoping to defy history. >> democrats support a socialist takeover of health care that would totally obliterate medicare. >> numbers look great for the democrats if their most loyal voters show up. >> you won't vote. >> you young people never do. >> but i do. >> i do. plus, a journalist disappear s and the evidence points to --
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>> if it did happen there would be hell to pay. biggest stories sourced by the best reporters now. welcome to "sfinside politics." i'm john king. thank you for sharing your sunday. democrats have a clear path to seize control of the house while republican odds of keeping the senate look brighter. one wild card? democratic optimism in big races for governor. >> we are making choices and decisions about everyone's lives and if you're not part of the decision making, i promise you, you're still going to be affected. the crass way i heard it put, you're either at the table or you're on the menu. >> the president knows this is a referendum on him and his tumultuous first two years. his hope, that the trump base can somehow produce yet another election surprise.
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>> the democrats have become totally consumed by their chilling lust for power. you can either vote for democrat mob rule or you can vote for a republican party that stands proudly for law and order, fairness, freedom and justice. >> there's also this wild card. the president is reluctant to get tough on saudi arabia but bipartisan outrage of a disappearance of a saudi journalist. >> if they lure this had man into this consulate and killed him and chopped up his body and now they're lying about it, that is going to have a dramatically negative impact on u.s. relationship with saudi arabia on capitol hill. members of congress will be up in arms about that and something is going to happen. you cannot do those things. >> we begin the hour with the midterm landscape 23 days out. the numbers favor democrats. this is our cnn poll.
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13-point lead among likely voters when voters are asked which party will you vote for? big lead for democrats here. new nbc/washington post data backs this up. the senate is more dicey. we'll get that in a minute. the president actually up from his poll numbers in recent months but still historically low when it comes to a president in his first midterm election. 43% in our poll, 41% in the new abc numbers. this driving democrats. we have democrats favored, look at the solid democrats, 182. 153 seats solid republican. advantage right now, democrats. unless there's a big change to take back the house.
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different story when you look at the senate. democrats at 45. democrats, if nothing else, chan changed on this map would have to run. republic republican, nevada. have to run the board here or somehow hold their seat in north dakota which we list as leaning republican. somehow take texas. a much more difficult climb here. still the opportunity within reach in the senate. house clearly within reach. >> you know what i know this is not hyperbole. this election is biger than politics. no matter how young or how old you are, you've never been through an election quite like this never. our basic american values are under assault. this is america, so get up, take it back!
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it's time. >> with us this sunday to share their reporting and insights, cnn's abby philip, michael warren of the weekly standard and politico's rachel bai. former vice president on the road in kentucky, get up, vote. the urgency there, democrats see the opportunity. they're socially hoping they don't blow it. right? >> if you think back to the day after the inaugural, the women's march in washington, which captured more than women. it was sort of a cross section of liberals. since that time there hasn't been a time to lay down a marker that responds to this president and what the president has been doing, both the policies and the behavior. i think that's what mr. biden -- vice president biden was trying to capture and that is what is fueling the numbers that you
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talked about, the advantage for democrats, because this really is the moment that democrats want to walk into those voting booths and say we don't like this. >> to your point about the women's march and the vice president's point about get out. don't want to wake up the morning of the election and have wasted this opportunity. we mention the big numbers. democrats have a growing lead as we get closer to the election. this is why. first you look at men voters. 52%, disapproval, 45. on the generic ballot men break 50% republican, 45% democrat. disapproval, 63. disapproval and generic ballot, how you feel about the president is how you're going to vote in three week. >> republican leadership has known for a long time they have a problem with female voters and know that they need to convince -- at least some of
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them stick with the party to keep their majorities. right now obviously there's a little bit of hope on t republicans part because of the kavanaugh bump. right now the focus seems to be with the party on what they're calling the green wave. forget the blue wave, red wave. republicans are concerned about these democrats raising a ton of money. we're satisfy seeing not just enthusiasm in the polls but democrats consider this of the top contested, $109 million worth of tv ads that have been and will be running until election day. that doesn't include bloom brg coming in and bringing another $80 million. the enthusiasm is really showing in this money right now. >> you mentioned the targeted races, democrats with an advantage, the party with momentum, the party with enthusiasm. republicans that have been around a long time say, whoa, that doesn't happen to us. what's going on here?
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as of october 12th, outraising their -- just candidates outraising their opponents, 626 to 473 million in house races. look at the senate races as well there. if you have momentum and the numbers on your side, sometimes the missing ingredient is money. democrats are not lacking there. >> they're making up for what they know will be a factor. we're already starting to see it in the polls. the president is having a pretty good week. he's having a pretty good couple of weeks. the economy is still doing quite well. he has a few things on his plate that he can notch as a win. as we get closer to november, they're going to start to see some narrowing, which is when the money will matter most. democrats are going into a false cycle, actually, despite the feelings of angst about president trump, there's also the reality that the president is having a pretty kind of stable last couple of weeks, especially compared to the summer when his poll numbers
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were dropping hard. that's stabilizing. democrats are trying to work on turnout but also using their money advantage to try to make the difference because they're going to need t next couple of weeks, these polls will narrow. >> they talk about the kavanaugh confirmation battle and say it energized anybody, but republicans needed to be energized. democrats were already energized. the republican -- the pollster neil newhouse said he thinks we'll get a split. the north dakotas of the world, indianas of the world, tennessee, they're moving back toward republicans. >> that's the way it always was, the senate map was always much more favorable to republicans and house map much more favorable to democrats. all these districts voted for hillary clinton in 2016 but had republican house members who obviously thought that's where we can start building our majority. listening to vice president b e
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biden, though, i'm sort of struck by a little bit of a disparity. and if i were a democrat i would be a little worried about. they're still talking about trying to fire up sort of the base of the democratic party. donald trump should have fired these people up from day one, which they have, supposedly, from the women's march. you look at the democratic achievements the last couple of years and they've not been resistant-style democrats. suburban pittsburgh district. i think there's a disparity there between the voters that democrats feel like they still need to get out, sort of build that majority, resistance type voters and those who are on the fence, who may vote for republicans or democrats from time to time that sort of a mixed message there. you can't just simply run against trump. i think that's where democrats have sort of struggled to find a
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menl that's not simply anti-trump. >> more often than not, you're right. they're hoping that it's baked in and if you can motivate for people, why vote for us. you look at their ads in the closing weeks. health care. anti-trump is low on the list. health care is up top. democrats campaigning saying they didn't replace obama care. they've taken certain pieces of it away and democrats saying they'll take more. >> this is mike brawn, allowing ensurers to deny coverage to people with pre-existing conditions. >> voted 11 times to undermine health care and take away coverage from people with pre-existing conditions. >> i cannot believe that martha mcsally would vote to let insurance companies deny health care coverage to people like my son because he has a pre-existing condition. >> the democrats thinks this works, have data to back that
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up. when obama was president, in two mid term elections where democrats got spanked they ran from obamacare. now they're hugging it. >> it's interesting. we sort of assume the whole mantra with them is anti-trump, anti-trump. these ads, as you just played there, are focused on bread and butter pocket issues, health care, because democrats think that's what gets people the most and trump will do all the advertising they need for them saying controversial things and they don't need to highlight what he's saying. you have to wonder if that's sort of a mistake on their part. the republicans were able to throw this in obama's face a few cycles ago but, yeah, they're focused on those bread and butter issues. >> 23 days to put it to the test. democrats think health care. when we come back, the president is everywhere with warnings of open borders and socialism. and politicians say the darndest things. ode to a president who, as we
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know, loves flattery. >> it is such an honor to work with this man. is he not the best president we've ever had? >> the strongest personality, the strongest president we have seen in our lifetime. >> you're overseeing the gre greatest economy in american history right now. >> i decided the more steve shasha shachabot you get, the less president trump you get so i'm not going to give this speech. god bless america and god bless president trump.
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a sitdown with 60 minutes, couple of magazine interviews and episode of profane reality tv direct from the oval office. >> on his journey right now and he might not have expected to have a crazy [ bleep ]. like kanye west run up and support but best believe we are going to make america great. >> the president, in the closing days of an election that is all about him, is going all in being him. listen to this. very trumpian phrase last night of the senate majority leader mitch mcconnell. >> tough cookie. i know tough people. he's tough. he's kentucky tough. you know, he goes down as the greatest leader, in my opinion, in history. what we've done is incredible together. but he's better when i'm president than he ever was when anyone else was president.
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doing much better. >> this is a giant bet by the president. there are a lot of republican strategists who would prefer go to the big red states. go to montana, north dakota, indiana. don't go anywhere else. the president has decided you're going to make it about me, let's make it about me. can it work? >> it seems like republicans are sort of coming around to this strategy. they're nervous about it because i think a lot of people wonder if lightning can strike twice, in reality, but president trump's instincts have gotten them through some pretty tough spots. i think it helped them with the kavanaugh hearing and now the president is cooperating with them on the message. he's executing a message against democrats, the mob, about health care in that op-ed that he wrote last week about that issue. and now he's trying to get his people out, trying to get them to make it about him because i think republicans have realized
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it has not been enough, that the achievements that they've been able to make in congress and it's not mobilizing their voters. it needs to be about something else. what the president does, he speaks to his voters about something different, about culture, about what they -- how they belong together as supporters of trump. and i think he's kind of the only person who knows how to do that and that's kind of why they need him out there. in a broader field. maybe not everywhere still. there are a lot of places he can't go but he's being a lot more bold than i think maybe some of the more conservative in the risk-taking sense, republicans might have wanted. >> to that point there are some places he cannot go and he's to toxic and certain republicans will lose because he's toxic. it creates dissidents in your own base and people don't know what to do. to your point about the
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president's message, some say can he be disciplined on the campaign trail? he has been pretty much. >> these are bad people. we can't let this happen to our country. republicans believe in the rule of law, not the rule of the mob. democrats have signed up for a socialist takeover of american health care that would utterly destroy medicare. >> utterly destroy medicare. now we have a policy debate about that. some democrats, medicare for all. forget the policy. that is politics. older voters, we'll get the turnout later, most likely to vote. the president saying don't dare vote for the democrats. >> there have been places he has been disciplined like that and, you know, the republican party at large may welcome some of that. but where he hasn't been particularly smart is in being able to offer a trumpian way of touting things like lower taxes
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that, you know, a lot of republicans out there -- especially in some of these house races but in the senate races as well, would love to have, would love to essentially have presidential support and a bully pulpit behind some of the things that they want to talk about, even if he wants to do it in a way that is trumpian, in a way that talks about himself, which you hardly see him do. didn't get to the tax cuts until minute 61. that's not what some of the republicans want despite the fact that some of the rhetoric in a rally like that will be helpful but he's not closing it the way they would like. >> it's interesting. republican leadership always talks about tax cuts and, you know, things that they've done in congress but, again, look at some of these ads that are running in these republican districts. you're seeing them really lean into this -- the president sort of calling the left this mob and these socialists, really trying
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to paint them as extremists. i've seen a number of ads attacking democratic candidates who serve in the military as being unpatriotic, trying to link them to terrorists wirks i think, you know, is laughable to a lot of people. it shows you that this is not enough. >> you see those ads when the climate is so against you. then you go to slash about burn and things that cannot be supported by the facts often but you do it, hoping you to tear down the other guy. >> lost the popular vote but wins marginally in the states he has to win to win the electoral college. i agree with you. i talked to republican strategists the last couple of days and none of that concern about the trumpian way is there anymore. they've seemed to internalize the idea that it's marnlal victory, victory you win by a few votes by grinding it out, by
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trying to get your voters out there and motivated is still a victo victory. kavanaugh confirmation hearing, i don't know if there will actually end up being a true kavanaugh bump for republicans. we talked about the ways in which it also motivated democrats as well. but it is one of those things if republicans do better and hold democrats back a little bit in the house if they really run the table on the senate races, it's going to be because they pushed on the margins and were able to eek it out. >> you win the red states anyway. don't lose the red states. at least try to hold yours. >> arizona is really grinding it out. >> tennessee is another one, key test there. we'll watch it play out in 23 days. an american pastor welcomed home but a bigger global storm is brewing. saudi arabia is accused of a horrific kidnapping and murder. why the president seems so reluctant to get tough.
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hours. that's not bad. >> certainly an encouraging development but as tensions with turkey ease, a crisis with saudi arabia is challenging president trump's cozy relationship with the royal family and his reluctance to make human rights a priority. this, in "the washington post" about what happened to journalist jamal khashoggi. it lays out what happened to jamal after he entered, said one person with knowledge of the recording who, like others, spoke on the condition of anonymity. the president has repeatedly made clear in recent days he is in no mood to cut off arm sales as punishment but his language is starting to get tougher. >> there's a lot at stake and maybe especially so because this man was a reporter.
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there's something -- you'll be surprised to hear me say that. there's something really terrible and disgusting about that, if that were the case. we will have to see. we'll have to get to the bottom of it, and there will be severe punishment. >> severe punishment is an escalation, if that's the right word, of the president's rhetoric. at first he was like, this didn't happen in the united states. why should i care about it? he's not a citizen. he's a permanent resident. no way i'm cutting off arm sales but is being pushed like congress, like he was on the russia sanctions months ago. is he moving? >> i wouldn't be surprised if we saw the distance still there next week. this is not the first time he would say something in one setting and say something in another setting. every time he has been asked about this this week, he has been very, very clear, he is resistant to revisit this issue of the arms deal and has
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convinced himself that saudi arabia is an important financial boone to the y boom to the united states. naes not necessarily true but he doesn't want to have to explain somehow that what he believes to be $110 billion in investments are not coming to the united states. >> the actual spending? >> the actual spending is 10, 15%? >> far less than that. that's our leverage over them, not the other way around. so, president trump is grappling with this. we're seeing him grapple with it in real life. i think they're looking for, in the white house, a way to punish the saudis that doesn't step on that issue for the president but i think this is still something that they are actively trying to work out and we are not seeing them move quickly on it. that's notable. they are not moving with any kind of haste. >> the president says he will speak to the saudi king some time this weekend. he has not as yet. the crown prince has directly
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denied it, the king's son, to jared kushner, the president's aide. they've not even ruled out the treasury secretary going to davos in the desert. a lot of technology companies have pulled out, secretary of state pompeo saying we'll see if secretary mnuchin goes to that. does this, from congress, push the white house? >> my instincts say that there's no question the saudi government did this. it will hugely undermine that relationship, at least with congress. >> i've never been more disturbed than i am right now. if this did, in fact, happen, and this man was murdered in the saudi consulate in istanbul, that would cross every line of normality in the international community. if it did happen, there would be hell to pay. >> the distance that abby was talking about, what we just saw, reflects how much of an island trump is on with respect to
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member members of his own party, certainly members of his own party on capitol hill and even people within his own administration, like pompeo, john bolton. these are not people who share his sort of transactional view, the president's transactional view of foreign relations where -- all this about human rights or moral leadership in the region, that doesn't really break through to the president's own view. that's why there's still this idea that he may very well do something and may be pushed. i don't know that he holds a particular view on this very strongly, which ultimately why he will be pushed but it's an odd position to be in for the president. the guy at the very top, to be so at odds with sort of everybody else. >> if he does end up going tough on the saudis and taking some sort of action, you have to probably look at those top allies on the hill of lindsey
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graham, one of the top advocates for brett kavanaugh on hill, who helped him get through, defended him through the entire fight. rand paul is co-sponsoring a resolution that will get a vote in the senate at some point saying this arms deal shouldn't go through and there was already a lot of resistance to this arms deal on a bipartisan basis before we even heard about the murder of this reporter. that will increase the amount of angst and he will continue to get pressure. >> people will ask why doesn't the president get there right out of the box? i'll freeze these arm sales. we're going to be tough. trump critics point to his first international trip, they threw him a big party, the president was fettered as a world hero. this is the first trip from the president right here. some people say well, they love him. this is what he loves most of
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all and he doesn't turn on people who do this to him and there are other people who say what about the kushner companies and trump organization? listen to the president himself day one of the campaign about his business relationships. >> saudi arabia, they make a billion dollars a day, a billion dollars a day. i love the saudis. many are in this building. i get along great with all of them. they buy apartments from me, 40 million, 50 million. am i supposed to dislike them? >> given that, one would think that the president would want to prove -- especially when you listen to the details, team flying into istanbul, murder, dismembering the body, smuggling it out. the questions that people would ask about the financial interest that the president woufrom day . >> you would think given the series of things that happened
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over the last years that the president would bend over backwards to be tough on russia to prove he wasn't complicit or colluded with them. that's not the kind of president we have. in addition to the sort of behavioral things you just talked about, you know, saudi arabia from day one was a linchpin in his foreign policy, vis-a-vis iran and the iran deal, which the saudis very much supported the united states withdrawing from. you have his personal proclivities on this, his foreign policy. if he changes and does switch -- if this outrageous thing that may have happened switches his position on this, it will be because he's pushed not because he wants to do it. >> saudi government threatening sanctions against anyone who retaliates against them. saudi history, they say things but don't necessarily do things.
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37 states and the district of columbia allow early voting. that process already under way in 15 states. most of us don't have a good excuse not to vote. turnout numbers in midterm elections are pretty bleak, especially among the groups that democrats need to show up if there is to be a blue wave. midterm turnout from 1942, that was your high in 1966. this is the last midterm election. pathetic, frankly. 36%, post-war low. look at the eligible electorate and what happens in a midterm year. over 65 if everyone showed up would be 20% of the electorate. look what happened in 2014. older people, much more sway. they show up to vote. younger people, about half of
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the influence they could have in the election because they don't tend to show up. that is the problem in a midterm election year. who has high interest in this one? seniors do. white voters. democrats need african-americans, latinos and young voters to turn out. much less interest in those groups. can they turn them out in the end? especially looking at younger voters, running ads, doing anything they can, saying please show up. >> sure you don't like it. >> you like some meme on instagram. >> if the weather is nice maybe you could go to one of those little march. >> you might even share this video on facebook. >> but you won't vote. >> you young people never do. >> but i do. >> i do. >> i do. >> midterms, primaries. >> every single election. >> we'll be there. but you won't. >> the mocking ad essentially challenging young people to get out and vote. taylor swift on instagram this past week, weighing in on the
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tennessee senate race. has a ton of followers, trying to tell young people everywhere, not just in tennessee, get out and vote. texas long shot trying to beat ted cruz in texas needs young voters to come out, came out on a skateboard at a rally. we might have video of that. there you go. this is the challenge. the big numbers favor the democrats overwhelmingly, to turn this from a blue ripple or small blue wave into a blue tsunami, they need to motivate people who traditionally do not show up in midterm elections. can they? >> they're certainly putting money, trying to do so. dccc, house campaign arms $25 million specifically trying to target unlikely voters, minorities, young people. they know they have an issue here and want people to show up. beyond young people, though, big concern they have is latino
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voters right now. there are about a dozen house republican districts where the population of latinos is above 20%, up to two-thirds of the population. and this is halfway to the numbers they need to the majority. if they get those, they're halfway to the 23 seats they need. they're having trouble getting people and they're trying to do that with spanish-speaking ads, latino field directors. they know they're struggling right now and have a couple of more weeks to turn this around. >> this is the issue that hillary clinton had in 2016, latino voters, african-american voters, getting them to turn out. particularly with latino voters, they found that trump is sort of anti-mexican or whatever, build the wall, anti-build the wall rhetoric was not enough to get those voters out. democrats are going to have to build a pretty robust message for latino voters centered on the economy, education and health care in order to counter.
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it's not going to be enough to project trump as the anti-immigration person. >> and there are so many places where latino voters, nevada, texas, younger voters just about everywhere -- you can win one district here. if you need three, you need your whole base to turn out. >> and doing relatively well with republicans among those voters. we're talking about this in mid october about turning out voters who ought to have been motivated from day one seems to be a simmering problem that nobody on the democratic side wants to publicly talk about, but it seems like a big problem. >> it's a problem for the party if they can't turn them out. abc/washington poll shows a little bit better enthusiasm. up next, our guests share a page from their notebooks
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including the storm that ravaged florida and georgia. was ahead of its time.thes [ indistinct radio chatter ] still, we never stopped making it stronger. faster. smarter. because to be the best, is to never ever stop making it better. introducing the new c-class. visit your local mercedes-benz dealer for exclusive offers. with tripadvisor, finding your perfect hotel at the lowest price... is as easy as dates, deals, done! simply enter your destination and dates... and see all the hotels for your stay! tripadvisor searches over 200 booking sites... to show you the lowest prices... so you can get the best deal on the right hotel for you. dates, deals, done! tripadvisor. visit tripadvisor.com
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storms are often things you can't really predict, obviously, but right now, at this moment, the white house is trying to make sure they don't become a sort of negative factor here for some of those key races in florida and in georgia. president trump heading to both states the upcoming week and the federal response will be pretty important, panhandle really devastated. that's actually also where a lot of trump supporters also live. two races in florida, the governor's race and the senate race are two critical races that republicans are trying to hold on to. but the flip side to that coin is that tallahassee's mayor, democrat andrew gillem, is the democratic candidate for governor. i can tell you that the white house is making sure that when they respond to this storm that they are forward looking on the situation so they don't become a negative factor in important races down in those states. >> another wild card in those very close races. michael? >> for the first 60 days or so,
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the government is taking comment on a proposal by the white house that would expand the extent to which they can deny -- they can denim grants the right to get a green card based on their taking of public services like section 8 housing vouchers or food stamps. this is not only the policy approach but it's also political. they're trying to put democrats in the position of defending not only immigrants but also defending people who take public benefits. those are two issues that republicans think that their candidates will be helped by. democrats are put in kind of an awkward position because they want to come to the defense of immigrants and people who take public benefits and oppose this rule. but by doing so, they fear that makes the possibility of re-election a little harder. so look for them to expand their defense in their opposition to the rule after the elections, not before.
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>> immigration always, constant political issue in this. michael? >> in case we didn't get our fill of supreme court politics, i think there's a real question about whether or not there will ever be a nominee of a president to get confirmed by a senate held by the opposite party. i think this is hypothetical, but potent question. i was in tennessee a few days ago and asked democrat phil brettison, moderate trying to win in a red state, where he said he would have supported brett kavanaugh's confirmation. i asked if the democrats were to take over control of the senate, chuck schumer were to deny, say, president trump a scotus nominee vote on the floor, what would he do about it? he didn't have an answer for that but he did say he believed that all supreme court nominees who are -- go through the process should get a vote on the floor.
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i don't know if his base or the base of the republican party would be okay with that. we're sort of in a new era here but it's interesting to start probing these senate candidates on down the line. >> what they think in tennessee probably not what chuck schumer thinks. >> no. >> rachel? >> the focus will be on the midterms the next few weeks but just as the polls are closing november 6th, the new narrative will be about leadership jockeying in the house, especially if it changes control. kevin mccarthy is trying to lock down conservatives, a group that blocked him from becoming speaker before. he's out there introducing bills that would fund the president's wall, resolutions that would block illegal immigrants from voting, which clearly is not a big problem but what he's doing right now is trying to woo the far right. sounds like he has been having a little success.
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breitbart, which has always been a pain in the side of paul ryan's, they're opening the door to him. we're hearing because the president himself wants mccarthy to lead the congress and saying give him a chance. i want him to lead. >> star burst for everybody. president has settled on a new white house counsel and the choice is proof that the white house knows they face a challenging and potentially treacherous stretch on the legal front once the election passes. maloney is the president's choice. it was decided by the president and others that he should stay focused on his work responding to the special counsel investigation. looking into, among other things, the president's business. if democrats take the house, january would bring a flood of new document requests and
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oversight investigation. so flood stays put and an urgent goefl getting himself in place and quickly hiring a handful of deputies for a now quite depleted counsel's office. thanks for sharing your sunday morning. we're here at noon on weekdays. up next, state of the union with jake tapper, marco rubio, bernie sanders and stacey abrams. have a great sunday. (gasp) (singsong) budget meeting! sweet. if you compare last quarter to this quarter... various: mmm. it's no wonder everything seems a little better with the creamy taste of philly, made with fresh milk and real cream.
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opportunlike here.rywhere. let's do the work. and here. see? opportunity. hi! cinturones por favor. gracias. ev-er-y-where. about to be parents. it's doing a lot of kicking down there. meeting the parents. it's gonna be fine. and this driver, logging out to watch his kid hit one out of the... go dani, go! opportunity is everywhere. all you have to do to find it is get out... here. ♪
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confronting crises. president trump planned trip to an area devastated after hurricane michael. a missing saudi journalist. marco rubio will join us to discuss next. plus, suppressing the vote? controversy over voter registration engulfs a tight ration in georgia. now the democrat is calling on her opponent to resign. >> they cannot let
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