welcome to inside politics. i'm john king. thank you for sharing your day with us. president trump hits the road and brings new meaning to the term campaign stretch. immigration is his top priority. sticking to the facts, not so much. nancy pelosi, should she be so

confident. turnout for this week. it means skip the good economic news and channel the president. >> caravan is coming. some cheering them on. don't be scared beto tells us. >> scacaravans coming yet too liberal to care. who is tough enough to secure our border? >> we begin the hour with the midterm math and new math in to control the senate. it is advantage republicans heading into these final days but perhaps a sliver of hope. if democrats would have any shot of seizing control of the senate they must win seats now in republican hands. seats like tennessee, seats like nevada. seats like arizona. they have to win two or three of those. new polling out here in the

western states. let's start in the state of arizona. first the democratic candidate right now ahead 51-47 here. a four point race now. democrats are ahead. republican though is a little bit closer although talking to republicans the last 24 hours, they are worried about this one. democrats still in the hunt they must win if they have any hope of retaking the senate. that's arizona. now nevada. again, the democrats. it is leading here 48% over the most vulnerable. 48-45. a three point race now. that is what this one has been for quite some time, locked to the end. senator heller believes he will pull this one out. democrats could take a sliver of

hope in the fact they are leading. this is one of the reasons republicans think maybe we pull both of these out in the end. look at the president standing. the approval rating 47%. up 8 points from september. in nevada the president at 49% up 4 points from september. republicans think the president focusing on senate races as he is in these final days. democrats hoping they will hold up on election day. look here in nevada. it is 2018. sounds like 2016. >> dean heller got back in line. >> a liberal and a lock step partisan just like hillary clinton. >> i am a hillary person. >> with me today abby phillips

and david with washington examiner and rachel. i was heading to nevada yesterday and the ads are just off the charts. i said you're either god or satan. i can't figure that out. when you look at these polls ties statistically. you could say slight advantage to the democrats. the republicans are most likely will hold the senate and maybe even gain a seat or two and some think three. is that right? >> i think that's right. i think republicans are a lot to hold the majority. the question is can they gain a couple of seats? that's why arizona and nevada become so important. it is the two areas where democrats have a real chance to flip the seat, oust republicans and hold down their losses. i think north dakota is gone and indiana is on the verge of being gone. the other two seats we are going to look at to see where the

senate shakes out are montana and west virginia. s it is a tough math for democrats. it always has been. if we didn't know it then the kavanaugh hearings helped seal the deal in a lot of states we helped them do well anyway. >> you're right. they think it will leak out. maybe the kavanaugh thing fading a bit. a lot of people, the president knows he is an issue. the president is always an issue. some sort of stay at the white house. this is talking about immigration. look at our poll among likely republican voters. look how much immigration has jumped. in nevada look how much it has jumped. so the president staking essentially his part of his election ton 2016 reflectioxes.

you have nevada and arizona. as you energize the trump base you run the risk of energizing the other side. >> i think he is staking this over his own people which we know is extremely strong. i think that's what numbers really demonstrate when he focuses on an issue he can sway their opinions on this issue. he can push it up to the front of the line. it can make a big difference but to your point, democrats, you know, this is particularly with the birth issue with whether you can become a citizen in the united states if you're born here. things like that start to really stick and it starts to really kind of push over the line from energizing your base to antagonizing your opponents. in some of these border staltes you mind find it has the opposite effect.

you might have diminishing returns. >> what it has always done is divide republicans. you saw sort of the scorekeeper. coming out and saying this whole notion that the president wants to get rid of it, it goes against the constitution. you had paul ryan push back against that and a bunch of republicans say you can't do that. you know, that, he was trying to again, continue the success he has had to things like immigration that help republicans and energized the base and made a lot of these races closer. did he overstep with this? right now they are fighting. >> we'll find out on tuesday. in 37 states people can vote early. some times things happen in the last week. >> all i was going to say is this is the story of this election. what helps in the senate hurts in the house. this is just the way it has been breaking the entire way.

so yeah, this probably helps him a little bit in some of these places but in the house races in florida and california, you know, this is the kind of thing that turns democratic voters on. the one thing i want today say about nevada too, there's a bit of a democratic machine there that he has put in place over the years. they have managed to pull out some elections in the past including his own which he probably should have lost. i think that's a factor heefrre. we have to see how fawell they n get their vote. >> we focused on the president's rally. we focused ton big activity and it's all about mechanics. each says we think we need this many to win. let's find them, text them, grab them by the year. they are focused on that right now. we mentioned immigration. it's the same poll. this is where they are spending

all of their money. it's a big part of their speeches. health care among likely democratic voters. health care jumping up again. it is a motivating force. am i niaive to think they are t litigate issues? if democrats carry these seats will it do health care legislation? >> it will depend a lot on what happens as it always does. everything turns on a dime. i think democrats really found an issue with health care they were surprised it has the residents that it did and that the -- you can see it in the way republicans had to fight back against it.

>> four years after they lost the senate majority and largely because of obamacare. >> it is republicans that are largely on the defensive. yes it is about preexisting defenses. you look at these ads and this thing for them is finally paying off or at least appears like it might really pay off. it is amazing to see how the script has flipped when you look at how damaging the entire health care effort was. >> republicans have clearly already learned the lesson, do not touch preexisting conditions. they have saying they vote today protect people with preexisting conditions. it is 100% false. i covered it and i remember specifically when they put in the language giving insurance companies to opt out of the

requirements. >> speakingov of policy it show you americans now expect preexisting conditions to be covered. whatever else you want to say about the law, and plenty to say positive and negative it is fundamentally changing the politics of health care. >> without a doubt. one more example. we showed you the president's approval rating. another one of these races the democrats still think maybe we can pull out a victory in

tennessee. if republicans can pick up one of those democrats can joe hang on? one of the ways elections in the midterms are about debates. joe in the end trying to stake out ground in the middle. >> bet you never heard this in a political ad. i may not be the candidate for you. if you're part of the extremes in either party, the anger, hyper partisan ship, violence, i'm not that guy. stop demonizing, work with both parties and bring america together. >> you could cast that as an appeal to independence. you could cast it as a hail mary. let me throw this one up and see if it works. >> i spent time over the summer. i think what you're seeing in that is the real him.

you're trying to do everything you can to convince people that they can feel comfortable with you. i think that as mike has become more known i think it was always his biggest challenge. i think the challenges are taking hold the same way they did in 2016 when todd toyoung ended upbeating. >> it helps the fundamental dynamics. i think we should also not forget the thing we haven't been talking about in the last several weeks which is the russia investigation. it always helps president trump when it isn't hanging over his head as much as it was for example in the heat of the summer when there was a lot going on. there were indictments, people pleading guilty, people being found guilty. i think the president benefitted from this last stretch allowing

some of these folks in states that they should win in to have those fundamentals be the thing that rules the day. >> we'll follow up on that in a minute. the president is about to hit the road. as we go to break listen to this, new confidence from nancy pelosi of retaking the house. >> let me say this, up until today i would have said if the election were held today we would win. >> what happened today that changed that? >> what now i'm saying is we will win. >> don't say that. you want to say that on hillary's fireworks barge that she cancelled? please don't say that. >> we will win. >> teacher: let's turn in your science papers. >> tech vo: this teacher always puts her students first. >> student: i did mine on volcanoes. >> teacher: you did?! oh, i can't wait to read it. >> tech vo: so when she had auto glass damage... she chose safelite. with safelite, she could see exactly when we'd be there.

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. the president back on the trail. it is the first of 11 rallies he will hold between now and

election day. weekend rallies in montana, georgia, florida and tennessee. stops in ohio, back to indiana and missouri as well to close out the campaign. >> it is overwhelmingly popular. i think the president is the best messenger for the party. he had a great story to tell. he has been doing that all over the country for the last several months. >> it is her job to defend the president and she does it well. the idea that he is not an in the races. the president would be an asset, they are already going to win that. you you are not going to see the president in new jersey, in

pennsylvania or any where. you'll see itinred states which is to his credit make the decision the last week of the campaign. stay away from where i hurt, right? >> yeah. it is pretty clear he is not going in places where there is a chance there will be competitive rates. the issues are more localized to populations. you know, if you have a suburban district outside of washington d.c. in virginia the president cannot go there. he cannot be helpful to barbara comstock at this moment. he basically said i will go here and say what they want me to say for the most part he has been remarkably disciplined. it has made republicans pretty happy. he has his wild campaign

rallies. i think they are okay with that as long as he is not sticking his foot. >> the campaigns said please don't come back. he doesn't want the president any where near las vegas. the plus some times brings a minus. it has not been a white house known for a sharp political operation. here they are getting more points. if we can look back he is constantly fighting and targeting them more than he is targeting democrats. talk to republican insiders. he wasn't helpful with raising money or party building.

not going where he is going to be helpful. if they lose the house it is going to be his fault. >> and you're absolutely right. >> yeah. >> and if -- >> well, it will be his fault chb though he won't accept any blame. i think it is important because if we still had a president trump calling out republican leaders in the house and saying how awful a job they were doing i think republicans in both would be in a lot more trouble than they are today. you would be looking at more than a 30 seat wave if that's possible. >> it is interesting. we have record low unemployment in the country. >> they are following the president's lead talking about the border. >> republicans want strong voters, no cross-claim and -- n

caravans, right? we don't want caravans. we are not having caravans. as we speak the democrat party is openly encouraging millions of illegal aliens to break our laws, violate our borders and bankrupt our countries. democrats extreme immigration policies will overwhelm your schools, hospitals and communities that strain public resources to the breaking point. >> if she referring to the caravan there aren't millions of illegal aliens, there are several thousand people. the question is does this work? does this work? it does seem to be gaining republican enthusiasm. it is enough. be bright, if you will.

jobs, economy, growth, strength. he chooses instead to be dark. here they come. be afraid. >> i think republicans think that it helps. it is better than nothing. it doesn't hurt them by any means if they are changing the conversation to an issue where they feel they can turn off their voters. again, the question of whether it will be enough, i don't think they are convinced of that. we have seen a tone shift in the past week where republicans were really excited about the possibility of keeping the house a week ago, week and a half ago saying maybe a 30% chance. they seem to have stopped talking hopefully. >> and you noted that the house speaker, she leaving. he said mr. president, you went too far. we have a constitution. you can't do that through executive action. we think it is just fine as we are. that's the speaker. brian is leaving. so consider the source. a rop who couldn't win reelection says this.

we all know the challenges of su burr bab raps. it is less impacted thus far are those with high number of immigrants. it is besides being a basic tenant they arguing over should we impeach if we win. a lot of cracks in the republican party too. >> i think he is playing into the general overall theme her. let's make it about immigration. i give the president credit. he is a closer. he is out there. i know he likes doing these rallies. it is fun for him. i don't remember president obama or president bush at that time going out and making this kind of effort when they were in dangerov danger of losing control of the house. he is out there in the places he needs to be. i think the blame game will be a whole different story on wednesday. i did everything i could and these guys really blew it.

>> they didn't listen to me. if they would have only carried my message any where. >> there are several districts where democrats have sort of with drawn their money. it is with large latino populations where they had put away. it will be interesting to see if it changes. >> we'll tell you about how they process what they think they will do. up next swamp talk. they face yet another investigation. ♪ ♪ -whoops -sorry! ♪ ♪

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sources telling cnn the justice department investigating following a referral from the interior department. we don't know what specifically the dog j is looking at. facing a number of inspector general investigations one about his involvement in a land deal. zinke said i follow all rules,

procedures and most importantly the law. this is another politically driven investigation that have no merit. we join our discussion. we are pushing back again saying this is fake news. where are we going here? >> he also told me over the phone that doj had not contacted him. take ago step back this is a significa significant development. it is a member who is under investigation of the department of justice. while they often make referrals it is an investigation at doj. we don't know the full scope of that investigation. we do know that there are questions about zinke and what he had about a project back in the state of montana. it was a land development project. it is one thing they have been looking at. they are looking at other issues as well.

that connecticut casino deal as well as whether or not it was drawn to a state lawmaker. there are a lot of questions here. after midterm elections there are often shakeups in the cabinet. it is not unusual in this administration. i think the question will be whether or not president trump sees these continued headlines, whether it becomes a problem for ryan zinke. >> it is a real question. and all the more so that he is not a model of transparency. we find out after the fact a lot of things he does are not put on his public schedule. you mentioned the haliburt haliburton ceo. zinke says no big deal. >> this is exactly what's wrong with the press. the president has it right. it's fake news. we go out to dinner. we talk about the background of

the park. what are the neighbors like? what was the vision? where the boundaries are, what the road is. so they have a background. >> it's not exactly what's wrong with the press. it's what's right with the press and it's what's wrong with secretary zinke so if you'll have a meeting, dinner, maybe he is a friend but a stake holder and decision, be transparent about it. >> nobody should be holding their breath for president trump to throw him under the bus. he likes calling it fake news. he actually likes ryan zinke quite a bit and thinks that he like a lot of other cabinet members are being unfairly attacked for all of this stuff. the president, not to my knowledge, has not really drilled down into what some of these controversies are or

whether or not they matter to him enough that he is ready to sideline zinke about it. he is doing his part by framing it in a way that he knows will reasonate with the president by saying this is about fake news. this is what's wrong with the press, ethics, not draining the swamp, if you will. he is not one to take a loss. he wants to fight back and to win even if it means being called a hypocrite. >> with the house and senate both under republican control they have largely turned a blind eye to this. everyone now and then they said let's do this. this is the incoming, the man that would be the chairman of the natural resources committee saying if they are given he will be called to testify in

february. or why his connect, he abused people's trust. it reminds you elections do have consequences and if they retake the house these cabinet secretaries and others facing questions are going to live in a new world. >> yeah. that's a great illustration. i'm surprised he is saying he will wait until february to tell you that. there has been kind of a lull in the cabinets ethics watch. i think it elevates it back. i don't think there was aerer ferl on any of the previous ones. that's what makes it such a big deal. >> they try to do this within the family. if you should have paid your travel differently they issue a report. they take care of that inside the house. >> it's a much more serious situation. i think you're also right that, you you know, one of ways these get resolved before the hearings is i will spend more time with my family. >> a lot of cabinet shakeups

that can happen. i know that not talking to just the are we natural resources committee that they are planning on bringing these up over and over again. they have fot benot been able t these questions answered. >> and some of the white house staff have told my colleague there is a list of about six cabinet members they might push out to clean house before 2020 so that these cabinet members don't distract and bring down. even if they do that the house oversite committee will still bring these people in. if some go away the scandals will be buried. it doesn't matter. i was talking to someone yesterday saying even if people with gone we have to make sure the oversite is there and policy changes that need to happen are made so you can expect they will relive all of these and bring these people back in even if

they have been fired. >> job cuts at general motors, possibly trade wars. we haven't forgotten. today is halloween. also not forgetting mark sanford. isn't this sweet? i don't know. it is patriotic though. he will hand out constitutions instead of candy corn. line up, kids.

recently, more than $20 million has been spent in the race for superintendent of public instruction to attack my friend tony thurmond's record. well, i've worked with tony, and no one is more qualified to lead our state's schools. that's why tony thurmond is the only candidate endorsed by classroom teachers and the california democratic party. because tony will stand up to the donald trump-betsy devos agenda and has always protected our local public schools. join me in voting for tony thurmond. let's put our kids first.

topping our political radar today a supreme secret between two former supreme court

justices. the two dated during their time together at stanford law school. they dug up a letter he wrote where he puts the proposal in writing both soon after married partners that would become their long-time spouses. new york times reports it is working in denying coverage for birth control. it tried imposing similar restrictions and they were block bid two separate judges. offering severance packages to employees that had been -- it is about 18,000 workers. it comes despite solid third kwater earnings. gm says it is trying to adapt to a changing industry. last flignight was a tight race. it is a tight race.

both candidates but used time to get in quick clips. >> we got rid of king george for a reason? king george is gone. no one is going to make unilateral decisions in our country. >> they ought to be on the same thing everybody else is. that's where you start. >> blah, blah, blah. i have ten children. the idea of contraceptives is something i'm very much interested in. >> funny i guess. the head of the gop congressional campaign says that group washing its hands of steve king of iowa. national republican says his colleagues comments and actions are kbrond inappropriate. king is urnds fire for backing far right candidates as a result. a spokesman says it cannot

support his reelection bid in what has become a close race. >> it hasn't been shy to show moral leadership. as we said yesterday his words and actions are completely inappropriate. we strongly condemn them. we will not play in his race. >> congressman king says it is nasty, desperate and dishonest fake news. they are ork straited over the years. look it up, folks, if you disagree with me. you can find it. we are in a very competitive election environment. it is trying desperately to preserve majority essentially cuts off one of its own members. we are saying we hope you lose. >> it sounds like he sort of went out on his own and did this. he had received some sort of

briefing about recent comments from king and said he couldn't do it anymore. sand some people are not happy with him in the republican party. >> there is also frustration with steve king. he has never been the biggest team player with the congressional committee. i think if republicans have to spend money in iowa for they are in a lot of trouble. they are spending money in south carolina which suggests that the math is bigger than they would like. so it's not entirely without significance that they are saying hey, man, you're on your own. >> it is interesting though because republicans, this sort of brings up an issue that haun haunted republicans. sort of racist comments, you know, trump calling him a thief after he has robo calls being plaid against him. it is the first time of him being brave enough to push back and say that's racist. stop doing it. >> yeah. >> and the reality is this shoulden be that heart.

>> right. >> it is obvious when -- it's not a dog wlis l anymore when everyone can hear it. so these sort of -- the profile is not really -- the bar is very very low right now. i think this is a larger problem not so much that they are actually on their way to a solution. the fact that this is so hard to say this is wrong is the problem. that is why we are having this conversation. >> that's right. if you support him go back and look at the record. this goes on for years. before we go to break celebration, boston break out the duck boats. everyone can join red sox nation. speck t spectacular. that's the red sox celebrate in the greatest city in the world. [ cheers ]

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moments ago, the president picking a fight with the republican speaker of the house. on twitter, the president saying paul ryan should be focusing on holding the majority, something he knows nothing about. our new republican majority, the president says, will work on this, closing the immigration loopholes, that rebuke of the republican house speaker from the republican president comes a day after the president's statement that he could undue executive birthright citizenship. >> you cannot end birthright citizenship with an executive order. we didn't like it when obama tried changing immigration laws.

you know as a conservative, i'm a believer in followinging the plain text of the amendment. i think the 14th is pretty clear. >> we talked about the president's discipline of not getting into firing squads with fellow republicans. never mind. i spent five minutes telling you how the president stopped fighting with republican, never mind all that, they're now having less than a week to go, republicans in the most threatened districts. it's also very interesting to see the president embrace the pen and phone that republicans were so angry about especially when it came to daca, he legalized a lot of the dreamers. this fight is not going away. i think we have to see whether

there is any new republican majority in the house for the republican to do anything. >> now every republican candidate in the country will get asked about this. it's the president saying he's going to do an executive order. in his tweet, he says our new republican majority will win this. number two, is the president backing off an executive order? >> i think that's really important. look. this idea is not ready for prime time so shifting it to whether it's good is bad that's what they prefer to talk about. can you disagree on birth right citizenship as republicans and democrats have for many, many years, the vast majority of main stream people understand that an executive order is as paul ryan said a non-starter. the president is angry about it, but that's because he doesn't like being wrong about things he said publicly. but that doesn't make him right

about this issue. >> paul ryan made him wrong? >> i don't think paul ryan thought he was saying anything controversial in that interview. all of a sudden they're in this fight. it sort of puts their relationship where it started. >> i think paul ryan probably thought he wasn't doing anything to cause a fight. he was focused on constitutionality of executive orders. >> not the first person that thinks of himself as a constitutional conservative to have issues with the president of the occupation. we'll see you back here this time tomorrow. wolf starts after a quick break. have a great day. ♪ ♪ ♪

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hello, i'm wolf blitzer. it's 1:00 p.m. in washington. thanks very much for joining us. we start with new information on president trump saying good-bye to his outgoing white house counsel with a complaint and blame for allowing robert mueller to run the special russia investigation. here with us to discuss, a former political commentators with us as well and our chief political analyst gloria borger, you have got to reporting for us. what have you and your team learned? . >> well, multiple sources have told us during this final sort of good-bye meeting between don mcgahn and