hello, everyone. i'm chris cuomo. welcome to prime time. it is just after midnight here in washington, d.c. you know what that means, right? it is officially election day. who wants their i voted sticker inwell, go vote. that's how you get it. if first poll opens in less than five hours. there will be a verdict from voters on his presidency. he warned his base tonight, everything we have achieved is

at stake. with all the fear mongering, his plan of fear and loathing, will he get his base to the polls in numbers that allow his party to keep power? lots on the line. you've got control of congress, governorships across america, that could matter now and certainly in 2020. and of course you've got the mandate for the president's agenda. the big question for it democrats is can they win? corey booker has been deep in this fight. he's not on the ballot but his party is. and the senator here tonight with one last plea to voters. and wait until you here one of president trump's biggest regrets or the fact he has a regret, what is it over the last two years? it's decision day, my friends. let's get after it. it's election day, big deal. big deal. i hope you're pumped. i hope you go out there and exercise the franchise. all around the country, that's what we need to show those in

power that we care and we must care about us. the balance of power in congress now in your hands. candidates all over the place, all up and down the ballots will soon find out whether their long months of pitches pay off. for republicans victory will mean validation. for democrats, they want back control. where are we? let's ask democratic senator corey booker. >> i take a little personal insult when i come to see you you high tail it down to d.c. >> you're onto me, senator. the checks on me. i apologize for the inconvenience. >> no, it's a pleasure to be here. >> everybody's talk about what happens if the democrats win. this is the metric if they win, this is the margin, will it happen. let's reverse it for a second just for the sake of argument.

what will it mean to you if some time late, late tuesday night or into wednesday morning it turns out you gain seats but you don't take the senate and you don't take the house. whatbed that mean to you in. >> i just surrendered hypotheticals. i got so wrapped up in that 2016 and was wrong in every way. right now i'm focused on sprinting through the tape. even today i'll go back to work calling into other states, calling nevada workers. i think everybody should put it all on the line, put it all on the field and let's just see what happens. right now the most important thing to me is when polls close, working until then. >> the tactics, everything becomes clear at the end of an election. there's never any mystery about what the game plan is on either side and what is inside the head and hearts of all those inside. there's no more time for subtly. and now we see that, and it's

blowing up in the president's face. he put out that willie horton ad and it was as ugly as it was when they made it. it's enough the news agencies are now following cnn's example and they're pulling the ads. it's not the only ugly ad. i want to play you just one line of an ad that is out there about stacey abe rmrams and oprah win. just one line is what will play for it. >> this is the magical neeg re, oprah winfrey, asking you to make my fellow negress, stacey abrams the governor of georgia. >> for some reason they have felt empowered to come out and put out ads like that. the president was asking about the mexican murderer and blaming democrats, and here he is.

>> we have a lot of ads, and they certainly are effective based on the numbers that we're seeing. a lot of things are offensive. your questions are offensive a lot of times, so, you know -- >> he's always offended by tough questions. but senator, the idea that he knows how ugly the ad is and yet he says but they're effective, what does that tell you? >> again, we cannot become a country where our leaders, democrat or republican, it's all about the ends and the means. there's no moral compass whatsoever when it comes to the means. we define ourselves about what we do. i think the ideals about gandhi ends and means really being the same thing. for people having a no holds barred, whatever works, whatever makes money, whatever scores points, that's not the truth of our nation. i believe people are going to respond to that. i see in my own state the kind of toxic ads now running against

bob muneenendez that they call- right blatant lies. i do believe this is moral nation and we are disgusted by those kind of attacks. so you know what? bring it. bring what you got, show who you are, reveal your colors because i think at the end of the day this country is going to vote for decency, honor, vote for kindness, vote for love. and i'm so happy there are leaders, democratic people in this country standing up for those ideals and voting in accordance to the kind of character we want in office, in higher offices. >> the president says he's not on the ballot. he's been all over the place. we've shone clips of him saying a dozen times, vote for me. it's really like i'm on the ballot, i'm not on the ballot. now we've gotten closer and there's some momentum on the republican side in term of the

house at least, he's back off the house and focusing on the senate. and today he's saying it's really not about me, i'm not on the ballot. do you accept that or whatever happens tomorrow it is a referendum on the president? >> i don't accept what he's saying. i learned someone from my community in north new jersey hope is the act of conviction that despair will not have the last word. there's a lot of folks out there who have been listening to the president for two years. the way he's talked about nazis, muslim bans, attacking health care, trying to rip it away from folks. there are a lot of folks going into this election saying the president will not have the last word. the president is not the end of the story. i'm going to be the last word. i'm going to demonstrate who i am through my actions. and so this election, i think it really is a test of those ideals of patriotism. politicians often use that word to put down other people. i think patriotism is a love of country, and you cannot love

your country unless you love your fellow country men and women. patriotism is not a slogan, it's an action. i think people are going to the polls right now because they want to define america. they want to have a statement. trump has been dominating the air waves, sucking the oxygen out. but this is the time whether you're a president or billionaire, whoever walks into the polls this is time for people to demonstrate their more powerful than those in power. >> one point of concern, big game is tomorrow. the big show is tomorrow. the big moment is tomorrow. do you have any reservations that it wasn't more of the method of your party to go toe to toe with the president about immigration? when i ask you about it you're going to give me answers. you're not on the ballot right now, but democrats have been avoiding the president, ignoring the president, talking health care, not going toe to toe with

him on immigration. why not? >> the way he's going about this, chris, and you know as if our country isn't strong enough to deal with 700 miles away, 800 miles away, people in a caravan, he wants to make that the issue when people in my state of new jersey are worried about their health care, worried about their retirement security -- >> immigration it's up there in the ratings. >> again, i think when i -- i run around this country. i've been from north dakota to florida, and when i'm sitting in diners, when i'm balking in senior citizen centers, you know, as much as the president wants to whip up fear and hate, sort of the tired tropes that he's wielding out there americans are concerned about the sort of bread and butter issues. i'm happy people aren't falling for his trap again. here's a guy that came down the

escalator and immediately started playing the race card as they accuse us of doing. talking about the mexicans, talking about the muslims, trying to whip up fear and hate. there's always been demagogues, always been bigotry. but the story 06 america is the goodness of us overcoming that, not allowing that being the playing field, defining the higher ground of common cause, common purpose. and so i'm proud of the candidates who are out there that are talking about those issues. and again, i'm not just talking about democrats. these are issues of -- right now we're in a moment in america where it's not right or left. it's right or wrong. and you're hearing a lot of voices from christian eevangelicals, mutt he's doing on imfragz is an affront to the ideals of your faith, my faith, so many faiths. i'm hearing it from fiscal conservatives who are saying how can this country blast a $2 trillion hole in the budget all to give corporations even greater profits when they're already at an 85-year high? i'm so proud of people on both

sides of the aisle. i just got off a show with the outgoing governor of ohio. we were in the greenroom. i wish that was filmed, a democratic republican talk about real oigs thissues that matter. it is a moral moment in our country. it should be driving all of us. we are here where we are now because of millions of acts of personal grace extended to other americans. the kindness, decency and love that drove the civil rights movement which ultimately changed washington, drove the protests that ultimately changed our policies. it came from personal acts of grace from individual americans doing individual citizenship but their acts of grace towards other americans and towards voting, getting out there and taking responsibility for their democracy. >> well, we'll know tomorrow, senator, which message wins, who

the people deliver the mandate to, and then the question will be what is done with that mandate, and we'll be in on it every day. >> i haven't had a chance to say this to you at a time when you and others are being singled out as enemy of the people, you have not flinched, have not filtered, calling balls and strikes in a way this democracy needs. what's different with us than russia, than turkey, we have a vibrant media no matter how much a president wants to attack our bill of rights, important enough to talk about freedom of speech, freedom of press. you guys here at cnn have stood strong, and i'm grateful to you in particular. i just wanted to put that forward. >> thank you, senator. although that will allow you no favor with me. >> i know it won't. i know in future shows you'll be kicking my tail. >> i appreciate you saying it. that's why the motto of the show is let's get after it, because

that's where we are. >> thank you. all right, so the president has said many, many times that his base should consider any vote in the mid-term a vote for him because he is is effectively on the ballot. why am i saying it so deliberately? because when the house became a distinct possibility of a loss for the gop, all of a sudden the president wept like this, i'm not really on the about, it's not about me. candidates on the ballot don't have that luxury and we have the races to watch. next. this is your home. the best home to be in is your own. home instead offers personalized in-home services for your loved ones. home instead senior care. to us, it's personal.

home instead senior care. we can't do it. i'm telling you. it can't be done! we are doing it. it's a done deal. for $40, t-mobile is offering unlimited, and the awesome iphone xr for every line. wah! so, they get the new iphone xr and the plan for $40 bucks. ah! the new iphone xr! that's bananas! what's with the monkey head, fred? where's your memoji? my kid's been playing with my iphone, little monkey.

we're all under one roof now. congratulations. thank you. how many kids? my two. his three. along with two dogs and jake, our new parrot. that is quite the family. quite a lot of colleges to pay for though. a lot of colleges. you get any financial advice? yeah, but i'm pretty sure it's the same plan they sold me before. well your situation's totally changed now. right, right. how 'bout a plan that works for 5 kids, 2 dogs and jake over here? that would be great. that would be great. that okay with you, jake? get a portfolio that works for you now and as your needs change from td ameritrade investment management. from capital one.nd i switched to the spark cash card i earn unlimited 2% cash back on everything i buy. and last year, i earned $36,000 in cash back. which i used to offer health insurance to my employees. what's in your wallet?

but the key is you have to go out to vote. because in a sense i am on the ticket. the contrast in this election could not be more clear. democrats produce mobs, republicans produce jobs. >> jobs versus mobs. it rhymes but it's in keeping with everything else the president says, he's pushing fear and loathing and hoping that that works. that that fear motivation brings his base out to the poll. let's bring in phil mattingly.

he's the man of the moment up at the mats. now historically we know in terms of context a president gets beaten up in his first term. that's not unusual. however we've never seen a president at the rating he has especially with the economy he has. >> you look at this map and see 135 districts and this can't all be about the president. but history will show a correlation. on this one you have 41%. over here you have 43%, a combination of poll or polls from a lot of major news organizations. these are low. you're saying, look, president trump has been bouncing between the low 40s and mid-40s throughout the course of his the tire term. what does this mean? look at these ratings back through the last couple of decades. when you look at a president who has a wipeout or a bad mid-term look at it correlation of it

ratings. 2010 president obama lost 63 seats. his approval rating about 46%, right around where president trump is, a couple points higher. bill clinton 53%. pretty much every president you're seeing here. >> 2010, with reagan, bad economy, bad economy, that's the outlier here. president trump doesn't have a bad economy but his numbers are sitting at or lower than those rates. that's the new metric. >> and look at the tools. these are pieces of the puzzle you're trying to put together. but i think the important thing to note is historically as you noted mid-terms for a president not a great year. when you're sitting around 42, 43% that a bad for your party, no question about it. >> you'll have to see tomorrow, we'll have to see the fool

throu follow through. but on this point it does seem just based on the fundamentals the president is his own problem. because the economy is where it should be, nobody, thank god, is hurting us. we're not about to be in a conflict. so what are you looking at now. >> the reason you point to a correlation is what this actually does for the map. if you talk about the 23 seats democrats need to pick up, that magic number, there's 25 districts in 2016 where hillary clinton won districts where republicans are currently sitting in those seats. there's a road map there for democrats to basically secure a majority on that alone. why the approval matters and why a lot of people working on these campaigns feel good about things with president trump's rating starting to tick up and starting to feel bad it's ticking back down is right here. this is somebody who won his race in 2016 by 19 points. president trump won this district by 5 points. when you talk to republicans

their concern are not about those clinton districts, but it's about whether democrats have the opportunity to expand the map. if democrats pick up this seat, and he should win this race, but it be closing quickly according to sources from both parties, that is major concern for them. continue to move over here to kentucky where you have another race. a lot of opeople have been talking about the kentucky sixth district, this is another one. andy barrr ran in 2016. if the president's approval ratings are low the correlation there are maybe his supporters don't come out and vote. maybe some in the suburban areas decide to vote for amy mcgrath, the democratic challenger. these are triggers for how the night's going to go for democrats. you look at virginia 7, dave brat is as conservative as you could possibly get. if those voters because

president trump's approval rating is low, come out more than the rural area voters because perhaps they're not as enthused as they were before, that's a problem for dave brat. these are races democrats have gotten nervous about because the president's approval rating has been been sitting in the 46 territory. >> it'll be interesting to see if it's a watershed moment in a state like illinois where you were. presidential cycles recently it's been getting more and more blue. however, the state itself and if i'm not wrong but the southern part and eastern part is actually red. and trump did better there. sometimes you have to look at a state and see what's happening internally on its local level and congressional level because sometimes it's at odds with how it goes in the presidency. that state is one to watch. >> it's interesting you talk about the president's approval

rating and the southern part of the state as you noted is more republican. i will tell you also keeping an eye on the governor's race. top of the ticket. you're going to hear in a lot of states like the illinois governor's race like randy holcombe's district could be in trouble. >> you've got your head working, brother. we'll be together doing heavy hours tomorrow. i couldn't have a better wing man. all right, if the house does flip, okay, and the gop keeps control of the senate even with its filibuster burden, what does that mean? what do the democrats really gain? what can they really do? let's do some analysis looking forward on that. next. to your goals and needs. some only call when they have something to sell. fisher calls regularly so you stay informed. and while some advisors are happy to earn commissions whether you do well or not. fisher investments fees

are structured so we do better when you do better. maybe that's why most of our clients come from other money managers. fisher investments. clearly better money management.

"look what she's accomplished... she authored the ban on assault weapons... pushed the desert protection act through congress, and steered billions of federal dollars to california projects such as subway construction and wildfire restoration." "she... played an important role in fighting off

...trump's efforts to kill the affordable care act." california news papers endorse dianne feinstein for us senate. california values senator dianne feinstein this is the first official coverage of election day, right, because we're past midnight here in washington, d.c. you're going to have the polls opening in about five hours. the democrats want to take over the house of representatives. tom perez, the chair of the dnc said to me earlier tonight on "cuomo primetime," he believes they're going to shock the world and take the senate, too.

in the cnn poll it says they have a double digit lead, but who knows what that's worth. it's all on you and whether or not you go out and vote today. the mid-terms are especially sensitive in terms of whose base comes out and how much and where. so there's a lot to be discussed here. i've got a great panel for you. i said before the break just one thing. let's assume, all right, rememb remember, if the democrats get the house but they don't get the senate, what do you think they use the mandate for, what are the first couple of things, brian, you think we see in the first three months? >> i think you're going to see oversight where you haven't seen oversight before. >> what does that mean? does that mean hearings on trump? >> i think hearings on a number of things. hearing on ep arb wrng you'a, h

spending -- >> how do they make it look like it's not pay back? >> that's a risk at the point in time, but it is going to be pay back. >> that's a risk. we're so tired of it, right, the american people are so tired of the acrimony. we give you this mandate and now it's redoubling efforts. i know some on the left would like that. >> and some democrats believe this is why they're getting elected in this election to have that oversight and checks and balances. that's the argument nancy pelosi is pushing. oversight and checks and balances on the president is something he has been pushing in this election. but you asked what are things they could do, certainly the president thinks there's infrastructure, some bipartisan effort that could be made on infrastructure. today he seemed to suggest there could potentially be a bipartisan deal on immigration.

we obviously haven't seen that happen yet. but that's an area where the president has suggested we keep looking. >> as he came on the south lawn he hedged his bet both ways. he came out and said, look, did see about me, but he came out two days ago on sunday and said, look, this isn't about me at all. it's about the republicans and like it was going to be bad -- >> that's him, though. that's what he's done with immigration. and david, if we look at, you have to consider if it democrats get the house and they go right into oversight mode, which is generous term for it, that's a lilt bit of a dicy proposition for them, yes or no? >> they don't want to go -- at least the leaders of the party don't want to go as far as impeachment. what they want is to flip those committee chairmanships, to do that oversight. so chairman nunez becomes

chairman schiff and now they can investigate these queries into the white house, the president's inner circle a little further than the white house has gone. and not a lot is going to get done because there's a republican president and potentially, let's not get ahead of ourselves, a divided congress. but if democrats have the house, it'll be like they have a goalie to block a republican congress from doing anything. >> i see two dynamics you've got to be careful about. one is the tea party dynamic happening. they get the house but now their party has its own kind of curve going to it. and there are those on the left -- i don't believe there's a real get rid of i.c.e. movement. i know people have said it. i don't think that's the kind of thing when you get it you're going to spearhead once you see the push back. the second thing is on the positive side, the president seems to have an unusual amount of leverage, fransesca in the

senate. if there's something about him that works for them maybe he could cut a deal with democrats where he says, listen, you have to help me, we don't want to pull the families apart. give me that, i'll give you dock, let's do a one off. >> and you mentioned senator lindsey graham. he's been someone who's bane able to cross that divide. but at the same time the president has had the senate, lindsey graham and others already and he wasn't able to get it done. so the question is whether he could do it with democrats in charge of the house even if republicans keep the senate. we could be looking at infrastructure week every single week for the next year. >> that would be the real test for this president. if he loses the house, and i think donald trump has made his

case to the american people of being a deal maker, let's see what kind of deal maker he is if he does lose the house. i don't think that he's too sworn to any particular thought process, so i don't think he's going to be committed to the far right. >> not burdened by conviction, i'll give you that. >> he's not a deep policy thinker and he's ideologically flexible. it's not in the president's interest politically in terms of his base in looking like he's too cozy with the democrats. it's not in the democrat's interest to look like all of a sudden they're playing comfortable ball with -- >> and they opposed my agenda every step of the way -- >> and that's why some say this is better for him. >> make no mistake about it, the president is addicted to noise. whether you like him or you don't like him the reason why he's out talking about

immigration instead of his successes in the economy is because he's addicted to the noise level. so that's thought going to change no matter who wins, democrats or republicans. >> i'll tell you what, brian, i hear you. and i've taken your counsel on this before, but i've never seen -- for "cuomo primetime," i think there's three things i've never seen before that i saw today. one is -- well, i've never seen the media block out an ad. now, cnn did it first. we wouldn't run the racist ad the president put out, the new willie horton ad. we wouldn't take money for it, wouldn't run it. i've never seen the media back off this close to an election that way. i've never seen a president and party -- strong ad vote republican with the woman looking at her kid, i thought was a good sophisticated ad, but

he doesn't like it, doesn't want to go that way. never seen that. and the president says he has regrets. he said i regret my tone. >> to be fair, he did say in the first six months when fox first interviewed him, they asked him what he had done well and not done well. he said almost the same thing but not with regret. he said he gave himself a c in communication. >> he's covering all his bases. he wants to tell one audience i understand the tone is big picture here, but he's closed out with fear and division leaving optimism and unity to the democrats. you saw that with president obama last night. but president trump is most comfortable with being divisive and he likes immigration. he won on it in 2016, and i think he thinks until he loses on it he's going to stay. >> he likes the emotional feel of a franchise.

let's play this sound today because if you believe he's going to have regrets because of his tone that can't be true and what you're about to hear. listen to the sound bite of him talking about the ad and what he thinks he knows about the ad and what's going on with his racist ad. >> is there anything as you look back on your first two years that you regret that you could take back and redo? >> well, there would be certain things. i'm not sure i'd review all of them, but i would say tone. i would like to have a much softer tone. i feel to a certain extent i have no choice, but maybe i do. and maybe i could have been softer from that standpoint. >> hold on a second. we talked about this, but this is what i wanted to say, i'll role play it out for you. they're asking about the controversy surrounding the ad, which is no secret to anybody. i don't know about it, i mean you're telling me something i don't know about. we have a lot of ads, and they certainly are effective based on

the numbers we're seeing. but mr. president, a lot of folks have said the ad was offensive. well a well, a lot of things are offensive. your questions are offensive a lot of the time. and then when told that bigoted ad you put out there, people won't run it anymore, including the mothership. >> he's got to be aware there's a controversy surrounding the ad. well, i think that he does believe that immigration is an effective closing argument for him. his whole entire point was to get republican voters so ginned up they would come out and vote in very large numbers. not necessarily republicans, people who supported him in the last election. and this is all about turnout in this election. it is about getting all those of people to come, getting them out in large numbers. >> well, that's the bet.

but his party was telling him, paul ryan, quiet paul as i call him, go for the economy, go with what we've done, our standing around the world, and he didn't want to do this. it'll be interesting to see if they lose the house and some say he was driving them against me. let's see. let's take a break. i want to take another block with these guys. you're that good. here in the first coverage of election day stay with cnn, and we're going to talk about what is motivating the turnout we're going to see today. the president made a big bet, maybe the biggest we've seen in his time as president. what he put on you guys banking on turnout today is a big gamble. we'll tell you why next. mm-hmm. yeah, and when you move in, geico could help you save on renters' insurance! man 1: (behind wall) yep, geico helped me with renters insurance, too! um... the walls seem a bit thin... man 2: (behind wall) they are! and craig practices the accordion every night!

says the guy who sings karaoke by himself. i'm a very shy singer. you're tone deaf! ehh... should we move on to the next one? it's a great building! you'll love it here! we have mixers every thursday. geico®. it's easy to switch and save on homeowners and renters insurance. geico®. it's easy to switch and save booking a flight doesn't have to be expensive. just go to priceline. it's the best place to book a flight a few days before my trip and still save up to 40%. just tap and go... for the best savings on flights, go to priceline.

on your wild west vacation... guarantee you'll find gold but we can guarantee the best price on that thar rental cabin or any hotel, home, boat, yurt, whatever. ♪ just don't get carried away with the wild west thing. hey guys. get the best price on homes, hotels and so much more. booking.com, booking.yeah is our baby. and like any baby, it's loud, stressful and draining. and we love it. i refuse to let migraine keep me from saying... "i am here." aimovig, a preventive treatment

for migraine in adults, reduces the number of monthly migraine days. for some, that number can be cut in half or more. the most common side effects are pain, redness or swelling at the injection site and constipation. talk to your doctor about aimovig. and be there more. first, it continues to pay paramedics while we're on break. second, it ensures the closest ambulance can respond if you call 9-1-1. vote yes on 11. gavin newsom has lived the rich made him powerful. but he's done nothing to help us. every day i work harder. rent, food, and gas prices climb. poverty, homelessness-- gavin admits it. we created-- it happened on our watch.

what you see out there on the streets and sidewalk happened on our watch. now he says he'll have courage, for a change, but gavin's had his chance for eight years, and he never lifted a finger. it's time for someone new. john cox, governor. proposition 11 "proposition 11 is a vote to protect patient safety." it ensures the closest ambulance remains on-call during paid breaks "so that they can respond immediately when needed." vote yes on 11. so phil mattingly was showing you before how historically we haven't seen a president where president trump is in the opinion polls right now given the economy he's benefitting from. and that has to lead to an assumption the president is his

own problem. now, the president he's got a good gut for what will get people going, certainly in his own base. and he has been saying it to anybody who will listen within his own ranks it's got to be immigration. so then the day before the mid-terms their biggest ad, the new will ae horton ad, a really disgusting ad, nbc and fox -- fox decides can't run it anymore it's a racist anti-immigration commercial. and even though it comes from the trump campaign, even though it was late last week, even though it was, you know, so close, we're not going to run it anymore. that is unheard of it, and it does race the specter of did he place too big of a bet on hate and fear? now i could be having a nice big

meal of crow tomorrow night, maybe a few hours from now on wednesday morning where their base comes out, performs and overperforms and trump becomes another anomaly where even though he's low in the polls, even though this is his first mid-term thing and he's supposed to lose some seats, they don't so what happens? >> in talking to supporters at the president's rally i think you did hit on an important point, that the people in those audiences do see he is correct on immigration, and they are in lock step with him on some of these issues. before even gets up at rallies and says certain things he'll be saying to the reporters in the crowd before he gets on stage. for instance when we were in west virginia the other day, before he ever started talking about the kavanaugh situation i was asking them what's your problem with joe manchin, and they said i don't really have one with joe manchin, but it's

just he's not for the president. the president gets up there and essentially says that. so he's very in tune with his voters and what they're looking for in this election, i think it's important to keep in mind -- >> it's 7 out of 10 republicans say immigration is at the top of their chart. you can play chicken and egg with that, but either way trump is hitting on what they want to hear most. >> and that's why they have the expression, this is why they play the games, right? even though in the new cnn ssrs democrats have a nice generic lead in the congressional ballot even though president trump in the cnn poll has dipped back to the 30s in the approval, if you look at approval in the polling averages he's about where he was on inauguration day. he's held onto his base, those west virginia voters francesca was talking about, and he's going to ride them and on the fact the democrat's coalition

has not performed well in 2010 and even in the presidential in 2016. that's what the republicans are counting on. >> there's two points to make. he is appealing to a base that appears to be shrinking. but the louder he dpegets, the e he's trying to whip them into a frenzy to vote. the democrats, while there are more registered democrats than republicans in the country, the bottom line is if he whips his group into a fervor, if the voter turnout is lower than everyone thinks it's going to be in -- look, this is still a mid-term election. i guarantee you we still won't see 50% of the voters. >> that's a huge number. we usually see about 30%. >> right somewhere between 30% and 40%, but that doesn't mean anything. the early voting is bigger, but that means they won't show up to vote on the day of election. so those really don't mean anything. but the second point and really to the point that the president is doing, larry speaks and i hit this all the time because it's

very important, don't tell us how to stage the news and we won't tell you how to cover it, and trump has taken that a step further. what trump is saying is we'll stage the news, tell you how to cover it, and i'm going to come on the south lawn and deny what i said to begin with and now you're going to cover it the new way i want you to cover it. and there are people buying it, and they vote. and that's what he's counting on and that's what he's banking on. and that's the frightening part for us in this business to have to fight that back and push back at that. i can't tell you the times he's come out just in the last week and said you all don't talk about the economy. and i said that's not true, mr. president, we report on it all the time. >> he told his own party, his own audience it was boring. what do you hear from some people in the leadership of that party, which is, you know, because he's not burdened by

conviction, which is the polite way of saying it, that if we lose the house and the democrats have it, you will see a different trump. not a not ghoeg to call you fake news, not going to chase you away, but that he needs to make deals because now he'll feel threatened, he'll feel weak and he will not want to be in that position and he'll say to republicans you bunch of dopes, let me go get something done. what do you think of that analysis? >> we were having a nice conversation earlier at times in his presidency he's had meetings where he invites the press in to see it deal making, the sausage making that had to happen. and he said things to diane feinstein about let's take a look at those gun restricts you want to put in. why don't you come back with something on tat, and of course the next day we see him really pull back -- we've seen this on several issues where it's originally presented to him he's

been open to those ideas and seemingly after hearing from conservatives or other people who disagree with that in the party, then he pulls back on those things. >> that's true. if he has the house, he's able to do that with impunity. if he doesn't have the house, he cannot do it with impunity. but to francesca's point, that doesn't mean the leopard is going to change its spots. >> but the leopard want to eat, david. >> the two sides of president trump on the one hand he wants to be seen as this tough take no prisoner zero-sum guy. but on the other hand he likes that image of who's your daddy, i'm going to take care of everybody. it's going to be great for everybody. you get issues like gun or health care where he both wants to say we're going to repeal and replace obamacare. he also wants to say i'm going to cover everybody. and he can't satisfy both sides and square that circle because you either repeal and replace obamacare and you satisfy republicans or you do something to make a deal with democrats

that alienates his base. >> he can repeal obamacare, reinstitute a version of obamacare and just rebrand that. >> he's trying to do it on nuclear deals -- >> a list of accomplishments to run on 2020, he there's a democratic house and republican senate. which would be he either wants to make deals and get something done. to be able to add to the legacy and run on in 2020. or run on resist approximate obstruct for another two years and only he can make that decision. >> he'll run both ways. it's donald trump. >> he's going to say whatever he needs to say. however he says it. depending on the audience. he'll come out for example that's what he did on the last two days. he said softer, gentler nation. smooch smooch. he goes to the rally and says enemy of the people. >> i'm tired of it.

let's say he wins the house. how huge a blow is it for the democrats sm. >> it's huge. in the immediate next congress they have the same lack of leverage. they don't control committee chairmanships. in either house. the president can get the bills passed through with his own party. with a limited amount of issues. the other thing is that democrats looking towards 2020 have to say wait a second. we have been planning on having this as ron brownstein says the coalition come out. focus op white women with college degrees. voters of color younger voters. if they can't get the house bag for democrats. which it could happen. there's a bigger picture there. >> if the democrats don't win the house, we have done my newspaper have done a lot of polling. people come to me and say look,

does my vote count? yeah in montgomery county a guy won by 79 votes and another guy won by one vote. your vote does count. with young voters if the democrats don't win back the house a will the of young voters will think they have no voice in the government. that's the larger picture. >> i hear you. we want people to get out there. >> if the president let's say republicans win the house and do win the senate. you can find yourself in a similar situation. as it is currently. dh is with 51 votes in the senate it will will be hard to push forward the agenda. which is what he's been doing this entire time. saying i need to expand my majority. it hasn't been keep the majority. it was expand the majority. in order to push his agenda and

will that happen in the united states senate. we don't know. >> to have the first panel of the election day. be as good as this. we are off to a good start. in having the right vibe. and getting everybody moving towards progress. thank you very much. good to have you three. the analysis is the easy part. it's predicated on whether or not you decide to take control back sot system. here's the irony. you don't think you need to vote because it's about special interest and the money. the reason it is is because politicians act out of fear of consequence. not conscious. and if they don't think they have to worry about the many, they will worry about the few. so when we come back we'll talk about turn out. stay with us. stead caregiver, for everything that i give, i get so much in return. join our family of home instead caregivers and help make a world of difference. home instead senior care. apply today.

from capital one.nd i switched to the spark cash card i earn unlimited 2% cash back on everything i buy. and last year, i earned $36,000 in cash back. which i used to offer health insurance to my employees. what's in your wallet?

what do you look for i want free access to research. yep, td ameritrade's got that. free access to every platform. yeah, that too. i don't want any trade minimums. yeah, i totally agree, they don't have any of those. i want to know what i'm paying upfront. yes, absolutely. do you just say yes to everything? hm. well i say no to kale. mm. yeah, they say if you blanch it it's better, but that seems like a lot of work. no hidden fees. no platform fees. no trade minimums. and yes, it's all at one low price. td ameritrade. ♪

all right. you noeever want to say never. the president is expressing regret. in the hours right before the polls open. here's what happened. he was willing to admit that he had a regret about his tone. listen to what he said. >> is there anything as you look back at the first almost two years that you regret. and wish on you that you could take back and redo? >> well there would be certain things. i'm not sure i want to reveal all of them. i would say tone. iltd like to have a much softer tone. i feel to a certain extent i have no choice. maybe i do. maybe i could have been softer.

>> you have to put it in context. the president insisted he has already toned down his tone. in the last few weeks. let's bring in d lemon. >> that was me going oh my gosh. it would be weird if they thought it was me. two voices at once. i'm big into redemption and forgiveness. i think people change. i haven't seen proof the president toned down his rhetoric. we had the new willy who ton ad. >> no. no, of course. he thinks it will win over votes. a similar question i posed earlier. he says maybe it will get him seven more votes. he said he was going to i'm going to be so boring when i'm the president. he didn't do that. he said he wanted to have a softer tone or even keel tone. however you put it. after the synagogue shooting.

didn't happen. why would he say it now looking back? that's the thing you say when you think you're going to lose something or it's all over. >> it's certainly different. the president -- that was the real trump in the beginning. he said i have regrets i won't tell them all to you. he is not one to be quick to show weakness. about things and i wonder if it is a nod to his feeling that the reality is this could go either way. he could lose control of the house. it would be on him. >> i'm sure. also dmends on your definition of weakness. for most people tell you, that weakness is never looking back over things and having regret. and figuring out what you could have done better. what you shouldn't have done. that's a strength. and for in his definition i think his definition of weakness is to never have regrets. never say sorry. never let them see you cry.

or that sort of thing. or show emotion. i want to portray myself as strong all the time. that's an odd thing for most people. what is the insecurity? what insecurity is he trying to hide. he can't allow himself to be a human being. >> he's in the right place. and the right business for not wanting to reveal insecurity. in politics you don't get a lot of reward for revealing flaws. you get beaten over the head with them. he has a great gut for how things will be covered. 2016 was battle of people. and personality. it was clinton vs. trump. who people wanted more or less. less. in the election. >> unfavor blt. >> now, it's about ideas. it's about how do you want this to be? the presiden