tv Election Night in America CNN November 6, 2018 11:00pm-12:00am PST
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welcome to our continuing coverage of election night. some really big headlines tonight. the democrats have regained control of the house. you have the republicans extending their lead in the senate. how much on either side? we don't know. i'll take you through one at a time. on the house side, if we put out the numbers, we're 209-195 right there. the most important number is the one at the bottom of the screen. 31 seats remain, okay? and those are mostly out west. some of the races are just too close to call. we'll be staying on them. what could that ultimately mean? you can see the democrats up another 15, 16 seats. what do you want to call the wave? what do you want to call the red wall on the senate side? a lot of that is semantics and political spin. the reality is the picture of this country is pretty clear. we have divergent groups. that's the headline not to be cynic cynical. it's just the reality. on the senate side, we're watching some seats, they've
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been tricky. up in montana you have such a beautiful explanation of what's going on in the country there. jon tester, okay. he is a democrat but he is one of them. that's the pitch he has been making. you've had the president go there thumping on him, and it seems to be paying off. very close. you have 4 3 democrat seat, 51 republican. what is the big takeaway from this with six seats remaining? the republicans aren't going to have to worry about confirmation battles anymore. they're not going to have to worry about the moderates of a collins and murkowski anymore. they're going to have the numbers. but right now we want to keep our sharp focus on two things. what we know for sure, wow did women make big difference for democrats tonight. literally, when we look at the seats that they've picked up so far, all of them are women that have made a difference. now, their ages, their dispositions, their types of politics, these are going to be questions going forward for the democratic party, to see what they'll be about, and whoa their leadership will be. that's what we know for sure. what we don't know is what's going to happen in the senate
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races. dana has been tracking those for us. now we'll talk about all of them, but we're keeping an eye on nevada right now. we're starting to get some results that are intriguing. >> that's right. one of the reasons that nevada is so interesting and has been, it's the only competitive senate seat where hillary clinton won. we're talking about republican and trump turf. this is dean heller, the incumbent run republican is up. jacky rosen, the democratic challenger is trailing at this point, 43.5%. but we only have a quarter of the vote in, a little bit less. so we're certainly going to keep watching. montana. this is a democratic incumbent seat, but matt rosendale, a republican challenger is ahead by a little bit more than 1 percentage point. jon tester, the incumbent democrat is trailing. we're going to continue to watch that as those numbers are so incredibly close. just about 2,000 votes separating them. arizona, martha mcsally is
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trying to keep this in gop hands. she is ahead just barely, a little more than 1%. but she is ahead against kirsten sinema, the democratic candidate in arizona. now let's look at florida. it is incredibly close. the votes are almost all. in rick scott is ahead. we are waiting to see a little bit more because there is -- florida, we've had some issues in florida with these races being so incredibly close. so we're waiting to see what happens there. also want to go up north to maine. maine is an interesting state you. mentioned this earlier, chris. angus king, he is the incumbent. he is an independent. he caucuses with the democrats. he is well ahead. but we're waiting the see how the rest of the votes come in tonight, because we have about a quarter of the votes in the state of maine. >> and that one can get complica complicated, because if they don't meet their threshold amount, then you have the whole kind of cutting off the last one, and you have an automatic
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recount, a retabulation. so that could be a little bit of a protracted process. let's talk about arizona and nevada, just in a little bit of a broader context. we were talking about this in the break. the president has been shy in those two areas. a little bit of context on why, though. nevada, part of the story there is change in the complexion of the state, change in the political disposition of the state. before '92, it would go red in presidential elections. since then, about five of the last seven cycles, democrats have won. however, the emerging entity there, kaitlan, latino voter, 18%. that's a big chunk in that part of the country. they went big for obama. not for clinton. she didn't win as many. but it was still enough of a threat profile for them to make certain decisions on the republican side. what do we know? >> well, the president's big campaign blitz was the last two weeks. those were also the two weeks that the president was pushing that hard line anti-immigration message, and we were told by gop sources that they did not want president trump to come to
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nevada or to arizona these last two weeks. that's why we saw him repeating states, going to ohio multiple times, going to florida multiple times, going to missouri multiple times. they didn't want him coming out there because they didn't think he would be helpful. now if we come to the on the other hand this night ha and this didn't go his way, you have to wonder if that was the right decision. the white house pushed back on that. donald trump's son was out there. but having donald trump jr. there and having president trump there with this message about the caravan that is his constant message during any of his campaign speeches is a very different message to voters. you have to look and see. and president trump may feel that he didn't make the right decision by not going out there. >> well, one thing we know for sure is the president is not going to come out and it's not on him. we're not going to hear that if they lose in nevada. let's go over to john king. it matters. obama won 70%, 70 of the latino vote. hillary clinton won 60%. that's a nice chunk of it, but it's not what he got. it creates a potential
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opportunity for democrats. when i look at those numbers, i say where is the optimism. you see it a little different? >> you look at this map right now, and actually, this could be the one bright spot for the democrats tonight when it comes to the united states senate. they haven't flipped any republican seats yet. now you're looking at dean heller is ahead. 23% are in. what are you talking about? this is washoe county, the western part of the state. jacky rosen winning 51%, it's 100%. in let's go back in time. dean heller in 2012 wins w s ith 50%. this comes out to the full state, just barely wins, because clark county, this is your latino vote. this is vegas. this is the suburbs. this is your democratic base. dean heller loses by 9 points, and clark county in 2012, but has a narrow victory because he wins everywhere else. let's go back to where we are right now. jacky rosen, number one, winning washoe. i saw dean heller. i was in nevada last week. he thought he was going win, but he acknowledged he had a problem
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here. they were resources for turnout. last week of the campaign, you have a list. we have to get to this number. you know if you're short. >> who live there's? what do we know than? >> reno down here, number one, jund some suburbs around reno. this gets very rural out here. this is republican territory. but democrats think they have an opportunity down here, hard to call reno urban, but for nevada purposes, you do have more suburban area. and you have growth, growth and new voters. you the democrat leading in washoe by 6 point, 100% in, 7 points, 100% in. you come down to carson city and bring this out here, heller is winning, right. but you go back to his race six years ago, not by as much. not by as much. in the red republican areas, he's got to run it up. you got to run it up huge. you see all this? you see it? >> yeah. >> he just barely won because he runs it up here to overcome this. now let's come back to where we are tonight. well don't have anything from clark county tonight.
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so that jacky rosen is winning washoe, and winning it with a decent margin. dean heller now has to defy the laws of mathematics, gravity, and political trends in nevada, and somehow, somehow compete. you can't lose clark county by 10 points. can he get closer this year? you have to wait. if you look at this map, it's not over. we're still counting. but any republican in nevada, in the west will tell you that that is blue is a very, very bad sign for dean heller. >> one of the things we know went over in the last block, but let's refresh everybody on it right now is montana. this is a big metaphor fight in this. president trump went after jon tester. doesn't like jon tester. john tester is popular there. and he says look, the president may not like me, but i'm one of you, very tight race. what are we seeing now? >> the president is looking at this senate map tonight, and he loves this. he loves this. he loves this. he loves this. he is dancing over this. if it holds. remember, jon tester was the
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senator, the democratic senator who called dr. kaentd man. dr. jackson is still under investigation. republicans were not ready to confirm dr. jackson. but the president, because tester was out in the lead, taking it personally. so he has been out here four times. his son has been out there. this is a big deal. tester led early on. you capitalize this race perfectly earl yes. tester says i'm a democrat. i'm not one of those national democrats. i'm one of you. that's his race. that's how he has survived throughout. and he has been pretty damn good at it. he tried to say this is a maryland real estate developer. this is a republican state. this is a state the president won 20 plus points. you look at the statistics now, matt rosendale ahead. you're looking at the map and saying okay, what can we find? let's just go looking through the big democratic areas by montana standards, 100% in. 100% in. so you come back out here, and you're looking at the map, 61%. so if you're tester, you're
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thinking okay, i'm winning here by ten points. here is an opportunity. let's see. we got some more votes to count. you start looking at the smaller areas if you go back to the last race, which is a close race for jon tester, which is montana, he won this big. so if you're jon tester and looking at the map, you're saying okay, i got a chance down here. but if you're matt rosendale and the republicans, you're looking in this corner, go back six years, republican wins it big. so now you're sitting in the headquarters, and you're calling. you're calling all your county people and check your list, double-check your list, what's outstanding. what's the problem? the other thing you're saying is why do we have 61% here and 100% there. and nothing here. in a close race you're, from a political family. you know what this is like at this point. who is my field guy here? where the hell is he? i can't find him. and you're calling these places trying to figure it out.
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can jon tester overcome that? yes you. talk about america changing. look at the neighborhood. this is a very hard state for a democrat. and so the democrat take answer early lead. the republican pulls ahead. the gravity tells you rosendale is happier. tester says i'm a survivor. they're making all these phone calls. let's watch. let's watch. 38% of the vote, 28% of the vote still to count in again, another very close race tonight. >> but it just shows, a guy that mei xiang may be man up wouldn't have a chance because of the reality of our politics right now. there is a diverge gent reality. if you're with chump, you're going against anybody else whether you've known them your whole life or not. there is going to be history made here. this is part of our new reality in electorates. that's something to be happy about. somebody have a first woman as a senator here. how do you think this race breaks down, 63% in? >> and two house members a the same time. oftentimes house members run statewide the first time they
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crash. but either republican or democratic house member is going to be the next senator from arizona. this has been stuck here for a long time. it just happens that some votes count faster or slower. what are you looking at here? this is your biggest basket of votes right here. it's 87% in. and if you're kerstin sinema, you're winning. this is 60% of the state. if you're a democrat, phoenix, you start moving up, this is the big test. democrats win most urban areas. it's the west. a little more republican. democrats win here. as you start moving away, start seeing the walmarts and the sam's clubs, can democrats still pull in the votes? that's too close. that doesn't mean she can't pull it out, but too close. this is more what she needs to do. but she is done. 100% of the vote is in. so you look at this margin and think okay, democrats are doing all right. there is nothing else to get. up here, more rural area of the
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state, liberal area of the state, you see here, but it's in. now you're clicking through. you just want to look at the republican areas, and you come through. most of this vote is counted. we're look at votes in maricopa county. i want to check over here to make sure i'm right about that. we're looking right here. i didn't check yuma. 98%. a little more here. pretty small. 3% of the population. okay, a couple of vote there's, but this is where we're waiting on. this is where our guys on the decision desk are calling to maricopa county saying where is it? when are we going to get it? >> when i follow you, it makes sense. and then i feel like my head is about to explode because of how much data you can put throughout very quickly. do you think it is going to stay this way? what's your guess at this point? >> let's come out to the full statewide so people at home can see it. it stayed consistently here, but we're missing 40% of the vote. >> and that's a lot? and she is tapped out, mcsally. >> no question. let's go back in time. these are both first-time
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candidates statewide. this is jeff flake's seat. six years ago in a pretty close race, come out to the full race, in a pretty close race, jeff flake carried maricopa county. >> right. >> the third candidate there by 50%, jeff flake cracks 50. martha mcsally is at 49. you're looking at the map saying where, where. if you're in the state or our guys in the decision desk, okay, this is a big count. are the votes missing. are they here? and the sinema campaign is saying all right. they're here. she does well down here as well. you have to remember her house district is in here as well. this gets complicated. but votes are all in one place. the question is where, and as we always say when we get to this time of the night, whichever county is in america, when. >> i tell you, it's complicated stuff. the numbers are all over. but you have a which of making. what have you got? >> i'm just waiting to see if clark county. >> 25%. keep an eye on. this you have john king.
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you literally can't do any better you. study for weeks, you pale in comparison to the man i'm sitting next to. all right, let's take a break. democrats take the house. we know that it's a big deal. how big of a wave? we're still waiting to see. the results in six senate races we're watching. how big of an advantage is the president's party going to hold there? what does that mean? there a lot to be decided, and we're going to do fit you stay with us tonight. >> election night in america is brought to you by grubhub. restaurants you love delivered. ( ♪ ) everybody wants a new, different, better world. here's to the people who do what it takes to build it...
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and we've got a key race alert to tell you about. it is in nevada. we want to get to cnn's phil mattingly who is at the magic wall to update us. we understand the democrats pulled ahead. >> that's exactly right. the reason why was outlined by john king. that's because the biggest county in the state has come, in and that's why jacky rosen right now up 58.8% to 45%. 47,000 votes you have want to know why? john was talking about the importance of the democratic lead right here in washoe county. that has continued to hold. that's 100% in. here is where the democrats have their firewall. regardless of what midterm or presidential, it's clark county. this sp 72% of the vote. this is the democratic stronghold. this is where democrats always run up the vote. take a look at what jackie rose seine is doing. up about 13 points, up by 60, 70,000 votes here. here is what that means just to bottom line this right now. dean heller, the incumbent
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republican senator is in big trouble. john laid it out perfectly before. if dean heller is not rung up vote or winning the vote in washoe county, where dean heller is from, where he eked out his senate election, he is in big trouble, that's still holding. 100% in. that's a done deal. republicans aren't winning there. they have a big problem when they're getting blown out here, which is exactly what jacky rosen is doing. still some time to come in. still some republican counties to come in. those two counties are looking very good for democrats. >> phil, thank you very much. scott mclane is at jacky rosen headquarters. they are watching cnn. what's happening there? give us the mood. >> hey, don. what i can tell you here is that dean heller spends his weekends in washoe county, which includes reno. they figure that that was the linchpin of her republican victory in this senate race. and right now things are not
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looking good for republicans. there are some very encouraging signs here for jacky rosen. democrats will tell you that they knew that they had to run up the score in clark county, and it seems like they're doing that. you can hear some of the energy in this room. they knew that they had to turn out women. they knew they had to turn out young people and latino voters as well. don, i can also tell you according to a democratic insider, they acknowledge that the jacky rosen campaign strategy, some of the president's talks about birthright citizenship seemed to strike a nerve among the nevada latino voters according to their internal polling, and they believe that drew a lot of voters, would-be dean heller voters to the jacky rosen camp. things are still obviously not over, but things are looking very good for democrats at this point here in nevada, don. >> i heard how interesting this would be for democrats at this point. that is all i heard from about
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the last minute that you said because they're so excited there. scott, thank you very much. i appreciate it. let's take it over to the panel. go ahead. this will be huge, right? >> this is such a fascinating stage to watch, particularly for how things could go in 2020. what he was talking about there in terms of the turnout among latino voters, how much that could have helped jacky rosen, and how unhelpful trump's rhetoric was on birthright citizenship, the caravan, sending troops to the border. these are areas where potentially you're doing permanent damage to the republican party. and nevada is such a dynamic state. you know, potentially, also tonight in nevada, we will potentially see that becoming the first state to have a majority of women in the state house. so this is clearly a place where democrats have worked hard, particularly the culinary union, for example in turning out those voters in clark county, and
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could have lermt ramifications. >> i'm glad you said that. mark, you have been raring to talk about this, what all of this means for the republican party. wins tonight in the senate, and big win, right? you have to give them that. but long-term, what does this mean? >> i think a couple things. you can't look at tonight and say there is a clear-cut winner, clear-cut loser. house republicans, winners, senate democrats, winner. i would argue the loser being that house democrats now will have subpoena power, and they will cause incredible headaches for him. but when you talk about the party structure as we're going forward, and you look at these exit poll results, and just so all our viewers know, these are live interviews that are people that are walking out of the polling place, where they're asked specific yes, and they answer them freely. this is really good data. this has got to be troubling right now if you're a republican. democrats hold a 35-point lead with voter 18 to 29.
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democrats have a lead among women a 19-point lead. these are just democrats. and if you look at minorities right now, 9 and 10, blacks are voting democrat. nearly 7 in 10, hispanics are voting democrat. if you're looking long-term 20 years down the road, the republican party is in a lot of trouble, because i do not think, i do not think the generation now is going to be the generation of their parents. >> you're looking at arizona with the neighboring state, which is a typically red, it is really close. typically, red. are you looking at a similar scenario there? >> i don't think so. >> stand by. i got to get to dana bash. she has a projection on the senate. good ahead, dana. >> don we have a projection in the state of nevada, and that is jacky rosen. the democratic challengeler now be the senator from nevada. this is the only pickup that
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democrats have had and have gotten for the entire night in the united states senate. so what does this mean when we look at the balance of power? 44 democrats right now. 51 republicans. two republican pickups there. five seats are still outstanding this evening. don? >> very much. let's get back now to jacky rosen headquarters. i'm sure they're very excited when they hear this. scott mclane is there. scott, are they even aware of this at this point? >> hey, don, they're not actually quite aware of it, but they're about to hear. this you'll hear the room go absolutely wild for jacky rosen. [ cheering ] >> there it is right now. i can tell you, don, this campaign worked very hard from the get-go. this is what they're telling us. look, they worked very hard to get out their base. they had a registration advantage from the get-go, and they needed to really turn it out, because we know that democratic voting drops off
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big-time in the midterm elections, especially in nevada. if you look out in this crowd, you'll see a lot of red t-shirts. those red t-shirts belong to members of the culinary union here, local 226. it is a massive political force in the state of nevada. we're talking 57,000 members strong. it was a political machine in this election again. jacky rosen told me that it could very well play a big role in actually ensuring a democratic victory. and it very well may have done that here tonight, don. >> all right. thank you very much. the good old delay, everyone. i got to go. election night in america proving to be really unpredictable. we'll continue to talk than, right after that break. my name is chris hughes
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all right. welcome back to our continuing election night coverage. things are happening. we just made a projection in the nevada senate race. it looks like the democrat is going to take it there. we'll stay tuned on that. the house about two dozen races out. let's check out with phil mattingly. let's start in the southeast and work our way west. >> top line first. keep in mind, the house may be called, but right now it's all about margin. >> sure. >> whoever the speaker is, does nancy pelosi have to work with? right now democrats are leading in 36 republican districts, but the vote is still outstanding. here is one surprise. and i think everybody needs to pay attention that is coming on
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line now. joe cunningham, the democrat, 407,000 votes ahead. he is right on the verge. this race came online late. talking to republicans over the last couple of weeks, they had concern about it. but the background here is important. katie arrington primaried mark sanford, the incumbent republican in that district. katie arrington beat mark sanford. katie arrington in her victory speech spoke about how this is trump's party now. she was a trump supporter. right now she is on the verge of defeat based on what we're looking at right now. why that's important for a couple of different reasons, but the primary, this is a seat democrats did not expect to have. ever every one you have, especially california still coming in. there is a number of pickups. this is a plus one democrats didn't expect to have. that's one more seat whoever the speaker is going to be that nancy pelosi is going to have. that's a big deal. >> so we have this as a projected win for the democrats. we'll talk about the dynamic
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later on as we start to go there. georgia 6 is something worth looking at right now. >> it's also worth remembering if you're talk about georgia, everybody remembers georgia 6. there are tens of millions of dollars spent in this race. democrats had a lot of high hopes and short. here is another one that came on late. karen handel was the incumbent. she won. take look at the race right now. 50-50. karen handel only up by 57 votes. lucy mcbath was considered a top tier democratic candidate, somebody that had a lot of recognition inside the party, raised a ton of money, had great back story. this became extremely close. i'll tell you, in talking to republicans and democrats, they saw this moving in this direction late in the race. it's happening right now. the big question is 57 votes ahead, where is this going from here? >> a quick thing for people watching at home. they see 100% reporting. well, that's it. this is how it ends. no. why? how does it work in terms of really putting a fine point on the race and how the ballot count willing go over the next
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18 to 24 hours. >> i think it's going to be a big question. it's one right now we leave to the decision desk. they're the experts. with 57 votes ahead, this is when lawyers get involved at some point. people, as listening as this isn't called, it's still outstanding right now. this is as close as it gets. this is atlanta suburbs. this is the types of places we've been talking about that were right for democratic pickums. a . >> in georgia, some of these races that are really close may not be count and the because of just the arithmetic, just the ballot findings. some of it is going to be protracted legal contests. certainly that's the way the governor's race seems to be handled. we'll see which way this is headed. now let's go to illinois. the 13th district. all right. this is a good one for you and it's a lesson in why we take our time here. originally we thought the democrat was going to take this, betsy london began.
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how did we get to this point? >> there was a sungs made that bet betsy this is the reality of the numbers. rodney davis 9%. 7,000 votes ahead. he is clearly in comfortable position. this is another one of the races democrats thought maybe they could pull into play. but this is also a different part of the state. we've been talking about chicago suburbs. we've seen two incumbent republicans on the their way down or already down in 000 that type of area. southern illinois is a different matter. it's a more republican area. rodney davis, when you talk to republicans said he ran a good campaign. he understood early there was going to be a threat. he is considered well liked in the district. he is going to at least this stage in time edge out this victory, even though there is a possible bet londrigan.
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they won, that lost, but they were your players on the field like we've never seen before. another interesting point, look at all this paper. this everything is that he has in his head. that's why i love being on this team. let's go to the utah fourth race and check in on that. interesting party. this is about the trump effect once again as well. we see the democrat ahead here, mia love. she was there. she had gone in with trump. now that's becoming part of the political calculus. she is in a trough race. >> mia love is trying to walk a careful line. south not a fan of president trump, if you go back to 2016. her district, she ran far above. she ran, won by 12 points. take a look at what the president did in this congressional district. barely won there was an independent candidate who was running as well. only won by seven points compared to where she was. let's go back to 2018. first and foremost, yes, there is a trump effect in utah. even though mia love tried to distance herself particularly on
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immigration issues when he made comments about haiti where her parents are immigrants from. but this is also important. candidate selection. we talked all throughout the night about democrats going out, getting candidates that could win in districts that maybe traditionally they would not. this district has toggled back and forth, but this was considered to be reliably republican to some degree. ben mcadams has won before that is a top tier candidate who has already won countywide. 97% reporting. 5,000 reports ahead. ben mcadams looks right on the verge as well. that's as much about the candidate in this race. >> good segue for that to go to california. and let's go to dana rohrabacher, who is a very controversial republican. he's seen as soft in russia. it has been controversial over the years how would he play with trump. >> he is in the race of his life. everybody knew that going on. harley raised a lot of money. there is a lot of money in this
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race. russia became a big issue over the course of the last several years. 70% reporting. razor thin margin. 820 votes ahead for harley rouda. there were a lot of pickup opportunities. there were four clear pickup opportunities in a part of the state that used to be the bastion of republican politics. mitt romney cleaned up in orange county. these republican incumbent, dana rohrabacher, three decades in the house, there is a reason they always win here. this visit fits the math of districts that have started to move heavily away from president trump over the course of the last two years. and there is a possibility that dana rohrabacher becomes a casualty of that. keep in mind, 820 rotes ahead. and ontario 70% reporting. we're still seeing the fluidity of the races still reporting out in california. >> all right. we have the california 39. why is this race important? because we could have a first here. the first korean woman to sit in the congress, period. and that would be interesting, if she wins. we're not projecting the race.
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but right now how is it going? this is ed royce's former district. young kim was a staffer when he was in congress. the top republican on the house foreign affairs committee. young kim has opened up a decent lead, 8,000 votes ahead. we talk about what democrats have done on the candidate side. this is a republican candidate that if you talk to anybody this the party, they say she a superstar. why is she a superstar? why did she raise a ton of money? this district is 33% asian. this district is not -- we talk about demographics and latino vote and all. 33% asian, young kim, the country to become the first korean house member from this area. that's important. candidates were important here. >> right. >> she has a lead right now. democrats felt good about gil cisneros, raised a ton of money and donated a bunch of money from himself, a former lottery winner. but young kim opening up lead. that's as much about the candidate as anything else. >> by gender, by ethnicity, by party, you're seeing things
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change right before your eyes. on the governor's side, we want to check in wisconsin. this has been a close race all night long. scott walker made choices where the president is involved. and the president's impact on these races can't be avoided. and if you follow the narrative, you've seen recently, when the house started to become in doubt, the president pulled away, said he is focusing on the senate. tonight the certain story for the republicans that. >> made a lead there that is going to help them in different ways going forward. the president has been putting out tweets about how it's record setting what they've done. that's a very qualified claim. it's not even worth getting into right now. but remember this. starting tomorrow, there is going to be a big discussion within the republican party about whether the president help order hurt, what phil was just telling us about what happened in utah, especially provo. there all the immigration talk hurt. in place likes nevada, where you have a big latino population, about 18% of the vote turnout there, it's going to be a big problem what he was doing for candidates. so it's going to be a big part of the narrative. now in this governor's race, it's playing out a little
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differently. but democrats do have good cause for hope here. 90% in. >> when you find an extra 25, 30,000 votes in milwaukee county that came in late, tony evers was only up by about a thousand votes for long period of time. right now tony evers up by 31,000 votes. so the question, 99% reporting, chris, where does scott walker find the vote? let'sing tole this down a little bit. 90% outstanding right now. maybe move it up to see the we can get more here. you see some red counties here. that's god to be good news for scott walker. except start going into the counties. how much vote is there? 6,000, 000 total votes. that's not going to help him much when he needs 30,000. can he cobble together 30 thousand votes plus? no, no in this county. the big counties have already come in. you have a sizable lead, but when it's the 21st biggest county in the state and you've got 95% reporting, you're not finding 30,000 votes here as well you.
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also have two democratic counties outstanding right now. is one of the bigger counties, at least compared to some of the other once. he is going to have vote coming in as well. what this 30,000 vote margin, as you scroll around and see, can scott walker find a place to win, even though he is winning handi handily, the short answer is he is in trouble right now. is the race over? clearly it's not. a 30,000 vote margin given what's outstanding right now, scott walker has problems. >> what triggers a recount? >> that's a great question. >> so let's check. in let's take a break and figure it out, because that's another thing. you look at georgia, the governor's race there. races across the country. if they're too close the call, sometimes it's going to result in an automatic recount. sometimes we're going to go to court and they're going to fight for a recount. we'll you through that as we get the developments. right now as we take a quick break week, following all the cliff-hanger races, the story is far from over. votes are coming in. we have four important senate contests that we're track.
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our job is to tell this president that we will not tolerate policies which are racist and sexist and homophobic. >> we do not lie. we do not engage in hate speech, and we do not rip children from their families at the border. >> we demand a better nation. a nation where we treat each other with dignity and with respect.
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>> in the absence of anyone giving a clear voice on the moral issues of our time, then it is up to us to voice them. >> members of the democratic resistance out on the campaign trail, giving speeches there. so the question is considering what happens with the senate, what happened with the house tonight should democrats move further left, more progressive, or should they move towards the center? which strategy works for them? >> i think you showed sherrod brown there, which i think is interesting. the senator from ohio state. donald trump won by nine points. sherrod brown, we basically called that race the second the polls closed. a real opponent, a member of congress named jim renacci. he wins overwhelmingly. i continue to -- you want a dark horse in 2020? you want somebody whose campaign people should look at and say huh, that's populism. that's in the midwest. >> sherrod brown? >> yeah.
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i think so. >> he said that himself. >> in his speech, he said we need the look to the midwest and the lessons of 2018 will be learned in 2020. he is an interesting character. very popular with labor. he doesn't get a lot of run nationally. >> yeah. >> but what did tonight tell us, right, about what democrats want in 2020? that is the big question going forward. and what we saw was an outpouring of young voters. >> uh-huh. >> minority voter, latino voters, who among the 2020 candidates can unify that coalition, bring together those millennials that did not turn out for hillary clinton and minority voters there are people like kamala harris who are going to make that case. maybe beto potentially who could run after tonight certainly. >> and i do think it's interesting to note that we're going to look at a democratic field that is going to be larger than what we saw in 2016 when we saw 17 republicans run for the republican nominee. >> okay. so we're going to see this larger field.
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we're going to see campaigning entirely different than what has been done in the past. and they're going to lock at beto o'rourke, for example, totally, and say it was not consultant driven. they're going to look at bernie sanders in 2015-2016, slightly consultant driven, but largely driven by himself. and that is what is going to change immensely in how this campaign is going to play out. >> but when we're looking at all of, this what should democrats do, i think people need to go back to the basics, look at what the base wants. people who are now being elected are people who felt left out, felt like they were on the fringe. >> right. >> you've got women. you've got teachers. you've got minorities. and i'm not even going to say they are the resistance. they're people who felt like our voices aren't heard. when it came to issues of health care, when it came to issues of being a preexisting condition, just by being a woman herself, having a c-section, that's preexisting condition. so many of us on this panel probably are preexisting, walking preexisting condition. there are so many issues
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throughout that people want tackled instead of all this hodgepodge of hate, this cauldron of racism, and anything, all the ifs that are out there. >> i don't see that change. let's ask a woman from the midwest. you take offense that democrats have lost the midwest or don't care about people in the midwest. >> i listen to the conversation about the democrats just have forgotten the midwest and they can't women as black woman from nebraska. we are poised. democrats are poised to elect a democratic governor of wisconsin, a lune governor of wisconsin, a millennial, a 31-year-old black man who is a former state rep. democrats won the governorship in michigan. i think what we're seeing -- the question is do we move to the center, do we move to the left. i don't think that's the question. the question is what are the issues that bubbled up to the top, education, our health care, our economy that works for all, are things that democrats have been talking about, but we haven't until this election that is where the base is now and where they will be with
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2020. >> beto was a different candidate than stacey abrams. >> it will be interesting to hear from a number cruncher. it seems like if not all the pick ups were by moderate democrats. maybe you think that's a fair thing to say in the house. you didn't see a lot of progressives flipping. they were winning in blue districts, but it seems like in terms of turning red to blue, these were mostly moderate democrats. >> out of the 90 candidates for the democratic congressional campaign, 72% of them deemed them progressive. they were running on things like medicare for all. i think we talk about progressive and everywhere was not running on abolish ice. >> in 2020, you already have
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kirstin gillibrand and cory booker and elizabeth warren and bernie sanders. you saw in the run up to this election, those candidates we expect to run do everything they can to not let anyone get left of them. if you are kirstin gillibrand, amy klobuchar, elizabeth warren, kamala harris and women voted by 19 or 20 points for democratic candidates and propelled them to the majority in the house. if i'm joe biden or bernie sanders, i just think the lesson we learn in this election, democratic primaries and in the house, women are powering the democratic party. >> we did that. you concerned about it? >> if you look at by race,
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remember that number of women who voted for democrats. >> the reason i'm wrong. >> didn't you just nominate a woman in 2016? >> that's a specific woman. >> but you had a president that objectified women. that's when we go back to women's issues. you had people at the table to deal with issues that deal with us. once again, the year of the woman. we moved forward and we are coming back. >> this is all part of the year of the woman. >> yes. >> if you are looking at it now and when it comes to the congress, 47% of men. 48% of men voted for democrats and 59% of men voted for a -- of
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women voted for democrats. you are not concerneded about that? that's now. that's in the rear view mirror. you have the present donald trump and all these women coming into congress which could be record numbers. you are not concerned about that? . >> we have to deal with it and i think the president's rhetoric is not helping us. i'm looking at where republicans lost in suburban communities and suburban minneapolis and new jersey and philadelphia. we held fitzpatrick's seat, but in the suburban areas, we lost largely because many women may have defected from the republican candidate. that's a real problem. democrats have a lot of problem with men. >> how do you think? >> let's do the woman problem. how do you fix that? >> tone matters a lot to women. i think that would probably be
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the best thing. i have been critical of the president. i think his rhetoric is very unhelpful. this caravan talk and birth right citizenship. they lost superb candidates and couldn't survive. he won and i tell you that rhetoric was unhelpful. we have to figure out a way to grow. inclusion, not exclusion. when the president doubles down on the base as hard as he has done, his base was about the forgotten male. the forgotten white male. whoever was along with them was that woman. maybe she was not that college
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graduated woman, but she was that woman who came with the working class man who did not have a college degree. that's where the problem is. the president has regrets. let's see how he broadens that to those who are educated. >> if anyone is telling you the nation is divided, how close it has been. many are still following. on the other side of this break. oh good, you're awake! finally. you're still here? come on, denise. we're voya! we stay with you to and through retirement... with solutions to help provide income throughout. i get that voya is with me through retirement, i'm just surprised it means in my kitchen. oh. so, that means no breakfast? i said there might be breakfast. i was really looking forward to breakfast. i know... voya. helping you to and through retirement.
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let's do the work. leave the structure, call 911, keep people away, and call pg&e right after so we can both respond out and keep the public safe. pg&e wants you to plan ahead by mapping out escape routes and preparing a go kit, in case you need to get out quickly. for more information on how to be prepared and keep your family safe, visit pge.com/safety.
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>> welcome back to our congress coverage. you are looking at them now. the democrats are in control of the house. 214, 197. 26 pick ups. the magic number started at 23. how big will the margin be? we don't know. 24 seats remain open and we are following them all in realtime. u.s. senate, a big story for the republicans. seats picked up there. two of them. 51-44. five seats remain. we are tracking them as well. a lot of headlines and a lot of take aways and a lot of spin. there is an immutable truth and i'm sitting with the right panel. bravo to the women. did they carry the democrats.
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17 races pick ups that we know of for sure, all women. >> exactly. so far, 17 of the 26 pick ups total, 17 are women. could end up being more than that. they are still out standing races where there are women on the ballot who could win. we have been talking about a record number of women from the congressional level to the microlocal level coming out by the tens of thousands saying they want to run for office and at least tonight, the snapshot is historic. >> right. it's a plus-minus. on the plus side, not just democrats. women on the republican side as well. a lot of places -- >> marcia blackburn? >> two women
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