tv Election Night in America CNN November 7, 2018 12:00am-1:00am PST
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17 races pick ups that we know of for sure, all women. >> exactly. so far, 17 of the 26 pick ups total, 17 are women. could end up being more than that. they are still out standing races where there are women on the ballot who could win. we have been talking about a record number of women from the congressional level to the microlocal level coming out by the tens of thousands saying they want to run for office and at least tonight, the snapshot is historic. >> right. it's a plus-minus. on the plus side, not just democrats. women on the republican side as well. a lot of places -- >> marcia blackburn? >> two women in races we saw
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tonight. the diversity of politics and we may see the first korean-american. republican the win. a house race we are tracking. in terms of looking at the republican picture, voter turn out. 60% of suburban college educated women went against the gop. that will be a big headline. >> the big question is what happens in the next presidential election? a lot of women who ran as democrats because of the me too movement or the election of donald trump. that comes as we were seeing they are growing and growing. those are the questions that not only shape what happens now, but going forward. president trump is saying this is a success. saying this is what's happening. all we did was lose the house. not only that, but kris kobach. they are not really wins for the president. when he wakes up in a couple of hours or he may not be asleep
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yet, he will see the front pages and it says democrats seize the house and democrats win big. he will have a hard time spinning that into a positive message. they are going to have all lost their governor races to democrats. michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania, those three are critical to why donald trump is in the white house. what does that mean going forward? >> we saw records as well. you talk about michigan. gretchen whitmer sending her to the governor's mansion. 16 women. that was a record. if you look at the way democrats have flipped the states, women were the ones who put them. in new mexico, laura kelly in
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kansas with kris kobach going down to defeat. the story of women to the extent that they did well in the house and in governor's races powered by women. >> he will have two big questions about the house. we all know that him focusing on the senate, he didn't care about the house. that's spin. that's all it is. he will have to deal with it. they will be in charge of the committees and the democrats have to make a choice. i know a lot of democrats say we have been waiting for this? have you really? there was a reason nancy pelosi department want to talk about impeachment and straight obstruction. it's not a done deal. two others.
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those are not good trends and metrics. then the issue. health care was big for the democrats. the immigration was tops for republicans. it could have hurt them in house races. that will be trump focused as well. there will be a lot of homework after this. >> even before we got the results, the republicans we were talking to were looking at crunching the numbers and sweating big time when it came to the house. we are not happy with the closing message from the white house and from senate candidates on immigration. what the republican sources were saying is we are not giving republicans these exact voters. particularly women in the suburbs. independents, a reason to vote for the republicans. we are only giving them the reason to dislike tone and
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tenor. so that the people who are hungry for the rhett meet, but not the key swing voters that race after race tonight have gone to the democrats. >> and trump in the closing hours of the campaign bringing it on stage. huckabee sanders and kellyanne conw conway. he couldn't help but play the culture warrior. he said i can't say my daughter is beautiful because you can't call your girlfriends and wives and daughters beautiful. how they move forward to try to close the gender gap. does he care? he gave the half hearted effort and he should change his tone. we will die. >> he said i have to change my tone. that then he said i want to
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unify, eventually. >> let's be optimistic. it's 3:00 in the morning in the east. he called nancy pelosi and they talked about things they can do together. nancy pelosi has so much more power. her party has so much power to investigate and do the checks and balances, but she has been aggressive about talking about common ground and infrastructure and prescription drug prices. things where they can work together. it's very easy and obvious baseded on recent history like five minutes ago to fall to the fact that there is going to be division. maybe there can be hope. >> as we saw with the call, they said why does he need to call
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her because members of her own party don't want her as a speaker. then he called her. that is a sign of what he could do with conservatives who reshaped their party to fit president trump. will they model themselves to agree with democrats on something. i think that's a big possibility. will the president regret not trying to expand his support? during this we saw him go to states he won comfortably. he didn't try to go anywhere else. when his arguments were all about the immigration and not trying to reach out to suburban women he will likely need, those are the big questions we have. >> how does nancy pelosi deal with the influx of progressives. many don't want to see her as speaker and don't want to give donald trump any ways to go into 2020. it will be a calculus how she
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works with the president and keeps that restless base of progressives who can't stand this president. how does she manage that? >> you are right about optimism. we want people to take the power back and we know a couple of things about politics. politicians fear consequence and act it out more than out of conscious. if they don't have to fear the many, they will cater to the few. one feets the other. however, what we see is also we are divergent. the reality is you look at what happened in the senate and you look at the raw votes that come out tomorrow morning and the next couple of days, when you look at how the republicans dominated rural areas with non-college educated people, i know a lot of you find that to be an insulting distribution, so do i, but that's the way they do the demographics. we will see 55, 59, 60% of the
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vote going to republicans. that's one end of policy. then the house side and where the democrats won. it's suburban, it's educated and young and ethnic. these different groups of parties are clinging and moving away. that's where we are right now. we have an update for you. are you hearing what's going on? >> we are looking at the votes coming in from florida in the senate race. the big question is why evaporate we called it? look at the margin. 50.2% to 49.8%. what i'm told this could be is recount territory. automatic recount in florida. according to florida law it is automatic recount if it is under .5%. that's where it is. it is not over. we are waiting for votes to come in. that is where this incredibly
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tight race is. i know probably people are getting hives at home when i say florida recount. that could be where we are. >> you see the number on the bottom, 99%, over the wall we go. 99% is in and we are looking for one more percent. what do you see with the counties, where that vote could be? >> not are inially what you see, but the fact that there is absentee ballots. 5.6% of the total has shifted. dana hits the key point. why haven't we called florida. our decision desk is caution and careful for a reason. there is out standing vote that could put you into recount territory. .4% separates them and that's automatic recount. the reality is so long as there is an outstanding vote and possibility of a recount, nobody is going to call the race even
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though people very muchwant them to in some cases. >> i don't know if you know, but you tell us if neither of us knows, in terms of when the absentee ballots had to be mailed in. how do they know they have absentee ballots. you know how many were requested. they had filing mechanisms. they had to be post marked by today. may may not have them. >> in the past it's taken days and as much as a week. >> you will not know tonight and may not know tomorrow. >> so long as it's within recount territory, people will be careful. we have seen things change in the past and when you -- i think that caution is merited given what we have seen coming up to this point. zoning in and keeping on the gold coast where democrats tend to bring in a lot of votes.
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>> what are about the panhandle and places hit by the storm and what it does for delayed turn out. do we know anything? >> the panhandle was -- i keep seeing if there is out standing vote. >> i love to watch. >> panhandle was going to come in like we expected. it was going to be red. to what extent. that's a good sign for rick scott. the bigger question for rick scott, we always talk about the panhand panhandle. everybody talks about the panhandle and everybody was stunned with the turn out. in places like collier county, that changed the game and you look at what rick scott is doing and what they did. opening up a 31-point margin and that will make a huge difference in the race. to pull it back, you don't get a sense of if there is out
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standing votes. as it stands, the rational for doing this, the caution is merited in past races. .4%. if it sticks, that ends up triggering an automatic recount. what we have now is with the absentee ballots and could take a couple of days to come in. it could fallout and rick scott could be the winner. that caution is merited given both the history and the number it is. >> we will keep an eye on this and not something where we figure it out in the next hour or so. you hear why. they needed to be post marked today and we will follow it similarly. the governor's contest, you see different dynamics that play out. in the house, we are figuring out who we are. that's going to tell us where we will go with the new change of power.
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steve sisolak wins. we are at five pick ups for democrats. a winner there. they can project he is the winner in nevada. the swing state. good news for democrats who had a mixed bag with governor's races so far. >> i cannot tell you how happy i am. because this gives me an opportunity to touch this. i haven't all night. 33-16. why does this matter? the simple reason is congressional districts. states decide how districts are drawn. that can be funny business. this matters. here's where we are. all right? the gold are still outstanding. wisconsin, nevada just turned blue because of the projection. we are at 20-24.
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five pick ups andics six races to go. there is only one true independent out there. alaska is out standing. he dropped out. wisconsin is walk maybe it's a matter of fatigue. no not that he has done anything wrong, but the voters are ready for someone else. if that goes in favor of the democrats, then you will be 21-24. it will be a very different board. we will keep watching the other races. some may come in and some may not. it's a big deal. it's a big deal. are there missed opportunities that will be discussed for democrats. yes, 100%. but 33-16 was a real hole. it was reflective of poor planning by democrats. the republicans had been eating their lunch for the last decade,
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putting moninto state legislative seats during the obama years. people wrote it off. they do the districts that changes the face of congress. it makes races less competitive or more to the advantage of the party draws the district. >> ron desantis is a big win for trump. in 2020, he will have a good friend in florida as he's going into the presidential race. he hand picked him against the advice of his republican friend who is said do not go here. that had a lot of heartburn and grief thinking he made a big mistake. not only that, but kansas with the embarrassing loss. people in the white house just growned about for president trump. brian kemp was someone else, but that could work out for president trump in the end. desantis will be a big win. that's know someone he hand pick and he styled himself after
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president trump and he has a good friend down in florida. >> desantis owes him. campaigning hard and getting his people down meaning the president. getting the people down to florida to help him. as we know from 18 years ago, if it's really tight in a presidential, it helps to have maybe not a brother, but somebody who is close. >> it's almost like a brother. >> he is closer to trump than his own brother, that's for you. the commercial with his kid. you can't ask for better than that. kaitlan is making a strong point. let's look at the state to play with the house and the senate. you have 218 to 198. 26 pick ups already. the huge story for the night for the democrats, women. women have owned almost all of the picks up they had. we have seen them across the
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spectrum. that's the story of the night for them. they have a lot of seats that they pick period up tonight. 19 remaining. up to the democrats. what leadership did they choose and who did they put in charge? what direction did they take? eight democrats are leading in republican districts. what will does that tell you? 218 plus eight, 226 the democrats could be looking at. not that much. once you have a majority, you have one, but the bigger the majority, the more votes you can shed on any issue and still get what you want. one republican leading in democratic districts. we will keep an eye on it. what it looks like on the map. all those numbers on the map look like what? >> you hit the top line. 36 democrats are leading in gop districts that have been called. that give them 227. i'm most interested if they
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don't call pick ups, eight democrats are leading where they can flip districts. i'm interested in the state of california. look at california. you see two blue districts lit up. going into this night, they were considered four or five or six democratic pick ups. only leading in two districts. it's interesting when you start to track down. we have been talking about orange county. this was their license district. this is what democrats expected to be in the bag. let's check in. 90% reporting. about 200 votes down. he looks like he could be in trouble and there is vote to come in. i'm more interested in the races that haven't come in. that's when you move over. mimi walters, 80% reporting. this is a democrat they thought was on the brink of getting
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bounced. katie porter raised a ton of money. mimi walters up by 7,000 votes. we talked about the district with the republican star. what we are seeing is that she is coming to fruition. i want to the move to a couple of other races. these were places where democrats were high on their candidates. steve knight, the incumbent republican in los angeles county. it katie hill. he is 68 votes ahead. the broader point is democrats thought they had pick up opportunities and star-like candidates. that might still happen. >> what are district is the 25th? >> northern l.a. county. steve knight was of a police officer and represents the district and is well-known in the district. steve knight is also a conservative. >> is it a conservative demographic. >> it's suburban, but the
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demographics are shifting heavily. you pointed this out, but this makes a similar point. this district is 40% latino. the democrats have been eying this for a long time. jeff den ham tried to figure out a solution on daca. josh harder raised $7 million. raised a ton of money and democrats thought it was a pick up they could have. still get it. def has 67 points. we knew it would be close, but democrats thought they had real opportunities and there still are real opportunities, but the fact of the matter is, these republican incumbents are holding on. you talk about what is the margin going to be with nancy pelosi or the speaker who take thats the gavel. that could bounce that up and only two of the four, five, or six have come to fruition. if you are a democrat, they say
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we won the house. cool it. the bigger point is you look at the money that went into these races and the intensity of california and the resistance with the state-wide races and more importantly, the candidates the democrats were high on. they wanted all of them to come to congress if they could. >> arizona senate. we have been watching that. very tight. two women going on a head to head. either way, you will have a good story line. you will have a first. how many votes are left? >> we haven't seen this move much. in terms of how late you want to get into the night. with the outstanding vote, maricopa has been static. there is talk that you will not get the full multis for a day or two. what i am struck by is kirstin
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cinema is winning this county. hillary clinton lost this by four points. sinema winning this is a huge deal for democrats. you have phoenix suburbs and you move down and this is republican country. republicans hold maricopa. sinema is winning this county, but losing overall. that's that has to be a concern. the interesting element is when you talk about where is the vote outstanding at this point in time. come all the way in. maricopa at 87% and everything else for the most part is tapped out. for the most part it's also -- >> there is still a lot on the board that we have to watch. >> the bottom line with arizona and montana, it's going to take a while. we have time. >> let's take a break and get yourself a beverage. we will check in with the
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collins and duncan hunter. both facing federal indictments b you they both won. >> how do you explain this? >> we are jumping out of our chair. >> for duncan hunter, this is a district that donald trump won by 15 points. so the margin that we are seeing is actually closer than a lot of people were expecting, even though it's a 60-count indictment. he and his wife were accused of misusing a quarter million dollars on the campaign credit card. charges of wire fraud, experience, his next court date is i believe december 3rd, but when i went out and talked to voters, as much as they could not stand dunk an hunter's behavior and the fact that he blamed his wife for a lot of this --
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>> he blamed his wife and opponent and everybody but himself. >> but they said a lot of the republican voters that i said i will cast a ballot for him because it's a ballot cast for donald trump. >> so what does it say? people were sort of vote are for donald trump through him? >> they will fight the charges all the way to the end, for the record. >> very simply, it's worth noting that we talk about how great democracy is and it is great and this is the greatest government on earth, but it has flaws. this is an example of a flaw. dunk an hunter reelected. 60 counts against him. chris wanted to leave because he was indicted and he couldn't and now he won. >> he has been charged with securities fraud, wire fraud,
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insider trading. >> hold is. >> we have seen indicted members of congress elected before. michael grimm. i believe william jefferson was indicted it. the ethics committee. >> and we can't connect that either. >> and he was not convicted. >> indicted. >> and believe if my memory serves me correctly, i think he won an election, as i recall. it happened before. it's happening again tonight. these districts, they were drawn to elect republicans and people always say to me, more people lose because the districts are drawn and i used to say unless you get indicted, you will win.
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the truth is even in the districts, you do get indicted, you are probably okay. >> this is why the gubernatorial race matters so much. the dga, they defended all of the incumbents and democrats picked up a lot of governor seats. when it's time for the 2020, there are real live implications for what happened beyond the house. >> you saw the map in california. who is drawing the map in california. the democratic party that drew the maps. >> gerrymandering is not unique to one side or the other. >> hold on. hold on. it's not unique to one side or the other, but you look at the studies and it's worse on the republicans. >> no, no, no. >> those are the facts. >> it is! >> democrats have to win a lot more seats.
quote
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>> narrowly! >> can we pause for a second? democrats controlled the house of representatives for 54 years. are you trying to say that democrats didn't have everything gerrymandered? >> no one said the democrats never engaged in gerrymandering, but what we see today, it is republicans that have benefitted in that. >> mallika henderson has a major projection. >> thanks, don. we have a major projection. cnn project that is the winner in that hard fought wisconsin race is the democrat, tony evers defeating scott walker who has been a top target for democrats for a number of years. he finally lost going for his third team. tony evers on top in the midwest
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state that donald trump won by a hair. this is a pick up. i will pass it off to you. >> we will talk about the race. scott walker didn't have a huge blemish. we don't even see a trump factor there. what do we explain? simple fatigue? evers didn't have a hooula attached or stardust. >> you're right. people said the race was bland. both candidates were bland especially. >> that's the word. >> you saw a debate about health care and about education. some of the cuts that scott walker made in that state, the promises he made around medicaid and you have this candidate and somebody who was able to halle a lot of those democrats who thought the defeat of scott walker for years. he was recalled in 2o 12. there was an attempt to recall
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him. most of his races, he got about 53% of the vote. yeah, they really saw a target and he was going for the third term. it was a combination of fatigue and a candidate who was just right for this day day that doesn't like a lot of flashy folks. here was this guy who was a folksy figure. >> now that you have a democrat winning as governor of wisconsin, the democratic senator winning and wisconsin was one of the huge surprise omg moments for the democrats when donald trump won there in 2016. one question is whether the democrats are coming back in wisconsin. >> wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania, trump won all of those and they all have democratic governors. >> exactly.
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that's the question. the blue wall is being built back up. >> let's look at the map. if we look at what's outstanding, we now have five races that we are looking at. four out of the five are breaking republican right now. you have in maine, we believe that's happening there. if they get that race -- i'm sorry. maine is a democrat. let's get it straight. if in maine you have a democrat leader, if that stays, that's one. in alaska, you have a republican leading, right? connecticut, that is a bit of a surprise race for right now. a republican doing well there. that state has a unique set of issues they are dealing with. they have been progressive in gun control and dealing with crime, but property taxes they are dealing with and that's something the republicans have
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been playing to. georgia, even though stacey abrams is saying they are out standing issues, you only know what you show in terms of votes left on the map. i don't know how she gets to 50% and triggers a recount. she said there are absentee and provisional ballots. i don't know if they get to a recount. i am putting it republican right now. new hampshire right now going republican. they are in the lead. what do we see in the picture? 28-22. republican advantage. heart break for democrats in some of those races, but look at what it was. 33-16. an unqualified good night for democrats. >> feeling like if they got six pick ups, that would be a good night. three would be a big prediction
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and they landed at six: they feel good with heart break over florida. heart break over ohio and they went in thinking they could win and we obviously called those the other way. big important states for 2020. they got wiped out during the obama years and this is a come back story for democrats. >> the view in the white house is they couldn't help it because the number was so large. they of course were going to lose the governorships. there was not anything else they could do. there was a sense they didn't focus enough on the governor's race. that was so crucial and longer lasting implications in the house and senate races. this is painful with the losses in kansas, pennsylvania and
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wisconsin. they were expecting florida not to go there. the white house was concerned about that this morning. that, kansas and georgia were the big concerns. michigan and pennsylvania will be painful going forward. >> georgia, we have a little bit of an update. stacey abrams has not conceded. she was rallying her troops and she said we believe there are more votes. brian kemp is the secretary of state there. i will talk about that in a second. he moved down a couple of tenths of a point. he is not at the range of 50% where it would trigger an automatic recount. for this to be continued, there will have to be something that happens with absentee ballots. they may not be there yet. if they get to 50%, the state law is that you have an automatic run off in that
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situation. that's that. brian kemp is there for governor. he is running his own election. it creates an appearance of conflict. there are layers of controversy and talk about voter suppression. there is talk about an attempt at hacking and no meat on the bones of that allegation. there has been drama and it's continuing and so will our coverage. we are seeing the picture start to change with governors. many of you online are saying is that our way of guessing who will run for president. no, it's our way of knowing who will draw the congressional districts. that has implications as we know all too well. the races still remain in the senate and the house. what will the state of play be when we wake up tomorrow morning? we don't know. stay with us. hey there people eligible for medicare.
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even when nothing else is. (brand vo) snap and sort your expenses with quickbooks and find, on average, $4,628 in tax savings. smarter business tools for the world's hardest workers. quickbooks. backing you. you cannot deny what happened with women tonight. i think it's an historic night for women. 96 women projected to win house races and 31 newly elected to the house. 65 female incumbents. that's really big. >> it is really big and there is a great stop too which has been following us as well. so far 38 women of color have been elected to house seats,
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previously the highest number serving simultaneously in the house was 34. a diverse crop of women. i think that an important point of this is in the year of me, too, how much of this was driven by women? so many of these female candidates were inspired to run by the me too movement and donald trump's rhetoric in the campaign and a lot of them won tonight. it's really going to change the conversation in washington and potentially the 2020 conversation in a big way. >> is this another way trump was on the ballot? >> president trump was definitely on the ballot when you were talking about women of color in position of office and women who voted for women of color or voted for blue this time. i talked to the naacp and particularly black women were excited to go to the polls.
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they had a snurnlg excitement for women. when you think about black women, they are rising in numbers, head of household and the breadwinner in this nation. a lot depends on them, when you have issues affect their health and home, they are going to go out and say look, we are here. this kind of goes to the stats that were just delivered. pa. >> 11 senate seats and two newly elected women joining nine female incumbents. i want to get to you. it's women across the political spectrum. mostly democratic women, but -- >> i think that's right. marcia blackburn is the first female senator from tennessee. martha mcsally is well-positioned. young kim is obviously a rising korean new member for house republicans. we did lose mia love in tonight's race.
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a haitian-american who was a republican from utah, but it is exciting to see the diversity coming to congress. congress needs it. >> also on the women front, what's interesting about the trump effect is that yes, a lot of women reacted to trump winning the presidency and wanted to run, but another thing that's interesting is this time around, more women stepped up who were not recruited. women have to be recruited and men wake up and say maybe i should be president. women don't do that. a lot of women stepped up and said i don't care if i don't have experience. i'm going to run. they saw donald trump do that. >> they talk about it being a day of firsts and historic days, this is a day of seconds. nancy pelosi is going to be the speaker of the house. if you made history in 2007, she
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is going to lead a divided democratic caucus. you may not like nancy pelosi and polling shows a lot of people don't like nancy pelosi, but she kept the democratic caucus together when 50 wanted to impeach donald trump. if they did that, democrats would not be splitting the house. >> i wrote a piece on nancy pelosi now that they are in the minority, she will step away. another piece said nancy pelosi after republicans lose after democrats lose more, she said that. now people are saying what do you think about speaker? i'm done betting against her. it's a remarkable story. it's not the historic moment of first female speaker that was she was, but you want to talk about perseverance, it's eight years. you can ask the congressman. the worst thing in the world is being the minority party in the
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house. you can't do anything. you don't get anything. in the senate you can do stuff, but she spent years grinding away proving people like me saying you should get a new generation of leadership. she raised a massive amount of money. i believe she will be speaker. you don't beat something with nothing. >> you know the saying that said the end of the world -- you should add nancy pelosi to that. >> she's a survivor. spar are she was a huge drag on the democrats who are looking good tonight. ben mcadams is the perfect example. he didn't want to get near the question about whether he would support pelosi as speaker and he's in position to defeat mia love, who we talked about. this is such an important moment for these younger democratic
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members who ran on saying it's time for fresh blood in the democratic party. new leadership like jason crowe in colorado six. saying it's time for somebody else to lead the party and that will be a fascinating discussion. >> you have to have somebody. i just don't see who it is. >> i just want to give this and this is not the opinion that everybody has, but people should be careful what they wish for. nancy pelosi has done an incredible job. maybe the most powerful speaker of the house in history. she held together a fractured caucus and the republicans have gone after him because they know how effective she is. and the caricature of her, she is nothing like what they said. she actually allows a lot of diversity within the caucus and encourages it and keeps people in line from going off on these
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tangents. >> good point. two things. in the introduce this past week when she said we are going win, she was criticized about that. remember alexandria accostia cortez. she said it's one win. it's an outliar. she keeps people in line and she's right. >> i will continue to say when we are pontificating about who will be the speaker. say what you say about nancy pelosi, but she is effective. that can raise the kind of money she has been able to raise for other candidates and keep folks together in the way she has been able to. if someone can demonstrate an ounce of that, i think they will have a pass to the speakership. i currently don't know who that person is and if that purpose exists. >> we started and i said it's a historic night. she deserves a lot of credit. she is too often vilified and
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she is always courteous and gracious. you said nancy pelosi and jim clyburn is 78 and 79 years old. >> it's about the message. >> lots of races have not been counted. there are still things out there that we don't know about. it's close and we will continue to talk about it. it's election night in america.
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we have another projection to make. we started in the governor's race 33-16 in the advantage to the gop, but that has been changing. we have another race to call. what do we know? >> in new hampshire, the incumbent is reelected here. democrats near the end of this race thought it was closing, but it didn't close. chris sununu wins in this race. >> i worked on a documentary and the governor was involved. opioids a huge problem. manchester specifically. he worked with communities and across party lines. in order to develop a program of
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diversion to deal with what's happening all over the country. it had a lot of good will to cloud over fiscal issues. he got the win and it was a tough haul. >> >> it was a tough haul. he was closing near the end, but he pulled it off partly because of things you're talking about. his response to it. yeah, republicans obviously feeling good about this, going into it nervous near the end. democrats were hopeful, but he ends up winning in this state. >> obviously a brand name. >> exactly. >> new hampshire -- his brother was senator, father was governor. >> 100%. so that is going to give us a little bit more of the picture of who gets to decide the congressional districts. that's why we're following the governors' races. who gets the district has a say over the map. let's look at how we see the state of
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