footage and home tape if they recognized this car before to figure out who is behind this shooting. >> heart breaking. nick valencia. thank you. >> inside politics with phil mattingly starts right now. welcome to a special new year's day edition of inside politics. john king is off today. we are learning more details about the american detained in russia on espionage charges. his family insisted he is not a spy for the u.s. government. meanwhile, here in washington the president has bold predictions for his haters in 2019. the incoming freshman class is handing out lessons on how to win on social media. john cornyn said he couldn't beat this throw with dan crenshaw.

the double ax three. very bold. everything and everyone is calm. enjoying the right. that's the president's hope for all of you this new year tweeting in all caps, happy new year to everyone including the haters and the fake news media. 2019 will be a fantastic year for those not suffering from trump derangement syndrome. he wraps up the tweet with this advice. calm down and enjoy the ride. great things are happening for our country. president trump is setting a few goals for 2019. the first is to remind everyone what a beautiful, winning year it's going to be. >> i just want to wish you a very, very happy new year. it's going to be a great year.

complicated, but great. i'm fighting for you. we are going to win all the way. we are going to win at everything we do. so happy new year and let's enjoy the next year and then we are going to enjoy the following year and we have four more and everything is going to be so beautiful. >> jessica dean is live from the white house. is it your sense that that's a broader theme that he wants to make his own in the coming year? >> that's exactly right. he likes to watch the stock market and the economy has been driving him. he likes to focus on it and talk about it. while he has been here at the white house after he canceled his plans, he has been using twitter as a way to communicate. he did talk about the economy. take a listen. >> i will tell you, there has

never been an administration and i'm very proud of this, that's done more than the trump administration in the first two years of office. our economy is doing great. wages are rising for the first time in many, many years. people are getting more money. they are working one job instead of two or three. >> this administration, the president, the white house has long maintained the economy is strong. they downplayed any weaknesses in the economy, but we remember december was a roller coaster with the stock market and this was the one of the year for stocks? a decade and december was the worst year for the dow since 1931. a couple of things to keep in mind as we look ahead to 2019. the government shut down looming large as we head into the new year. >> indeed. staying calm and enjoying the ride. here with me to share the

reporting and the insights. from "the washington post," michael scherrer with the "new york times" and kelsey snow with npr. i need to get something out of the way. on ohio state game days, i'm wearing my lucky t-shirt. going with the tie. it's new. it doesn't work and they will have a ritual burning. we got that out of the way. game time starts in five or six hours. let's take 30,000 people. we are digging in on what it means. the 30,000 foot when you look at what the president has ahead for him in 2019. what sticks out to you? >> you have to reopen the government and you have 800,000 workers or working and not getting paid. that's going to be the first thing that democrats want to talk about and when they take over on thursday when they are sworn to take over the house. there are so many other cabinet positions that need to be

filled. the question of whether or not nafta is going to get -- or the new nafta will get ratified. the plate is full. >> no question. there is also the russia investigation. i want to pull up a tweet from rudy giuliani. i'm looking forward to 2019 so he can end the mueller investigation before the unpaid traffic ticket investigation. >> that's a sarcastic way of saying the house will go after many, many things. the lingering question of will they pursue impeachment and a lot of people think it would be treacherous to go there, they will be looking into the trump family and the finances of the president and the decisions that have been made by cabinet officials. there is very little that is going to be off limits for the democrats in the house. they are bracing for that. it's obvious that there is going to be political acrimony in the house over all of these investigations.

the real question is what do the senate republican dos once they have a report from mueller. yes, the house's plan is set. it is not clear what the reaction is going to be because he has critics who are willing to break with him over russia and foreign policy generally. he is going to face push back over the syria and afghanistan pull out. people willing to break with him if they really feel like it comes to that. that is going to rest on what we see from the special counsel. that will be conclusive in the next few months. >> it could tip things one way or the other. we will get into the senate. that is your everything to some degree depending on the day. it's an interesting point. jessica was reading statistics and we saw december was topsy curvey and nobody is sure a

recession is coming and more people are thinking 2020. it has been the underpinning. what's your sense in the white house and how they are viewing the curve? >> they are saying that's their top focus. when you go into a new year, you are talking about what's your legislative agenda? republicans have the house and the white house and there is very little talk about priorities for legislation. they are laying their hats on the economy and president trump putting out the message that the economy is strong. we have seen it strong in the past couple of years because house and senate republicans were able to get a tax bill through and a lot of people say it's a sugar high for the economy. we will have to wait and see if it slows down in 2019 going into 2020. a lot of economists are looking at what's happening with the trade war and the insurgency

about the government shut down and other things happening in washington. wondering whether or not it was a sugar high that will slow down and the global slow down we have seen will impact the united states going into 2020. that can take a top card off the table if the economy is not strong heading into reelection. >> live and die by the market. it benefitted them totally throughout the first two years in office. if they go sideways, it will be problematic. >> it's part of asking about the 30,000 feet looking down. one of the things for trump that he has been able to do pretty successfully over the last two years is to be the to set the agenda with twitter or with the republican majority he had in congress and the thing that will frustrate him is he's going to be on the defensive. there will be other actors who will be setting the ajenda and forcing him to react. whether it's mueller who has

been silent for the last 15 months and now he will likely not be silent and will be setting the agenda and the president will have to react. the house will do the same. the economy may force the president to be more responsive and reactive. that i think is going to generate a lot of frustration in the oval office. he's not used to that. >> people are already talking about 2020. i want to play what president trump said about elizabeth warren who announced an exploratory committee yesterday. >> elizabeth warren will be the first. she did very badly in proving that she was of indian heritage. that didn't work out too well. you have more than she does and i do too and i have nothing. we will see how she does. i hope she does well. i would love to run against her. >> she said she is in the fight all the way, mr. president. do you really believe she thinks

she can win. >> that i don't know. you would have to ask her psychiatrist. >> that was the most predictable response. the exploratory committee. you cover elizabeth warren on capitol hill. what's your sense. democrats have to figure out how to respond. >> she has been part of the struggle to duck and let them push ahead with the message that is more about the proactive things to push back against the president. there has been a struggle to figure out when the balance is there. they have been willing to push back and the risk is there and the president doesn't back down. he goes harder. it's very risky to go up against his base and people who want that and not be the fighters

here. it remains to be seen. she is a part of the wing that is more likely to push back and fight with them and get down and dirty. >> it will be a dynamic thing to watch. 50 more minutes of show left. new details about the american accused of being a spy in russia. i will talk live to his twin brother. we'll be right back. to do whatever it takes, use every possible resource. to fight cancer. and never lose sight of the patients we're fighting for. our cancer treatment specialists share the same vision. experts from all over the world, working closely together to deliver truly personalized cancer care. and these are the specialists we're proud to call our own. expert medicine works here. learn more at cancercenter.com. appointments available now. with expedia, i saved when i added a hotel to our flight. so even when she grows up,

she'll never outgrow the memory of our adventure. unlock savings when you add select hotels to your existing trip. only with expedia. select hotels to your existing trip. but this hair color thing. i've got that figured out. garnier nutrisse. the #1 nourishing color crème, with avocado, olive and shea oils. nourishes while you color. for the rich color you expect. join the millions who have chosen nutrisse. nourished hair. better color. your insurance rates skyrocket you could fix it with a pen. how about using that pen to sign up for new insurance instead? for drivers with accident forgiveness, liberty mutual won't raise their rates because of their first accident. switch and you could save $782 on home and auto insurance. call for a free quote today. liberty mutual insurance. ♪ liberty. liberty. liberty. liberty. ♪ touch shows how we really feel. but does psoriasis ever get in the way? embrace the chance of 100% clear skin with taltz,

the first and only treatment of its kind offering people with moderate to severe psoriasis a chance at 100% clear skin. with taltz, up to 90% of people quickly saw a significant improvement of their psoriasis plaques. don't use if you're allergic to taltz. before starting, you should be checked for tuberculosis. taltz may increase risk of infections and lower your ability to fight them. tell your doctor if you have an infection, symptoms, or received a vaccine or plan to. inflammatory bowel disease can happen with taltz, including worsening of symptoms. serious allergic reactions can occur. ready for a chance at 100% clear skin? ask your doctor about taltz.

>> 11 days and counting for the partial government shut down. kicking off the new year with plans to reopen the government on their terms. tweeting the democrats as much as i suspected allocated no money for a new wall. imaginative. without a wall there can be no border security. the democrats take over the house in two days and they hope to pass their own spending package. nancy pelosi and chuck schumer warn if leader mcconnell and

republicans refuse to support the first bill, they are complicit with trump. it's simple, the senate is not going to send something to the president he won't sign. everything is great. positively wonderful here. it's worth remembering. 800,000 federal workers are furloughed or working without pay. there are real implications and impacts not just here in maryland and d.c., but around the country. we are about to see that. i want to focus on where this is headed. you are on the hill with kelsey and me all the time. what's your sense? they are entrenched. what's the pathway out? >> the first question is, will the president and will the gop agree with the plan to buy time and work out the department of homeland security? that's the place where the wall money will go anda also the

place where they have tsa workers and border patrol not being paid right now. if they separate out the rest of the quarter that is not funded right now and get that through to the end of the fiscal year and live to argue another day, they buy themselves about a month of negotiation time. in which case this is going to be a free-for-all. that was not that long ago that we were talking about $25 billion for the wall in exchange for the daca program. in order to make sure you took care of immigration issues alongside border security issues. that's the way the democrats like to do this. whether or not they get that deal to do the short-term extension and buying time to negotiate the wall-related issues and border immigration issues, we are being looking at them at an impasse. whether the government stays shut down for the next few weeks or they manage to separate

anything else out, whatever they do is going to set the tone for the negotiations for at least the next two years. the gap where the two sides are is not that big with single digit billion dollars which is a drop in the bucket against the federal budget which is trillions. you can't give away something for nothing if you start off negotiating with trump. trump is not in the mood to take no for an answer. that's the situation you have got. i don't know how that resolves itself. it may hold the shut down budget hostage or may not. it's a very, very difficult few weeks of negotiations to work this out before we get to the end game. >> one of the most interesting to push the dynamic forward. they are not moving until the republicans sign off. they told me in terms of what the president would sign. they said no idea. we need to let it play out

anymore. he was not being snarky. they are not totally sure. how do you move forward when nobody is sure what the president is on board with? >> part of the reason is because they thought he was on board with the spending bill that they passed before the shut down even happened and they got over to the house and the president was getting attacked on tv and getting attacked from his very loyal base in the house republicans and he changed his mind. when republicans don't know what the president is going to do it makes it hard to agree with something in a negotiation. going back to what was said about exchanging a broader immigration policy for the wall, they were there when they were asked about that. they said no. they moveded on from that part of the negotiation. they are going to have to come up with a new different term if they want to move forward. i have a hard time seeing what the terms are.

at this point democrats feel like they can be the grown ups in the room. they will vote to reopen this part of the government and they are really very comfortable with republicans being in the responsive position. >> it's going to be -- we have to go to break. the five of us can talk about how this could work. for the better part of the last 11 days. >> patrick shanahan's first day on the job and if you listen to president trump well, sounds like he can get comfortable. >> he's a respected man. he can be there for a long time. i'm in no rush. i have everybody, everybody and his uncle wants that position. building a better bank

starts with looking at something old, and saying, "really?" so capital one is building something completely new. capital one cafes. inviting places with people here to help you, not sell you. and savings and checking accounts with no fees or minimums. because that's how it should be. you can open one from right here or anywhere in 5 minutes. seriously, 5 minutes... this is banking reimagined. what's in your wallet?

the full value ofe your totaled new car. the guy says "you picked the wrong insurance plan."

no, i picked the wrong insurance company. with liberty mutual new car replacement, you won't have to worry about replacing your car because you'll get the full value back, including depreciation. switch and you could save $782 on home and auto insurance. call for a free quote today. liberty mutual insurance. ♪ liberty. liberty. liberty. liberty. ♪ amazon prime video so when you say words like... show me best of prime video into this... you'll see awesome stuff like this. discover prime originals like the emmy-winning the marvelous mrs. maisel... tom clancy's jack ryan... and the man in the high castle. all in the same place as your live tv. its all included with your amazon prime membership. that's how xfinity makes tv... simple. easy. awesome.

we are learning more about the u.s. citizen being detained in russia on spying accusations. paul whelan lives in michigan and is a former marine who has done multiple tours in iraq. his family said he went to russia for a wedding and they couldn't get ahold of him and was detained. he could face up to 20 years in prison if found guilty. he spent time in russia. he was there for two weeks in 2006 when he was a marine. joining me now is paul's twin brother, david whelan. i know this can't be an easy

time. want to start with there is limited information thus far. you guys have been reaching out. what if anything have they told you at this early stage? >> thanks for having me, phil. we heard back regularly from the staff and they have been updating us that there is nothing to update. we spoke to them yesterday and we heard about the detention on the internet over news wires. we contacted the state and the embassy and they are keeping us up to date. there is a blackout president until anyone can get to them. >> if i understand it correctly, it's 72 hours. do you have any idea what happens once that mark is hit? >> my understanding is that the 72 hours is a president that once it's told, the embassy will get access and we can confirm

what his status is, whether he is healthy and what happened during his arrest. he will be able to speak to officials about his status essentially and they will be able to give him the information he will need to collect a lawyer to try to respond to the allegations that the government said. >> along those lines, i can't imagine this coming to someone's plate. in terms of hiring a lawyer in terms of bringing someone on. are you in the middle of that process or have you been walked through what needs to happen? >> we have tried to do an assessment and you can't assess lawyers on the ground. i'm in canada and my family is in the states. there is no way for us to know who is competent and provides the representation they need. we will rely on the recommended lawyers that will get us

started. it's important to hit the congressional representatives and senators from michigan. the representative from paul's district in michigan and whoever else we can and the american government to try to help get paul out of the situation regardless of whatever legal jeopardy he is in. >> i was wondering if you can share the background on your brother. several times is my understanding. how would you best describe it? >> paul is a kind soul. very generous. he's notorious with my kids for his huge belly laugh and often has stories that make you eye roll. he's that personality that is very loyal to family and friends and that's how this worked out. he had request from a friend and

he thought he could help out because he had been to russia and could help other americans from the family who had not been to russia to navigate their way around and get on the metro and that sort of thing. he's a very kind person. >> the family addressed that, but just for you to say, the allegations made by the russian government don't ring true in any way to you? >> they don't. paul is a very capable purpose. he is physically a large person. he has a background in law enforcement and is a marine and travels regularly. he's not the sort of person who stumbles into a strange environment or make poor choices that could cause him risks. particularly he wouldn't have made choices that would have gotten him sideways and it's the espionage act. >> my last question and thanks

again for your time. given his past and his work in security, he had written for the firms he worked for. particularly given the tension in the united states of any concern. to his parents or anything like this leading into this trip? >> no, there wasn't. paul was worried about the family golden retriever who had a vet appointment last week and about his parents slipping on the ice in the michigan winter. he was not concerned about his trip to russia. >> david whelan, i know this is a difficult time for you and the family. thank you for sharing the story of your brother. please keep us updated if there is anything you learn going forward. we appreciate it. >> thanks very much, phil. >> we'll be right back. one hour pickup order? >>got it. ran out of ink and i have a big meeting today >>and 2 boxes of twizzlers... yeah, uh...for the team... >>the team? gooo team....

know what's better than overnight shipping? free one hour pickup when you order online... or on our app. at office depot officemax

i can't say it's the highlight dadof fatherhood.... but i'd rather be here with my little man than not be here because of migraine. i have three words for migraine... "i am here." aimovig, a preventive treatment for migraine in adults, reduces the number of monthly migraine days. for some, that number can be cut in half or more. the most common side effects are pain, redness or swelling at the injection site and constipation. talk to your doctor about aimovig. and be there more.

patrick shanahan's first day on the job, he said i look forward to working with president trump to carry out his vision. he takes over for james mattis who resigned shortly after his announcement to withdraw from syria. i want to bring in john kirby with the state department. you have north carolina and turkey and syria and isis.

right off the bat, what is your sense of challenges 75% of the defense secretary's job is budget and program and building the capabilities and working with congress. trying to get the man train and equipment done with the military. his experience of boeing will help him do that. there is a lot of expertise to help him do that. >> it's interesting. i want to play sound. the president in iraq talking about mr. shanahan and he said

this. take a listen. >> our friend shanahan is a good man. he's done a good job. he's a good buyer. i wanted someone who could buy. i am getting a lot of money and i don't want it to be wasted. >> one of the critiques. on the budgeting side and that brings a cache. >> he needs to be familiar with operations and secretary mattis is much more familiar than the buying stuff. there is an argument that there is a steep learning curve, but if he puts the effort into it and he talks to allies and partners, he can mound that. >> can i say that i agree, but the one area that we haven't talked about and the thing that

is probably the steepest is navigating this president. what all of the president's secretaries have come to find is that putting aside the expertise they need to run their particular agency, one of the biggest things they have to figure out is to navigate the president's whims and twitter attacks and the sense that whatever might be the general direction of the department that they have to cater to the whims of this president. does he do what the president wants. the president wants intentioned quite a bit for the last two years. it will increase. >> in a way, shanahan has the advantage. he's got this sort of business accumen. he is not in a role where he is

not running the treasury. the president said that's not what i wanted. he is going into a role where he has a learning curve. he didn't when he entered and chose not to listen to anybody. if shanahan decides to study is it in a different fashion, he comes in without -- he doesn't listen at that point. this is not a general. he is going to be studying up on this stuff differently than the president. >> here has been there for 18 months. he is not unfamiliar with all the challenges and foreign policy and capability that mattis had to deal with. he is still just acting. we don't know how long he is

going to be there. >> we will take it quickly. the key issues are right off the bat. take a listen to what mike pompeo said this morning. >> in no way does it change anything that this administration is working on alongside israel. the counter isis campaign. our commitment to mideast stability and protection of israel continues in the same way it did before that decision was made. >> the individual sitting next to him was not too keen on immediate pull out of forces. what's your sense to drill down on that? where do things stand? >> the president had lunch with lindsey graham. he seems to think that president trump has backed off from his very quick pull out that he was considering to get a better understanding of what the negative impact of pulling out of syria in a month. we are hearing from the new york time that is it may be four months of time before the

american troops will remain in place and have a slow pull out. saying i was never going to pull out quickly. i always wanted to do a slow deliberate pull out. that may be a sign that the president is hearing from the people who are worried about all of the disasters that can happen. up next, taking a page from president trump's playbook. politicians are using them in new ways including this could be candidate who shared a berry cobbler recipe on twitter. my name is elaine barber, and i'm a five-year cancer survivor. surviving for five years is a big deal. i had so many people at ctca helping me find a way to go through the treatments. the reality of cancer is not everybody survives.

at ctca, they have a huge celebrate life event. that was amazing, because the whole day was about all of the survivors. i'm excited about my future. visit cancercenter.com to schedule an appointment now.

some of new members of

congress have a message, but you may have to follow them on instagram. the 2019 class is using twitter and snap chat to talk to supporters and their haters. take a look. alexandria ocasio-cortez has been known to cook on instalive. she put the caption squad. incoming congresswoman who had this message in november. move over. rashida is here. they shared this fan art of the group with all the females in congress surrounding them. on this one, getting elected to congress is amazing. curving with all these powerful women is better than i could have imagined. it's not just the squad. incoming congressman, dan crenshaw from texas shared on twitter last night.

a chance of success close to zero. resolution number three and apparently you have a lot in common. this seems to be the theme of the moment for everyone. you talk about kirstin gillibrand and senator warren having a beer. what is it going on? >> i think everybody is trying to be hip and cool and tap into an electorate especially if they are democrats. you are trying to speak to your generation and it's not even your generation. it's the next generation down. they may not even be on these platforms. they are trying to find the votes where they don't exist

yet. appeal to them with the message that said look, you are totally in touch so get to know me first. >> we are talking about it. >> i believe from the friend of the show. we had to bring it up with elizabeth warren opening beer. it appeals and it also got a critique from the daily caller. liz warren follows democratic trend and cooks dinner live. if you want to know what that's a reference to, watch. >> i was part of a special task force.

>> how do you do, fellow kids? i'm glad you called me. >> that's the sort of old guy on the panel here. some of this is what politicians have done forever. you remember bill clinton went on with the saxophone on the arsenio hall show which people under a certain age would not remember. he was trying to go where they thought the young voters were. that's all that's happening here. that's a different age. my suspicion is in the same way that the arsenio hall didn't change the dynamic did and neither did this. this was kind of on the margins and where they can get the extra few votes or support. it's not going to change anything. the fortunes in the presidential campaign will rise and fall on a

lot of other things besides the instagram feed. >> they have to figure out how to be a happy warrior in the trump era. you can spend all of your time attacking trump and trading with trump and that turns a lot of voters off. they can talk about the things that have nothing to do with the president and that may draw in more voter who is don't like the fighting in washington and are upset they are having a government shut down. democrats and republicans can't get along. if you do something like cooking dinner or chatting with people online. that is something that can allow voters to see you as a normal human being. >> kind of going off your point. you covered the amount of your administration. the complains that they kept going around us. going straight to the media, they have to deliver their own message. president trump perfected this

with twitter and this is that. this is delivering your message straight to your support. new voters may not want to support you, but that keeps you organized and moves things forward. is that what this is? >> it's both that and wanting to be more human to voters. that was something we heard about hillary clinton. people didn't feel like they connected with her and understood her as a person. democrats are clearly trying to combat that going into 2020 where they can be a person of the people. someone you want to grab a beer with. like george w. bush. he was the guy people wanted to have a beer with. elizabeth warren took that literally, but that's a big part of what that is. >> with hillary clinton, once her persona was established, you can't graft on that. they decided let's do this at the beginning. you want to establish that persona as people are being

introduced to you. >> i'm all for it. it's interesting. nothing wrong can being human. >> president trump seems to be thrilled with retiring people in the senate like jeff flake. >> i retired him. i did the country a great service. you always pay your insurance on time.

tap one little bumper and up go your rates. what good is having insurance if you get punished for using it? news flash: nobody's perfect. for drivers with accident forgiveness, liberty mutual won't raise your rates due to your first accident. switch and you could save $782 on home and auto insurance. call for a free quote today. liberty mutual insurance.

♪ liberty. liberty. liberty. liberty. ♪

the president needs to know that the senate will not stand

for him firing mueller. >> this is a made up fight so that the president can look like he's fighting, but even if he wins, the borders will be insecure. >> you can't blame other people for what the president says. it was obvious insensitive and appalling. >> lying is unbecoming of a 13-year-old, but very unbecoming of a 71 or 72-year-old president. >> the public service is in about 36 hours over. both retired in 2018. the trump critic in chief and the number two democrat seems to think so. dick durbin said almost half of the caucus is up for reelection. they just saw what happened in 2018. not all of them, but many of them find that information is rewarding. i wonder if red state democrats

would agree with that. i would need a little more to be convinced. you deal with the soon to be members of the republican conferen conference. >> i remain to be convinced. the lesson in the senate was not necessarily running away from trump is a good thing. they beat people like heidi heitkamp. also it's interesting to look at jeff flake and bob corker. both criticized him and they voted with the president fairly consistently. there is a big difference between criticizing the president when you are asked about something in a hallway and voting against his policies. those things have not connected. i can't identify senators who would be the person who would want to vote against the president. >> cory gardner from a purplish, bluish state in colorado.

these are three that could be speaking up. ben sasse never held his tongue. mitt romney is coming in. he was a sharp critic. you are on the hill with me. what's your sense? >> i think mitt romney is in the best case to challenge it. he was a real low level senator, but people know he is facing his name. ben sasse is bolder and he has taken the votes. cory gardner never takes the votes. everybody moves. cory gardner didn't move. it's going to be hard to find the person, but there is gimme issues that make sense for the gop person to break foreign policy and trade issues and immigration issues from the right states. we have to be willing to step up and romney is not in that type of state. i think other than sasse, he's

the best bet and he's young and they have to make it safe for people. they are not moving. >> we have to see and rock 'n' roll. thanks for joining us. brianna keilar starts right now. russia's federal security service says that whelen was arrested for carrying out an act of espionage. since then they said little else. his brother said the family only found out about paul's detention through media reports and all of this as a russian citizen and alleged spy, maria butina