they get those calls right about noon when people tending to set the fires behind the deforestation. a huge job for brazil. the international help they're not seeming to accept that readily until this personal spat is sorted out. >> thank you for joining us. "inside politics" with phil mattingly starts right now. welcome to "inside politics." i'm phil mattingly, john king is off today. joe biden puts out a very personal 2020 campaign ad invoking two tragic events to explain why he is running on health care. plus, president trump back in washington after the g-7 summit, a trip he's calling, quote, a great ccess. iran and china may quibble with that. and if you want to know just how slow it is on capitol hill right now during the recess, well, take it away, c-span. >> a live picture from the floor of the u.s. senate where

senators are expected to gavel in for a brief pro forma session. the floor of the u.s. senate fairly empty, which was expected to begin at 10:00 this morning. it's now 10:12. we are still standing by and waiting about 21 minutes. we are hearing that it could be a while before this pro forma session will take place. >> for the record, c-span is a national treasure and i believe the pro forma session that has not started yet but is supposed to start at 9:30 will be addressed shortly. with important news we begin with a potentially big 2020 shakeup or an issues-related shift and a possible pivot on strategy. today joe biden releasing an emotional ad on health care, recalling his family's own experience navigating tragedies while also hitting back at president trump as well as some of his 2020 opponents on policy. >> the fact of the matter is health care is personal to me. obamacare is personal to me. when i see the president try to

tear down and others prepare to replace it and start over, that's personal to me too. >> that ad running in iowa aptly titled "personal" comes as a new poll could be a warning sign to the biden camp. i stress could be. monday's monmouth poll showing bernie sanders and elizabeth warren surging. the progressive senators tied right around the same place as joe biden atop the democratic field. that's a whopping 13-point drop for biden since june. but to be sure, this is the first poll of this cycle that puts the former vice president's solo front-runner status in any question at all and today his campaign is pushing back haufrd, citing the small sample size and large margin of error in the poll. but as we inch closer to the next round of debates, the question becomes whether or not this decline is an outlier or an early sign of what may be to come. we'll try to answer all those questions. here to share their reporting and insights, asma, michael

bendinger, jeff zeleny and julie davis from "the new york times." jeff, i want to start with you in particular on the ad. we saw the vice president also tweeting out, quote, this ad wasn't easy for me. health care is personal to me, deeply personal. this was a deeply personal ad. it's a shift for him to some degree. walk me through that. >> this is something joe biden has talked about a lot on the campaign trail, why it's personal to him. he has told this story really for a long time. the story now is sadder than the last time he was running for president because of what happened to beau biden four years ago. four years ago i remember when i was watching this ad this morning how he was objecting to the idea of using similar images in a draft biden ad. it was very raw, right after beau's death. a lot of time has passed since then and president trump is in the white house, so the biden campaign is trying to do a couple of things here. one, they are trying to again shake the consciousness of the democratic party here and say this is what this race is about.

it's not about small fights or infighting on certain things, it's about the bigger picture here of defeating the president. he was up on the air with an electability ad the first time around. this is about health care because it's really an issue framing this whole debate. you talked about elizabeth warren rising, bernie sanders rising. health care is one of the reasons they're rising. what joe biden is trying to do is not allow any time to pass here over these summer months by not allowing any of his supporters to think, you know what, elizabeth warren might be right on this, trying to shake people into remembering that he believes is the strongest person to go after him. but once you play this play, you can't do it again in october or november or december. i was a little struck by the fact that it was being used in august. he's trying to hold on to his lead as best eke. >> you've obviously paid very close attention to the race and this is something i want to explore. they have two buys, not massive but two buys. most everybody else isn't up with anything right now. what's the strategy here?

is it to snuff any competitors out, try to maintain a lead or this is the message they think can win? >> to jeff's point, the polling shows as well there is this moment of volatility right now in the campaign. i don't know that i would necessarily see that one poll suggesting that joe biden is having a dramatic dip. but there is volatility and democrats have not yet made up their minds. that is something i continuously hear from voters out on the campaign trail whether it's iowa or new hampshire in particular. there's a sense from voters that they do want some change. whether that is big structural change that elizabeth warren talks about or some of the more incremental changes joe biden refers to around health care, i don't know that voters clearly have a sense of that. we see this here as sort of big policy differentiations between the two, but you talk to voters and i can't tell you the amount of times i meet people and they say i like elizabeth warren but my second choice is joe biden. it doesn't jive with what we traditionally think when we look at the two candidates' policies. >> i think we all assume who's

in whose lane and you look at the polling and break it down and it's not necessarily exactly what we think. i was in iowa and heard a similar thing ofther. wait, that's a moderate and a liberal. what are you talking about? turns out the voters have their own opinions in their own voice. i do want to get to the polling. this became a big thing yesterday which naturally means i go to harry, our expert on all things polling and he points out you need to take things in aggregate. if you look at the polls in the course of this month, you have monmouth, cnn, fox news, quinnipiac, biden average of polls 28%, warren 19%, sanders 14%. elizabeth warren is moving. i don't think anybody can deny that. we've seen the operations they have on the ground. what's the level of concern related to one poll or any polls that we've seen as we move into the fall? >> i think there's got to be

concern about the trenbiden. as you point out, joe biden has been ahead in most of these polls for most of the time and at some point that's going to be the thing. at some point we're going to stop talking about who might catch biden and if he stays ahead of these polls, it's going to be joe, just like it was in 2016. but the trend here, and i think you can go back to our poll at "the wall street journal" in june that showed what a path warren has ahead of her. whether she can take advantage of it is another question. she's the second choice getting into these equations that we like to do here in washington of every major candidate. sanders the second choice of none. even warren ewarren's own suppo their second choice was harris, not sanders. that would suggest a much tougher path for sanders to jump ahead of biden than warren but we'll see what warren does. i will say on this ad, it seems like a very compelling ad. how many times have we sat

around this table over the last 6 to 12 months and talked about compelling moments for joe biden on the trail? i don't think hardly any. you know, a little bit of momentum for joe. >> it's an interesting point. we spent multiple weeks being like did he mess up a phrase on the trail or is he gaffing because he's joe biden. this kind of puts the foot on the throat of that to some degree and saying, no, no, this is what it's all about. julie, i do want to play some sound from the vice president earlier when it gets to the idea of electability and this is the crux of the argument. take a listen. >> the last thing as barack said we don't need to have a circular firing squad. i'm not following anybody else's rules, i'm following my rules. i'm the guy everybody else is talking about. >> what do you think about the drop in your -- >> i'm still way ahead. >> i'm still way ahead. i'm the guy head-to-head with president trump. whether those polls matter or not at this stage, who's up by

10 or 11 points. if that leaves or dissipates to some degree, what happens? >> i think the interesting thing to me, as jeff pointed out, this is the type of ad you normally see in the closing weeks, maybe months or six weeks of the campaign. the electability argument is something you hear come much later in the process than it has for joe biden. it's currently his central argument. i think his strategy is to stay to the extent that he can as strong as he has been in the field while sanders and warren duke it out. what has been consistent in those polls, even the ones that have biden falling out of first place, is that sanders and warren are really second and third or third progressive vote. and so if joe biden can sort of keep making that argument that you heard him make there, i'm still ahead, i'm still the one to beat, while the two of them duke it out, if that lasts long enough at some point that becomes a self-fulfilling

prophecy. >> we're finally going to find out this week once the debate criteria is clear, if elizabeth warren and joe biden will share the debate stage. they do have a history on bankruptcy and other things, so once that moment -- and elizabeth warren has largely been unscathed in terms of questions about her policies and plans on the debate stage. so i cannot wait to find out that lineup for the september debates. we'll finding out thursday morning. >> i missed that first tier and second tier debate from 2016. >> do you really wanting to relieve the primary of 2016? real quick before we go, the idea that this is just a three-person race right now, you've been on the ground and heard from voters about who they're thinking, do you think that's the case? >> i'm so hesitant to completely rule out some of the candidates who i think are actually building really strong grassroots organizations. i would say even someone like cory booker. when you look at what he's doing in iowa and new hampshir substantial. but that being said, i don't think that we should discount in poll after poll that elizabeth

warren, who also is building a tremendous organization and not just in the early states. she has volunteer training sessions out in places like texas and tennessee. that's why we see at her rallies when she has a rally, say in seattle 15,000 people her campaign says showed up. that is tremendous momentum and momentum i don't think we're seeing from that many other candidates. >> ground operations matter. we'll see who builds what and how that works. a flashback to joe biden's big moment on this day in summer 2008. >> since i've never been called a man of few words, let me say this as simply as i can. yes. yes, i accept your nomination to run and serve with barack obama, the next president of the united states of america. to stay on top of things. a faster laptop could help. plus, tech support to stay worry free. worry free. boom! ha.ha. boom! now get 10 reams of paper only $34.99.

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the g-7. sometimes either through choice or by not, he was leading from behind. a case study, the g-7 leaders struck a pact to fight fires raging in the amazon at a session that did not include president trump. the president for his part told reporters that he was headed to the meeting after the session already occurred. the white house explained the reason he missed it is because his scheduled meeting with germany and india ran long, which is interesting because if you look at this video and picture right here, the german chancellor, angela merkel and the indian prime minister modi were at the session. abby phillip joins our conversation right now. look, the g-7 was interesting, there's no question about it. but i want to at least start on the top. what's your sense from the white house on their kind of broad takeaways. the president says unity, seems happy about it, is tweeting about it this morning. other leaders had maybe a different perception. what's your sense of what the white house thinks? >> there were no huge blowups.

i think a low point for the president at some of these summits was that iconic photo of all of the world leaders leaning over him trying to get him to sign a communique. there was none of that. although the tensions were there, they were real, they were under the surface, but at the very least president trump putting a positive spin on it was a victory for them. president macron really went out of his way to try to paper over some of these differences in public, and that goes a long way with president trump. that being said, you listed a few of the many things president trump did or said in 48 hours basically at the g-7 that were either blatantly untrue or that were complete fabrications or what have you. i think a lot of white house aides look at that and say that's president trump, that's just another day in this white house. but in the context of the president being on the world

stage, it's a little bit alarming because he really did veer from end to end on various topics, whether it was trade with china or russia or iran. and the picture that you take away if you're european leaders or if you're the other world leaders at the g-7 is where does the united states stand on any of these issues? i think it's clear there's a power vacuum here where the u.s. used to be and now it's being filled by other people, namely france and to a lesser extent germany. >> i thought it was striking in that concluding news conference when he was asked for what his agenda would be when the united states hosts it he didn't articulate anything. he doesn't have an agenda. it was very apparent to anyone who was watching the g-7 this time around he did not come in with an agenda. he didn't come in with anything he wanted to accomplish. it is striking to think about the very notion that he did not blow up this meeting is seen as,

okay, that was not as bad as it has been, because that was the expectation that's been baked in is that president trump is going to arrive at these gatherings and really kind of break a lot of china. the fact that macron worked hard to sort of prebake the result that they weren't even going to try for a communique or consensus on a lot of these issues because they knew it was a lost cause to persuade president trump to join that really did shape what went on there. >> world leaders have clearly adjusted their posture on how they deal with the president. they have learned some lessons. to be fair, if you look at some of the international headlines, i'll translate them because apparently i'm fluent in french and german, a truce at the summit. a german newspaper, summit ends in rare unity. crisis management with kisses. i promise you those are the accurate translations, which i think it was the message the president tried to say. at the very end of the press conference saying unity was the

world. but iran was the most interesting thing. you mentioned emmanuel macron almost jamming the u.s. by almost trying to jam the president at the press conference to set up a meeting. you listen to hassan rouhani last night and this is what he had to say. >> translator: lift the sanctions. all the sanctions against the %-p be lifted. if you lift all these sanctions and bow your head in respect to the nation of iran, well, then the situation would be different. >> so i think the interesting thing yesterday in watching it, hey, maybe this is the break through. it's a little unorthodox but maybe this is what happens. the president saying he's willing to meet. rouhani saying they're not going to meet until sanctions are lifted. are we back despite what macron tried. >> also it was striking that the

president seemed open to meeting as if that was a normal gesture. let's remind folks the united states and iran have not had formal relationships since 1979. no president, not even president obama in the midst of negotiating the original iranian nuclear deal shook hands. so this idea that president trump off the cuff seemed open to the idea speaks to how volatile and unpredictable this is, which is why you have someone like hassan rouhani setting the agenda on his own terms because he doesn't get the sense that president trump has an agenda in terms of what he would do if he would meet with him. >> which keeps the idea who knows? >> the same thing with north korea, a lot of people said the same thing. to give kim jong-un a meeting would be basically giving away the store before you even get any concessions out of north korea, so it wouldn't be a surprise to me if president trump did decide -- that it was worth it to do that. but obviously iran, they have a

completely different calculation. they know that taking off sanctions is a completely nonstarter so they're basically shutting this conversation down, as they have been frankly for several weeks and months then. >> bender, we've got 10 seconds, 20 seconds. what happens with china? >> yes or no. >> welcome. >> exactly. in the context of the g-7 i thought it was interesting macron saying any deal at this point is a good deal. trump clearly wants to get something done. whether that happens or not, you know, certainly in the next 14 months, the next 12 to 14 months before the election there's going to be a lot more ups and downs that trump, as he said yesterday, you know, wants to encourage. this is his way to negotiate. you know, if it's going to rattle markets and worry people about a recession, sorry. >> talking about jamming somebody, forcing bender to explain the unexplainable in ten seconds. we want to shift away from

politics momentarily for an update on tropical storm dorian. it's churning in the caribbean and making its way towards puerto rico which is still recovering from hurricane maria two years ago. meteorologist jennifer gray joins us now from the cnn weather center. jennifer, what's the latest right now? >> well, the latest is that the storm has winds of 50 miles per hour and it's moving to the west-northwest at 13 miles per hour. it's got gusts of 65 and there's room for a little strengthening before it makes -- has its interaction with puerto rico. could possibly have 70-mile-an-hour winds by then. wednesday night if when we're looking at it to make its closest brush with puerto rico if not making landfall there. and so we're going to continue to watch it, of course. here is another look at it as it continues its track to the west-northwest. it's going to continue on this path. now, the interesting thing will be what happens when it makes its interaction with hispaniola, dominican republic and haiti. very some high mountains right there and so it could tear the storm apart a little bit. so depending on how strong it is

on the north side of that will determine a lot before making landfall with the u.s. it's going to enter some very warm water in the caribbean near the bahamas, and it will have a little bit of time to strengthen, so we'll be watching it very closely once it gets on the north side of that. now, all the models pretty much agreeing for the most part where it's going to go. it's still very far out so there's still some wiggle room. like i mentioned, those sea surface temperatures are very, very warm here, in the mid-80s or so, and so that just fuels these storms. so if it is a little shredded up by hispaniola, it will have time to regenerate, get a little more energy, get better organized, so that's why there are a lot of question marks about the southeast united states. we all need to be on the lookout, especially people that have interests in florida, because it could get better organized and could strengthen a little bit before making landfall there of course. as far as the rainfall goes, we're looking at 2 to 4 inches of rain in puerto rico. we could see some flooding, some

mudslides there, and then here are all your watches and warnings. we have hurricane watches for puerto rico. we also have those tropical storm watches in place as well. so still a lot of questions, phil, but definitely puerto rico needs to be on the lookout. conditions will continue to deteriorate throughout the day tomorrow before making that possible landfall tomorrow evening. >> a lot of questions, jennifer. i know you'll keep a close eye on it, thank you very much. up next, a judge in oklahoma holds a drug company accountable for the opioid crisis. we'll revisit what's being done in washington to tackle that epidemic. uldn't accept an incomplete job from any one else. why accept it from your allergy pills? flonase relieves your worst symptoms including nasal congestion, which most pills don't. flonase helps block 6 key inflammatory substances. most pills only block one. flonase.

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pharmaceutical giant johnson & johnson vowing to appeal a landmark ruling. on monday an oklahoma judge ordered the company to pay $572 million for its role in the state's opioid crisis. the state wanted johnson & johnson to pay more than $17 billion. oklahoma is just one of dozens of states, counties, localities suing opioid makers. this case was the first to reach trial. more than 130 people die every day in america after overdosing on opioids. now, it's been almost a year since president trump signed into law a sweeping bipartisan proposal aimed at tackling the opioid crisis. this expansive bill expanded access to treatment and prevention programs and tried to curb how often drugs are prescribed. the bill also gave states more flexibility in their approach to

the crisis. now, one of the things, guys, that i think we're all trying to get our head around here, i guess let's start with this. anybody who covered the 2016 campaign i think was smacked in the face with this. when we went to new hampshire, to northeastern states of holy cow, this is horrific. what's the sense right now of what the federal government -- bender, i'll ask you this. i know this has been a big trump initiative. kellyanne conway has been involved in it. is it working between the court cases and the federal response there has been progress? >> i think you can find progress and certainly the white house has found those areas and will highlight them quickly. the most striking thing to me in how the white house has attempted to tackle this problem or not attempted to tackle this problem is you look at the follow-through on some of these issues. the ten largest law enforcement agencies under the trump administration, half of them don't have acting heads of --

agency heads, including dea, which is the largest law enforcement agency, and the tip of the spear when it comes to fighting this issue. the acting head of dea right now is the third acting administrator of the dea since trump has taken office. it's unprecedented in 40 years of the agency. and i think it's -- he was put into that position without any support from the law enforcement groups but with support from kellyanne conway and acting -- chief of staff at the time john kelly. but as this moves on, these are issues -- if these law enforcement groups are fighting these issues of who's in charge of the agencies, it just overshadows the question that you have of is whether these problems are actually being tackled or not. >> i want to pull up some of the white house initiatives on the opioid crisis. the president made clear he heard a lot about this in 2016. he declared the opioid crisis a

public health emergency, signed that expansive law or bill into law, $6 billion in new funding. they had a plan aimed at cutting prescriptions by a third within three years. i guess one of the questions i've had and i would open this almost to the floor, you talk to rob portman or somebody on the hill and he makes clear it's morphed. meth is a huge problem, fentanyl is a major problem as well. is the federal government capable of getting their hands around something like this through legislation, agencies or otherwise? >> well, i think there is obviously a concerted effort by the administration in a way we don't see them tackle most things. there was quite a focus on this and kellyanne conway's involvement actually has made a difference. this is something she's spent a lot of time on so in terms of messaging, they are smihining a spotlight on this and that's an important part of the response. but what we've seen since the initiative was announced at the white house, is that it is a problem that's almost impossible to get your hands around as a

federal government. you do have members of congress involved in state-level efforts and efforts in their districts to try to do more. but one of the big issues is funding. we'll have to see whether there's the follow-through. so far there's been bipartisan support for actually doing the things that need to happen on the ground to make the policies that the president announced a reality. so far we haven't seen as much as that. they did fall short of doing some of the things they could have done. the kind of public health emergency that was designated when the president made those announcements was not as aggressive as they could have been and a lot of public health officials said should have been. and they may find in order to have a comprehensive response at that goes beyond opioids and to the other issues you talked about, they need to do that. >> i want to pull up this poll. it's a may fox news poll. do you think these are major problems the government should address. look at the top three. opioid addiction, 79% overall, republicans, 79% yes. gun violence.

it's the highest even for democrats. i guess one of the questions i have, and you've been out more than i have, are you still hearing about this? are you seeing this at town halls? is this still the issue that was so palpable back in 2016? >> i think it geographically depends on where you are. you mentioned the new england states. new hampshire, massachusetts have been dealing with this for a long time and this predates 2016. i remember going out with i think some of the massachusetts delegation back in like 2014 who were forming relationships on bipartisan pieces of legislation with members of congress in kentucky and west virginia. so this has been going on for a while. i think part of what makes the conversation difficult this cycle is that president trump is in office and for a lot of democrats, that has become the dominant narrative. so when you talk to voters, it's really hard to talk about some of the other issues, whether it's climate change, opioid prescription pain killers because president trump and defeating him is really the number one priority for most democrats. >> yeah, it's interesting. this was a differentiator for

people with chris christie. also keep an eye in ohio. the oklahoma case, there's two counties suing in ohio. i think that comes to trial in october. that would be a bellwether for what happens going forward. from hip surgery to hope construction, jimmy carter's latest plans, coming up next. you're turning onto the street when you barely clip a passing car. minor accident -no big deal, right? wrong. your insurance company is gonna raise your rate after the other car got a scratch so small you coulda fixed it with a pen.

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topping our political radar today, lawyers for deutsche bank and capital one now staring at a 4:00 p.m. deadline to reveal whether or not they have president trump's tax returns. the three-judge appeals court panel in new york saying last friday they need to know and

threaten to seek a court order despite the banks' assistance they have contractual obligations that prevent them from answering the question. congressional democrats want the tax returns as part of their investigation into russian money laundering. house democrats asking a court to hurry up and decide on what it will or won't make don mcgahn do. the committee filing a motion to expedite a ruling on a lawsuit monday and compelling the former white house counsel to testify. mcgahn is the most cited witness in special counsel robert mueller's report on the president's potential obstruction of justice, and democrats view his testimony as crucial to building their case against the president. you've got to love this one, former president jimmy carter ready to put hammer to nail once again in resuming work for habitat for humanity after hip surgery last spring. he'll help build 21 houses just months after hip surgery.

he's undergone various other treatments, including treatment for cancer in 2015. tough dude. secretary of state mike pompeo says he's done apologizing for what america stands for. pompeo just wrapped up a speech at the american legion convention in indiana where he told the audience ignore the critics, america is, get this, great. >> some of our leaders would say that the idea of america or of americanism means inherent racism or sexism. others say that america is a code word -- americanism is a code word for a narrow-minded nationalism. i'm not going to apologize for america anymore. no, americanism is something that we must be proud of. >> and before we go to break, i may or may not have forgotten this actually happened. in fact i think i was sitting at this table one year ago today that the president, channeling

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this hour at least a dozen of jeffrey epstein's accusers are in a manhattan courtroom. despite his death in jail last month a judge held off on dismissing the case and is giving his victims a chance to tell their stories to the court for the record. shimon prokupecz joins us outside the court house in new york. tell us what you're hearing or what you've heard from inside the courtroom. >> reporter: yeah, really powerful moments really, phil, inside this courtroom behind me. several of the victims have come forward, they have spoken to the judge. they're angry. they're angry at how this case has essentially ended in that jeffrey epstein, because of irregularities at the jail,

because of people not doing their job, was able to take his own life and essentially avoid prosecution. one of the victims called him a coward. many of them crying when to the. one of the victims telling the judge i feel very angry and sad. justice has never been served in this case. then she called jeffrey epstein a coward. then another victim really a powerful moment here crying as she described how jeffrey epstein raped her on her private island while she said to him no, stop. and then she described how she ran from the property to her villa and while she was running, she hurt her feet. she came to her villa and she was bloody, trying to escape jeffrey epstein. and then we also heard from another victim who said that jeffrey epstein won in death, but then she found her voice, she says, and she was able to come forward and tell her story. that's what we're hearing here behind us time and time again.

and you can understand the pain and the anger certainly that a lot of these victims have felt because after the first case was brought against jeffrey epstein, many of them did not get an opportunity to have their voices heard, to come into court and tell the judge and tell the public what it is that jeffrey epstein did. and now, again, that was potentially going to happen in this case. as you said, phil, the judge here taking an unprecedented step allowing these victims to come in and talk and tell their side of the story. we should hear more from them later on after they come out from court. but nonetheless, an unprecedented day here and some powerful moments inside this court, phil. >> shimon, unprecedented, powerful and very necessary. thanks, shimon. up next, a gun safety megro takes its message to senator mcconnell's voters. your sleep n. can it help us fall asleep faster? yes, by gently warming your feet. but can it help keep us asleep?

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a netflix subscription on us. stream all your favorite movies and shows. and for a limited time. buy any samsung galaxy note 10 and get one samsung galaxy note 10 for free. that's right. get one samsung galaxy note 10 for free. leading today's lightning rounding, every town for gun safety is launching its first rounds of television ads targeting senator mitch mcconnell today. they're part of a $350,000 campaign buy hitting mcconnell's home state of kentucky, along with states that are home to three other republican senators. here's a preview. >> newtown, connecticut. >> orlando. >> las vegas. >> parkland. >> pittsburgh. >> mass shooting in el paso. >> dayton, ohio. >> tell mitch mcconnell to stand up to the gun lobby and pass bipartisan background check and gun laws to keep guns away from

people who are a danger to our communities. >> there's been a balancing before and against more restrictive gun laws. what's your sense right now of what's actually going to happen on this in the weeks ahead? >> well, it seems like there's a little bit of momentum to do something, but i do think that when republicans talk about background checks and democrats talk about background checks, they're not really talking about the same thing. i think republicans are going to try to create something as narrowly tailored as possible that can allow them to say i did something, we did something, we didn't just let this all go. but it's going to fall, i think, probably far short of what democrats want which is universal background checks. i think you'll see president trump start to support that but i don't think it's going to be easy. i think you're going to get a lot of republican pushback, house and senate. it's going to be a tough slog. congressman sean duffy announced that he was resigning, having some family issues.

we pray for his family on that one but he made an interesting comment on fox. take a listen to this. >> this is a republican-leaning seat but i'm going to tell you what, democrats have a lot more money than republicans. the smaller dollar donors in the democrat party are a lot more aggressive than the republican side, so if we could outspend 2-1 it could be challenging. but with this seat and the love for president trump in conservative policies that have grown our economy, i think we'll hold the seat but it will be a raucous race. >> julie davis, is sean duffy's seat really in play? >> it used to be a competitive seat, a democratic seat. a democrat, chairman of the house appropriations committee a long time ago but it has really shifted. sean duffy won that race in 2018 with a more than 20-point advantage. president trump had a more than 20-point advantage there in 2016, so it's hard to imagine that this is going to be competitive. but it is intriguing that it's a democratic governor who gets to set the special election and

decide when it's going to be. there is a world in which he could decide to put that special election on the day of the democratic presidential primary in 2020. that would obviously drive up turnout among democrats. so perhaps sean duffy is a little bit worried about that prospect. >> we've got to make these last two quick, which means, bender, this is going to you. the trump campaign announced its alabama campaign team. one name was omitted, the former attorney general. does that surprise you? >> no, it surprises no one. they named 15 alabama politicians to this political team in alabama, including three members of the state public service commission who apparently even outrank jeff sessions there. trump's treatment of sessions causes a little wincing in two places in the country, alabama and the republican majority in the senate, neither of which are going to do anything to upend trump's chances of winning the re-election. >> we've got ten seconds. is joe kennedy running against ed markey in massachusetts? >> if anyone has looked at the

massachusetts delegation, it is entirely democratic. for joe kennedy to rise up and enter the senate, there is only one path and that's to challenge markey or warren. >> that could be huge. thank you for joining us on "inside politics." alex marquardt is in for brianna keilar and he starts right now. i'm alex marquardt in for brianna keilar. on alert, a tropical storm warning and hurricane watch issued for puerto rico as dorian strengthens with florida potentially in its path. any moment the president's banks will be forced to reveal whether they have his tax returns. a judge rules that a pharmaceutical giant is to blame for one state's opioid crisis. who's next? plus, is brazil saying no thanks to over $20 million to fight the amazon fires? a curious statement from brazil's president. and as president trump attacks his predecessor on foreign soil while praisin