>> reporter: the new year, normally a time of celebration, has reinforced a devastating reality. australia's fire crisis is far from over. it's this constant fire threat that means many communities are nervously watching and waiting to see what the coming days bring, knowing there is more hot, dry weather on the way. simon cullen, cnn, new south wales. thank you for joining me. "inside politics" with nia malika henderson starts right now. ♪ hello and happy new year to you. i'm nia malika henderson. welcome to this special holiday edition of "inside politics." apache gun ships in the skies and tear gas in the streets as security forces fight back protesters attacking the u.s.

embassy in baghdad. the top presidential democratic contenders reveal who is flush with cash after the fourth quarter. and chief justice john roberts warns america not to take democracy for granted as he prepares to preside over the president's impeachment trial. >> hello, everybody. >> well, the impeachment thing is a big fat hoax. nancy pelosi should be ashamed of herself. she's a highly overrated person. and we begin the hour with a foreign policy gut check for the president triggered by twin c crises on the global change. the north koreans are again a front page problem. kim jong-un says he's free to test nuclear weapons. the other crisis, a flash point with iran, a temporary calm this

hour, but overnight militia men at the door of the u.s. embassy in baghdad. u.s. marines forced to fire tear gas after protesters set fires inside the compound. choppers buzzed over head. the defense secretary now says he will rush 750 more american troops to the region as a precaution. the president issuing what he called a warning on twitter and then walking into a new year's eve party telling iran any escalation would not end well for them. >> i don't think that would be a good idea for iran. it wouldn't last very long. do i want to? no. i want to have peace. i like peace. and iran should want peace more than anybody. so i don't see that happening. no, i don't think iran would want that to happen. >> cnn's ryan brown is in washington but we're going to start with arwa damon in

baghdad. take us to what's happening now. there's been a big cooling off of tensions this morning. what's happening and will this pause actually hold? >> reporter: well, we were just down outside of the embassy. i have to say i've been in iraq for 15 years and this is the first time that i was able to literal literal literally waltz straight through the checkpoints. you usually need a badge or to be escorted. just as we arrived a few hours ago was when these protesters were beginning to withdraw and the iraqi security forces were finally, it seemed, on the scene in full force. of course, begging the question of where were they this morning when protesters were again attempting to breach the embassy wall, where were they last night. we ran into iraq's minister of

interior while we were down there and asked him that question and he responded saying, well, it took us a long time to get forces together to come to this particular location and then brushed off questions as to what this meant for iraq's international image, simply saying, look, we're just here to secure the embassy now and make sure the protesters leave. but we did also speak to a member of the iraqi security forces who was there over the last three days and said, look, what were we supposed to do? if we had actually taken on those protesters, given who they are, that potentially would have led to a much more severe blood bath, one that would have been a lot harder to regain control of because of exactly who these protesters were. the vast majority of them are supporters of or members of this para military force that is ostensibly under the control of baghdad but has very, very close ties to tehran. >> arwa, thank you so much for

that report. a complex and involving situation there in iraq. ryan, does this temporary calm change the pentagon's plans to send the 750 more american service members to the region? >> reporter: that's a good question, but those 750 para troopers from the 82nd airborne division are already on their way if not there in the region. there have been several thousand additional american soldiers put on standby in case things got worse. it's very possible that those additional forces will not be sent to the region now, but no announcement either way. that was just one of many steps the u.s. had been taking. you mentioned the flying of the apache gun ships. the u.s. also flew in 100 marines from a crisis response force in kuwait into the embassy compound on mv 22s. the u.s. really tried to up its

posture in the region in response to this disturbance. bri crediting president trump's ordering of military troops to the area as one of the reasons you're beginning to see a bit of a calm in the situation. you have to remember what sparked this whole crisis, there has been a series of rocket attacks the u.s. had playmakered blamed on this iranian linked group. >> thanks so much for that report, ryan. we're going to bring into the room today here with us to share their reporting and their insights cnn's. happy new year to all of you. thanks very much for being here on this busy new year's day of 2020. we have seen from this president

a very unorthodox foreign policy doctrine. >> especially in the middle east. >> especially in the middle east, obviously in north korea too, which we'll get to in a bit. do you think this doctrine is working? is there a strategy here when you think about what's going on now with iran? >> i think at the root of it is a president who is at his heart not an interventionist sort of being forced to send more troops into a volatile situation that he has not wanted to make worse. i think he has relied a lot on twitter rhetoric with regard to iran. >> this is what he said. this is his reaction to the president. that guy has tweeted that we see iran responsible for the events in baghdad and we will respond to iran first. you can't do anything. >> right. >> second, if you were logical, which you're not, you'd see that your crimes in iraq and afghanistan have made nations

head you. >> that's sort of a gut check for a president who's now having leaders of hostile governments to the united states saying try us, you can't do anything. it's sort of reflected in kim jong-un's own rhetoric by saying, we're just going to go ahead and proceed. the president's charm offensive clearly is not getting much in return. >> should the u.s. have seen this coming? this comes after a month of this maximum pressure campaign and the maximum resistance reaction from folks on the ground there. pompeo basically said in an interview recent they've known for a long time there was this risk, but what americans are seeing on their screens i think comes as a surprise. >> right. secretary pompeo said they've seen this coming for a while. but when i've spoken to administration officials, you know, there have bes been conce

that the folks there are distracted. the white house has been distracted, of course, by domestic political issues. but in terms of iran, i think so much of this also calls into question this maximum pressure campaign they've been waging against iran. are these sanctions working in the way that they want? critics say that this is a result of this maximum pressure campaign and what they're seeing is iran lashing out because of it. it does call into question, of course, the trump administration's policies. >> and the president vowing this will not be benghazi. here he was last night. >> this will not be a benghazi. benghazi should never have happened. this will never, ever be a benghazi. but we have some of our greatest warriors there. >> you see the president there very cognizant of not wanting to be compared to previous administrations, what happened with secretary clinton in

benghazi and obviously president obama. >> there's an obvious political memory. gut check here when you talk about an embassy and protesters. the situation around benghazi, there's been various security measures put in place since then. there's a difference where the united states was versus europe on this. for the average person watching this, it's important for the president to make that distinction. others around the president have been making the same distinction. what hasn't been happening is there hasn't been that self-aanalysis about this maximum pressure campaign, also about the shifts about how the president moved away from the diplomatic engagement with iran. >> the iran nuclear deal. >> pulling out of that. but also i think it's significant that there hasn't been a lot of attention paid in the interim to just the particulars of the middle east right now. there's been various aggressiveness by iran progressively over the last several months where we haven't actually punched back. there also have been growing in

syria and iraq a more variegated, more confusing, more complex system of groups basically. they're sometimes aligned, sometimes not aligned. frankly the president's rhetoric has been to say we're pulling back, we're pulling out. you don't hear a lot of discussion about trying to shore up the stability potentially in these areas because the president has been more focused on pulling troops out and pulling away. >> this is part of what he wants to do and turn away from other policies he's seen as failing. >> exactly. >> but that does leave a void when you're talking about countries where iran has always had some influence for these militia groups that could be easily swayed and helped by iran to end up in this situation. >> he has tried. the other crisis going on is north korea. he had some, i guess, kind words to say about the murderous dictator kim jong-un. >> i know he's sending out

certain messages about christmas presents. i hope his christmas present is a beautiful vase. that's what i'd like, a vase as opposed to something else. denuclearization. that was done in singapore. i think he's a man of his word, so we're going to find out, but i think he's a man of his word. >> you know, the president has at times talked about the relationship with kim jong-un as sort of a love affair, love letters back and forth. what kind of leverage going into 2020 does the president have? what sort of position is he in now given that we know that the christmas present is not going to be a vase? >> there's always been a concern about the president's relationship and trying to ease tensions with north korea. i will tell you that on capitol hill this has been a concern for not just democrats but republicans as well. you can imagine what would happen if president obama had sat down with kim jong-un in the same way that president trump

has. i mean, there's been concerns about what are they discussing, have they done anything to really stabilize the region. that's been really unclear. going into 2020 he really has twin conflicts on his hand here. that could really have an impact on voter who voters. yet here we are on the eve of an election coming up in november. >> john bolton, of course, the former trump national security advisor, he said on twitter, how to respond to kim jong-un's threatening new year's remarks. the u.s. should fully resume all cancelled or downsized military exercises in south korea, hold congressional hearings on whether troops are truly ready to fight tonight. those are obviously sort of fighting words from the ex-nsa advisor there john bolton. up next, one republican senator says impeachment could be over just in time for the

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welcome back. the calendar now officially reads 2020. that means a renewed sense of urgency about nailing down a timeline for the senate impeachment trial. of course, nobody really knows how this is going to play out, but that won't stop lawmakers from making a few predictions. here's republican senator on a radio show in missouri. >> i think it will still happen quickly. the president's been invited by the speaker to come and give the state of the union speech on february the 4th. my guess is we'll be done with this by the time the president comes. but he's going to be up there

february 4th talking about what he wants to talk about, which i assume should be the economy. >> what do you make of those comments there? is this optimistic? this seems to be the burning question in washington, when this thing is actually going to start. >> when it starts, how long it takes, do they have any witnesses. all of that dictates whether it's going to be two weeks or potentially more. i think every republican is eyeing that february 4th date on the calendar and thinking that could be trump's victory lap assuming he's going to be acquitted by the senate regard less of the form this takes. but do democrats want to give him that opportunity? pelosi holds the articles in her hand and schumer may have some leverage with a few of the republicans. mitch mcconnell needs to get to 51 of those republicans backing the idea of no witnesses. schumer has basically already promised to force some votes on pulling some of these individuals who are not part of the impeachment inquiry in the

president's inner circle into this process. some members of the gop have said the president should be able to call witnesses too, which potentially opens the pandora's box of the bidens. >> the president seemed to suggest weeks ago that he wanted some sort of big, showy, circus-like trial. here he is saying something quite different last night. >> i think the impeachment thing, i call it impeachment lite. it's a disgrace. nancy pelosi should be ashamed of herself. she's a highly overrated person. i know her well. she's highly overrated. [ inaudible question ] >> i don't really care. it doesn't matter. as far as i'm concerned, i'd be very happy with a trial. we did that thing wrong. we didn't even have a witness and we won 196-0. >> they didn't win 196-0, but details. talk to me about pelosi.

there was some surprise after they voted on the articles of impeachment that she was holding them. is this something that you see lasting? is she going to hold onto them permanently? >> there was a lot of surprise that she held onto them. of course, there was a question of whether or not schumer and mcconnell could come to an agreement. once you send the articles over, technically the impeachment trial would start the next day at 1:00. perhaps she was holding them back because she didn't want to fall backwards into this impeachment trial. there is an expectation everyone hopes this gets worked out the very first week they get back from the christmas holiday. the reason for that is because you see republicans not wanting this to stretch far beyond early february. there might be some democrats who want to get back out on the campaign trail. they don't want to be stuck on the senate floor the whole time either. so that's where things stand at this point. mcconnell's made it very clear he is not going to start the trial until he gets those

articles of impeachment from nancy pelosi, despite the fact that i'm sure there are some in the white house, perhaps even the president himself, who wish that mcconnell would do this without her sending them over. there's really a difficult process ahead if that's the route he's going to take. >> there's something to the february 4th date. if the trial is still going on, it would put him in a very strange position, put the gop in a very strange position too. >> trump tweeting again -- as much as he says he doesn't really care about a trial, he says read the transcripts. this is from yesterday twitter. remember when pelosi was screaming that president trump is a danger to our nation and we must move quickly. now she doesn't want to go to the senate. she's all lies. most overrated person i know. meredith, what does this tell us about the president's mindset? >> well, the president is

concerned about how this looks for him for his legacy, but it's also a major talking point for him on the campaign trail. some of his advisors, you know, see this as a way for him to say this is what happens when you come into washington and try to drain the swamp. you get backlash from democrats. so you'll see, of course, more of him talking about this out on the campaign trail. even when he was down in mar-a-lago, i talked to a few folks who saw him when he was there and they said he was talking about how he's actually gone up in polling since all of this began. obviously his poll numbers are still quite low, but he thinks that this is somehow working. >> just to jump in, it's interesting if you look at who's been down at mar-a-lago with him. >> rudy giuliani being one. here's what he had to say about possibly being a witness. >> i would testify.

i would do demonstrations. i'd give lectures, i'd give summations. or i'd do what i do best, i'd try the case. i'd love to try the case. >> and i imagine democrats might love to see him give demonstrations, lectures and summations. just not so sure that republicans would. >> all of this amounts to a president who really does seem to care, by the way. he said he didn't care last night. we should just put it aside and say that he does deeply care. so the people who has around him -- if you've never been down there, it's important to understand what mar-a-lago is for the president. it's a safe space for him, it's a happy place. internally he wants legal experts near him at every point during this process. so he's been around people who are saying let's do it, let's bring it all out. that is sort of the bet nancy pelosi was making withholding

that. that's the risk and the bet she's taking that she is a wildcard who's going to come out and say let's do a huge circus. he's down there hearing all of this assorted input, let's try the case. >> there's a bit of a vacuum now because people are at home in their own districts. in the meantime he's filling it with whatever tweets and input he's getting from folks there in mar-a-lago. we'll see what happens with this. up next, pete buttigieg is starting the new year off on a very high note. sometimes your small screen is your big screen.

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pete buttigieg is kicking off the election year with a bang. early this morning his campaign reported it raised more than $24.7 million in the last quarter of 2019. now, that's a big jump from the previous quarter and essentially matches his best showing of the year. the campaign says that the money came from the 326,000 individual donors with an average donation of 33 bucks. all told, buttigieg raised more than $76 million in 2019, quite an impressive number for a small town mayor who started the year with low visibility on the national stage and ended it as a top contender. in his strong showing as a

reminder to his opponents that despie despite a rocky news cycle in recent weeks, he's still a force to be reckoned with. i want you to talk about what these numbers tell us about the state of buttigieg's campaign going into 2020. and are we going to expect similar numbers from some of his competitors? >> let's take a step back and think if anyone would have predicted that on the first day of 2020 that the mayor of south bend, indiana, would post $76 million in fund raising in 2020, i don't think too many people would have taken that bet. what this latest round of fund-raising has shown us about buttigieg is there's a level of staying power that we weren't sure the mayor was going to be able to get to. he certainly goes into the iowa caucus as someone who has a

viable shot at winning. further down the calendar things get a little bit more difficult for him. he still hasn't cracked the national top tier yet but there's no doubt he's going to be a legitimate force in iowa for sure. we are getting some hints as to what the numbers are going to be for some of the other candidates as well. elizabeth warren hinted toward the end of december that she had about $17 million in the bank. they were shooting for a goal of around $20 million. we expect bernie sanders' numbers to come in sometime this week as well. he has consistently shown to be a fund-raising force. we imagine his numbers will be somewhere in that same ballpark. nia, the numbers that i'm really most interested in, though, are those of former vice president joe biden. he continues to be the front runner despite the fact that he has faced some head winds. he's number one in all of the national polls. he is competitive in every single one of these early states. where he has lacked has been in the fund-raising department. he had a little bit better

quarter in the third quarter but the question now in the fourth quarter is can he raise the type of resources that he needs to get him through these first four early states and then on into super tuesday and beyond. no idea what that's going to be, but there's still a lot we need to learn about the state of this campaign and it will start to come into focus here over the next couple of days. >> thanks so much for keeping an eye on those fund-raising numbers for us. the big issue with pete buttigieg remains, right? a lot of money he's been able to raise and he is getting huge crowds in these early states, iowa and new hampshire, ahead in some of these polls as well. but no broad support. he's not doing well among young folks, african-americans or latinos. sort of comparisons to obama sort of end with his inability

to actual inabilily have a broa coalition. >> buttigieg has had really good fund-raising numbers, surprisingly good fund-raising numbers since the very beginning really and he's only grown from there. him bringing in this number does potentially put others on notice who maybe aren't going to match his haul for this quarter. the question is can he translate the money, which he's always had, into votes, which he's sometimes had. you need to be significantly into the double digits to be able to claim any electoral votes out of the iowa caucus. can he do that is really the question. i think biden has been fairly solidly in the top three, same with sanders and same with warren even though she and buttigieg have find of fought it out for that third spot in that stable leaders' pack.

i have not spent time on the ground in iowa like some of my colleagues, so i don't know if there's a rumbling on the ground that suggests he could up end this. >> if you compare where he has been with other folks in the field, he's done well. he's the blue line here. he was there, he's here and he kind of dipped and he's up again. and then some others. i think biden did well and a bit of a dip. we'll see where he goes. we don't know what his numbers will be. warren too had a bit of a gain and we'll see where she goes. their campaign seems to be telegraphing that her number this quarter won't be as strong as previous quarters. >> there's been a bit of a shift in her messaging. at first she was talking about medicare for all. that's started to shift. she's also taking more questions on the ground when she is giving these speeches. i think it's very different than

what we saw from her perhaps a couple of months ago. this is a very critical time for her campaign. she's the leading woman on the trail. she really represents the next phase of the democratic party. i think you could argue that buttigieg and biden really represent the old guard of the democratic party. i think in terms of their philosophy, very, very different. so it will be interesting to see how buttigieg and warren compare in iowa. >> and warren addressing what you see as a bit of a shift in terms of her messaging on the stump in terms of medicare for all. >> i take whatever questions come my way. sometimes i get questions about health care and sometimes i get questions about climate. we're still there on medicare for all. i think it is the right place to provide the maximum amount of health care to everyone who needs it at the lowest possible

cost. >> she says there i am still with bernie. this seems to in some ways if you look at her recent polls, it seems to have hurt her, focusing on medicare for all and she seems to be kind of trying to straddle the sort of buttigieg and biden wing with the sort of sanders wing, which is much more progressive. >> it's an interesting dance to watch her go through. you have bernie sanders who has such a strong base, strong grassroots base. and of course buttigieg and biden, you know, sort of on the other side of the spectrum. it puts elizabeth warren in a very particular spot. watching all of this and of course coming from covering the white house and covering trump, if we've learned anything from any of this and from 2016, a lot can change and we're seeing it happen in realtime. >> we're talking about fund-raising numbers here.

the energy in terms of who's been able to raise the most money, sanders and warren, the progressive wing, 111.1 million. and the more centrist wing, buttigieg and biden about 88.2 million. if we learned anything from 2016, trump certainly had the energy. >> we should also learn that the trump campaign just as buttigieg has done and other candidates, they are a fund-raising juggernaut especially with small dollar donors. medicare for all is actually one of their biggest battering rams, if you will, with the democrats. i think watching warren sort of back away from that is proof that that can be weaponized. the democratic electorate might be a little more moderate than that and they don't want to see the entire system dismantled. up next, congressman john

lewis talks about his fight with cancer and his plans to be in d.c. this new year.

topping our political radar today, 2020 might be the year the robocall finally meets its demise. president trump has now signed a bill into law that cracks down

on companies making unsolicited robocalls. cnn's alison kosik, is this it? is this over, sort of the scourge of robocalls? >> i wish it was over but i don't think that's really going to be the case here. the law should reduce the number of calls we're getting, but it's not going to make all the calls magically go away all together. the law increases the fines on robocallers who knowingly ignore the rules of up to $10,000 fepe call. it also instructs the fcc to crack down on these robocalls along with the help of the doj. it's a struggle to enforce any of this because many of the calls originate overseas. the law looks to accelerate the rollout of call authentication technologies. this is what the industry is currently developing. this kind of technology would block calls coming from

unverified numbers. these are calls that look real because they share your area code or they look like they're coming from an important government agency. the government tells companies to block the calls even without getting consumer consent. customers can opt out. but not sure why you'd want to opt out. americans in total receive billions of calls a month. the fcc already has some rules in place. campaign robocalls aren't allowed on cell phones without your consent but land lines are fair game. we're going to go to congressman john lewis as he stai stares down a fight with cancer, saying i am ready and i am doing

good. the 79-year-old revealed his pancreatic cancer diagnosis on sunday and since, he says, has been overwhelmed with calls and messages of support. we certainly pray for him and his family. it's mayor pete's final day to call himself mayor pete. pete buttigieg's successor will be sworn in as mayor today in south bend, indiana. buttigieg was mayor for eight years and of course he's now running for president. we are lucky enough to be joined here today by someone who grew up in south bend. so what do we know about this new mayor? what do we know about how folks in south bend feel about the outgoing mayor? >> he has a great or unfortunately last name. he's basically pete buttigieg's hand picked squ eed successor. he is his former chief of staff, fellow democrat.

he will be taking the helm of a city that's kind of an anomaly in indiana. it's a college town, it's relatively urban, it's very diverse for indiana standards. it's actually one of the things that residents there will probably be looking to mueller to pay more attention than mayor pete did in terms of addressing the african-american community's concerns about how they're policed. there was an officer involved shooting that pete took a lot of harsh headlines for. so they're looking for somebody who wants to hang out in the town, fix the potholes, talk to the diverse communities that are actually in southbound and do some mayoring. up next, as the senate impeachment trial looms, the man set to preside over it, chief justice john roberts, has a warning for americans.

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today is the day that hamilton warned us. >> these are the words of alexander hamilton written in 1792. could we find a more perfect description of the present danger emanating from 1600 pennsylvania avenue? >> hamilton said explicitly in federalist 65 that impeachment involves not just legal questions but inherently political judgments. >> alexander hamilton the favorite congressional reference during 2019 impeachment hearings. chief justice john roberts

started the new year with his own historic nod to hamilton. in his annual message, roberts celebrated the federalist papers as a high point of american confidence in the constitution but included this warning. we have come to take democracy for granted and civic education has fallen by the wayside. in our age when social media can instantly spread rumor and false information on a grand scale, the public's need to understand our government and the protections it provide is ever more vital. the judiciary has an important role. cnn's supreme court reporter joins me now. talk about what this report. what does this tell us about what's on his mind? >> it's an unusual report, right, because he never directly talks about his past relationship with the president or the impeachment proceedings. but clearly it's aimed at the

president and the role of judges. he knows in the coming days and weeks he might have to preside and cross the street for impeachment hearings. he knows what's going on. he laments the fact that schools aren't really teaching civics anymore and he's worried about social media. that's a dig maybe at the president. >> we know the president loves his social media. this was something from his letter where he talks about maintaining the public trust, the courts maintaining the public's trust. i asked my judicial colleagues to continue their efforts to promote public confidence in the judiciary both through their rulings and through civic outreach. we should celebrate our strong and independent judiciary but we should also remember that justice is not inevitable. we should each resolve to do our best to maintain the public's trust that we are faithfully discharging our solemn obligation to equal justice

under law. >> right. there he's talking right at the federal judges. he's got two messages. he says stay above the fray and stay in your lane, don't become political. it comes, of course, as the president in his tweets has attacked the judiciary but also some federal judges have attacked the president. here roberts is saying stay in your lane, we need to inspire confidence in the judiciary. and it was an interesting report to issue at the time. >> fascinating insight into the justice at this critical time. before we go, a quick programming note. before beyonce and lady gaga linda ronstadt was the first female popeye con. cnn films "linda ronstadt, the sound of my voice" premiers tonight at 9:00 right here on cnn. thanks for joining us on "inside politics." brianna keilar starts after a quick break. still fresh...

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for the second day in a row protesters tried to break through the wall at the embassy in baghdad. the pentagon prepares to deploy hundreds of american troops to the region. and kim jong-un putting the u.s. on notice,