welcome to our viewers joining us here in the united states and all around the world. i'm rosemary church. just ahead on "cnn newsroom" -- >> we went to afghanistan 20 years ago with one mission. and that mission was to deal with the folks who attacked us on 9/11. >> nobody wants afghanistan once again to bee a breeding ground for terror. >> setting back two decades of military enter vintervention, t taliban take control of kabul. the takeover is displacing a new

wave of civilians, human rights groups warn the future for women and children is now even more terrifying. and dual storm watches in the atlantic, tropical storm fred is gaining strength as it heads towards florida while haiti braces for tropical depression grace just two days after a devastating earthquake. good to have you with us. the taliban takeover of the afghan capital is driving chaos and can fusion and race for survival as afghans and foreigners try to leave the country. gunfire rang out earlier as crowds raced to catch a flight

at the airport, and this scene appears to be on the tarmac. cnn cannot independently verify it, but video shows masses of people scrambling up the gang plank to get on board a plane. the u.s. embassy is warning americans not to go to the airport and that is despite all embassy staff being evacuated there. the u.s. said earlier the airport perimeter and air traffic control were being secured by u.s. troops. meanwhile the taliban are setting up shop in kabul. ousted president ashraf ghani has fled the country and video shows heavily armed taliban fighters in the presidential palace. they have asked the u.s. to trust them and say a future government will include nontaliban afghans. but many including afghans who worked for the u.s. fear taliban lee reprisals. still america's top diplomat is defending the u.s. troops'

pullout. >> that status quo was not sustainable. like it or not, there was an agreement that the forces would come out on may 1. had we not begun that process which is what the president did, then we would have been back at war with the taliban and back at war with tens of thousands of troops having to go in because the 2500 troops we had there and the air power would not have sur niced to deal with the situation especially as we see the afghan security forces. and there is nothing that our competitors would like more than to see us in afghanistan for another 5, 10, 20 years. it is simply not in the national interests. >> as the chaos unfolds in afghanistan, our international security editor nick paton walsh is there on the ground in kabul. he takes us through the extra ordinary events of the last 24 hours. >> utterly extraordinary day. i think the image of which will

be in everyone's minds, the sight of seeing taliban fighters calmly sat inside what seems to be one of the key offices of now fair to say former afghan president ashraf ghani. calm, being addressed by a reporter in arabic, seemingly able to ignore some questions. but at one point one of the men speaking clearly in english saying that he was in guantanamo bay for eight years. and that is the seat of power and american money for the past 20 years or so, and there they sit with their weapons calmly demonstrating how they have walked into the capital, a city that frankly most thought was unpregnantable to them until just days ago. it caps a series of events where there were reports of the taliban on the outskirts, panic over an incident at a bank that seemed to trigger gunfire. but then without telling anybody, the president of

afghanistan left the country. quite startling as 24 hours earlier, he delivered a recorded message saying to everybody that he would stick on to try to get a negotiated solution, but he left with a small number of his own aides. unclear where he actually is at this point. he seems to have gone saying that he had a choice to stay or face the arms of taliban who we now see are inside what used to be his palace. what next? well, furious activity in the skies above me of u.s. aircraft, constant noise of helicopters, that is obviously them speeding up their evacuation, protecting what is now likely 5,000 american troops here, double the number that were taken back as part of the withdrawal process president biden put under way. startling scenes at the airport, people desperate to get in, people desperate to be on a flight out of here. and certainly troubling few days

ahead as we see how this residual and growing american force accommodates itself alongside the taliban who frankly appear in charge of most of the city at this stage and giving a message of wanting foreigners, diplomats to feel safe, to feel secure, to stay where they are, possibly hoping for border international legitimacy. we'll just have to see what kind of kabul people wake up to. >> nick paton walsh there. no personnel remain at the u.s. embassy in kabul. the once expansive u.s. presence in afghanistan is now concentrated at the city's airport. and these images were filmed sunday, crowds of people desperate for a flight out. commercial flights have been canceled. still evacuations continue with u.s. troops providing security and running air traffic control. the u.s. isn't the only nation pulling either people out. new zealand, south korea, france, sweden and saudi arabia

are all evacuating citizens and diplomatic staff. taliban are now closer to total control of afghanistan. 20 years after being removed from power by u.s.-led forces. cnn was there in 2001 when afghans saw their freedoms restored. here is a look back at reporting from cnn's christiane amanpour. >> reporter: this is the third day that the city of kabul will wake up to its liberation from the taliban forces and people have been going around doing things that in the five years of taliban rule would have made them criminals, things like playing music in public, things like women coming out from their homes and venturing out to see whether they can return to their jobs, whether they can get back into the workforce. this of course had been totally bannedhe taliban and women and children suffered greatly because of the inability to provide any work, money or health or nourishment for their

families. men are coming out and again lining up to get their beards cut. this because under the taliban, beards were made to be grown as a certain regulation length. so all sorts of things happening in the city here that defines it returning to a period of normality. >> and cnn chief international anchor christiane amanpour joins us now live from london. good to see you. so you of course covered this war right from the very start. what went wrong in the end and how were the taliban able to topple the afghan government so swiftly given the afghan army is four times their size? >> rosemary, it is first and foremost really shocking for me, it is a shameful day to see all of that progress that had been accumulated over the last 20 years simply handed back to the very enemy that the west fought after 9/11. the 20th anniversary of 9/11

approaching with this as its hallmark is a truly shocking development. what went wrong is going to be debated for a long, long time. you can put many fingers of blame all over the place. u.s. policy, afghan government corruption, poverty in the country. really sort of fake numbers on paper. you say that the army is four times bigger than the taliban. we don't really know that. it is all sort of smoke and mirrors to an extent. but what went really wrong is that the taliban have been waiting for some 20 years for this moment, have reconstituted themselves to an september to be able to do that, have sat back and strategized to be able to do that. and the united states has demonstrated that it was not willing in the end to have the conditions based removal of its forces. having said it would, it then removed its forces without any of the conditions, mandatory conditions for an actual safe removal of u.s. forces and an

end to what they call america's longest war. not only that, without a plan b. so you ask how the taliban conducted its lightning raid across the country, well, because there was no opposition not just from the afghan forces who keep flipping their allegiances, and we've seen it throughout afghan history when they are deserted by one side, they flip to another side. there were atrocities committed, but no effective international deterrent. there was no air power deployed, nothing to tell the taliban to just stay in your barracks and stop the assault on the capital kabul. and moreover, there was no commitment by the taliban at the peace talks in doha. this charade of a so-called peace process that went on first under the trump administration with the again nonconditions based date by may 1 to withdraw all u.s. forces produced absolutely nothing in terms of actual taliban commitments because they were saying one thing at the negotiating table

and doing something else clearly different on the battlefield. and so that is what went wrong with no plan "b" from the united states and wishful thinking that perhaps this was a different taliban, that the taliban wouldn't do this, wouldn't take afghanistan by force, wanted international legitimacy, et cetera. taliban has never governed in a true sense, it has only imposed its rule. so we don't know what is ahead except to refer back to the way they imposed their fundamentalist rule which led to terrorism back in the late '90s. >> and the evacuation of u.s. citizens and others has been chaotic with some critics calling it a saigon moment for the u.s. given kabul was surrounded by the taliban, why weren't embassy staff and others airlifted out days ago? >> again, that is a very good question. there was no plan "b," no

contingency, there was wishful thinking and all you hear from capitals such as london, washington and elsewhere, oh, my goodness, we never thought it would happen this fast. those are questions that will have to be addressed in due course. essentially if you look back in history, anytime a regime collapses there is chaos on the ground. i think what you will see is a successful evacuation of all foreign nationals. the taliban has already said we'll see if it keeps to what it is saying, but it already said that it will not harm foreign nationals. it wants foreign nationals to stay. it even wants the u.s. embassy to stay. however, countries will remove their nationals and are doing so right now despite the chaos at kabul airport. and the chaos as far as we can gather is really the afghans who have put their lives at the disposal of american and international forces and the afghan people's pursuit of

freedom and democracy, women's rights over the last 20 years, these are the people whose lives are at risk, these are the people whose lives are in danger because many have and will continue to fall through the cracks. we've heard heartbreaking interviews from inside kabul and elsewhere, of former military translators, ngos, women, others who have gambled on a bid for peace and democracy in their country and put their lives and their work for the u.s., british, european and other international forces and are now at risk of being abandoned. and as you know, many countries including britain, including the united states, have very sclerotic immigration processes and is very, very slow and we'll see whether these people will eventually be evacuated. but the sense of them being abandoned is a shameful one, it is unethical and one that many of the british and american and other military forces are trying to persuade their governments to remove these people who have

saved their lives and translated for them and stood between them and harm's way over the past 20 years. >> so what happens now where the taliban taking control of afghanistan, what will it mean for the country going forward and how stable can it ever be? >> well, rosemary, this is a really difficult question to answer. i can only go back to the late '90s when i was there when the taliban came in from pakistan, started taking over the east and the south, went over west to herat. i followed quite a lot of those takeovers of the provincial capitals, the towns and cities. of course it was a time when afghanistan was in full civil war during the late '90s. i was then a few months later in kabul when the taliban took over kabul. and all i can say is that we saw what happened then and that is what led to al qaeda, it led to 9/11, it led to a wholesale

assault on women and children, girl children rights, it led to a wholesale assault on men as well because there was no peace, there was no freedom, there was just dictatorial harsh rule. and let me say the taliban have never governed. what they did back then was not called governing, it was okay paying space, it was imposing rule, it was a dictatorship that was a fundamentalist islamic sharia particularly narrow taliban interpretation of that philosophy. it was the caliphate before isis was the caliphate. so all we know is that they say that they have changed, but we simply do not know except to refer to what they have already demonstrated on the ground. we know the promises they are making. they said the war is over, they sat as you see in those chilling very comfortable positions in the now, you know, evacuated afghan presidential palace in kabul, the taliban is now in

control. at the same time, there are checkpoints be set up around town which is giving great fear again to people who are at risk, who don't know where to go, who say should i go to my friend's house, how long can i hunker down there, will the taliban come for me. again, heartbreaking interviews that i've heard coming out of kabul. people just saying if they come to this house and my friend gives me up, they will cut my head off. this is a dramatic situation that could precede massive atrc atrcotius a tros atrocities. and it could be another terrorist safe haven. they do have numbers. they are still associated with al qaeda. isis is as well. so this is a very, very dangerous situation. and we don't know are countries going to recognize the taliban, will the talibans gamble that it can somehow do enough to

persuade the international community to give it international aid and legitimacy. we really don't know and we're waiting to see. this is almost an unpress depadented event. 20 years after going to war for one specific cause and that cause has been abandoned by the west and handed back to the very enemy that they fought back in 2001. so, you know, it is all the words, all the attempts to cover themselves in some kind of honor will not protect the west from what is going to unfold. and it is going to be very difficult to watch what happens to the afghan people again. >> it most definitely will. thank you for your analysis and your incredible reporting. and coming up here on cnn newsroom, afghan civilians have the most to lose with the taliban takeover.

thousands have already fled the violence this year and we'll have more on their plight. >> i can't believe the world abandoned afghanistan. and our friends are going to get killed. they will kill us. our women are not going to have anymore rights. that's all. i can talk another day. a triple-lift serum with pure collagen. 92% saw visibly firmer skinn in just 4 weeks. neutrogena® for people with skin. did you know prilosec otc can stop frequent heartburn before it begins? heartburn happens when stomach acid refluxes into the esophagus. prilosec otc uses a unique delayed-release formula that helps it pass tough the tough stomach acid. it blocking heartburn at thed prosource., with just one pill a day, you get 24our heartburn protection. prilosec otc. one pill a day, 24 hours, zero heartburn.

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protestors gathered outside the white house on sunday to voice their anger at the u.s. over afghanistan falling in to taliban control. the demonstrations were led by afghan-americans and protestors charted biden you portrayed us and save afghanistan. others carried signs reading stop the taliban. the u.s. is pausing evacuation flights for afghans who worked alongside americans and focusing to getting u.s. citizens out of the country first. the united nations security council is meeting monday to discuss the situation in afghanistan. one of the things they are concerned about, a refugee crisis as afghans rush to leave the country. but millions are already suffering. the u.n. says there are already

5 million internally displaced afghan civilians and more than 550,000 have lost their homes this year alone. pakistan has already taken in more than 1 million afghan refugees and 780,000 are living in iran. about 117,000 displaced afghans are currently in turkey and turkey's president says the country will work with pakistan to help stabilize afghanistan and prevent a new wave of afghan migrants. arwa damon is joining me live now. turkey's president says the country faces a waiver of afghan migrants through iran. what more are you learning about that? >> reporter: well, look, a couple very important things to discuss here. when it comes to the conversations about this afghan refugee crisis, it is worth noting that when it comes to turkey for example, those

100,000 plus afghans that are here, they are not necessarily individuals who arrived recently following this very rapid takeover of the taliban. and so what we are actually seeing now is a very, very limited crossing of borders by afghans trying to flee their own country. why? because the taliban has blocked most of the roads.s have a veryg

relationship with two countries who do, pakistan and qatar. turkey can't really afford another refugee enflux. it is still dealing with the millions of syrian refugees in country. europe years ago shut off its borders by and large to the influx of syrian refugees so turkey is trying to mitigate the potential consequences of seeing numbers of afghan refugees here spike. but as the international community does debate this, it is also worth having a conversation about how to protect afghans and provide safe passage for those who do want to leave, for those who don't want to live under the taliban, for

the afghan youth who make up the majority of the population who have much bigger dreams than life under the taliban would allow them to pursue. but one gets the sense with everything that has happened, with all the conversations that we're hearing about, that really as i was saying the conversation's focus is just about how do we ensure that afghans remain trapped in afghanistan and don't create problem for the rest of the world, for wealthier nations who could perhaps be capable of actually be taking them in. >> arwa damon, many thanks. still to come as the crisis in afghanistan deepens, we have yet to hear from the u.s. president. when he is expected to address the issue, that is coming up. plus pakistan is keeping a close eye on what is going on in neighboring afghanistan. more on what they have to lose due to the instability there, that is next.

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nation in the coming days. cnn's jerry diamond has more now from washington. >> reporter: as the u.s. backed government in afghanistan crumbled to the taliban, president biden was nowhere to be seen or heard. instead it was secretary of state antony blinken who was the top spokesman on this issue and for the first time admitting that the u.s. at a minimum m miscalculated the situation in afghanistan saying that he sxektsd ed expected that the afghan security forces who have been trained and equipped for nearly two decades thousand by the united states, that they crumbled in the face of the taliban offensive far quicker than the united states expected. he said more quickly than we anticipated were the words of tony blinken. plans are that the president will address the nation in the coming days but it is not clear

when. sunday he was at camp david where you can see in this picture the president on sunday morning alone at camp david at this big conference table, but on the screen in front of him, you can see the secretary of defense, secretary of state and as well as the national security adviser and dozens of other national security officials in washington and around the world. certainly the white house's effort to show that he is on top of the situation even as we're seeing this pretty chaotic scene unfolding in the streets of kabul and certainly at the airport where foreigners as well as afghanis were trying to flee the country as the taliban entered the country. of course this question of a miscalculation is something that the president will have to address. here is president biden just over a month ago talking about the fact that he believed taliban taking over afghanistan was highly unlikely. >> the afghan troops have 300,000 well equipped, as well equipped as any army in the

world, and an air force, again something like 75,000 taliban. it is not inevitable. the jury is still out. but the likelihood there is going to be taliban overrunning everything and owning the whole country is highly unlikely. >> officials have made clear that president biden has not had ended second thoughts about his decision to withdrawal u.s. troops from afghanistan, about you clearly the security situation rapidly deteriorating in that country. not only did the president on saturday decide to send an additional thousand troops on top of the 3,000 that he had ordered in the day before, but on sunday the department of defense announcing that anothanother thousand will go to afghanistan and so that will bring to 6,000 to consist with securing the airport in kabul and assisting with the evacuation and as well as many of the translators for

example that are now trying to get out of that country. so certainly a rapidly unfolding situation and the president expected to address the nation in the coming days. jeremy diamond, cnn, the white house. and cnn's anna coren has reported extensively from afghanistan including on a recent trip there, she joins me now from hong kong with the latest on the taliban takeover. so what is happening at the airport right now in the midst of very chaotic evacuation process and of course on the streets as the taliban take over the country? >> reporter: rosemary, i've been talking to a number of afghan interpreters who missed out on special immigrant visas. and they believe that their only hope in getting on a plane was to get to the airport. one of them actually entered inside the airport, he saw other families there, so he called his own family, told them to come.

he with ebts ent out to meet th taliban were at the gates and they would not let him back in. other footage, you can hear gunfire in the background and we're getting reports that there has been a shooting, we are trying to obviously verify that. but there is a real sense desperation from the hundreds of people if not thousands of people who have raced to the airport in the last 24 hours. last night we saw those chaotic scenes of people just on the runway. and even today, there are pictures of afghans running under these military planes as they are coming to land and takeoff on the runway. you have to remember at kabul international airport, you have the military airport and you have the civilian airport. the military airport is where all the embassies have evacuated to including the u.s. embassy. and this is the area that the 6,000 american troops will be

protecting. they will be looking after air traffic control as well as the perimeter. and we're seeing pictures of u.s. soldiers. one of those afghan interpreters said he went up to the americans and they told him to get back, to move back. he did not see the americans firing, but he did however see the taliban firing into the air to squcare people away. but this is causing huge problems because we know the civilian airport has been closed, commercial flights have been closed. so for all the afghan journalists who have worked with u.s. media organizations, many of them have sent their people to the civilian airport to get on commercial flights. those flights have now been canceled. so there are people there calling human rights lawyers in tears saying what do we do because all those people who have worked for u.s. companies,

for the u.s. military, for foreign organizations, they fear they will be targeted by the taliban. >> it is a terrifying situation for those people trying to get out. anna coren joining us there, many thanks. the region is already feeling the effects of the taliban takeover. uzbekistan says it detained 84 military personnel some of whom were wounded. and pakistani officials say that they have closely been following what is happening in afghanistan. officials fear the instability could affect their own country's security situation. pakistan reopened its busiest border crossing with afghanistan sunday afternoon after briefly closing it earlier in the day. but it is only open for the transfer of goods and supplies and not for pedestrians and travelers. our cnn producer is joining me now live from islamabad.

so what will pakistan's role likely be in trying to stabilize afghanistan given its close relationship with the staltalib and what will it mean for refugees? >> it has been a very busy couple of weeks here in islamabad. pakistan has been sending out a lot of signals about what it wants to happen in islamabad. it said that it is unfair the way the united states has pulled out so abruptly, and also sad that it is looking for an exclusive government. there was a delegation that arrived just last night as the eventses i sin kabul were unfol. and i attended that meeting myself yesterday. there were many senior leaders there. i spoke to one senior leader and

he said that they are looking for an inclusive government, that all ethnic groups need to be respected. they are flying out to qatar after meeting the foreign minister here in islamabad. pakistan's information minister spoke to me yesterday and he said that pakistan just wants to support an inclusive peaceful solution in afghanistan. there is a meeting of the pakistan security committee a little later in the afternoon here in islamabad which will consist of civil leaders as well as the military leadership which has been very quiet over the past couple days. the last time we heard from pakistan's powerful and influential chief of family staff was about four days ago when he reiterated that pakistan has done its best with whatever could have been done with the situation, with the peace talks in afghanistan. so we're just going to have to see with trepidation what lies

ahead for security in pakistan and what steps will be taken in the day to say come. >> so phiasophia, many thanks. after 20 years of progress, the future looks bleak for afghan women. the taliban say they have changed. but their actions indicate otherwise. that discussion, next. is olay better than your clean beauty? olay has 99% pure niacinamide. it's derm-tested. and now, it's cleanest formula with hydration that beats the $400 cream. tried. tested. never bested. shop at olay.com do you struggle to fall asleep and stay asleep? qunol sleep formula combines 5 key nutrients that can help you fall asleep faster, stay asleep longer, and wake up refreshed.

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all of those living in the provinces of afghanistan, all the way back in the districts and nobody hears their voices and they are in dire need of help. they are poor, they are not educated. the children are dying because they are sick. you should have heard what the man -- how the man talked to the

women today. in herat, the women went to him and told help about their lives, their work, the permission that they should have to go to school and to go to work. the man absolutely refused them everything. everything. >> an activist there talking about the bleak future women can expect under the resurgent taliban. fears are growing that the militants will revive their misogynistic and archaic rule from the '90s. girls and women were barred from almost all work, the right to vote and access to education. and despite taliban claims that they have changed, there is evidence that it is happening again. kimberly motley is joining me from charlotte, she is an international human rights attorney. thank you so much for talking with us. >> thank you for having me. >> so you recently returned home

from afghanistan. but as you watch how rapidly the taliban have been able to take over the country and now of course the capital kabul with so little resistance from the afghan military, what has been your reaction? >> i've been watching it in shock and horror frankly. i have been significantly surprised that they have been able to take over the country in such a short amount of time. i mean, i'm really concerned for the people there lawparticularl the women who are terrified at what they have to face moving forward under taliban rule. >> and yes, you have called the situation in afghanistan a humanitarian nuclear bomb that we can change. what do you mean by that exactly and what can and should be done to change that particularly for women? >> well, i mean, a couple things. first of all, i don't understand why the white house made this decision to withdraw its troops

so swiftly with literally no plan. i mean, i think that is abominable and definitely something that should be dealt with and it should really be looked at if there needs to be a change in leadership with regard to those advising the president because i don't know what his intelligence was telling him. in terms of women, it is really important to know whether or not they will be allowed to continue their education. there is many sort of groups that i represent like the afghan women's robotics team who were in the white house not that long ago who are now terrified for their lives. and so i think we really need to look at ourselves and frankly evaluate what we can do to continue to support afghanistan and as well as afghan women. frankly, i think as many women as that we can get out of the country, we have a responsibility to do that. and i'm hoping that the governments including the u.s. government and other governments loosen some of their very rigid

immigration standards that they require of people and really think about inviting -- allowing afghans to come in under different schemes than are traditionally available because this is a problem that was created unfortunately by the international community. i mean i know there has been talks about saigon. this is really saigon on steroids. it is insane what is happening there now. and we really have a responsibility, a humanitarian responsibility, to make sure that we continue to support the women, to support those that support democracy, freedom and rule of law and federal government out how we're going to move forward together. but before we do that, the u.s. government has the responsibility to make sure that everyone that they can is safe. and safely gets out of the country. >> and what do you think life will be like for afghan women under the taliban and how much did a change in the last 20 years while u.s. troops were there? >> well, mine i'll say that

while the troops have been there the last 20 years, that there were millions of girls that have gone to school. before we came there 20 years ago, there were no girls in school and now there were millions who have gone through school and with the mighchelle obama program, the let girls program, there are 80,000 girls that are supposed to be entering the 12th grade this year. we're hopeful that that can continue to happen, but we don't know. the infant mortality rate significantly was decreased within the last 20 years. we saw more women that were represented on virtually every sector, the health sector, law sector, political sector, the education sector. women were going to work, more women reading. you know, virtually there was such an amazing advancement of women in a very short period of time that there was sortaround n the country. and it is important to note that

afghanistan is relatively a young country. 70% of the country is under the age of 24. and so you have a lot of that population that is educated that prior to us going there 20 years ago did not have the benefit of education and a free press and things like that. so it is really, really concerning what this new normal looks like. >> kimberly motley, thank you so much for talking with us. >> thank you for having me. multiple storms are churning in the gulf of mexico and the caribbean right now. one is expected to make landfall in the u.s. the other is set to bring heavy rainfall to haiti just days after a devastating earthquake. fragrance infused s with natural essential oils into a mist. with an extra boost of fragrance you can see... smell... and feel. it's air care redefined. air wick essential mist, connect to nature.

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and it helps keep you asleep by sensing your movement and automatically adjusts to keep you both effortlessly comfortable. the sleep number 360 smart bed is on sale now during our biggest sale of the year. you are looking at some of the massive devastation left by saturday's powerful earthquake in haiti. the death toll has now jumped to nearly 1300 people and more than 5700 are injured. the disaster compounds problems already facing the island nation. haiti is still reeling from a political crisis following the assassination of its president last month and now a tropical

depression is approaching the country. meanwhile there are also multiple storms churning in the caribbean and gulf of mexico right now. haiti is bracing for heavy rain from grace while fred heads toward the florida panhandle. pedram javaheri is tracking it all for us. >> good morning, rosemary. this is a story a lot of people looking at carefully and you notice across portions of the gulf into the western atlantic, areas around bermuda, a trio of tropical systems to tell you about. grace in particular, one that we're watching because of course impacts across haiti and the island of hispaniola, this is a system that had begun breaking apart a little bit, down to a tropical depression, and a lot of it has to do with interaction across a very rugged terrain in this region. mountains here rise to as high as 10,100 feet, higher than 37 u.s. states.

so it often breaks systems apart. but unfortunately, at the expense of haiti and dominican republic and with it, as much as 4 to 6 inches of rainfall widespread. and a tremendous amount of deforestation in this region. so a lot of this will lead to flash flooding, potentially additional landslides. we know the search and rescue operations won't be helped with this storm. but look at the model consensus moving forward. we expect the system to quickly pull away come tuesday morning, potentially end up somewhere south of cuba, maybe make landfall in mexico and then early next week it could approach areas of northern mexico and southern texas. so here is the track of what could be tropical storm grace, but here is what is happening with tropical storm fred. a system approaching the florida panhandle, we think landfall this evening around pensacola. not going to be a big wind

maker, winds around 60 miles per hour, but rainfall amounts could be 3 to 4 inches along the florida coast, could see higher amounts once you get into the north georgia mountains and appalachians toward the latter half of the week. but a lot of rainfall in store around the southeastern u.s. >> appreciate that. thank you for your company. i'm rosemary church. be sure to connect with me on twitter @rosemarycnn. "early start" is next.

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good morning. it is monday, august 16, it is 5:00 a.m. here in new york. thanks for getting an early start with us. i'm laura jarrett. >> welcome back. a lot to talk about today. i'm christine romans. welcome to our viewers. we begin with the collapse of the afghan government and the chaos unfolding this morning. the situation deteriorating by the hour. mr america's longest war defending the way it began with the taliba