would probably go higher. booms tend to follow busts, and you get space-like volatility. what is adding to it is the geopolitical risk. russia exports about 4.5 million barrels a day of crude oil, and if you look at the buffer we have that saudi arabia and opec plus have, it's less than that. if we were to lose russia oil, prices could go higher and it would be too expensive for us to be driving to bring the market into balance. it's a very precarious moment in the global oil market. >> thank you, bob. the next hour starts now.

i am pamela brown in washington. you are live in the cnn "newsroom." welcome to our viewers in the united states and around the world. ominous images even as air-raid sirens sound in kyiv. satellite pictures show a military convoy stretching more than three miles long on the roadway to the capital city. tonight there are reports that russians have taken control of a southern ukrainian city, home to 100,000 people as well as a naval base. tens of thousands of ukraine refugees flee, and ukraine wants peace but will not surrender. as vladimir putin faces scrutiny around the world, and the defiance in ukraine remains unshaken. just look at this incredible

video after ukrainian forces destroyed a column of military vehicles near kyiv. . [ speaking foreign language ] air-raid sirens again tonight in kyiv. cnn's matthew chance is there. >> here in kyiv the air-raid sirens has stopped, of course, and i have not heard any explosions that have followed them yet, and it didn't mean the cities were in for potential

strikes. the port city on the sea which is a stretch of water between ukraine and russia, and it's strategic and important, and there's a naval base in that town and that has been moved into by russian forces, and the mayor was told by the russian forces that moved in, the administrative buildings were now under russian control and that's the significant development in the south of the city, and the city of kharkiv, you saw the pictures that show how ferocious the ukrainian resistance is. this is the second biggest city in ukraine, and russian forces have been making a concerted effort to take it over but have not succeeded at this stage. there's fierce fighting on the streets of that city as the two sides battle for control of ukraine's second biggest city. then in kyiv, of course, forces of russia all -- not all the way

around it but in significant places around it and these appalling scenes that would come to us from the west of the city, the west of kyiv, of a column of russian armored vehicles devastated. there's no sign of any of the people who were inside these vehicles. the russians who were inside, but all of them have been turned into twisted metal on the outskirts of the capital kyiv. there was a message, it says you came to our country and now go to hell, and there's swearing in that message as well. it's not necessarily, you know, going to be sustainable because tomorrow there are talks about what will happen next, talks on the border between ukraine and belarus, between the russians and the ukrainians.

are they peace talks? is it an ultimatum the russians will be tkgiving the ukrainians? all i can say is the fact is the russian invasion so far seems to be somewhat under powered and it doesn't seem to have achieved the strategic objectives that moscow perhaps wanted to achieve in this timeframe. is putin going to back down or redouble his force to attack this country? >> that's a key question tonight. matthew chance, thank you. it's the fourth night that ukraine has been under siege. the ukrainians are outgunned by the russians, but the cap still of kyiv stands stands strong. a director and writer was born in kyiv and she's staying at a friend's house outside the capital city in ukraine. thank you for joining us. first of all, how are you doing?

do you feel you and your son are in a safe place right now? >> hello. it's difficult to say where is a safe place in ukraine now because, you know, it seems like it's a lottery. two days ago we decided to move here. this place is near to kyiv and i thought it's more safe, but, you know, the same night when we arrived one russian missiles hit the oil terminal, which is actually quite close to the place we stayed. during the night i was watching the fire from my window, so i don't know where is this safe place in ukraine now. >> how is that for you as a mother? you have a young son. how are you handling that? so many ukrainians like yourself have to be parents and also warriors. you don't know what is going to happen at any minute. >> you know, ukraine is actually going on for eight years in ukraine now, and many people got

used to the war-conditions, and because i never expected that this full-scale invasion could attack my kyiv, my city and other ukrainian cities, so we were not ready, to be honest. i know many people, americans as well, warned us, but this morning when we woke up altogether and realized that the war, the big war has started, it was a nightmare and the last four days were strongly the longest days of our lives, so my son is trying to be brave. at least he is pretending. when we were sitting in our corridor in our kyiv apartment, he was listening to sounds of chants, and it was so scary and

our children are traumatized tp now, and when the war will have ended we will have a lot of work to do. >> so sad. you think about the kids and what they are experiencing, seeing a russian missile hit a oil terminal, as you described right there. you said the last four days have been the longest in your life. how are you able to sleep what is going on right now? >> you know, it seems like we are inside of somebody else's movie. i don't know who has written this script and what is ahead of us, but, in fact, i believe that ukrainians are writing the script altogether now, because despite everything and despite the fact that we are facing the real russian army right now, we are resistant like hell.

i saw something like that during the revolution of dignity, i was a participant of the revolution, but now it seems like the whole country becomes this, and everyone i know is helping ukrainian army or fighting themselves and, of course, some people had to flee or to hide in shelters, but we are working altogether, you know, to win. >> it has been incredible to see. deep down what do you -- how do you think this is going to play out? you say, look, you feel like you are in somebody else's movie, and the ukrainians put up an incredible fight. there's so much resolve and will to protect their homeland, but deep down, what do you think -- how do you think this is going to end? >> it's difficult to predict something, but i believe we'll

protect our freedom and our right for democracy for our future, because, you know, ukraine has changed a lot during the last eight years, during the last four days, and of course we will go to the end and that is true, but we need to also the support of the whole world because we are not that iron men and women who can protect ourselves forever. we feel that we have this support, but probably we need even more and we ask everyone to clear the sky if it's possible because we want to save more ukrainian people as possible, you know? >> yeah. >> they just crossed all the red lines already because they are talking everything and everyone, hospitals, kindergartens,

museums with paintings, everything. i worry about my people. i really ask the whole civilized world to help us and to help you guys as well, because, you know, for example, the fact that russians took control on the chernobyl nuclear power plant, it says something about us and about the whole planet, and taking into account that putin yesterday started to blackmail the world with the nuclear power means that we need to struggle, we need to resist all together. >> if you could talk to vladimir putin, what would you tell him? >> i don't think that i want to talk to him. i don't think that he's able to

listen because i truly believe that we see the real dictator who believes in this powerful kingdom that he has been building for years. you know, yesterday he has declared that he has taken responsibility for this ukrainian quest, and i know the rhetoric, and he used the same with the jewish, and putin just declared that ukrainians should not exist. i don't think we really need to talk to him. >> stay safe. i know that takes on a whole new meaning when you are in a war zone like you are now, and we are hoping and praying your son and you will be okay through this. it's a critical perspective

right outside the capital city in ukraine. fierce resistance by ukrainian forces and armed civilians stopped at least one attempt by russian troops to advance into a major city today. cnn's alex marquardt has more on that. >> the ukrainians are defying expectations in this fight, so far keeping the russians at bay in the major cities which is success that is surprising everyone. not only are russians coming at this city, the capital of kyiv from all different sides, and they are targeting kharkiv, and we have seen the kind of stiff resistance from the ukrainians that the russians are now moving into. a russian units moves carefully on the outskirts of kharkiv. their slow progress makes them a

target from ukrainians standing by. the russians fall back and their soldiers trying to shelter behind their humvee-type of vehicles. one more example of stiff resistance the russians are encountering. but the russians can't escape and run into further trouble, apparently surrounded. at least one of their trucks is disabled. a resident telling a reuters' journalist, one was killed in the fight. >> translator: after we killed this one, the others ran away. we will win. they won't take kharkiv. they have run back to where they came from. >> celebrating a small victory in a conflict where they should have no chance of holding off the enemy.

off camera one ses, and that's how we meet the [ bleep ] army. but this platoon's day is not over. the enemy is still in the area. they dash forward to fire off rpgs, a ragtag army that for now is holding off a far superior force, but for civilians here the russian offensive is terrifying. this apartment block in kharkiv hit by artillery fire on saturday night, and most of the residents were sheltering in the pwaeus basement, and one woman was killed. all of the apartments are damaged. it's very bad. even as ukraine resists, its people are still suffering. >> as this ukrainian resistance grows, so does the international support. the european union announced they are sending another $500

million of lethal military aid to ukraine, and that comes just days after the u.s. announced it was sending $350 million worth, and that aid and weaponry welcome in ukraine, and at the end of the day they know their forces are fighting alone against one of the biggest militaries in the world. >> thank you, alex. again, with me is air force colonel, and are you alarmed by this or do you think this could just be a show of force by putin? what do you make of this? >> well, pamela, i would definitely, if i were in the ukrainian shoes i would be alarmed by it because it seems like a really long column and one that would be a very ripe target for ukrainian efforts to

stop it. that column could be interdicted as we say in the military, which means basically stopped and cut off from it's objective, and that would be what i would be trying to do at this point. >> it's clear that putin is not making the headway in ukraine that he hoped. are you concerned that belarus, an ally of russia will send in its own troops? >> it makes it interesting given the fact that there is supposed to be peace talks on belarus on the ukrainian border territory starting tomorrow, and, yes, i am concerned that belarus, it is involved as directly as it is. i was concerned that russia was using belarus territory for the purposes of staging its invasion forces and now that belarus is actually sending it's military,

it's paratroopers into this, that proves it's just an appendage of moscow and needs to be held to account just like russia needs to be held to account. >> ukraine claims it launched drone attacks on russian forces. how do you see the fight that ukrainians are putting up? did the russians miscalculate what they were getting into? >> russia definitely discalculated what it was getting into, pamela. they should have looked at the war between armenia -- the same thing is happening with ukraine. i heard they have a total of six turkish drones, and they are

capable of fighting against convoys and moving objects, so these are highly effective weapons that can stall out a major offensive quickly if used correctly. >> i have been hearing from a lot of viewers and they want to know what kind of weaponry do the ukrainians have, and how are they going to make -- how are the weapons coming going to make their way to ukraine? >> there's a fourth side that is still open and that includes the polish/ukrainian border. a lot of weapons will flow through that border, and also borders like the romanian/ukrainian border. weapon system is a mix of

predominantly old soviet equipment and it does include some of the front line fighters that the soviet union used to have, however these weapon systems are old and they are not quite a match to the highest end of russian weapons that currently exist, but they can definitely be used and they are certainly anecdotal stories of them using their old weapons. as far as integrating the western weapons into the ukrainian military, that takes a little bit of finesse and the ukrainians seem to be pretty adept at adopting technologies that are simple to use into their arsenal, and those are the kinds of things they can do to not only expand their force, but expand their power and also use those weapons in a very good

operational sense so it gives them kind of a synchronization capability that they otherwise would not have. they could have better weapons, but, of course, we did not provide those weapons in time for the conflict. >> all right, colonel, we have to leave it there. thank you. >> you bet, pamela. president biden will give his first state of the union address in two days. coming up, what we are learning, how he will about a -- balance everything goioing on in his message to the american people.

(terry) [coughing] -excuse me.

(ray) if it's under 20 degrees out, i can't go outside my house because it feels like i'm inhaling broken glass. (ted koppel) 30 million americans have copd, half don't yet know it. (bill) when the doctor told me you have copd...what's that? (ted koppel) people struggling with copd are especially vulnerable to covid. (rhonda) it cut my life in half, that's what it did. (ted koppel) if we can't find them, we can't help them. help us help them. visit copdsos.org. president biden delivers his first state of the union speech on tuesday, and capital police are putting up fencing around the building where the president will address a joint session of congress. law enforcement is bracing for possible protests from truckers

that oppose vaccine restrictions. what are we likely to hear from the president on tuesday? >> the white house views the state of the address from president biden as an opportunity to highlight his leadership, not just domestically but also on the global stage. white house press secretary psaki said this will be a state of the union that includes the crisis, and the u.s. and its allies continue to strongly denounce russia's action when it comes to ukraine, and psaki says it will be a focus of the speech. take a listen. >> there is no question in the state of the union, the american people and people watching around the world will hear him talk about the efforts he led to fight against the autocracy and the efforts to vladimir putin to invade a foreign country.

that's certainly something present in our lives and in the president's life in this moment. >> of course, this will not be the first time that war loomed over a speech. can you look back at state of the unions from george w. bush and bill clinton. president biden will be holding a secure call tomorrow with allies and partners to talk about the tension, the attacks from russia on ukraine as well as the coordinated response. you saw the united states and its allies over the course of the weekend really step up their security assistance to ukraine as well as slapping those punishing sanctions against russia. the u.s. trying to show they are united with their allies as they are seeking to punish putin and russia for their actions. >> all right, thank you. first lady jill biden addressed the anxiety so many of us are feeling about the ongoing

war in ukraine and the uncertainty of the future. the first lady writing on twitter, i imagine many of us are feeling the weight of what is happening in ukraine over the recent days. parents are sitting in front of the television with their children explaining reports from thousands of miles away. our military families are aware that events taking place in europe may have a rippling affect on all of us. if you are or a loved one are looking for somebody to talk to, i encourage you to turn to mentalhealthgov veterans, service members and their families can access counseling at their local department of

veterans affairs vet centers. joe and i continue to pray for the people of ukraine. our hearts are with our troops and our military families, including those who are stationed throughout europe demonstrating solidarity with our allies. we are profoundly grateful for your service. and we'll be right back. if you have medicare and medicaid, a unitedhealthcare dual complete plan can give you extra benefits at no cost to you. like up to $150 for covered over-the-cnter items and groceries every month. with unitedhealthce dual complete... ...there's more for you.

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all night we have been showing you images of ukrainians fleeing the country they call home. many forced to wait for hours in the cold to cross over to safety. we will take a look at this clip from a d.c. based humanitarian that decided to travel there to help out the way he knows best. >> the people don't astop arriving. people are cold and families are cold and they carry whatever they can bring, could be a suitcase but they are bringing children. it's freezing cold and i don't know how people make it. what you see is we're telling them, guys, guys, there are many ways to fight, and some people fight just making sure people

are fed, and those are our people and we are going to be supporting them one neighborhood as a time and one resident at a time. you can take care of a neighborhood. it's doable. >> in a tweet he said i am meeting so many refugees and families that are escaping and don't know what's next. we will do our best not to let them down. just incredible from him. i have spoken to a number of members of congress tonight, republican and democratic about what they believe the united states and its allies need to do next when it comes to the russian war in ukraine. democratic congressman said the united states should sanction the energy sector. >> i believe we need to go there, and i say that recognizing there will be some costs to us, that ordinary americans will be paying higher at the pump, but frankly i think that's a sacrifice we need to

pay, because we will pay far more later if we don't successfully stand up to putin on this. i think there are two things the administration can do to mitigate that sort of pain we might feel at the pump. first, release some of our reserves in the strategic petroleum reserve. then the second thing we can do is lean on those countries in opec, especially saudi arabia to increase the level of production. this is a time for them to step up and we will be noticing and taking note of what decisions they make. >> democratic congressman seth moulton that served in the iraq war told me he agrees with most of the steps the biden administration has taken so far but feels it has been too slow to act and he detailed questions he wants answered in the brief

tomorrow. >> the question i have is what is the long-term plan here? we are following the news hour to hour for how russian forces are advancing on kyiv and on the capital, and this reckless decision today to put russian nuclear nuclear threats on alert, and what happens next and are we prepared for what happens if ukraine falls? are we prepared to strengthen nato we can ensure putin stops here? i sat down with secretary blinken and this was my question to him. what happens next? are we thinking two or three months ahead, because frankly the administration has been doing all the right things but i think they could be doing them sooner. >> ahead of tomorrow's expected meeting between the ukrainian

delegation and the russian delegation, a republican senator said the world needs to give diplomacy another chance even though she doesn't think vladimir putin is serious about pursuing peace. >> i think diplomacy would be good, and i grew up in the city near a border that has been able to detour russian army where it's getting shelled nonstop from belarusian. i spoke to my friend, victoria, and we said we will never be part of the soviet union, no chance. a lot of blood already from both sides, but from ukrainian side, you know, they have been at war for eight years, so a lot of young kids were killed so it's

difficult to have, but now when they have a full invasion of the country killing civilians, shelling them with ballistic rockets, and civilians have to stand up in front of tanks where they see that, you know, they have an aggression to try and destroy their citizens in the country, it's difficult to have talks and diplomacy, but we need to have a diplomacy chance, we need to have some conversation so they can have a cease-fire and have a discussion, because this can escalate in a very, very significant crisis. >> democratic congresswoman, sarah jacobs that visited ukraine last month echoed her responses. >> what we want is to make vladimir putin change course, to change direction to, take a different path so it can't just be escalation, escalation

without anything on the other side. it just can't be throwing everything at the wall. it was clear that what we had been doing was not enough to get him to change course, which is why this new round of sanctions i believe was warranted, but the key now is to make sure every time we escalate sanctions or working to put on pressure, putin can take another path and we need to be continuing to have opportunities for him to do that because the last thing we want is with him with his back against the wall when he has no other option but to double down and continue escalating. >> russia's invasion is costing them on the pitch, too as the world cup approaches and that a number of teams don't even want to p play them. that's up next. a ququote today. ♪ we are farmers. bum-p-pa-dum, bum-bum-bum-bum ♪

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tonight the impact of the russian invasion of ukraine is spilling over into the sports world. fifa banning russia's name and flag from next month's world cup qualifiers and announcing the russia team will have to play its matches at neutral site without spectators. let's bring in don riddell. it seems kind of petty when people are fighting and dying, but how big is this move by fifa? >> you could say it's petty, and others would say it has not gone far enough. fifa is used to calling the shots but they are struggling to keep face -- pace with the backlash. poland indicated they were uncomfortable with the game, and

fifa came out with their plan that you just detailed but the p polands said our stance remains intact, and the polish national team will not play with russia no matter what the name of the team is. russia and poland and sweden and the czech republic are in a playoff and one will go to the world cup this year, and sweden indicated they feel the same way as poland does, which means fifa has a decision to make, do they kick russia out or give russia a free pass to the world cup this year, and how would that look? this is going to be a difficult situation for fifa because they have become tight with russia over the years, and with ukraine in 2014, russia still got to host the world cup in 2018. the following year, the fifa

president accepted the medal of friendship from russian president, vladimir putin, and infantino has not said if he will give it back. fifa s fifa finds itself in the same position as the olympic committee. russia still gets to compete at the games. no flag, no anthem, but everybody knows it's still russia and in beijing recently, we saw another allegation of russian doping which really did mar the games. march 24th is the date of the games. >> we are hearing about a show of support for ukraine during a match in portugal. tell us what happened there?

>> this juan was poignant. the ukrainian player came on as a substitute, and it was just a remarkable scene. the crowd applauding him, showing their support and their empathy for the situation, many of them holding blue and yellow ukrainian flags. and he was just overwhelmed, overcome with emotion. we are seeing images and scenes like this all over the world in the game at the moment. the union players having to compete with the weight of the world on their shoulders and they are getting support. >> as they should. the world is standing with them. the actor screen tkpwaeld awards. >> i once heard the dalai lama

say a world of peace is not a world without problems but it's a world where we decide to solve our problems peacefully.

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first i would like to extend prayers to the people of ukraine. that's how fran drescher, who are the president of the screen actors guild began her comments at tonight's s.a.g. awards. the guilt is pledging its support to ukraine. how did that support show up during the award show, chloe? >> good evening. when brian cox took the stage to accept the award he immediately called the attention to russian actors. take a listen. >> the thing that really distressed me is to what is happening in russia to my fellow actors and actresses and performers and writers and critics. they are told under the pain of high treason they cannot say a world about ukraine, and i think that's pretty awful. i think we should all stand together and also for those

people, the people in russia that don't like what's going on, particularly the artists. i think we should really join in celebrating them and hoping they can actually make a shift, as i believe they can. >> he received a standing ovation, pamela. other celebrities mentioned ukraine in their speeches including michael keaton, and also leslie odom junior, and he said we will pray for ukraine. it was the theme throughout the evening. it was mentioned. >> husband and wife actors, ryan reynolds and blake lively took social media to pledge their support for ukraine. what are they doing? >> incredible. ryan reynolds took to social media as did blake lively to reveal they are going to match every donation up to $1 million for those fleeing ukraine.

they put the pledge on social media and it has gotten hugs from people all over the world, likes and retweets, and many happy they are setting the bar high for others that have a platform. you have seen angelina jolie and miley cyrus, and it's a big show of support to put their money where their mouth is. >> certainly is. we are also seeing pictures of sean penn in ukraine where he's making a documentary. what do you know about what he's doing while he's there? >> i know this is a question that so many people are asking, including me over the last few days. we saw the photos that president zelenskyy's office put out after a press briefing, and he's doing a documentary on vice world

news, and in a statement on behalf of zelenskyy's office, they said he was a friend and sean penn is the founder of core that aids around the world, and he did a documentary for relief efforts after the earthquake in haiti in 2010, and he's no stranger about disaster on the front lines, and he has the support of the ukrainian president and many people there. >> all right, chloe, thank you for staying up late for us. we appreciate it. >> thank you. the world tries to help from afar, every day ukrainians are rising up to oppose russia. a remarkable look at scenes of resilience as resistance enters a fififth day. up next.

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since russia launched its attack, hundreds of ukrainian civilians have been killed, thousands injured and hundreds of thousands have fled in fear, but the ukrainian people are showing amazing resilience in the face of so much aggression. >> the last night in ukraine was

brutal. they are fighting against everyone. they are fighting against all living beings. >> we are ready for peace talks but we are defending the country at the moment. >> they say they are not hitting civilian infrastructure. look at the damage around here. >> putin's rockets may have shattered glass but not dented the anger here. >> this is a time to be vocal and condemn the actions of president putin. >> usa, support ukraine. save lives. >> we have been seeing russians on the streets in moscow, and 26 or 27 cities so far have been showing up and protesting, and they are very quickly, usually, detained and arrested. >> our leaders are not at all taking enough actions to help ukrainians who are our neighbors

and our friends. >> so far around 300,000 ukrainians have come to the eu member states. i'm really impressed of the strong solidarity that eu citizens are showing to the ukrainians coming. >> do you have any estimations on how many refugees might come in the future? >> no, but i think we need to prepare for millions. >> 36 to 48 hours walking and waiting out in the cold. the stories we are hearing about these overnights in the freezing temperatures with no food, no water, no bathroom, with little children and then as they get closer to the actual border crossing from the shear panic and the agony of it all, it ends up largely be a free for all. >> for more information about

how you can help humanitarian efforts, go to cnn.com/impact. this is cnn breaking news. >> hello and welcome to our viewers joining us from all-around the world, coming to you live from ukraine, i am michael holmes on a snowy morning here. bitter fighting continues for a fifth day. the delegations will meet ukraine's border with belarus, which, of course, is a key russian ally. ukraine's president having little hope the conflict wil