or, ask how to get up to an $800 prepaid card. this is cnn breaking news. >> welcome to our viewers around the world and in the united states. i'm hala gorani reporting live from lviv, ukraine, where it is just past 9:00 in the morning. we begin this hour with what u.s. intelligence officials say appears to be a major strategy shift by russia in ukraine. russian forces are pulling back from some areas in the north, including the capital to focus on gains in the south and east. however, the latest video from kyiv tells a different story. a cnn crew reports major rocket and artillery fire around kyiv

and intense fighting in the northern suburbs. ukraine's president says he will believe the russians are scaling back their military operation when he sees it. >> reporter: the signals that we hear from the negotiating platform can be called positive. but these signals don't drown out the explosions of russian bombs. >> well, the u.s. is echoing that same skepticism. the pentagon says a small number of russian forces have moved away from kyiv in the past day or so, but russian can still inflict massive brutality on the city. >> we'll see. i don't read anything into it until i see what their actions are. >> there is what russia says and there is what russia does. we're focused on the latter. and what russia is doing is the continued brutalization of ukraine. >> we're not prepared to call this a retreat or even a withdrawal. we think what they probably have

in mind is a repositioning to prioritize elsewhere. >> john kirby there. now, we have to warn you this next video is graphic. it shows the absolute destruction in the suburb of irpin. you can see dead bodies left in cars and on the streets as well. we've blurred them. it's too dangerous for residents to go out and collect their neighbors and loved ones and give them a proper burial. ukraine's military claims that it pushed russian forces out of irpin in the past few days, but by the looks of this new video, there is not much left of that suburb. and this map shows the places near kyiv where russian troops are still very much operating, mostly to the northwest where irpin is, for example. and northeast of the city. fred pleitgen spoke with residents and ukrainian troops in kyiv to find out what they make of russia's promise to scale back assaults on the capital.

>> reporter: even after russia announced it plans to withdraw most forces from around kyiv, the fighting continues. residents we spoke to told us they don't believe moscow's words are for real. "on the one hand, they retreat. and on the other, they will transfer their efforts to other position," alexander says. "so it's difficult to talk about a withdrawal." "i do not believe in it. it's probably just a rotation," says yuri. "it's a regrouping of their troops." despite forces being stalled near kyiv for weeks, russia claims it will withdraw because it has achieved its military objectives and now wants to make a positive gesture to ukraine, moscow's negotiating team said after talk in istanbul. a decision was made to radically at times reduce military activity in the kyiv and chernihiv directions says russia's deputy defense minister. but the russians also made clear this is not a ceasefire, and the sounds of heavy battles still reverberate around the capital.

but the territorial defense forces at this checkpoint say make no mistake. if the russians really do withdraw, it's because they lost. >> from the first days of war, it was obvious that the russians will be defeated on the battlefield and the diplomatic field and political field. it is out. >> reporter: while many here hope the battle for kyiv could end soon, the toll both in blood and infrastructure is massive, and parliamentarian roman tells me he is not sure ukrainians will ever be able to trust russia again. how long do you think it could take to make relations better again before there can be trust between russia and ukraine again? or trust towards the russians i would say. >> i think it will be years and years, maybe, hundreds of years. you know, every people in ukraine lost all their house of relatives, of friends in this war. and our children, they have a night in shelters. they listen to bombs.

and it's for ages. >> reporter: while both ukrainian and russian negotiators say talks to end this war are progressing, few in the capital trust that peace could be coming soon. fred pleitgen, cnn, kyiv, ukraine. >> for more on russia's proposed troop pullback, let's go to clare sebastian. so the assessment is a statement was made, but on the ground obviously, we're not seeing it pan out. >> this is the key issue. fred talked about trust towards russia on the ground. i think it applies towards the talks and the international community. russia stated it would see a significant pullback around kyiv and the northern city of chernihiv met with widespread skepticism from the international community. u.s. president biden saying basically, he'll believe it when he sees it. he is going to look for actions

rather and that words. volodymyr zelenskyy himself saying in a statement on social media last night that those kind of statements don't drown out the explosions of russian bombs, that the situation on the ground is still very difficult. he is still calling on the west to ramp up military aid to ukraine. so this is clearly a sign that there were progress, that they moved further than before. but there is a significant lack of trust toward russia. people are waiting to see what happens next. as fred pointed out, there are concerns that this is not so much a pullback, but a reorganization. perhaps a sign that troops, as the pentagon pointed out yesterday, are moving to a different part of ukraine and even perhaps pulling back to reorganize and regroup and perhaps resupply as well, hala. >> all right. well, if that is the case, then, how is trust restored or in any way, how does any kind of trust

exist between the two parties if literally the second one side pronounces the words, the other side says we don't believe you, and here is proof on the ground. how do you take it from here any way forward? >> well, talks need to continue. and i think a sign of how far the talks went, despite that lack of trust yesterday, hala, is the ukrainian side they're actually moving towards potentially an in-person meeting of presidents putin and zelenskyy. that would, of course, be a key moment. but meanwhile, the key issue of ukraine is the discussion of security guarantees. it's clear that joining nato would be a red line for russia. they are considering the option of taking that off the table and instead discussing neutrality of security guarantees with their allies. that is going to be a sticky point to reach with russia. and also the key issue of the donbass. it seems that russia's new state today in the conflict has been to deliberate the donbass that is a red line for ukraine.

clearly many sticking points remain. >> clare sebastian, thanks very much, coming to us live from london. a deadly strike on a government building in southern ukraine now to tell you about. the cctv footage shows the moment a missile hit the regional military governor's office in mykolaiv. officials say at least 12 people were killed and another 33 were injured in this attack. and you see it there clearly on the surveillance footage. the region's governor says half his office was destroyed and images from the scene show a massive hole ripped through the middle of the building. mykolaiv was among the first regional capitals attacked when russia launched its invasion. while ukraine troops have forced russian soldiers out of the city, mykolaiv remains a key target. for many civilians living near the front line, the fighting has become too much to bear. ben wedeman has our story.

>> reporter: the blasted hulks lie on a lie outside mykolaiv. more rumbles in the distance. a lieutenant doubts peace or even a pause is at hand. russia he says put such a huge effort into invading ukrainian territory. it's hard to believe it will leave so easily. as fighting raged on the road, just a few minutes' drive here were civilians, many of them huddling in their cellars for protection, scared of the fighting, but terrified of the danger if they tried to flee. this house in the nearby village of shevchenko took a direct hit. bombardment is less frequent now. it's just calm enough for 72-year-old natalia to pack up and go. "it's impossible to tolerate

this anymore," she says. "i'm already an old woman." a neighbor will drive her to nearby mykolaiv. shrapnel riddled his car and shattered the back window. "i'm not afraid to die," says natalia, "but i'm just not ready. i haven't gone to confession yet." in an adjacent town, yuba shows me the potato cellar she hid in for days. "it's cold here," she says. "there was no electricity for two weeks." as fate would have it, she did well to stay down there. one day a rocket landed in her backyard. tongue-in-cheek, she told us the russians left a gift for her, a gift that keeps on taking. all right. we have to leave this spot because this rocket has not exploded. many of the villages near the front have been largely

abandoned. only the most stubborn stay behind. ben wedeman, cnn, outside mykolaiv. well, still to come on cnn, why food insecurity in some of the world's most vulnerable countries is likely to get a whole lot worse due to the war in ukraine. we'll be right back.

i'm hala gorani live in l virgin islands. a dire warning for world leaders. the war in ukraine is threatening efforts to feed 125 million people across the globe, including in poorer countries. he says half of the grain purchased by the world food program comes from this country, ukraine, and that the war is disrupting growers' efforts to produce crops. the crisis is being compounded by a shortage of fertilizer. here's more. >> so now we're talking about a catastrophe on top of a catastrophe. because ukraine from the breadbasket of the world now to bread line.

we never dreamed anything like this would be possible. it's not just decimating ukraine and the region, but it will have global impact beyond anything we've seen since world war ii. >> earlier, i spoke with members of the agricultural community right here in ukraine about the risk to them and to the world. take a look. on this farm in western ukraine and many like it across this country, the future of food security for hundreds of millions of people around the world is being determined. 1/3 of the world's most fertile soil is in ukraine according to u.n. so what doesn't grow here, or what this country is unable to export buzz of the war, local officials tell me will cause ripple effects around the globe. the repercussions of the war in ukraine began to impact

everything, including all agricultural operations inside and outside the country, including the sowing season. western ukraine, where this farm is located, accounts for a relatively small portion of total wheat and corn farmland. the most productive farms lie in the hottest conflict areas of the country. like izyum in eastern ukraine. satellite photos show the extent of the destruction in and around that city. in one video, russian artillery positions and ukrainian counterattacks are visible in a field. and the ukrainian agricultural minister tells me the impact on this year's crops will be devastating. >> last season we have approximately totally 110 million tons. this year we expect at least 30% less than this amount. it's very -- of course we

understand that the war continue and nobody knows what will be tomorrow. >> reporter: and so far this year, the minister says the country has lost almost $9 billion in agricultural revenue. wheat is usually planted around march and harvested in the summer. but we're told on this farm near lviv that most farmers in the conflict zone are writing this year off completely. because it's simply too dangerous to work the land. this is already impacting food prices for everyone, but most acutely for people in vulnerable countries. in 2020, 80% of lebanon's wheat imports came from ukraine alone. 40% of libya's. 30% of egypt's wheat came from ukraine last year, and now bakery prices there are jumping as high as 25%. on top of climate change and

rising inequality, the russian invasion will deepen poverty and increase instability thousands of miles from where missiles and shells are causing devastation. back on the farm outside lviv, we meet pavlo who manages the fields and other crops that grow here like apple, plum, and walnut trees. are you ready for the longer term? if this war lasts a long time, are you ready to dig in and keep working? >> we have to be ready because we have no other choice. i and all other farmers who work with me here are ready because we're responsible for providing food, not only for ukraine, but for other countries. >> reporter: beyond production issues, there is also a shortage of workers. some have joined the fight against the russian army. others have moved to safer areas or left the country all together. a sector that employees hundreds of thousands in ukraine, hollowing out as the war grinds

on. ukraine is known as the breadbasket of europe. and so a war on this country is also an attack on all those who depend on it for food. well, steve gordon joins me now in lviv with mercy corps. thanks for being with us. let me ask you first about your operations throughout the country. i know you've been crisscrossing this war-torn country. what have your biggest challenges been? >> i mean, one of the main challenges we have just now is the sheer scale of the country and the logistics of it. if you want to travel to the east, it's about a 40-hour journey across. it takes you two days. there are many hazards on the road. the supply chain for all of these people is really, really vulnerable just now, and we're relying on the railways.

everything has been affected by the conflict. and i think we're going to see this impact. we still have people who are really vulnerable, and i think things will impact more if the supply chain is targeted any farther. >> what is the biggest need, the most urgent need right now? >> when you're talking in municipalities, when you go out to the more affected area, one thing they're always asking for is medicine. that seems to be one of the supplies that's been worse just now. but also, if you look at food stocks. if an area was to be besieged or cut off or for example the railway lines were targeted or the road bridges targeted, there would probably only be four or five days of immediate supply of food. and therefore people would get into trouble fairly quickly. >> okay. so what can ordinary people watching this do to help?

>> i think it's -- it's looking at what's needed just now. i think if we send money to organizations who are working here, that can be spent specifically on what is needed for the country, what's needed. there is an incredible effort right now. when you go to the polish border, you will see all these trucks with this massive spontaneous kind of sense that people want to help. but reality, when you travel around, you go to warehouse, and you see a lot of the clothes and blankets and things are just piled up, not being used. i think if money comes in to organizations, it can be spent specifically on what's needed for these communities. i think that's the best way forward just now. >> are you seeing this -- you're seeing this obviously looking forward as a long-term effort inside ukraine for your organization? >> look, it's -- we can imagine

the conflict has just kind of come through its first stage, and it's kind of slowing down and developing kind of patterns. we're seeing more effects. and we had a national huge wave of people moving. up to 12 million people have been affected inside the country by this. and now we still have a large number of people in the areas affected. i think to keep food going, to keep the marks going, as your previous piece said, to make sure that the harvest goes ahead, these are all kind of key things to go forward. but our organization, this is the beginning of a very -- and all other the humanitarian agencies, this is the beginning of a much longer effort for us all. >> and one of the things we talked about before the show this morning was the fact that some people can't afford or are unwilling, understandably, to pack up and go to poland if they're in their 70s, 80s, older

sometimes. they're riding this out. how do you assist people who are so vulnerable? >> i mean, when you travel to -- i can give an example from kharkiv, where you've got these suburbs, particularly the ones in the north and the east of the city that are really badly affected by shelling. ukraine has a large elderly population, and a lot of these people are either unable or unwilling to go. and they're stuck in their houses. and the thing is, as for neighbors, people around flee the fighting, they get even more vulnerable, even more remote. i mean, these people are relying on small local organizations who go bring them food and help them on a daily basis. these -- there are so many vulnerable people. and there are so many towns and villages across. you don't need to be on the front line to be affected here.

can be fired up to 40 kilometers in some cases. huge areas of countryside have effectively become no-man's land as such. and anybody who is still in those areas is very vulnerable. >> absolutely. steve gordon, thanks very much. good luck to your teams on the ground. steve gordon is with mercy corp. hundreds of thousands of ukrainians have escaped to hungary, among other countries. but what they're not able to escape are their worries for their country, for those they've left behind. we'll fit vitt a refugee center in budapest, next.

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russia's claim to scale down military operations around ukraine's capital and chernihiv is being met with skepticism. take a look at what's happening on the ground. russian forces have been stalled outside kyiv, but artillery fire can be heard in the distance. while russia has moved small members of troops away from kyiv, the pentagon says it is more of a repositioning than a withdrawal. and we have to warn you, the next video is graphic. it shows the widespread destruction in kyiv's western suburb irpin. the area is largely deserted now after ukrainian officials claim they have pushed russian troops

out and bodies can be seen lying right there on the streets. that kind of carnage is fuelling a growing refugee crisis. according to the u.n., russia's invasion has forced more than 10 million people in ukraine from their homes. an estimated 6.5 million internally displaced and almost 4 million others have fled the country. that's almost a quarter of the country's population. the vast majority has crossed into countries neighboring ukraine, and that includes hungary, which has taken in almost 360,000 refugees. cnn's matt rivers shows us the situation there. >> reporter: each time a new group shows up, it's anybody's guess how many refugees there will be, but more than a month into this war weary ukrainians keep coming and coming looking for safety in the hungarian capital of budapest. so authorities here say as compared to a few weeks ago,

things are now much more organized. once people come in they get processed and the idea is get them to where they want to go. if they want to stay here they go to door number four for local accommodations. door number three would take them to the airport. door number two and number one over here is where refugees go when they want to go to the train station here locally. making their journey a little easier is yulia, a volunteer. translating ukrainian into hungarian or english or spanish. here she helps us speak with this couple who left behind family as they fled ukraine a week ago. are you worried about them? >> she wants everybody would stay alive and be healthy. >> reporter: she wants what everybody wants, to be safe. >> yes. >> reporter: yulia has a gentle touch with the new arrivals. she is warm and kind and

empathetic because she, too, is a refugee from a suburb of kyiv. she fled amidst intense fighting a few weeks ago. yulia took this video just before she left of the shelter she used when the bombs were calling. on her way out of the city she took this video of shell casings on the ground. was it difficult to leave your country? >> yes, of course. >> reporter: why? >> because it's your country. it's your land. it's so, so shock -- so surprising for what's happened and for why. >> reporter: she has been here for several weeks with no plans to leave. yulia desperately wants to be back in ukraine, but for now she'll help however she can. why are you doing this? >> little help, it's help. everybody want help. ukraine, how you can. >> reporter: today that meant everything from serving up hot drinks to guiding this woman to get her medication. however she can show people that she cares and at the end of our interview a hug for us too.

>> tell everybody about this story. >> reporter: and a message. >> help, please. stop this. >> reporter: we will. thank you. >> you're great. >> reporter: matt rivers, cnn, budapest, hungary. >> well, if you would like to safely and securely help people in ukraine who may be in need of shelter, food, or water, please go to cnn.com/impact. you'll find several ways you can help there. i'll have more from lviv at the top of the hour. for now, i'll turn it over to rosemary church at the cnn center. rosemary? >> thank you so much, hala. we appreciate it. we'll be back with you very soon. well, a top eu lawmaker says china's position on the war in ukraine is actually giving russia political support. beijing has stopped short of denouncing russia's invasion, and president xi jinping has offered for china to play mediator for the warring countries. but the head of the european

parliament's delegation for relations with china says china's tactics fool no one. he says the way beijing handles this war will impact future relations between the eu and china. jamie metzl is a senior fellow at the atlantic council who has served with the u.s. national security council and state department and was deputy staff director of the u.s. senate committee on foreign relations when joe biden was chairman. he joins me now from new york. great to have you with us again. >> great to be here. >> so michael shuman writes in the atlantic, the two separate events, russia's war on ukraine, and a series of covid-related shutdowns in china are working together to accelerate a shift that's transforming global politics and creating a new world order. and he says both are accelerating a shift that is taking the world in a dangerous direction, splitting it into two

spheres, one centered on washington, d.c., the other on beijing. so jamie, do you agree with shuman's assessment of the shift towards two separate worlds? >> i do, but i don't think it's just happening now. this has been happening for some time. certainly for china, they have been pulling back from their engagements with the rest of the world. the united states in the earliest days of the pandemic saw that our reliance on china was extremely dangerous because we couldn't get basic medical equipment, and we didn't trust our relationship with china. now russia's brutal invasion of ukraine has divided europe in a way we haven't seen since the darkest days of the cold war. and we're seeing that russia is getting weaker and weaker, and russia will eventually become a weak vassal of china. and we are going to see these two larger atmospheres, a sino centric and western sphere.

it looks like china, russia and north korea and a few others will be part of the china centric world. and like in the days of the cold war, everybody is going to have to figure out what's their right relationship with one of these magnetic poles. and it's certainly sad because i know there were many of us who had big visions of what our globalized world could look like, and we still have problems like climate change that we can only solve together. but we are pulling back from the heights of globalization. our world i think is getting much more complicated. >> so where do you see the shift going in the end? do you fear conflict may result as this accelerates? or will we see two distinct words, each using different technology and following different political, social and economic systems, having very little to do with each other? >> well, it's both. we're already seeing more conflict now. that's what this ukraine crisis.

russia is challenging essentially the post war order in europe. and there is a parallel between what russia is doing in ukraine and what china is threatening to do in taiwan. and so as the ties that bind west and east and europe and russia and others together begin to weaken, there are greater opportunities for misunderstanding. and we are seeing greater conflict now. there is a very, very real and perhaps growing possibility that we'll have conflict. >> and jamie, as china continues to become more self-sufficient, reducing its vulnerabilities and reliance on the u.s. and its allies, does america need to be doing more of the same, disconnecting from china, becoming less reliant on its cheap labor and goods? as you mentioned, during covid, at the height of it, they did draw back. but does america need to do that more so now?

>> absolutely, yes. and it's already happening. and that's when we talk about decoupling. that's what it means. the united states and europe are highly reliant on resources from china and things like rare earth metals from china and resources from russia. and what we're seeing is that our supply chains can't just be decoupled from our consideration of international affairs, of human rights, of stability and world order. and while we love toage that we can have one global supply chain connecting us all, countries like the united states, europe, can't be overly reliant on countries like china and russia. and as the chinese look at what's happening in russia and the leverage that the international community has over putin, you can be sure that they are looking at their supply chains and their investments and asking how they can be more

self-sufficient. so i certainly think we have passed the high watermark of globalization. that doesn't mean that globalization is over, but it's going to look very different going forward than it has in recent years. >> jamie metzl, it was a pleasure to get your analysis. many thanks. >> thank you. just ahead here on cnn, a deadly shooting near tel aviv has left several people, including a police officer, dead. we will go live to israel for the latest. that's next. to design solutions to helelp you manage payroll, benefits, and hr today, so you can have morere succes tomorrow. ♪ one thing leads to o anothe, yeah, yeah ♪

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locations before police killed the suspect. elliott gotkin joins me now live from the scene of the shooting near tel aviv. elliott, what more are you learning about the shooting, and do authorities believe it's linked in way to the other two attacks? >> the authorities are concerned about growing violence. as you say, this is the third attack we've seen in israel in the space of about a week. leaving 11 israelis dead. what happen last night, it began from where there was a main road to further up there. he came down this presidential street. he then appeared to shoot from what appears to be a teenager on an electric bicycle. police say he missed the teenager and came here and right behind me here where you see these candles, there are two now identified as ukrainians age 23 and 32, sitting on a quiet evening outside this shop. they were shot dead at

point-blank range. the man shot and killed a man driving home from his car and he went around the corner and shot another man who had his baby in his arms. the baby was engaged. he was engaged by israeli police officers a motor bike. his partner got off the motor bike with his pistol, shot dead. the driver and gunman police identified as amir kouri, age 32. he was taken the hospital where he later died of his wounds. sis then police have been on the highest level of aalert. they're beefing up education in public places and sending more battalions to the west bank as well. israeli prime minister naftali bennett, who still is in isolation with covid-19 says they will not break us, we will pre prevail. as we go into the start of

ramadan, we've got passover, we've got easter coming up, there was already concerns that there could be more violence happening in the country, and those concerns seem to be being realized before those religious holidays begin, rosemary. >> just a shocking attack there. elliott gotkine bringing us up to date. still to come on cnn, some americans could be eligible for another covid booster, and not a moment too soon. we will have more on the new omicron strain that's now dominant in the u.s. and much of the world. plus, we'll have a report from shanghai where 25 million people are coping with a state-ordered lockdown and mandatory covid testing. anley, a global collective of thought leaders offers investors a broader view. ♪ we see companinies protecting the bottom line by p putting people first.

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the omicron sub variant ba 2 has now become the dominant strain of covid-19 here in the united states. accounting for more than 50% of all cases according to the cdc. this comes as the fda expands the emergency use authorization of the pfizer and moderna vaccines. which allows adults age 50 and older to get a second booster. that's total of four shots. those eligible are able to get the shot four months after the first booster. shanghai is reporting 6,000 new covid infections. accounting for 70% of all new cases across the country. the out break is fuelling panic in china's financial hub. and authorities are clamping

down with even tighter welcome down restrictions. we have more now from shanghai. >> reporter: emotions in shanghai are in a breaking point. chinese social media showing people shoulder to shoulder, pushing to get vegetables, panic shoppers stocking up ahead of an unprecedented city wide lock down. the plan is shut shanghai down in two phases. first, the eastern half. from the river. then, the west. in all, some 25 million people confined to their homes. already desperate stories emerging. this woman pleading for permission to leave her compound. saying her husband needs his cancer treatment. this latest omicron fuelled surge in cases is china's worst out break since wuhan two years ago. and for some living in the country international financial hub, shanghai, this is unlike anything experienced here

before. video circulating show hundreds of covid patients filling up crowded hospitals. so as to keep in line with president xi jinping zero covid policy, shanghai has turned stadiums and exhibition centers into centralized makeshift hospitals. this video is from the shanghai expo center. said to hold 6,000 patients. on twitter, chronicling her experience testing positive with mild symptoms. taken to the expo center, given just a bucket and rag to wash up every day. just about every day outside, you hear a blaring loud speaker with a new announcement. on this cold rainy day, another mandatory covid test. my neighbors and i hurried to the nearest government testing site. >> they only let us out of the gate. for the test. and we head back in. >> once done, your neighborhood gate is locked back up. stores and restaurants that had one confirmed case pass through

are treated like a crime scene. ro roped off and disinfected. since the first case in december, the average new daily case count surged from double digits to 5,000. there are more than 65,000 active cases and counting. the virus has spread to 29 provinces and regions. the lock downs and mass testing bring life to a near halt in many places and could have global economic impacts. china province and industrial hub, along with the steel making center, locked down. china's silicon valley is only just reopening after putting 17 million residents under lock down for a week. back in shanghai, this latest lock down is forcing tesla factory to hit the brakes on production. and already caused shanghai disney land to shut its gates. this bustling city powering down to the outside world the scenes are apock liptic.

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are you a christian author with a book that you're ready to share with the world? get published now, call for your free publisher kit today! hello, welcome to our viewers around the world and in the united states this hour. i'm reporting live from lviv in ukraine. we begin with russia's announcement it will drastically reduce the military activities in the ukrainian city of kyiv. u.s. intelligence officials say that maybe true, but they're warning of increased attacks on y yai areas in the south and east. also maybe a repositioning