hello and welcome, everyone. top of the hour. i'm don lemon and what an election night. what an election morning in america. cnn's special coverage has been following all those historic wins, major upsets and some races that could take days, if not weeks, to crown a winner. this is the state of play right now. we're going to get the balance of power in the house. control of the house is up in the air right now. 218, that is the magic number this morning. that's how many seats both parties are hoping to win, okay? so let's take a look. democrats on the defense.

178. republicans leading with 198. these results not stopping house minority leader kevin mccarthy from claiming victory despite many undecided races. >> now let me tell you, you're out late but when you wake up tomorrow, we will be in the majority and nancy pelosi will be in the minority. the american people are ready for a majority that will offer a new direction, that will put america back on track. republicans are ready to deliver. >> he may be right, but he's a little bit ahead of himself. everything is not decided yet. let's look at the senate side. republicans still hoping to gain control at this moment. we are watching four key races here in nevada, wisconsin, arizona and georgia and cnn has not made any projections in

these states at this hour. you can see it's very, very, very close. in nevada, adam laxalt very close. his opponent catherine cortez masto was ahead. ron johnson who is the republican hanging on to the lead. mandela barnes and 50.5% for ron johnson. let's head to arizona. they are doing reporting. their votes are -- reporting the votes in the biggest county. maricopa county until later tonight, okay? so they still have some work to do there, but there's a lot going on. the elections office is moving onto the early ballots there. victor blackwell reported that on cnn. as it stands, the incumbent democratic senator mark kelly is in the lead. and in georgia, republican herschel walker and raphael

warnock locked in a very tight race there. could this head to runoff? the secretary of state is saying it will. cnn has not projected that. our coverage has people all over the ground. we're all standing by here. so let's take a look here. we have all of our folks standing by, our reporters, our correspondents, our producers, crews, all in the field. now to mr. john berman. john, there's so much to get to. did you see all those faces and people out there? >> a lot of people out there. they are ready and john berman is as well. where do you want to start? >> right now if it were to end the senate would be tied 50-50. four races we have not called. georgia, wisconsin, nevada and air

arizona. this will determine the balance of power in the u.s. senate. ron johnson has a lead of 1.2%. there are still votes, again, mandela barnes with a lead. will the remaining 18% be enough to make up the 32,000 vote margin? it will be tough. it will be tough. let's see what happens there. let's head out west in arizona. we've received some new counting there. mark kelly is ahead by 110,000 votes. his margins are shrinking. he was ahead by more earlier on. we've seen thi s in arizona

before as more of the vote gets counted there. maricopa the largest populus county. he's outperforming biden. only mail votes. however, some of the late arriving mail vote in maricopa county. this is the incumbent. catherine cortez masto. you can see the sea of red. everywhere but clark county. all of the remaining vote in clark county is mail-in vote. in nevada we know the mail-in vote tends to heavily favor the democrats. are there enough mail-in votes? let me point out washo county, another key swing county. right now adam laxalt is leading in the swing county. if a republican wins there, usually you will see them win in the state. we'll watch this closely. just 64%.

>> washo had been leading now a adam laxalt is leading. >> i meant overall a change. >> she was leading much of the night. >> yes. she was leading much of the night. now he is. in georgia, this rail now, raphael warnock was leading. he is at 49.2. the number is 50%. if no one gets to 50% plus one vote there will be a runoff on december 6th. why does that matter, don? i'm going to switch screens to show you why that matters. it's so interesting. the battle for control of the u.s. senate. these are the four seats that we have not projected yet. you can see 48, 48. republicans need 51 to control the u.s. senate and take control. democrats need 50 because kamala harris, the vice president would

break a tie. let's allocate these races. ron johnson if he maintains his lead, that would give republicans 49. if adam laxalt were to prevail in nevada, that would give republicans 50. they're close. mark kelly leads in arizona. then what are you left with? you're left with a runoff in georgia. you won't know who controls the u.s. senate until a runoff on december 6th. if for some reason catherine cortez masto can

i was out at voting sites today and a lot of republican voters were dropping off their ballots in-person. so, you know, i think some people didn't want to mail it in, some people didn't have time to cast their ballot on one of the voting machines or, you know, they don't trust them even though it's shown that the voting machines are fine here and they're accurate and they can't be tampered with, they did drop them off. so that may be something that we will see, especially in the

rural areas of the state. >> all right. t tabatha, we appreciate your time. i know it's late or early, we appreciate it. thanks so much. >> thanks for having me. >> absolutely. up next, the other big story is the undecided race for control of the house. also the results of governor's races. this is cnn's special live coverage. men put their skin through a lot. day-in, day-out that's why dove men body wash has skin-strengthening nutrients and moisturizers that help rebuild your skin. dove men+care. smoother, healthier skin with every shower. the face of millions of germs zapped in seconds. the face of clean. the face of whoa. some are of intensity, others, joy. all are of - ahhhh. listerine. feel the whoa! okay everyone, our mission is complete balanced nutrition. together we support immune function.

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this is financial security. and lincoln financial solutions will help you get there. as you plan, protect and retire. ♪ and we're back. i'm don lemon. at this hour neither party has won control of the house or the senate. nail biter races all across this country and votes are still coming in. i want to get back to my colleague harry enten at the cnn battleground desk. so, harry, i just want to see how election deniers did overall in these midterms, although

everything isn't in yet. how did they do? >> let's look specifically at gubernatorial races, because they are at the top of the ticket and obviously elections are state run exercises. so let's start off in the state of arizona which is really the only state where a full blown election denier on the republican side is actually competitive. kari lake right now only down by two points, obviously as you and john has been talking about a lot of vote is still left to be counted. beyond arizona it was a bad night for election deniers at least in gubernatorial races in blue and swing states. massachusetts, this is a state you say, okay, it's a really blue state but, remember, it had a republican governor for a long time in charlie baker, but here geoff diehl got blown out, losing by nearly 30 percentage points. it didn't sell in massachusetts. how about michigan which of course is a perennial swing state. what happened there? tudor dixon losing by eight points to gretchen whitmer the democratic candidate. election denialism did not sell

in michigan. how about maryland which is a blue state but one that had a long-time republican governor. what happened here? dan cox getting blown out, 22 points. down to wes more seeing i will winning as the democratic candidate. in pennsylvania which we've been talking about all night long in that gubernatorial race what happened? doug mastriano one of the most full blown election deniers getting blown out in the state, losing by nearly 13 percentage points in a state that joe biden won by just over a percentage point. election denialism in blue states that had previously elected republican governors and in swing states for the most part it just didn't sell, don. >> thank you very much. we're going to have wes moore on cnn on thursday, our thanks to harry enten. kaitlan, people will be ana analyzing this election for weeks and months to come, probably into 2024. >> particularly what harry was just talk being there which was this democratic strategy when it came to boosting these election deniers, essentially arguing that they would be easier to

beat. tonight -- and this is something they took a lot of heat over because the argument was are you being hypocritical by saying democracy is at stake, look what he is on the line, you need to go out and vote democrat and previously helping boost these candidates. for these people, the ones that harry just laid out in new hampshire, in pennsylvania, in michigan, it seems to have paid off as a strategy at least. >> look, i think it's important to say that first of all while democrats were hypocritical to push these candidates that they were riding a wave within the republican primaries themselves. this was not a total creation of democratic outside spending, this was donald trump backed candidates for the most part because there was an election litmus test within the republican primary and the question was in this out year election could that be enough where they might win a general election because it's a dangerous game democrats were playing there and republicans, too. it looks like at least in that northeast quadrant of the united states the answer is a definitive no. and one of the most fascinating stats for me and, you know i'm

obsessed with this is independent voters. they went 49-47 for democrats this year in an out year midyear election. that is unheard of. >> why is that unheard of? >> because typically independents will swing against the party in power usually double digit, what we saw in 2010 and 2014 where independents went republican to counterbalance the obama years. in 2018 over ten points towards democrats. they were narrowly for democrats this year and suburban voters by the way stuck republican, that is fascinating. i wonder if in part it's independent voters saying i'm not going to follow that election denier kind of crazy into a general election. >> what stood out to you about this? >> listen, i mean, election denialism is essentially trumpism, it's the same thing. these were hand-picked candidates by donald trump, he was on the phone at some point telling blake masters to lean into the election denialism. you saw some of these folks try to sort of airbrush their records from the primary where

they were election denial folks and then they sort of -- i think the candidate in new hampshire said, well, i have done a little bit more research and i don't -- >> don bolduc which trump is criticizing him for on truth social. >> saying this is why he lost. >> what he did was he questioned the results of the 2020 election then he walked that back and then he walked his walk back, if you could follow that. >> an election denier two step. >> i think donald trump has had a really terrible night and we know that this is the way he wants to present himself should he run for reelection based on the big lie, based on, you know, joe biden being illegitimately elected a president. we see in state after state that just a vast number of voters reject tg. >> which is a victory for reality. let's say that. because that was one of the real questions going into this election. can election deniers win a general election. we knew they could win a primary. could they win a general election?

in many cases it seems to be a resounding no. >> biden gave two speeches, in some ways focusing on -- questioned should this be something that's part of their closing message but it resonated with a lot of voters. >> to two people to watch is adam laxalt who signed on to that lawsuit over the 2020 election, he is running against katherine cortez masto with that seat we are still watching. also kari lake to see what happens to her in arizona. she was the one that when trump was urging blake masters to keep pushing the election lies he was like, well, look at what kari lake is doing. she gets asked about her family and trump said she would bring up 2020 election. stand by, we will get back to you two for your analysis on all of this. we have a lot of key senate races, especially that one in georgia, a big question is whether or not it is going to be headed for that december runoff. and whether or not former president trump and president biden will be campaigning there. remember they were absent object the campaign trail in the last several weeks in georgia. we have more projections in the race for control of the house, all of that is next.

welcome back and good morning, everyone. i'm don lemon. at this very early hour the balance of power in the house not yet decided, republicans are leading by 20 seats, but still 20 away from that magic number of 218, you can see it up there on the board. republicans have 198 right now, democrats 178. democrats picking up three spots

there and republicans picking up nine so far. let's head over now to mr. john berman at the magic wall. john, you can keep us up to date -- bring us up to date on the balance of power in the house. >> this is the race we have projected right now. republicans control 198 of the seats, democrats 178. look at where republicans are ahead, where republicans are ahead right now this would give them control of the u.s. house. we are not there yet, we have to count all the votes but if things keep going the way they are right now they would get control, but look at that margin. it's barely anything. it's nowhere near what they were hoping for. it would be a good night for them in the sense they take control of the u.s. house, a disappointing night in terms of expectations. i want to look at the competitive seats, 82 competitive seats in the country between cnn and inside elections project that. democrats are leading in 47, republicans in 35, the republican path, though, is much shorter, they only need to win 30 of the republican seats, they

are ahead right now in 35. so you can see they're doing what they need to do to take control, but not the night by any means that they were hoping for, don. let me show you some of the states that are very interesting at this hour. let's look at new york. okay? one of the things i've been pointing out all night long, we live in new york, right? ten competitive districts here we consider. two years ago -- right now republicans are leading in eight of them. two years ago eight of those districts were democratic just two republicans. so democrats, believe it or not, right now their margin in the house is because they're underperforming in new york state. go figure. blue state right now. another thing i want to show you is in colorado -- that's new mexico which is near colorado but not, in fact, colorado. let's go to colorado. what i wanted to show you was new mexico is near colorado. >> it's early. >> in colorado this is lauren boebert's seats. she is a republican fire brand,

election denier. she is someone democrats would love, i mean, they would just love to defeat her. right now she is trailing, she is trailing by, you know, 4,000 votes, almost 5,000 votes with 88% in. i do want to caution democrats not to get overexcited. one of the places where there is still quite a bit of vote to count, there's 86% in is in mesa county the most populous county in the state, her home base, she has a healthy lead there, she could make up that margin, but a tight race for lauren boebert there. another race i want to point out he was just in new york, i was telling you about the problems democrats are having in new york. let me go back there. this is the seat held by sean patrick maloney, westchester and other counties nearby, he's trailing by about a point, by 3,000 votes, 98% in. there is still more vote to be counted. republicans would love to defeat him here. this would be a symbolic victory for them, taking out the chair

of the democratic congressional campaign committee, part of what could be a good night for republicans running in new york state. >> and a redrawn district. >> all the districts have been redrawn. he was largely in charge of trying to get a positive map for democrats in new york state. he overreached and democrats ended up with a worse map and he may be suffering for it there. let me look at -- there are some places where democrats could still flip seats that they're trailing in right now. when i say flip i mean they could overtake the republican there. illinois, a democratic race, with he see four competitive districts here, two years ago four of those would have been biden, right now democrats are trailing in one. this is illinois's 17th congressional district, largely redrawn. this would have been sherri busto's seat, she retired. the democrat trailing by almost 3,000 votes but when you dig down at the county level you can see moline, rock island county which is a democratic plus 12

county, there are no votes there. so while this district right now looks red, you could see it go blue sometime in the next several hours. >> you're very fancy because when i lived there we would call it moline. >> moline. >> you're right. >> we are watching this as the night goes on -- or i guess we are now in the morning, republicans stamp looks like they may gain control of the house but not the night they were hoping for. >> certainly not. john berman, thank you very much for standing by at the magic wall. standing by for a lot of things. this is not over yet, not by any stretch of the imagination. we will stand by as we await more votes in these key senate races. we will compare the performance of florida governor ron desantis and donald trump as they could be on the verge of a 2024 matchup. we are back in moments. skin is , too. and it's natural. treat it that way with aveeno® daily moisture. formulated with nourishing, prebiotic oat. it's clinically proven to moisturize dry skin for 24 hours.

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good morning, everyone. don lemon here. the 2022 midterms may be giving us a big clue about the 2024 republican presidential primary. our harry enten is at the battleground desk. we talked a lot about florida governor ron desantis. what say you, sir? >> so, i mean, look, i think the big thing that's coming out of this midterm is that democrats did so well and i'm kind of going, okay, why did democrats do to well despite the fact that joe biden is unpopular? let's take a look, though, at the national polling that essentially looks at those who have a favorable view of only

biden, only trump. biden and trump, neither biden or trump. look at that, only 38% of voters had only a favorable view of trump when you add in that 1% that had a favorable view of both biden and trump, donald trump's favorability nationwide just 39%. now, i want to zone in on that 18%, right, that did not like donald trump nor did they like joe biden. what you see is that the republicans were able to win there by 17 points in the national house vote but historically speaking if you had an unfavorable view of the presidential incumbent that margin should be much, much wider. so it does seem to me that donald trump being in the minds of voters very much cost republicans at least when it came to the house nationally. now, trump may be unpopular but what about ron desantis who easily overwhelmingly won reelection. look at his approval rating in the state of florida, 58%. significantly higher than donald trump's favorable rating nationwide which totals up to 39%. and when it comes to actually running in 2024, let's take a

look there. and what we see is that, yes, 45% of florida voters, in fact, do want ron desantis to run for president in 2024, the majority say no, 53% but that 45% compare that to floridians' views of whether they wanted donald trump to run for president and this i think gives you a real understanding of why ron desantis is so strong. look at that, just 33% of floridians wanted donald trump to run for president, the vast majority said no. so in florida where the voters know each of those candidates equally well ron desantis is much higher up when it comes to 2024. >> you know who is not going to like that, donald trump won't like that. thank you very much. harry enten, appreciate it. poppy, you guys have been talking in your group about this a little bit, my question is why, then, do republicans still keep hanging on to donald trump? i don't understand. >> well -- >> because if you look at what's happening now, the very vocal part of the republican party but

not necessarily in general the part of the republican party that is winning elections. >> i think it's the question of the morning outside of, by the way, who is going to take those four senate seats and where the house is going to go. let's ask our team, alex stewart, to you. money talks and you are hearing from big republican donors about where the money is going. what does that tell you about desantis. is ron desantis the next republican nominee for president of the united states? >> he is certainly rising in stature after tonight and big money donors are telling me tonight they are ready to turn the page on donald trump. they now see he is an anchor on the party and this is not just people that have not been supportive of trump, these are trump allies that have put big money -- >> that's a critical difference. >> it's a big difference. they're realizing under trump we lost the house, the senate and the white house and now we are in a critical midterm election and his appointed candidates have lost significantly. the key thing with the desantis/trump numbers we saw tonight, that is imperative and it's good for desantis, not good for trump. that's a snapshot in time. i always like to look at the

trends and you look at the real clear politics trends over the last few months, donald trump has lost in his numbers and desantis has gained and we're looking at trump has lost about 5 points over the last three months, desantis has gained. so if that trend continues, that levels out. part of it is because desantis has been a proven leader, he is a good fundraiser and now he has risen to the stature of earning a nickname from donald trump and that right there -- >> desanctimonious. maria, i want you to talk about the latino vote, you have been dialed in this nationwide and florida. fat kt that our exit polls show that desantis won latino votes by 13 points and contrast that with the fact that in 2020 trump trailed biden on the latino vote by seven points, that is a 20 point spread, a huge spread. >> absolutely. i think, again, like i said before the democratic party has a lot of work to do with the latino vote in florida. desantis should be given kudos for that, right, for reaching

out to latinos in florida, very specifically, underscoring that the latino vote is not monolithic, it's very different in florida than it is everywhere else, very, very happy cuban american which traditionally has been conservative republican. i think that was a big part of what happened, but they also -- desantis also got a lot of puerto rican voters and that is traditionally a democratic -- exactly. but i want to say something about what alice said, she talked about really big donors and that's important, but i think the challenge for the republican party is donald trump may not care about the big donors because he has this list that is like a gamillion people -- >> that's a new one. that is a new word that comes at 5:40 in the morning. >> -- that give him $5, $30, $100 and as long as he has that i don't think he's going to feel beholden to big donors. >> if we could pull up on the screen what scott jennings, a

cnn contributor but also republican strategist very close to mitch mcconnell tweeted tonight, how could -- this is what he writes, how could you look at these results tonight and conclude trump has any chance of winning a national election in 2024? as a republican former member of congress what do you think? >> i've been saying this. i have been saying this over and over and over again. and this is just from facts and evidence that you have seen play out. one of the things that ron desantis has done is that he has spoken -- he's actually taken the cue from the glenn youngkin book, playbook. he is all about florida all the time every time you see him. it's all about the local politics, all about caring more for the people you represent than the person that you think represents your party. it's, again, follow -- people

put way too much credit and effort into a person because they think that that's the leader of the party. why not hold trump beholden to the principles and the platform of the republican party? >> one of the things, paul, that i do find interesting, though, to me and that might be a little counterintuitive is the fact that ron desantis has also capitalized on culture wars, it made national headlines, for example, look at the fight with disney, for example, right? that's just one of them. at the same time leading through the last hurricane has also shown when you can, you know -- has shown the country what he would be like as a leader of the nation in a crisis like that. >> and i think most floridians think he did a good job during that hurricane. by the way, he worked with joe biden, he said i owe florida first. did he a good job there and that helps. desantis has done something that trump has never done, he got more votes than a democrat.

twice. he won very narrowly in 2018, won a landslide today. donald trump ran for president twice, never once got more votes than the democrat. he is the only president in 90 years who has lost his party, the white house, the house and the senate all in just four years. there is a word for that in my business, loser. he is the biggest loser in american politics. now, republicans have to decide, if mia and alice they want their party again to be a coalition of ideas and about policies, but right now it is a cult of personality and it's politically killing the republicans. >> it is. i don't see why -- >> do you know what else i think is the challenge for desantis, when is he going to announce? if trump is going to announce on the 15th desantis just won the governorship. >> i wonder if tonight changes the 15th. i don't know. >> he will do it tomorrow, then. >> all right. stand by, everyone. thank you all. we are getting the results on several ballot measures across the united states. big issues like marijuana

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we've looked very closely at the numbers. we feel very confident that there's no way that they can really make up that gap. but i'm not -- i'm not going to, you know declare victory until all the numbers are in, but i just want to give you guys the sense that this race is over, you know?

i think -- quite honestly i think anybody looking at the numbers would have to admit that fact, but for whatever reason they are not willing to call it. there is ron johnson there in wisconsin. not exactly claiming victory there, but just enough to keep the supporters happy there. so we're going to talk about what's happening in wisconsin, but let me reset for you here. four key senate races undecided at this hour including the one in wisconsin between mandela barnes and ron johnson. you heard ron johnson saying, hey, look, we looked at the numbers, not yet sure, we don't believe right now that they can make it up but i don't want to declare victory right now. let's go to lucy cavanaugh who joins us in milwaukee with the latest. we've heard from ron johnson. what are you hearing as you're on the scene in wisconsin? >> reporter: it's been a fascinating night in a deeply divided truly purple state. we have two-term incumbent republican senator ron johnson in a challenge facing off a challenge by the lieutenant

democratic governor mandela barnes in a race that is -- was incredibly competitive with 94% of the vote in, though, johnson ahead by something like 33,000 votes, which is is a significant number and in a state where races often come down to theas the, we've yet to hear from barnes. we've yet to have the race officially called. wisconsin was the best chance to flip a republican seat. johnson was not popular. mandela barnes had a slight lead in the polls in the initial months but we saw that lead evaporate in a barrage of negative advertising. it's not all bad news for the democrats here in this state. governor tony evers has won his re-election bid at least according to cnn projections against his republican challenger preserving the

democrats' veto power in the state where the legislation was seeking veto proof super majorities. if the race is actually called for senator ron johnson, this would be the first time in 24 years we've seen a split ticket here in wisconsin. guys? >> before i let you go, pardon my manners. good morning. my mom is at home saying don't be rude. say good morning. i raised you better than that. >> still night here for us. >> good morning. thank you very much. good morning, sir. how are you? >> saying good morning to her. don't you have something you want to say. >> i'm not the only one here. say good morning. >> this is wisconsin where things stand in the senate race. ron johnson is ahead by 32,000 votes. about 1.2%. 94% in. where is there still vote to be counted. let me take this down to 90. i do the slide.

the electric slide right there. these are the counties that have less than 90% in. you can see this one right here, dunn county. a smaller republican county. ron johnson could pick up some votes. not much. down here on the border, mandela barnes has a small lead there. 84%. he might be able to pick up some vote here. the biggie where the votes are is milwaukee county. or milwaukee as they say in "wayne's world." mandela barnes leads by 41%. he needs to pick up in milwaukee county alone the overall vote total of 32,000 votes that he is trailing ron johnson. it's a tough order, tall order to be sure. this race has not been projected yet largely i assume because milwaukee is still out there. as we just heard from lucy, cnn has projected the winner of the governor's race will be tony

evers. he's 83,000 votes ahead. there is a difference. he took 83,000 ahead. barnes 32,000 behind. >> good morning. >> getting a little punchy with milwaukee. votes are still coming in. balance of power in congress still up for grabs. stand by, everyone. we've got lots more. our coverage continues after break.

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rolling into the morning. here's the state of play at this hour. control of congress is hanging in the balance. first we're going to get to the house, republicans and democrats both hoping to hit that 218, that magic number to clench the majority here. democrats have won 178 seats, republicans have won 198 seats. same in the senate. democrats and republicans both have 48 seats this hour. it is too early to call some key races but we're going to talk about what's happening. nevada, wisconsin, arizona and georgia. that's where we're looking closely. cnn has not made any projections at this hour. in nevada, republican adam laxalt inching ahead of katherine cortez masto. in wisconsin, mandela barnes