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it is election day in america continued. the few of president biden's agenda are up in the air at this hour. good afternoon. i'm erin burn net. >> i'm wolf blitzer. live pictures at the white house. president biden expected to address the nation in the coming hours and we'll, of course, bring that to you live. the white house feeling cautiously optimistic at this hour, particularly after a senate pickup in pennsylvania for democrat john fetterman. >> wolf, obviously that was significant, both sides now anxiously watching every vote and we are watching three key senate races that have yet to be decided that includes georgia, the senate race between herschel walker and democrat raphael warnock at this moment still, we don't know the answer. we don't know what will happen. raphael warnock is ahead by 17,491 votes.

in nevada the race between the republican senate candidate adam laxalt and democrat incumbent catherine cortez masto also still too close to call. you can see how close that is right now, though, laxalt is ahead by 22,000 and some votes. only 80% of the count in. a lot more will come in and in arizona the democratic incumbent mark kelly still locked in an incredibly tight race with republican blake masters. this one, as you can see, mark kelly has the lead right now, 51.4% to 46.4% but only 69% of the estimated vote is counted at this time. and in the house, let's look at the balance of power there. we still do not know. there are still seats left to be called right now in the house. 49 seats remaining to be called. we have democrats leading in some of the key competitive states and you have republicans leading in some of the key states and we're going to be hopefully able to make some calls coming up but republicans right now leading in 19

competitive seats. so much we do not know about the house and the balance of power. we do have reporters fanned out across the country awaiting the vote count including arizona, georgia and wisconsin. that is where we have just called the race for the republican incumbent senator ron johnson. and i want to start in arizona where the race for senate and governor are still too close to call. that is where sara sidner is standing by and, you know, sara, we're looking at these numbers coming in. all eyes on arizona. >> absolutely, about 70% of the vote has already happened. we're waiting for 30% of the vote. we have just heard and this is just coming out of the mouth of election officials in maricopa county that usually has an outside influence they have 275,000 votes that they are currently trying to verify the signatures of those votes. that there are a total of 400,000 total votes that still need to be counted.

that's where we are with that. they have also responded to some of the republican allegations about fraud, about saying that this election is not free and fair, that it was purposeful, some of the mistakes made and there were some mistakes made with the tabulation printers, they did not have dark enough ink that caused a problem. look, we fixed the problem but even if the problem consistently kept going they were able to count every single vote from every single voter and here's what bill gates who is the chairman of the county board of supervisors said. he said, i don't know what they're talking about. we went to court. the rnc and blake masters' lawyers were in court and sued to keep the polls open. they never used the word that it was fraud or that there was something criminal that happened. they just wanted to keep the polls open because they were concerned that voters would not be able to get their votes in because of the problems with the tabulation printers. he says, i don't know what

they're talking about. there is nothing criminal that's been happening here. there is nothing fraudulent, that they have been watched by just about the entire world and they're doing the best they can but have sorted out the problems and every count -- every vote will count. those are the words directly from bill gates, the head of the county board of supervisors, guys. >> all right, thank you very much, sara i know we hope to speak to him later on during our special coverage today. i want to head to wisconsin is where i mentioned we have projected that the republican incumbent senator ron johnson is the winner, narrowly defeating the democrat mandela barnes so to milwaukee and lucy kafanov, obviously only able to make this call in the past few minutes, this one was very close. >> reporter: that's right. it was incredibly close, johnson eking it out with roughly 50.6% of the vote. barnes just above 49% of the vote. we are still waiting for the final numbers, but, look,

democrats initially considered this state and johnson's seat specifically as one of the most vulnerable ones, at least in terms of flipping it from republican control to democratic control. johnson back in 2016 pledged not to run for a third term. he changed his mind in january of this year. he was facing mandela barnes, the lieutenant governor of wisconsin, a 35-year-old progressive. he is the son of an autoworker and a public schoolteacher. initially popular with his democratic base, but the edge that he had in some of those early polls was evaporated in a barrage of negative advertising showing him as being soft on crime and ads that his supporters said were effectively racist, again, we have not heard from either candidate. we do expect barnes to speak in about an hour to give an update on the senate race, perhaps that will be a concession speech. we have not confirmed that. we're also waiting for ron johnson to come out. but if you're a democrat here in

wisconsin, it's not all bad news. tony evers, the democratic governor declared victory last night so that means he will be in power for the 2024 presidential election where he will have the power to certify the vote. i know a lot of folks were paying attention to that so we are looking at wisconsin as one of the few states that's going to have a split ticket, you know, a democrat as governor and in the senate we have a republican, wolf. >> okay, thanks very much. i am here with john king. there's still some uncertainty out there. a look at the senate first. very close right now. >> some uncertainty. that's an understatement. i like that. the second day of the count will tell us a lot. this is where we're ahead. candidates ahead right now, we have a 50/50 senate so right now we are where we began essentially with a 0/50 senate. look at the cold rate, we have to get to the finish line. so what are we looking at? the uncalled races. the uncalled races are the big one, in georgia, number one

we're waiting for the count to finish. they're at 96% there but still some counting to do. i want to show you the live outstanding vote. you bring this up here. you see there are still votes to be counted all over the state. if you're the democrats you see the bigger blue circles. that means the largest outstanding share of the vote is in areas where the democrat is leading, senator warnock, so you're encouraged by that but still need to count votes as we play it out and come through it. so you watch that play out in there. the big question here is does the ultimate winner, whether it's the democrat or republican get above 50% or a december 6th runoff? most people who understand elections believe we're headed to a runoff but let's count more votes. west, this gets fascinating. in arizona mark kelly has what looks like a healthy lead, pay attention to that. still 30% of the estimated vote to be counted and a lot is here in maricopa county, 61%, 62% of the state population, phoenix and the suburbs around it. mark kelly has a lead right here.

joe biden won this county by 2.2 points. mark kelly is up by more than that. if that stay, as they count the remaining ballots, mark kelly will win re-election but a lot of ballots to be counted and come down to pima county and still a lot -- 15% of the population so we have a ways to go in arizona and the same applies when you get out to nevada where the republican candidate, adam laxalt has a lead right now, about 20% of the vote still out here. when you look at the map here, wolf, two things to note. number one, joe biden carried clark county. this is 74% of the statewide population. you need to win clark county to carry the state. joe biden carried it by nine points. senator mass to is not doing th and needs to better perform with the balances still outstanding. democrats believe she can do that with the outstanding ballots but we have to wait for that count right there and this is significant as well. the second largest county, adam laxalt is ahead in this county and joe biden won it when he won

the presidency by 4 1/2 points so always the swing county. if this stays red, laxalt might have a chance to take this seat. he leads at the moment so you come back out and do the math, right? you do the math. so democrats here, we can do it this way. let me switch maps to make it easier for people at home to see. if you look at it now these are the three outstanding races, so if mark kelly holds on to his lead here in arizona, not certain, we need to count the votes but leading now, if he holds on look where at 49/49 so if laxalt holds on to his lead here and again that's not certain, he's leading now, just showing you where we are right now, it is possible if he holds 9 lead and he holds 9 lead it comes down to this, again, georgia and the potential of a runoff so later tonight when we get the counts especially as the counts project out here and as we get -- if we can get finality in georgia is the biggest question today. will it be a runoff and these western state, what do they tell

us. >> explain to our viewers why there has to be a runoff potentially in georgia right now? you need 50% plus 1 vote in order to avoid the runoff >> that's the state law so we bring it up right now. look how close you are, tantalizingly close. if you're either one of these candidates but if you're the democrat and ahead by 17,000 votes you are hoping, i showed you the majority of the outstanding vote is here, landed in the suburb, colored in blue but you see all the red counties too, small pockets of votes still to be counted this those as well. if you're warnock you're hoping that you get a decent chunk of that outstanding vote here and ticks you up above 50%. this is why we count, wolf. we'll have to count throughout today and possible it goes past today. that's the way it works, already starting to hear people say, why does it take so long? you have mail-in ballots, early ballots, it takes a while. >> we will be busy in early disease presumably if there is a runoff. >> possibly. the question is, if there's a runoff, the question about those two western seats is, is that runoff for control of the senate

as it was in january, you know, we'll see. >> all right. we're ready to make a projection right now. here you see it. in the state of maryland, cnn now projects that the incumbent dutch rupersburger will be re-elected. important win in maryland. we're making another one as well. in michigan, dan kildee, the democratic representative will be re-elected. we are now ready to project. the house of representatives is really important right now because it's close. >> let's come back again. these are races, follow along, it's important if you look at that you think republicans have the majority. these are the races where candidates are ahead. they're not called races so republicans are on a path as we speak now if things don't change to perhaps have a narrow majority in the house. called races, 218 you need to control the house.

202-186. you gave two more -- they are holds. >> two more democrats. >> so you look at the map right now. then you come to what races have we not called? we have 47 races still to call, right? 19 of those, you know, competitive seat, republicans are leading, 18 the democrats are leading so you have a tug-of-war going on right now, again, if you look at where we are ahead, ahead, logic tells you looking at that map that there is still a mathematical possibility that democrats hold their majority. the probability is that republicans get a narrow majority as you count them through. but we've got a ways to go and one thing you're seeing in the map, number one, this talk of a big red wave simply did not happen. >> no shellacking. >> if there is a republican majority it complicates joe biden's life but democrats will defy the averages in the house alex perez as we go through, the question is how big and, again, there is a mathematical possibility the democrats hole the house. we'll keep counting as we go. that number tells you the probability is you have a narrow house majority that every time

you project a race and a democrat both holds for the democrat, that's 9 challenge -- just like in senate races we need patience and go through the count today. we'll know a lot more at the end of the day but some of these out here, they could take days and days to count. >> it's going to be a while. if you're one of the republican leaders like kevin mccarthy you're pretty nervous right now about this potential republican majority in the house. >> he once talked about 60 seats then 30 seats, the math says it's going to be below that, well below that. >> i suspect you're right. coming up vote counting still under way right now in georgia. no winner declared in that very close senate race. is it headed for a runoff? a live report from georgia is next. because it's our first system that detects snoring, and automatically adjusts to help reduce it. your best sleep. all night. every night.

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you can see right now 49.2% to 48.7% for herschel walker in terms of the share. 96% of the estimated vote is in. keep in mind, neither one has hit 50% plus 1. the chief operating officer of the georgia elections, gabe sterling has said this is heading for a runoff. we'll see if that's the case but they have to get to that 50 plus 1 and right now that is not where we are although raphael warnock is ahead as i said by 17,491 votes. the runoff, if there is one, is not going to be for another month, not till december 6th. if the senate hangs in balance that's where we will be. nick valencia has the latest. second consecutive election cycle. all eyes again on georgia, the center of the u.s. political universe. >> reporter: yeah, we were here for 2020 and it feels like 2020 all over again in some aspects

and the likelihood of a runoff is a matter of time at this point waiting for a press conference from the secretary of state's office at 2:00 p.m. where we're hoping that they will give some more indication on how many ballots are left to be counted and perhaps off officially announce what they have indicated, not so quietly, that they are preparing behind the scenes for the likelihood of a runoff on december 6th. the secretary of state's office won't give us a number on how many ballots are out there but among those are some provisional ballots. we are told from sources from the warnock campaign and the walker campaign that they are preparing for another month of campaigning. one of the big takeaways from tuesday is this underperformance when you compare herschel walker's, you know, the amount of votes he got compared to republican incumbent governor brian kemp who outperformed walker by 163,000 votes and, sure, this is concerning for republicans when they look at that number, you know, what is

that going to mean when this runoff happens on december 6th and how will their strategies change? will we see a visit from president biden and see a visit from former president trump? all that remains to be seen, again, 2:00 p.m. press conference from the secretary of state's office, wolf. >> thanks very much. i want to bring in cnn political director david khchalian lookin at all sorts of numbers. give us the latest what you're seeing, some of the important developments that we've learned in the past few hours alone? >> yeah, wolf, just looking at sort of what georgia voters were thinking about as they were voting in this election, that ends up with this very close race that is likely heading to a runoff so, first, among those georgia voters who said abortion was their most important issue and that was about a quarter of the electorate, 26% of the electorate, huge warnock advantage as you might imagine among abortion voters.

77% to walker's 21%. the reverse is true among those who said inflation was the number one issue in the race, so that made up a larger share of the electorate, 37% of georgia voters in this race said inflation was the most important issue. walker won 72% of them to warnock's 27% so a slightly narrower margin there, this time for walker's advantage but a much bigger category of vote. and then we wanted to get at the candidate qualities that voters were looking at. among those who said that the candidate shares my values, that's what mattered most to me in my vote in a candidate quality, that is a huge walker vote. 76% say walker among that group, 23% voted for warnock and that was 36% of the electorate looking for a candidate who shares their values. a similar share, 32% said they were looking for a candidate who has honesty and integrity, wolf. and that was a warnock

advantage, 60% of the honest integrity voters wanted -- voted for warnock. 38%, erin, voted for walker among those looking for honest and integrity in their candidate. >> it's important looking at these polls as we try to figure out whether we will know the winner of this race in the coming days or in a month. all right, thank you so much, david chalian. let's go to mj lee live at the white house. we've been waiting to hear if president biden would speak and i know the white house announcing we will hear from the president soon? >> reporter: that's right. you know, this is the white house schedule update that we have been expecting all day. at 4:00 eastern the president will be giving remarks here at the white house and also importantly taking questions from reporters. this, erin, as you know is a long held tradition in washington, d.c. where the day after election day, the president will have a formal press conference and, look, we have been talking about the mood here at the white house all day.

biden advisers are feeling vindicated after the results of last night. they feel like they were able to avoid a bloodbath that so many people had predicted and warned about so they're feeling pretty good about that so do expect that to be reflected in the president's remarks, but i think it's also important to note that there are questions that the president will also have to answer to, for one, how does he plan on governing in this new washington, d.c.? this is now going to be an environment where democrats don't control both the house and the senate, even in the best case scenario where democrats keep it, losing the house will be challenging to govern and get legislation passed and, second, what does he see as his role as leader of the democratic party? obviously we saw a whole lot of democratic candidates do well by outperforming him, so this is going to be the beauty of a press conference as he will get asked a number of these questions so we'll see what he has to say. >> mj, thank you very much. it will be crucial as we count

down. we'll get you ready for that, for the president to give that press release -- press conference this afternoon and still ahead, as we are still trying to count, still trying to see who will control the senate, who will control the house, the latest from the tight nevada senate race as democratic control of the senate remains at this moment up in the air. our smart sleepers get 28 minutes more restful sleep per night. proven quality sleep. only from sleep number.

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the state of georgia right now, raphael warnock and herschel walker, very, very close. let's take a look at the latest numbers right now that are coming in. let's get those up on the screen if we can. you see 49.2% for raphael warnock and 48.7% for herschel walker, the libertarian candidate with 2.1%. if you don't get 50% plus 1, there's going to be a runoff on december 6th. looks like certainly there's going to be a runoff right now, even though it's so tight they're both below 50% in georgia. we also have some projections that we're going to release right now. all right, in the state of arizona, cnn is now projecting that eli crane, the republican, will be elected to the house of representatives from arizona. this is arizona's district number 2. eli crane looks like he's going to be the next representative

from arizona right now. that's one projection. we have another from pennsylvania right now as well. let's get that up on the screen if we can. yeah, there you see it. susan wilde, the democratic incumbent, she is going to be re-elected. we can now project even though it says too early to call we're projecting she will be the winner defeating lisa scheller. so we got two more projections in the house of representatives. set the scene for us. >> set this down right here. let's go back to the house of representatives. i spent time in susan wild's district earlier in the campaign talking about how important this was to her in the sense of trying to win. this is ahead as you come through the districts and come up here. this is her district, pennsylvania 7th district. look how close this was, her view when i visited, wolf, was if she held on she believed if she held on and if matt cartwright held on as you see he's leading right there right now that this would protect the democratic majority.

that may be overly optimistic but the fact she held on tells be overly optimistic but the fact she held on tells you if there is a republican majority and we're not there yet it will be a narrow one, much a expected in the called, that is significant that the republicans pick up one in arizona, the democrat tom o o'halleran losing. where are we? this is not a final number. this is leading so republicans need 218 to get the majority. it looks like they were on a plotting path to get there, but they're not there yet. it is still if you come to called races, 203-187. mathematically possible as you look at the uncalled race, it is mathematically possible the democrats hold their majority. the more likely scenario look at where they are, is that republicans get to a majority but let's get through the day is what this tells you leading in enough races but we've been fully surprised as of yesterday,

surprises today. let's continue the count. if the republicans do keep that and win the majority though it's going to be a narrow one, not what republicans expected even a couple of weeks ago especially back a couple of months ago, now, the point you just made about the senate is absolutely critical so let's switch the map and look here, number one, now, raphael warnock, the democratic incumbent continues to lead in georgia. but the fact that we are now projecting a runoff means december 6th we will have another runoff election in georgia. it was the runoff election in january 2021, jon ossoff, raphael warnock won. that's why they control the senate. that could come down to be the case again, let me switch maps. this gets fascinating as we count the rest, two left, right? we still don't know who will be leading here but leave that one here. we'll keep that off the board. where are we right now? let me come back to where we are. 50/50 senate. right. now we come back to our projections here, right? so what do we have?

democrats won this, fetterman won so that gets them to 49. this one we'll leave. these are all settled. what's left? these two races out here, right now the democrat is leading, leading in arizona, still a sizable chunk of votes to be counted in maricopa county and pima county and elsewhere in arizona. for the sake of argument let's say kelly holds on then we come down here, look at this map. 49/49. right now the republican candidate adam laxalt is leading in nevada. still a lot of votes to be counted so we're not done yet. this race now becomes critical especially if kelly holes which is a more sizable lead. in laxalt wins and kelly holds on, georgia will once again determine in a runoff the bat balance of power in the united states senate. if cortez masto can come back as they count the remaining ballots in clark county, if she can come back and kelly holds on the democrats will have a majority

and this will be at 51, because of 50/50 if republicans win this the vice president still wins the tie so now that we project thises is a runoff a lot of focus out here in the next several days as they continue to count those votes. this seat here becomes absolutely critical to the republicans. the republicans have to have that seat especially if mark kelly holds on to that lead. if republicans lose the lead in nevada and kelly holds on there the democrats have the majority. >> what are the numbers in nevada right now for laxalt and -- >> let's switch maps to get our live vote feed. you come up the map. it's fascinatingly close right now but this is the most important number. you see 50, if you round that up to 47 but that's the most important number right there, 80% estimated -- >> 20% -- >> 20% reporting and a lot of it is right here, 74% of the population in nevada lives in vegas and the sprawling suburbs, fast-growing suburbs around it. incredible competition here. at the moment this is significant to watch.

as this number climbs, does her number climb? joe biden won clark county by nine points. i got the cuff link too close to the end there but if you come down here back to clark county joe biden wins this by nine points, masto winning by a little more than less, less than five, absolutely significant. as the other ballots come in democrats are saying it's a lot of mail-in ballots. they think they will spread this and that becomes key in the game of senate chess, it's not a game but in the art of senate chess those two western seats absolutely critical to understanding will georgia be for the majority again or will the democrats protect their majority out here and georgia will be can they get to 51? math to do today. >> house and senate, the majority still very much up in the air at this moment. coming up, a very, very big win in pennsylvania. boosting democrats' chances of possibly holding on to the majority in the u.s. senate and now a concession in that race.

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who go online to loveshriners.org right now. when you do, we'll send you this adorable love to the rescue blanket as a thank you. and a reminder of all the kids whose hero you are. each and every month. please call or go to loveshriners.org right away. democrats have flipped the republican held senate seat in pennsylvania. a short time ago the republican mehmet oz issued a statement saying that he called democrat john fetterman and conceded the race. our brian todd joins us with the very latest from pittsburgh. brian, look, you know, obviously concessions are important but tracking them, there's been some very important concessions from both parties today. fetterman, though, had a very strong showing throughout the state.

>> reporter: he certainly did, erin, and one reason he did, he didn't shy away from campaigning in rural republican counties where many analysts thought it might be a red sweep and fetterman spoke about that strategy of campaigning in those republican counties during his victory speech early this morning. take a listen. >> i never expected that we were going to turn these red counties blue, but we did what we needed to do, and we had that conversation across every one of those counties. >> reporter: he certainly did turn some of those red counties blue. that's one reason he won. another factor being talked about is the endorsement factor, did oprah winfrey's endorsement of john fetterman maybe help him with those suburban women voters that were so crucial in the race? and conversely, did donald trump's endorsement of mehmet oz help or hurt him? that's part of the big postgame discussions this afternoon. >> thank you very much.

there's a postgame in pennsylvania, obviously not in many other places as of right now, we obviously still cannot tell you who will control the senate or house. bakari sellers is with me, along with ana navarro and ashley allison who worked on president biden's presidential campaign and the georgia republican lieutenant governor geoff duncan. ashley, president biden actually campaigned with fetterman, fetterman was one of the few people who would have him. fetterman is one of the few who, you know, came out on top and it was clear and we knew that relatively early while we're still awaiting other races in which biden was not present. were people wrong about biden? >> the biden agenda is what people want. we're talking about raising wages, saving democracy, protecting women's constitutional rights, the voters sent a clear mandate in 2020 and the thing about politics is so funny is that biden actually did everything possible to deliver on the promises he made for voters in 2020 on the campaign and so in 2022 you're actually seeing

people say, thank you, showing up for those candidates. i think we will still see what happens in these other races. i think these democratic senate races will pull it out. georgia, we all said it would go it a runoff. it probably is. i think warnock will pull it out still but biden's popularity i think was overplayed this cycle. the agenda and the policies that he is push something what people in america want. >> okay, so this is going to be the crucial question it figure out is what ashley is saying true, is this a pro-biden agenda or anti-election deniers maga? >> yeah, i think it's an anti-election. i think there's folks that wanted to flee away from donald trump and joe biden. i mean just their travel schedule in the last few weeks was enough evidence to know that folks didn't really want them there. pennsylvania, he showed up and some other places president trump showed up but at the end of the day this was an economy question and folks felt the real economy and hard to explain inflation and layoffs and drop in the equity markets but it's

real. people feel it in their paycheck and the anxiety in their community. this was a direct reflection on the economy with some nuance, right, if you break down the georgia equation, it became a different scenario. >> although it's interesting, ba ba bakari, we saw average credit card rate 19%. and you didn't get a bloodbath red wave. >> you also had the most jobs created in a two-year period of any previous president. we can't just talk about it in a vacuum with what's happening a few miles away on wall street but actual jobs being created in georgia and everywhere else. but i think that we might have missed something. in the white house actually got this part right. we were sitting here yesterday and we were questioning whether or not people were actually voting because of democracy being on the ballot and we know that was his closing message and

it peers that some people actually did vote like democracy was on the ballot. i think that when we were watching the voters and people were talking about inflation and boorlgs, yeah, there were also people who were like i'm scared to death of that crazy maga republican who doesn't believe in democracy. that played a role and one thing that has to be stated is that for the last three months, i know the white house is spiking the ball but just across the little street right there, kamala harris has been on the road for the last three months in all of these states where democrats have done extremely well. she deserves her flowers too and i think that they figured something out about allowing kamala harris to actually get outside of washington, d.c. and get outside of that. >> it's a transition. i'm getting better at tv. >> i see where you're going with that. but this is -- okay, so we've got president biden is giving this press conference in a couple of hour, obviously we'll hear it here live. coming into this you talk about spiking the ball. they are.

they're excited. they didn't think it would look like this. we have defied historical trends. no matter how this turns out that is true. and yet the bottom line still may be and we don't know who is going to control the house but if it is the gop, the biden agenda would still be stymied. >> that's true, right? so it's hard to claim victory and to spike the football when the senate and the house may go republican still. but you know what, today is the day to do that because if it goes republican, the house or the senate or -- and it's not going to be for days or weeks, you know, maybe even a month when it comes to georgia. and i want to tell you, though, because i want to talk -- i've been dying to talk about florida and i think it's being completely misread. i think the narrative is all wrong. >> so hole on. let me put a pause on it. ron desantis is the king of florida and has done what no one thought could be done is the narrative. >> i told you yesterday was going to be the case. i told you he was going to win

bigly, but ron desantis barely won in 2018 by 35,000 votes by the skin of his teeth against a black progressive little known mayor from tallahassee, florida. yesterday he won by 20 percentage points? why? because he gamed the system. because he turned florida into an unlevel playing field. they changed election laws making it harder to vote by mail. they paraded a bunch of people, black people that they arrested for voting fraud and paraded them in front of national media. he created an election police. he also was very good in responding to hurricanes and other tragedies, he also invested -- >> that's significant. you're saying -- turnout. >> turnout was 10 points lower than it was in 2018 and 2018 it was 63%. yesterday in florida was 53%. so that's not a red wave. red wave is when people go out to the streets and vote. when you have what you had the

press deflated vote -- democratic vote. who can blame them when you nominate a corpse. i mean, yes, he won bigly but he won against a corpse, a political corpse and that's an insult to corpses. >> i want to put a pause. i know we will come back. i promise. all right. next a major victory for the republican governor ron desantis. it was turnout may be lower but everybody may remember bill de blasio called it a mandate, if you vote you vote. what it could indicate. we'll be back.

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florida's republican governor ron desantis won re-election in a landslide victory. he became the first republican by the way to win miami-dade county in two decades and he flipped the democratic stronghold of palm beach county as well. now a decision is looming about whether he'll actually make a white house bid. cnn political director david chalian is joining us right now. you're looking at some exit poll numbers. it's a very impressive win by the governor. >> it is impressive and these numbers back up just how impressive it is, wolf. take a look. among independent voters that make up 30% of the overall vote in florida. ron desantis wins them by 6 percentage points, in 2018 four

years ago he lost independents by 10 points. that's a 16-point swing in his favor. among latino voters we see a similar story that's even to a gre greater degree. they made up 21% of the florida electorate. significantly more than they were four years ago, only 15%. ron desantis wins them, 57-42. 15-percentage point advantage. he lost them by ten four years ago, a 25-point swing towards desantis' favor. look at his approval rating in the state. florida voters, those that showed up and voted in the election, 58% approve of ron desantis, 41% disapprove. completely opposite of what we see in joe biden's approval ratings and then the question, do you want ron desantis to run for president in 2024? florida voters in this election slim majority, 53% say, no, they don't. 45% said yes, they want to see desantis run for president next time around, wolf.

>> i assume donald trump doesn't want him to run for president of the united states among those who don't want him to run. all right, david, thank you very much. just ahead we'll check in over at the white house. we're expecting to hear directly from president biden at 4:00 p.m. eastern later today. one adviser now tells cnn that the mood over at the white house can best be described and i'm quoting now as vindicated. we'll be right back.

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plenty of action but no final answers. we want to welcome our viewers here in the united states and around the world. i'm wolf blitzer. >> and i'm erin burn net and this is cnn's continuing coverage of election day in america. you know, as wolf said, continuing, let's emphasize that. key races are incredibly close, control of congress is still hanging in the balance. every vote that is counted. every race called in the next few hours could make the difference, wolf. >> you're absolutely right, erin. so far no red wave, repeat, no red wave, president biden is expected, i want to remind our viewers, to hold a news conference at 4:00 p.m. eastern later today from the white house. we're going to bring that to you live when it begins.

here's where things stand right now, erin. go ahead and tell us. >> in this battle for control of the u.s. senate these tight races here, in arizona, let's just show you that one, wolf, between incumbent democrat mark kelly and republican blake masters, you can see right now mark kelly is ahead. now, there's still a lot of votes still to be counted here but you have mark kelly ahead here, wolf, in arizona and what do you see in nevada? >> in nevada adam laxalt slightly ahead of the incumbent democratic senator catherine cortez masto, 49.9% to 47.2%. adam laxalt is ahead by some 22,000 votes right now. let's go to georgia. georgia senate race between democratic incumbent raphael warnock and republican herschel walker is heading for a runoff in early december. we have our correspondents standing by all over the place including in georgia over at the white house, in arizona across the political map. let's go to georgia, first right

now. cnn's eva mckend is in atlanta with the latest. so far, eva, neither of the two senatorial candidates have reached that 50% margin, 50% plus 1 so it looks like in early december there will be another runoff. rut are. >> reporter: there will, wolf. this was always a real possibility in this state given the unique nature of how winners are declared. and senator warnock in the last few weeks as we've been following him on the campaign trail almost seemed to be preparing his supporters for this potential outcome. imploring them to get out and vote, both in the early vote period and on election day to avoid this possibility, but saying that, you know, he could either win on election night or four weeks from now during a potential runoff. herschel walker, though, for his part was a lot more bullish, not even entertaining a runoff declaring making pronouncement, bold pronouncements he would win outright on election day.

that of course has not come to bear. take a look at how both are telling their supporters to hold on. >> whether it's later tonight or tomorrow or four weeks from now, we will hear from the people of georgia. >> if you can hang in, hang in there a little bit longer. just hang in there a little bit longer because something good takes a while for it to get better. and it's going to get better. >> reporter: we know republicans are feeling a little squeamish this morning because herschel walker underperformed incumbent republican governor brian kemp. specifically in the suburban areas earning about 163,000 more votes, so this is going to continue to be a battle ahead for the next four weeks here, if anyone thought it would wrap up on election night they were

sorely mistaken, wolf. >> all right. >> it's going to be a very, very, very exciting few days coming up in georgia right now. erin, back to you. >> i know, wolf. it really is. all eyes on georgia. get's go to gabe sterling, the chief operating officer at the georgia secretary of state office. you know, gabe, as wolf and i are sitting here, cnn projecting that the senate race between senator warnock and herschel walker is indeed headed to a runoff. are you ready for that? >> well, first things first we have to got an idea of what wolf's idea of exciting is. >> so you're ready for that and i know john king is with me and has a specific question about the runoff and what you're looking at. john, go ahead. >> the information we don't have, i'm trying to get to the point why are you certain it will be a runoff if you look at the result, it's 49.2-48.7 and

the estimated outstanding vote here, maybe you have updated numbers. we have it at 96% estimated reporting and you still see in these circles a decent amount of vote, decent share to come in in fullen county and suburbs around it where senator warnock is doing well. you're certain that there's absolutely no possibility he gets to 50? >> at 2:00 a.m. i tweeted out it's pretty safe to say we'll have that runoff as we get closer and closer, more votes keep coming in. by our internal estimates we have less than 10,000 votes to go until election flight reporting for final counts and seen some of these. we know there's less than 10,000 so there's not enough numbers out there still to change the outcome of this race. >> so when you think about it, gabe, you know, you've got now as you said 27 days and 6 hours or whatever you just laid out till the polls close, you've already moved ahead for that but, look, you can run -- john king can run a scenario where

control of the senate rests on georgia. we'll see what happens in arizona and nevada but, again, all eyes again could be on georgia, control of the senate could rest on georgia. what are the next few weeks going to look like as you get ready for that? >> well, i talked to secretary raffensperger back in the summer and asked what would happen. i said given the fact we are georgia it's obviously going to be a runoff with control of the united states senate on the line because that's what we do here so what we're going to be doing really as far as the administration side we have already lined up to begin building the ballots. all will be to the counties by november 14th for their signoff and begin the absentee ballot portal is open and can begin requesting them. the counties need a minimum of five days of early voting. very good possibility that we'll probably have voting on saturday, november 26th in many of the counties if they so choose and planning for that right now. but it's really about getting all the parts lined up so we can get as many votes in so the voters can make their voice heard on that runoff. >> so just to bring something

home that eva was reporting on, you see herschel walker underperforming where your governor brian kemp performed. he easily won re-election. the secretary of state brad raffensperger won re-election with 53% of the vote. that's a nine percentage point margin of victory. these were wins, right? these are two people who repeatedly resisted donald trump's efforts to overturn the election in your state and yet they cruised to re-election victory as republicans despite trump attacking them constantly. herschel walker is a person trump has stood fully behind. what message do you think the victories that you're seeing in georgia in two cases and the runoff in a third sends to donald trump? >> i think the main thing is you see if you stood with donald trump you didn't necessarily look like you came out too well at the end of the day. i mean, frankly, with the people that trump helped get the senate nominations, we probably lost new hampshire on the republican side and probably lost pennsylvania because of that.

if mccormick was the nominee most say we would have won pennsylvania and the balance of the senate would not be on the line in georgia more than likely so i think the main message is voters want stability and they want candidates who stand up for themselves on their own issues and not necessarily tied to one personality or another. >> well, gabe, thank you very much. you hear it heading to a runoff in georgia in 27 days. thank you so much, gabe. >> i'm sure i'll see y'all soon. >> i'm sure i'll see you many times before that. we'll check into the white house where they're waiting to learn who will be in charge at the other end of pennsylvania avenue as we are awaiting a live press conference from president biden.

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we're back with another important key race alert right now. new numbers in the very, very critically important senate race. mark kelly, the republican challenger blake masters, let's take a look at the latest numbers coming in, 69% of the estimated vote can now in. the incumbent senator mark kelly, the democrat, he's ahead by nearly 90,000 votes over blake masters. the changer, 51.4% to 46.4%. mark kelly slightly ahead right now in this critically important arizona race. we have not yet made a projection in that contest. according to election officials, by the way, in arizona there are still more than 400,000 ballots that are left to be counted specifically in maricopa county. sara sidner is in phoenix where they're currently processing and counting these ballots. what's the latest, sara?

>> reporter: about 86,000 of those 400,000 votes that are still yet to be counted here in maricopa county have been signature verified and they are counting them as we speak. so those are going through the process. we will know by the end of the evening here arizona time. some new numbers for you but there are really pointed comments being made by election officials here today. we heard very strong comments about some of the accusations being made by republicans, whether it be online or on camera to media organizations, basically republicans are accusing maricopa county of conducting a fraudulent vote, they are also accusing them of being criminal because of some of the issues that happened with the printers that did not work, did not print dark enough ink and therefore could not be tabulated in some of the voting centers.

i do want to let you hear from bill gates who is the head of the county board of supervisors here in maricopa county responding to what happened because of all that and to the accusations being made against him and all the officials here who have worked through the night to try to make sure that every single vote is counted. >> when they say criminal, i don't know what they're talking about. there was a lawsuit that was filed in maricopa county superior court. i did not follow the entire hearing but i don't think the word criminal came out of the mouth of the lawyers for blake masters' campaign, for the arizona republican party, the rnc. >> reporter: so you heard that there. he's like no one in court who sued to try to keep this voting -- the polls open longer than from 7:00 p.m. to 10:00 p.m., the judge denied that but no one in court, not the rnc and

not blake masters' lawyers said anything about criminal or anything about fraud. they just wanted to have things extended. the judge decided there was not enough evidence to allow that to happen and polls closed at 7:00 p.m. as scheduled. the vote continues. we will hear more about the numbers, about 70% of the vote has been counted so far, erin. >> all right, thank you very much, sara. so we're joined again by cnn political director david chalian as all eyes are on arizona. you know, i mean it's amazing, david, 400,000 votes left in maricopa county this morning. they said 300, right? the numbers as they figure out the situation, right, they're able to get more and more specific. but as sara -- hopefully we'll know by tonight. >> yeah, what's so important to understand, right, is that the ballots that get dropped off later or on election day, at least in 2020, they were materially different. that was much more a pro-trump voter or republican vote for those late arriving ballots in

maricopa county. that's why two years ago we saw the biden lead dramatically narrow to end up only winning that state by 11,000 votes. >> yeah, i mean it is pretty incredible. so we'll see what happens as it comes in. hour by hour and with the time change as sara said it could be late tonight before we get another massive sense of how things are going. but what do you know about from the exit polls or for what voters in arizona were saying? >> yes, so we wanted to take a look at this issue of sort of election denialism because arizona has been sort of the hotbed of election denialism in this campaign season, erin, and so we asked voters are you confident that your state's elections are fair and accurate? and arizona voters in this election, the plurality, 43% say they're very confident, 30% say somewhat confident and the smaller groups by far are 18% not very confident, 8% not at

all confident. so now i want to look at how the two larger groups, how they split their vote between kelly and masters in the senate race, among those who are very confident that largest share, 43% who are very confident in the state's elections, kelly wins them 85% to masters' 13%. now, that next share, the 30% said they're somewhat confident that the election affair and accurate, that's a blake masters' group and wins them 63% to 34%. we also asked whether or not voters thought joe biden legitimately won the 2020 election? so overall the electorate in arizona, 63% say yes, but more than a third, 35% of arizona voters in this election said no, joe biden was not the legitimately elected president in 2020. i mean they believe that falsely obviously. so let's look, of course, how these votes split. among those who think biden was legitimately elected which is a much larger group, 63%, kelly

wins them going away, 78% to 19%. and, of course, as you might expect among those who do not think joe biden was legitimately elected who falsely believe that, i mean that's just the base of masters' support here, 94% of them go to master, 3% go to kelly but make up a much smaller share, a third of the overall rate. >> i can't remember of seeing 94% on an exit poll ever. >> 94% of election deniers support blake masters in this race. >> thank you so much to david. next we'll go back to the magic wall, talk about where the balance of congress appears to be headed as still we do not know who will control the house or the senate. kevin! kevin? oh nice. kevin, where are you... kevin?!?!?.... hey, what's going on? i'm right here! i was busy cashbacking for the holidays with chase freedom unlimited. i'm gonna cashback on a gingerbread house! oooh, it's got little people inside! and a snowglobe. oh, i wished i lived in there.

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we're continuing to bring you the results and the projections with all ice right now on control of the house of representatives and the u.s. senate. specially over at the white house, they're watching this so, so closely. president biden is expected to hold a news conference at 4:00

p.m. eastern later today. cnn, of course, will have live coverage. cnn's white house correspondent phil mattingly is joining us right now with the latest. so what's the mood like over there right now, phil, this afternoon as we see these results coming in? >> reporter: you know, wolf, in conversations with more than half a dozen senior advisers over the course of the last 12 hours, you pick up kind of a mix of vindication and resolve and those two discrepancies aren't necessarily mutually exclusive. i think they kind of tie into one another and will get to something i think you'll hear the president talk about in just a couple of hours in that post-election press conference. white house officials have been very clear, they believe that their multipronged approach in the lead-up to it was going to be effective even though it was criticized from some within their own party, the focus on abortion and student loans and trying to hit at key constituencies throughout the democratic coalition and to some degree independent voters as well. they believe the results that have come through so far really

kind of back up that approach, vindicate a strategy that some democrats said wasn't nearly focused cuff or nearly narrow enough to attack the primary issues that democrats were feel vulnerabilities. in terms of the resolve there's a recognition of the reality here. there is a very real possibility almost a certain possibility that republicans will take control of the house. even if it's narrow and that the senate is still very much a jump ball even though they feel comfortable with it. no spiking of the football but white house officials, erin, feel good about the moment they're in and very vindicated about those questioning their strategy leading up to this moment, erin. >> phil, thank you very much. as we await those -- that live press conference from president biden, let's go back to john king at the magic wall. john, coming into this press conference and it's tradition for the president to do this but he's going to do it while it was a much better performance than anybody thought or expected, still not knowing for sure who will control the house or who

will control the senate and the house, you know, it is incredible at this moment. we still don't know. >> the president will speak at 4:00 in the east here today. you're right. not knowing, assuming but not knowing if the republicans will control the house of representative, not knowing who will control the united states senate but will know this, the democrats and him, he's the democratic president are on track to defy the national historic average, if you will. the average is since ronald reagan you lose 30 house seat, barack obama lost 63 in his first midterm. donald trump lost 40 in his first midterm. joe biden at the moment where we are when you look at the house, these are ahead. not done yet, right now as phil just noted it looks like republicans are on a path to a narrow house majority as where we stand now. we have a lot of votes to count. leading in 2022 race, right? they started with 212. let me bring the math up here. at the moment republicans have a net gain of 10. these are not called races, i want to emphasize that over and over again but at the moment so they're on track, 10, maybe a little more than that. remember, you can go back a few

months, kevin mccarthy was saying 60 and moved it to 30. republicans won't pick up 60 seats and doesn't look like they'll get close to 30 seats. these are ahead right now. let's look at the uncalled races, called races first, republicans have won 203 seat, democrats have won 107. it takes 218 to get to the majority and started with 212 at 203. the uncalled races? still these races to call and you see they're essentially splitting the terrain in the competitive seats right now so we'll have to count for days before we know that final number but without a doubt, erin, without a doubt the democrats have resisted the historical ties and that helps the president, now, you can defy history and still have a more complicated some would say more miserable daily existence, if republicans take the house that's a setback for joe biden in terms he has to deal with republicans in the house but won't be dealing with a giant house majority. complicated for him and may well be complicated for the new speaker as well. >> i guess it gives you context, right? you can do better than expected.

you don't have a red wave yet you don't necessarily get your agenda but this red wave, red tsunami, all this you're talking about, 60 seat scenario, people missed it, huh? >> let's go east to west, number one, you have good democratic candidates winning in tight race, two, a lot of evidence that the american people are exasperated, maybe mad at the democrats but not willing to take a risk on republicans they view as too risky. let's look through and move the map. republicans thought they would pick up some seats in new england. you see that? six states in new england, they're all blue. the main one is not done yet. i want to make clear about that. at the moment the idea that republicans would pick up two, three, four, maybe five in new england, take that off the table. so now let's move across the country some more. michigan fascinating to me that you see in the competitive races right now, yes, the republicans win one of them. democrats win three so go from the east to west coast including this one right here, when i went home at 2:30 this morning, elissa slotkin was behind but

the votes come in. another frontline democrat identified as vul 234nerable. elissa slotkin pulls off the race there. midwest, pop this up again and still see a fair amount of blue frontline democrats holding on. pick one bright spot for republican, out to arizona. we don't know the governor's race or senate race there. they did flip. this race here, tom o'halleran, a democrat running in a district that donald trump carried by eight points is a tough one. democrats in trump districts had a tough day yesterday. but democrats in districts biden won by two, three, four, five points, a lot of them have scratched it out so the final number, where will that come? as we count a few outstanding races in the east and much more importantly, it'll take days to get the final tally out on the west coast so no red wave. perhaps a republican majority but no red wave. >> a little tiny wave rolling in. tiny, tiny. thanks so much, john king. next new reporting on how republicans are already

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and we are back. key race alert in nevada where the incumbent democratic senator catherine cortez masto and republican adam laxalt are in an incredibly tight race. right now adam laxalt is maintaining his lead, 49.9%. his margin right now, 22,595 vote as head of the incumbent, catherine cortez masto, the democrat, but the key only 80% of the estimated vote is in and so much of that outstanding vote is in clark county, las vegas, an area biden won handily and where catherine cortez masto, of course, had been running ahead of adam laxalt so this is why we are waiting and waiting for more numbers to come in then our rosa flores is in las vegas with new reporting on the vote count coming in. what do you know, rosa? >> reporter: well, erin, the new information that we're getting into the cnn newsroom is out of washoe county, this is in northwest nevada, and the reason why this is important is you

just mentioned that laxalt was ahead of catherine cortez masto by about 22,000 votes. well, there is a batch of 20,000 votes that are being counted now in washoe county. these are mail-in ballots and also drop box ballots that were not counted yesterday. they are being counted today. so those numbers are not in the tally. we're just learning here at cnn that everything is going smooth sailing in washoe county. they're expecting to finish that batch of 20,000 votes today and so we should see that reflected at some point today. now, once they receive the mail-in ballots from wednesday, they're going to start processing those, as well. so there are more. the big question, of course, is how many more mail-in ballots are out there and the answer is, nobody really knows, because this is the first midterm election in which nevada has this new policy where every

registered voter gets a ballot in the mail unless they opt out and so, so long as that ballot is postmarked by yesterday, which is election day, it can be counted so long as it comes into the registrar's office by saturday, and so, erin, that is the big question, in a race like this where the margins are razor thin, this batch of 20,000 ballots is so important because we could see that margin slim down. we could see it widen for one candidate or another. we just don't know at this point. >> yeah, we just don't know, of course, as you say the batch, 20,000 that we're awaiting, perhaps soon here today, the margin of victory right now, 22,595 in favor of laxalt and that's just as you point out from washoe county, not even talking about what still is outstanding in clark county, home of las vegas. all right, rosa, stay with me but i also want to bring in tabitha mueller, the political report for the nevada independent and you've been

watching and crunching numbers and want to start with where rosa finished here and the point she was making, that they don't yet know how many mail-in ballots there are, so it's very hard to know if you don't know the overall number where we are in this process. what more do you know about the mail-in situation in nevada? >> right, so we don't actually know where the full mail-in numbers and we're still going to be receiving mail-in ballots through saturday but i think it's really important to note that our numbers are showing in washoe county about 57,000 just looking at kind of the numbers that have come in and what's moving forward. and in clark county which is going to be probably the deciding factor in this race, we're seeing tens of thousands of remaining ballots that are likely to be counted. some estimates even up to 100,000. and what's really important to know about these remaining ballots is that based on voter turnout trends and what we're seeing, these ballots typically go in favor of democrats,

sometimes often what we're seeing right now is a margin of 2-1 so if all of these ballots are coming in and that margin of 2-1 is there, you know, favoring democrats, catherine cortez masto could still come out on top in this election. however, it is important to note that republicans did, you know, significant number of republicans were dropping off ballots from what i could notice at voting sites so it's still kind of anybody's guess. also, in addition to washoe county and clark county we're seeing a couple thousand -- you know, some scattering of ballots that are still coming in in the mail that need to be counted in the rural areas of the state. >> all right, so this is obviously -- it's really important what you're pointing out. if the margins such as they have been historically hold catherine cortez masto would really end up being able to pull this out but you don't know how things have changed necessarily to your point, right, now that rules have changed. it's easier to vote earlier, earlier to mail in. do more republicans avail themselves of that. do you think we will know the

results in nevada before saturday when every one of those postmarked mail-ins would have to be received? >> i do think that we'll start getting an indication of what the results will be, especially as clark county starts coming in with those tabulations. i will say that we are expecting an update from the clark county voter registrar's office this afternoon, probably at about 11:30 so that might give us a better indication of how many remaining ballots exactly are there left to count and when can we expect to know enough of a margin to be able to call a race. >> right, i should emphasize you say 11:30 so that's 2:30 eastern for those watching on the east coast but that's a crucial time, right? you're talking about possibly the entire balance of the senate at stake getting those numbers, what they say at that press conference could be very important so we'll watch that incredibly closely. tabitha, before you go, what are

the most -- the top issue that voters you have spoken to said they care about to give us an indication? >> so i think it also depends on what voters were talking about. when i was out at ballot -- or when i was out at polling locates yesterday i spoke with republicans who were emphasizing that the economy was the top issue for them, as well as inflation and high housing costs and spoke with a voter outside the sparks library here in washoe county, and, you know, just down the street you have siegel suites and they're talking about how rent is going too high and they don't know how to deal with it and what happens if you can't make minimum wage to afford that? on the other hand, i spoke with a lot of younger voters at unr and sort of people that identified as democrats and their top issues were abortion as well as civil rights and we had some people also talking about trans rights too with some of the statements made in the election. >> tabitha, thank you very much. interesting to see what voters care about.

wolf, as we get ready in the next 40 minutes or so for what could be an important update from clark county. >> very important indeed, erin, thank you very much. i want to bring in cnn special correspondent jamie gangle right now. audie cornish, cnn anchor and correspondent and mark preston, cnn senior political analyst, mark, it's interesting, several trump-backed candidates lost some key races last night. what's your analysis? other trump-backed candidates are trailing even as we speak right now. what's your analysis of how bad a time this was for trump? >> i mean, it was terrible. we had this conversation about this time yesterday about would he take credit or would he take responsibility? and he's clearly not taking responsibility. in fact, what was telling last night, two tell, first tell was when he gave his speech down at mar-a-lago because he had a victory party even though he wasn't on the ballot but that's donald trump. but when he gave a victory speech, he turned to the alabama senate candidate who was going to win no matter what and used

that as an exam many of somebody who he endorsed, you know, to, you know, win the seat in alabama which is like going to alaska and, you know, endorsing snow, right? i mean it's there. it is going to happen. the second big tell j.d. vance in ohio when he was thanking everybody for their help and for -- everybody, i mean, in fact, if we had listened to it, the four of us may have been on the list somewhere. who was not on the list? donald trump. >> he mentioned about 30 names. >> right. >> he didn't mention donald trump. >> yeah, you know -- >> he was a trump backer. >> he was, he was and one thing this made me think of, there was so much conversation about where biden needed to be and if it was a hurt or a help for biden to stand next to a candidate. i think people may again review where trump was and whether or not it hurt or help. in pennsylvania bringing mehmet oz on stage with doug mastriano, a candidate who was very much struggling and had been, you know, pretty well defined by his

rival in ads, i don't think that helped oz. and i think people are going to really be scrutinizing where trump is helpful and if it's not in purple and swing states, that's a problem. >> certainly is. jamie, we know trump based 0en that reporting is fuming right now over the results at least so far and he's also fuming that the governor of florida was re-elected. not just re-elected but big time ron desantis and trump is no big fan. you made fun of him just the other night. so you've been talking to republicans. what are they telling you? >> so, you know, to mark's point, audie's point, yesterday was a bad day for donald trump. no question about it. it also, by the way, was not a great day for kevin mccarthy who it looks like he's going republicans are going to take the house, but if it is a slim margin, he's going to have a tricky path navigating it with the freedom caucus but to go

back to donald trump, look, what does this mean to him? he is never going to take the blame. he's going to say, oh, they were weak candidates, not my fault. he'll always take the credit. he'll look at his polls, his ratings as he likes to call them, but trump never admits defeat. i do not think talking to my sources that this will in any way change. we assume that in the next week or two, maybe the 15th, he is going to announce that he's running. everybody i spoke to in trump world, and republican sources, say they expect him to go ahead full steam. i will say it does change, i think, the dynamics for gop presidential hopefuls. people who might not have gotten in the race are going to take a second look, especially since they are seeing that there are

republican voters out there across the country who want to move on from donald trump. >> yeah, good point, indeed. you know, mark, the georgia senate race which is so, so important is going to a runoff right now in early december, i think december 6th there will be a runoff election. you got some new reporting on how the walker campaign, herschel walker campaign is preparing for this. >> so right now, what we've been told, just in the last hour or so i talked to the walker campaign, we are seeing the republican establishment coalesce very quickly behind walker and, of course, you would expect that to happen but perhaps even quicker, given what's at stake right now which is potentially control of the senate and what little of joe biden's agenda may or may not get through in the next couple of years but told ted cruz will be the first senator we'll see tomorrow and arrive and campaign for walker. he'll be one of many over the next month. "to see a lot of republican senators down there. what was interesting with the walker campaign and what they told me a short time ago they said it was smart that joe biden didn't come into georgia.

it was a very smart move on the warnock campaign because they weren't able to tie him as tight as they wanted to. what we should expect in the next through or four weeks is we'll see an incredible amount of exposure just on warnock himself and how control of the senate, the control of the republican conservative agenda or the establishment of one is going to rest on this race, one thing about desantis because i do think it's interesting and in some ways sad, desantis a huge winner, but desantis has a hurricane coming into florida right now, which is awful but you can -- he can use this as an opportunity to show leadership skills coming off of just an amazing night that he had. >> or the flip side is that's why people respond to him because fundamentally he does try to do the job of governing and i think while this wasn't a referendum on trump in the way people expected it was a referendum on trumpism. what does it mean to be that kind of candidate? does it involve election deniers

and do zwick and independent voters want to go forward with that agenda. >> he did have a very, very impressive win in florida, desantis. all right, guys, everybody stand by. a lot more coming up including we're getting right now new reporting from capitol hill on the republican plan as we wait to see which party will control the u.s. house of representatives and the senate. we'll be right back. aches and pains, keep you cool, even automatically respond to snoring. for deep, undisturbed rest. i have moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. now, there's skyrizi. with skyrizi 3 out of 4 people achieved 90% clearer skin at 4 months, after just 2 doses. serious allergic reactions and an increased risk of infections or a lower ability to fight them may occur. tell your doctor if you have an infection or symptoms, had a vaccine or plan to. ♪ ♪ it's my moment so i just gotta say ♪ ♪ nothing is everything ♪ talk to your dermatologist about skyrizi.

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all right, in washington right now, the fate of the house and the senate both unknown hanging in the balance, and meantime on capitol hill you've got kevin mccarthy and

republicans trying to see what's next. we have got capitol hill reporter melanie zanona with me now. melanie what has the reaction been to the election results on capitol hill today, dripping in, dripping in, we still don't yet know full control, though. >> reporter: yeah, exactly right. the general consensus that republicans are very disappointed and i have learned a long with my colleague manu raju there are two dozen members of the house freedom caucus who are willing to vote against kevin mccarthy for speaker. and depending on the margins, that could be enough to put his speakership bid in peril. two votes he has to get through. first, an internal leadership election among republicans, he needs a simple majority for that vote. and then a floor vote in january where he needs 218 votes. the strategy right now among house republicans is to try to put up a candidate, a challenger during that first internal leadership election vote, and that way they'll have someone to vote against mccarthy for and the thinking there is that they want to send a message to mccarthy, show him he doesn't

have the votes for that floor vote, and try to force him to the table so they can demand some concessions out of him. and they want a number of things. mostly related to trying to get more power. meanwhile, kevin mccarthy wasting no time trying to lock down the votes. i'm told he had a call where he tapped a number of allies to start whipping support for speaker. but this will be a messy process, even if mccarthy does get there in the end. >> really important reporting, melanie. he would have perhaps thought and hoped it would go very differently, but has something like this happening already before they can even confirm that they have won the house, it says so much about what may be in store for. thank you so much. melanie zanona from capitol hill. next hour, wie'll speak wit a top official in maricopa county, arizona. hundreds of thousands of votes are still being counted in the crucially close races in the case of arizona for both senate and governor. some things leave. mailchimp takes the guesswork out of email marketing by analyzing data from billions of emails

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the suspense is building. a number of extremely tight races are keeping control of congress hanging in the balance. good afternoon to all. i'm erin burnett. >> i'm wolf blitzer.

this is cnn's election day in america continued. live pictures coming in right now from the white house. that's where president biden will be addressing the nation in about two hours. the president will also be taking questions from reporters. cnn reporting the white house is feeling cautiously optimistic right now after the results of these elections so far. >> cautiously optimistic, but as we await for president biden's press conference, we're watching three key senate races because we simply just don't know who will have control. let's look at nevada, we're standing by for a press conference with officials from clark county, which is the biggest county in nevada, home of las vegas. the race here is between adam laxalt the republican and catherine cortez masto. the lion's share of the votes that are still outstanding are in clark county where catherine cortez masto leads. this race very much unknown right now.

let's flip it over and look at arizona. another close one. the democratic incumbent mark kelly there is still locked in this tight race with blake masters, the republican. mark kelly is ahead by 89,969 votes. we're waiting an update from there. and also several hundred thousand votes still outstanding in maricopa, the most populous county there. let's look at georgia, there we're waiting the secretary of state brad raffensperger, he'll be speaking any moment, we anticipate, about the status of this race, which you just heard gabe sterling the elections chief there saying is heading into a runoff. raphael warnock, there aren't enough votes outstanding for this to not go to a runoff. so in the house, let's look at the balance of power, flip over to the house. still here, can't tell you, there are still seats that need to be called. 45 seats remaining where we have been unable to make a call. let's look at where democrats are leading right now at this hour of the afternoon. democrats leading in 19 of the competitive seats that we are

unable to call at this point. let's flip it over and show you where republicans have the lead in these competitive races. and there as you can see, 16 seats. so, too early to call the senate. too early to call the house. that's where we are as suspense builds. we have a team of reporters standing by in all of these battleground states. let's start in georgia where the senate race is headed to a runoff. eva mckend is there. we're awaiting an update from the secretary of state who just easily won re-election there. brad raffensperger on the race. >> reporter: that's right, erin. given the unique nature of this how winners are declared in this state, this was always a real possibility, a potential for a runoff. a runoff that even could determine the balance of power in the senate. that is not clear as yet if it will be that consequential. senator warnock has been signaling to his voters this is a possibility. he had ads up in recent weeks speaking to this, telling people

vote for me, i don't want to interrupt your thanksgiving. meanwhile, though, republican herschel walker, he dismissed this potential, saying pretty confidently going into election night that he would win outright. that did not come to bear and now we have another four weeks left of campaigning in this state. here is how georgia -- one of georgia's top election officials is assessing this runoff. >> i think the main message is voters want stability, and they want candidates who stand up for themselves on their own issues. and not necessarily tied to one personality or another. >> reporter: so we know that republicans have some disappointment here because walker underperformed republican incumbent governor brian kemp, who sailed to victory last night against his democratic opponent stacey abrams. kemp outperforming walker in suburban areas by about 163,000 more votes. erin? >> eva, thank you very much,

from georgia today. i want to go to arizona now, that race for senate as well. governor's race which has been so carefully watched between katie hobbs and kari lake is still too close to call. kyung lah is live in phoenix. kyung, you are, again, a county you know so well, maricopa, the most populous, the most important to determining the outcome of the race, it appears like yet again in arizona. >> reporter: yet again. and i'm going to say this yet again, it is too early. there are 400,000 ballots yet to be counted here in maricopa county. more than half of them have to be signature verified. this is going to take some time. so i'm going to say it again, it is too early. we are seeing at least democratic incumbent mark kelly reiterate to his crowd that they just have to be patient. take a listen. >> i am feeling confident tonight.

now, at the same time, it doesn't look like we're going to have the final results for a little while. and that's okay. >> reporter: now, taking a very different tone is the republican nominee for governor kari lake. i want you to listen to what she thinks about this slow process, which happens every election here in arizona. she's trying to link taking time to corruption. take a listen. >> i kind of feel like it is -- it is groundhog day. we had november 3rd, 2020, that was called incompetency 101. then we had august 2nd, 2022, incompetency in elections 202. and now we're at incompetency in elections 303.

we need honest elections and we're going to bring them to you, arizona, i assure you of that. the system we have right now does not work. >> reporter: let's stress that there is no evidence that anything went wrong with the other elections here in maricopa county, despite what the politicians are saying, have said and are still saying. wolf? >> kyung, thank you very much. i'm here with john king at the magic wall. john, we're looking at all these results, there were some bright spots for democrats and some bright spots for republicans as well. >> right. let's dig deep in arizona, the outstanding questions. i want to start with addressing the question that kyung just tossed to kari lake, talking about incompetency. this is called math, not incompetency, it is called math. joe biden won in 2020, donald trump could ask for a recall, he

did, he lost in court, that is not incompetency. that is a joe biden victory in the state of arizona in 2020. back to now, why is kari lake raising that point. let's start with the governor's race. at the moment she's trailing, narrowly, just narrowly, right? you let the process play out, that's how it works. that's how it worked in 2020, that's how it worked in 2016, donald trump won, some states were a little slow in counting. this is the most important number. when you have 50.3 to 49.7, it is the vote that is still out somewhere in the ballpark of 30% of the vote has yet to be counted in arizona. so we need patience. democrats need patience. republicans need patience. everyone needs patience. maricopa is 62% of the state wide population. we'll see how it comes out of the vote share. it will be roughly that. you see there, an estimate of 30%, 32% of the votes still to be counted in the most populous, most important phoenix and the suburbs around it, where kari lake was once a tv anchor, well known. that will determine this race. and then people pima county, 75e

population and those two counties where you still have a lot of votes to count. that's called democracy and sometimes it is slow, if you're a partisan with skin in the game, yes it can be frustrating. but arizona got it right in 2020. every reason to believe when we know the final results somebody will win and they'll get it right in 2022 and, again, that person will have the right to a recount if it is close, a right to go to court if they want. the key is to let the process play out. the governor's race close with the democrat on top by 11,000 votes and change. you look at the senate rate, the democrat on top here by a much larger lead, mark kelly running stronger than katie hobbs, blake masters at 46%, but, again, but again, as mark kelly noted to his supporters, he feels good about that and he should, 52, 51, beats 46. but it is the same vote count. it is the same vote count. what we are seeing is that kari lake is running stronger. look at maricopa county again, phoenix and suburbs around it, blake masters getting 45% in the

votes counted so far and then you look at the governor's race, kari lake 48%, she's running stronger in the suburbs around phoenix and that can matter. but we're on the second day now and we lived through in in 2020, the most important part, wolf, is in a complicated, very contentious and competitive battleground state, we need to wait. >> 30% of the vote is still outstanding. >> right. it just may well take some time. now, when it comes to the battle for the united states senate, you can understand why both parties are anxious to know the final result because this race is one of three left undecided at the moment, uncalled at the moment, that will be critical to the balance of power in the senate. when you come to the governor's race, this is one of the five or six states that will be critical in american presidential politics for the foreseeable future and so who do you want -- who do you want with the job of certifying the election come 2024? the republican governor now, ducey, did that. katie hobbs was secretary of state. kari lake has a different view.

both of these races incredibly consequential. it is just math. we have to finish. >> the stakes now are enormous. coming up, we'll check in on the races in new york, where the democratic governor survived a tough fight against her republican challenger, who conceded just moments ago. we'll be right back. no matter your purpose, at pnc private bank we will work with you every step of the way to help you achieve it. so let us focus on the how. just tell us - what's your why? psoriatic arthritis, made my joints stiff, swollen, painful. emerge tremfyant®. tremfya® is approved to help reduce joint symptoms in adults with active psoriatic arthritis. some patients even felt less fatigued. serious allergic reactions may occur. tremfya® may increase your risk of infections and lower your ability to fight them. tell your doctor if you have an infection or symptoms or if you had a vaccine or plan to. emerge tremfyant® with tremfya®. ask you doctor about tremfya® today.

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then add the whoa! of listerine to your routine. new science shows it gets in between teeth to destroy 5x more plaque above the gumline than floss. for a cleaner, healthier mouth. listerine. feel the whoa! moments ago the republican lee zeldin conceding to democrat kathy hochul in the closely watched new york governor's race. zeldin was one of a number of trump-backed election deniers who lost governor's races across the country including michigan, minnesota, pennsylvania, and wisconsin. zeldin had mounted what was a surprisingly strong challenge to

hochul in this election. ultimately, though, she did prevail. cnn national correspondent gloria pasmino on what happened in new york. this was much closer than anybody could have anticipated. but at the end of the day, zeldin did lose and he's now conceding. >> reporter: that's right, erin. there was a big sigh of relief that kathy hochul headquarters last night which is where i was as soon as the numbers started coming in from the city. and lee zeldin was not able to break that 30% margin here in new york city where the largest amount of democrats are registered. that's what his campaign had been hoping for, they fell short of that last night. still declined to concede yesterday at his victory party, but he did just issue a statement a short while ago. i want to read for the viewers a part of it. he said, i would like to congratulate new york governor

kathy hochul on her election to a full four-year term. this race was a once in a generation campaign with a very close margin in the bluest of blue states. so lee zeldin, of course, making reference there to the fact that leading up to election day in the final days, according to some of the polls this race appeared to be a very close, but in the end, the math just did not work out for lee zeldin. governor kathy hochul not only becoming the first woman elected governor here in new york, but actually managing to get enough votes. she's up by more than 300 votes -- 300,000 votes i should say at this hour. and she really was helped by that big turnout here in new york city, as well as wide margins in her hometown of buffalo, where she did very, very well. lee zeldin finally conceding, congratulating the new governor on her full four-year term.

and new york now has elected its first woman governor. erin? >> gloria, thank you very much. everyone is back with me. so, zeldin was one of the candidates that trump strongly supported, right. he did not vote to certify the 2020 election, wasn't an election denier in the way some were, but he did not vote to certify. so, here trump is last night, getting ready to have a big party and celebrate, even though he wasn't on the ballot and today we hear from trump advisers he is livid and screaming at everyone after seeing the results. this is not good for him. his people are not doing as well as he thought they would or anyone thought they would. what does this mean for him? >> i think there is probably a sense of the gig's up. and the election wasn't rigged and you can't continue to convince folks that it was. it is like a gallon of milk that is expired. time to move on. there is a tangible feel of a pivot point.

they're seeing this as a pivot point and it is up to us. i call it gop 2.0. others may call it something else. if we want to take the 2024 cycle seriously, beat joe biden or somebody else that the democrats run, we got to take this seriously and lead with our policies and have solutions that matter and can't keep pointing to the past. 2020 was not a rigged election. it was a failed election on behalf of republicans. >> the lieutenant governor, lee zeldin concedes. tudor dixon, election denier has conceded to governor whitmer. these are -- they're not following the trump playbook now. all of a sudden you're seeing and i'm just picking a few high profile names, mehmet oz conceded, mandela barnes, tim ryan conceded, people seem to get the message, some people are trump-backed people and still conceding. >> he calls it republicans 2.0. some of us call it team normal. it used to be normal that when

you lost an election, you called your opponent and you conceded graciously and then they went on to the podium and gave a concession speech, and the others gave a victory speech. that went topsy-turvy with donald trump, a sore loser and a big liar, and who lives in, you know, in a bubble and of course he's going to be livid and screaming because a few things happen. number one, a lot of the people he handpicked lost. number two, a lot of the governors in the crucial states, the election deniers, places like michigan, places like wisconsin, places like pennsylvania, have lost. those are crucial states. and number three, ron desantis, i think hugely exaggerated, who is his, you know, his opponent to be -- >> his nemesis. >> had a very good night. you put all those three things together, this can't be a happy time at mar-a-lago for -- and there is a hurricane coming, did i mention that?

>> and, look, so -- and emphasizing here tudor dixon in michigan, losing, and conceding, lee zeldin losing and conceding, but there were some election deniers who did win. by the way, i'll put a big pin in arizona. we don't know what will happen with kari lake who is talking about corruption in this election that has not occurred. four election deniers won secretary of state races. those are the people in charge of overseeing the count for elections. in reliably red states. some crucial secretary of state races are still too close to call in key swing states. mark finchem in arizona, so many votes out, we don't know. he is an election denier. nevada, jim merchant has the lead. we'll see a lot of votes still outstanding. you're a lawyer, you specialize in voting rights. what happens if one of those candidates pulls off a win? >> we're in danger for our democracy. we cannot let up right now. the people spoke and they don't want election deniers. but what republicans did this cycle was they tried to infiltrate the system.

so there are many people on the front line, poll workers, election administrators, election defenders, out there making sure that every vote is counted, that people can vote safely. but there were still people on the ballot, still people who won and still people on the republican party that want to overthrow democracy. if we think just because dems had a good night, we can let off the gas and making sure we fortify our institutions, we're wrong. and in 2024, we could have a recycle again. and these folks, particularly like in arizona, too close to call, nevada, too close to call, those will be big states in 2024. and we can't play games with it. >> those are important to watch those what is happening there. bacardi, these concessions, i noticed them. they're important. they don't want to celebrate returning to normal. i hear your point, ana. but it does seem significant that people who went so far out there are now seeming to hear that it is time to stop. >> i don't know about that. we're giving people credit for

basic decency, right? when i lost to mcmaster, i ran for lieutenant governor, i remember asking does anybody have mcmaster's cell phone and nobody did. i walked over to his victory party and said congratulations. that's not something you should be applauded for. that's basic human decency of the lowest bar. i appreciate my republican friends, i like the lieutenant governor from georgia, i met him yesterday, talking about gop 2.0. you don't get to wash your hands of donald trump this easily. this is still donald trump's party. >> mostly because lieutenant governor, he's not going anywhere. >> that's not -- that's not the biggest point. trump is a human being is not the biggest point. how do you get trump voters out if you're not donald trump? that's the problem they have. you can't beat trump light. that don't work. you got to go all trump to get trump voters. >> trump light will beat trump heavy. i lived in florida.

i've seen people drop jeb bush like a hot potato for donald trump and they will drop ron desantis like a hot potato. >> do you think that's true? >> the former president and the current president, there needs to be a new direction, there is a sense of a new direction. i call it just being american, picking up the phone and calling somebody and conceding is an american process. talk about 2018, waited for a concession call, i had to field lawsuits from stacey abrams and others. there is a problem in america and we can do better, all of us. >> i think it depends if kevin mccarthy becomes speaker of the house, we'll see what type of -- >> they're telling us to go to commercial. >> on this list of people who have conceded, stacey abrams has conceded to brian kemp. she did not last time. she did this time. >> i applaud her for that. >> just ahead, updates on the close races for senate and governor in arizona. we'll be joined by the top official from maricopa county where there are still about 400,000 ballots outstanding.

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we're back with a key race alert. mark kelly, the incumbent obviously, right now locked in a very tight race with the republican challenger blake masters. here's where it stands right now.

51.4% for kelly. 46.4% for blake masters. but still plenty of votes out there left to be counted. in the arizona governor's race, take a look at these numbers right now. this is the gubernatorial contest in arizona. let's get that up on the screen. there it is. you see katie hobbs with 50.3%. kari lake -- katie hobbs, kari lake with 49.7%. so it is very close in the gubernatorial contest in arizona right now. this important note to our viewers about 400,000 ballots are left to be counted in maricopa county itself. that's the state's largest county. i'm joined by the chairman of the maricopa board of supervisors bill gates. thanks for joining us. what is the latest on the status of these remaining votes that have to be counted? >> well, wolf, thank you for having me. that's right. we have a little over 400,000 votes that are left to be counted. and so most of those votes are

early ballot votes. okay. so in arizona, people can vote early, they can go on our early voter list and they have an early ballot, and these that are left, the majority of them, are ballots that came into us via mail or dropoff this weekend or later. in particular, just on election day, just yesterday, we had over 275,000 people drop off an early ballot for us. so, that's the large majority of it. we also have about 17,000 ballots left to count from election day. and these are ballots that did not go through the tabulator, they were not read by the tabulator for some reason. but they were brought down by bipartisan boards, republicans and democrats, down to our central count facility, and those will also be counted later on this week. >> i want to bring in my

colleague, john king, who is following your jupdates closely. >> you mentioned about 400,000, you mentioned they are predominantly mail-in ballots. we know in 2020, mail-in ballots broke disproportionately in favor of democrats. do you have numbers, is that happening in this cycle or is it different? >> well, what we have seen in the mail-in ballots was that they did -- that was our first vote dump at 8:00 p.m. last night. those were all mail-in ballots that we received before last friday. those did break democrat. but you have to keep in mind, again, we have no idea how these are going to break. but these are what we call late earlies. these are early ballots that came in at the end, including on election day. so, again, in the last couple of cycles we have tended to see more republicans showing up on election day. of course, to vote a ballot and run it through the tabulator,

but also with the early ballots. so i think it is just too hard at this point to try and estimate exactly how those early ballots are going to break. >> your state's republican candidate for governor, mr. chairman, talking about kari lake, is stoking concerns over this election, suggesting that what she calls incompetency is at play and even comparing this to the 2020 presidential election, which she falsely claims obviously was stolen. how do you respond to that? >> well, first of all, yes, i would agree, 2020 was not stolen, was not rigged here in maricopa county. our election in that year was as i have said one of the most scrutinized in the history of the world. now let's move forward to 2022. first of all, i do not believe that what happened yesterday can fairly be called incompetence or corruption in any way. did we have some issues? yes. we did have issues with people trying to put ballots into the

tabulators yesterday in about 20% at the high point about 20% of our vote centers. we were able to address that issue by the early afternoon and here's the key point for everyone to keep in mind. people who showed up yesterday, at the polling places, with a valid i.d., we require i.d. to vote, in this state, if they showed up with that and they voted yesterday, that vote has already been counted or it is going to be counted. so that is the key issue. the really -- the question is where those votes are going to be tabulated, either were they tabulated out at the vote center yesterday or will they be in our central count facility? so i want to underline that. and, again, if people have instances or proof of fraud, we want to hear that. but up to this point we have not. and right now we are laser focused on getting through this count and doing it in an accurate way. by the way, we anticipate 95 to 99% of the votes will be counted

in maricopa county by the end of the day this friday. >> that's very encouraging indeed, mr. chairman. you earlier confirmed there are about 400,000 votes that still are left to be counted. are there any more that will be coming in from election day or after, do you believe, if so, how many? >> yeah, no. i think that is our -- we don't have the exact figure, but somewhere above 400,000, again, in arizona, you have to get your early ballot to us by election day. so some states, you know, as long as you post mark it by election day, it will be counted, but in arizona, under our law, we have to have it in hand at the elections department by 7:00 p.m. on election day. >> you guys are going to be busy, but it is critically important to do a good job. we're grateful to you, mr. chairman. thank you very much for joining us. >> thank you. just ahead, president biden celebrating the senate win in pennsylvania, where he personally campaigned. we'll have a live report from the scene. that's next.

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and set aside more for things like healthcare, or whatever comes down the road. this is "the planning effect" from fidelity. president biden is expected to take questions. he's going to have a news conference, we're taking it live, so you'll be part of it. it is in just over an hour. officials tell cnn that he is obviously celebrating after the senate win in pennsylvania where the president campaigned with the democrat john fetterman who won that race. i'm joined now by cnn's brian todd in pittsburgh. brian, it appears that john

fetterman obviously the winner in pennsylvania, his stroke was not the liability that many of his supporters feared it would be. >> reporter: it turned out not to be that liability, erin. in fact, john fetterman throughout the campaign took all of the criticism and all of the questions surrounding his health on that devastating stroke that he had back in may. and he turned those things into a positive repeatedly on the campaign trail. he kept saying this campaign is about people who get knocked down and get back up. he hit on that again last night even in victory when he doesn't necessarily have to address the issue of his health. he hit on that this morning in his victory speech. take a listen. >> i'm just so proud of the race that we ran. and, you know, this campaign has always been about fighting for everyone who anyone who has been knocked down, that ever got back up. >> reporter: but even in victory, those questions still linger. people wondering whether he's

going to have the strength and the mental fortitude and everything to take office and serve as a u.s. senator. john fetterman has said he believes that by the time he takes office in january, he will be back to full strength or at least very close to t erin? >> brian todd, thank you very much. let's dig into the data more with david chalian. what do you see in what happened there? >> well, first of all, pennsylvania's one of a couple of states that we saw, erin, where abortion was the most important issue, not inflation. so want to take a look at how those voters that said abortion was the most important issue to their vote split between fetterman and oz. overall, they make up 36% of the electorate, people who said abortion was issue number one. and overwhelmingly you see here, fetterman wins those voters 78% to 21%. he put that issue front and center in his campaign. we also asked folks who are their feelings about roe v. wade being overturned.

and among the pennsylvania electorate here, those that said they were downright angry about the overturning of roe v. wade, that was 39% of the electorate, erin. fetterman wins 90% of those voters. it is a pretty sizable chunk. then we asked about how each candidate was sort of viewed in terms of being too extreme or not. so are oz's views too extreme? pennsylvania voters split roughly evenly here, but 50% say yes, just edging out the 47% who say no. that's different what we asked about if fetterman is seen as -- if his views are seen as too extreme or not, only 45% of pennsylvania voters in this senate race said yes. 53%, a slim majority, in this race, said no. and then you were talking to brian todd about fetterman's health, and that was a question that we had in the exit poll, and we asked, is fetterman's health good enough to represent the state effectively? you see here, it is an even

split, but 50% just edges out there, yes, can serve effectively. 47% no. compare that to dr. oz's sort of residency issue that fetterman put into this campaign as an attack line, you know, he lives in new jersey and the question was, has he lived in the state long enough to represent the state effectively? 42% said yes, but a clear majority of pennsylvania voters, 56% said oz had not lived in the state long enough to effectively represent it. >> funny, you know, funny how it is. you learn that living some place is relevant. david chalian, thank you so much. and we're still waiting results from several key races. and as we are waiting, the house republican leader kevin mccarthy is already looking to secure a potential speakership. we have the details on those machinations next.

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. republicans still right now, 15 seats shy of achieving their goal of retaking the majority in the u.s. house of representatives, and as you can see, republicans currently lead in 16 of the outstanding competitive races, but any republican majority will be much narrower than the party had of course, hoped for. this as house republican leader kevin mccarthy is moving to quickly try to lock down support to become the next speaker of the house as a group of hard-right republicans are actually right now discussing whether to challenge mccarthy's beg to try to extract concessions from him. we have mark preston with us, our cnn political analyst. jamie, republicans they appear to be on track potentially to take the majority in the house, but this wasn't the clear-cut

majority they certainly were expecting. normally in a midterm election, the party out of power in the white house can score 50, 60 seats and that certainly is not happening. >> correct, and it's certainly not the way that kevin mccarthy was hoping to finally fulfill his dream and become speaker of the house. this is a very narrow margin, and it could cause some problems. there was reporting a source familiar with the house freedom caucus told them today that there are currently around two dozen current and incoming members of the freedom caucus who are willing to vote against kevin mccarthy if he doesn't offer them concessions. kevin mccarthy has everyone on speed dial. we know some of the current freedom caucus members. let's see what some of these

incoming folks are like. this is not going to be easy for him. >> there's no doubt about that. if kevin mccarthy has the support to become the next speaker of the house, it will be a relatively narrow majority in the house of representatives. certainly smaller than he had been hoping for. how much more difficult does that make his job if, in fact, he becomes speaker? >> his job would be hard no matter what. he's also seen this movie before, right? he watched newt gingrich go down, and paul boehner and paul ryan go down. i think the plan was always to do oversight which meant more hearings for everyone, and i don't know in terms of agenda if they were really all that specific. >> investigation. let's not forget a lot of people are going to be investigating. >> would that be different if

they had 30 more guys or two more guys? i'm not so sure. it really depends on the senate whether there's anything in terms of policy that we'll see that will make the difference. >> we're looking at a possible scenario where republicans take the house majority, but democrats hold onto the majority in the senate. albeit it narrowly. what would that mean for governing here in washington? >> well, as the great dean warmer once said, the likelihood that anything would get done is 0.0. now for the viewers out there, if you don't know what i'm talking about, then you're very young. >> i think they understand the zero part. >> they get the zero part. just type it into the google. it will tell you. kevin mccarthy is going in extremely wounded right now. the reporting from manu and melanie, and what jamie is hearing and what i have just heard as well is that he will be handing out his concessions across the board. he's going to be like a poker dealer flipping out cards and i've heard, in fact, it's going

to be the real conservatives that make sure that he becomes speaker, but on their terms. >> who is that? i would love to know. who are the people in that to your mind really conservatives at this point? >> you're talking about the freedom caucus. you're talking about any of the folks who are not -- aren't necessarily considered centrists. it's the real rousers. >> he also has a large leadership team, his directing committee. that's 20, 22 people. he is trying to make promises to that inner circle and then as mark said, there are going to be promises and promises and concessions and committee positions being given out. >> marjorie taylor greene. >> she has said publicly i think i'm going to have some power now. i think that puts him in a weakened position if you already had people telecasting, guess what we're going to be able to do, and guess what they're going to need to do to upease us.

>> he says marjorie taylor greene will have a committee assignment. >> i don't know who is out there that can challenge him that has the operation together to take him out. it's going to be, oh, katie's got someone. >> i don't have a person in the house. i would like to raise one name. >> oh. >> donald trump. if donald trump is still angry with kevin mccarthy and he wants to cause a little trouble, he can pick someone else. elise stefanik who donald trump loves from new york, went to harvard. i just -- i wouldn't take donald trump out of the equation quite yet. >> great one. i agree. >> thanks, guys. we'll continue this conversation, but coming up, the latest on the key races that will decide who controls the house and the senate. plus, we're awaiting remarks from the president of the united states over at the white house. he's expected to speak and answer reporters' questions in about an hour.

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with control of congress still being decided, president biden is about to speak to the nation. i'm wolf blitzer. >> and i'm erin burnett and this

is cnn, election day in america continued. president biden as wolf said will be speaking from the white house. it's a 4:00 p.m. eastern press conference we are awaiting and he is doing this still not knowing who will control the house or the senate. we're going to bring it to you live, of course, wolf. >> of course, we will, and here's where things stand right now, erin. in the house of representatives after a flurry of projections already this afternoon, there are still 45 seats that need to be called, but the democrats' path for holding control seems to be right now narrowing a bit. on the senate side, the number of races without cnn projections is now down to only three. arizona, nevada, and georgia, and once again, in georgia, that race is headed for a runoff election in early december. we have correspondents across the electoral map where the votes are still being counted. let's start in arizona right now. cnn's kyung lah is joining us

from phoenix. kyung, they are deep in the counting process right now. what is the latest? >> reporter: well, wolf, election week continues because as you just said, maricopa county, the most populous county here in the state of arizona, that counting is still going on. i've spoken to all of the top campaigns, and what's happening inside those war rooms are they have their experts out with their pens, their calculators, their computers, and they are doing math. they are trying to figure out what is the path to get them to victory, and that is still very much unknown. here in maricopa county, there are about 400,000 ballots that are still being counted. some of them have to be signature verified. it is going to take some time, and we just got the latest update from maricopa county's board of supervisors, the head of the board of zsupervisors an he says that the counting will not be over today.

take a listen. >> right now we are laser-focused on getting through this count and doing it in an a accurate way. by the way, we anticipate 95% to 99% of the votes will be counted by the end of the day this friday. >> and she's using those words laser-focused, erin, because there are all these conspiracies already swirling online. he says they're focusing on an accurate count, erin. >> he's going to get it right as you say, as john king says again and again. it is about the math, and as we await the math, await the count, we are waiting a news conference from president biden and phil mattingly is at the white house. he's going to be doing this live and taking questions on a much better than expected day, but still a day where he doesn't yet know who controls the senate or the house. so what do you expect to hear from him? >> reporter: yeah, there's a balancing act. i think there's no question about that, and his top advisers

are very cognizant of that fact. not only do they not know who's going to end upholding the majority in the house and senate. they understand there's a very real possibility that at least one of those chambers will flip to republicans. so the question right now going into this press conference is a president and his team who feel very vindicated about a strategy they employed over the course of the closing weeks of the campaign that was criticized not just by republicans, but by some in their own party. some ended up with a historic result with how first-term events of the party in power do during midterm elections. that is something the president is going to lay out in detail. that's something he's going to underscore and push the agenda he's pushed for the last two years, but also the strength of kind of the democratic coalition moving into the next two years of his term, but how he balances the fact that there are still so many uncertainties and the reality that it is very likely at least one of those chambers that will be flipping to republicans, there's going to be

a threading of the needle here. there's no question about that. one thing though that is very clear, officials tell me there will be no spiking of the football, but there is a sense inside the west wing that the president and his team are kind of forever underestimated, whether it was during the presidential campaign, past presidential campaigns, certainly at various points through his first two years in the white house, they feel like he has not gotten the credit he deserves in certain moments. this feels like vindication as you will hear, and how much he lean ss into that is still an on question. >> let's go to john king. president biden is surely going to point so several big wins for democrats. fetterman on that list. so what are the biggest prizes so far for joe biden and the democrats? >> i'll get to the map in a second. i want to echo phil for one second in we don't know still a lot about the outcome. joe biden can say he did much better than republicans thought he was going to do.

he did much better than what history says would traditionally happen in a president's first midterm. without a doubt, the president has bragging rights there. the issue is he may still well have divided government. he beat history, but he has a tough existence with divided government. you're absolutely right. joe biden likes to call himself when he was the delaware senator before he was vice president, the third senator from pennsylvania. that's where he was born. not only did john fetterman win that senate race, but there are four competitive house races here. let me bring up the competitive house seats in the house. there were four in the commonwealth of pennsylvania. goose egg for the republicans in pennsylvania. they lost the senate race and they also lost the competitive house races there. in the commonwealth of virginia if you want to stay in the d.c. area, elaine luria lost. in a district joe biden carried by 6.7%, republicans thought they were going to get a lot of those districts that biden won

by five or six points, they did not in virginia. you can go across the map. i'll show you the map of the house of representatives. it blows out the races and you see it all. we see blue in michigan and wisconsin, and a little bit of blue even here in kansas. not all of these races are called, but the republicans thought they were going to wipe out the democrats here, and now we're waiting out on the west coast. that's the key one, and that's why the president won't be able to say at 4:00, but the democrats are more competitive. the president can say it wasn't as bad as you all thought it would be, but he can't give you a final number. >> as you point out, right, you can do better than expected, but if you have divided government, you can't put your agenda through. a loss is a loss in a macro perspective, but back to the micro when you are talking about democrats outperforming, what are the big wins for republicans? >> there's one that everybody in this town and republicans around the country are talking about. that's the florida governor's race.

i'll get to it in a second. this town is often wrong, and there are people analyzing. it's just the case, right? donald trump can't win the republican nomination. joe biden is out after losing new hampshire and nevada. i would beware of any morning after when we don't have the final numbers. let me come to the state of florida and look at the governor's race. there is no question that ron desantis has a story to tell today. can he sell that nationally? let's deal with that down the road. does he have a story to tell today? yes, he does. i want to show you across the red down here and the red down here. this is ron desantis yesterday against charlie crist, against a former governor now in congress. that's an impressive win especially when you go back in time, erin, to look at ron desantis four years ago. see the blue in here? this is where independents live, and swing counties. that's miami-dade, one of the most reliably democratic counties in florida, right? ron desantis won four years ago, but he lost miami-dade and fast forward to today, there is no

doubt desantis can say, not only do i win my state, but the swing areas and among latino voter. that is a great story to tell. the question is, can you sell it nationally? i want to say this. whether that win against mccullough. you have charlie crist. voters don't like to go backwards. they like change or the status quo is preferable to going backwards. ron desantis has bragging rights, but let's be careful not to overinflate it. >> interesting you bring up glenn youngkin. two of to those stars in the gop, very different people in the way they conduct themselves. thank you so much, john king. next, we'll be joined live by the house candidates who were bright spots for biden's candidacy.

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11 republicans so far have managed to defeat democratic incumbents in the house of representatives. just four democrats have done likewise flipping republican seats in the house. greg lancman is one of them beating steve shabt in ohio's first congressional district. congressman-elect thank you for joining us. i know you managed to flip the seat. what was thes recipe for your success? >> well, thanks for having me, and it was a combination of things. i mean, obviously redistricting made a difference. it was a new district that was more favorable, but it was also

the fact that he, you know, had been there for a long time, decades, but was one of the folks who sided with the insurrectionists and trump on january 6th to overturn an election, and, you know, as an election denier, that put him in a bad place with independents and a lot of republicans. so that plus the fact that he was known as a, you know, anti-choice extremist and those two together made it very difficult for him in this new district, and so, you know, we organized well. we had a good message, but ultimately this district said very clearly last night, look. we want to be done with the chaos and the extremism. this is competitive, so, you know, if you are going to be in a competitive district, don't -- don't do the big lie and don't be, you know, on the far right

when it comes to reproductive freedom. >> well, you know, you obviously knew what you were doing. as you know, president biden was criticized just ahead of election day for straying from the message on the economy. he focused on threats to democracy, for example, focused to the issue of abortion rights for women, but was that the right message? did that resonate with voters in your district? >> yeah. i mean, i think that it did. i mean, look. the economy is top of mind for all of us, and, you know, i've got a young family, gas, groceries, all of that stuff is something that we're thinking about and working through every day, and so obviously we're talking about the economy, reproductive freedom. we're in ohio. we lost that after dobbs. that's top of mind, but fundamentally our democracy is on the line, and we have got to talk about it and be very clear

about who's, you know, going to protect our democracy and who's working to undermine it. so i think the president was smart to say, look. before you go into the ballot box, keep this in mind because it's fundamental to everything else. >> congressman-elect, democrats there clearly breathing a sigh of relief. this wasn't what was expected by so many of the so-called experts. a red wave was expected, a republican win. how much of a difference do you think that will make if republicans still wind up controlling the house of representatives? because if they do, they'll control the committees. they'll set the agenda for all practical purposes. what's your reaction? >> well, i hope it makes a big difference. i hope they realize that what the country's looking for is folks to come together, to be done with the chaos, to be done with the extremism, and to get

to work. you know, they want folks passing a whole host of things that are going to help them, right? as they're trying to pay for prescription drugs and they're trying to, you know, fill up their gas tanks. i mean, they expect this congress to get to work and to be better behaved, and to just, you know, cast aside this hyperpartisanship that has held us back for so long. that's my hope, and, you know, i think, you know, as long as we keep pushing folks to say, look. no matter what, we're all going to have to work together differently and make sure that we're getting things done, and that's -- that's where voters are. >> congressman-elect, greg landsman, congratulations once again. we'll see you here in washington once you show up.

appreciate it very much. >> thanks, wolf. coming up, as we await president biden's news conference, supposed to begin at the top of the hour, we'll go to capitol hill for new reporting just coming in on how this midterm may actually affect the house leadership. we've got some new information. we'll be right back. r that liberty mutual customizes your home insurance, here's a pool party. ♪ good times. insurance! ♪ only pay for what you need. ♪ liberty. liberty. liberty. liberty. ♪ i may be close to retirement but i'm as busy as ever. careful now. nice! you got it. and thanks to voya, i'm confident about my future. oh dad, the twins are now... ...vegan. i know, i got 'em some of those plant burgers. nice! nice! yeah. voya provides guidance for the right investments and helps me be prepared for unexpected events. they make me feel like i've got it all under control. because i do. ok, that was awesome. voya. be confident to and through retirement.

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all right. we are getting ready for president biden to speak to the country. he's answering questions and doing all of this within the next 30 to 40 minutes and despite dodging a red wave, he's still looking at the possibility of dealing with a republican house or senate next year, or both. we just don't know, right? three senate races uncalled, and of course, the house. we still don't know the outcome there. manu raju joins me on what house leadership he could be dealing with. maybe it's not the bad case scenario many democrats thought they were looking at, but still this isn't what republicans were looking at either. >> reporter: no question about it. they wanted a much bigger

majority. in fact, a smaller majority could make kevin mccarthy's life very difficult. the first thing that he has to deal with is assuming they take back the house is getting the votes to become speaker, and behind the scenes, kevin mccarthy is moving swiftly. he's assembled his whip team, fanning out tacross the republican conference and trying to lock down support, but having that majority means having to teal with folks on the hard right of his conference, some people who have been skeptical of him. we are told there are roughly two dozen members of the freedom caucus who are willing to vote against mccarthy if they do not constract proper concessions in their mind. mccarthy has resisted that in the past. also we are hearing they may put up a challenger against him in the leadership elections next week. now that would be a long shot challenge, but erin, next week the republicans will nominate their choice for speaker, and

then in january the first week of january, that speaker needs to have the support of 218 members. that means if there is a narrow majority, just a handful of defections could make mccarthy's life difficult which is why a narrow majority could complicate things for him. >> certainly. people may, you know, a little counterintuitive that a narrower victory could be strident in republican leadership. nancy pelosi held a conference call with the democratic caucus. what are you learning about that? >> reporter: she spoke to the campaign committee meeting to discuss exactly what happened in those house races. now the chairman of that committee, sean-patrick maloney lost that race in the suburbs. that was one that got a lot of republican attention. it was a big gop pickup. she said on that call, she praised him for taking so much

incoming fire from republicans soaking up a lot of money that would have ordinarily been spend in other districts. what she did not discuss was what her own future is. she did not speak about that it at all. some democrats are thinking she is waiting. she has dominated over the caucus for the past two decades, and erin on that same call, democratic officials were saying they believe there's a, quote, mathematical possibility they could still hold onto the house even though it is a very narrow path for them to do just that, but the moment democrats are hoping things will turn in their direction, at least keep the majority of the republicans narrow. if not, a long shot effort to try to keep the house despite all odds. >> despite all otdds, but there is a narrow path, and speaker pelosi, she told anderson the other day that what happened to her husband has impacted her thinking about what she'll do next. she didn't say in which way, but she was clear. it has impacted that. thanks so much, manu. next, we are awaiting president biden speaking live at the white house, answering

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we have a projection just coming into cnn right now. in michigan, the tenth district, republican -- republican john james we project is the winner in that district that's been redistricted because of the

population changes, but it's another republican win. let's take a look at the balance of power as it stands right now going into these final days, before the new congress comes back. right now the balance of power shows 204 republicans to 187 democrats. 44 seats still remain outstanding. you need 218 to be the majority in the house of representatives. once again, the congressman-elect john james wins michigan 10. another republican win in the u.s. house of representatives. meanwhile, the president of the united states has spent the last few minutes tweeting out a new video of him congratulating democrats on their winning elections. listen to this. >> i'm joe biden. congratulations, kid. >> how are you, mr. president? >> i'm better knowing you won, i tell you. congratulations. i'm so happy for you. i really am. >> and it comes as the president of the united states is expected to deliver a statement to the

nation and to the world right at the top of the hour and then answer any reporters' questions at the white house. he'll have live coverage here on cnn. he'll be speaking about the midterm election results and that's coming up in about a half an hour or so. i want to bring back jamie gangel, odi cornish and mark preston. this is a big win for the democrats and the republicans did not have a win as they anticipated certainly by no means along those lines, but what do you think about the president's message? what is he saying coming up at the top of the hour? >> well, i think he's -- i don't know if we're going to hear the word mandate which often happens after an election, but it certainly sort of bolsters the idea that they had accomplishments to run on, and if democrats in key areas did run on those accomplishments, that that was a positive thing to be done. i think the meme-ready, you know, congratulations that they're sending out which you're going to see on social media kind of speaks to their salvery

about -- savvy about how to send that message, and anything less than a sha lacking was going to be considered good. that's just the fact of it. it just wasn't that, and therefore it's a good day for him. >> certainly not a shathat. go ahead. >> joe biden can sit back and say, listen. i have been in washington since 1973, right? '72 when he was elected and many democrats didn't want me, and i understand that, but the fact of the matter is, you know, my policies that i fought for helped you, you know? >> do we think he's not okay with that? like, i do wonder if this white house just said, you know what? you do what you need to do at your races. that's okay. the president is not going to, like, take offense to that. >> no, no, no. he will show no offense today, but deep down inside, every politician has a heart of glass, right? it's easy to break. easy to do that, but i think it says something for joe biden to come out, i think, today i think

to show real leadership is to quickly move beyond the election and say, okay. a couple of races still need to be figured out. the fact of the matter is we've got to get this done, this done, this done, this done. >> there's one word we heard him say in those calls, happy. he really is happy today. they, you know, they may have said that they always exceed expectations or whatever, but nobody was sure what was going to happen in the last 24 hours. another point i think we should make is yesterday we sat here and i think i quoted james carville and said, it's the economy, stupid. well, yes. it was the economy, but it was also abortion and it was also democracy, and those are big wins not only for biden, but for the democratic party. >> there's no doubt that after bill clinton was elected president of the united states in his first midterm, he lost a whole bunch of seats in the house of representatives. same with barack obama. in this particular case, let's

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all right. we are awaiting president biden's first news conference since voters made their choices at the polls. i emphasize choices because we don't yet know what they chose yet in the balance of power. biden is expected to take a

victory lap after democrats did better than many expected in tuesday's election. back with me now, our team. bakary, we do not know who will win the house or the senate. o okay? there is a narrow path for the democrats in the house. extremely narrow, but we don't know. is it too soon for a victory lap? >> i think if you are going to give a victory lap, now is the time to do it. what the president -- what i would ask the president to do though is be very, very forward-thinking. you can spike the ball if you want to a little bit, but let's talk about what you are going to do over the next two years and let's talk about, you know, the last time we were here, we were questioning whether or not he would have any successes and all of to his successes, the infrastructure bill, the inflation reduction act, covid relief, they were all bipartisan, and so i hope he projects that going forward, and i have a feeling he's going to be more joe biden than donald trump in saying this is me, me,

me, me. i also hope that he acknowledges the work the vice president did as well. >> i want to talk to you about that, but ana, what do you think? doing better than history shows or better than expected if you are still going to lose the house, you have to be careful how you position that. >> everything in life is about expectations and the bottom line is he beat expectations. the way people were talking, even veteran democratic strategists, it was, you know, joe biden should be in bed right now under the covers sucking his thumb and every democrat in the country should be wearing a black veil. that did not happen. that entitles him to spike the football. i even think he could do a little end zone dance, and i think he should remind people and, you know, one of the things that i think this white house and democrats in general need to do is stop briwringing their ha so much about whether you endorse joe biden in 2024, and start touting the victories. >> right. >> the truth of the matter is over the last two years with a very difficult breakdown in congress, and particularly the senate, this president has managed to get a lot of

bipartisan legislation done, and he should be taking credit for that, and they should be screaming it from every mountain top. >> and now -- >> and by the way, he should be doing it in spanish too. >> now he may end up with senate, but not with the house. it's a flipped situation to what he had before. >> i hope today president biden thanks the people. if we go back to 2020, he built a robust coalition and brought people who supported bernie sanders and elizabeth warren and not even people who wanted him tock on the ticket, but he heard them. he moved on issues around abortion, around marijuana, around student loan cancellation, and then he delivered, and so people saw that. they appreciate it and organizers worked their butts off this cycle in really, really hard races. people showed out and voted in really challenging ways and he needs to thank the people. >> to thank the people. what do you think is at stake here? >> certainly president biden has earned the right to have a good

steak dinner tonight and enjoy a battle of wine, but tomorrow he has the same batch of issues to deal with. he has to figure out the riddle in georgia. does he jump on team warnock? does he stay away? >> does he go down there? >> he has to deal with the whispers of his own party and and he going to be the nominee in 2024, and then he's got the sk economy. if you work for facebook and you're one of the 11,000 who got laid off, and the other companies that are doing it, you're probably not a fan of joe biden or the economy. he's going to wake up tomorrow with the realities of having to go back to work and important stuff. >> the exit polls showed, you know, 30% of people want biden to actually run for re-election. that's it. 30%. >> that's the question? >> that's going to be the question, yeah. >> so, you know, i think that, you know, i do think that the president of the united states has every right to run for president again. i think there's going to be a question many democrats have about whether or not that is the appropriate thing, but again, let's celebrate. we'll have that discussion.

>> who needs to be thanked is joe biden and doug emhoff. >> we are moments away from his press conference. we'll bring it to you live. taste it, it just confirms... this. is. fantastic. and only at panera. $1 delivery fee on our app.

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president biden is just moments away from holding a news conference about the midterm election results. he will face reporters and the nation with control of the house and the senate still up in here. election night in america continues. i'm jake tapper, we wait hear from president biden. let's take a look at where the expectations define it. in the fight for the senate, democrats now hold 48 senate seats. republicans have 49. they need to pick up two more seats, republicans, in order to get 51 seats required to retake senate control. the balance of power inching on three key senate races that remain undecided. in georgia, in arizona, and in nevada. it could all come down to georgia where cnn projects the contest between incumbent democratic senator raphael warnock and challenger herschel walker is headed to a december

runoff. in the house of representatives, two seats are needed to control that chamber. democrats, now trailing with 187 seats compared to 204 for republicans. with 44 races still on called. republicans closer to winning that, though not likely as large as he had hoped. as we standby to hear from president biden, we are heard biden's team are feeling vindicated by the results so far. the democrats bucking historic trends and defying predictions that a red wave would sweep over them in this election. a less upbeat outcome for former president donald trump, his endorsements in some high-profile races, failing to deliver the swift and sweeping victories many republicans anticipated. our political team is in place to cover it all, including abby philip, chris wallace, and casey hunt. john king is back at the magic wall to show us where and why we still cannot call he races.

david is digging deeper into the issues influencing the choices. brianna keilar is at the voting desk. she is monitoring how and when the remaining ballots are being counted. in addition, of course our correspondents are standing by. more votes come in to be counted and president biden gets ready to take questions. let's go to phil mattingly, he's at the white house. phil, what are we expecting to hear from president biden when he comes out, which could be at any moment? >> jake, there's really a moment where the president holds a formal press conference. this is the format that will give him ample opportunity to really lay out what white house advisers call vindication and validation. vindication, because they were able to a buck those historic trends, they were able to buck inflation that remains at decades highs. while they have lost and will likely lose the house at this point, they believe it underscores the reality that his agenda is popular, that his approach is popular, and while the president's approval ratings aren't exactly sky-high. they have still managed to buck

those trends. it is a tricky balancing act right now, obviously the senate and house remain on call. what else officials are keenly aware that the house is likely to flip, even though it is closer than just about any thought it would be. it raises very critical questions going forward. the president has made clear that he would start to think through his decision about seeking reelection after the midterm elections. we are now a day after the midterm elections. he also has to weigh the possibility that a washington reshape, a house republican conference, no matter how small majority dramatically changes what the president can and what the president will face over the next two years. those are all critical elements that we expect the president to delve into here. when you talk to white house officials, there is no denying the fact that they are very pleased with what they saw last night, very closely watching how the races that are still outstanding play out. but certainly, a better night than most people expected. white house officials feel very good about that, in advance of the presidents marks. >> let's go to capitol hill where manu raju is.

we talked about this, the man who wants to be a house speaker, kevin mccarthy, early in the year he had predicted the republicans would take 60 seats. he lowered expectations since then. but they have to be disappointed because while there is still about 34 races remaining on-call, this does not look like the sweeping momentum he was hoping for. >> it complicates his path, even if they do take the majority, which they are on track to take the majority. it could be a very narrow one, it would make governing difficult, and make the first task for kevin mccarthy difficult. that is getting the votes to become the house speaker. now, behind us needs kevin mccarthy is moving swiftly. he has his teams of whips today in order to fan out across the kickoff rinse. lockdown of support in order for him to become the next speaker of the house. but, there is a problem. with the narrow majority, that will almost certainly embolden the far-right faction of his conference. we are told they are

threatening to vote against kevin mccarthy, roughly two dozen or so members are suggesting they are open to voting against him if they don't get some concession. some of those key concessions, putting the idea of impeaching joe biden on the table. the idea of impeaching some cabinet members like alejandro of the homeland security department. putting that issue on the table as well. in order for kevin mccarthy to get those votes, he will have to cut some of those deals. next week will be the first step in the process. he has to get the nomination from his conference, half in the numbers he devote for him. the big vote happens in january when he would have to get 218 votes in the full house of representatives to become the next speaker of the house in a narrow majority, that means a handful of members, if they defect, will complicate that path. jake, we are told that those far-right members are looking for a possibility of putting up a challenger against him next week, alongside challenger who they believe will force him to

come to the table. while they are happy, the margins do matter and mccarthy is contending with that reality right now. >> manu raju on capitol hill, let's talk about this with my panel. we start with you. what is president biden going to say? i guess he is going to try to spin this as a victory. certainly, it does seem to be defying expectations as to how many seats will pick up. they are still likely to win the house. >> the republicans are still likely to win the house. maybe even the senate, you are right. but, what you're going to hear for sure from the president, according to sources on talking to. i know my colleagues are as well, a bit of a victory lap. i know that sounds a bit off and doesn't really make it clear that that is the reality of what we are going to see in january. but remember what the white house has been up against. they have been up against many in their own party saying, why did you end on democracy? why are you pushing abortion so

much? well, they believe the white house that that is what helped the democratic turnout. if not for that, it would've been a whole lot worse. >> i'm hearing the same thing, this morning i spoke to a source in the white house who said, the mood was almost giddy. i think even they beat their own expectations. they tried to put together what they thought was the best closing argument they could under the circumstances. frankly, not really knowing if it would be enough to hold back the gravity of history, the gravity of the president's approval ratings, which are upside down. i do think that what we saw last night was, when you look at the scope of recent american history, the last day 40 years, you don't really see incumbent presidents who are as unpopular as president biden is, getting the result that they got last night. that is why you are probably going to hear biden, with some

caution, saying something along those lines. i will say one other thing. remember, biden campaigned as wanting to bring back the soul of the nation. i do think that there is a feeling now that americans responded to the idea that there should be lines drawn. some of these candidates who went too far on the election denial, too far on the conspiracy theories. i would not be surprised if you heard him talking about what that means for the country, not just for them. >> in 2006, george w. bush lost 30 seats in a midterm. they call it a thumping. in 2010, barack obama lost 60 63 seats, he called it a shellacking. clearly, biden didn't stuff those kinds of losses. it will be interesting to see how he characterizes what happened last night. you know, to pick up on something that abby said. i wasn't sure it was gonna work, but his final pitch, which wasn't about abortion or inflation, it was about democracy. democracy is on the ballot.

it really does seem to have been very effective when you look at these races. there were a whole lot of election deniers across the country from governor, for senator, especially for secretary of state. they lost, and i would be surprised if you hear president biden reaffirmed that and basically challenge what may well be a new republican majority, certainly are very likely in the house, maybe in the senate. let's work together, let's focus on what unites us rather than what decides us. >> to that point, elections are about the future, they are always about the future. but the party that focuses on what is up next for people, this election denialism stuff is not about that. it's about the past. all those numbers that we saw, even the exit polling that showed, we are talking about last night, it showed how unhappy per -- the should have been a change election by all of our traditional metrics. it