grows or shrinks when we get those new arizona results very, very soon. stand by for that. and in nevada right now, democratic senator kathryn cortez masto is running close behind republican adam laxalt. this is the state of play for the senate. democrats won 48 senate seats so far. republicans have won 49 senate seats so far. if democrats can pull off wins in both arizona and nevada, they would seal control of the senate with a tie breaking vote of course being that vote of vice president kamala harris. let's go to arizona first where those maricopa county votes are coming in any any moment now. kyung lah is on the scene for us. this is an important round of counting votes we're about to see in the next few minutes, right? >> reporter: very important round of votes. we're expecting 80,000, approximately 80,000 votes to be released. that information is highly

anticipated here, especially by republican nominee blake masters for u.s. senate and the reason why is because blake masters campaign believes that in this bach can potentially be their path and still refreshing my screen here because we're anticipating that nithese numbe should be coming out at any moment. why do they believe these numbers could be so critical for them? because what this bach is more than half, the majority of these ballots will be those mail in ballots that were dropped off on election day. the anticipation from the masters campaign, as well as from republican nominee for governor kari lake is that these will be in their favor. these are republican votes. voting patterns have changed significantly here in the state of arizona from 2018 to 2020 because of the influence of donald trump as well as the pandemic. so it's very difficult to know if indeed there is going to be

any sort of shift and if that belief that these republican campaigns have that is going to be in their favor is actually going to be true. now, i continue to flip on my screen here because these numbers, if they do come in in the republican's favor, it could reverse the trend and we are starting to see a lot of pressure building. certainly, the rhetoric from the campaigns that they anticipate that this will be in their favor. they have been talking to their followers on twitter, amping this up, if you will, especially kari lake saying that when these happen, that this is going to be her path as well. she has been repeating this on twitter over and over again as well as in interviews on right wing media but for the time being, what we're seeing is the very good duty and the busyness here at the elections office because of the massive number of votes, a record 70% more than the highest number of mail in ballots delivered on dropped off on election day, it is really

created a bit of a backlog and let me explain why. those ballots are in mail in ballots. you sign the outside and your ballot is on the inside. when you drop it off at the vote center, the signature has to be verified because they want to make sure the ballot is assigned to a person, that it is an accurate ballot. so that takes some time. that's why it is taking some time. time is linear. you have to go through the ballots one by one, get them signature verified and then you can run them through the tabulator. so it is a slow process but one that is mandated by state law. it is the state legislature that set the rules and now the county here has to follow through. the numbers have not come in yet. what we have been told by the county is that it is fluid. it could be at 8:01 local time here any time in this hour so last night, it was right at 8:01 and right now, it is -- let's

see, i'm looking at my clock. it is 8:03 mountain time, 10:03 eastern time and we don't have the numbers yet. it been fluctuating throughout the night, wolf. we're waiting for figures to come through. there is currently in the race for the u.s. senate, the critical race for the u.s. senate, mark kelly is leading blake masters. katie hobbs in the race for governor the democrat and current secretary of state is leading kari lake by a hair. again, wolf, still waiting for the numbers. have not gotten them. mer ra m-- morocco pa county th most populous county. this is what it comes down to. the people at the tabulators working to try to make sure that these ballots are accurate, that the signatures match and that if there is any sort of dispute that they sort it here and then those ballots run through and they are counted. what we are also hearing are

these -- are some of the far right media trying to insert some conspiracies. it is on the fringes. you can see it certainly on social media and right now, it a lot of rhetoric. there is heated rhetoric. there is a lot of attention being paid on morer ra maricopa and when i talk to election officials here, you can see it in their face, not only the exhaustion but this duty and resiliency to try to keep going. so wolf, still waiting for the numbers. we'll try to keep going and freshing and hopefully, we'll have the information soon. >> as soon as the numbers come in, we'll get back to you kyung lah. john, give us perspective why maricopa county is so important? >> the reason it's important and we're waiting and kyung is waiting and refreshing, that's an incredible job on live television by the way. we're about to get around 80,000

votes. if you're blake masters, you're trailing. they say wait for the votes. yes, that's a big lead. you wait, when these votes come in you'll see blake masters come back. when we get the first chunk, that's the big test. there are more votes to come after but remember in 2020, we knew mail in ballots would favor democrats. we saw that in state after state after state so you can make a statistical analysis. we knew election day ballots are favo favoring republicans. this was a hybrid ballot. this was sent in to a house and dropped off on election day. who are those voters? we don't know. the first bach of these l late earlies, if you will, new terminology will give us a sense and from there you say okay, they're tracking a pattern. we saw the pattern in 2020. will we have a pattern in 2022? we don't know. if you have 115,000 vote lead, they're about to release 80,000 votes in the state's most populous county you think this will tell you something very important. right now senator kelly is

winning 53% in maricopa county. this is a big county. phoenix and suburbs around it are trending more democratic but this is nearly 9300 square miles. you see the red around it. there are a lot of conservative voters. on the outskirts of maricopa county. >> hold on, kyung lah is getting the numbers. >> reporter: i have them. sorry. yeah, sorry, i'm waving at the camera they just hit my computer. the maricopa county elections department just posted this. john, if you are there, here are the numbers. mark kelly, the democrat for u.s. senate, the votes that he currently has according to this county, 683,410 votes. blake masters, the republican he has 572,113.

572,113. turning to the gubernatorial race. democrat katie hobbs has 667,833. 667,833. kari lake has 607,359 votes. she is the republican nominee. 607,359. those are the latest numbers from maricopa county. they just hit the website. you know, it is the percentages, percentage-wise 53% for mark kelly, blake masters at 45%. and turning to the governor race percentage-wise, 52% for katie hobbs, 48% for kari lake. >> thank you very, very much. john, give us your analysis. >> not what the republicans needed. that's the headline analysis. doesn't mean they're done.

there are more votes to come but they have been banking on this first bach because it include as high percentage of the early ballots dropped off on election day. they were counting on those being republicans that voted election day that decided to do it with an early ballot they received at home. this is competitive. look how competitive. competitive is great but not enough when you are trailing. competitive is great but not enough when you're trailing. when you bring it up here, now they're in the system. i'll move the chalkboard out of the way. 683,410, the system processed these votes. in maricopa county mark kelly at 53%. blake masters needed a much bigger percentage. again, i want to caution there are more votes outstanding but if we went through this in 2020, wooes we're watching this in arizona and nevada. when the new votes come in, you have to meet the target. when new votes come in, there is a smaller pool left to count. you need to meet or exceed the vote. blake masters didn't do that by a significant margin and david

will have those numbers in a minute. kari lake, again, these are new numbers in maricopa county, i'll come to statewide in a minute. she did not meet her target. that's a competitive number when you match them up together it's competitive. she was a local tv anchor, remember that. but again, it's just not the percentage. if you're trailing, you need a bigger percentage than that. we come statewide and look at this. what's the result? katie hobbs has stretched her lead from where we were before. stretched her lead from before. she's stretched, kari lake needed to make it up. her campaign told reporters all day we'll make it up when these come in. there is more to come. it mathematically possible. you'll see there she's come up and wolf, look at the senate race the same thing happened. that was 115,000 before the votes come in and now almost 124,000 now. wo wolf? >> john, thanks very much. we can now make a major prediction. cnn predicts mark kelly wins reelection in arizona pulling off a critical victory for his

party. the former astronaut defeating the trump endorsed republican blake masters in one of the most closely watched senate races in the nation. again, cnn projects senator mark kelly wins reelection in arizona. that means democrats and republicans now have won 49 senate seats each. but democrats are closer than republicans to winning senate control right now. they need only one more seat to lock up a senate majority because the vice president kamala harris has the tie breaking vote. very dramatic development right now. dana, over to you. >> this is huge, huge news. mark kelly as wolf said, former astronaut, he's already been in the senate because he is filling the seat of john mccain, now this gives him a full term as he likes to say over and over again, he's been campaigning for 46 months straight. because of that this is a race that democrats and republicans were vying for, hoping this

could be one that would tip them over the edge but it stays in democratic hands and democrats and republicans each are one away from -- or democrats are one away from locking up. >> this is really an extraordinary development just that we're sitting here talking about democrats potentially retaining control but really what we're talking about is the potential they could even expand a majority in the senate. in part because this is a big piece of that puzzle and when you think about mark kelly, he has always been a target for republicans, really from day one to take this seat back and put it back in republican hands and he has been walking this tight rope as a senator trying to distance himself just enough from washington democrats from president biden dealing with inflation as an issue, dealing with the border which is a huge issue for him but got a huge boost because he was running against a very trump candidate, someone who, you know, donald

trump really inserted himself in this race and i think both parties would agree, there is no question that helped him out in this race. >> it absolutely did. when mitch mcconnell talked about candidate quality, much to the chagrin of rick scott and republicans trying to win the map over for republicans, he's talking about people like blake masters who is boosted by the billionaire, peter teal but there was a lot of fighting among mcconnell and others pulling money out of the race because they didn't think that he could win and this is now born out and quite frankly, this is one of the seats where it's likely now that mark kelly won this term, he could hold this seat for many, many years. this was really their absolute best shot at potentially putting this arizona seat in republican hands but like, look at the map. if they win in nevada, that's it. the runoff in georgia doesn't matter. if cortez master -- >> doesn't matter for control of the senate. >> think where we were coming in. republicans were so bullish coming into tuesday. they thought they would take the

majority, 52 seats. rick scott even said back in october 55 seats was even possible. now they're looking at the possibility of losing a seat. it would be a 51-49 senate. that is a realistic possibility for the republicans. when you look back, looking at the cycle it reminds me a lot of what happened to the republicans in election cycles like 2010 and 2012 where they did nominate candidate whose turned out to be lackluster under performing candidates in the general election costing them the clear chance of taking back the senate majority in the two cycles that is what senator mcconnell has been so concerned about and that's what happened in pennsylvania. that's what happened with arizona and concern that could happen in nevada, as well. >> yeah, we're talking about what this means on a national level and when it comes to the big picture in the senate. i want to take a moment also to note that the only reason mark kelly ran for office in the first place is because he got involved in politics with his

wife, gabby giffords who was the one who people were looking at potentially in the house and potentially run in the senate. she didn't get to do that. she was shot almost killed, other ed were s were killed doi job meeting in their district in tucson. while we talk where we are in the bod y politic, where we are in the e lectret, he's only thee because of violence against a politician who happened to be his wife. >> yeah. >> that's what made him want to run. >> very much so and you think about gabby giffords. she is now for the country a beloved figure, someone we as a country watched her recover from that horrible accident and when we saw it at the end of the campaign, mark kelly really leaning into that story line. a lot of these currents are happening at the same time.

democrats are trying to make an argument to voters that you cannot trust the senate. you cannot trust the country to the other party. the argument was that they were too extreme and the problem if you are a blake masters is that he -- as a candidate did almost nothing to push back against that argument and i think kelly who he is up against who blake masters was a huge contrast. >> this is one other example to bring it back to where we started of the trump wing, somebody who was trying as hard as he could to kiss trump's ring to keep it clean. >> he literally did it on camera. >> he didn't win and it didn't serve him well as all. >> it was mark kelly embracing the legacy of john mccain. >> that's true. >> that's not important to not lose sight of. >> kick it over to anderson and his panel. >> yeah, dana, just amazing development just within the last few minutes.

david axelrod, i mean, unthinkable a week ago. >> yes. >> not just this race in particular. >> the whole scenario. so much of -- trump is right in the middle of this because he really cast these races. >> this is another body blow to trump. >> yes, dr. oz, dr. oz, masters, we'll see what happens with herschel walker in georgia. j.d. vance in ohio was his candidate and republicans had to send tens of millions of dollars in there to a state they assumed they would win to save j.d. vance. money that could have been used in other races around the country so this is going to be right at his feet and touch off this debate that we've been talking about all week. >> alison, for democrats? >> i think -- >> sorry, ashley. i was pointing at you. >> no worries.

couple things why i think this happens. blake masters change' policy on abortion taking things off his website because it's not trending well. voters don't find that. election denier. but i actually want to go back a couple years to sheriff arpaio when the very, very intense disrespectful policies around immigration and being racially profiling folks, something happened in that state in arizona and people started organizing there. we see in arizona mark kelly outperformed any senate candidate with young people. 76% exit polls show he performed with young people. that's better than the other democratic candidate. you have organizers on the ground undocumented targeted by that policy and guess who pardoned arpaio? trump. there is something to be said about the grass roots effort, the inaughtthentic of candidate

and the navajo nation. >> he was promoted by donald trump and today he came out and he blamed mitch masahide kobayashi -- mitch mcconnell for his potential loss because- mit his potential loss because mitc his potential loss because mitch mcconnell didn't pour more money into the campaign. as if his candidacy has nothing to do with it. one more loss for donald trump in a huge, huge way. he tried to erase donald trump as you point out when he needed more independently voters. he needed a set of believes. >> masters is another example as david mentioned as election denier, conspiracy theorists, erasing policy positions from his website. there was another example of sit

back, what do we do moving forward? how do we keep blake masters supporters, dr. oz supporters, the trump base keep them on board and grow the base and move forward to do well -- >> hold on, hold on, hold on. >> as much as we want to criticize the conspiracy theorist and election deniers, they're a huge part of the republican party and we have to keep them on board. >> but can we just take a moment and pour one out for doug ducey that would have -- >> kept out of the race by trump. >> kicked out of the race by trump. christian would have beat maggie hasman and charlie baker could be the republican governor in massachusetts. he's squaring governance oriented republicans out of the field and we're losing seats. this may have cost us the senate. >> the whole issue of candidate quality and this discussion, it is coming home but arizona was never in the core fire wall of states that i think republicans

were banking on had we been able to recruit a better candidate here and blake master was one of the worst candidates we had in the cycle. he had a strange candidacy all throughout and trump was attracted to him. he was also heavily dependent on other people. he was dependent on peter teal for his primary financing. he didn't run much of a campaign in the general and now he's outcome planing other people didn't put him in a baby bijorn and runaround. it's kind of pathetic. if you run for the united states senate, go build a campaign and don't whine about it after you forget to do that. >> two things, first of all, let's not shortchange mark kelly. >> right. >> exactly. >> who ran a very, very good campaign. he raised a lot of money. but he also had a great message that was very much tailored for arizona. it was really a john mccain type message, stressed military service and stressed the fact he'd work with anybody as he did

in the military republican or democrat to move the country forward and he was relentless in that message and really matched the state as the state exists today. this is not a republican state anymore. this is a swing state and mark kelly reflects that state and the other thing, anderson, i want to say is we're focused on the senate race. the governor's race is really, really interesting here and they're related because kari lake is perhaps the most flamboyant election denier in the country. she declared herself the victor before polls were closed and she is struggling tonight. she said she would have a big night tonight. it didn't happen. and i do think it continue as pattern we see throughout the country. alice, you see election deniers are part of our coalition and we have to speak to them, too. i think the voters deciding these elections are saying you got to choose between us or them. >> right. >> scott, you made the point the

voters said we want politicians to work together to get things d done. they want to get stuff done, sensible things. that's not what these candidates are going to face when they actually start serving out their term. they will face a house which is the republicans are like lord of the flies over mccarthy. >> yeah, the house has a different character and quality by design than what you get out of the senate or governors. it's the old saying the house is the sloshing hot tea and the senate is the saucer that catches the tea and cools it off and so you get a little more out of the house there is a lesson in this. experience seems to help you these days. having a record of just keeping things between the navigational beacons seems to help you these days. and i think the point that was made about changing your positions because one day you're in a primary, no, authenticity. >> matters. >> is key to the concept of

candidate quality. if they think you're full of crap, they can smell it from a mile away. [ laughter ] >> it matters because our democracy was almost over thrown on january 6th and people want to know if something like that happens where will you stand? if you are the sky is blue today but red tomorrow, i don't want you in my -- i don't want you in some of the highest offices in our land. it's dangerous. and so i agree with you. authenticity matters and the voters see through it. >> believes matter. mark kelly was popular, remains popular in the state of arizona. what was the reason to dethrone him as the united states senator? the reason to dethrone him according to blake masters was -- wait a minute, he didn't believe the election was rigged. okay? is that the reason to dethrone him according to donald trump? >> he actually stressed that -- he actually stressed biden. i mean, that was a lot -- you

know, as with most of these candidates, that did not work. people want stability. they want sanity and a guy like mark kelly who is not a very fro fro flamed bboyant character. >> he disagreed with him. he had an immigration policy. he was a real old fashioned senate candidate. >> the arizona gop needs to get the act together. this is a party that is running against john mccain insulting his family and done this time and time again. the most popular statesman in decades. they need to realize their value -- >> kari lake said if there is a john mccain supporter in this room, i want you to get the -- out of here. >> yeah. >> i subscribe with the quaint notion political parties are designed to add to the people you have in your -- >> also, i mean, what has kari lake ever done? no offense to tv anchors but

she's been a tv anchor her entire life and in a state -- >> and an obama supporter. >> yeah, for her to be insulting john mccain seems -- >> also, another example of what works for trump doesn't correlate with other people. i think the arizona gop and many state gop leaders across the country will recognize trump might be a trophy in a primary but he's toxic in a general. >> wolf? >> anderson, thank you. we have another major projection to make now in arizona once again. cnn projects that democrat adrian fontes wins the race to be arizona secretary of state, defeating mark fincham. also a self-proclaimed member of the radical right wing group the oath keepers. once again, cnn projects that democrat adrian fontes wins as arizona's secretary of state.

let's go to john king and take a closer look what is going on. lots ovf developments in arizon. this is the future of the u.s. senate. >> not often we're on television talking about a secretary of state race. that's a win for math. that's a win for team normal. that's a win for somebody that counts the votes. the democrats win, the democrats win. that's the way it's supposed to happen in elections and mr. fontes won. where are we now? let's come back to the united states senate. we just projected mark kelly the winner here. bring this map out. this is a head. i'll do this. these are races we called, right? so right now democrats have two shots, two shots. they win either here or here. they get the senate majority. republicans need now to win them both because republicans need 51. democrats need 50 because they

have the vice president of the united states. the democrats it's possible, wolf, as nevada results continue to come in, it's possible democrats can clinch the majority before the december 6th runoff in georgia and now votes just came in here. in washoe county. let me come back to show you this. last time we spoke about this race, adam laxalt was up now it's up to 821 votes. why? because when the votes came in from washoe, nevada senate and wring it up, move it over a little bit here. let me find my pencil. here we go. boom. this is what happened. this is a swing county. republicans needed to make up ground here. instead, here what is what happened. 5,823 votes. he's leading. he's leading statewide. 46

4691. 43%. so she's trailing. you have to make up ground. that's how you do it. you went by ten points in the installment of vote. that's 10,000 votes there. 10,000 votes. what does that mean? that means in a swing county, number one, she's taking the lead and she's holding her lead at 50% to 47%. often in nevada we talk about clark county because that's where most of the people live, but often in nevada politics in the swing county, reno, tahoe, a lot of relocated people from california, the color of this county is often an indicator who is winning state wade in nevada. 821 votes and most of the outstanding votes are here in clark county. he's still leading statewide fewer than 1,000 votes but she's leading by 52% in the largest and most populous county where most of the outstanding votes are. now it guarantees nothing but that math tells you that if the votes continue to follow that pattern, she has plenty of opportunity to catch up with the outstanding votes. i make that point because if you

come back out on our map, if you look where people are ahead right now, not all these races are called but they're all called on the map except for georgia where the raphael warnock won on election day should go back to gray in the sense we have to start over on december 6th but if that red turns to blue, democrats keep the senate majority and georgia will be gravy trying to get to 51. republicans desperately need to win that and that. they need two. the odds for democrats are great. they need to win one of the two states on the board. at the moment, the trend line here are in the democrats' favor without a doubt. >> democrats need to get to 50. republicans need to get to 51. we've just protected that senator mark kelly will win the senate race in arizona. but the governor's race remains uncalled for now. i want to bring in the chairman of the maricopa county board of supervisors bill gates. thanks for joining us. blake masters by the way just made some allegations that

ballots in maricopa county have been mixed-up. listen to this. >> so people when they got to a machine and the machine didn't work, they were invited to drop their ballot in a secure box. we'll count this later. turns out maricopa county on two occasions mixed-up those uncounted ballots with ballots that had already been counted. so it's a giant disaster and mess to unmix these ballots. the most honest thing at this point would be for maricopa county to wipe the slate clean and do a fresh count. >> the rnc, the republican national committee just released a statement saying this election has exposed what they call deep flaws in maricopa counties election administration. i want to get your response. >> wolf, thanks for having me. let's take the blake masters

allegation. there were two centers that went into box three were actually co-mingled with the ballots that went through the tabulator. here is the thing, we can absolutely address this and we will in those two instances we know exactly how many people checked in at that vote center. we can then check the total number of ballots that are left there, either tabulated or in box three and determine if they're the same. we can segregate those out and make a determination and best thing of all is we will do this with a republican or democrat observer to watch this to make sure everything checks out. again, the issue is every one of those votes is going to be counted. the people cast at the vote center. the only issue is where they're being tabulated. they're at the vote center or here at central count. further more, as to blake

masters suggestion that we should wipe the slate clean and start over again that is simply not allowed for under arizona law. additionally, the suggestion by the republican national committee that there is something untoward going on here in maricopa county is absolutely false and again offensive to these good elections workers behind me who have been working 14 to 18 hour days every day now and they continue. they did it today on a holiday, veterans day and will continue to do it through a weekend, through this weekend into early next week. and as far as the allegation that this is taking too long, when we look back in the history books over the past couple decades on average it takes ten to 12 days to complete the count. that's not because of anything maricopa county has decided to do, that's because of how arizona law is set up and that's what we do here at maricopa

county. we follow the law to make sure that the count is accurate. >> just to note this, bill, the rnc statement was made before cnn's projection. you're are republican. are you okay with the national republican party making these kinds of accusations? >> well, i'm not okay with it because they're false. again, i would prefer that if there are concerns that they have, that they communicate those to us here. i'm a republican. three of my colleagues on the board are republicans, raced these issues with us and discussed them with us as opposed to making these baseless claims and again, they're egging people on. they're hyping up the rhetoric here, which is exactly what we don't need to do. let the count continue on and at the end, if they have issues

that they choose to take to court, they have every right to do that and we'll let that process play through. but making these really baseless claims using this fiery language against these good people here who have been doing this, the 3,000 temporary workers brought in to run this election, again, folks from the rnc wherever that is in d.c., telling us how to do things in maricopa county, we don't like that. >> mr. gates, it's john king. thank you for your time. i want to make a point what you're saying. the same things were done in 2020 and you caution people don't believe what you hear on television and see if people can prove it where it matters. you're going to do a canvass. there are courts of law. in 2020 the same things were said and in the canvass backed up your count. the courts of law backed up your count and the cyber ninjas backed up your count so i'll leave that part for there. we just got these results. it was enough to make the projection mark kelly would be

reelected because he had a big lead statewide and we saw the percentages in your report that included a sizable percentage of the so-calledearlies. people had ballots dropped off on election day. in 2020 early ballots tended to favor democrats election day day voting. we weren't sure what to make of these. are you now in the sense of a giant county 920 plus square miles. are the ones released tonight from the central phoenix area that tend to be more democratic? you see surrounded by red. is this a representative sample i'm asking? can we make statistical projections based on it or need more before you're sure? >> yeah, i can tell you to break it down briefly for you, there is less than 10,000 of these votes are laterallies that came in before election day. there is about 13,000, 12,000 of

these that are actually election day votes in person and then the rest of the 75,000 are laterallies dropped off on election day. we do not know where these are from. these could be from anywhere in the county. all 75,000. this is not picked out of a certain area. these are not polled by precinct. >> give us the remaining universe and when we should expect those. >> yes, so we're now left with about 275,000 ballots to count. and the lion share, the overwhelming majority of these remaining votes are early ballots that were dropped off on election day. >> and when do you think we'll get the results from the remaining uncounted ballots? >> we will continue in the rhythm that we've now established over the past few

days. i would anticipate again one ballot drop or one vote update per day in the evening probably somewhere in this range that we've been somewhere around 60 to 80,000 a day, which would then make us reach completion very early next week. >> bill gates, thanks to you and your associates for the important work you're doing protecting america's democracy now. we're grateful to you and to our viewers, stay here. we'll have much more on the latest votes coming in from nevada. our election coverage continues after a quick break. so many improvements in remi's health. his allergies were going away and he just had amazing energy. it looks like nutritious food, and it is. i'm investing in my dog's health and happiness. get started at longlivedogs.com

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>> breaking news tonight, cnn predicting democratic mark kelly defeated blake masters and after numbers released by arizona election officials, democrat katie hobbs widened her lead of a republican kari lake in the race for governor there. let's turn right now back to nevada. the state that potentially, potentially could decide senate control. cnn gary tuck maman is on the se

for us. we've seen the race tighten. where are the votes counting? what's the latest, gary? >> reporter: we'll tell you where most votes are. we'll start with washoe county. the swing. there are still 11,000 ballots, approximately to be counted there as john just said in the recent release of votes, 5,821 for cortez masto and 4,691 for laxalt. in douglas county, 50,000 people, the county seat is mindon there are still about 2,000 ballots to be counted there and the big one inside this building, clark county nevada home of las vegas by far the biggest county in the state. 75% of the people that live in nevada live in this country. right now there are 23,000 ballots they expect to count tomorrow, finish counting the 23,000 ballots and an additional 15,000 ballots that are provisional or need to be cured. the deadlines for those are next

week. so the total in these three counties up to 51,000 ballots still to count. wolf? >> lots overf votes out there still. thanks very much. let's go to david chalian now. he has behind the scenes information on the numbers. what are you learning? >> wolf, our numbers what is outstanding. gary ticked through it county by county. there is another vote beyond three counties gary was talking about. the universe is approximately 55,000 votes that remain to be counted in nevada statewide. that is the outstanding vote. so, what does each candidate need to do? well, in a razor thin race, each candidate needs to do approximately the same thing here. so kathryn cortez masto who is a tick behind adam laxalt needs 50 to 51% of this outstanding vote that still exists in nevada.

adam laxalt who has this slight edge in the race needs 49 to 50% of the outstanding vote. so they roughly need about half of the outstanding vote. obviously cortez masto needs a bit more than that to over take laxalt's lead and emerge with a victory here. wolf? >> david, thanks very much. john king is looking at the numbers, as well. laxalt has a lead of 821 votes right now over kathryn cortez masto. >> here is his problem. david laid out 55,000 outstanding votes. that's an estimate. you heard the numbers from gary between the ballots they have and 15,000 or so provisional ballots, those are ballots the lawyers look over. maybe somebody showed up at the wrong polling place and lived nearby and figure it out or didn't fill something out right. both campaigns are there. that's how it works. that's how the system works. add that up, let me bring this down here, 23,000 ballots they know up to 15,000 provisional

ballots, some might be ruled out. 38,000, 38,000 of the estimated 55 thousand are here in clark county and she's getting 52% of the vote so far. tomorrow's vote, doesn't necessarily track yesterday's vote but you do see we're four days in now and she's getting 52% in clark county that's a consistent number for her if david just laid out they pretty much need the same. if she continues to get 38,000 or 30,000 plus of the 50,000 plus are here, that's good odds for her. what else did gary said? a couple more thousand votes up here in washoe county. this is a competitive swing county. if she can break even, she can catch up. she's a little bit ahead now in a tough county. again, tomorrow's vote count doesn't guarantee anything based on what happened today but she's running strong enough in this county so far including votes counted tuesday, wednesday,

thursday and friday. so the question is do you have a sudden about face? can they be from a more c conservative precinct? it's possible. the question is here. gary mentioned this down here. they come down to douglas county and mention there are additional votes here. what is key to adam laxalt, he's getting 65% of the vote there. he needs to match or receive that because he understands right now he's running a little behind in washoe and more behind in clark county so in the counties left that are repu republican, his margins better be big and outside what david laid out that he needs statewide because of this. this is where more than 70% of the votes will be when we're all done counting where the overwhelming majority of the outstanding ballots are now and at the moment, the income bent s -- incumbent senator that trails is running ahead what she needs to pass in clark county.

will that continue when we count for votes? that's what makes it fascinating. >> he's821 votes at this moment. a few hours ago he was ahead by 9,000 votes. he's narrowed that gap. let's get more from nevada. elizabeth thompson. thanks so much for joining us. from your reporting we expect more voting coming in very, very soon? >> i'm sorry to tell everyone we're not. i don't think we'll get any more votes tonight. my team has been madly crunching numbers for the past ten minutes since those washoe votes posted. we're not ready to call this yet. it's deja vu again. he was up and shifted in the middle of the day. now we're back to about an 800-vote differential. here is what is going on.

she did win washoe by 53% of the latest data jump so pretty good. however, based on what we're sill expecting to see from the rurals and what we know is outstanding in clark, we need to see if she can get 50%. two urban counties are so key. it's too close to call right now. we're down to the wire. i know the whole nation is waiting for an answer but it can't be called yet. >> it can't be called yet. that's smart. the best thing to do is be conservative and cautious when people are questioning the counts. elizabeth, we got a descent installment out of ma ra ricopa county to call mark kelly. we're waiting for more votes in the governor's race. your governor's race had been called. when you're looking at the math

h here, not saying you're doing it differently but 38,000 possible. 23,000 votes they know. 15,000 provisionals, some could be ruled out of bounds missing something or doesn't make sense. with that universe, what percentage do you think your team thinks you need to see out of clark county to know if senator masto gets 50 or 52% that's enough. >> this is what we think, laxalt needs 49 to 50% of the votes to hold or win. cortez masto needs 51 to 52% of the votes remaining. i want to add, john, you did a great job of running down the caveats. we have signature checking on monday. that will be in the mix and if things are too tight in clark, i hope that's not the case. if things are too tight in clark tomorrow we might have to wait for the provisional ballots and

signature checking on monday but let's hope that tomorrow when clark updates, we'll have our ans answer. >> so what's your assessment right now, kathryn, who has the better chance of winning? >> it's anybody's guess. i don't like to make predicts as much as some. i'd give a slight edge to cortez masto based on who i know about clark county and how the votes are likely to fall and typically, signature checking and provisional ballots if you look at patterns and trends favor democrats slightly. that also stands in her favor. >> elizabeth, we have this question that i'm anxious to get your answer on. do you think the influential culinariry union will have an impact? that means they're involve in a process of fixing mistakes like missing signatures or incorrect dates. >> it's possible it could help

and i want to be clear that they're not actually directly involved in the signature checking process. what the culinariry union volunteers are doing is looking at the ballots that have been set aside for signature all available on his website. anybody in nevada can go now and see how the ballot is doing and whether they have a signature that needs to be checked. the culinary union is reaching to contacts checking it against the balance checks website and letting people know hey, your ballot had a signature issue. get in touch with the register's office or secretary of state to get that straightened out. >> elizabeth, i hate to ask this question but it's the age we live in. you see in arizona some republicans saying there is foul play when there is absolutely zero evidence of that. just like in 2020. your republican won the race for governor. your senate race is 800 votes apart right now and very competitive. are there any stirrings of that out there and i want to make

clear for our viewers, when people look at provisional ballots and in the room and opening the ballots and counting them, it's the law in nevada like everywhere else that democrats and republicans have eyes on the process throughout, ri right? >> that's correct, democrats and republicans are observing. usually not one of each but two from each side observing in addition to an election official. not less than five people watching over the provisional ballot processing and we're pretty buttoned up here in nevada. we have a really great chain of command with voter security, those ballot boxes are locked away until they're ready to be counted and there is a very specific process with a lot of eyeballs involved in that and no, i'm happy to report, i actually much to my surprise, there have not been many rumblings, if any, here in nevada. certainly none by any major candidate or campaign about any

kind of voter fraud or any kind overp of problems with election integrity and i want to credit the media and secretary of state's office and clerks across the state for doing a really great job this past month of informing nevada voters about the process, letting them know what to expect, how many days it might take and who would be involved in that. so far, so good as far as that goes here. >> encouraging to hear that. elizabeth thompson, the editor of "the nevada independent." thanks for joining us. appreciate it. it's been a very dramatic night so far as we all know. we're awaiting new vote counts in the closely watches nevada senate race, which could, which could determine control of the u.s. senate after senator mark kelly won reelection in arizona. that's our projection. stay here. we have another projection in the works in the battle for the house. this is "election night in america" continued. ension and f. translation: certified goosebumps.

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continued. what a night it is right now with a new decision in arizona and new tightening going on right now in nevada. arizona senator mark kelly pulling off a rid kill win for the democrats defeating his republican opponent, the trump endorsed election denier blake masters and in nevada, the senate race has narrowed again after that new round of results that have just come in. democratic incumbent kathryn cortez masto. take a look at the ballots of power in the senate this hour. democrats and republicans now have won 49 seats each but democrats are closer than republicans to winning senate control. they need only one more seat to lock up a majority because vice president kamala harris has the tie breaking vote in the senate. there is also a very exciting fight playing out right now for control of the u.s. house of representatives and we can