hello, everyone. i'm alisyn camerota. welcome to "cnn newsroom." >> i'm victor blackwell. we begin with the russian war spilling into nato territory, killing two in poland. poland's president says while it appears the missile was clearly russian made, the strike was likely an accident caused by ukrainian air defenses and adds there's no indications it was an intentional attack. >> but ukraine's president says he has no doubt the missile was not ukrainian. last hour the department of defense said the pentagon has no doubt about it. >> we have seen nothing that contra detectives president duda's preliminary assessment that this explosion was most

likely the result of a ukrainian air defense missile that unfortunately landed in poland. and whatever the final conclusions may be, the world knows that russia bears ultimate responsibility for this incident. >> cnn senior international correspondent sam kiley is live there and/or yen liebermann is live at the pentagon. sam, let's start with you. they seem to be on the same page based on preliminary reports, but president zelenskyy is not. what is he saying? >> reporter: he's saying essentially the information he was given by the chief of staff, the head of the arms forces, was differenting and he insists he's always been accurate in the past and he had no reason to doubt that information now. now, the information he's referring to was perhaps his initial statement yesterday when he said that two russian

missiles had penetrated polish airspace and caused this tragedy. now, its may be the case that he's going to have to revise his analysis based on what the poles and united states are saying. this is a polish decision with the help of the nato workout who fired the missile that landed and killed two of their silt extends. the poles, the americans, nato are all saying in one voice that it is russia that bears ultimate responsibility for this, and i think this just may be a case of the tail catching up with the head in terms of the information cycle with president zelenskyy perhaps trying to justify having been perhaps somewhat embarrassed earlier on. there are no indications from any of his other officials that they're out of step really with the polish findings, all of them pointing again, saying, look, we've got old-fashioned

soviet-era kit here, and inevitably these kinds of strategies are likely to happen if russia flies cruise missiles so close to our neighboring countries. that seems to be exactly what happened. fred, alison -- i mean victor, alison, sorry. >> reporter: we heard from mark milley. he said, look, we've got guys on this. there are teams helping investigating it. there are not only radar systems on the ground and airborne and awax systems. it looks like they would come to a conclusion fairly quickly. they left it open-ended. they are being very careful here. it wasn't just the austin comment. shortly after that in the first question, no senior prize that

immediately came up and he said our information supports the polish conclusion or preliminary conclusion it was a ukrainian air defense missile. althoughet there appears to be some daylight between the u.s. and ukrainian president volodymyr zelenskyy, milliey sa, look. this was rush's fault. one of the things they talked about was the immediate wake of the attack. milley spoke. one person he did not speak to was his russian counterpart. here's what hae had to say. >> some attempts were made, no success, with the russian counterpart. there are professionals there to do the forensics. all the debris that's in and around the impact site, so on and so forth, very shortly we'll

know all the facts. we don't know them this second. >> russia did not take the call. >> right. my staff was unsuccessful in getting me linked up, that's correct. >> reporter: austin has spoken with his counterpart but there's no indication he spoke with his russian counterpart. >> sam kiley, oren liebermann, thanks for reporting. fred pleitgen is in moscow. what's the kremlin saying about all this? >> reporter: first of all, it is very interesting the russians wouldn't take the call from the u.s. one of the things the kremlin said today is they praise president biden saying that president biden had showed restraint when speaking about that incident that happened there in poland, not jumping to conclusions. and it really seems as though the russians are trying to drive a wedge between the u.s. and some of its key allies, especially the u.s. and the poles because one of the things we've been hearing throughout

the evening and the better part of the day is the russians really leaning in to the polish government. they summoned the pole live ambassador to moscow. the russians accusing the poles of what they call hysteria, jumping to conclusions, and a spokesman for the kremlins believe the poles should have come out immediately and said, in fact, it was a ukrainian surface-to-air missile that landed there in that pole live village, obviously killing those people. however, as the u.s. has said and the u.s. allies are saying, they believe russia is ultimately responsible. of course, one of the things we do see all the time from russians is they're also laying into ukrainians as well, essentially trying to accuse ukrainians of starting a provocation and trying to drag nato into some sort of open conflict with the russians which obviously potentially would be an extremely dangerous situation. so you certainly have some pretty strong words coming from the kremlin and the russian

foreign ministry and the russian military as well. >> fred pleitgen in moscow. mitch mcconnell will continue to lead the party in the senate. he won a secret election after an hours-long meeting. >> he defeated rick scott. cnn congressional correspondent jessica dean is following this. hours-long. why did it take so long? >> it did take a long time, victor and alisyn. several hours, in fact. first they were deciding whether to delay the calls. that did not pass. so then they have to get up and do the nominating speeches. they have to go through all of that. the ultimate result is mitch mcconnell won the secret ballot, 37-10-1 and he said he was very pleased to get the 37 votes. he talked a little bit about it. i'll let you listen. >> i don't own this job.

anybody who wants to run for it can feel free to do so. so i'm not in any way offended by having an opponent or having a few votes in opposition. as everyone has said, we had a good opportunity to discuss various differences. >> reporter: he went on to say he's not going anywhere. look, this is just underscoring the division within the senate gop, within the wider republican party, but certainly in the senate you see him just getting a challenger for the first time, a real challenger for the first time. he's the longest sitting leader. that is significant in and of itself, victor and alisyn, even if this was always a long shot by scott. there are some senators like lindsey graham, josh hawley, ted cruz who confirmed they voted for scott. they wanted a new pathway forward. that's certainly not ultimately

what ended up happening, but this is spilling out into public view as they assess where they thought they'd be, where they want to be after the midterms in 2022, which is they thought they were going to take back the senate compared to where they are. they're still in the minority. >> they still have work to do. the senate will hold a procedural vote on a bipartisan vote. >> that's scheduled for later this afternoon. the bipartisan group says they've got the ten republican votes they need to get to 60. this vote is procedural. will will be allowed to move forward so they can vote in the final days. what it would do is not set a standard requirement for states to recognize same-sex marriage. instead it would require every state to recognize other states' same-sex marriage so if people travel or go into different states, that's what it's set to do. again, that working committee saying they do have those ten

votes. that's what they're keeping their eye on. they had hoped to have the votes before the midterms. they couldn't get to the 60. they think they've got it now. >> jessica dean on capitol hill. thank you. republicans are now just one seat away from the 218 they need to claim a majority in the house. 11 races still to be called. >> cnn anchor john berman is at the magic wall. all right. 11 races to be called. republicans need just one chchlt races are you watching? >> any one of them. any one could put them over the top. there are 217 right now as you said. these are the 11 races left. the republicans lead in four of them. again, if they win any one of those four races, they have the majority. three of them are in california, including right here. i want to start -- i missed. very small districts if you have fat fingers. this is california's 27th district. mike garcia, the incumbent leads christy smith by a sizeable amount at this point 136789,000 votes, nearly 8 percentage

points, 72% in. we're watching this closely as more votes come in. it's also up here in california's third congressional district. it's republican leaning, r plus 1. kevin kylie leads. 10,000, 60% in. either of these districts if they go in the next day or so, it would give the republicans the house. i'll keep pointing out laura boebert's race here. this is a herbally republican district. r plus 8 at this point. she's 1,000 votes in the lead. if we get the absentees and ove overseas ballots, this could put her over the top. you take everywhere where the republicans are ahead and the democrats are ahead, it would give the republicans 221 seats. how does it compare historically? it's tight. the last congress was 222-d, 213-r. you can see from 1999 to 2003 it was pretty close. but this is tight thchlt is a very tight margin for the

republicans. it could change either way. one other thing forecast you're wondering how does this last race compare for the democrats and joe biden in terms of his first midterm? on average the presidential party lose 3/1 seats in the first midterm. if the democrats go down to 214, they lose eight seats, which isn't bad. it's bad enough to lose the house, but it's a smaller loss than usual, guys. >> that is such helpful context. john berman, stand by and let us know if anyone changes. meanwhile former president trump is now the first candidate to announce a 2024 white house bid. his speech featured many of the old hits and plenty of the old lies. so we have new reaction to that. and the man charged in the fatal shooting at the university of georgia just made his first court appearance. what one eyewitness says about that shooting. that's ahead. re on the new boss, here's patrick mahomes.

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big named republicans are speaking out against donald trump for running again for president in 2024. potential presidenti ial oppones called for more leadership. blackstone o'steven schwarzman said he will not back trump this time. >> senator romney was more blunt. he said if we want to start winning, we need a new leader. i assume he means the popular vote or three election cycles. trump declared his latest run from mar-a-lago. his speech was filled with familiar themes and plenty of

falsehoods. daniel is here with the fact-check. let's just dive in. there was so much, i guess we should start with what donald trump thinks about climate change and sea levels. >> the new deal and the environment which they say may affect us in 300 years is all that is talked about, and yet nuclear weapons which would destroy the world immediately are never even discussed as a major threat. can you imagine? they say the ocean will rise one-eighth of an inch over the next 200 to 300 years. >> is that true? >> it's not true. it's actually false in a couple of big ways. first of all, sea levels are expected to rise way more than he said here. he sate an eighth of an inch in 200 years. it says on its website the sea level along the u.s. coastline is projected to rise on average about a foot, 10 to 12 inches in the next 30 years, which will be

as much as the rise measure of the last 100 years. so florida could see multiple feet. mar-a-lago might significantly be affected. and president trump said climate change will affect us in 300 years. that's grossly inaccurate. it's affecting us today with more frequent storms, wildfires, droughts. here. it's not 300 years away. >> he also said this about that border wall. >> we are going to restore and secure america's borders just like we had them before, best ever. we built a wall and now we will add to it. we built the wall, we completed the wall, and we said, let's do more. we did a lot more. >> what? >> yeah, like that transparently makes no sense. i think this is trch's attempt to make sure that he fully succeeded on that signature

campaign promise. in reality he partially completed it. it's not any where near completion. we have information two days after he left office. it was 248 miles of wall completed by trump, some of that primary wall, some existing walls to barriers. but 280 additional miles that had not been completed, you can google and find big gaps in the wall after trump left office. it makes no sense when he said it was finished but they were doing so-called additions. come on. >> maybe he doesn't know the country is 3,000 miles long. anyway. he compared thousands of government documents that were found at his florida home to other cases involved government files being move d. >> the raid of mar-a-lago, think of it, why didn't you raid

clinton's place or bush's place? why didn't you do obama? he took a lot of things with him. we will dismantle the deep state and restore government by the people. >> what happened there? >> this stuff i goal doing call it a lie. trump said this in august and it was debunked then. he claimed in august that obama had taken tens of millions of documents to chicago and then issued a statement saying this is totally wrong. it had itself taken custody of obama records after obama left office and they took it to a nera imagined facility in the chicago area. nera said, quote, president obama has no control over that. trump is trying to say obama did what trump did. completely wrong. >> i feel for daniel dale.

the am of overtime. >> i'm okay. >> i don't know about that. i'm going to send you vitamins, mega vitamins. >> okay. that's what he needs. daniel dale, thank you very much. joining us now, sara matthews served as white house press secretary during the trump administration. joe walsh ran against trump in the presidential nomination in 20. welcome to you both. congressman, let me start with you. this speech last night was at mar-a-lago in front of, let me guess, they were cheering, but not the crowds we typically see trump in front of. what do you think of the content and the setting that was chosen for this announcement? >> victor, i don't -- yes, it was a very boring speech. it was low energy. it was filled with thousands of lies because that's what donald

trump does, but i don't think the speech at all matters. that guy, donald trump, is the clear favorite to be the republican party nominee in 2024. the speech doesn't matter. respectfully, it doesn't matter what mitch mcconnell or kevin mccarthy or rue put murdock or tucker carlson or sean hannity or all the donors in the world say. the only thing that matters is where republican voters are, and generally they're still strongly with him. >> that's such an interesting perspective, congressman. we'll goat back to that in a minute. officer rah, because you know president trump and worked with him, i want to get your impressions of his speech last night. what do you think? >> it definitely was a boring speech. we heard that from a lot of folks. it was uninspiring. i've worked for him, seen him give plenty of speeches during that time, and that was by far

one of his most low energy. he himself seemed bored with it. i think if 2016 trump saw 2022 trump saw that, he'd call it low energy. i think for a presidential announcement, you want your speech to be something that's uplifting, inspiring hope and forward looking, and this just kind of turned into a rambling incoherent mess. >> sarah, very quickly, what's that about? we heard from maggie haber machblt what's that about? >> it seems like he might be running because he thinks it's going to shield him from these criminal investigations that are swarming around him. i don't think that's going to make a difference, but i do think in his eyes he thinks that he can message that to his supporters and to the american people as, hey, they're coming after me because i'm running for president and think don't want to see me get elected again. so that seems to be part of his strategy. >> congressman, to your point, the former president dominating the field for 2024, nomination

for republicans, let's put up the poll. this is from new york times siena college, 49% support president trump. governor ron desantis at 26. no one else in double digits in this poll. also i want you to listen to what senator josh hawley says, and this is the carryover from the speech of the former president with what we saw with the vote for mitch mcconnell to lead republicans in the senate. >> i think senator mcconnell's view is trump is largely to blame, that the republicans have an image problem because of trump. i say i don't agree with that. >> what do you make of what you're hearing generally there, the theory from josh hawley, and what is josh hawley doing? he said the republican party is dead, that it's not the trump image problem. what do you see and hear in that sound bite? >> well, i think, victor, that hawley and cruz said a lot of this as well. they want this republican party,

my former political party, to even be stronger down this road of kind of a nationalistic build a wall around america, go after cnn and go after the liberals, make america a christian bu bureaucracy. again, that helps trump because that's the kind of crap that donald trump espouses. >> congressman, one more follow-up about kari lake. she lost her race in arizona. "the wall street journal" editorial board says if kari lake couldn't win on stop the steal in 2022, it's hard to see how anyone else can pull it off. maybe at last the 2020 election is over chlg you see something different and you predict something different for her future. >> oh, yeah. look, to me cakari lake's a sta.

and, alisyn, i won't bet on any of this, but i won't be surprised in in three months donald trump announces cakari le as his vice presidential pick. he loves her. she epitomizes his message, his election-denying, attacks democracy. she still says the 2020 election is stolen, and she's very good and very smooth and very polished as to how she leads with this election denialism stuff. look, don't write trump's obituary yet. election denialism is still a huge part of this republican parties. >> quickly before we go, sarah, do you think former president trump can handle that much star power at number two on a ticket with him. >> i do think he would be carried about kari lake showing him up and given her background

as a former journalist, she's very good on tv. but i also don't know that i see him picking her as a potential running mate. had she one her race, it would be different. but she's a loser. i don't see him joining forces with someone like that. >> all right. thank you both very much. don't miss a cnn special town hall tonight. former vice president mike pence will join jake tapper live and take lots of our questions. tune in at 9:00 p.m. eastern. concerns over safety growing inside the community of idaho after the brutal killings of four university students. we'll speak to a student reporter covering the murderers at the university of idaho next.

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the father of one of the four college students murdered in idaho says there's a lack of informing from police, and he's demanding more details. in a newly released statement, jim chafin says the silence further causes hurt. i urge officials to share what they know, find the assailant, and protect the greater community. his mother also spoke about her son. >> there's not drugs involved,

there's not some weird love try anger. ethan stayed the night at his girlfriend's house and there were other girls living in the home. there are others impacted by this. they need to be lifted up and cared for. >> investigators say an edged weapon was used in the case. they haven't been more specific about what that means. local and state police are getting help from the fbi, but there's not any more. daniel, thank you so much for being here. this is so disturbing and so mysterious. how can police say that these four were homicides, yet there's no threat or danger to the community? >> we're trying to clear it up

on our end as well. the police say there's no threat. but the police gave a text to the students on sunday. but it was lifted and then it takes them two days to announce that, hey, there's a sharp-edged weapon and there's still no threat and no suspect in custody yet. >> it doesn't make any sense. furthermore, they also apparently said, i read in one report, this was a crime of passion, but not a murder/suicide. what does that mean? >> it's something that's interesting as well. when we heard it, we were trying to figure out wait meant too. "the new york times" was the only person or organization that has said a crime of passion. the mayor of moscow, a couple of hours later, he retracted the statement, saying he spoke out of context. they still have it up on their

website, four university of idaho students killed in a crime of passion. ethan's mother had to come out and say there's nothing there. >> have you made any headway with the local police? what do they say to you when you're trying to do your reporting? >> most of the con text we've had is either with the campus officer or anthony who's the pio for the case right now. most of the questions that we've had, their responsibility has been that's part of the investigation, i cannot comment at the time. most of it has actually been from our evidence that we've gathered is on social media. so twitter, yik yak, and facebook. >> and what have you learned from those sources? >> i would say you get with the first social media platform, we learn there were four victims before the police were -- came

out and confirmed it five hours later. it's for students, but they knew it was for others. >> daniel, we heard there are students packing up and leaving campus. what's the vibe on campus right now? >> it's strange, i'll say that. you know, people are packing up. myself and my editor in chief, we were there at the scene. there were neighbors packing up their computers, putting their luggage in their cars, getting ready to leave. our news editor, she's a part of the sororities and all of them have been leaving. people are scared. >> i mean do the police owe the families more information? they obviously owe the school community more information. and so can you just tell us the relationship between these students? two were boyfriend and

girlfriend. do you know the relationship with the rest? >> i do not, no. most of us, the reporters on the staff, had a very vague connection with them, so we department know them personally. >> well, daniel, good luck trying to find more information. we are too. obviously as i said, the community deserves that. please let us know if you find out anything. thank you very much for your time. >> hank you. there's a 6:30 p.m. presser tonight. let's hope they provide more information because it's too mysterious. >> it's really bizarre there aren't more answers to these questions, but they say there's no threat to the student body. hopefully we get more answers. let's turn now to the man in charge of the shooting spree who killed three university football players on sunday. he appeared in court on sunday. christopher jones is his the name. he was ordered held without

bond. >> cnn senior correspondent joe johns has more. what's next, joe. >> the court set no bond, which is not unusual in a case like this, but we did get a little more detail about what happened aboard that bus. when the shooting started on sunday night, the county prosecutor said witnesses indicated that the shooter appeared to be singling out certain individuals and also that one of the football players was shot while he was sleeping. now, chris jones did not have to enter a plea today, but he did answer several questions asked by the judge responsibly. do you have a job, do you want to hire your own attorney, answered yes to both of those questions. one of the people aboard the bus told our affiliate what show saw. >> chris got up and pushed

lavel. and after he pushed him, he was like, you guys are always messing with me. he said something weird like that. but it was very bizarre because they didn't talk to him the whole trip. >> we also heard a little more about the defendant's criminal record. not only does he have a conceal weapons charge from last year, but he also got locked up for reckless driving as well as another charge involving a hit and run. back to you. >> joe johns for us in charlottesville. thank you, joe. artemis is closer to putting astronauts on the moon, and we're going to take a closer look at the missioion next. i'm a coastal lodge.

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three, two, one, boosters and ignition and lift-off of artemis 1. we rise together, back to the moon and beyond. >> long-awaited journey back to the moon finally underway now. >> artemis 1 shooting through the night sky above the kennedy space center. there's no crew on board. it's a 25-day trip that will hopefully lay the groundwork for a return trip to the moon later this decade. joining us now is our favorite university of rochester astro physics professor adam frank.

professor, thanks for being here. i know this is your super bowl and super exciting, but what is this mission? what's the purpose of this? >> yeah, well, first of all, i have to say this went better than the taylor swift ticket launch. i couldn't miss that dig. people think this is going back to the moon, but it's not. it's actually about going beyond the moon. what makes the -- it's not just the artemis 1 launch. it's the whole artemis program that nasa has put together, which is so ambitious and it entails developing these new kinds of rockets and crew capsule, but then having an orbiting space station around the moon, kind of a gas station, waypoint, laboratory. and then spacex is going to be part of this, and they're going to be developing the big rocket that will land astronauts on the moon and be able to go back and forth at will.

of about, the big thing is getting a moon basement all of this is to lay down the infrastructure. think about the roads and the gas stations and all the things that go to having a regular transport system that can actually take us beyond the moon and to the rest of the solar system. >> i read you got a little choked up when you started looking over the artemis program. this is really an exciting time for nasa though. they've got artemis 1. there was the probe that was crashed into the asteroid. of course, we're seeing these great pictures from the james webb telescope. great times. >> yeah, and i think people need to really understand. sometimes you heard that phrase "make america great." you think what really makes a country great? what will we be remembered for a thousand years if now after every politician's name has been forgotten, and it's this because what we're really doing here is

we're setting -- establishing the baseline that really over the long term is going to be something that really is part of it. dealing with climate change, moving out into the solar srj mining asteroids, having a real human presence, if you look 200, 300 years if now, which people think is a long time, but it's a blink of an eye, this is the future. nasa just opened that up. they talk about generation artemis. for the next ten, twenty years, when it comes to human space flight, nasa is going to really be pushing the boundaries of this. >> professor flank, thank you for helping us understand the full richer content of it. be ready to pay a whole lot more for your thanksgiving meal. a new report breaks down the prices next. which is a lot. so take care of that heartrt with lipton. because sippinin'n unsweetened lipton can help supuppt a healthy heart.

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inflation is on the thanksgiving menu this year. >> cnn's vanessa yerkvich joins you now. how much more is dinner going to cost? >> this year's thanksgiving dinner, 20% more than last year. this is a survey that the farm bureau does every single year, and they look at about 12 menu items and they try to price it out for a party of ten. what they found was last year, it was $53.51 for that party of ten. this year, jumping 20% to about $64, and some of the menu items that saw the highest price spikes, stuffing my personal favorite, up 69%. pie crusts, whipped cream, up 20%, and turkey. that's up 21%. so a 16-pound turkey costing $28.96, and this is because of inflation.

americans have been seeing high food prices for a long time now, but we're also hearing it's because of supply chain issues and the war in ukraine. farmers are having higher prices on crops and feed and also the a avian flu this year was particularly bad. they lost millions of birds to this disease and that pushed costs up as well. >> are there any cost savings this year? >> yes. of all the menu items that the farm bureau tracks. any guesses? >> cranberry sauce. >> cranberry sauce. that's the one i love. >> did you just get that? you know your food because that dropped by 14% this year, and that is because farmers produced 4% more. so there was more on the market and people were able to pay a little bit less. also good to know that this survey was done at the end of october. so we're seeing now according to the department of agriculture, turkey prices are starting to

come down a little bit. 14% just this week, so that price, $64 for a meal for ten people may come down a little bit in the next couple of weeks. just got to look for your best deals in the supermarket. >> that's your favorite part of the meal? >> i like the cheapest cranberry sauce. give me the can, the jelly. the can indentations on it, you slice it. that's the good kind. >> that's telling. >> it's really good. >> vanessa, thank you vp. >> thank you guys. elon musk is giving twitter employees an ultimatum. commit to, quote, extremely hard core twitter or get out. that's ahead.

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