i'm michael smerconish in philadelphia. fighter jets have shot down an object in u.s. air space. on friday president biden gave the order to shoot down a high altitude object hovering ten m miles off the coast of alaska. last saturday fighter jets shot down a suspected chinese spy balloon in the atlantic ocean after flying across the entire country. j joining me now to discuss is retired air force lieutenant general, he was the first chief of intelligence, surveillance and he's a fighter pilot with more than 3,000 flying hours. he was the principle attack planner by operation desert storm commander of no-fly operations over iraq in the '90s. these days he's the dean of the mitchell institute for aerospace studies. general, thank you for coming back to the program. so what is norad's

responsibility and the framework through which it determines a course of action? >> well, michael, it's good to see you again 37 it's been quite a week for the commander of north american air defense command. essentially, their responsibility is to provide aerospace warning, ensure air sovereignty and protect the canadian air space and the continental united states. so they have certainly had their hands full in the past twos. >> what significant in this incident of the altitude? >> it's a great question. and that's what the different ituater was between the chinese spy balloon and this particular undesignated flying object, so far, in that this object was 25,000 feet lower than the

chinese balloon that entered u.s. aur space two weeks ago. so that puts it at 40,000 feet. that make it is a possible collision hazard for commercial airliners. so that was the logic for shooting it down once it was identified as being unhabited. >> are there other civilian abouts beyond aircraft at that level? i'm try ing to ask and not be s naive, but how much stuff is floating around at that height? >> not a lot. but 40,000 feet is particularly over alaska one might think, jeez, alaska is way out of way everything. airliners fly great circumstance is the routes. so when you have airline traffic going from the east coast of the united states say over to nurse in asia, japan, china, awl stral

ya, kenthailand, india, they he over alaska. so it is a concern that any object flying in that air space, particularly if it's not controlled, like it aunt peer this is one wasn't. quite frank ly the classificatin of this object is pretty quizzical. first, there's been no indication of its origin. second, it was described in the short news conference at the pentagon had is not resembling an aircraft. but then again, they didn't confirm that it was a balloon. so it will remain an unidentified flying object until we get further verification of what it might be. >> still more unknown than known. general, thank you so much for coming back. i'm not sure if i'll see you next week at this time, but keep your schedule clear, if you can. >> yes, sir.

have a great day. is america sleep walking into world war iii? a ukrainian security official is warning russia is preparing for maximum escalation in the war. just yesterday, russia launched a massive attack on ukraine's already damaged infrastructure temporarily knocking out a third of its heat and power plants. "the washington post" reporting the pentagon is urging congress to resume funding two top secret patrols that was suspended. that report adds, critics, including some on capitol hill, say such activities risk drawing the united states into a more direct role in the ukraine war. that a valid worry? or are we in denial about how involved america is in the war? we're coming up on the one year anniversary of the invasion of ukraine. all along the u.s. has been helping out with financial aid and weaponry dolling it out in increments while always drawing

a line and shlly crossing that lain. all types of assistance at the beginning went through the no stage, which means no as of today. last february 25, president biden authorized $350 million in security assistance for ukraine. thin colluded small armors and various munitions, body armor and stinger missiles. then in early march poland offered to transfer to ukraine, but the u.s. declined. instead thest approved there are 200 million in arms and equipment, reported to include the javelin and stinger missiles. then after volodymyr zelenskyy addressed congress, the biden administration announced $800 million in additional weapons including helicopters, drones and 70 multipurpose vehicles. then came laser-guided rocket muscle systems. by the middle of april, the total commitment of security aid

was around $3.a billion since the start of the war. ukraine repeatedly asked for patriot missiles and after ten months of not fulfilling the request, the u.s. announced in december it will be seconding them. they would not send tanks because they are complicated and hard to train on. then the pentagon confirmed it would provide 31 abrams tanks meaning germany would also send tanks. more billions, fugting jfuguing vehicles and striker armored personnel carriers it i object colluded small bombs.ncluded small bombs. so how does this add up? will the pentagon said f-16 fighter jets are we just

stalling the inevitable and what's the best path forward? i asked that of allied kpander james stagritus this week. >> final question. should we continue to roll out our aid incrementally or do it more swiftly? >> that would be a good question for the smerconish question of the day. throw the kitchen sink at it now. we have been too incremental, too timid to date. all it has produced is more aggressive activity on the part of russia. now is the time to hit the gas. >> i want to know what you think. go to smerconish.com. that's the poll question of the week. should military aid continue to grow incrementally, swiftly or

not at all? joining me to discuss is john sweet, a retired army colonel. he served as an intelligence officer, and recently co-wrote this piece that caught my eye. is the biden administration lawsuit to world war iii? colonel, thank you for being here. you have written that a dystopian form of war is upon us. what does that mean? >> thank you, first of all, for having me on the show this morning. and i know we appreciate the opportunity to come on and talk about ukraine. from my perspective as some of the ore guests have saud, we are already engaged in this war. we don't have boots on the ground, but we are committed. we are committed in resources, we are committed in humanitarian assistance, we're committed in intelligence. ask we're committed in logistics. so we're all in.

. but it's not just us. it's nato. it's the europe union. anden opt the russian side, it'll belarus, it's china, it's iran, it's north korea. so it is a world war that's contained to within the borders of ukraine. the combatants are russia and ukraine with a mixture of missionaries. and fugters are coming in to support either side. so it is a world war. we are engaged. but unthe fortunately as you also said previously, it's a defensive war. it's been called that from the first day it's defend. it's unite. it's deter aggression. it's stand beside ukraine to the end. protect the sovereign territory. it's all those things. until it becomes win, and those

words were just uttered, nothing is you have to enable the cape toblt strike targets that are striking kain kaub. the missiles that you talk about, the cruise missiles, they are being fired from belarus, the plaque set and from russia. so in you can affect the battle, you're playing whack a mole. the state of the address was about domestic issues, the interplay with republicans in the house about entitlements. that was the headline. the first reference to ukraine, as best i recall, didn't come until late in the speech. the president said it's a battle for the ages or words to that effect. what's your thought? does the white house need to be telling the american people this is real and we're all in?

>> it goes on until it stops. and it's not intent to stop. putin a acknowledge d he's goin to mobilize another 500,000. and he wants to win the war in ukraine. so he's going to continue to commit forces to ukraine. we're going to continue to commit weapons to ukraine to defend themselves. he no longer want thes the united states to get in. we're not boots on the ground or losing americans. we are invested in financially. and where sdoes that end if we don't have a strategy? right now, we don't have ab instinct. it has to be to win. we didn't hear that in the speech on tuesday.

>> what's your answer to my poll question of the week? this incremental approach, is it time for instead to throw in the kuch sink? >> i agree it's time to enable them with every system that we can. and they cant sit back and continue. they have to get out and maneuver cbs on the battlefield. they have to hit the two f formations before they arrive on the battlefield and not wait for them to come. they have to do that with the muscles sto reach the russian ships. but they need that full suite. >> the president is headed there this month to mark the one year anniversary. thank you so much. i appreciated the piece you wrote. thank you for being here to discuss it.

>> thank you very much. appreciate the time. make sure you hit me up on social media tell me what you're thinking as the program progresses. this comes from the world of youtube. my fear is the more we support ukraine, the more desperate poout becomes and poout using nuclear weapons. don't have an informed opinion. i don't know. from the the sidelines just speculating, it seems as if it this incremental approach is predicated on a belief that we're going to give ukraine what they needed to resist. then because of the strength of the ukrainian fugters, more of a mind set has become they can wib this thing, although we have to define what winning is. and the wildfire over putin going nuclear has dmiminished. i want to know what everybody thinks pleases poll question every time we have asked about ukraine in the past, i want to note the this.

the most hawkish response has carried the day. i like to continually ask these questions to take everybody's pulse let's see where it goes today should u.s. military aid continue to grow increditly, swiftly, or not at all. up ahead, it's the biggest weekend part sports gambling. but what if instead of betting on the eagles taking on in overtime, you can bet on whether the gop will retake the senate. it's technically illegal, but my next guest found a work around. and the frrl to change jobs. why the federal trade commission wants to ban noncompete clauses saying they harm the u.s. labor market. alright, let's go! let's go. adjusting the amount. adjusting the amount. oh, let's do more. do more, yeah. i can do - i can do more. all in! uh, yes please.

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no. he's making real-time money moves with merrill. so no matter what the market's doing, he's ready. and that's... how you collect coins. your money never stops working for you with merrill, a bank of america company. it's the biggest betting weekend of the year. gam letters in the u.s. want expected to bet $16 billion. that's more than last year's record. but should americans also be allowed to bet on political outcomes. commercial gambling is illegal in the u.s., but the popular betting site predicted found a work around.

now the government is trying to shut it down. the legal bat sl currently playing itself out in federal court. the u.s. court of appeals for the fifth circuit heard arguments on whether they can keep operating. think of it like sports gambling, but on political outcomes. joe biden trading at 60 cents a share to be the 2024 democratic nominee. if that happens, people who bought a stake in him can sell a share for the full dollar. donald trump currently trading at 37 cents per share to be the gop nominee tied with ron desantis. my next guest created it in conjunction. the agency that regulates the markets, the trading commission allowed the market originally with a no action letter meaning it could run as an kakd you can exercise. so predicted has been can be in

any given market at a time. no contracts on sports or it somebody is going to die or get kidnapped. but now they have expanded beyond its educational roots. and by the way he has the most unusual back story. he first became famous in 1976 as the kid when a princeton underact gra wit he created a how-to guide for building a nuclear weapon using publicly available information. in 198 he co-authored a book a about his exploits called "mushroom." john phillips joins me now. why is this legal? where in the united states generally we prohibit wagering on elections. >> first of all, thank you for having me on. it's good to be back on. so this is specifically permitted under no relief

granted but the agency a eight and a half years ago to drout university and to predictit to enable small dollar wagers on future political events. so it's specifically permitted. the question is why is the government trying to take away that permission at this time. we have 80,000 traders in the mashts. there are specific limits. these are small dollar forecasts and it's a collection of trauders and other who is are suing the government to prevent revocation of that permission. >> is the concern that this could dus rupt the process disrupt the process if it were more widespread? >> we don't know the reason because the cftc has never specified a reason.

and that is illegal. government agencies need to specify they need to give an opportunity for whoever they are trying to shut down or interfere with to correct whatever the alleged problem is. none of that was offered. it was abrupt and arbiarbitrary. so it's hard to see how in a democracy like the united states we have billions and billions and billions of dollars on political campaigns with people parring at the polling place how a small dollar wager or forecast would negatively affect it. i would say it's a positive impact because the studies show that these people who have a little bit of skin in the game, whether it's a sporting event or a political event, they pay more attention to the political news and they are more likely to be able to filter out fake news, which is a bmuch bigger threat o

our democratic process than predictit. >> is there anything to be lrned from these markets? i'm going to put a couple things on the screen. let's talk about the gop 2024 nomination fight. the polls that i have seen say that right now in a multicandidate field, it's like trump and about 50 and desantis at 25 to 30. in your market, it's 37 cents and they are dead locked. now i'm going to put up another one. which party wins the presidency in 2024. democrats, 51 cents, republicans, 50. and finally, 2024 presidential election winner joe biden, 34 cents. desantis ahead of trump. the pollsters do modelling. they the to make sure they have demographic balance, gender balance. i don't know who is betting on this site, but do you think that these folk who is are wagering

know a little something? >> i think that markets are very predictive of future events, whether it's the price of oil a year from now or how many hurricanes there are going to be. ma markets are very effective. it's not perfect. but vastly outperforms public president bush polling. polling is great if you want to understand why people feel the way they do. but it's not so good in terms of forecasting future events. markets generally beat polling for accuracy consistently. and that's why there are more than 100 universities using the trading data to understand what makes for a super forecaster why are markets so predictive. and why is that? so there's a lot of research

being done. in terms of the recipients of the data, these 100 plus universities, but it's organizations like the federal reserve get trading data to understand how markets are forecast for future events. it's craze us is one branch of government is trying to shoot that down after eighting and a half years of seamless operation and high lu accurate forecasts. >> thank you it will be in interesting to soo how this plays out thank you, john. >> thank you. from the world of social media, what are people saying about this issue? i thus betting on elections will only draw the group that bets on anything rather than election fanatics. i'm not so sure. hear husband point that people have skin in the game and the to

par in the property processing i could also say we already have a lot riding on elections, but i happen to enjoy it. go to our website to make sure you're voting on the poll question should mull tower aid glow incrementally, swift lu or the not at all. up ahead, yes, it's true. they are greasing the poles ahead of the super bowl tomorrow. ooeg ooeg and chiefs, the man, the legend bob costas is here on the rowdy fans and the history-making quarterbacks squaring off in super bowl lvii. spend $30 on your next vivisit to ihop and get a fafandango movie ticket to see marvel studios'' ant-man and the wasp: quantumania.

super bowl lvii tomorrow with mutt hometown tld eagles taking on the chiefs. it will be the first super bowl where two black starting quarterbacks square off.

jalen hurts and patrick mahomes. in addition to the field, the eagle fan base will be out in full force. commissioner roger goodell gave the fans a shoutout when he was asked about get ting booed ever year at the nfl draft. >> actually love it personally because it's a way for fans to interact. it's a way for them to be part of it. philadelphia fans are pretty good at booing. >> joining me now to discuss the big game cnn contributor and sports broadcasting legend bob costas, who was nbc's host for seven super bowls. so bob, great to see you let's talk philly fans. put aside throwing snowballs at santa. the schools here already have announced they are going to open two hours late on monday. any other city as emotional about its teams?

>> well, if we just confine it to the nfl, if buffalo were to win the super bowl, they have been to four super bowls historically. four in a row back in the early '90s and lost them all. i think buffalo would have a certain kind of reaction. if the cleveland browns ever did it, you think of cleveland overall, there's definitely a sense of resent the there. going into next season, it will have been 75 years since the once cleveland indians now guardians won the world series. that's the longest drought in all of american team sports, if my calculations are correct. lebron james helped the cavaliers won one title, but the browns haven't won one since 1964. we know that in cleveland, there's a lot of pent up megs pop so maybe cleveland or buffalo rs but i get your point

about philadelphia. >> this quarterback matchup, the first that it represents, mahomes and jail hurts, talk to me about that rivally and if you have seen anything like it. >> in terms of anticipation of a quarterback matchup, i think we have seen things to equal or exceed it. when the dolphins played the niners in the mid-'80s, you had a dan moreno and joe montana matchup. moreno had thrown 48 touchdown passes. it was a different era in the nfl. that shated the record by like a dozen touchdown passes for a season. and montana had won one super bowl. that proved the second of four he would win. so that was a hall of fame matchup. it you go back to the super bowl iii, you had young joe namath against the baltimore colts. johnny ewenitis came off the

bench. i get your point. this one is significant. not just because both are good quarterbacks, mahomes a great quarterback, that's already been established, but it's the first time, as you say, that by happenstance it's two black quarterbacks in the super bowl. but there have been many black quarterbacks already in the super bowl. it's no longer headline news when a black quarterback happens to start a game in the nfl. the big problem now is better representation among black head coaches, although it's interesting to note that we go back 17 years or whatever it is, 16 years, i guess, to 2007 when the colts played the bears. you had two black head coaches in a league that still has not come close to resolving the problem with inclusion for black

head coaches. but tony dungy coached the colts to victory over the bears. i think it's more coincidental that there happen to be two black quarterbacks in this particular game because black faquarterbacks are now common place in the nfl and many have played in the super bowl already. >> you know that concerns about the safety of the sport persist. i'm sure you saw this week there was litigation commenced by some nfl veterans who say they weren't provided the full disability benefits. and you laid down a marker on this issue long before anybody else. does any of it matter to the fans? the thirst for this game tomorrow and to watch the nfl generally seems unabated. >> yeah, the super bowl has long been a national holiday. football has advantages, especially the nfl, over other sports. each team plays only once a week. generally at a time of the year

when people are at home in the fall and winter. every playoff game is the equivalent of a 7 game in baseball, basketball or hockey. so you have all that going for it. it televises well. and speaking of television, this is important, most other sports have sold a good part of inventory to cable. there's nothing wrong with that most of the cable presentations are excellent. . but it takes it away, even as the landscape changes, it still matters that virtually every nfl game and every one of importance is on broadcast television. it's more broadly accessible. for some people it's obsession. for others it's a passing interest. some have turned away of the game because of its undenial brutality. and a larger number that recognize it, but somehow they make their peace with it. that includes many people who cover the game. theyen can't help but know the reality of what it does to a

very large percentage of its long-term participants. but there's a draw to it. the generational connections, the strategy, the drama, the excite the of it. that's all undenial. so, too, is the toll that it takes on its players. >> very quickly. you referenced lebron. it's not football related. i saw something on youtube that i have to show. it's lebron james about to enter from high school the nba. can we quickly roll that clip and ask for bob's updated reaction. play it. >> how does it feel to know if you're not eventually a hall of fame caliber player, it's not good enough to be good or an all star. it you're not a first rank hall of famer, a lot of people will say you're a bust. >> how does that make me feel? i don't look at it as looking in the future. i take every of moment at a time. because you're not promised tomorrow. and that's what my mom brought

me up on. i always say i just try to get better every day. >> so bob costas, bust or overhyped, you would not attach to lebron james today. >> not only did he meet every expectation, he exceeded them. i wasn't putting those expectations on hum. i was summarizing what was out there. this guy has to be an all-time great. i was very impressed. at age 18 how well he handled all of that, how level headed he was. and for the most part, he's gone on to be not just a great player, but an admiral person as well. >> thank you so much for being here. you know i love having you on the program. thank you, bob. >> you got it. good luck to the birds tomorrow. and the chiefs a as well is so i can remain neutral. >> okay. you want to remind everybody to answer this poll question. it's the question retired navy commander put on my radar.

should u.s. military aid continue to grow incrementally, swiftly or not at all? still to come, i once agreed to a noncompete clause preventing me from leaving and working for a rival. i thought it was the stuff of immemedia personalities. it tushes out such restrictions affect more than 30 million americans from cooks to ceos. now the biden administration is pushing to end the practice. will that happen? (vo) well, almost p perfect. (woman) my place is totoo small; your place is too far. selling them means repairs, listings, cleanings. what's the market even like? this could take like... forever! (vo) or... more like days. skip the hassles and sell with confidence to opendoor. done. (woman) yes! (vo) oh yes. request a cash offer at opendoor.com. think he's posting about all that ancient roman coinage? no. he's making real-time money moves with merrill. no matter what the market's doing, he's ready.

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♪ ♪ ♪ start your day with nature made. the #1 pharmacist recommended vitamin and supplement brand. ♪ are noncome pete contract clauses about to be nixed? president biden said as much in his state of the union address. let me read some legal. it's therefore agreed after this agreement expires or is otherwise terminated for a period of six months, contractor shall not allow an artist shall not appear, perform or allow artist's voice or picture to be heard or transmitted live or by

recording on any radio station within a 50-mile radius station. that's a noncompete pulled from an old radio contract of mine. it would have kept me unemployed for six months. i thought i had to. i also thought it was the cost of being a radio host or a television personality. but like the president, i have since come to realize that noncompetes are much more pervasive than just among media folk. those 30 million americans that the president referenced in his state of thedownon include ceos and construction workers, hospitality employees, chefs, i had a guy call my program this week and say he was subject to one as a new jersey gas station attendant. but as the president also said, the federal trade commission is proposing banning all noncompete clauses and rescinding all existing ones saying they hurt workers and competing businesses the proposal is currently in the public comment stage. so joining me to discuss is elizabeth wilkins, director of

the ftc's office ol sit pl planning. nice to see you. in what profession have you been most surprised to find there are noncompetes? >> well, as you say, there's a lot of people who are subject to these clauses. think about people in the board room, folks who might have access to confidential information, but honestly, to my mind, hairstylists, as you say, construction workers, security guards. we had a case about security guards subject to a noncompete not to work within 100 miles of their job site with a penalty of $100,000. these are minimum wage security guards. so there's really kind of a wide swath. the penalties tb severe. and folks think if i leave this job, i'm going to have to move or change professions to be able to work again. i can't afford that. so people feel really trapped. >> i know that the u.s. chamber

of commerce has come out against the position take by the biden administration and the ftc. i guess the question i want to ask is why can't the market sort this out? if you go to an employer and they are going to impose upon you a noncompete, go to a different employer. >> i thus you said it the best yourself. folks think they have to sign these. they don't think they have a choice. and that's even if they realize they are signing one. i don't know what you thought the last time you started a job, but when i did, i had already quit my old job. i already accepted a new one. somebody handed me a stack of paperwork, which i sign ed. and so sometimes folksen don't know they are trapped until they try and leave. >> is it best hand theed by the federal government through what the ftc is seeking to do? california finds them unenforceable. is this an area you have to have federal action?

>> so one of the most disturbing things that we find in evidence is that in states like california, where noncompetes are unenforceable, they are in just as many contracts as where they are enforceable. if you're a worker, you don't know what the state law is on your noncompete clause. and that means those causes can have the same effect of chilling workers from working for better pay and better working conditions and ultimately be productive workers for our economy. so we do think a federal rule that's very clear will have a major impact for workers. and there was a recent poll that said that 2 out of 5 americans polled would be more likely to switch jobs if this rule were enacted. that's a huge impact. the other thing that's important to know is labor markets aren't

confined to one state or the other. so if we want to see the important impacts, and they are important, we estimate that wages could increase by $300 billion if nonkcompete clauses were banned. if we the to see those impacts for workers, we have to ban them. >> this is a complicated aspect, but i have to get it in. intellectual property rights. isn't that a justification for maintaining nonkcompete agreements? we don't want the you to take our information. >> that is a justification we hear from employers. employers have other options. 9 7% of workers subject to a noncompete are subject to a nondisclosure agreement or other protections that employers can have to protect their confidential information. there's also trade secret law. all of these alternatives don't have the set skreer consequences for workers. >> as i said, i never knew.

i just figured i'm a radio guy. this was 10 or 15 years ago. this comes with the territory. i didn't realize 1 in 5 americans are treated the same way. thank you for being here. appreciate your time. >> thank you for having me. let's check in on social media. reaction to this issue. we're in the midst of the 60-day comment period. it will be interesting to see what happens. there are reasonable noncompetes and oppressive versions. let's not throw the baby out with the bath water. i think i just brought one up at the end. the intellectual property argument seems like a valid justification. and with no disrespect to hair dressers, a subject i know very little about, i can't imagine that there's proprietary information that goes with that turf. so i think as is usually the case, in certain circumstances, it's warranted. the extreme cases of all or nothing probably still to come, you have voted yet? more to come on social media, and the result of this week's

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