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welcome to our viewers in the united states and all around the world. we begin with a dramatic turn of events in russia. moscow is calm, but traffic restrictions are still in place on a major highway connecting the capital with south western russia. refinery fire that started after a clash from wagner mercenaries and russian troops has been put out, all that after insurrection led by prigozhin came to an end as suddenly as it started. that is video wagner troops shooting in the air as they pulled out of the city on saturday. earlier the kremlin said they cut a deal with prigozhin to stop the march of his forces to moscow. and then kremlin says wagner troops will not face any legal action but they will sign new contracts with russia's defense

ministry. while moscow will drop its charges against prigozhin, he will go to belarus. wagner's leader said he agreed to that in order to avoid blood shed. >> translator: therefore realizing all the responsibility for the fact that russian blood will be shed from one of the sides, we turn our columns around and leave in the opposite direction to the field camps according to the plan. >> kremlin says it doesn't know where prigozhin is right now. this is video of people cheering as he left where his troops seized military facilities on saturday. officials now tell cnn the u.s. intelligence believes prigozhin was planning to challenge russia's military leadership for a while. while washington did not see any change in russia's nuclear turmoil, ivan watson explains how the insurrection started and what it says about the kremlin's grip on power.

>> reporter: a weekend of chaos and drama in russia. mercenaries declared a mutiny and then called it off in undde 24 hours. >> translator: those who destroyed the lives of russian soldiers will be pubnished. justice for the troops will be restored. and then justice for all of russia. >> reporter: yevgeny prigozhin issued a call for rebellion. the head of wagner accusing top russian military commanders of gross mismanagement of the war in ukraine. and then prigozhin released video of an alleged russian airstrike on a wagner camp in ukraine demanding revenge. russia's defense ministry denied the attack and soon russia's top prosecutor announced criminal

charges against prigozhin. then in the early hours of saturday, prigozhin followed through on his threats sending his fighters across the border from ukraine back into russia. footage surfaced at dawn showing wagner fighters surr surroundin military headquarters in a southern city. some locals stood near by watching. at around 17:30 a.m., prigozhin was shown dressing down senior military leaders and issuing demands. >> translator: again, we came here, we want to receive the chief of general staff and shoigu. until they show up, we are locating here blockading the city and will go to moscow. >> reporter: video showed columns of wagner troops heading north towards the capital. along the way claiming control of military installations.

footage later showed at least one russian helicopter narrowly avoiding a missile. at 10:00 a.m. moscow time, russian president putin made a televised address to the nation calling the rebellion a stab in the back. >> translator: all those chose blackmail will answer to the law and to our people. >> reporter: the kremlin announced counterterrorism measures, tightening security in moscow. but by saturday night, suddenly a kremlin reversal. putin spokesman announced a deal. prigozhin released an audio message saying his troops would turn around and go back to field camps to avoid shedding russian blood.

supporters chanted wagner as fighters drove out giving prigozhin hand shakes as he left in this suv. the kremlin says it has dropped charges and prigozhin will go to belarus while promising his fighters contracts with the russian military. for now a crisis apparently averted, but the public betrayal and the short but unimpeded march on moscow reveals team weakness at the heart of the putin regime. ivan watson, cnn. >> cnn is covering every angle of this story. salma abdelaziz is here with us. we don't know where prigozhin is right now, do we? >> no, we don't. and much of what we know comes from the kremlin. prigozhin acknowledges that he is pulling his men back from the highway towards moscow.

we've received very little information on where he is going -- sorry, i have to turn the mic on. on where he is and how quickly he will get to belarus. there is a few questions of course that we need to ask. first of all, part of the deal is that the wagner mercenaries would sign military contracts with the russian ministry of defense. essentially be absorbed into the russian army. what does that look like, could that effectively happen, are these men able to switch loyalties from prigozhin to the organized russian military. does prigozhin from belarus play any role at all, whether that is over the wagner mercenaries or over the continuing conflict in ukraine. regardless of the outcome for prigozhin who is now of course under the protection of alexander lukashenko who according to the kremlin has been given the guarantees from

president putin himself for his safety who will leave now in exile, the damage he has done to president putin's standing is done. he has been, prigozhin, for months now showing up the russian military. and what he did in the last 48 hours is show up president putin himself, demonstrating that he is not the only man in russia with a monopoly of power. he has pierced that strong man image. and that weakness, showing that weakness, of course is a lasting issue for president putin. so how does he come back from that, does it mean a fiercer crackdown in russia. we know how president putin has handled enemies or perceived threats in the past. he jails them, he poisons them, he disappears them. with prigozhin, he gives them comfortable exile. and then you have the russian elite that continue to carry out

president putin's bidding, the military leadership in the country that have been leading the war in ukraine, they are deeply damaged by yevgeny prigozhin who for months publicly embarrassed them, publicly lamb basted them, and w president putin turning to lukashenko rather than his own russian military leaders to deal with the problem that is prigozhin. where is the outcome there. how do they continue to stand by president putin who being looks weaker and who has allowed them to be again publicly embarrassed in this way. so many questions, we cannot begin to speculate the thinking of president putin, but this is the greatest challenge he's faced in his rule. it has pierced the strong man ima ima image and he still has a threat of prigozhin waiting in the

wings. i don't expect that he will go silently into the night given how loud of a figure he's been. >> definitely seeing what his next move is. but is there -- i see the theory that either the kremlin or the m ministry of defense wanted to break up wagner, that that is what this is about and ultimately haven't they achieved that by effectively bringing wagner fighters into the military? >> i think it is too early to really tell what they have been able to accomplish. there is a couple things we need to know. first of all, prigozhin's wagner group is in many ways are made up of criminal elements, people begin amnesty to fight in ukraine, fight for the wagner mercenary group and then given amnesty from prison. what happens to those criminal elements, can they easily be co-opted into the russian army. and again, throughout the last few month, we've seen prigozhin

really create this divide, calling out russia's military leadership essentially saying that they are corrupt, lazy and unable to fight the war in ukraine. do those men who were listening to prigozhin just two, three days ago, do they now turn to shoigu oig tand pledge loyalty there. and what happens to the ukraine war. i mean, russia has been on the back foot other than the victory in bakhmut which was claimed by prigozhin himself in the last few months. there has been very few gains. on ukraine is speeding up its counteroffensive trying to push back russian forces on the ground. and then again back home, what does this look like. we know that those of russian soldiers, russian fighters have come back this body bags, those numbers vary of course when it comes to the death toll. but russians have felt this war coming closer and closer to

home. you will remember the partial mobilization and there were demonstrations against that. we know of course that there has been anger about the economic impact on the war and now this. something that president putin himself called an armed insurrection, something that the kremlin said could be the threat of blood shed, of russians on russians on russian soil. how do you come back from all of that. there is just so much here to break down. but in the meantime you will see a president putin who will try to stabilize and strengthen his position and demonstrate that he is very much in control despite everything that has unfolded. >> salma, thank you. and kevin liptak is following the reaction in washington to this extraordinary situation. and it does feels as though politicians were very much called out by what happened yesterday. >> yeah, very much so. and i think the question that is being asked in washington is

what this means for the war in ukraine. because on the face of things, a distracted president putin seems like a good thing for the ukrainians but on the flip side, the question that president biden's aides are asking tonight is what would happen if president putin were to lash out if he did feel like he needed to demonstrate some strength. and i think that is what is informing the strategy that you are seeing here and also in european capitals not really responding directly to what is happening on the ground in russia. you have not heard president biden and other leaders of nato nations come out and talk explicitly about what is happening there. and i think the reason for that is they don't want to provide president putin a pretext for accusing the west, nato, the united states, of orchestrating this plot against him and in fact when president biden got on the phone earlier today with the leaders of france, britain and germany, that was something that

they could all agree on. president biden really did make the point that he didn't want to provide putin with this rationale. so you have heard mostly silence from those leaders. but as you mentioned, u.s. intelligence has been tracking this sort of dynamic for months really as far back as january. we heard from white house officials, intelligence official, that they did detect this power struggle between the russian ministry of defense and the wagner group. and an official said at the time that they expected it to point, they expected it to escalate. certainly it did over the course of the last few weeks, american intelligence officials have briefed officials at the white house and at the pentagon that they did see head of the wagner group making preparations to take the steps that he eventually did take. they also briefed members of congress on this. but at the same time, i think that people at the white house were caught off guard by how quickly this escalated over the

last 48 hours or so. and that is really best illustrated by the fact that numbering of officials were planning overseas travel that they had to scrap including chairman of the joint chiefs of staff mark milley and american national security adviser jake sullivan who was supposed to be in copenhagen for talks on ukraine. instead he remained here in washington. he did travel with president biden to camp david, the presidential retreat. president biden is still there. he will be there tomorrow continually getting briefed on this, but certainly a lot to digest for president biden and other leaders. >> absolutely. kevin, thank you. and we're joined now by a senior fellow at the carnegie russia yo eurasia center. and yesterday was so fast moving and then it suddenly all seemed

to be over. have you any sense from your contacts about what happened, what was this deal that prigozhin reached with belarus? >> there are multiple interpretations including some conspiracies. the question is whether it all has been staged with the end goal to it displace sergei sh shoigu. i don't think the complicated explanations are true. they never needed to stage anything to cover up his most radical decisions including the war against ukraine let alone the personal decisions. the conditions are increasingly depressive on its own without any particular pretext.

so it was just a general move or let's say angry soldiers or somebody, prigozhin, who wanted to exploit, to use this mood of anger about the failures in the frontline, in the war against ukraine. >> we've been showing images of prigozhin leaving the military base that he took over. you see all of these cheering crowds and he is really treated like a hero. is that one of the most damaging images for putin, that someone who was effectively challenging him being treated like a superstar by russians? >> absolutely. first we haven't seen the cheering crowd which replicates somehow the scenes of let's call it collared revolution when the population, the cities, are

greeting, are giving flowers, reaching the soldiers. last 80 years, the russian population were taught by state tv, by propaganda, that the worst thing that can happen to russia is a revolution. and we see this one town of the police. and then it damages very much the consensus of the majority of the population. so the dividing line is there were liberals, traitors, those against the war and against the authorities and against putin and now inside the camp of those who are generally supporting the war and supporting russia in its

confrontation against the west, there is a major split. we see one ideology of the war moving its unit against the other ideology and supporter he is of the war. heros of those who support the war. again, prigozhin. and this damage cannot be overcome easily. >> obviously you've been studying prigozhin for many years. he was a petty criminal effectively, and then he had this media business, ultimately the military business. it is a commercial private military. are we do believe that he will make it off to belarus? >> we cannot be sure it is a final abict.

prigozhin of course has made significant way since the beginning as he started as prior of some services to the kremlin many years ago, providing services that the state did not want to be implicated, some military adventures in africa or sy syria, or meddling in different elections. and then last fall he suddenly started something that is very similar to conducting full-scale pre-election with troops in the region and foreign policy issues, exposing this mood and the search for who to blame for the failures in the war and for

the war that didn't go as planned in the eyes of the majority of the russian population. >> thank you so much for your time and your insight there. fascinating to hear someone who studied him for so long. while he is the mercenary leader, it seems to have gotten away unscathed, what else do we know about yevgeny prigozhin? that is coming up. plus what impact could the prigozhin insurrection have on the russian economy. we'll dive into that bit later this hour. with tremfya®, momost people saw 90% clearer skin at 4 months... ...and the majority stayed clearer, at 5 yeyears. serious allergic reactions may occur. tremfya® mayay increase your risk of infections and lower your ability to fight them. tell your doctor if you have an infection or symptoms or if you had a vaccine or plan to. emerge as you. emerge tremfyant®. ask you doctor about tremfya®.

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to move to belarus. although the immediate crisis has been averted, one analyst told us earlier that the danger to the russian president is far from over. robert english from the university of southern california says prigozhin doesn't have to be inside russia to pose a formidable threat. >> he lost. he stood down. putin won. but prigozhin is sort of like a caesar in exile, someone who can still threaten from abroad, someone who has enormous credibility as a military leader, who has loyal troops although he is separated from them for now. and someone whose anti-construction, anti-reelite his anger at the oligarchs in moscow resonates. so he could be a future threat as well. >> prigozhin went from being known as putin's chef to serving up an armed revolt.

now he is meant to be heading to belarus. fred pleitgen takes a closer look at the leader. >> reporter: yevgeny prigozhin certainly seems to have had a pretty meteoric rise. on the one hand, he was so close to putin, but he was very important for putin as well. if you look at the beginnings, it really was pretty small. at the start he was in jail in the 1980s in the soviet union and then started selling hot dogs in the 1990s in st. petersburg. its o it was there that he became known as putin's chef and then things went up for prigozhin. he started a media company which turned into a media and propaganda empire who of course the u.s. says meddled heavily in the u.s. election and prigozhin was indicted for that in the united states. but then there was also the wagner private military company.

i saw them at the beginning where they were going to places like syria and their forces back then were pretty much doing base protection for the russian military that was on the ground in syria. but from there, things really did evolve. they started getting involved in the oil business in syria and then things like gold and diamonds in african countries. but it wasn't really until the war in ukraine that wagner turned into pretty much a full-on army with really heavy weapons. if you look at the battle in bakhmut for instance, some of the firepower unleashed there by the artillery, by the tanks that wagner had in its possession, that certainly seemed to be a very professional army and now prigozhin sealed to be at the he -- seemed to be at the height of the power but it appears he's gone one step too far. >> earlier kim brunhuber spoke

with a former ukrainian defense minister and they spoke about saturday's skraextraordinary ev and what the insurrection might mean for wagner group going forward. >> i don't think we had too many expectations yesterday so today we're just watching the situation how it unfolds. i don't think that is the end of the story for prigozhin because, first of all, he needs to learn what we all know that putin doesn't honor any agreements. and putin will consider this as a threat, so there will be some continuation of that story. also we were quite shocked with the low level of readiness of the troops inside russia because rebel could forces almost without stopping. only reason it didn't escalate further is because prigozhin decided to deescalate. and finally, we could see the

demise of wagner. they will either disintegrate or joining the russian regular forces which means that they will stop existing as an independent facility. and we have to say that the only even minor success of russians over the last year was attributed specifically to that group. so there will be some changes obviously in the russian armed forces and ukrainian battle front very soon. threat of the insurrection in russia has been narrowly avoided, but fallout is just beginning. we'll have the latest in a live report from a former cnn moscow bureau chief. and plus what effect if any will the insurrection have on russia's economy. we'll get insight from an expert after the break. my most important kitchen tool? my brain. so i choose neuriva plus. unlike some others,

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welcome back to our viewers. i'm max foster. bringing you up-to-date on the latest situation in russia -- traffic remains restricted on a major highway that connects moscow after wagner forces left the area. local russian official says the highway sustained damage and is being repaired. and as for yevgeny prigozhin, kremlin says it doesn't know where he is. he was last seen leaving in a vehicle. u.s. intelligence community said it suspected for some time that prigozhin was planning such a

move, but they didn't expect it to be called off only a few hours later. nathan hodge is joining me. i want to ask you about belarus. it seems to be playing a crucial role in negotiating the quick settlement. do we think prigozhin really is on his way there? >> i mean, we have more questions than we have answers on all of this. but especially the role of belarus and belarusian president lukashenko. how did it come to pass that lukashenko ends up being the man at least in the kremlin's account saves putin's bacon yesterday by helping to negotiate this deescalation with prigozhin. and also where is prigozhin. we haven't seen him pop up in belarus to the best of our knowledge. and it is not clear how he understands the terms of this

apparent deal. most of what we understand about this, the bear outlines, we have only from the kremlin spokesman last night and from lukashenko's press office. so really it is stunning to see like shen lukashenko kind of muscle his way back on stage here at a moment when russian leadership was almoststrophically frozen. so it will be hard to soay wher it goes from here. belarus itself has faced protests that threaten lukashenko's hold on power. so the issue is far from resolved a outon all fronts the. >> if people see prigozhin as a threat to putin, he certainly will be a threat to lukashenko. smaller country, weaker leader.

what on earth will he do in belarus? >> i don't think that he will be opening a hot dog stand anytime soon. again, it is totally unclear. kremlin says they don't know what he will be doing there. will some of his fighters be following him there? supposedly wagner fighters are supposed to be now folded into the russian military. but again, it is sort of a rather baffling to contemplate the idea that prigozhin, who has raised his public profile so extraordinarily inside of russia, will just go quietly into the night and tend to a garden in belarus. it defies all logic. but again, we don't have much of an idea where he will be physically located and we need to take everything that we get from the kremlin with a heaping dose of salt. are these the real terms of the

deal. will prigozhin actually go. and most importantly, will the fighters who are loyal to him go easily into and be incorporated into the russian military. >> in terms of how the rest of the world is viewing this, as confused as we are presumably and trying to get what intel they can to figure out what is happening within russia and how that might break out and have an effect on the rest of the world and the war in ukraine obviously. >> i think foremost on the minds of for instance policy makesrs n washington, number one, what is the security of russia's massive nuclear arsenal. and belarus plays into this because putin and lukashenko announced that they would be shifting tactical nuclear weapons to the territory of belarus. again whether this is an exercise in saber rattling, we don't know. what we do know is that russia has an enormous nuclear arsenal.

and when the very state's monopoly on the use of force is being threatened, and this armed force of prigozhin can essentially march right up unopposed through central highway, you know, during the day in russia, you know, really challenges the idea that russian institutions are stable, it raises serious questions about command and control inside of russia. it is pretty clear that the full-scale invasion of ukraine lacked any unity of command. and now there is further disarray within russia. so i would say by all accounts very troubling days ahead. >> nathan, thank you. let's bring in moscow bureau chief for the financial times. we'll talk about the markets in a moment. but first of all what are your thoughts about all of this? putin must have seen this

coming, this feud between prigozhin and the russian military. why did he not step in sooner, why do you think he eventually came up with some sort of solution via belarus? >> i think honestly he just thought that he had all the cards in his pocket because prigozhin was always so dependent on russia for his power, his wealth and influence. wagner as long as it was funded through the against defense mint was all based on his personal connections to putin and the army during ukraine was mostly recruited from these prisoners who were pardoned by putin personally so that they could go to ukraine to fight for wagner. so i think putin thought that it was useful. we know he liked to have his subordinates fight each other, he thinks it keeps them in

check. and he thought that prigozhin was too dependent on him and i think underestimated him. didn't think that he would go this far. with belarus, i think the kremlin eye official explanation is because lukashenko has known prigozhin for 20 years. putin has known him for 30 years. according to one account, putin wasn't sure prigozhin was even going to pick up the phone, i think that that really just shows you a failure not to russia's state capacity but also the personal capacity to put prigozhin back in his box. >> and i think what really doesn't make sense here is why prigozhin would give up the army he has built and makes him a lot of money, leave it in russia and head off into exile in belarus. it doesn't quite add up. what do you think is going on? >> i think probably because he realized that they were going to kill him. we didn't see any army units defect to wagner.

prigozhin is pretty widely reviled and feared among the russian elite even if a lot of what he is saying as we saw with the reception he got on the street last night seems to strike a chord with only some people in russia. and this is a way for both sides to save face and indeed their lives. but i don't think we've seen the last of prigozhin. i don't see him sitting at a farm on belarus grows potatoes the rest of his life. >> i think you are probably right there. but more immediate concern for the rest of the world, expecting a financial impact as the markets open on money because russia thousanow looks weaker, look likes weaker? >> i think probably not because russia is cut off from most global markets by the sanctions. one area where there could have been impact is exports of food

fertilizer and oil and gas if there had been a significant state collapse in russia, which yesterday for a time it looked like that was very possible and that would have affected russia's economy quite significantly. but now it very much seems that everyone just wants to put the genie back in the bottle and act like it didn't happen. kremlin said putin won't be making any further comments on this. kay off day off tomorrow in moscow is still in force and everyone is hoping that they will forget it and put it behind them and go back to attacking ukraine. obviously that won't happen, but i think that the short term consequences at least for now they seem to have ovaverted. >> do you think it will affect morale in the russian military, make them less willing to fight this war? >> i think what prigozhin has

tapped into was morale has been down for quite some time because the problems prigozhin is talking about incompetent commanders, about corruption, about poor supplies, these are things that are not limited to wagner, these are thing that the russian army and the 40 or so other armed groups that are fighting in the war in ukraine, they are all experiencing these problems. we saw it was really quite remarkable to see prigozhin driving away like he just won an nba playoff game, getting into his suv with the cheering crowds leading him off. and it does resonate with a lot of people in russia. one thing we definitely haven't seen is a single word from the two men who he said that he wanted to get rid of when he started this mutmutiny, which i sergei shoigu and commander of the forces.

they have been blindsided by prigozhin's ability to play this out in public and they have not been seen at all the whole time this has happened. so i think in terms of morale, it is certainly not going to get people more excited about fighting in the russian army. russian army that couldn't stop these guys from driving most of the way to moscow pretty much unimpeded. shot down a number of helicopters. there are estimates of between 13 and 20 russian service men were killed. so now they will get off scot-free and russian government is not doing anything about it. >> thank you so much for your insight today. and still to come, wagner insurrection didn't give ukraine reprieve from the onslaught of missile and drone attacks. we'll show you that damage next. good thing adding lylysol laundry sanitizer kills 99.9% of bacteteria that detergents leave behind. clean is good, sasanitized is better. ♪ ♪ introducing the limiteted

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uprising in russia, the country still dealing with the impact of the insurrection. authorities say they have just extinguished a fire at an oil refinery where mercenaries appear to have clashed with russian troops and the country is still restrucicting traffic a major highway. prigozhin and his forces have now pulled back. the kremlin says they won't face criminal charges for starting a rebellion and that prigozhin has agreed to move to belarus. meanwhile volodymyr zelenskyy says that russia's weakness is obvious and in his nightly address he also claimed vladimir putin is likely on the run. >> translator: the man from the kremlin is obviously very afraid and probably hiding somewhere not showing himself. i am sure that he is no longer in moscow. >> for civilians, the chaos seemed to change little about the war.

getting word two people killed and at least eight wounded on attacks in eastern and southern attack. 59 attacks were carried out. and the country's air defenses intercepted dozens of russian cruise missiles and two iranian-made drones on saturday, at least three residents were killed in kyiv and more than a dozen were injured after falling missile debris landed on an apartment building. and an overnight russian missile strike hit a residential area in southeastern ukraine. four houses were destroyed and more than two dozen were damaged during the attack. still to come on cnn -- we'll tell you what information is and is not getting through to the russian people. stay with us.

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- [announcer] do you have an invention idea but don't know what to do next? call invent help today. they can help you get started with your idea. call now 800-710-0020. welcome back. back to our top story. there is an uneasy calm in

russia right now after mercenary chief yevgeny prigozhin called off his insurrection against the military. kremlin says he cut a deal to stop his forces from advancing to moscow in an armied convoy as part of the agreement, the m mercenaries will not face criminal charges. prigozhin has also agreed to leave russia and move to belarus. russians watching television this weekend saw reports of unrest on their streets while the coverage was far from comprehensive, it stands in stark contrast to the 1991 soviet coup attempt. official russian tv played a recorded video of swan lake now. but now moscow tried to turn off the internet spigot. paula newton reports from ottawa. >> reporter: the kremlin wanted to control that narrative today and to that end, it seems that they did try to block news sites

on the internet. net blocks which monitors censorship said beginning friday night google news along with other news sites were blocked. having said that, there were other messaging apps that seemed to work on and off. and all of this is part of the kremlin's desire really to control the narrative not just for this event, but really since the invasion started in ukraine. having said that, many people in russia are quite savvy about trying to get around those controls. the last couple days though have been much different. and you wonder now whether or not the kremlin, russian regime, may try to restrict the internet even more going forward, trying to control the flow of information as much as it can. and i will say that even since the invasion of ukraine began, even though russians can receive a lot of news flow, the issue here is that they can't comment on anything that they see. if they are seemed to be saying something against the russian regime, sweechb ewe've seen

examples of when they are charged or even imprisoned. paula newton, cnn. >> and i'm max foster. i'll be back with more on the latest in the russian situation. i need it cool at night. you trying to ice me out of the bed? baby, only on game nights. you know you are retired right? am i? ya! the queen sleep number 360 c22 smart bed is now only $899. plus, 48-month financing on all smart beds. shop now only at sleep number

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