ukraine's counteroffensive and sobering new assessment. and now it is time to set the rule of the road as they head to the trial, and trump's team is saying that the prosecutors are going after his first amendment rights now. and 40 million people are under severe threats today after the extreme storms have battered the united states over night. i'm omar jimenez with kate bolduan and john berman. this is cnn "news central." we have brand-new reporting this morning on ukraine's counteroffensive in russia. weeks into the fight, the reports from the battlefield are increasingly sobering.

specifically, concerns of the ability to retake specific territory. the national security correspondent and the award-winning author jim sciutto broke this reporting, and now he heard the reporting, and this is a marked change in weeks to folks in the u.s. and europe and the military and diplomacy and also lawmakers and there is a consistent read of the intelligence assessments here, and that is the counter offensive has run really into a brick wall into the east and the south and the severe and difficult to breach russian defensives, and that has led punishing losses there, and therefore make a change to pull back some of the units to reduce those losses, and those russian defenses are one factor, and

another factor is training here, and it is noted to me by a number of officials that eight weeks or so training that many of the units have received on many of the new advanced western weapon systems like the leopard tanks is not a lot of training to turn them into a mechanized armored force in short order to breach the lines is difficult was perhaps too hopeful, too optimistic, and they have not given up hope, but they do believe that time is short, and senior western diplomat is telling me that they are still going to see in the next couple of weeks if there is a chance of seeing the progress, and for them to make progress, that would change the balance of the conflict, and it is extremely highly unlikely, and it is that change that i have noticed speaking of the officials from the last couple of weeks that the time is short, and the real

significant territory gains are falling. >> unlikely to make significant gains at this point. jim, it is notable that you are hearing this from a variety of uniformed reaction. any consensus on what could change the scenario? >> yeah. well, there is certainly consensus that there is no magic bullet here, one weapon that could change the dynamic on the battlefield, and by the way, it is impossible to do that, because you have to inttrain up the systems, and look at the abrams systems, and they are not going to arrive in the fall to train up on the ukrainian forces and train up properly in the field, and f-16s for instance, and there is increasing power that you are continuing to break through the russian lines without much air cover and the russians keep the advantage

there, and that is a really hard thing to do, and so, there is movement towards allowing the f-16s to go, and there is approval, and it is going to train up the pilots and take them into the position, and that not going to happen before the fall comes, and the fighting conditions comes, and that a pressure point. >> is it true that you have a new book coming out, jim? >> yes. thank you for mentioning. it is a book called "return of great powers" and the center is the 30-year period that we have experienced post 1989 the fall of the berlin wall, and the collapse of the russian powers, and the time in russia and europe and asia. >> the analysis this morning is sobering. we look forward to the book. thank you, my friend. >> thank you, john.

and now out of ukraine, two russian missiles struck the russian city where at least 30 people are killed. in addition to those killed, 81 people were injured including children and rescue workers. nic robertson is going to join us now. nic, what are you learning about at the recent developments? >> more than half of the people who were injured there, the 81 that were injured, more than half, 42 were rescue workers, either police or service personnel or emergency workers, and they were all on the scene responding to the first incident. it is not the first time that russia has tried this sometimes a double-tap tactic to drop a missile in, and then follow-up to target the emergency workers. and they have tried this since

the war start and 78 emergency workers have died in just these sort of workers. in this particular attack, there is an uncomfortable familiarity to it and not from this double-tap effect, but the effect that it was targeting a popular pizzeria in the donetsk area, and it was targeted with a second missile and why? because it came at supper time, and when did the missile impact the area, and right around supper time, and when did it come to get the areas? because it was, and there were no obvious military targets around it? russia is clearly signaling to strike deep and civilian location, and who knows why they have chosen to do it now, and it is certainly an indication to

the ukrainians to pick and choose these popular venues and seven of them killed and one of them was the deputy chief worker in the region. >> and when these strikes come, they were following up one after another, and as we have seen other times targeting with the first responders, and half of them were mentioned in this particular case, and i wanted to shift to the war itself that we have been tracking the offensive and it is slow-going, and we have been reports to western officials, and seeing the reports as sobering as far as progress goes, but are ukrainians making any progress here? >> yeah, they are. it is an asymmetric war, and the absolute fundamental and most important thing that they want to do is to drive the russians off of their territory and that is the prerequisite for peace, and they are failing for all of the reasons that jim laid out

there, and the ukrainians will say while they are short of ammo, and the supplies did not come, and they were listening to the defense minister listening, and the fighter around will not only take ground but actually the ukrainian fighters will put up a good defense and putting the punishment under the russians, and that will tell you that the ukrainian narrative is shifting there, and they have had successes, and russia is targeted over the border, and the kremlin has hit the way they have planned to, and the government offices have been hit the way they have not before, and there is a mutiny in russia because of war, and there is a number of areas, and they have put pressure on putin, but they won't change the fundamental area of the war, and that is the vital thing. >> nic robertson, kate? >> the parts of the united states are preparing for another round of severe weather after

hundreds of power ful areas of the southern united states have hit the eastern united states. >> oh, my god. >> yes, you see it there, with some landing on the homes. the storm produced softball-sized hail in some cases, and hurricane-force wind gusts, and the rain and wind ripping off roofs. in some areas people were trapped in their highway after downed lines fell, and they needed crews to come get them out safely. derek van dam is there reporting, and tell us about today, is it as bad today? >> good question, kate. today, 600 storm reports and the wind gusts knocking and toppling over trees and softball-sized

hail falling from the sky, today is going to feel like a walk in the park, but it is only going to take one storm to create havoc across a populated area. and today, the threat is in new england. it is a storm in heavily populated areas in newport, rhode island and bristol, and it is moving into massachusetts and so for the next 30 minutes or so, this area could experience gusty winds in exsetsz of 50 to 60 miles per hour, and frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, and we are monitoring flood watches and warning in effect west of the boston metro area. this is different from what we have experienced and look at what the storm gusting can do, and sheering off the top of the roofs and there are reports of 600 weather reports yesterday and very active and part of the

storm system is going to fuel more systems and it is so hot across the gulf states that the storms are going to bubble up and that is where we can see the severe weather today. and it is severe weather that is sparked by the heat and that you can see across the country, and he is going to keep an eye on it for us. >> and now, working on the impeachment inquiry with president biden and maybe a new schedule from speaker kevin mccarthy. president biden is going to protect nearly 100 acres around the grand canyon. and now caught on camera, and what witnesses will say about this event after there is new details released this afternoon. vergara you're in my shot! ...be sure to get my good side! get two pairs of celebrity frames for $89.95 for a limited time at america's best.

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>> right now the grand jury that handed out the indictment against donald trump is back at it meeting in washington. the special counsel is up against a clock today beating a 3:00 p.m. deadline. they need to respond to the judge as to what evidence can be be disclosed publicly. jessica snyder is following this for us. they are saying that the way to put it is a politically motivated campaign to restrict donald trump's first amendment rights, and has the justice department responded to it? >> yes, it is a massive back and forth, kate, between the special counsel's team and trump's team, and that why the judge is saying

that there is going to be a hearing on this by the end of the week. they are saying that they need to submit their eligibility for appearance by the end of the day. and so once again, trump's team is saying that the special counsel jack smith is restricting what he can disclose publicly when he receives this, and that is when the special counsel shot back saying that allowing trump to share anything that he gets before trial is going to damage the case. they wrote it this way saying that the goal of the defendant's proposed protective order is ant thet cal to justice. saying that trump wants to use everything that he can to drum up the supporters on social media and the campaign trail, and this is a fight that judge here is determined to put to rest by the end of the week. so, kate, a hearing is going to happen this week, and much sooner than we expected.

we were not expecting a hearing until august 28th, but it is going to happen by the end of the week, and submissions are due by the end of today at 3:00 p.m. >> and a new trump ally has gone to speak to the special counsel, and talking about bernie keric who has ties to rudy giuliani. >> yes, they met with the special counsel's team for five hours yesterday. and keric the former new york city commissioner and he worked with rudy giuliani after the 2020 election, and he has a lot of knowledge about rudy giuliani's efforts to find fraud in election and it is critical, because he is named as co-conspirator in the election, and uncharged in the indictment. it is clearly showing that the investigation continues, and more people including rudy giuliani could get charged, and of course, we are seeing the

investigation continue, kate. our team is on the ground at the courthouse today seeing the grand jury back at the courthouse for the first time since the indictment was handed up one week ago against donald trump. a lot is still swirling here, and lot of investigations still to go. kate? >> great to see you, jess. thank you. john? >> this morning, a number of house republicans are tiptoeing to impeachment inquiry into president biden. house speaker kevin mccarthy is eyeing the fall for the start. and manu raju is live on capitol hill with the latest. what are you hearing? >> yeah, the house republicans are investigating the biden family since the beginning of this congress, but now they are saying it is time to move forward with the impeachment inquiry and the speaker himself, he has indicated publicly they are still investigating the matter. but talking to republicans up and down the line, my colleagues and i have heard from a number of republicans who believe it is

a foregone conclusion that the impeachment inquiry is going to be launched this fall, and then they will see if they can move forward with the articles of impeachment to make joe biden the fourth president in history ever to be impeached, and the question is what evidence do they have to charge the president with high crimes and misdemeanors. they are trying to charge the president with the son's business entanglements, and they are saying that he has some pay to play business, but they don't have the proof to corroborate the claim. even though they say that he is trying to use his dad's position of power, and not the information of whether joe biden himself was influenced in the actions by hunter biden's positions in his own business, and nevertheless, the speaker made clear that the impeachment inquiry is on the table if the evidence rises to it.

>> i raised it on this show not long ago that because the actions of the biden administration withholding information that would rides to the level where we need the level of inquiry to the strength of congress to get the information that we need to give to american public to follow through on our constitutional authority, and that is exactly what we are doing, and exactly what we will continue to do. >> now the political calendar plays a role here as well. the republicans tell us that if they were to essentially not move forward with the impeachment proceedings it could clear joe biden and the republicans are trying to clear joe biden and potentially give him a boost heading into the presidential campaign and that why the republicans say zero chance it is going to happen, and another reason why democrats are jumping all over the house republicans to suggest that he is going to push ahead, and then attacking the republicans for what they call the partisan

political stunt and calling them instead to focus on the issues at hand, and you are seeing the battle lines drawn ahead of what we expect to be an impeachment inquiry this fall. >> does it require a vote to begin the impeachment inquiry? >> it does not require it, but it is what is expected to be the initial vote and it will be narrowly, that kevin mccarthy can only afford the lose four republican votes on any party line vote and not all republicans are on board. one nebraska republican is not sold on this, and he says further investigation needs to take place and more evidence before they go ahead here, john. so kevin mccarthy has his work cut out for him if he does go this route, and not just on the initial vote, but ahead on any articles of impeachment that

could occur later on in the year. >> thank you, manu raju, and keep us posted on what you hear. omar? >> right now, electors are going to vote on how to change the state constitution, and may not seem like much, but it is putting the buckeye state at the center of the abortion rights debate. we will explain right after the break.

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right now, polls are open in ohio for a critical measure in the state which would allow amending the state's constitution. it would take a simple majority to change the constitution, but if it passes, it would require a supermajority of 60% of the vote. this sets up a majority for the abortion rights fight in november. this would set up a fight for the abortion rights fight in the state. and that would be harder to pass if this measure is adopted today. to break it down we have jeff zeleny joining us from columbus, ohio, and what are you seeing and hearing from the voters so far? >> well, omar, this is an

expensive campaign playing out here in ohio over the past summer months, and tens of millions of dollars have been spent on both sides of issue, and it is the latest example of the abortion battleground over the country, and of course, a year after the supreme court decision that effectively overturned "roe v. wade" and sending it back to the states. it is a slow line this morning, but it is a steady line, and more than 700,000 people have voted early in this. so it is a very unusual election and it is called issue one. abortion is not mentioned on the ballot, but this is what it is about, and that is because ohio is a latest of the series of states that is seeking to enshrine abortion rights in the constitution in november, but to make it more difficult to pass, the leaders here in ohio the republican leaders are looking to change the rules and the threshold of what it is going to take to pass it.

so issue one is asking the ohio voter this, will a simple majority be changed to super majority of 60% to pass any a amendments to the constitution. that is the question here, but it is evolving in an expensive ad campaign and as i said, and certainly a sleepy summertime election is anything but here. we will see how the day progresses here, but on both sides of issue outside money has poured into this, and the latest battleground of the abortion rights debate across the country here, but it is also going to be more difficult to requir e to make changes. >> and this is also what we saw

that in the midterms of the small "d" democracy, and also i am sure that we will see you taking a poll at a diner some time soon. thank you. and now, former vice president pence says he has met the requirements to take the stage at the first republican presidential debate. he has met the unique 40,000 donor threshold. he made quick and easy work of the threshold and he is looking forward to the substantive debate of the issues for the american people, and he said that hopefully trump has the courage to show up. and david chalian, you stood at this table with us one week ago essentially as the cnn news central anchor, and so you can ask the questions here. as we approach the first republican debate, what are the major questions outstanding that you see? >> well, the biggest single

question is if donald trump is going to show up. he has flirted with the notion of not showing up, and why would he give his opponents who he is running so far ahead of in the polls the chance to take potshots at him, but we also know how much donald trump totally loved the debate stage when he ran back in 2015 and 2016 as the insurgent candidate and now he is a pseudo incumbent which is a different position, and runs as much more solid frontrunner than he did there. and there on the screen, you can see the eight republican candidates who have qualified for the debate stage. we should note that it is according to them, to their campaigns. the rnc will have a final roster after each campaign submits proof of the donor threshold and they go through all of the polling to make sure to publish the list of who is going to be on the stage. >> david chalian, sometimes a cnn news anchor, and we have breaking news that you can help us with. we have just confirmed that the

campaign manager for ron desantis is being replaced. a campaign shake-up for ron desantis who was already in some instances trying to redirect or reboot his campaign. look, we have covered a number of campaigns who have replaced campaign managers midstream, and it is a sign of something. >> you are right about that. it is a sign of something, and this is now like a four-week rolling process of a reboot of the campaign, and so this is not a ron desantis operation that said, hey, we are having problems and get the ducks in a row, and launch a totally rebooted campaign here, and here we go, but instead, it is we are shedding staff, one-third of the staff initially because of the payroll was so high, and we weren't bringing in the same level of money to cover all of that. we are changing the way that we are doing the events, and now they are going to change the person who sits atop the entire operation, and no longer the

jenare peck who was there, and now it is going to be someone else. this is not unusual in campaign politics, but it is a sign that things are not going according to plan, and things are not operating as, as they hoped they would at this point, and that has to do with probably out sisoutsized unrealistic expectation, and when he got into the race, he did not perform as a candidate that many hoped he would, and so as pressure from the class as poll numbers have gone down, and the spending situation, and the staff leadership is entirely a new system, and so it is sort of like starting from the starting gate from ron desantis. >> i have never replaced a campaign manager because things were going so well. that is not how it works typically, and finally, gabe, to

go back to the question, and he is going to be back on the debate stage, and how do you think that other candidates approach that guy? >> well, it is a good question, because he is not a formidable second-place candidate the once was. he is sort of now in the pack. and yes, he is polling a bit better, and he does have a robustly funded super pac which is a whole different bit of the piece, and we have never seen a campaign lean on so much on an outside group that he cannot lean on. and he is about to have the third consecutive week of a iowa bus tour that is sponsored by the donor campaign that he cannot strategize with. so this is a real test of how campaigns are run, but to the other look, more campaigns are going to want to take more out of ron desantis if he can, but

you don't want as much focus on him and just him if trump is not on the stage, but other candidates want to carve their own path forward to build support. >> david chalian, political director and sometimes news central anchor. >> yes, i am in the renegotiations with the contract right now. >> thank you, david. >> and the reason that popped up is because john berman started to be extremely rude, and david chalian is the only gentleman on set who would come to someone named kate's defense. >> i am here for you. >> all right. thank you. and now, president biden is going to designate a new monument in his western swing to appeal to new constituencies like younger voters. we will be back.

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the country is getting a new national monument. president biden is in arizona today to designate nearly 1 million acres of land surrounding the grand canyon as protected. the land is considered sacred to native and indigenous people. and with it comes monumental protections including a permanent ban to uranium mining there. and bill was recently there, and you are near grand canyon-ish.

>> a djacent. >> and what is there to this? >> it is a promise to the indigenous groups to put a ban on this uranium mining. and obama signed a 20-year agreement, and so this is a permanent ban there. and it is for the tribes that are fighting with this administration over similar protections, and there is a lithium in thacker pass, the northern part of nevada that is creating great tension there, and there is a copper mine in arizona that tribes are fighting back against as well. so it is speaking to the new energy age that we are going into, and the electric cars need lithium and copper, and so does it matter to a tribe that has been burned over the generation by settlers breaking promises or taking their land, and you say, no, this is for clean energy, and it is a challenge.

>> but it is a really fascinating kind of tug and pull. biden is doing this, in part to make the case that he is tackling climate and economic challenges of americans out west, and his campaign is counting on it, but at the same time, you have this other talk about how you square that and talk about energy now? >> he is going to go to new mexico and talk about a big wind turbine manufacturing effort there, and that is the tension, we need all of the energy, and the clean energy which means putting it in places that a lot of the environmentalists or native tribes would not like to see marred in any way, and we are beyond the point not to ruin anything, and it is tough choice now, and we are in july, the hottest month ever, and the faster we can transition, the better for everybody. >> thank you. >> good to see you, kate. >> good to see you, bill. and now n texas, they have arrested the cousin of the

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and it is so bad that the naacp chapter has called for a state of emergency and people are packing up and moving out. kyung lah reports. >> i love oakland. it is very hard for me and my son, especially my son. >> reporter: so kristen cook is leaving oakland, california. >> be careful. >> reporter: after living here her whole life. >> i got too scared to leave my own house. >> brazen assaults in broad daylight and break-ins across the city. there is a surge of violent crimes this year, and while the homicides are down, robberies, burglaries and rape are all up by double-digit percentages. everyone we talked to said it does not matter the race, the income, and everyone is a target, and including carjackings, like this one. >> no.

>> now they are carjacking people at stop signs, and my son is about to start driving. the fact that i am pushed out because i emotionally can't take it anymore is horrible. >> reporter: but toni byrd is staying, and she lives with a locked front gate and cameras, and they recommended steel braces for the residential doors and air horns. >> the idea is if you set it off, the neighbor would hear it and set theirs off, and people would be alerted that there is danger. >> reporter: her 60-year-old neighbor was shot to death trimming the front tree during the day and he died as byrd and other neighbors tried to save him. >> i am not looking for the perfect safe place. i am looking for a place where the elderly women and children are not targeted. i think that we can all agree that needs to change, and so i feel like it is going to change and that is why i am staying. >> reporter: but staying open

gets tougher everyday for troy welch gets tougher everyday for his hardware store. >> reporter: his store was robbed hours before we met him. >> they went through my cash registers and through my office and tried to take a sledgehammer to it, and tried to lift it, but they are not getting through that safe. >> reporter: he says he loses 10% of the merchandise, and he leaves the cash registers empty and open. tired of replacing them. >> it is more brazen and violent than what it used to be. >> how long does it take for the police to arrive? >> 45 minutes. >> is that typical? >> that is probably fast. >> reporter: frustration has spilled over in community meetings, and the anger is directed at the leadership like the newly elected district attorney who has been on the job just seven months. >> it is unreal! >> i am a black man born and

raised in oakland and when i walk out of the home, i want to be safe, and if that calls for whoever commits the crime to be prosecuted, so be it, but we want it fair and just. >> reporter: and darren is with the naacp branch who penned a letter saying failed leadership and defund the police movement and anti-police rhetoric to create a heyday for criminals. >> we are not saying mass incourse ration and arrest everyone, but the people who are out here committing the violent crimes to be charged. >> reporter: do we need more police? >> yes, we do. >> reporter: oakland's interim police chief says that oakland is taking a comprehensive approach the fighting crime. they say that the crime feels different now. why is that? >> because it is pervasive and not just localized or where we historically saw gang violence

that feeling is becoming that it is everywhere. >> reporter: from the cops to crime prevention, funded for 712 officers, ellison says he has 715 on staff. >> so what we are seeing is changes in bail, changes in sentencing. >> reporter: are you saying that you need tougher punishment on the back end? >> it is not just enforcement, but accountability comes in many forms. >> kyung lah, cnn. >> thank you, kyung lah. john? >> over 115 asylum seekers are on a barge, and it will hold up to 500 males for nine months as they go through the asylum process and it is a inhumane way to deal with the surging asylum population. and government officials say it is necessary to address the rising cost of housing migrants

in hotels. in north korea, there is a forced evacuation of those attending the scout jamboree. the typhoon is expected to hit thursday and hundreds of teenagers had fallen ill at the event due to a sweltering heat wave. this sounds like a fun event. the government says it will find ways to continue to jamboree for the remaining five days. thousands of people lined the streets to pay respects to singer and activist sinead o'connor, as the procession passed where she lived for 15 years and she was later laid to rest. and now, meeting for the first time after charging him last week, the grand jury is back at it. what could that mean now?

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