tv CNN This Morning CNN October 6, 2023 5:00am-6:01am PDT
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good morning. five things to know for this friday, october 6th. the race for house speaker, he would consider the position himself, donald trump now throwing his support behind congressman jim jordan. former president trump revealing nuclear submarine secrets to an australian billionaire. >> and president biden dealing with the fallout over the crisis at the border as texas governor greg abbott continues to send migrants to non-border cities like new york and chicago. we will talk to denver's mayor and how his city is addressing the 2,400 migrants sent there. a new 2024 poll out this morning. but the former president holds a significant lead when it comes to voters' top issues no this morning, hollywood actors still on strike. so are uaw workers. will it impact the september jobs reports that come out moments from now. this hour of "cnn this morning"
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starts right now. how are you going to get them in line if you were to become the speaker? >> i mean, i disagree with what took place. those guys are friends of mine and, you know, i think that's the message i have been talking to my colleagues about, is who can bring the eight into the, you know, part of the team, who can unite our team. i think i can do that. if i didn't think i could do that, i wouldn't run. >> that was congressman jim jordan making his case to be the next house speaker. he just got a huge boost from the president putin former president. donald trump make a surprise endorsement after midnight. throwing support behind jordan as house republicans scramble to pick a new leader with weeks left to prevent a government shutdown. m manu raju just spoke to him. >> what is different between you
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and steve scalise? >> i think this race comes down to two questions. i said yesterday. unite the conference. also unite -- three twegs questions. unite the conference, unite conservative republicans in a party around the country and who can tell the country what we're doing and why it's important to them, to their family, to their business, to their community. and, look, i like the job i got now. i never wanted to do this job, but someone has to. who can bring the team together, communicate to the country. that's why i'm running. >> reporter: what were your conversations like with trump? you got his endorsement. what do you expect him to do to get you the votes in this race? >> i appreciate his endorsement. he is going to be our president nominee and i think our next patient. so i appreciate that. we are focused on our colleagues. i am talking with, you know, we got from freedom caucus to
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people in the middle to committee chairs to jeff van drew, democratic four years ago, all kinds of across the board support and we are going to keep working. >> and that was manu raju moments ago working early in the morning. i think underscoring that jim jordan is working -- or he tries to figure out his path forward to the 218 or requisite number of votes he needs. that comes after trump had been floating the idea of being speaker himself, even though he is in the middle of a civil fraud trial and facing four criminal cases. he is also running for president. >> jim jordan working early. manu is never allowed to sleep, by the way. the upcoming calendar, right now set to meet monday in this race to replace kevin mccarthy. they will hear from candidates, jim jordan, steve scalise, on tuesday. an internal election is expected on wednesday and there could be a house vote on that same day if
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there is a candidate who can yun unify enough republicans. they need to win support from moderates and hard-liners who voted out mccarthy. >> insight from fred upton and adam kinzinger. congressman, upton, i have been trying to map out the pathway to 218 or 217, whatever the number is now, given the dynamics of this conference which has draininged dramatically since you got there. do you see a pathway for steve scalise or jinl at this point? >> it's going to be really hard. and adam and i have been chatting for a long, long time and we both expected trump to come out in support of jordan. that was not a surprise. in fact, there is, i think trump is coming up to the hill next week to address the conference, to try to get people together.
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but it clearly puts jordan in the cat bird seat. at least for the first round. but you've got to get 218. the questions among the moderates, the republican governing council, main street partnership, are there going to be 10 or 15 republicans that say, no, this is not where we need to go. there are 18 republicans that won in districts that biden won. they are not going to be very happy with jim jordan speakership. he owpposed the c.a.r.e.s. act, opposed the c.h.i.p.s. act. he has been with those eight, i calm them renegades, and their votes virtually all year long. so there is never a problem for him corralling them and bringing them on to the team. the question will be, where are the moderates going to be? are there going to be enough to say no? in that case, it probably -- you look at mchenry or maybe tom cole as a successor.
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>> so as we look in that exchange we just played with jim jordan and manu, he talked about the conference he believes he is the guy, he keeps saying he is the guy. he said he is basically the communicator here, that he -- the other reason he believes he is the right job for this job, he can bring people together, he can tell the country, in his words, what we are doing and why it's so important. how important is that communication part of it? if he is out there on tv more, if he is speaking more to voters, is there a chance, the hope that he will take some of that, that they will take, rather, some of that back to their representatives and he'll hear from voters? >> look, yeah. i mean, look, communication is really important for a speaker. i am old school. i think the speaker's job should be just to be the speaker of the house and not the leader of a certain part. but it is important. jim jordan is not a great communicator. he is great on fox news because he throws out all kinds of
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bombs, right? i don't think he would be good with a crowd that is in a middle unless they don't wear suit jackets and he can relate on that level. that will be an interesting thing. the reason i think jim jordan can unite the caucus better. i think he is worse. it's because the incentive structure is such that these eight renegades that threw out the current speaker, kevin mccarthy, are probably going to get their way because they are willing to go to the edge of the earth, they are willing to withhold votes to get rid of kevin mccarthy. the question is, are there ten on the other side willing to play that same game to say, you know, hell, no, will i ever vote for jim jordan. if there are, jim jordan will never be speaker. we may get to a consensus speaker, which would be better for the country. unless that happened, i am not convinced there are the numbers. nancy mace mr. be on cnn i am sure at some point today. she voted against kevin mccarthy because she said he was not
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pro-women enough. she has to immediately today, i would assume, come out against jim jordan and say no chance will she vote for him. she was on bannon's podcast, so i doubt that happens. interesting to watch. >> congressman, this has always been the case inside the conference, it particularly over the course of the last four, five years. the moderate members, the problem solvers group members, main street caucus group members always had the numbers to do the same exact things that we saw from gaetz and his crew, and they have never done it. so why would this time be any different? >> well, it's crunch time now. i mean, it really is. so it's either make a statement now and say, you know, maybe do it as, as adam said, look at coalition, although that's a bunch of ballots down the line. th that's next week -- actually, two weeks down the line if there is a real gridlock here. but we will see. we will just see. we will know.
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i mean, i think members will be coming out with statements soon whether they can accept jim jordan assuming that he does have the nod, things don't collapse over the weekend, and steve scalise, you know, he had a magnificent challenge, but it's pretty hard to get above 100 votes and he needs 113. it's a real divided conference. that's for sure. >> yeah. before we let you go, congressman kinzinger, i want your take of abc reporting that former president trump in april of 2021, with when he was out of office at mar-a-lago told this australian billionaire discuss very sensitive information about u.s. nuclear subs, how close they could get without being detected. annie mccabe was putting in context for us earlier this morning about the level of sensitivity of this information in particular and why it could be so damaging from your perspective. where is your head at this morning when you hear this
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latest reporting? >> yeah, this is really traitor's activity. this is a complete betrayal of the trust that the united states of america puts in you as president. fred and i in congress allocated billions of dollars these these programs to save american lives and ensure we could operate the seas and control the freedom of navigation in the way that american people expect. for donald trump to say these secrets, he is literally -- he is putting american lives in jeopardy. he is putting american defense strategy in jeopardy and wasting billions of dollars because now we will have to change those secrets, obviously, if they get out. this is unforgiveable. this is par for the course for donald trump. you know, anybody that supports him and defends him cannot call themselves a china hawk in the same breath. >> always good to have you both with us. thank you. in major policy shift, the biden administration says it will now begin deportk
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explaining why his administration is moving to build more barriers at the u.s./mexico border after campaigning against it. he says he still believes a wall won't work. >> a border wall money was appropriated for the border wall. i tried to get them to redirect that money. they didn't. they wouldn't. in the meantime, there is nothing under the law that they
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have to use the money for what it was appropriated. i can't stop that. >> do you believe the border wall works? >> no. >> a top u.s. officials were in mexico this week as mexico's president says the u.s., quote, is acting irresponsibly for building a new wall. a major policy shift, the biden administration says it will restart directly deporting venezuelans back to their homeland to curb the record influx of southern border crossing. priscilla alvarez is live in washington, d.c., with more. the scale of the policy changes, they seem like they are one-offs. they are not. they are coming together. do they create a potential solution here? >> reporter: they are all coming together in an attempt to deter migrants continuing to come to the u.s./mexico border. to your point, for years the u.s. has been unable or hasn't been carrying out regular deportations to venezuela. that changes this week. and here's why that's important. venezuelans make up a larger share of border crossers than they have in previous years.
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if you look at the numbers, just in august, for example, there was over 30,000 migrants from venezuela encountered by border authorities. now, that that -- what happens is they are processed by authorities and released into the u.s. as they go through their immigration court proceedings. that was one of the few options that the administration had and in some cases it they send them back to mexico. the reason is because there are over 7 million people who have fled venezuela because of economic and political turmoil there. just to give you a bit of context on that, that outpaces of number of people who fled ukraine where there is an active war. this is a regional issue and one the administration has been grappling with the border and now they are making a decision that they are going to have to send some back to venezuela or try to over the next week to try to make a dent in the numbers at the u.s. southern border. yesterday we heard from homeland security secretary mayorkas mayorkas and secretary of state antony blinken who tried to describe a little bit more about this announcement.
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>> we are charged with taking coordinated actions to try to stabilize flows, to expand regular pathways to humanely manage all of our borders. repatriations are a key piece to this balanced approach. >> we are a nation of immigrants and we are a nation of laws. >> the message being they are going to levy consequences against migrants and try to provide lawful pathways where they can. >> one of the questions i have after had announcement is relations with venezuela, the ability to actually repatriate that had long been a significant hurdle, is that solved now, and how? >> so, senior administration officials would not go into detail into what venezuela agreed to that would allow them to do this. what, if anything, they asked for, for example. it is a breakthrough for them to be able to do this. i think the outstanding question is how many flights are they willing to take. they will accept their
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nationalities. how many in a week or a month? wil one of the cities facing a surge in migrants is denver. part of the influx in migrants there attributed to texas governor green flag's busing program that's transported more than 45,000 migrants to major cities since may. of those, 2,400 were bussed it denver specifically. city officials asked for help from the national guard to help with the surge. they are also shortening the length of time that individuals can stay in temporary shelters in denver. single people 21 days. now it's 14. for families with children, the amount of time in shelters increased by about a week. when we are looking at this point, the city has hundreds of migrants currently in shelters. if we take a look, you can see the increase in just the pt month. the surge is also impacting a number of other areas throughout the city, including public schools. officials are working to help hundreds of migrant families. >> we on a daily basis are
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having to hear from families, i have nowhere to go, i will be sleeping on the streets with my child or children tonight. we have heard from families, my student can't take a shower, we are living on the street. when you are at a shelter only 30 days and you have to leave that shelter, you might get housing or might end up on streets and the complete opposite side of town. >> joining us is denver matter mike johnson. mr. mayor, good to have you with us this morning. you told me you are getting between seven and nine buses a day, some 350 to 400 people a day. where are they all going? how many are staying in denver? >> yeah, as you know, right now we are, obviously, sheltering folks when they arrive. so we have been expanding our capacity to try to serve people humanely as we can. a lot of people do have networks of support the united states but they were not intending to come to denver. they got put on a bus and they were trike to get it california or chicago or boston. we help them arrive to those
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places. people trying to make a life in denver, we help get settled into services. the biggest challenge we face, i was with one of the shelters yesterday talking to migrants. people say, where can i get a job? they are not asking for help. they want a chance that everyone else wants, to chase the american dream and work. our challenge is we have ceoss who call me and say i see migrants who arrived, can i hire them? people want to work. we have employers that want to hire them. congress stood in the way of their ability to do that. that's the biggest challenge now. >> you talked about putting together a local work permitting program. you were on a call as i understand it with the white house and also with the governor of illinois on sunday specifically to address this crisis. coming out of that jb pritzker sent a letter to president biden saying it was unsustainable and they are at a breaking point. you didn't sign that letter.
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i know you were aware of it. do you agree with his assessments? would you apply those to the city of denver? >> i have not talked with governor pritzker. i have talked to with the white house, secretary mayorkas. more work authorization would make a difference. the change to allow venezuelans who arrived before july 31 to apply for expedited work authorization is a big impact for us. same with people who came through the app. that's what we are inddvocating. we need more federal support to support them. our focus is trying to get them access to work. if you bring someone in the country and tell them not to work, there is no choice but to tell them to break the law or survive on public subsidy. neither are good options. >> house something a key issue in your city. the number of unhoused people is
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growing. as winter is approaching, this is even more of a concern. what are the biggest needs right now? is it simply shelter? does it go beyond that? >> yeah, we are facing a crisis around homelessness. i declared an emergency on what when i came in as mayor two months ago. we have that same need around housing and shelter for migrants. we know as winter comes, that becomes an even bigger crisis. so we are trying to find additional places for them to stay. we can work on shelter and work on non-profits who are connecting the services. we know if we get someone into housing, they don't have a stream of income to pay the rent, only a matter of time before they are in the same situation. that's where the importance of work becomes primary. >> mayor mike johnston, thank you. >> thank you. florida governor ron
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desantis sharpening his attacks on donald trump at a campaign event saying the former president, quote, lost the zip on his fastball. and cnn's david culver takes us with him on what is probably one the hardest assignments he ever received. the boot on his foot will tell you that. riding with the bulls in pamplona. you don't want to miss this.
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interesting new data about the election. yeah. check this out. first up, when asked who is your ideal candidate, 5% of people said someone who shares may moral, 5% said someone who has experience and 90% said someone who isn't old enough to be on "the golden bachelor." >> it's funny because it's true. the most likely to be the nominees in 2024 presidential election would qualify for "the golden bachelor" if they were bachelors. one candidate who wouldn't is -- >> what? >> minor detail. >> is that how that works? >> totally. >> watch the show. one who wouldn't, florida governor ron desantis. he is escalating his attacks on former president trump thursday with direct shots at trump's age
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and stamina. >> we need a president that's got energy. we need a president that's going to be full throttle for eight years. we don't need any more presidents that have lost the zip on their fastball. >> i have heard more cutting attacks, but it's a progression, building. >> it's definitely a progression. >> as for the other gop rivals, after a couple of strong debate performances, nikki haley has seen a jolt in the polls. trump has given her the name bird brain nikki haley. for what reason, nobody knows. this weekend haley tweeted this picture outside her hotel room where a bird cage was waiting, quote, signed from the trump campaign. jeff zelie aeny is here. i like that you are already grinning. the one thing that i have been trying to figure out for the
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entirety of this primary, but i need your insight because you are actually on the ground, the progression of attacks, the ramping up of attacks, they are still not seeming to be full throttle and nothing has moved the former president and his standing. so what? >> i mean, nothing has moved him. you're right. one of the reasons that some of these candidates, all the republican candidates are reluctant to go hard after donald trump is because of his popularity in the race. so they are trying to work around the edges, if you will. the comments from the florida governor there, who is 45, so he does not qualify to be on "the golden bachelor," those comments get to something that he has been really talking about a lot, that this is not the same donald trump that you first elected. he has lost his edge. he said there he lost his fastball. when you talk to voters who listen to that message, some agree with him that he is different. to there is a sense of the candidates are trying to go
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around the margins because they don't necessarily want to offend some of those republicans voters who like the former president. all of the candidates will be in iowa this weekend. tomorrow marks 100 days until the iowa caucuses open this republican nominating contest. iowa is the place because it votes first to slow trump's rise. but as we get closer and closer, even if someone does slow it there, can they slow it other places, or is donald trump going to essentially march to the nomination? that is a question voters have to vote. they have open minds. boy, at this stage in october, desantis thought he would be in a far different spot. >> he certainly did. this campaign actually moving a third of its staff to iowa. let's look at the most recent polls, specifically comparing trump and biden. this new marquette -- i know phil is hot on as well. >> i think it's fascinating.
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>> it is. i mean, it's a dead heat. >> it absolutely is. and look, i mean, polls this far out, general election polls, we have to put every degree of caveat on them. but this is why it matters. i mean, this is going to be a close race. if you look at the numbers on inflation, economy, immigration. look at the immigration moves the white house made yesterday. the president is going to be talking about job creation later today. this is a divided country. this is going to be a close race. so that is one thing that democrats and the president's team are trying to wake folks up to the idea that, yes, this is going to be a close race. something interesting happened yesterday that could shape the dynamic of this as well. not talked about a lot, but the green party candidate cornell west decided to drop his green party affiliation and run as an independent. the reason that matters, he will not be on the ballot in as men states. the white house is worried about third-party candidates. that is a significant development, a help for
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president biden perhaps. this is going to be a close race. the next year is going to be be closely divided. the former president weighing in on the speaker's race, that could have perhaps a boomerang effect as well. not all republicans are pleased by that. so the divisions as we end this week, on friday, think of all that happened just in the last week. narrowly averting a government shutdown, one could be around the corner. in terms of governing versus not governing, that is hanging over this race that voters of course have to make their decisions only. >> it's a reflection that makes me tired, first and foremost. my fascination with the poll and i need to defend myself to jeff because he will be like, dude, you can't talk about one single national poll. the fact that trump is plus 20 on the four most important issues, yet they are neck-and-neck and i think that underscores when a lot of republicans are concerned about, about him being at the top of that ticket. jeff zeleny, appreciate it.
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. breaking news. that's right. it is jobs day. the labor department released the september jobs report and the economy added 336,000 new jobs last month. straight to rahel solomon to break down the numbers. wow, again. >> wow. >> the last 15 months it's been like that. >> clearly hot, guys. to put this in perspective, this is about double what economists were expecting. as you said, 336,000 added in the month of september.. the expectation was closer to 170. the unemployment rate remaining steady at 3.8%. wages moderating a bit. that has an inflationary impact. let's look at where we saw some of the strongest job gains. some a continuation of what we have seen. leisure and hospitality, adding jobs there. health care, adding jobs there. guys, this is an interesting one because all week we have been getting these conflicting reports about the state of the
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labor market s it cooling? is it heating up? this seems to suggest it's hot, right? so just to give su some perspective over the last month, last year, rather, we have seen an average monthly gain of 271,000 and this is on top of that. revisions, very important here. for the prior two months added an additional 120,000 jobs, more than expected. 120,000 jobs more than expected. so it's a strong labor market, great for the american worker. in terms of what this means in firms of the fed, this seems to suggest when they meet the end of this month, october 31 to november 1, the chances of another rate hike have increased. >> yeah. it is amazing when you look at the numbers and put in perspective, too, over the past 12 months. what we are getting today, more revisions upward. with us, cnn economics commentator katherine, when you look at this, it's fascinating because we are hearing from the president later today, who will
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speak after a strong jobs report. there has been this consistent attempted push at bidenomics and selling how much this strong economy is due to the president's actions. >> do these continued jobs reports, are they chipping away at that? are they starting to help make that case? >> they certainly don't hurt. these numbers are really, really strong. now, i would take all of them with a little bit of grain of salt because there is, like, wacky seasonality happening here, the strikes probably are not included, not accounted for. even so, these are very strong numbers. to what extent biden can take credit for him, he will take credit no matter what, you know? we are seeing a hot economy here. look, a lot of sectors are doing much much better than many expected. food services, for example, is back to its pre-pandemic highs. another thing that again i don't know if it's exactly d due to biden versus other factors, that's worth noting, is that
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women's labor force participation, at least for prime working age women, at a record high. through this report. so there is a lot of good news to tout. and i think the president's attitude will be, if he is going to get blamed for bad stuff, he might as well have the good stuff, too. >> i have to imagine what futures are doing now. this was the week where i feel like newspaper had the front page story of rates are really going to start to bite finally over time and market participants are recognizing that. >> well, that sells the picture, right? just before the numbers crossed we looked at future and the dow was up slightly as soon as they crossed, they tanked 180 points. now off 180 points. the reason why, i mean, this is good news for the american worker. good news about the labor market, except that it means that the federal reserve that jay powell and that committee, it now sort of gives them a bit more push to increase rates
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further. and we have already seen 11 rate hikes since march of 2022, 2021. let me get my math -- 2022. the year has gone by -- so we have seen 11 rate hikes. they have boosted rates 5%. yet, the recession that so many people thought was inevitable never materialized. every time the fed raises rates, it makes borrowing more expensive. we are in this period where good news is bad news, weird news. that is the space -- >> the alternate universe we have been living in where none of it makes sense. you mention the strikes, likely not involved in these numbers. when w when will we have a sense of that? >> depends how long the strikes continue. one would imagine that the uaw strikes might appear in next month's report. so rather the report that comes out for the month of october. that is released in early november. if the strikes continue through the week where they conduct the
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survey. the difficulty with all of this is that even though these numbers are reported as being a monthly number, they are really focusing on a snapshot in time during that month. so that's why you don't see them in these data but may see them in the following month's data. sail same with the writers strike ending. you might see a little bump in next month's report because those people went back to work this month. >> a snapshot. take them all together. live in bizarro world. >> there are a lot of great people here in bizarro world. >> thank you. well, the annual running of bulls in pamplona, spain, is no place for a journalist unless you are david culver. watch. >> and you are holding your ground and i am listening to dennis' command. >> whoa! whoa! whoa!
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this morning we are getting an up-close look at the running of the bulls in pamplona, spain. it's a tradition that dates back more than 400 years. with it comes controversy, danger, even death. cnn's david culver suited up to capture the experience for the next episode of "the whole story with anderson cooper" that airs this sunday. here is a clip. >> it's a bit terrifying. you are starting to think, all right, i'm committed. i'm on and i am going to stay on. as we gather as a group, we kind of find our positioning. it's crazy to think that you're standing your ground after, first, the bells, and then that rocket goes off.
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and you're holding your ground. i'm listening to dennis' command. >> run! run! run! run! run! run! >> david joins us now. this looks like an awesome assignment for someone else but me to do. so glad you did it. could i ask, i can't wait to see this, but what did you learn, not just from the running, but the whole process of reporting this out? >> once is enough. that's the big takeaway. no. let me ask you guys this.
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when you think of running of the bulls, what comes to mind? a >> you in a boot. >> that's true. for most, perhaps intoxicated people who would flock to spain and do that. that, by the way, is my boot. i think people perhaps who have some sort of altered mindset in the moment and desire for a thrill like none other. there are thrill seekers. a lot of foreigners flock into pamplona, spain, and this happens in july. now, we are telling this story now because bull running and b bullfighting season, they are intertwined in many ways, run through october in spain. there is a lot of controversy mixed in. for me it wasn't a decision ahead of time. when i texted my family afterwards, they said, you did what? there wasn't a lot of sympathy.. i think some of our bosses, too, were kind of surprised that i decided to go forward with it. it was a game-time decision. it was something as i was talking to my team on the ground, natalie and jordan and joey and martin and i mention them because they literally carried me for the back half of
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this assignment after i got injured, but it was wanting to know what that thrill is that people go after. it's not just foreigners, you have locals that do it year after year, it's deeply intertwined in their culture and you have folks that are foreigners, americans, who have fallen in love with this culture and who have made this an annual ritual and who are very serious about it. >> you noted the controversy that is there and i think every year we hear more and more of that, it's being amplified not just by animal rights groups but just in general. people say, wait a minute, why is this happening in 2023? i know you're getting into that as well on sunday night. >> we do get into it a little bit. when you think of the running of the bulls you don't realize first of all this is eight days straight so you have a set of six different bulls that run over eight days, the bulls are picked from the cream of the crop across spain and at the end of the day those bulls that run in the morning are killed and they're killed in a bull fight. those are very disturbing. i didn't even go to one of those
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bull fights because they're difficult to watch. i think folks are trying to reconcile that, yet you realize criticism of that from outside the culture is taken as highly controversial as well. people take offense to it. >> david, i'm looking forward to seeing this month. we're all glad that you are okay. when we heard that you were injured during this we were like, uh-huh. i'm glad you're okay, my friend. >> i'm out of the boot. >> i'm glad the boot it gone and we look forward to sunday night. >> thanks, guys. me, too. >> you can catch david's full report this sunday on "the whole story with anderson cooper" right here on cnn at 8:00 p.m. eastern and pacific. amid the crises at the southern border this week's cnn hero is focusing on the children whose families are living in limbo at shelters in the border waiting to enter the u.s. legally. when she learned some children are out of school for months, even years, she decided to bring the classroom to them.
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>> i just kept feeling like the weight of this crisis was on my shoulders. schools are the way to be able to help them heal. so i thought why don't we turn a bus into a mobile classroom. we currently have three mobile school buses and we have also opened a fourth school location along the border. we partner with shelters to provide bilingual programs for refugee children at the mexico border. a lot of them are surprised that i myself was a migrant child. i always wanted the kids to realize that being a migrant is not something they need to be ashamed of. i want our efforts to be something permanent. >> and that when it's all said and done that we will be proud to look back and say that we were there when people needed us
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the most. >> and to see her work in action and learn about her -- more about her own journey go to cnnheroes.com. the race for speaker heating up overnight after former president trump threw his support behind jim jordan. so how does that impact the vegas odds? well, there's only one man who can give us that answer, the man with all the answers, harry enten will break it down for us next.
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so we know the house speaker job is up for grabs this morning, there are already a couple of names in the hat. perhaps you are a betting man or woman, so then at that point you say what is the market telling you about who is getting the gavel. that is when he turn to harry enten. you are actually looking at the odds here for the next speaker >> we are. >> how active is this in terms of a betting set? >> there are a lot of people who
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like betting on politics and at this particular point the betting jobs are becoming the next speaker, we have a favorite in jim jordan, a 53% chance, steve scalise at a 32% chance. last night there was big movement from mr. jordan and why was because donald trump endorsed him. the better odds on jim jordan becoming the next speaker have been rising steadily, 16% on wednesday, 30% before the trump endorsement last night and now at 53%. at this particular point jim jordan looks like the favorite. of course, if you do the math quickly, 53 plus 32 doesn't get you to 100% so maybe it could be somebody else as well. >> i'm just doing the math. yeah, that's right. makes a good point. so the trump endorsement clearly the race is over, right, based on every endorsement he has ever given, is that fair? >> i don't think that that's particularly fair. gop candidates endorsed by trump in nonincumbent won 82% of the
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time. there is a big chance to think that he will provide a boost to jim jordan. that leaves a 16% chance that it could be somebody else. it's not a full-blown endorsement. donald trump's chance of becoming the next speaker, a lot of people have been talking about that, just 2% according to the better markets. the biggest question is will this get finished by next wednesday? 61% and the betting markets say yes, 39% say no. please, god, be the 61%. i think we are all hoping on that. we can't go through another, what is that, 15 ballots like last time? >> not going to happen. also the 2% -- be better, harry, it's zero, it was always zero. >> is the margin of error plus or minus 2%. >> i never say never. >> i can tell. >> that's why you're good at your job. >> way to dress like me today. >> obviously as my idol both in fashion and in life generally, harry, i'm always trying to be you. >> it's so beautiful. >> harry enten, thanks, brother. >> great to see. >> you always a pleasure. >> have a great
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