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could just shut up yes i can carve saturday, october 5th on cnn closed captioning brought to you by meso mesobook.com if. you or a loved, one have neizha helium up, we'll send you a free book to answer questions you may have call now and we'll come to you, 808 to 14000 razor-tight race, new cnn polling shows that contest for the white house is neck and neck will be looking at where the voters are on the issues and which candidate has the advantage heading into the last six weeks of this election? >> and waves of strikes israel and his hezbollah exchanging fire after one of the deadliest days in lebanon in nearly two decades, as israel's prime minister warns, people hello to evacuate areas that the idf is targeting will not ruling out a ground invasion and how did a

workout with a navy seal leaves three tough students university lacrosse players in the hospital. >> the answer lies with a rare condition that can be life-threatening. we are following these major developing stories and many more all coming in right here to cnn news central brand-new cnn polling out today, giving us a fresh look at where the race for the white house stands with just six weeks to go. >> hello, election day and the numbers show it is yes. neck and neck with 48% of likely voters nationwide supporting vice president harris and 47% backing former president trump among independent voters, the polling shows harris and trump roughly even 45 to 41%. but this race that will come down to these battleground states and today trump is in georgia where he is set to speak on the economy any minute now, harris

will be heading to arizona later this week where a source tells us she is planning think to visit the u.s. mexico border. cnn senior data analyst harry enten is with us live now with a closer look on this new polling what are the main takeaways here, harry? >> yeah, i think there are a few main takeaways besides the fact that it is just such a razor-tight, thin race here. look, i want to point out what i think is very interesting little nugget that i've seen, not just in cnn's polling, but in other polling as well. you look among likely voters again, no clear leader harris up by a point, but again, no clear leader among registered voters it's a tie. and this is something that we've been seeing in a lot of the polling this year. that is when you sort of go down, limit yourself to those who are most likely to turn out and vote or probabilistically the people who are most likely to turn out and vote or wait a little bit more. you see that harris does a little bit better. that might forecast that maybe the democrats might have a turnout advantage come november. that's not the only thing that sort of snuck out or struck out to me about this particular pulse stuck out. what we see

here, take a look at this trend line. this is the type of trend line i think

of this is what donald trump is planning to say. >> he also was going to, or at least planning to talk about outsourcing jobs, bringing ellsworth jobs back into america, bringing other companies again, to america we'll see whether or not he can focus on that now, i do want to quickly talk about georgia because of the first time he's been in this state since early august, and a lot has changed one of the things you'll remember is that during

a rally in atlanta, just a few weeks ago, he was bashing governor brian kemp a republican, a popular republican in the state, much to the chagrin of not only campaign advisors, but also allies and republicans as a whole who believed they needed have helped to win this state trump has really capitulated to the georgia governor and enlisted his help in stated is a critical battleground state and one that republicans were far more sure of when biden was at the top of the ticket? >> so we'll see if any of his messaging is specifically centered around, as you said, this critical battleground state job kristen holmes. >> thanks so much let's speak about all this more with marc lotter, former special assistant to president trump, and meghan hays, former biden white house director of message planning and a mark, you have former president trump casting himself as a quote, protector of women at the rally that we saw him out in pennsylvania last night. >> let's listen to that

because i am your protector. i want to be your protectors president. i have to be your protector. i hope you don't make too much of it. the country is falling apart. we're going to end up in world war iii. and all they can talk about his abortion that's all they talk about and it really no longer pertains because we've done something on abortion that nobody thought was possible i am curious, curious about what both of you think mark, do you think that's a winning message as he's framing that? think there are many women who worry about grocery prices, who worry about crime, who worry about the wide open southern border. he does view himself as the protector on those interests, and i know a lot of folks think that women all think just one thing on one issue. but when we look at a lot, the broad issues, the economy immigration, crime overall, safety, donald trump is going to win that argument. i think that's what he's reminding people of meghan. >> i have to wonder though that phrase, phraseology he used.

he's going to protect women. i wonder how you think and if you have any data showing how women voters view him as a protector, whether on those issues or other issues yeah. >> i mean, i don't i don't have any data for say, i just don't think that's what women are going to be voting on that donald trump is their protector. i think a lot of women, these election don't just view this as abortion. they view this as women's health care. and i think it's a reproductive freedoms so it's not just abortion, it's making choices about your health care that are being taken away. so, you know where the former president should stick to talking about the economy and should stick to talking about immigration because i do think that that would help him. and when somebody is independent voters saying he, they protector of women is not something that's going to fall flat as we all saw, he was convicted and has 34 felony counts. so i mean, that message i think falls flat with women. >> all right. if you guys stay with us for just a moment? we do need to go to the hill because we have some new information coming in. and are manu raju, is there a key vote a key voice? so i should say, not going to endorse vice

president harris manu yeah, that's right. >> that's senator joe manchin who had long been of course, a moderate democrat from west virginia, recently became an independent, but someone who is still caucuses with democrats and had been signaling just a couple of weeks ago, told me that he was getting ready, getting closer to endorse kamala harris as he heard a lot of proposals going forward. but now that she has said that she would gut the senate, filibuster rules in order to pass a measure to preserve abortion rights manchin tells us this morning than he, he will not endorse harris for president. he is one the staunchest supporters of the filibuster in the senate. manchin argues that it is essential to forcing bipartisan consensus and compromise in the senate is in the minority of democrats in particular are pushing the gut. this altogether because it would lower the threshold for advancing legislation from 60 votes to 51 if kamala harris

had her way, but just moments ago, manchin told our colleague, ted barrett, he said, he said

>> so certainly on immigration, the latest cnn poll, marc lotter, meghan hays, thanks so much to both of you still to come this hour. israel launches another barrage of deadly airstrikes deep inside lebanon, reaching as far as the suburbs of the capital beirut. we are

following the latest from the region also ahead, department of justice prosecutors are preparing to indict the man accused of trying to assassinate former president trump why it may be or may not be a clear cut case to prove. >> and later how a workout with a navy seal landed nine tufts university lacrosse players in the hospital. you're watching cnn news central, we'll be right back kaitlan collins tonight at nine this is a future mass go daddy arrow creates a logo website even social posts in minutes ai ai like it who wants to come see the future, get your business online in minutes with go godaddy arrow welcome to the now way to network they switch to junipers, ai needed network and everything simpler. >> so they can take their game to a whole new level. >> because now they're network

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gusto.com are you ready to connect to a perfect journey with turkish airlines to feel welcomed and to feel refreshed to discover unforgettable flavors to reach new heights of happiness journey that's perfect. because of you over. >> tim walz and j.d. vance in their first and only face-to-face debate and cnn has covered with the best political team in the business a cnn special event, that vice presidential debate next tuesday at nine on cnn chaotic moments just outside of lebanon's capital, smoke and debris after israel launched what it calls a targeted strike today in beirut, southern suburbs this attack is part of what the idf describes as a second wave against hezbollah

targets, which allegedly included command centers and buildings, were weapons were stored at least six people were killed and more than a dozen wounded, according to lebanon hezbollah also launching a barrage of strikes into israel today, these attacks raising fears around the region. >> president joe biden, addressing concerns today at the un general assembly in fact, over seven we've also

the national relationship israel in the u.s. >> but at that personal relationship, and it's interesting given the series of instances of daylight between the u.s. and israel over the last year, you think us push to give greater care to civilian deaths in gaza, us push to get more humanitarian ariane aid into gaza us pushed to avoid adding new demands to the ceasefire and hostage release negotiations, which is, you know, there's even criticism from inside israel as to

netanyahu's position. and now the expansion of this war, i mean is that a short-term loss of us influence over israel? lame duck session, et cetera. election coming or is there something longer-term going on here? >> well, certainly there is a short-term element. there may be a longer term difference of calculus and how one goes about defending a country the israelis have made a very different calculation than the u.s. would with its own military lawyers. about what would be an acceptable number of civilian casualties in return for going after terrorists. nobody's doubting that the israelis are trying to go after hamas or hezbollah leaders. but you know, remember back in the early days of the drone war is seen as long ago, where a drone couldn't fire because target was too close to

playground where there might be kids that's a very different calculus than saying, we're going to go ahead and drop a weapon on this apartment building are on this hospital because we believe there are several israel shifted the entire responsibility on the target in effect and with a frequent which is not untrue. >> sure the idea of hiding behind civilians, et cetera. but that the the threshold, the tolerance for civilian deaths has risen enormously dramatically. and that seems to be part of the substance here. can i just briefly before we go, what is the level of concern amongst sources you talk to that this escalation on the northern border breaks out to a full-scale war. >> it's about 50-50 the good news is, so far, hezbollah has not fired directly at tel aviv. for example, they have the weaponry that could go do that. they haven't used it. that's a good sign of restraint that makes you think that in the next few days then might be able to negotiate something? the flip side of that is, as you just heard in that report

from nic robertson, the israelis make it clear they think this is more a beginning than a middle or an end and that does suggest it could expand quite dramatically for that phrase before multi-phased operation that's right. david sanger, thanks so much. i'm coming up, florida charges against the man suspected of attempting to assassinate former president trump are likely just the beginning. what we know about the potential federal charges against ryan roof that's coming up and we're watching the caribbean where a storm is expected to go from this to a major hurricane threatening the florida gulf coast. the latest on the track just ahead in change it. changed and why i'm not changed sexual orientation of not changing the political party we're going to go how for what we got here, okay. >> car saturday, october 5th on cnn.

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closed captioning is brought to you by sokoloff law mesothelial, the victims call now $30 billion in trust money has been set aside. >> you may be entitled to a portion of that money all when 808 8085920400. that's when 8085920400 and attempted assassination charge is expected for the man who prosecutors say went to florida this month, quote, for one reason and one reason only and that was to kill the former president of the united states. >> right now, ryan ruth is facing only felony firearms offenses, but prosecutors told a judge yesterday they're seeking to indict ruth for the alleged attempt on donald trump's life on september 15th. the prosecutor described ruth is having a clear line of fire from where he was allegedly positioned along the chain link fence bordering the trump golf club to the sixth green, just minutes before trump would have arrived there. and where ruth had a quote, easy shot, just a hundred feet away. cnn's kaitlin polantz is here with the latest on this

kaitlan. i think this is what we've been waiting for. how soon could this indictment come down? >> as soon as the prosecutors are ready to take it through the grand jury, they made quite clear in this hearing yesterday for ryan route. they were doing just what they needed to do to keep him in jail and that they had morning or to come they even were telling the judge that he is very likely to be charged with an attempted assassination. so right now, the charges he's facing there placeholders so that they can go and continue to investigate. they had picked him up on the interstate shortly after this incident on sunday, and the judge did say he needs to stay in jail for a number of reasons. if he's charged with attempted assassination through the grand jury and ends up being convicted. that is the type of charge that potentially carries a life in prison sentence with it. and this is a person that the judge has already said there's a lot of evidence here are ready before even the grand juries looking at it, there's this potential lengthy incarceration that's a

reason he should stay in jail. and this man has a history of the use of weapons over 100 arrests in the past, and also some travel abroad that has where he has shown his political beliefs. >> and these are federal charges to be clear, right? >> does appear that the federal government is going to be continuing this case. quite clearly that's why they're in court keeping him in jail. >> trump issued a statement demanding, quote, let florida handle the case in all caps, so he's very adamant about this you have these, the federal side of things then there's the florida investigation. how is there an interaction here? >> well, what donald trump is saying is a political statement. he's saying this is them mishandling downplaying things that the justice department, the fbi, because there's just these two weapons possession charges against this guy, ryan ruth, right now. but trump is not in control of this. this is very likely to be charged even if he hadn't been

on the golf course that day so whatever donald trump saying is not going to be interfering with this case, and it does appear that departments take he thinks quite seriously, just takes a little time. >> all right. kaitlan. thank you so much. the story continues and continues and still to come, much of florida is under a state of emergency as people there prepare for what will soon be hurricane helene, the latest track next. and we'll tell you why tiktok is purging some accounts, which ones stay with us sanjay gupta in atlanta. >> this is cnn. >> this is not a drill sharp drop the price on hold. this point, it was set off any soft, any signs said we did. >> what? >> any sub yep. >> we're limited time to get 20% off when you order now very good to bill go with powerful, easy to use tools, powered

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survival food kids, hurry, go to for patriots, got calm now the tv moments that took culture over the edge, people who are watching and then our world change it had an explosive reverberation tv on the edge sunday at nine on cnn cities in florida are bracing

for a storm that could be the strongest hurricane to hit the u.s. in a year, about three hours ago, tropical storm helene formed in the caribbean sea. it could take just two days to strengthen into a category three the hurricane before hitting florida's gulf coast on thursday 61 of florida's 67 counties are now under a state of emergency we don't know exactly. >> it hasn't formed yet. there's still some uncertainty. but i think the fact that this would be forecasted as a major at this point without formation shows that this has a potential to be a really, really significant storm let's go down to cnn meteorologist chad myers. >> such chad, the national hurricane center has never forecasted a major hurricane. this early in its life cycle, i guess, how is that happening? how is it forming so quick, right? >> while the water is very warm, there is very little shear out there, which means the storm isn't going to get torn apart by wind and because

they hurricane doesn't like wind a thunderstorm likes to make wind, but a hurricane makes its own when it doesn't want any wind around it from anywhere else. and so because it is still just developing and then ramping up to a possibility of a category three in just 48 hours. that's what the governor was talking about right there. hurricane watches are in effect from the big bend, almost and yes, that three means category three, at least that is the forecast. now the models yesterday, if you've been watching twitter x, whatever you, and you've been scared about this thing. the models have settled down it isn't twon a place that's already been hit this year, ten to 15 foot storm surge, wind, and waves. but the american model, which was much stronger yesterday it was, it was 130 mile per hour storm is not that yet right now. at the morning run has settled down a little bit, not quite as strong and has come very much in line with the european model. so still winds of 110 miles per hour surge, pushing in an awful lot of

rainfall as well. certainly the potential for flash flooding in a place that has already been hit and was hit last year. and this is the town of perry that got hit so very hard. even valdosta, you will see six, maybe eight inches of rainfall. and yes, we do have that potential for flash flooding and that's going to be the case. i hope you're not on the water. i know you're not jim but the waves are going to be 30 to 40 feet out in the i'm not always taught with every storm, with every storm we talk about. you always talk about those warm coastal waters and what that means about strengthening these storms. chad myers, thanks as always, brianna now, to some of the other headlines that we're watching this hour, tiktok has removed accounts associated with to russian media groups for trying to exercise what it called covert influence on the upcoming us presidential election. >> the accounts are linked to a news organizations behind the sputnik news agency and the russia today tv broadcaster earlier this month, us justice department charged to rt employees for funneling 10 million into a us company that

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tufts university lacrosse players ended up in no hospital after a workout with a recent graduate of the navy seals selection and training course, stay with us bertrand at the pentagon. >> and this is cnn well, i checked my subscription seen spreadsheets and i always get it right. >> we'll see about that. i just found a rock him on your phone and it looks like you're paying for your exes mail delivery kit. >> it goes $400, maybe not because when you cancel to the app well, even tried to get you a refund downed rocket money today this is not a thrill. when you drop the price on hold, this 0.2% off any sign, any sign subway did what any sub yep we're limited time. >> you get 20% off when you order now, very good to see it before it's gone. >> he's coming in the driveway

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training program. >> that's known as buds, are basic underwater demolition seal training initially nine players went to the hospital after this voluntary 45 minute workout, all with a rare and sometimes life-threatening condition called rhabdomyolysis, according to the cleveland clinic rhabdo, as it is known in short, happens when muscles break down, possibly even disintegrate after a strenuous workout and those broken-down muscle fibers can contain large amounts of elements like potassium and phosphate that then can be released into the bloodstream causing complications with the kidneys. tufts university says it has postponed team practice and appointed an independent investigator to review the incident with us now is former navy seal commander dan o'shea dan, this is so troubling to learn about what is your reaction and what kind of questions does this raise for you when you hear about this?

>> well, to be frank, i'm not surprised the intensity, the fact that nine college age, obviously very fit young men ended up in the hospital. it's pretty severe but it's not outside the realm. on training. the seal training especially how week was designed for preparation for combat because of the stakes and they're training, a class would start with 120, 150 students. and typically graduate 2025 over six months. so that kind of attrition rate is pretty normal in pretty standard for anyone who goes through basic honor demolition school or nay have you seal training and you've written about what their training for, what seals are training for, it is obviously not a lacrosse match, right? it is for something very different. when we look at what special forces go through, what they need to be ready for should this have been

something, let's say, akin to buds? should that have been what these lacrosse players were experiencing or should this have been maybe adjusted for a different population? >> well, to be frank, a college class player is exactly the type of candidate that the seal teams are looking for. a lot of lacrosse players make an incredible seals are great teammates, great team players. they're very physically fit there. they have the strength and duran's that the team guys are looking for. but it was a 45 minute workout. obviously, he pushed these guys to the limit and to be frank in buds training from the day you show up. the quarterback, you're being pushed a failure. every day from day one, and you're doing hundreds, if not thousands of pushes and sit-ups literally every day. so you're entire experience that's from the moment you walk across the quarterback is to experience this type of physical abuse because it's seals trained for combat, and we are looking for

a few select men. and that's not everyone who signs up to join the navy. it's a very select for fraternity that's just the reality of the mindset of the seals and for 24, these college kids, you weren't quite up to wipe quite ready for what the workout entailed because again it was only 45 minutes, wasn't like these kids were doing a week-long immersion in the seal teams. it was a 45 minute workout, not not a seven-day, five-day. how we can experienced dan, what do you think the lesson is to and we're still looking for some details we should say of exactly what they experienced in a short time period. we've heard of this happening before two other college athletes, although from what i've read, it's a few here, maybe a handful there. this is a large number of students that this has happened going after, this strenuous workout. what do you think the lessons learned here need to be again, they're are all the factors we don't know about the humidity, the heat, will

they dehydrated have they not gotten a good night sleep the night before. >> we don't know all the parameters i don't want to read you that i'm not i'm not a doctor. but the reality is seal training is very tough. it's it's to a standard for a reason because the consequences of what seals face in training and in combat i mean, the wars of 9-11 in the last 20 odd years, we lost nearly 120 seals in combat and in training and about a quarter of those deaths were in training. so navy seal training conditioning, it's not for the faint of heart and it's sometimes not even not even ready for college age fitness app as well. >> all right. dan o'shea. thank you so much. we really appreciate your insights on this football hall of famer brett far just revealed a heartbreaking diagnosis while speaking on capitol hill, we'll have that story just ahead.

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