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tv   [untitled]    October 20, 2024 10:00am-10:30am PDT

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for me, get growing at neutrophil.com. >> i'm alayna treene traveling with the trump campaign. and this is cnn
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square. welcome to all of you in the united states and around the world. i'm fareed zakaria coming to you from new york there were none with the death of hamas leader yahya sinwar israel has eliminated the top leaders of both hamas and hezbollah so what is next for israel and its adversaries i'll ask the experts also the american ambassador to japan, rahm emmanuel on china versus taiwan, from places harris much more finally, i'll give you a preview of my news especially america first premiering tonight at 8:00 p.m. eastern and pacific the start of his entry into political life, donald trump has had one enduring advantage.
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>> he's a rich businessman and he played a super successful one on television. >> you're fired so the feeling is he must know how to grow the economy in fact, almost everything trump proposes would have the opposite effect take his most important proposals, ones that he talked about at length at the chicago economic club this past week sweeping tariffs on all imported goods. >> it's rare to find a topic on which economists agree a strongly as they do that this would be bad for growth and cause inflation to spike take a look at what happened when trump place tariffs on imported washing machines in 2018 that tax paid by companies like best buy was passed onto consumers leading to sharply higher prices for imported machines soon domestically made ones raise prices to local manufacturing of washes did increase by about 2000 jobs in the euro or so after the
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tariffs were implemented. ironically, mostly at samsung and lg factories in the u.s. an important study found that in that time, american consumers paid around $1.5 billion in higher costs to gain those jobs or a staggering 815,000 per job. >> the terrorist finally expired in 2023 and import spiked, suggesting there effects were temporary and that doesn't take into account the cost to american jobs when foreign nations retaliate and place tariffs on american goods when china retaliated against trump's tariffs by raising its own taxes on american agricultural exports from pay tens of billions of dollars in subsidies to american farming companies to compensate them for their loss business in china most of these subsidies, by the way, went too large american agrobusinesses the effects of tariff policies are
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inherently regressive. >> the average american consumer pays for them, and the benefits go to a small number of favored industries and companies they're also inherently political, favoring lobbyists and well-connected companies. the government always issues some exemptions from tariffs and an academic study found that the trump administration was significantly more likely to grant exemptions to companies that donated money to republicans the study's co-authors concluded that the tariff exemption grant process functioned as a very effective spoil system, allowing the administration of the day to reward it's political friends and punish its enemies tariffs also tend to be immortal. they often stay on far longer than the problem they're trying to solve remains relevant, especially when the beneficiary companies lobby hard to keep them in place. the united states has a 25% tariff on imported light trucks it was put in place as a retaliation
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for france and west germany's tariffs on american chicken in 1964 the chip and tariffs are long gone, but 60 years later, the truck terms of remains these examples, all small-bore-specific tariffs on one or two goods trump's proposal of sweeping taxes on all imported goods would have much broader implications. the peterson institute concluded that depending on how fully trump would carry out his policies, the american economy would be 2.8% to 9.7% smaller than otherwise by 2028 and inflation would be between 4.1 percentage points and 7.4 percentage points higher than otherwise by 2026. the center for american progress action fund calculated that the typical american family would pay up to $3,900 more for goods and services each year. add to
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this trump's plan for mass deportation of undocumented workers at a time when unemployment is at a close to 50 year low. and you will almost certainly have a shortage of workers, which will lead to higher wages. now this may sound good, but it would certainly contribute to inflation the deportation proposal also cannot fully capture the loss of innovation to the economy given that immigrants are disproportionately more likely than native born citizens to start businesses the damage these proposals would wreck on the american economy is much greater than any supposedly anti-business proposals. a democrat might offer they an increase in corporate taxes. but the biden-harris administration has also too readily jumped onto the tariff bandwagon, having campaigned against trump's china tariffs, biden largely kept them on one of trump's strongest lines in his debate with harris was two point out that if she opposed his tariff proposals uggams xi
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and biden have kept most of them recently. the biden administration completed an exhaustive review of trump's tariffs. and it showed that the tariffs have been fairly ineffective in changing china's behavior and also in revitalizing american manufacturing and yet, the administration concluded that the tariffs should be kept on or even increase because maybe at some point they would work in an age when government intervention is invoke, let us not forget the main lesson from decades of economic policy around the world countries that embraced markets and trade have been the ones that grew fast and raise the incomes of their people countries that use taxes, tariffs, and regulations to give the government a major role in steering the economy. generally got low growth and lots of corruption the trump can embrace the latter model is a reminder that this celebrity businessman doesn't really
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understand business for more, go to cnn.com/fareed to read my recent washington post column on the subject and let's get started kill list, yahya sinwar, the leader of hamas, is dead. he was a mastermind of the october 7 attacks, the deadliest day for jews since the holocaust in the aftermath, israel declared him a quote, dead man walking unquote so what does sinwar's death mean for israel and its broader strategy? joining me from tel aviv is miri eisin issues that retired colonel in the israeli defense forces and a fellow at the international institute for counter-terrorism thanks for joining us, mary by my first question is, does this this achievement of a long-held goal that israel really put
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front and center allow prime minister netanyahu to declare victory and start negotiating in earnest for a cease-fire. does it allow him to pivot it doesn't contradict hurried, meaning this isn't about declaring victory for israelis until the 101 hostages are home. >> there is no victory having said that, it doesn't enable the opportunity to really get back to a negotiation which will bring back those 101 as long as yahya sinwar was that military terror leader of hamas in the gaza strip. there was no way to go. he was not willing in any way to negotiate over the 101. now there is that opportunity. >> so what we had heard from many reports from from the very government, it was that hamas had broadly agreed to some terms for a cease-fire and a release of hostages who's saying that from what you can tell, that was not true and
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sinwar was the obstacle i think that president biden himself has said that also hamas not just yahya sinwar. >> so let's be clear. he's dead and there will be somebody else in his stead, but he most definitely lead a very hard line idea, both in planning an executing the horrific attack, as you mentioned before, but from then on, having very hard stance when it came to the negotiation hamas that said in college that's are hamas that said outside have slightly different opinions. this isn't about hamas suddenly recognizing the state of israel, but it's about a willingness to arrive at some kind of resolution that could work for both sides. >> and what is then the continuing strategy because it seems to me that if this is such a landmark achievement and if the decimation or the decapitation of hamas and hezbollah are the key metrics
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then is it, is it fair to ask, was it necessary to destroy 75% of all the buildings in gaza and have all these civilian casualties if what was really being, being the real strategy was to get these people, most of them all, but sinwar, i think what gotten through very careful intelligence and strategic, very limited strikes does the un or did you need to do that? you need to destroy quarters of gaza's buildings to achieve this fareed, i'm going to push back a bit at the question itself because at the end of the day, hamas is the one under yahya sinwar, as they're calling him the executer in the mastermind of the two toufan flood, the al aqsa to found flood on tobar seventh. >> and they are the ones who planned and executed to take out the immense amount of hostages that were taking. they're the ones who built
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over years a subterranean, underground system, not for the people of the gaza strip to protect those hamas terror fighters. and in that sense, what they built was defenses just for hamas us and i don't know of another way because you asked, did we need why did hamas do this attack? why are they holding the hostages? why have they not let them go? why have they allowed i wanted to continue. i would ask hamas not yahya sinwar, who is dead. and in that sense, i will not miss him and whoever comes in his stead i'm going to ask them, why are they using all of the gaza strip as their protection? why are they not letting the hostages out? why are they acting as if all of this is not their own? on fault? >> no, i get that. and of course, getting the hostages out through the ceasefire is clearly a central goal. but what i'm trying to get at is what then there's the broader goal because there are people in israel who as you know, who say, well, what we need as a
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kind of de-nazification of the god of the intact hi gaza strip of the oval palestinians i'm trying to get how would that be achieved and his all this bombing going to achieve that, where where does this go? oh if this is not the point at which two to stop so first of all, i'm with you. >> i would like to stop. i did not want this war. i want it to be over i want the 101 hostages to be home in my heart goes out to what has happened to any innocent civilian, any uninvolved civilians, anywhere within this war as it's going bring on. what i want to approach in that sense are two different aspects. there's the military aspect hamas built under this yahya sinwar, and this is something that he's done over many years, not in the last year, not in the year that netanyahu came into power over many years, they built an enormous and i'm using this term not lightly terror army what do you do with the terror army? i don't have a good answer for that and i don't think that anybody right now
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knows what to do with it. what israel has done is trying systematically to destroy the terror army capability to prevent an october 7 attack. people are like what they did october 7 you need to prevent. they're doing it again, i want a different education so that it doesn't seem okay for anybody to support what hamas says, the destruction of israel israel, that they write into their charter that jews are pigs. that's the good part. they write worse things. i'd like them not to support, please. vola not to see those flags flying on us campus this has led about loan anywhere else in the world. i want a better future for the palestinians. but what do you do against the terror army? you can't allow them to define what's going to be the next step. that would be a horrible message, not just for israel, but for the entire world miri eisin. >> thank you so much for joining us on the program fareed thank you for inviting me next on gps. what is next for hamas? i'll ask a top
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expert on the group the. of american foreign policy how did we get here first of the reads of comedy, a special tonight at 8:00 on cnn i am tony hawk and like many of you, i take a statin to reduce cholesterol, but statins can also deplete cookie ten levels. that's so my doctor recommended kunal coke you uten kuno has the number one cardiologist recommended form of cocke uterine kunal, the brand i trust we were the first music publisher, pioneering music rights and music publishing rights in the middle east mission of pup rabia, the company is built by artists for artists like to 54 behind us. >> you've got infrastructure here i'll be. taught me is a great place to grow a business. it's exciting
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silver spoons, what would become of them when it is cover robinhood gold allows others to earn their very little well rates on idle cash. they would descend into chaos closed captioning brought to you by meso book if you or a loved one have mesothelial not we'll send you a free book to answer questions you may have called now and we'll come to you 808 to 14000 was the symbol of their resistance to israelis. >> he was known as the butcher of khan younis and a mastermind behind the october 7 attacks sinwar's death. this week is surely a big blow to the group, but a senior hamas official said friday that each time we leader is killed, the group gets stronger and more encouraged to achieve a free palestinian state. joining me now is tarek bocconi, one of the world's top experts on hamas derek, welcome let me ask
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you this that the question first of all, is this assassination a big deal for hamas or is the organization as we often hear, a very decentralized and there were civil, it's simply signed, find somebody else. what does it? mean that he no longer runs hamas in gaza well, of course they're taking out of the top leadership in this way is something that's organizationally challenging for the movement it's not debatable. >> however, i think this focus on a singular person is overrated. i think that hamas will survive this. i keep thinking about 2000 about the early 2000s during the second intifada when hamas is top leadership first media scene and then at ntc were taken out one after the next, and then movement evolved in a way that allowed it to a both grow as an organization, but also to protect its top leadership from
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these kinds of executions by israel in the future and fast-forward from the early 2000s, we get obviously sinwar at the top of his position, and hamas and hamas. and then as someone who was key in the october removing the top leadership in this way weakens or decimates hamas. i think there's not is not in accordance with reality and the fact is that because of the way that he was killed, and we can talk about that and because of the way that israel has been waging, if genocide over the past year there will be an increasing commitment to hamas and growing membership base. and we'll have to wait to see who they elect as the new leader. but i don't i think hamas, we can say is this weekend, but certainly not decimated. >> do you think that his having been eliminated means there is more likely there will be some kind of a ceasefire deal and a
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return of hostages was he the obstacle to that deal? >> i heard what your previous speaker said and i think it's ludicrous that we're still in a conversation about sinwar having been the obstacle when everyone, including the americans have admitted that netanyahu has been and the key obstacle and every certain, in every negotiation that has happened, netanyahu has changed the rules of the came all the way up to executing the top negotiators mine honey, a few weeks ago in order to make sure that no ceasefire negotiation would be achieved. i think we have to be very clear here this is not about a ceasefire for netanyahu. this is not about the return of the captives we know it. the american administration knows that the families of the israeli hostages knowing this is about israel's specifically the netanyahu government completing its genocide in the gaza strip. and expanding that war regionally in order to reshape the middle east. they say it openly and i think it's about time we start listening to what
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israeli leaders are saying even today after, after sinwar is executed have netanyahu saying this will be this is what blow, but this is not the end of the game. we will keep going for the israeli government. there is no stopping them until they've completely eliminated the question of palestine weather in this round or the next, and this is the only motive that's driving netanyahu at the moment. >> let me ask you about tactics. i mean, it seems to me that october 7 was even by the standards of violent national liberation movements. i'm thinking of movements in africa, african national congress it went far beyond in its brutality you're most of those movements were generally had rules about no, no attacks on civilians nor attacks on women, nor attacks on children no rain if it was not, all of them, but many of them. >> this seem particularly
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brutal and i'm wondering is there, is there within the palestinian movement even? >> the armed resistance movement, a feeling that this was, there's went too far and it didn't work. i mean, look at the destruction too for palestinians, it has unleashed, well, i mean the fact that it worked or didn't work this is we're living in a moment of historic rupture. we're going to be steadying and thinking about this moment for many years to come. i mean, if you think about algeria since you brought other anti-colonial struggles algeria or vietnam or south the death toll on civilians has been horrifying. you would go to an algerian now and say, was it worth it to have more than 1 million nigerians killed to fight the british friday, french colonialism. or if you go to the vietnamese and say wasn't it? the worth it having hundreds of thousands of vietnamese killed to fight american imperialism. the question isn't that whether it worked or didn't work? the question is, why do so many palestinians have to? die before the american
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administration understands the cost of maintaining israeli apartheid and sustaining a jewish supremacist regime in palestine. i'm the first person to argue that they need to be affirmed. investigation to understand what happened on the day. but this is certainly not something that can, regardless of what happened on the deal which we must not think of the genocide of the past year as being linked in any way or were being a retaliation chou that day. what's happening today is the actualization of israeli policies of genocidal intent, which they've been talking about for years before october 7 alright. >> we will have to leave it at that dark. i appreciate your coming on the show. >> thank you. fareed next on gps. >> i talked to rahm emanuel, the u.s. ambassador to japan about his new plan to counter china and about the 2024 presidential
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510200, coventry direct redefining insurance i'm bill, we're on the california coast and this is cnn stern warning to independence forces in taiwan on monday in circling the island with a record number of war planes plus battleships and drones beijing show strength. we're surely meant as a warning to taiwan and its allies. most conspicuous among them the united states of america. taiwan's new president, had just given a speech days prior to the chinese war game, asserting that taiwan is not subordinate to china in an op-ed in the wall street journal, the american ambassador to japan offers a solution to chinese belligerents, a coalition around both trade and defense.

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