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tv   Erin Burnett Out Front  CNN  November 1, 2024 10:00pm-11:00pm PDT

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part of that with you. it says state agencies have the authority and dedicated funding, as he put it, to educate the public on important issues especially those that impact the health and safety of women and children. so he doesn't address the taxpayer money there, but he does say there's dedicated funding. it's also worth noting anderson, that this amendment needs 60%, at least 60% support to to have it pass and to replace the near-total abortion ban that's on the books here in the state of florida now. >> all right. one more thing to watch for on election night. randi kaye. thank you. the news continues right here on cnn outfront next the breaking news. >> trump under investigation for saying, quote, war hawk liz cheney should be fired upon. the attorney general saying it could constitute a death threat. this is trump and harris at this moment going head to head in wisconsin, as you see on your screen. and tonight, a cnn investigation, the supreme court ordering 1600 people purged from virginia's voter rolls. the problem is, is that included u.s. citizens who do have every right to vote.
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plus a fake ad showing a haitian immigrant voting repeatedly for harris. it's still on x tonight. elon musk's social media site. even as the georgia secretary of state has demanded it be taken down. that secretary of state brad raffensperger will be out front. let's go out front >> i'm erin burnett. and outfront on this friday, the breaking news, trump's comment about liz cheney now under investigation as a possible death threat. the attorney general of arizona saying she's investigating whether trump's comment quote, qualifies as a death threat under arizona law. well this is as the final fight for the battleground states is underway tonight and tonight the candidates in wisconsin, harris and trump, both holding rallies around milwaukee this hour. right now, harris just took the stage at another rally further north in wisconsin you see her there live and then going to be heading down to milwaukee as new polling in the state shows a slight edge for the vice president. this is a new poll out of marist. it shows harris
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with 50% to trump's 48. in wisconsin, polling tilting towards harris in michigan as well. three point spread there. you're still in margin of error here. but these are all going now in the direction of harris within that margin of error. that's michigan and in perhaps the most crucial of the blue wall states for the democrats pennsylvania, that has harris and the marist poll up by 250 to 48. and that led trump today to do something he almost never does, which is to defend the comments he made about the former congresswoman liz cheney, who, of course, has endorsed harris and appeared on stage with her. >> she's a radical war hawk. let's put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrel shooting at her. okay, let's see how she feels about it. you know, when the guns are trained on her face you know, they're all war hawks when they're sitting in washington in a nice building saying, oh, gee, will let's send let's send 10,000 troops right into the mouth of the enemy. but she's a stupid
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person. >> harris today expressed outrage about those comments he has increased his violent rhetoric. >> donald trump has about political opponents. and in great detail in great detail, suggested rifles should be trained on former representative liz cheney this must be disqualifying. well, trump is defending his comments. he posted and i quote, all i'm saying about liz cheney is that she's a war hawk and a dumb one at that. but she wouldn't have the guts to fight herself. as i said, this is a rare defense from trump. you know, and then he came out moments ago at a campaign stop in michigan to say this and put her into battle, facing the other side with guns pointing at her, she wouldn't have the courage or the strength or the stamina to even look the enemy in the eye
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here's the thing whether trump was making a point about war mongering or not, what is clear is that trump has made many comments recently that have been inappropriate and even violent if you look at kamala and you look at what she's done to every place she's touched has turned to crooked joe biden became mentally impaired sad but lying kamala harris honestly, i believe she was born that way there's something wrong with kamala. we have some very bad people. we have some sick people radical left lunatics and i think they're the. and it should be very easily handled by if necessary, by national guard or if really necessary by the military we're like a garbage can for the rest of the world. >> and here's the thing. it isn't just trump, it's the people around him, too. on stage at those rallies, at his events and the rallies. just take tucker carlson, who is actually interviewing trump, as
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you saw there when trump made the comment about liz cheney. here's some of what tucker said at a recent trump event when dad gets home, you know what he says you've been a bad girl. >> you've been a bad little girl, and you're getting a vigorous spanking right now trump bringing tucker on stage at rally after rally and if you found that disturbing. >> carlson is also currently talking about this got attacked while i was asleep with my wife and four dogs in the bed and mauled spiritual attack by a demon? >> yeah, by a demon or by something unseen that left. is that right? >> a claw marks on my sides? on my. so he left physical marks. oh, they're still there. yeah, yeah >> let's get to m.j. lee. she is on that campaign trail tonight in wisconsin, the battleground state just outside of milwaukee, which is where
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harris is taking the stage later tonight. so, m.j., what is the latest you're learning from the harris campaign tonight well erin, the harris campaign continues to see this as a very close race where the outcome could really end up coming down to the margins in just a handful of states. >> but in these final days, we are starting to see some bullishness starting to creep in from the harris campaign particularly when it comes to the voters who have already voted and specifically the voters who they say only recently made up their minds in a number of these battleground states and in particular, campaign officials are pointing to some of the offensive and incendiary comments coming from donald trump and some of his surrogates, some of which you refer to in that intro. there and saying that undecided voters simply do not like what they are hearing. now, if we are starting to see a little bit of those bursts of optimism from the harris campaign, that does not mean erin that vice president kamala harris herself
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is anywhere close to predicting victory. and in fact, we have new reporting that gives us a little bit of a window into her frame of mind in this final stretch. i'm told by multiple sources that one thing that the vice president has been clear she will not discuss even in private with her team, is the question of who might serve in a future harris cabinet or administration. the vice president herself has said, described herself as being a little bit superstitious, and i am told that superstition is definitely a bit at play here. that's not uncommon for politicians, but i do think all of this adds up to, i think, a picture of a campaign that is not willing to take anything for granted, and number one proof of that tonight is the fact that the vice president is back in wisconsin for the second time in two days. >> erin. all right mj, thank you very much. and everyone is here with me now this final friday before election day. david axelrod to hear mj saying, look the campaign is they're feeling they're feeling good and they believe that they
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are outperforming trump specifically on those undecided voters in the final days, that they're messaging about a democracy and disqualifying. they feel that that is working. those undecided voters, they say, are they're going that way. if that's the case and we know them to be 1 to 3% in these, these states where if the polls are right that's the margin of victory. that could be the race. >> could be, yeah, it could be i think the emphasis should be on could because nobody really knows. and i think what they do sense and what i sense is that she's closing better than he is. this is the week when people who have not been very tuned in to the race are going to finally pay attention to it, because they have to and and donald trump is kind of off track and she's got on her message and, and in some ways he's modeling the behavior that has caused people to be concerned about him in the first place. so i think they feel good about that. they look at early vote numbers in these in these blue wall states. they
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feel good about that. the gender the gender composition of that early vote uh, registration in wisconsin. you can register right up to election day. the registration so they're looking at all of these things, but i don't talk to anybody who says, we got this thing. i just think they think that it is moving in a way that may be favorable to them. >> so erin, you know, when you look at the polls, right? we just were going through a few of them. but pennsylvania, one of them, where again, margin of error. but she's on top in this marist poll, 19 point shift. there among independents. harris now ahead of trump 55 to 40. now in september. trump was actually ahead of harris by four points. and that's that's a huge shift right. that's 19 points. if that's accurate. um it's obviously a huge deal. if it's accurate it is a big deal because that's a monumental shift in a very short amount of time. but what we're going to be seeing is if, i mean pennsylvania is the largest electoral get in these
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swing states right now, you're looking at 19 electoral votes there. so pennsylvania will be very indicative, i think, of the blue wall states that you're going to see in the close in the closing of the election. but what what you're going to see is especially around the pittsburgh area, that republicans are going to make a concerted effort to drive up in those counties just outside of washington and get the numbers up. so that they can try and close that gap. they need to drive up. and we were talking about this a little bit before the change in the electorate overall for republicans means that a higher turnout election might actually be better for them because with so many low propensity voters, they're trying to swing into the republican camp that while democrats might be excited by early vote republicans are aiming for election day with less likely voters to try and swing the map. and that can count in any of these states. >> i guess that's true. and we know that, you know, so far at least, it seems a lot of voters who are used to voting who vote in midterms, they are the ones who have been going out in early vote at least what we've been hearing from the campaigns in pennsylvania though, ashley, since we're talking about it harris has turned to shapiro
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josh shapiro, the popular governor whom she did not pick to be her vice president, to put a closing ad in the state. here's a part of it do you want more chaos or like me, are you ready for some common sense that's why i'm with kamala. >> i've known her for two decades. she's practical and she gets stuff done. >> as president, i will chart a new way forward and find solutions to create jobs and bring down costs. i will fight for you and your family every day so, ashley, what does that do in pennsylvania? >> does that help her? because he is popular. he has been a governor who has governed in a bipartisan manner or does it remind people that they're sitting there in that picture and they're not going to be sitting there if she wins because she didn't pick him? >> i don't think it does. the latter. i think he's doing exactly what a surrogate for the campaign should be doing, and that's whatever the campaign asks. he's been on the trail with governors, the democratic governors on a bus
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tour, knocking doors doing rallies, and now he's up on television. it's actually a unique way to close, but i think it's a clever way to close so you can reach as many people as possible. and it is a reminder that unlike donald trump kamala harris has all the democratic governors, all the former presidents that are democratic and vice presidents supporting her unlike her running mate. and so i think it's a good reminder for the state of pennsylvania, particularly so david, can i ask you about this liz cheney comment and not about what people have been talking all day of what he said and what he meant and all that business that happens with trump. comments. i don't mean that. i mean the fact that trump has explained his comments now twice. he posted on media on social media, and then he went out and said and he wanted to say, i wasn't saying firing squad. i was saying she wasn't willing. he went out and did that. yes, we all know that that that trump doesn't usually do that. he doesn't. is that a sign that he feels weakness, that he feels that could hurt? >> well, i think he was told this was not good. listen, i
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keep thinking about what it would be like to be in that campaign headquarters never knowing what my candidate is going to do that day you're trying to drive a message about the economy or immigration and he's out there and he's doing this and that becomes the story. and there are only a few days left, and now a day is hijacked by that story. so yeah, i think it's it. he he's trying to clean up. but if you're cleaning up, you know the old expression in politics, if you're explaining you're losing, he's doing lots of explaining and you've, you know you've you've worked with him, right. you know so so what do you read into him now explaining this twice well, it was interesting watching that tape back because the secondary set of remarks he made where he was explaining that was loaded into the teleprompter. >> so there was a conversation, a broader conversation about moving those remarks for him. but listen, right now, i think to david's point earlier, now that halloween is over i think a lot of those persuadable voters moms, people with
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families, they're now starting to tune in because we're in the final stretch going into election day. so i don't know that they are necessarily going to change their mind because of this comment. there's so much noise right now trump needs to stay focused. there was a bad jobs report today, and two, uh two adjustments to the previous job reports to bring those numbers down. they should be talking about the economy and hitting kamala for this. anything that's not doing that is detracting from their ability to try and win this election. >> ashley how much insight do you think the harris campaign has on the voters who are making their decision at the last moment as to whether they are people who simply don't pay attention or they are people who just actually do pay attention and do know what's going on and just haven't been able to decide what they're going to do about it. you know, do they do they how much do they really know about these individuals? >> well, i think this campaign is a little bit different in terms of what their knowledge is because of the short runway of her campaign, voters who might have tuned in here or there in a june debate. well,
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it's not the candidate anymore. it's a new candidate. and maybe they missed the fall debate. so i think they know a couple of things. one, they are looking state by state on the early voting and the mail in ballots and determining are these voters that have voted in a midterm election and if they had, the likelihood is that they're going to probably vote democratic. if they if they have party id in that state, they also probably are putting voters in two other buckets, people who are still making a decision and people to david's point earlier that are just now paying attention. and those individuals, they're going to be pushing those negative comments that donald trump seems to be making day after day, multiple times a day. but then they're also are going to be looking for low propensity voters. there still are a lot of folks that if they have never voted before, that if they go to the polls, they will vote. and we call those the knock and drags. you knock on the door and you drag them to the polls. so i think that they're looking at people in a couple of different ways because of the consolidated timeline of her campaign, david bottom line, does this change the view out there that trump has a ceiling and the ceiling is the ceiling where he was in
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2016 and 2020? i think that's very much an open question. and he has to prove that it's not the case. and i think this this makes it harder for him to to surpass that ceiling. so yeah i don't think trump is finishing well, i said this before last week. i think he was in better shape than he is in this week. and you want to close strong in a presidential race. >> all right. well, thank you all very much. i do want everyone to know 600. 600 episodes of the ax files. that's incredible. yeah. so congratulations on that. the 600th episode of the is out the the guest is okay this is an interesting one. yes. you i'm the guest. >> you are the guest anderson is interviewing you. i can't wait to see it. so that is great. yeah. or listen and see so that i hope everyone will tune in to that. and next, an outfront investigation. 1600 people purged from the virginia voter rolls because they had said they weren't citizens well, guess what? many of them
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are citizens, so you're going to hear from them. plus new reporting from our k file on kamala harris mixed messages about israel and gaza. can you have a mixed message on that one? now it depends on what state you live in, of what you'll hear the past nine months is devastating i will always stand up for israel's right to defend itself and wall street betting on a trump victory. but we're going to explain the details there because they're really important >> chris coonan here with leaffilter america's largest gutter and gutter protection company. leaf filter has over 150 locations and has been installed on over a million homes. we've been protecting homes now for over 20 years. our patented technology offers total protection for your home and come with a lifetime transferable warranty. the process is simple give us a call to schedule your free gutter inspection. if you decide to move forward with the
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project, you put nothing down at all. 833 leaf filter or visit leaf filter.com today. >> he has plans to punish his political enemies in a second term, but no plan to punish corporations who rip you off. trump is running to get revenge for himself kamala is running to get results for you. her plans cut middle class taxes and price gouging, protect medicare and social security, and make life more affordable. >> i will always put the middle class and working families first. >> trump fights for trump kamala fights for you ph pac is responsible for the content of this ad my moderate to severe crohn's disease and my ulcerative colitis symptoms kept me out of the picture now there's skyrizi. i've got places to go and i'm feeling free control of my symptoms means everything to me control is everything to me. >> and now i'm back in the picture. >> the most significant symptom
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luxury mattresses made affordable. >> election night in america special coverage begins tuesday, november 5th at 4:00 on cnn breaking news the supreme court tonight handing republicans a major defeat, shutting down their argument that thousands of mail in ballots in pennsylvania should not be counted. >> this is cnn investigates, another supreme court ruling that is affecting voters in the state of virginia, where 1600 people were purged from the voting rolls for not being american citizens. the court, siding with the republican governor of virginia, glenn youngkin. the problem was that it was more complicated than that. many of those people actually are citizens legal voters who then got scrubbed from the system. cnn managed to track down some of them. rene
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marsh is out front >> daily purges from virginia's voter registration rolls republican governor glenn youngkin calls it an effort to prevent illegal noncitizen voting, something that rarely happens. cnn got access to the list of 1600 people and called over 100 of them, while we did identify noncitizens we also found many citizens who are eligible voters are you a citizen? >> some of them were even born in the u.s. and had voted in several previous elections without problems. >> it's a bit confusing that, like i registered and now i'm not. >> george mason university student rachel hsu spoke to cnn from her dorm room. she didn't know she'd been purged until cnn called. >> i was originally born in china. i immigrated here about six years ago. i got my citizenship like a year ago, but that doesn't change the fact i still have the right to
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vote. so that's really weird. >> she's still not sure why she was purged. neither is 21 year old abdullah al-musawa, who even sent cnn a picture of his u.s. passport as proof of citizenship. he learned about virginia's daily voter registration purges on tiktok. then realized he was affected. i wouldn't say it feels great, he told cnn. cnn reached out to governor glenn youngkin's office about what we found, his press secretary said in a statement. governor youngkin has been clear every eligible virginia citizen who wants to vote can do so by same day registering through election day. youngkin has driven the narrative that illegal voting is a problem in virginia, saying the purge addresses it. >> that just provides further further comfort across the commonwealth that this election will be secure. it will be accurate. youngkin and other
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republicans have followed trump in stoking fears over voter fraud. trump baselessly claims illegal voting is part of the reason he lost the 2020 election. >> removing illegal voters off the voting rolls should be a big priority for this country. >> while the virginia purge involves a relatively small number of voters in a state not considered a battleground, voting rights groups worry about the chilling effect of the purge on eligible voters. >> it's also causing a lot of fear within immigrants and new citizen communities more generally who are getting this information via social media and through the grapevine and hearing that there's some sort of issue and that people could be prosecuted for felonies. >> as for eshoo, she says she won't be deterred and plans to reregister and cast her ballot for the very first time on election day. >> i'm a citizen. i still have i have my right to vote well, erin the most important message tonight any virginia voter who has been purged and you are a u.s.
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>> citizen, you're eligible to vote you can use virginia's same day registration process to vote in person at early voting locations through this saturday, or you can vote on election day at a polling place. >> all right renee, thank you very much. it's fascinating just to hear from those voters. the citizens. i want to go now to the democratic senator amy klobuchar of minnesota. senator, you hear renee talking to that woman in virginia who was purged from the voter rolls, even though she is a citizen she is eligible to vote. now, renee, did lay out that. and there are loops, but she can still register. she can still vote according to virginia law so she would be able to vote. the people on that list who are not citizens would not. do you think that this is a situation that is ending in a fair way, or no what we see across the country is that republicans are making it difficult for legal legal voters to vote. >> we know that it is illegal for people who are not citizens to vote and that is a crime. but when they start kicking
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people off the rolls who are actually legal as the people that the cnn reporters talked to, that is a major problem. fortunately, in virginia people can register, but of course they don't know exactly where they kicked off. were they not? and they're going to have to go and check. hopefully by going there early, that's better off for them not on the same day, even though they can do it on the same day. let us make that clear. but they can actually register. so i hope all those people who find out and go right away to their polling places or their early voting places, and make sure that they're registered. but this is the pennsylvania story actually similar thing in that these people were simply this is about envelopes. they were simply when people have an envelope issue of which envelope did they use? they were simply allowing them to make good on that so they could still vote ahead of time. and the pennsylvania court said, of course they should be able to do that. this ruling went a
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good way, and that the u.s. supreme court allowed pennsylvania to keep curing these envelope issues. but this all started with a republican suit so what you're seeing with the kamala harris surging in the polls, as you guys just pointed out, in places like wisconsin, michigan, and now pennsylvania, donald trump is back to his old games he is doing everything to try to suppress the vote and then seed misinformation. so that afterwards, if and when he loses, he's going to claim it's not fair and everyone has to be on their a-game to make sure that people know that they can still legally vote and go to vote. >> so i want to ask you about that. the harris campaign said it does fully expect that trump will declare that he has won on tuesday, regardless of whether he wins or loses and i know that this has actually been a big topic in your own senate race against the former professional basketball player, royce white. he once tweeted
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out a photo. actually, senator of him, with the words trump won written on his head during a game. and you and he had a debate just the other day. here's what he said in 2020? it would appear so. yeah, it would appear so but i can't be sure. and i don't think that that's dangerous to say it's dangerous to say, can i can i ask you though, um how do you think trump and his supporters will accept a loss? >> i mean and or do you think trump will just never accept it? do you think that violence is something that you just legitimately expect is going to happen here, or not? >> there have been a lot of changes to our laws including the electoral count act that i worked on with democrats and republicans as chair of the rules committee that we have made. that is going to make it very clear that you can't mess around with the electoral ballots and you can't use
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leverage with one member of congress to object to the result. that does make a difference. we also have made it very clear we just as we put out a report from the rules committee on this, the democrats that we know there are differences on election night in counting pennsylvania and wisconsin, for instance, do not start counting their ballots from their citizens until that day of the election michigan has made it a little easier. like many other states, there are at least opening the ballots for jurisdictions over 5000. so they will be able to count things quicker do i wish wisconsin and pittsburgh and pennsylvania? i'm going to pittsburgh tomorrow to help out on my mind. do i wish they did things like they do in minnesota? maybe. but the point is states have the right to make their own election laws. and so that's why we know we often see the results come in later in some of these states. and he tries to mine that for
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saying there's something wrong with our system but remember, everyone should remember he is doing that once again. we've seen the playbook before to breed suspicion about our democracy and those that stand up for democracy, like a liz cheney the who he attacked just today like a number of republicans have joined democrats in saying no our democracy is too important and we're voting for kamala harris. all right well, senator klobuchar, i appreciate your time. thank you very much tonight. and you said you'll be in pittsburgh on the trail tomorrow and next, a fake voter fraud video about georgia going viral on elon musk's social media platform, the georgia secretary of state wants it taken down he's out front tonight. and speaker mike johnson was all for repealing obamacare until trump said he wasn't. and kay file has a special report tonight of every footlong in the app to 6.99. >> wait subway did what,
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more disastrous foreign policy why would anyone vote for more of this restoration? pac is responsible for the content of this advertising santa claus has s been kidnaped. we're going to find him. you gotta kick. >> we got snowman one rated pg 13 only in theaters november 15th. >> if you are shopping for a home, you could browse hundreds of listings to score a great deal or compare home values all at once search in full color to find the cheapest house on the best street home. search will never be the same again up the story of your life but as you get older, your risk of missing those moments because of severe flu covid 19, or rsv increases >> so get this season's vaccines because your presence
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but this driver's license even uses a stock image for the person's picture. tonight, a spokesperson for x tells us that the site is taking action against posts containing the video. however, they are still all over the site at this hour with new posts still going up out front. now the georgia secretary of state, brad raffensperger, and secretary raffensperger, i'm glad to speak with you again. as we said in inning one of nine here on this election but that video is still all over x despite two hours ago. they told us that they were going to be taking action, by the way, that was 20 hours after you asked them to take it down. what is your message to elon musk tonight? >> well my message is really to everyone that has these social media sites to make sure you have the facts and really check it out. i believe in freedom of the press and freedom of speech, but we looked at it and very quickly we realized it was fake and then very quickly we came to the conclusion it's
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probably or came from a russian origin today. so department of homeland security confirmed that that it was, you know, came from russia. but there aren't people don't come here and get papers, citizenship papers in six months. and in georgia, we have a robust citizenship verification and you don't get your driver's license. you certainly don't get two driver's license with the same name. so we knew there it just didn't smell right. so we checked it out came to a conclusion real quick. so we responded very quickly. you know, on twitter and then also with a press release just to let people know it's fake. don't fall for it, because in effect, what people want to do these nation state actors is really get us fighting among ourselves. we got enough that splits us. we don't need to have the russians or other bad actors try and split us further so. >> so, you know, this was week after the intel community had said that a phony video showing fraud in pennsylvania was just that was phony. and that also had come from russia. i mean, secretary how widespread do you believe?
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>> i mean, you talk about state actors. i understand you're using a plural there but i'm talking specifically about russia. how widespread do you think the russian interference is? >> we expect further interference and disinformation and just making up stuff that gets us arguing with each other or starting these, you know wild conspiracy theories. we've got some reports from cisa and other dhs, you know they've sent us some notices and just things to expect. and so we're fully prepared we have been we already had a ddos attack, 420,000 pings came to our website that would be on monday, october 14th. and we very quickly saw what it was. and quickly, you know, disengaged we added a little, you know interface. that said, i am a human i am not a robot. and they had to press that and that got rid of all those bots that were pinging us but the thing is, we were expecting it. we prepared for it but you can never prepare enough because it seems like they never sleep. they got very clever minds and
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they have they're very devious people just trying to upset us. yeah, they probably don't like us supporting ukraine and you know, they just want to take a shot at us, right? >> and we can't let them yeah, no, i am i am curious when you when you reach out to twitter, do you feel like they're they're listening. i mean, i understand once a video is out there it is very hard to shut it down. you're playing whack a mole. so i understand that, but but you know, more than 20 hours after you had requested them take it down it's your state. you said it was fake. they still hadn't taken any kind of action when we called them they said they were then going to. although we still see it everywhere. >> um do you think they're listening? do you think elon musk is listening? he didn't retweet this one, although he has other conspiracy theories, which turned out to be inaccurate well, i would hope that they would. >> he obviously is is a very, you know, bright fellow. he's i guess he's a genius. if you look at what he's done with evs and rockets and i'm sure he can figure this out to take down something if he really, truly believed it needed to come down. and so we are going
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to be very respectful. but we're also going to be very proactive, and we're going to hit back hard when we see disinformation, misinformation, outright lying from any actor, both foreign and domestic. we want people to understand here what the facts are. come to draw your own conclusions based on the facts, not buy stuff that's just made up. >> so i want to talk about where we are right now, next week. you know it was so close with the election in 2020. it was so close in georgia we all know the phone call. i hope everyone's read your book and the transcript of the phone call, the whole thing. right hand recount was required. it took 16 days for you to be able to make the final formal call for georgia after election day, 16 days. >> do you expect anything like that this time around, or do you think that it's fair to say georgia's going to be in the they're going to make a pretty quick call category it depends how close it is. >> what we have done is, first of all, on electronic poll pads, which
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we've been using this election. that's why the lines are moving. so quickly. so the lines will move quickly by state law, lines have to be shorter than one hour on election day, but also all this early voting that you've seen that 65% that has to all be reported. no later than one hour after the polls close primarily at 7 p.m.. so by 8 p.m., 65 to 70% of all the vote totals will be reported. who voted for who, and then the people that voted absentee that we've received, that we've accepted it. that'll all be tabulated. ready for report no later than 8 p.m.. also so that's 70 to 75%. the other 25% that happens on tuesday during the election day. that's going to be reported with constant uploads of feeds starting probably my guess is 730. you might start seeing something but no later than eight and it'll continue on through the night. and by no later than the end of the evening you're going to see all the results. but we think many of the smaller counties will be done by 10:00, 1030 at the latest. and so you'll have a good idea. but before the end of the night, all of that will be reported. the only thing
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we'll be waiting on is any of these absentee ballots that come in over the weekend that aren't handled and also the overseas ballots. federal law allows those to be accepted up until friday. we'll just have to see how many of those federal ballots we get in by friday, how many outstanding absentee ballots, a few thousand there. and what is the difference between the top vote getter and the the number two vote getter and that'll give you your answer pretty quick. >> where you can, which is and so you said it really is all about the margin. you could know election night or you could have to wait a few days. today is the last day to vote early, and i know that it has. it has been a wonderful thing to see what's happened in georgia, record after record after record broken. nearly 4 million people have already voted if you compare that to your total number of votes in 2020, that's 80%. now um, do you expect to just shatter the overall records in terms of of your turnout you know, we're saying, you know, 80% of what happened in 2020. do you think you're going to do significantly better than that i for some reason, i think we
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will, because actually on 2020, the turnout we had on election day was under 800,000. >> and we were actually disappointed. we expected it to be 1.1 to 1.3 million. and if that happens then we'll be all over 5.3 million. we actually just went over 4 million. it's not uploaded to you know, our data hub yet. but i got a feedback before i got on on your show. and so we'll be uploading that and get that. but we'll be over 4 million, you know, in the next hour or so. once we get that, all you know uploaded to our website georgia data hub. >> all right. well, that is certainly something to celebrate. turnout going up for. for everyone thank you so much, secretary. it's good to talk to you. >> thank you erin. all right. and next, kamala harris has different messages on israel and gaza. totally different ones depending on what state you live in. and why are the betting markets right now going for trump right now? more than $1 billion at play that is set to surge in the coming hours
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part of, of of most of the decisions in other words, she wants more of the same more inflation more open borders, more disastrous foreign policy why would anyone vote for more of this restoration pac is responsible for the content of this advertising and harbor freight. we do business differently from the other guys we design and test our own tools and sell them directly to you no middlemen, just quality tools you can trust at prices you'll love guys it's time to stop treating your groins like junk. >> presenting the intimate pubic hair trimmer from gillette. it's not junk. so treat it right with a gentle and easy shave from america's number one trusted men's grooming brand, respect your pubic region with gillette intimate when their gutters are clogged and they notice one of the many issues that can bring. >> well, sometimes it's the smell of mildew when water has seeped into the interior walls. or maybe they've spotted mold in the attic, but most often
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right to defend itself. >> and i will always ensure israel has the ability to defend itself, because the people of israel must never again face the horror that a terrorist organization called hamas caused. on october seven, a different message andrew kosinski is outfront now. so, andrew, those obviously do sound starkly different to say the least. tell me more about what you found. >> yeah. that's right. and look, this really illustrates the sort of fine line that the harris campaign is trying to walk here in the closing weeks closing days of this campaign on the issue of israel. here you have two entirely different constituencies and they are getting two entirely different messages there. often times these constituencies have very opposing views on this. if you are a jewish person in pennsylvania, you saw that ad that you're getting, you are getting that ad that talks about how strong, strong she is in israel. if you're a muslim voter in michigan you are getting that ad on facebook
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that's talking about talking about how she won't be silent on the issue of gaza. now what's really interesting here is that ad that we that we just played, the one that's going to jewish voters in pennsylvania. now, it sort of sounds like those two clips of her talking about israel are together, but they actually cut part of it out. take a listen to what they cut what has happened in gaza over the past ten months is devastating president biden and i are working to end this war such that israel is secure the hostages are released the suffering in gaza ends and the palestinian people can realize their right to dignity, security freedom and self-determination they obviously they cut out that portion of the ad where they talked about gaza from her dnc speech those two parts were together. they sliced them.
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they cut that part out. now, look, she's also getting hammered a lot on this issue by republicans. we talked just a couple of days ago about how those robocalls were airing in wisconsin that are made to sound like they're in support of jill stein talking about her position on gaza, saying that they're highlighting her pro-israel position and it's they're sort of trying to siphon those votes away from her. so this is a really delicate issue for her. >> oh, it certainly is. i mean, the palestinian people can realize their right to dignity, security, freedom and self-determination being cut out. it's important to notice that. all right. now you also have new reporting on speaker mike johnson. speaker mike johnson and his position on repealing obamacare, which he had been all about. um, then donald trump seemed to realize how popular obamacare was for many americans, says he won't repeal it. but speaker mike johnson in pennsylvania just said this, which indicated he was still open to repeal. let's play it when i say we're going to have a very aggressive first hundred days agenda, we've got a lot of things on the table. no obamacare, no republican, no >> but trump has said that he won't repeal it. so now
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they're at odds, at least from that. so then manu raju asked johnson to clarify what you were trying to say he responds this way how much are you talking about? >> what you will do if you're in power? and does that include repealing the aca? >> no. look, we not repealing the aca. >> not no this has been ascribed to me. that is not what i said. and you can pull the recording of the event in pennsylvania you did pull a recording of the event in pennsylvania, right? >> no obamacare no obamacare says johnson. so is there any ambiguity here? >> i mean, it's sort of wild. like we've been doing this a long time aaron, that there's a whole news cycle about republicans not wanting to get rid of obamacare. now okay. mike johnson, he says now that he doesn't want to get rid of obamacare, democrats have said that quote, shows that he does. but this isn't where he was in like tons and tons of clips that we found from 2017 through 2022. take a listen to what we found if you remember, we
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fumbled the ball on the repeal and replace of obamacare. >> this time it's going to be different and i'm going to tell you why, because everybody learns some some very difficult lessons at that point. i've been working deliberately with my colleagues, scalise, mccarthy and everybody, uh, preparing this very deliberately so that we get these players on the field two years ago. >> all right. that's him talking about how the new republican congress, how excited he was that they were going to repeal obamacare. so just a couple of years ago, he wanted to repeal it. he's all for it now. he says he doesn't want to do it right. >> it went from repeal to repeal and replace to just let's just keep it. >> let's not talk about it anymore. >> let's not talk about it. all right. thank you very much. andrew kaczynski k file and next, more than $1 billion at stake in the betting markets about to triple in just the next few days. one candidate is favored are the markets right medicare advantage helps me do my job better because it makes me feel comfortable that these
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>> trump is running to get revenge for himself kamala is running to get results for you. her plans cut middle class taxes and price gouging, protect medicare and social security, and make life more affordable. >> i will always put the middle class and working families first. >> trump fights for trump kamala fights for you. pac is responsible for the content of this ad take airborne. >> it has seven key nutrients to help fill those holes. your immune system may have what holes supporting nutrients our most complete support yet these men of means with their silver spoons. >> what would become of them when they discover robinhood gold allows others to earn their very liberal rates on idle cash they would descend into chaos when migraine strikes. do you question the tradeoffs of treating with ubrelvy? there's another
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president of bianco research, he follows this closely. first bet himself on an outcome back in 1992 and points out there's a very long history of these. even trading on the stock market all the way back to the civil war so, jim, here we are, 12 markets. crypto is involved in some of them what do the betting markets say tonight about who's winning so let's keep in mind that these are probability markets. >> and right now they're showing that donald trump is trading at winning kamala harris is trading at around
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this as trump has a ten point lead because that's not what prediction markets are probabilities are about. it's more like if you ran the election 100 times, he would win 55 times. she would win 45 times. we don't run 100 elections. we run one. and you have to ask, are we going to have one of those 45 elections next week? are we going to have one of the 55? so obviously you'd rather be 55 than 45. but this is probably best called a toss up in the betting markets with a slight, slight underscore advantage to trump. >> all right. so and that's interesting because some of these polls even in the past hours right, have come out and given harris harris a couple of points in these must win states still within the margin of the polling margin of victory margin of error. but she has been has been going up. and in that you expect the amount of money in these markets to surge in the next few days. i know jim, that odds could move dramatically. in fact, as things like exit polls come out right when you're not going to be getting polls anymore, you're just getting an exit
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polls. and really, the financial markets that we're place that you can really see what's happening to the odds and and it is for anyone who gets involved, an all or nothing bet >> on that last point, i think you got to keep in mind that whatever money is, bet whenever the election is done one candidate will be at one or a dollar and the other candidate will be at zero and half the people will lose money and half the people will have made money. and we're just going to divide up the pie. the betting markets are going to probably surge, as you pointed out, because that's what they do. if you've ever been to the horse track in the two minutes before the race goes off is when you get all the betting that goes on well, that's the way that these markets work too in the couple of days or even tuesday morning of election day, you'll get a surge of money because then the outcome is known later that day, or maybe in the next day or two. people are not going to bet this in february and hold it for nine months. waiting for the election. they're going to bet it the day of. and they're also very good because they give you a way to summarize
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because that's what i think they are. they are just the summary of all the information we know into one number. so on election day, they're going to be very volatile. they usually are. they could move 30 or 50 points as opposed to 2 or 3 points, which is what we're comfortable with. and what would they move them on exit polls. um you know, updates on vote counts and you'll get a lot of data and you want to know what does that mean? look at the betting market. it'll tell you if one candidate goes up or the other candidate goes down. that'll be the summation of what we think it means. >> and obviously, if anyone you know watching, if you think they're wrong right now on sort of you said coin toss but advantage trump they think harris you go in on that if you're right you can make a lot of money. it depends. now there's been some talk quickly before we go jim that these markets are being manipulated. few big players are trying to get the outcome they want. they're trying to influence people by making it look like, i guess in this case, trump is winning. you're skeptical, though yeah. >> i mean there are a few big players that are playing these markets and sometimes they move them around a little