you are in the cnn newsroom. i am just been in new york. in the final sprint with three days until election day throughout the day today, we have seen competing rallies , as both candidates barn stormed country. moment ago, former president trump finishing up in salem, virginia. estate that has historically leaned blue. it is one that trump believes is worth spending time in tonight. in the battleground state of north carolina, vice president kamala harris making her closing pitch to voters . in the coming days, both candidates and their vice presidential nominee's will be campaigning nonstop through monday. trump is holding rallies across the battleground states of georgia, north kelenic, mania, michigan and

wisconsin harris final steps include pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin. at this moment, the race is too close to call. with cnn's polls showing both candidates virtually tied across the crucial blue wall states . michigan, wisconsin and pennsylvania . in what could be a historic total turnout, we have already seen more than 71 million americans casting an early ballot. now, new data point we have new poll releasing at this moment out of iowa from the des moines register. you will want to take a look at this one. in a head to head matchup the des moines register is showing harris with 47 to trump's 44 in the state of iowa that is within the margin of error, 3.4%. no clear leader by cnn standards. certainly, a poll that will catch a lot of eyeballs. to discuss this is the editor-in-chief of usa today,

karen- . the des moines register is part of the network. this is the pricing. explain the significance of the des moines register's final polling before election day and what you all are gleaming from this and what it could mean for the rust belt states, michigan , wisconsin and pennsylvania. >> a big surprise. iowa had been written off by the harris campaign. you should where the candidates are going the final few days. none of them are going to iowa. they are going to pennsylvania, wisconsin and you mentioned virginia and north carolina. iowa was assumed to be a state that trump would win handily , as he did in 2020 and 2016. one of the key things about it is iowa is in the upper midwest state. harris's surprising strength there may indicate the strength

she has in states like wisconsin and michigan. >> it is fascinating. tell us what is powering her numbers there. >> a couple of things are powering her numbers. women, certainly. older voters. voters over 65. when it comes to women voters, independent women are going strongly for her. we had poll results in september that showed a lead for trump. when biden was in the race, polls showed a huge lead for trump against biden. it doesn't abortion is a big issue here. another thing the poll turned up is the significance for many harris voters on the issue of democracy . >> it is fascinating. thank you for the inside into this poll just breaking now from the des moines register. i want to bring in cnn chief national

affairs correspondent jeff zeleny will talk more about the polling with us. this is a surprise . what do you make of this? >> jessica, there is no doubt it is very surprising . particularly to iowa democrats, who do not believe that vice president kamala harris is within striking distance of donald trump i am thinking four years ago , as you remember well, we covered the biden campaign together. at that point, former vice president joe biden went to iowa in the final days and held a rally on the friday before election day. taking iowa was within reach and he lost the state by nearly 9 points. democrats have definitely been down on their luck in iowa for several years . it was a state that barack obama won twice in 2008 and again in 2012. statewide, they have been beleaguered. this is interesting in many respects. as karen was saying, there are

similarities between some parts of iowa and the suburban voters , which we are seen in battleground states. women are largely supporting vice president harris and turning away from donald trump the idea that iowa would be in play at this late hour certainly belies all of our other data. and should this actually be a sign of what is happening next tuesday, it would be a blowout, and nobody expects that. the harris camp is not producing that at all. i think interestingly, it shows in the suburbs and among women, the gender gap is clear. it also shows the key congressional races in iowa, also democrats are within the grasp of it. i think iowa is politically significant. donald trump won the iowa caucuses and he has won the state in all of his races. virtually everyone on both sides of the aisle will be

very surprised that he does not do so next week. >> jeff, you worked at the des moines register and have lived there in iowa. can you get people context for this poll in particular, and - it is a very valuable poll in the state of iowa . but also, nationwide , it is very respected . >> it absolutely has been a gold standard of polling. we are a washing poll. everyone at the late stage of this campaign is not sure which poll to look at . there is no doubt, the des moines register poll is the gold standard. however, polls have limitations. potentially an outlier of what we have seen in other polling and iowa, talking to sources on both sides in congressional races and other things, they are not seen quite this. the bigger picture here is that iowa has been a key example of the changing of battleground states

in america. iowa always was a key battleground as was florida. the population has shifted and received the blue wall states in the north and the sun belt states in the south that were the main routes to 270. if there is 's are any indication of possibility there , vice president harris would be on a airplane to campaign there. the same with former president trump. he would be campaigning there as well. we shall see. it is a good reminder the voters have the say here. we shall see on tuesday. look at all of these polls as a piece of information, but not the final say. these numbers, as a headline , many years watching iowa. i would be remarkably surprised if this was the outcome next tuesday.

>> thank you so much. it is always good to have you nobody better to talk iowa politics with and the campaign with them just. was go back to karen , the editor in chief for usa today, which is a part of the des moines register group. show us and talk to us about what iowans will wake up to on the front page tomorrow. >> iowans will wake up to this news that i think will surprise a lot of them. they are very familiar . as just said, the des moines register poll is really the gold standard of polls. it is very trusted . not only will this gets a lot of attention in iowa, but it could affect turnout on both sides. the iowa democrat maybe more motivated to go to the polls to support harris, buoyed by this result. you may see republicans more motivated to go to the

polls because of alarm over what it might mean for trump. it will be interesting to see what happens when the story publishes and lands on people' is doorsteps. >> this is an outlier at this point. what do you make of that in terms of the methodology? long been a gold standard poll and it is showing very surprising results. what is your reaction to that? >> i went back and looked at how well it is addicting the presidential outcome in iowa . it is really striking. it predicted it accurately within one or two points in the last two financial cycles. and seltzer, who conducts the poll for the des moines register is highly respected. iowa is what she does. the midwest is what she does. she did do a poll , interestingly, in indiana in

2008 . that proved surprisingly - with the surprising result there. it showed the final poll there showed barack obama winning indiana by one point. and, in fact, he won indiana by one point in 2008 . it is an outlier, but it is a poll that people take very seriously . people that know polling note that this is a poll that you do not dismiss. >> thank you for sticking with us. we really appreciate it taking the top line, it is a new des moines register poll showing harris at 47% to trump's 44%. that is within the margin of error by cnn standards with no clear leader , but quite a development in terms of seeing this result in a poll out of iowa. let's go from iowa to the

crucial battleground state, the common way -- commonwealth of pennsylvania. congressman, thank you for being with us. here we are, three days out. poll after poll coming out of pennsylvania shows it could not be tighter. the tightest race in pennsylvania. i know you are in philadelphia. i am curious, what are you seeing on the ground? what are you seeing and what are you hearing? >> i feel like the whole world has decided to move to philadelphia over the last 48 to 72 hours. we have media from all over the world. we have people who have driven very far who were out canvassing . i talked to someone who had driven here from ohio , six hours, just to canvas here in my hometown. there is no shortage of activity. i think

people realize that pennsylvania will likely determine the selection . that the case in 2016 when it was just a half a percentage point margin. it was the case in 2020 when it was a 1% margin. i fully expect that yet again it will be 1% or less for either candidate. >> in that vein, what would you say is one thing that is making you feel positive about the state of this race as someone supporting kamala harris as a democrat? what is the thing that makes you more anxious and you are keeping an eye out for? >> the news of the poll out of iowa has me pleasantly surprised . i fully expected those results would show donald trump in the lead in iowa . from mid to high single digits. it is only one poll , it has been a good indicator of where things in wisconsin and michigan , two upper midwest

dates, as they are demographically pretty similar. here in pennsylvania, i would say ever since june of 2022, once the dobbs decision came down, democrats in pennsylvania, whether the governor's race or the senate race or anonymous state legislative races , we have out-performed the polling very consistently over a 2+ year period . that has me feeling quite optimistic. combined with the energy and activity that i see on the democratic side. if there is one thing that would keep me up at night or has me concerned, it would relate to polling . in 2016 and 2020 , most posters missed this hidden trump vote because he seemed to draw out a small percentage of people who had proven impossible to pull and do not come out for any other election, but only when

trump's name is on the ballot. the posters that they have corrected the problem they said it was non-response bias in 2020 . some of it had to do with the pandemic. i want to believe them. i would not feel fully comfortable until we see the results late on election night. >> the is the question of the house. can democrats flip the house? will republicans hold the house. a slim majority right now that you would like to take away from them. there are a number of races in your state that are close to what are you hearing from your colleagues and how do you think it will shake out, based on what you are hearing and seeing right now? >> a couple of thoughts. first, i am always cautious about the predictions. i believe democrats are the favorite now to win the house. we have three great democratic incumbents in close seats all three of them are leaving -- leading in their

polls and doing better now than where they were two years ago. they were in close races to make years ago. when a wonderful chance to defeat scott perry, the leader of the freedom caucus. a district based in harrisburg area. appreciate the fact that the republicans want to campaign in that district this week and he was caught on video admitting that republicans plan to repeal the formal care act or obamacare. it is something they have been trying to do for 14 years. it was literally the first thing trump attempted to do when he was president. i think him saying the quiet part out loud will help us not only in the district, but help remind voters just what a threat donald trump and the republican majority would be to their healthcare. >> congressman brendan boyle, we will see how it unfolds pennsylvania at the center of the political universe. thanks for your time. still ahead, not just the

race for the white house. control of congress is on the line. we will look at consequential races and what could be on speaker johnson's agenda if republicans maintain the house.

the battle to win the white house as the main event on

tuesday. the battle for who controls the house of representatives is shaping up to be a tough fight for both artese. money caught up with speaker johnson as he fights to keep republican control. >> the office of speaker of the house declared vacant . >> it has been a chaotic two years in the gop-lighthouse. an ousted speaker and rampant in -fighting. speaker mike johnson is trying to do with once seemed improbable . hang on to power and even grow the razor-thin majority >> mister president, i am here in new york. >> as the barn stormed more than 20 states in october alone, johnson is hoping to turn out the megabase , even in democratic-leaning districts . making the pitch for unified gop control of washington d.c. >> everybody in the world is watching what happens on long island and in the state of new york. that is not an exaggeration. >> trump meanwhile, relying on johnson seen this last week at

medicines were guarded >> he and i have a secret we will tell you what it is when the race is over. >> johnson said that simply meant getting out the vote. even if democrats fear he and trump try to block a harris victory. >> you said this at the get out the vote effort . have you and him talked about not accepting the election results if harris wins? >> of course not, i have taken an oath to uphold the constitution i will do my job. >> if harris wins, you accept results ? >> i will qualify this and i will make every buddy freak out. if it is a free and fair election, i am saying the same thing to me raskin is saying. >> it is trump once again who is pushing on substantial claims of voter fraud. >> trump authority sewing doubts about pennsylvania. >> trump is not sewing doubts, what he and all of a sudden to do is to have a ability to ensure we do not have hijinks and a regular it is. >> republicans have to defend 16 seats in districts joe biden

won, including in california and new york . is a target five democratic districts that trump carried in 2020. that means the next house majority will likely be narrow once again. and another recipe for gridlock . why do you deserve another two years? >> we did pass a lot of legislation and it died on the desk of chuck schumer. >> your trouble passing your own. >> on occasion, but we had landmark legislation sent over and it died because democrats control the senate. >> you have a narrow majority and had a difficult time. >> at the most narrow majority in u.s. history i am convinced we will have a larger majority. if we have unified government, i think ever my side will be in a much better mood and likely part of the reform agenda and not a speed bump in the way . >> the race for the house is poised to be the most excessive ever. with democrats spending over $476 million on air, outpacing the gop by more than $100 million. democrats fear a

unified gop washington d.c. would leave trump unchecked, including targeting his enemies >> it is the enemy from within. all this, we have to do with . >> if he wins, he is technically after his enemies. would you dissuade him? >> he is not going to go after his enemies. listen, the democrats -all of the hyperbole trying to scare people is nonsense. we will follow the law. for more of what to expect in tuesday's election and the major shifts in power that could happen in house and senate, are joined by congressional reporter with the , michael schnell . we just heard the piece there and he showed the math . when you look at the key races that we are all going to be watching, so many of them are in new york and california. >> those are going to be the

key states to watch when we are talking about control of the house. is because of the reason he laid out. there are 17 districts overall . and number them in new york and california that resident biden won in 2020 but republicans currently control them . those are top pick up targets for democrats . we have the top democrats fan across the country to stop with candidates in those districts them alertly, with the top republicans go to the same battlegrounds to help defend incumbents . they will be extremely tight races. and the outcome will have a major impact on the house next year. >> you mention surrogates. speaker mike johnson made comments on possibly repealing obamacare. possibly repealing the c.h.i.p.s. act . how me that affect these races? is there any indication that our landing, or just passing? >> they were difficult controversies for mike johnson this week for a couple reasons they are embarrassing and take

the republican party off message. particularly the example about the c.h.i.p.s. act . you heard mike johnson say he would work to repeal it. brendan williams, one of the most memorable house republicans this year running in one of the districts in new york said he would work every day to commence johnson to keep the law in place. it is a big deal in his district. it may force mike johnson to walk it back. similarly with the obamacare. mike johnson said one thing in and issue a statement later on playing cleanup. in terms of campaigns, the distractions are not helpful but also essentially unhelpful on the ground. districts, for example brendan williams's district, they rely and benefit from some of the legislation like the c.h.i.p.s. and science act. millions benefit from obamacare and wanted kept in tact. these comes can be tricky we took at the ballot box finally, one thing worth mentioning on the other side of the coin is that mike johnson could potentially

be running for speaker or minority leader in just a few weeks. and there are number of hard-core republicans in his conference that want to repeal obama care and likely want to take away the c.h.i.p.s. and science act. hearing johnson would not support that could potentially hurt him . >> there is the broad elections and what is going on in his own conference . they are going to have to figure it out . it is such a small group and anybody can cause problems, as we have seen over and over. what more do you know about his potential to continue leading house republicans? >> mike johnson has been very clear he wants to continue leading house republicans as speaker of the house. he says he is a good chance of that happening . any republican being speaker of the house will mean republicans need to win the house in three days now. that is very much in question. forecaster saint in dental coin flip. you talk about the

margins. not to get too much into the nitty-gritty, remember what happened with kevin mccarthy he tried to get the speakership almost two years ago. because of the slim majority house republicans had, the small group was able to deny the gavel to him for about 14 rounds and he finally won on the 15th. depending on if republicans win the house and how big the margin is, it will impact johnson and his chances of remaining speaker. if republicans do not win the house and democrats take the majority, johnson has not been clear on whether or not he would seek minority leader . i spoke to a number of house republicans on this. they do not expect he would seek the position. >> michael schnell, good to see you. still ahead, a new iowa poll just released showing the state could be in play for vice president harris poster in communication strategy worker frank luntz joins us.

we have sent it over and over again, the 2024 presidential race is a tossup. linea posters are working overtime to make sense of all of the numbers and get new data. tonight, new polling from the des moines register shows harris with a three-point advantage in iowa . still within the margin of error by cnn standards, which means no clear leader . however, it is a surprising poll to come out of iowa . posters and pulling strategist frank luntz is dennis now. frank, it is good to see you. what do you think broadly of what we are hearing out of the des moines register

poll? >> i do want to say that half of the people out there are really mad at me because they support harris and i think i am for trump. the other half a really mad at me because they think i support trump. you cannot make anyone happy. it is nice to be seen. i am not sure about the iowa poll because there are so many undecided voters. 47 to 44 means there is a most 10% that have not made up their minds . we know that is not the case. and wondering whether or not the people were pushed enough when i say undecided or do not want to make a commitment. and actually have some leaning. we have seen this in our polling only 2% of americans truly have no choice because they dislike both trump and harris. in this case, showing up significantly . it is a surprise to me. >> if you dig into these numbers, it is women who are

fueling harris's rise here. and the earlier poll in september essentially have the numbers flips. it is older and independent women that they say are driving the numbers for harris. it is also worth noting frank, is a six-week abortion ban that went into effect earlier this summer in iowa. i am curious what you make of those pieces and if they go together or they do not? >> they do go together . in fact, this is a neatly designed jigsaw puzzle . for harris to win just to turn out female voters. most particularly women 18 to 34. those who may not have an interest in politics normally. those who do not normally vote in elections. particularly first and second time voters they are brand-new to the process and they can make the difference if they turn out. and we do not know if they will or not. one of the things i am looking at most is the abortion issue. it is the

number one or number two issue among young women. it is motivating them to participate. >> let's talk about your broad thoughts as we close out the campaign season, which is a crazy thing. you said anything could sink either campaign in what is a delicate moment. tell us more about that. >> you have joe biden doing it when he called trump voters garbage. at donald trump's rally at moses where garden with the stupid comedian that made the comment about puerto rico. these are things that resonate and reverberate in the final few days. at this point, the call to both campaigns is due no -- do no harm. in trump's case, everyone that decided to vote for him has

already made that decision early. there are no undecided . his goal is to motivate and speak to the base. to make sure that every trump supporter actually casts a ballot on tuesday. for harris, there are more undecided and there is more doubt. they do not know her as well. there is more room to climb . if i am a trump strategist, i am going back to my base to make sure they participate . if i am a harris strategist, i am trying to appeal to the undecideds maybe a few republicans do not like trump. some independence who ideologically agree with republicans on economic policy, but agree with democrats on social policy. in the end, i am trying to go for those votes -- voters, who are conflicted. >> the harris campaign has said that they see in their daughter that these last-minute voters making up their minds are breaking their way, they think, in a way positive for them. what you think about that? >> this is what bothers me so

much when you put partisan -and try to be so straight. you put partisan on and everything will break their way. they will not acknowledge it is not because it will become a headline in tomorrow's sunday shows. they will say this to you . i do not see that. i saw voters -the last undecideds moving toward trump because of questions about harris and they were not happy about it. make no mistake, the final persuadable's do not like trump the person . but they are more likely to support him on inflation and immigration, which matters so much. they do like harris as an individual . not sure what she will do the first hour, day or first week. that is why they are persuadable. that is why the final 48 and 72 hours mattered so much.

>> we will see how they play out. thank you for being here. still ahead, trump and harris focus on the southern battleground states. will go back to north carolina where trump is said to hold the third rally of the day.

it is going to be a late night for trump supporters in

the battleground state of north carolina. former president headed back to the swing state for a rally in greensboro that is where alayna treene joins us live. you are getting new insight from the trump campaign. what can you tell us? >> reporter: disclaimer at the front of this jessica. this is typical . we will hear a lot of the pre-elections men from both campaigns, arguing how confident they are feeling. behind-the-scenes, that is not exactly the full picture. jason miller, i caught up with him moments ago. he essentially argued that the trump campaign is very closely watching and analyzing this early voting data that they are seeing. early voting returns . they are trying to make the case that one, they are feeling encouraged that there is low turnout currently among black voters, a key democratic that harris is doing well with. they are trying to argue that harris's performance of our with men is worse than donald

trump's performance currently with women. we have covered this extensively. i have reported on this a lot over the past several days. the trump campaign is increasingly concerned about the widening gender gap. they have so far been unable to catch up to harris's better performance with female voters . it is particularly important, noting that right now if you look at the early voting data, women are out-pacing men. i want you to listen to. trump addressed this this morning . he said the quiet part out loud about his struggles to court female voters. >> and these horrible people back there said trump is soft with women. i do not believe them. he is very good with men. thank you men. i am through the

roof with men and she is not catching us men, let me tell you. and great with men and soft with the women. >> reporter: now jessica, one thing that is clear and trump is right, is that he is doing very well with men . the question is whether or not they will turn out in numbers that the trump campaign needs for them to be successful on tuesday. that is what you will hear him continue to talk about later tonight in north carolina when he arrives on the stage behind me and throughout the next push to election day. given how incredibly close the campaign recognizes the selection will be , and how badly they need men to show up to counteract a lot of the female votes we have seen in the early voting data. >> alayna treene on the campaign trail in north carolina, thank you for that. just into cnn, we are learning the harris campaign is making a previously unannounced stop tonight in new york state. the question is why. we will have more in a moment.

city. analyst brian seltzer is joining us now. we are now learning why. >> the most obvious reason is live from new york . it is confirmed by our colleague

priscilla alvarez that harris will be on nbc saturday live in a few hours . normally, around this time, snl is going to rehearsals and of course the live broadcast just before midnight did it makes complete sense. the democratic nominee wants to be on snl the days before the election. it is like to get to fox and friends this morning. it is her chance to be on the plane with the home team. she knows snl and the actors are cheering her on. it will be interesting to see what she says . some of the comedians have been quite challenging toward harris this fall. we will see if my a rudolph and harris show up together . it does come as a surprise. and mechanics with the change in her schedule. she was supposed to fly to detroit tonight. she has a campaign event tomorrow morning in detroit at a church in michigan. will probably head

there after snl. it makes sense as things fall into place with harris. we have seen so many celebrity endorsements of harris in the past few days. you might think about her surprise appearance on snl is a part of the series of celebrity appearances. >> it was interesting to see our colleagues and reporters traveling with her saying we have been diverted to new york city and we are not sure what is going on. now, we do know. thank you so much. from the first votes to the critical count, no one covers election night in america like cnn. we have special live coverage starting tuesday at 4:00 p.m. eastern, only on cnn.

test. test. test.

tonight at 9:00 eastern, catch a new episode of have i got news for you with roy wood jr. and michael ethan black. guests will include former white house -- and sam jay. >> three facts about jeff bezos seen here guessing what number you're thinking. >> facts are, his biological father was a prominent unicyclist. he's been a guest star at several chain smoker shows. >> we know there's no such thing as a prominent unicyclist. that's not a thing. we know he can afford 1,000 pairs of cowboy boots. >> he wears like that. >> anthony thinks it's three.

tell the man why, anthony. >> well, because i know he likes the chain smokers. nobody's got 1,000 pairs of cowboy boots. >> jeff bezos' biological father was a prominent unicyclist. >> the new episode of have i got news for you airs at 9:00 eastern here on cnn. thanks so much for joining me here this evening. remember to turn your clocks back an hour before you go to sleep. i'll see you again tomorrow starting at 2:00 p.m. eastern. an encore of real time with bill maher is up next. have a great night, everyone. and now,