case scenario. i do believe that depending on who wins or loses the tenor of the conversation will change. we hope there's a concession speech and it allows people to heal and move on. to put what appears to be a divided country back on the same path. >> now have there been any specific threats? >> so far everything seems to be okay. it's what they're worried about is really interesting is the days and weeks after. if there is this tallying -- this is going to take a while to get a decision here. that's what they're worried about. that's when people sort of are going to stew and anger is going to build. they're concerned about the days and weeks after the election. >> countdown to election day continues here on cnn. it's monday, november 4th right now on this special edition of cnn this morning.

>> the day that i left. i shouldn't have left. honest ly. the former president still focused on four years ago on the eve of a new election. and this. >> america is ready for a fresh start. ready for a new way forward. >> a fresh start. the vice president trying to strike a more optimistic tone in the closing hours of the campaign. where all the polling seems to show a dead heat. a bell weather battle. what will be one of the most watched congressional races in the country on election night. 5:00 a.m. here on the east coast. a live look at the nation's capitol with one day left before election day. both

campaigns are going to be sending all of their surrogates across the country. good morning. i'm kasie hunt. it's wonderful to have you with us. in a little 24 hours from now polls open on the east coast. we're on the brink of election day 2024 in the race through the finish, vp kamala harris promising a fresh start. donald trump delivering a dark closing message. the former president casting down on an election where the results haven't even been tallied. he's priming supporters with claims the election is being stolen from him. zeroing in on the process in pennsylvania. >> can you imagine they spend all this money on machines and they're going to say we may take an extra 12 days to determine. and what do you think happens during that 12 days? what do you think happens? these elections have to be -- they have to be

decided by 9:00, 10:00, 11:00 on tuesday night. bunch of crooked people. these are crooked people. >> so to be clear the election law in pennsylvania mandates no mail in ballots can even be processed before the polls close on election day. this led to several days of counting in 2020 which eventually revealed joe biden's victory in that state and of course in the presidential election overall. trump left office after losing dozens of lawsuits challenging the results. and the violence of january 6th that disrupted the counting of the electoral votes. but now trump is saying maybe he should have never left. >> we had the safest border the day that i left. i shouldn't have left. i mean, honestly, because we did so well. we had such a great. so now i mean every polling booth has

hundreds of lawyers standing there. all about the lawyers. lawyers. somebody should have that. >> vice president harris now striking a more optimistic tone in her final rallies after calling herself the underdog since she entered the race in july. now she's saying this. >> we have momentum. it is on our side. can you feel it? and we have the momentum because our campaign is tapping into the ambitions, the aspirations, and the dreams of the american people. because we are optimistic and excited about what we can do together. >> of course momentum it's the trickiest thing to judge here in the final days. many of the major battleground and national polls have been showing a dead

heat in virtually every state for weeks now. which is why this poll out of iowa shocked so many people this weekend. the des moines register poll shows harris up 3 points among likely voters. a 7 point swing towards the vice president in that ruby red state from september. the new margin delivering what sources tell cnn is a gut punch to members of trump's team. publicly, here's what donald trump has to say about the poll. >> the polls, i'm telling you. you can make those suckers sing. you get the right pollster. and you really do inflict damage. when you do like this person from iowa. it's called suppression. it should be illegal. it's in ways it's worse than the written word which these guys do quite well, actually. >> that same iowa poll correctly predicted trump's victories in the state the past two elections. joining us now to discuss all of this, washington bureau chief for the boston globe. >> good morning.

>> wonderful to see you. election day is tomorrow. >> who could believe it, truly. >> so let's talk about where this race stands here in the final stretch. you can see there trump already running the strategy. trying to cast doubt on the results. the harris team feeling -- when i talk to my democratic sources they are feeling cautiously optimistic about where the momentum is. there had been this period where it felt like the momentum was swinging trump's direction. >> you have the new york times poll this morning that says those late breaking voters of which there are very few are breaking for harris. now will it be enough? that is the open question. even listening to those messages it's really interesting. who is the challenger because it really does sound flipped. particularly how the former president is talking. he's been sewing discontent about this election for a couple months now. look at the front page of the papers. everything

is about trying to safeguard the vote because election officials are really concerned about this. we reported it. usa today. i'm sure the times has done it as well. what you're hearing is comments about having to have the vote counted on election night. that's just, election officials have been out for months saying that's not going to happen and not because anything bad is happening. it's because good things are happening. it's because in these states where the margins are so thin, every vote has to be counted and that's going to take time. >> right. i think that's one of the things we've been trying to be clear with our viewers. when they turn on the tv on election night it's entirely possible we will not know who the president of the united states will be when they finally get tired of watching overnight and have to get a couple hours of sleep. as you point out, there is nothing absolutely nothing suspicious or sinister about that. now does that not mean there could be a scenario where we show early. sure. but the polls would have to be dramatically off and the only way we would

get there is if it's not as close as we think it's going to be, no? >> you're right. able to call early in the night, it's because it's not even close. in these other states, really, particularly somewhere like arizona, like georgia, like pennsylvania. really does -- and north carolina. it really does take a lot of time to make sure every single vote is counted. you mention that iowa poll. this is probably an indictment about who my friends are. my text chains lit up. >> mine too. >> the other night when that came through. one of the most interesting things when you dig deeper is how many women in that -- how that is making a difference. you have to wonder if that is going to be a trend. something i'm going to be watching election night. >> i mean the gender gap has been the story of this election. it's really dualing gender gaps among men and women. that question of if women -- if that gap for harris

in harris' favor really is as big as ann selzer is looking at it's going to potentially have a seismic effect across the map. jackie, thank you for kicking us off on this monday. great to see you. coming up next on cnn this morning, trump returning to old rhetoric. his campaign clarifying comments the former president made about the media getting shot. how the trump campaign appears to be laying the ground work for legal challenges ahead of tomorrow's election. a poller coaster? i don't know about that pun. iowa could be back in play this election season. when former president trump says we interviewed more democrats, that's what came out of our data. we did nothing to make that happen.

question have this piece of glass here. but all we have really over here is the fake news; right? and to get me somebody would have to shoot through the fake news. and i don't mind that so much. i don't mind. i don't mind that. >> so we've seen a version of this before. donald trump criticizing what he calls the fake news media on the eve of an election. but obviously you heard what he had to say. he was talking about people being shot. his campaign is now attempting to clean that up. the statement is this, quote the president's statement about protective glass placement has nothing to do

with the media being harmed or anything else. it was about threats against him that were spurred on by dangerous rhetoric from democrats. in fact, president trump was stating the media was in danger and that they were protecting him and therefore were in great danger themselves and should have had a glass protective shield also. there can be no other interpretation of what was said. he was actually looking out for their welfare far more than his own. of course this kind of rhetoric isn't new from trump. >> it's only bad because of the fake news. the news is really fake. that's the one we really have to straighten out. our press because we have a corrupt press. >> it's election interference fraud and 60 minutes should have taken off the air. they should. and cbs should lose its license. >> they're so nasty. they're so evil. they are actually the enemy of the people. they

really are. >> joining us now, cnn's chief media analyst. i think it's important to underscore we have heard antimedia rhetoric from trump as a feature of his time on stage. the entire way along. yesterday's remarks about the bullet proof glass and the kind of imagery around shooting not so common. last minute kind of escalation in a way of the way he talks about this. what was your reaction? >> trump's remarks rattled some of the reporters. it did feel like an escalation. and in a kind of ties together two of the themes we've seen from the trump era. this attempt to bash media and use that to rally his supporters. something just hit me as i was about to talk with you. this is a historic day. the final day donald trump will ever campaign for president in

his life. he says he will never run again. he's 78 years old. if he doesn't win he's facing possible jail time. if he does win the prosecutions go away. he says he'll only stay in for one term. he'll never be running for president again after today. he's going to try to leave it all on the field. whether people love donald trump or want to see him removed from the public field and never running for president again, this is the day. but as we think about all this, his bashing of the media and appeals to violence in some ways are the two most memorable aspects of his runs for office. it is what helps bring together his crowds. it's his appeal that the media can't be trusted only trust trump. that's been his aproetch from day one. here the final stretch we've seen this for three cycles now he seems to bash the media the most intensely in the final days before an election. maybe he's superstitious. he's getting frustrated. in the past week he has sued cbs.

he filed a grievance against the washington post. then this comment yesterday. >> you say yes it's his final day of campaigning and i do take your point, i feel like i've spent a lot of my professional career covering donald trump running for president after three rounds of this. but at the end of the day 2020 election day was not the end for him. it culminated in these two things colliding. mistrust of the media, belief in donald trump and inclinations to violence in that rally on january 6th. how do you look at this rhetoric in the context of what could be a very tumultuous period in the wake of tuesday? >> that's right. in 2020 i don't remember the same level of fear and anxiety in the country that i do this year. yes we were in the middle of a pandemic. yes, people were staying home. this year what we see in the polling and i think what all of us reporters experienced anecdotally is a

more palpable sense of fear and unease within the country. yeah, i've be talking to local reporters and local editors workingen a feature and sometimes more locally there's less of that fear than there is national scale. less than you maybe see in the polling. so i don't know what to make of that. maybe it's the closer you get to the ground the more trust there is. the more people have to live together as neighbors after all of this ends tomorrow. >> yeah, i mean, look, the bottom line is when you react -- when you interact with people in your own communities you see them face to face. humanity becomes the defining feature. that's not true when you're interacting with people on the internet. they are not the penal they really are oftentimes or that they're capable of being when there's a screen in between you. >> we need to remember that. >> we do. >> in the days and weeks ahead. maybe it's best -- i'm going to try to take my own advice.

maybe it's best to log off the internet for a little while. >> these people are your neighbors, they could be your friends. we are very much in a difficult period. grateful to have you this morning. thanks very much. coming up on cnn this morning, house speaker johnson visiting a key virginia swing district today. a man running to try to keep that seat in the hands of democrats. plus tornadoes and flooding ripping through oklahoma this weekend. the severe weather threat isn't over yet. we'll bring you that.

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24 minutes past the hour. donald trump telling nbc news that robert f. kennedy jr.'s plan to remove fluoride from the water supply quote, sounds okay. adding quote, it's possible. trump has said kennedy would take on a role handling healthcare if he's elected again. >> we are exploring a bunch of different structures that trump administration and the trump team has been very, very accommodating to give me what i want. >> rfk said trump promised to give him control of several public health agencies including the u.s. department of health and human services. and this, yikes. the king of spain pelted with eggs in the valencia region. more than 200 people died there after devastating flash floods last week. protesters calling the king a murderer. they're angry with the government's response to the disaster.

the people of oklahoma face another round of severe weather today. yesterday 11 people were injured when tornadoes and flooding ripped through the state. similar conditions expected throughout the day today. that does bring us to weather. that severe storm threat stretching across other part of the central plains today. tomorrow could be a wet election day in some parts of the country. let's get to our meteorologist. >> there were over 40 structures completely destroyed. look at this video. you can see people picking up the pieces from the inside of their homes. absolutely terrifying. there were two confirmed ef-2 or ef-3 tornadoes. that's winds of 136 miles per hour. no wonder we're seeing this damage. many tornadoes struck in the middle of the night. that obviously makes it that much more difficult to warn individuals. seven tornado reports in total.

unfortunately a few of them causing the injuries and the destruction you saw in the video a few moments ago. no rest for the weary. another round of severe weather possible today. you can see the greatest risk where we have the shading of orange that includes oklahoma city. tornadoes. some of which could be strong. ef-2 or stronger. we've highlighted the areas are we believe the greatest chance of tornadic activity exists. that is across central and eastern portions of oklahoma. right now satellite radar very busy. lots of lightning. tornado threat really ramps up later this afternoon and evening. >> good to know. thank you very much. still ahead on cnn this morning. is iowa in play? a new final poll that's predicted the state's winner for years shows momentum swinging away from the former president. the legal battle over the election already brewing. how vote counting procedures in

some states could lead todays of waiting for results.

5:31 a.m. on the east coast. it is 2:31 in phoenix, arizona. live look there. this is one of those key battleground states we'll be watching tomorrow night. 11 electoral votes up for grabs there. good morning, everyone. i'm kasie hunt. wonderful to have you with us. we've seen this page out of the trump playbook before. the former president and his allies spreading false claims about election fraud in the critical commonwealth of pennsylvania. laying ground work for a legal challenge if he loses.

>> they are fighting so hard to steal this thing. look at what's going on in your state. every day talking about extending hours. what? whoever heard of this stuff. we should have one day voting and paper ballots. >> pennsylvania does use paper ballots. >> must be some sort of misunderstanding. every voter in pennsylvania whether they vote by mail in advance of election day or vote in person on election day is voting using a voter verified paper ballot. there's a paper ballot record of every vote that's cast in pennsylvania to tabulate the results and is used in two audits to ensure those results are accurate. >> there you go. let's bring in republican election lawyer ben ginsburg to talk more about

this. good morning. you're just the person we want to be talking to here. a day out, especially since we're already hearing the former president raise all of these questions about the process. what are you expecting over the next couple of days from him and what are you focused on thinking about? what should people be aware of as they head into election night wondering when we might know the results. >> two things to keep aware of. number one is you've heard this rhetoric before. precisely what donald trump said in 2020. his campaign filed numerous lawsuits and held numerous press conferences to talk about the fraud in pennsylvania. at the end of the day they found absolutely none in any of the court filings that they made. that's important to remember. that rhetoric is likely to

continue. they do use paper ballots in pennsylvania. it was donald trump's campaign that asked for the extended voting hours in the philadelphia suburbs. so that's the sort of voracity behind that rhetoric. in terms of election night, we're not going to know the results on election night. if it's a close race. seven battleground states. three will do a good job of getting their results in. north carolina and georgia will probably be first. michigan will probably be the third. the other four states have various proceedings put into law. sometimes by republicans. sometimes by democrats that are specific policies that will delay the vote. the reason behind the policies is they want to get it right as opposed to wanting to get it quick. >> so ben, what are you seeing already in terms of advanced --

i know there's been lawsuits from the trump campaign already. and how concerned are you, we've noted nothing came of these lawsuits before. but the closer the election is the higher the risk that there is something impactful. how concerned are you about that? >> well, i think there's a difference between the noise that will come about and then the actual legal proceedings. so the trump campaign has filed a number of suits preelection to tell you what they're going to be arguing about post election. there will be a lot about ineligible voters on the rolls. there will be a lot about machines not counting correctly. there are paper ballots for all of that. there may be action about whether it's proper to certify ballots. but the important thing to remember is that to move a case forward you have to

have evidence. so far despite all the rhetoric really over the last eight years there is zero evidence of systemic fraud that would change the outcome of any election. >> really important point. to grateful to have you. thank you so much. be watching for everything you've got coming. the poll raising a lot of eyebrows in the final hours. the des moines register's ann selzer poll which has consistently predicted election results in iowa for years finding kamala harris has a three point lead over donald trump in the usually very red state. that is within the margin of error. the former president trying to discredit the findings. >> the polls are just as corrupt as some of the writers back there. they brag about it.

i got a poll i'm 10 points up in iowa. one of my enemies just puts out a poll i'm three down. everyone's called me. they said you're killing in iowa. the farmers love me and i love them. >> sources tell cnn the former president is fuming over the iowa poll and trump's advisors trying to reassure him by claiming the poll is not accurate. let's check in on that. in the last five elections this poll has only been wrong once. that was in 2004. we're joined now by cnn political commentator. welcome to both of you. i don't know about you guys but my phone lit up when this poll dropped with texts from everyone on all sides of the spectrum. ann is a well respected pollster. i still talk to a lot of people enough that i would count myself in the camp of being shocked if trump were to lose in iowa. that said, this number is significant. what are you hearing? >> this poll wasn't about iowa. that's the most amazing

thing. this poll is about what women are doing throughout the country. what white women are doing. what college educated voters are doing. it's more indicative of what's going to happen in wisconsin. there's no democrat that thinks she's going to win iowa. even if ann selzer was off by eight points and trump wins iowa by five that's a bad day. that's a bad omen for the trump campaign. what we're looking at is whatst actually going to happen in wisconsin based on this poll and that bodes well for kamala harris. >> ann has a lot of integrity putting this poll out that -- it is probably wrong. and you talk to folks in both parties. they tend to believe that because look at their actions. if they believed iowa was in play they would have said it at least vance or walz to that. nerd out for me for a second. >> go right away. >> why republicans feel this is off. most pollsters when they do polls they try to guess what

the electorate is going to be. ann doesn't do that. it's worked well for her in the past. she does -- she makes sure she get as geographic representative sample. she doesn't stop polling that area until she does. what that means is in the area where polling self-selection has gone way down. 8 or 6%. it's around 1% right now. >> explain that. >> what that means is people don't like to answer polonies more. >> got it. >> so people are sick of it. there's a whole landline issue. another day. it was a lot higher in 2016 and back then. so the problem is you get a outsized representative sample of what i think republicans informally refer to as this progressive super voter. they're the people that one of the few people that just loves answering polling calls and telling everybody that they don't like donald trump and who they love to vote for. so over indexes a lot of these polls. a couple tells from republicans that i talked to why that's the case. number

one, notice there is no recall. what they call the recall ballot biden test. in 2020 who did you vote for biden or trump. they anticipate that was the case it'd be plus 5 biden right now the way that sample was made up. number two, the issues were totally off. if if you look at the democrats that responded back. 51% democracy just 7% the economy. now look, democracy could be obviously an issue on the democratic side. that's a huge gap. so look, i'll say this. ann has a lot of integrity for putting this poll out when it's outside the norm here. >> you gave us that long nerd session but you missed one thing that's important in iowa. one of the things that's happened four years or so is you've had the overturning of roe v. wade. a controversial abortion ban in iowa go into effect. you saw the recoil of that. you actually saw a boll lot measure. you see the disapproval of dobbs at 60% in

iowa. so when you have numbers like 56% versus 36% or 56% of women supporting kamala harris versus 36% of women supporting donald trump in iowa, that is a real number. that's a real issue and iowa voters actually care about abortion. i know you said the economy and i forget the -- >> economy is at 7%. democracy 51. >> but also the top issue i would actually argue would be abortion and you saw that play out in this poll. >> matt, what do you make of the movement in this poll? i take it's very smart reading of what's going on, but that said it does show some movement in the electorate in iowa, no? >> i am skeptical of a. let's be honest. we will have all these answers in 48 hours. we can talk about polls. we can compare polls all we want. >> some of them. >> one of the other tells is that when you've looking at arizona where there is an abortion referendum on the ballot. we're not seeing those sorts of swings up there where it is essentially you could vote for abortion referendum,

for, against kari lake and you're not seeing those wild swings. there is a variation of how that works. so we can compare polls all we want. thank mercifully we will have the final answers soon. >> we'll wrap up here in a second. to each of you, what are we missing right now? what are we going to see on election night? >> i've been on the air answering this weird question about black voters. everybody's been beating that drum. donald trump hasn't improved. we saw the new york times poll he was at 9% with black voters. i think the media followed this red herring down this rabbit hole. that's not an issue. you see them coming home for kamala harris in large swaths. i don't think this is race is going to be close. i don't even think pennsylvania will matter as much as we made it out to matter. >> write it down. you heard it here first. >> i will agree. it will not drag till saturday p i will say that. >> that would be my expectation also. hey, i'm kind of out of

the prediction business. as much as people like you all told me what i should think heading into the last few elections, everyone was wrong. >> yeah. >> thanks so much. straight ahead here, he helped his brother blow the whistle on president trump and now eugene vinman is running for congress in virginia. he's going to join us live. democratic congresswoman of pennsylvania is here to tell us what she's seeing in the state that could decide the presidency.

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the balance in the house, the majority in the house will be determined by a small number of seats. it's less than 20. >> speaker mike johnson weighing in on just how close the race for control of the house of representatives will be in an effort to maintain his

fragile republican majority. johnson has fundraised in more than 20 states over the last month. calllating they'll need a boost from the party's maga base in order to win. johnson will spend his final day before the election in virginia's seventh congressional district where u gene vindman and derek anderson locked in a tight race. anderson leaning into trump's support and attacking the biden-harris administration. >> i got into this race because of the failed leadership of joe biden and kamala harris who now kamala harris was one of the ones who said she was one of the last ones in the room when it came to afghanistan. my opponent focused on his past. his revenge tour with president trump and doubling down on kamala harris and joe biden's failed policies. >> joining us now is the democratic candidate for virginia's seventh

congressional district eugene vindman. thank you for being here. >> thank you for having me. >> in the final days of the race, what is changing the minds of late deciding voters? people who hadn't made up their minds yet? >> it's about optimism versus pessimism. my opponent was just talking about looking at the past and that's what we're talking about the former president with the many maga party. we have a much more optimistic joyful message. i'm an optimist by nature. i was an immigrant fleeing from the soviet union. we've been able to build a future for ourselves. my wife and my two wonderful children i'm raising in northern virginia and that's the future that i want to preserve for my children and for all americans. >> donald trump over the weekend was at a campaign event raising the possibility saying he shouldn't have left was the quote. talking about what happened in 2020. what's your

reaction to trump's comments? >> look, this country has a long history of a peaceful transfer of power. there'll be another one coming up in january after this election and that's what we have to continue to protect and preserve. the seventh congressional district is the home of a number of founding fathers. the constitution was written by james madison a place i've had a chance to visit. this is a historic, beautiful region from the potomac to the piedmont and down the 95 corridor. the home of democracy in regards. so we're going to have a peaceful transfer of power after the election tomorrow. the election tomorrow will decide whether we go down a dark path, a path where this country has seen its best days or a bright future where we have joy and hope and optimism for what we can achieve together. >> your district is very much a bellweather. it tells us a lot. it's yes one corner of the

country, but it tells us a lot about how trends are moving, how voituriers moving. you and your family obviously have had a difficult personal history with donald trump. and yet there are still about half of americans right now who are saying that they support him. as you have been out on the trail, how do you understand that and what do you say to voters considering your own history about him? >> yeah. look, when i campaign i've campaigned in every corner of the 11th district. last week i did my closing arguments tour. 11 counties. we covered all 11 in 48 hours. i visited the tiny district that has 35 voters in it at the very corner, southwest corner. and i visited every part of the district from culpepper rodeo to nascar events from mosques to churches. i talked to all voters. i want to represent every voter in the district. and it's about listening to

voters, hearing them out. there are legitimate grievances. there are grievances associated with the economy that's not serving everybody. inflation. housing prices. we need safe high quality public schools. we need better quality infrastructure to serve this massive district. and that's what makes this such a bellweather and such a competitive district. we have a suburban ex--urban core outside of washington, d.c. and then we have vast rural swaths. we have to make our case to everybody. >> do you think that kamala harris has distanced herself from president biden in a way that is helpful for you? >> well, look, i'm running an intensely local race. i run on issues related to housing, related to grocery prices, related to inflation. we have work to do. there's been an improvement in those metrics. gas prices are down. inflation is coming down. so the cost of

housing in the sense that there's been a rate drop. but there's more work to do. so i'm running on making sure we have safe, high quality public schools. we have adequate infrastructure to serve the region and that whether it's 5g structure in the piedmont and the potomac or it's improving 95, that's what i'm focused on. the local issues. >> colonel eugene vindman. good luck to you, nonpartisan way, your opponent as well. in our next half hour, it is the epicenter of this election. the commonwealth of pennsylvania. the harris campaign taking star power to the philadelphia eagles game. plus with just one day left, donald trump still looking back in 2020 now claiming he shouldn't have left the white house. >> my world's favorite chart. done by the border patrol. it said we had the safest border in the history of our country the day that i left. i

shouldn't have left.

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it is monday, november 4th. right now on this special edition of cnn this morning. someone would have to shoot through the fake news. and i do not mind that so much. >> donald trump wraps up dark rhetoric in the final days of the election, once again going after the media and this. >> pennsylvania will be key, no doubt. >> all eyes on pennsylvania. both candidates to deliver their final candidates. >> they tell me i am down in iowa, i do not think so.

>> a new poll shows democrats winning in the hawkeye states. >> the american people want to stop the chaos and end the drama. >> live from new york it is vice president kamala harris following in the footsteps - just a few seconds before 6:00 here on the east coast. a live look at detroit with one day left before election day both campaigns sending their pp hopefuls to this important blue wall state. it is wonderful to have you with us. this is it tomorrow is election day. the first polls will open just 24