you carry it over? this is democrats frustration, how do we get virginia but we can't get north carolina? demographically they are very similar. you can even say there are some more advantages from democrats in the research triangle, younger voters, more black voters. right now the vice president has a lead that we are very early on in the state of north carolina, 59%, just want to go back for comparison 126,000 votes she has the lead. we know we are going to be at this a while. it's going to take 2.7 or 2.8 million to win the state so we have a long way to go here. let's just take one more look at battleground order before we get to the top of the hour and we are going to start seeing both come in. it's time to do some serious mad at the top of the hour. donald trump leading at the moment 182,000 votes ahead normally about a third of the vote counted and not much in yet from the atlanta suburban area. jake, in the hour ahead, a lot of votes. >> indeed. voting is about to end in 16 states and the district of columbia, the biggest round of poll closings all night, a whopping 171 electoral votes at stake including 19 in pennsylvania, the battleground that could decide the presidential election . let's bring in cnn

projections. cnn projects donald trump will win the state of florida with 30 electoral votes . that is expected. donald trump will win the state of tennessee as expected with 11 electoral votes. missouri will go to donald trump, missouri, as expected will give donald trump 10 electoral votes. here are two more projections for trump, alabama will go to donald trump with nine electoral votes and oklahoma, cnn projects, will go to donald trump seven electoral votes. we have projections for, harris as well. the commonwealth will go to harris .

on election night. you count the votes and you see what happens. but we're very, very early on in the count in ohio. and for example, a few moments ago we showed you texas as blue. that has changed just barely. donald trump just barely ahead. but that has changed as well as more votes come in. in some of these rural counties in texas. so let's come back to the states in play, and let's start in battleground georgia. it was 11,000 votes, 11,000 votes, 700 and change back four years ago. donald trump at 57%. right now. why is that? you see what? see

the red. see all that red? those are the building blocks of the trump coalition. i talked about the democratic coalition. urban areas close in suburbs. then you fight in the exurbs and farther out in the suburbs. trump's base is all these small rural counties. i'll just pick one randomly. wilcox county, 57% reporting he's getting 77% of the vote. you say, well, that's only 1500 votes. that's not a big deal. it's a big deal. if you're getting it here and here and here and here. you know, there are a lot of counties, right? you've got 159 counties in georgia, 159 counties in georgia. the democrats win 13. they carry the state, right. they're all in atlanta and other urban areas. so that's how donald trump runs it up in these little tiny counties. and so you go back. let's pick another one. jackson county, 78%. it's slightly bigger. you see the math there? 90% counted. so they're almost there 78% in 2024, 78% in 2020. donald trump's base is donald trump's base. let's just pick another one just to compare it out. hall county again, slightly bigger. you see 49,000 votes. that

matters. that matters. you're getting a vote a margin like that. that's 30,000 votes out of one county in a state that is very competitive, 73% 2024 let's just come back and look 71%. so in that county, donald trump's overperforming 2020, donald trump, which is good news for the trump campaign. now you got to add them all up in the end. and again, the key for the democrats is here. i just want to check back on fulton county. still at 53%. there, 71% for the vice president. this one. still no math. cobb county, if that one stays red, donald trump's going to carry the state. but it's not. it's still very early in the count there. you come down to douglas county a moment ago. i was talking about rockdale county. this is one of the counties the harris campaign is tracking and saying, okay, this is good news for us. why do they say that? she's about 76% of the vote count in. she's at 66%. when you round that up. and joe biden was at 62% four years ago. so again, it's relatively populous suburban area, southwest exurban area southwest of atlanta. and you're looking at the biden number. and then you look at the harris number in

those counties. and you say we're doing a little better than joe biden did four years ago. and that's good for the vice president, especially if she's going to lose a little bit in other places. if she's not matching biden in places, you want to overperform biden in, some others. so, jake, you look at the map, it's getting interesting, but we still have a long way to go. i just take one quick peek at north carolina, still at 9%. we'll keep counting. >> all right, john, let's go to boris sanchez now for new projections in the fight for control of the u.s. senate. boris. yeah, jake, a handful of projections to bring you right now, all of them holds for the incumbent party. let's start with the sunshine state of florida. their incumbent senato, rick scott. the republican, will defeat democratic congresswoman, former congresswoman debbie mucarsel-powell scott, winning a second term in the sunshine state. meantime, in tennessee, the first all female senate race in the volunteer state's history, incumbent republican marsha blackburn, will win her second term, defeating gloria johnson, a state lawmaker. meantime, in indiana congressman jim banks, he will defeat democrat valerie mccray, a clinical psychologist. this is for the open seat left by retiring senator mike braun, who

is now running for governor. let's show you some democratic holds, beginning in the northeast with the state of massachusetts. there you have incumbent democratic senator elizabeth warren seeking her third term in office. the former presidential candidate is expected to defeat john deaton, a best selling author and cryptocurrency advocate staying in the northeast. another projection to bring you for democrats in the state of connecticut. their incumbent democratic senator, chris murphy, will win his third full term in office as he defeats matthew cory, a bar owner slash teamster who has run for statewide office. now five times. the fifth time. not the charm for him. murphy wins reelection in connecticut. meantime, a projection to bring you from rhode island. there, incumbent democratic senator sheldon whitehouse, seeking his fourth term in office. he's projected to defeat patricia morgan, a democratic member or rather, a republican member of the state house. and now in vermont, the longest serving independent in congressional history. senator bernie sanders, an independent who caucuses with democrats, is expected to win his fourth term as he defeats

gerald malloy, a business executive. so what do all those projections mean for the magic number, the number that republicans need to pick up in order to take control of the upper chamber? with the one pickup in west virginia. they started out the night at two. now it's at one, and they are currently leading still early, but they are currently leading in zero races where democrats hold seats. let's take a look at some key race alerts now and get you live updates. live results as they are coming into cnn, beginning with the state of texas. this is a welcome sign for democrats. it is still early, but right now democratic congressman colin allred from the dallas area has about a 31,000 vote lead over republican incumbent ted cruz, who is seeking his third term in offic. of course, democrats love to see this, but it is still early, and this could present one of the few opportunities. for democrats

to pick up a republican seat. casey, right now with a 223,000 vote lead, still very early, though, 6% of the vote in. and it just updated a 222,000 vote lead. now for casey with 6% of the vote in in the commonwealth of pennsylvania, an update for you. one of the closest races we are expecting tonight, coming from michigan, their democratic congresswoman, elissa slotkin, 60,000 votes ahead of former republican congressman mike rogers. this is for the open seat left by retiring democratic senator debbie stabenow. 3% of the vote in in the wolverine state of michigan. so looking at the balance of power for the u.s. senate, these are the raw numbers. democrats hold 32 seats, republicans 42. with that one important pickup in west virginia. but 26 seats remain up for grabs. it's an open contest right now in the u.s. senate. you need 51 seats to control that chamber. jacob. all right,

boris, thanks so much. we're awaiting more votes in the crucial presidential battlegrounds of georgia north carolina and pennsylvania. we're watching those very early votes from michigan as well. we're also looking ahead to 9 p.m. eastern when all voting is going to end in michigan. and another blue wall battleground state, wisconsin. voting also ends soon in the key western swing state of arizona. more votes, more suspense. when election night in america continues after this quick break. election night in america and the magic wall is brought to you by aura. >> keep your finger on the puls. literally. track your sleep activity, stress and heart health with aura ring for. don't you want some more? >> cause i can feel you love.

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>> for $19, experience the cnn magic wall. find it in the cnn app today. >> it is 8:21 p.m. in the east coast, and we are getting deeper into this election. let us take a key race alert right now. pennsylvania, the commonwealth of pennsylvania, kamala harris in the lead there with 72% of the vote. donald trump has 26.9% of the vote. harris has a 240,000 plus vote lead. but it's early. only 8% of the estimated vote has come in from pennsylvania. in michigan, kamala harris in the lead there with 61.1% of the vote. donald

trump with 37.1% of the vote. harris with 58,000 plus vote lead, still early there as well. only 4% of the estimated vote has come in from michigan. in battleground georgia, donald trump in the lead with 55% of the vote, kamala harris with 44.4% of the vote, donald trump with a 275,000 plus vote lead. that's with almost half the vote in 48% of the estimated vote in from battleground georgia. in battleground north carolina, kamala harris, in the lead there with 52.1% of the vote. donald trump with 46.5% of the vote. harris has a 36,000 plus vote lead. that's with only 11% of the estimated vote in for north carolina. it is still very early in north carolina in the commonwealth of virginia. harris in the lead there, 51% of the vote. donald trump has 47.2% of the vote. harris, with a 58,000 vote or so lead. that's with more than a third of the vote in from commonwealth virginia, virginia 34% of the estimated vote. john king jake starting to

fill in more on the map. >> you start to figure out where we go. i want to caution everybody, if you look at the map as we start to fill in more as we move, at least to the midwest, you have kansas blue at the moment, very reliably red state. we'll count the votes, see what happens. remember, it shocked us after dobbs with the referendum. there. ohio is still blue. we expect as more votes come in that will swing back. but again, that's why we count votes. if you look just big picture at the moment. donald trump in an unusual position. we'll see if it holds up. at the moment he's leading in the popular vote. he of course lost the popular vote in both 2016 and by a much larger margin, more than 7 million votes in 2020. at the moment, he's 2.5 million votes ahead in the popular vote. but that's about 17% of the national vote. so we have a lot of counting to do tonight into tomorrow and beyond. it will take so let's wander through some of the battleground states. let's start in the biggest battleground prize of all. pennsylvania 19 electoral votes right there. the vice president at the moment with a big healthy lead. guess what? pennsylvania is not going to end that way. even if she

wins it, it's just too competitive a state. so why is it such a big lead? because most of the votes are from right down here in philadelphia and the democratic suburbs, but can still be instructive. number one, we're still at the same place, 87%, 17% there at 87%. we haven't moved in philadelphia. she's ahead of where president biden was four years ago. but that's a tiny percentage of votes in their early votes. so let's move up here. this is the most competitive of the three collar counties. it's delaware, montgomery and bucks. bucks has become the most competitive at the moment. the vice president is getting 66% if you round up in bucks county. but again it's 11% if the vice president ends up above 60% in bucks county at the end of the night, she's going to win the commonwealth of pennsylvania. but it is very, very early. why do i say that? because joe biden won it last time with just 52%. this is a very tough this is a good, strong trump base in bucks county. so what you see at the moment is mostly early votes. but we watch and we see one another place here is montgomery county again when i started doing this, this is where ronald reagan and george h.w. bush won elections. no more. it's a democratic stronghold now. but

you see, right now it's very early on 800 votes when you add that up. so we won't even bother with the comparison. and then you just pop down to delaware county, same issue, about 15% of the vote in. so we can take a look here. i was just here the other day in delaware county. and you see, it's overwhelmingly democratic. but you do see some pockets of trump support. this is one of the places. it's a key test. he's not going to win delaware county. can he improve his standing in the suburbs just a little bit. that's donald trump's big challenge. improve your standing in the suburbs just a little bit. 15%. he's at 24% right now. if you go back four years ago, he was at 36%. so if he stays where he is, he's in trouble in pennsylvania. but again, these are very, very, very early results. so we've been looking at this from the vice president's perspective. let's come back to 2024 and look at it from the former president's perspective. and that is these red areas out here. so this is butler county. this is where the rally was, where the assassination attempt was made on the former president's life. very small smattering of votes right here. but this is trump country. this is trump country 81% of the vote at the moment. right now you go back four years ago 67%. so

let's see. let's see. it's very, very early. so it's not i'm not making the comparison now. it's just one of the places we lay down markers and we look does donald trump match or exceed his 2020 performance in these smaller red rural counties? that is his building block in the commonwealth of pennsylvania and in all of the battlegrounds. he runs it up in the small rural areas and he goes from there. let's move down north carolina, jake, we'll take it back to you. i'll be back in a minute. >> that's right. i have a projection now. cnn has a projection, and cnn can project that. south carolina will go to donald trump. south carolina as expected to the republican with nine electoral votes. let's take a look at how that affects the electoral map. donald trump in the lead with 99 electoral votes. kamala harris has 27 electoral votes. there are 270 electoral votes needed to win. neither of them are particularly close, though obviously donald trump in the lead. >> john and jake, as you come back, you just mentioned the electoral council. let me just wander over here. it's very clear that i just want to wander

over for a minute. these are the ones that projects the states we have projected and called. and you see, as jake, just noted, 99 for trump, 27 for the vice president. we're very early takes, 270 to win. the thing you look at when you look at this map is are there any surprises? and the answer as of now is no, that the states that are red are states that trump has won consistently in their republican states, and the states that are blue or democratic states. so we have no surprises on the map at the moment, because those those states, none of those states are considered battleground states. but you always watch on election night, every now and then you get a surprise at the moment, the map is filling in as expected. as we await for the states that tend to be the swing states and the battleground states. just one point i want to note as we look big picture last time we were here, just a few minutes ago, ohio was blue, ohio has turned red. now. donald trump with a very narrow lead. but it's the trend as the as the election day votes start to come in states that are reliably one color or the other, one party or the other

she would have to make -- if she is underperforming by in there, that would be a big deal. again, i want to show you the trump base. i will pick one randomly, wilcox county, i did that one before, so let's pick another one, polasky county. 95% of the vote, 70% for donald trump. not a lot of votes, but this is what he does in rural america.

100 votes here, 100 votes there. it matters is you're trying to win about run state. let's pop up to north carolina. 51% to 48% if you round that up. this isn't incredibly competitive state. checking in on how trump is doing in the small counties. in macon county, 60% when you round up. you come back here, 60%, running a tiny bit behind, but equal to what it was before. you're looking right now battleground north carolina, battleground georgia, battleground pennsylvania, back to 2024, votes coming in slowly in battleground michigan as well. as we continue to count and check and see if anything has changed. let's take a quick look at michigan before we have to go here. 59%, but look at all the votes here. let's check here, this is kent county, a key suburban area. if trump can hold onto this one, he will win michigan, but we are very early in the count. the polls are about to

close in deep red, arkansas. cnn can project that donald trump will win the state of arkansas, as expected. donald trump in the lead with 105 electoral votes. kamala harris has 27 electoral votes. there are 270 needed to win. let's take a look at where there are states that have not been projected yet in the commonwealth of pennsylvania, kamala harris has 71.2% of the vote. harris with a 238,000+ vote lead, but it's early. only 8% of the estimated vote is in from pennsylvania. in battleground michigan, kamala harris has 57.6% of the vote, donald trump is 40.5% of the vote, harris with a 50,000+ vote lead, with 6% of the estimated vote in from michigan. still a lot of votes to be counted in michigan could in battleground north carolina, harrison the lead, 48.9% of the

vote, but donald trump bringing up the rear, harris has now is 7200, approximately, vote lead with 14% of the estimated vote in north carolina county. in georgia, donald trump in the lead with 59.4% of the vote, kamala harris bringing up the rear with 44%, donald trump with a healthy 322,000+ vote lead, with half of the vote counted in georgia. 53% of the vote counted in georgia. in virginia, kamala harris in the lead with 50% of the vote, donald trump with 42.8% of the vote. harris with a vote lead, with more than a third, 39% of the estimated vote in from virginia counted. in the state of new hampshire, kamala harris elite, 54.1%, harris with a 13,000+ vote lead, with an estimated 18% of the estimated vote out of new hampshire counted. in ohio, donald trump in the

lead, 52.3% of the vote. kamala harris was 48.9% of the vote, donald trump of the 36,000 vote lead, with an estimated 41% of the estimated vote in from ohio. now, we can make a projection and a closely watched race for governor. cnn can project the democrat josh stein will be elected governor of north carolina. stein is the current attorney general. we are projecting that he will defeat his republican opponent, lieutenant governor mark robinson, who had donald trump's endorsement. robinson's controversy became a major issue in the race, including recently uncovered, shall we call them, inflammatory posts on a foreign website for more than a decade ago. cnn projects that democrats will hold onto the governor's office in north carolina with attorney general josh stein replacing the term limited governor, roy cooper. >> one of the big questions in north carolina, is democrats were somewhat helpful that the scandal in the governor's race might help them.

the trump campaign was nervous, with robinson in trouble, would trump me impacted by that? you see north carolina, this is the presidential race, very close at the moment. only about 15% of the vote counted, so long way to go in a state we expect to be tight. it's tight from the get-go in the early count. i want to switch over and look at the governor's race. you have the democrat here at 49.4%, the democratic candidate for president, josh stein, winning 56% of the vote, so you had a lot of ticket splitting in north carolina. people voting for donald trump, who simply could not vote for mark robinson for governor. at least, at the moment, not the benefit the harris campaign was hoping for, no evidence of a giant benefit that the harris campaign was hoping for in north carolina from the scandal around the gubernatorial candidate. north carolina, georgia, we go west to arizona and nevada. 648 votes ahead. that's why we call them the battleground states.

we are only at 14% of the count. let's go west to east. 73% for the vice president. 26% reporting. joe biden came close here but lost, so she is over performing him at the moment there. you want to come over to the biggest population center, charlotte, the suburbs, mecklenburg county. the president got 67%, and you round up four years ago, you come back here, she is getting 70%. in the early count, it's neck and neck. this is one of the great tug-of- war states in the united states and we will continue to count, still at 14%. georgia at 53%, we are moving up but moving up slowly. again, trademark trump. running it up in the rural areas. we picked one randomly, you come down here, macon county. 95% in. we are close to the full count here, 87% of the vote. this is how he does it, 4000 votes to 6000 votes. when you do it in county after county after county, that adds up.

go back and take a look. donald trump is matching his performance in most of these rural counties of four years ago when georgia was incredibly close. if you matches in the rural areas, all yesterday was improve a smidgen in the suburbs or urban areas, and you are more competitive in the state. let's check the suburbs around atlanta. if trump is performing in the rural areas, as it looks like he is, the race will be settled here by the margins in the suburbs. only 16% of the vote, so let's be careful. more important is, can trump move his numbers up? 39% in the suburbs right now. gwinnett county suburbs, it was 40%. in this one suburb, he has some work to do. let's move down here to dekalb county. this is the most democratic suburb just east of atlanta, 83%. president biden had that winning the state four years ago. the vice president running behind that now, but that is not even 3000 votes, so we have a ways to go before we worry

about any comparison there. clayton county, atlanta airport, south of atlanta, big democratic stronghold. this was critical to biden coming back in georgia as they counted the votes in 2020. as the count went on into the day and the day after that, clayton county was one of the places where joe biden got a lot of votes. 85% for the vice president. about three quarters of the count. 76% right there. how does that compare to 2020? about the same. you get 85 when you round that up. here we go in georgia again. as you go through it, you've got a very competitive race. that one is competitive. i want to look at michigan. we have not spent any time here yet. only 6% of the vote in, so be careful. you are trying to look and see what happens. this is kent county. both campaigns focused on grand rapids in the suburbs. it used to be a reliably republican area. we are under 1000 votes right there. trump at the moment, but here is what you are running against. joe biden gets 52%. 2016, donald trump carried this

with 48%. if michigan is going to be very close, 154,000, the biggest lead that biden had in any of the battlegrounds four years ago. if you are donald trump, you would like to turn this red, or narrow the margin for donald trump. we will see how this plays out in 2024. come back to today's map. i was just texting with the key democrat out in michigan who said, they are a little nervous about here, not monroe county, but wayne county. turnout among democrats might be down a little bit in wayne county. that would be a problem. the african american vote in detroit, the student vote, wayne state, absolutely critical for the democratic coalition. when we get wayne county, it's always late to report, so it's going to be a while. we will see if those fears are true among democrats. if it is, the vice president has to make it up here, oakland county. again, 20 years ago, a republican suburb. 58% right now, just approaching

40%. 58%. joe biden carried michigan four years ago to 56%. that would help. if you are beau biden, maybe you get nafta makeup if you're losing a little bit in the city. we will see if that plays out as we thought. washington county, absolutely critical. young voters were critical to the biden coalition in 2020. even more critical when whitmer won re-election in 2022. it's the home of ann arbor, the university of michigan, i have been there four times over the last year, and it's gone now, the school won't allow protests here. student protests here had hurt president biden. the question was, after the switch to vice president harris, could she heal that in the democratic coalition but at the moment, 22%. 60% for the vice president right now. 72% for the president of the united states.

if that number stays that way, that's a problem. 73%, you will round that up, wash and talk county. that is something to keep an eye on as we go forward. the other day, i was also here, michigan state is in lansing. again, you are trying to get students to turn out. mostly young men. 50% for the vice president right there. you come back in time, 65% for the president of the united states. as we go through michigan, it's early. this comparison is not in cement yet, but these are the places you want to watch. at the moment, a couple of key places, that would be income county and washtenaw county. if you want to get your math up in michigan, watch those in the hours ahead. now, let's check in on the all-important race to 270 electoral votes as we head into another round of poll closings. with donald trump in the lead,

105 electoral votes. kamala harris has 27 electoral votes. obviously, 270 are needed to win. we are far from that. donald trump still in the lead. let's bring you another key race alert. in north carolina, donald trump in the lead there. 52.2% of the vote. kamala harris was 46.6% of the vote. donald trump taking the lead there the first time this night donald trump is a 69,000 vote lead with about a fifth of the vote in. 21% of the estimated vote from battleground north carolina. battleground michigan, kamala harris in the lead with 56.9% of the vote. donald trump is 41.2% of the vote. kamala harris currently has 59,000+ more votes, with 7% of the estimated vote. it is still very early. in the commonwealth of pennsylvania, kamala harris in the lead with 69.8% of the vote. donald trump is 29.3% of the vote. kamala harris with a 323,000

vote lead, but that is only 11% of the estimated vote. it is still early in pennsylvania but in georgia, kamala harris is 43.8% of the vote. donald trump is a 339,000 vote lead, with more than half of the vote in in georgia. 54% of the estimated vote in georgia. now, we are standing by for the second largest wave of poll closings moments from now at 9:00 eastern, when a total of 163 electoral votes are at stake in 50 states. 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency. all voting is about to end in arizona, colorado, iowa, kansas, louisiana, the battleground state of michigan, minnesota, nebraska, new mexico, new york, north dakota, south dakota, texas, battleground wisconsin, and wyoming. as i mentioned, michigan and wisconsin are the two battlegrounds on the line in

the hour ahead. pillars of the democrats so- called blue wall, the crumbled in 2016 but was rebuilt to help seal president biden's victory four years ago. arizona is another major battleground we are watching. we are heading into a high- stakes hour in the harris trump contest with polling places about the close in three states that could decide the race. let's go to abby phillip at harris campaign headquarters in washington. abby, voting is about to end in three battlegrounds. what is the outlook from the harris campaign? >> reporter: jake, i think the banner you have right now is pretty much where the harris campaign is, and it's early in the night. they are not seeing any clear picture of where this race is headed, just yet. for that reason, they are really focused on the battleground of pennsylvania, because that has really become the linchpin of a strategy to get to 270.

if they get pennsylvania, the rest of the path becomes much more clear. as i have been talking to people tonight, they are really waiting to see how these results, as they're coming in, really shape the picture, but right now, it's not that clear to them. i just want to be transparent about it. they have great numbers, but they are not willing to go out on a limb on any of this stuff, just yet. in pennsylvania, though, what i am hearing is a lot of optimism. they are seeing good numbers out of philadelphia. the local officials there are suggesting that harris could exceed what biden did in that city. if she is able to do that, that would make, again, her path to winning that state much more clear. >> abby phillip, thanks so much but let's go to west palm beach, florida, where we find caitlin collins. what is the trump campaign going to be looking for in the next round of poll closures? >> reporter: you just mentioned wisconsin, and that is a state they are going to be watching closely tonight. i have talked with several

campaign officials. they are not expecting to get a real sense of the numbers until later in the evening, but they will be watching wisconsin very closely. they want to see how abortion lancer, and how close the margin could be. one thing that former president donald trump will be doing that no other candidate has done is watching the returns come in from wisconsin, with someone that is also on the ballot in wisconsin. robert f. kennedy jr. fought to get his name off the ballot, but the supreme court told him no because it was too late. he was already on the ballots that people were getting in the mail. i am told that robert f. kennedy jr. is at mar-a-lago with donald trump watching these returns come in. obviously, the reason he fought to get his name of that ballot is there was a concern with the margin as small as it could be, that it could have an effect. the margins are everything in this race, as we are starting to see in these numbers. trump will be watching that come in alongside rfk jr. >> caitlin collins with the trump campaign.

let's go to david chailan, who has exit polls from michigan, wisconsin and arizona. three battlegrounds we are hoping to hear from soon. david, what stands out as you look at the data from these three key states? >> as the polls are about to close in these three critical battleground states, i wanted to look at biden's approval rating as a baseline of the environment in the states. nationally, his approval rating has been updated to 40%. in arizona, you see here, he is at 43%. he is slightly above his national approval number in arizona. if you look at michigan, he is at 42% approval. again, slightly above where he is, nationally. but, wisconsin is a different story. his approval rating, the sitting president, joe biden, is at 38% in wisconsin. that is below where he is nationally. 61% of wisconsin voters in this election disapprove of the job joe biden is doing. that total that kamala harris

is going to have to jump. >> this would've been a very different race if joe biden had stayed in it. if it ends with the trump victory, and we have no idea how it's going to end, the don't misinterpret what i'm saying, but there's going to be a lot of finger-pointing and wondering. these approval ratings for joe biden are horrible. >> 6-10 in wisconsin say they don't approve of the president. it is brutal and there is no other way to look at it that is, no question, a big headwind for kamala harris, despite the fact she has been trying to separate herself, despite the fact that she is saying that she wants to turn the page and that she is a new generation, and all of the things we heard in her stump speeches. that is a number that there is no question, the harris campaign is looking at and saying, we hope that doesn't bleed into harris in the actual votes. >> especially, since the trump

campaign tried to do an effective job in tying her to that administration, saying, not just that she was the vice president, but you were in the room, you were always there, there were all kinds of decisions, you could've made a difference and you didn't. >> of course, there was heard off on the view when she asked, what would you have done differently, and she said, nothing comes immediately to mind, which is not the best answer. jake, if i can look back, i think a lot of our viewers will be looking at this and saying, trump has 105 electoral votes, and harris has 27. there is half the country of red and a little corner of blue. i think the point we need to make is that at this moment, and i think of it as a tennis match, there are no surprises. there have been no flips. nobody has broken the serve, if you will. all the states that trump won tonight our states that he won in 2020. all the states that harris won our states that biden won in 2020.

there has been no swing state that has been flipped yet. just the way the states rollout, the republicans get a lot of the early calls and a lot of big red states, but there has not been any dramatic change. they are both on track to 270. it depends on states that are still not called. >> that's a good point. this is, pretty much, where everybody expected the race to be at this point. we still have not projected new york. we have still not projected california. there are plenty of places with a lot of delicates, -- delicates. is a surprisingly close race in virginia, which has gone blue since 2000 eight, and if you remember, trump had in late october, he had a rally and people were like, what is he doing in virginia? that is a blue state. i understand it's 49-49 right

now. >> john king said earlier, assuming she wins virginia, is she going to win it the way that hillary clinton won it with five point in 2016 or the way that joe biden won it with 10 points in 2020? i think there can be something discerned from her victory and how narrow it is one way or the other. >> just going back to the big picture, which is really important, and now we are looking at virginia, which we were talking about before, but earlier, we were looking at the returns coming in from the blue wall states. from michigan and from pennsylvania. we are finally seeing numbers. it is early, but they are important. pennsylvania. we cannot stress enough how critical pennsylvania is, that you are looking at right now. donald trump, if things go the way that they traditionally go for a republican, unlike 2020, he could win the white house without pennsylvania.

it is hard to see, and most of these paths, kamala harris winning the white house without pennsylvania. you see there, 68%. that is what she has now. it is still extremely early. >> this is a point chris is making about the larger electoral map that applies to the vote we see in virginia and pennsylvania. if kamala harris wins pennsylvania, she is not going to win it with more than 60% of the vote. that's crazy. it's anticipated to be razor thin. we are still waiting for all of the votes to come in. brew a pot of coffee, sit back. we have a lot of votes to look at. let's go back to erin burnett. voting is about to end in three of the crucial battleground states that we are watching and that you are in charge of edger battleground command center. >> reporter: michigan, wisconsin, arizona. when you're talking about 60%, it's not going to end up that way in pennsylvania. you look at that blue wall, you look at michigan.

jim pseudo-is in detroit. where you are now is the nuts and bolts. everybody wants to know how the counting is actually happening. this is an absentee ballot counting center? >> reporter: that's right. in detroit. they were expecting about 100,000 absentee ballots in detroit, but this is key, because of changes in michigan state election laws in 2022, they were able to begin counting those absentee ballots received before election day prior to election day. at this point, they have already counted 92,000 of about 100,000 expected absentee ballots and they expect windows 8000 come in over the next couple of hours, it's not going to take them long to finish up the count. we heard a short time ago that in detroit, they expect at midnight tonight or perhaps, a bit after, they will have counted, not just the absentee ballots, but early voting ballots, and voting that took

place today, as well. you are seeing the effects of that law, which allows for counting to begin as early as last monday. this is important. in 2020, the site in downtown detroit became the scene of protests and unfounded claims of fraud in the midst of that frantic absentee ballot counting, in part, because you are able to start early. we are not seeing any of those protests here now, and there will be a truck arriving in the next couple of hours, that will pull up at the door with absentee ballots collected from drop boxes around the city. again, that is not fraud, that is not vote dumping, that's part of the process of counting those votes here and they expected to move quickly tonight. >> reporter: they have said they expect to be overall, through the state of michigan faster than last time, and the secretary of state said she hoped it would be earlier than that. can long as at a maricopa county counting facility.

maricopa county, the fastest growing in the country, one of the most important counties for the entire election. >> reporter: for the entire election, that's why you have so many reporters. that's why we are watching maricopa county so closely. let's take a look at the clock. we only have a few more minutes, about seven more minutes before polls close in arizona. i want you to take a look at what we are watching here at the county. what is happening here on that split screen, that other video you are looking at, that is the inside of the vote count, the tabulation center. they are looking at the ballots, they are processing ballots. all of this is with the early vote. after the polls close, about an hour after polls close in arizona, we are anticipating to get the first results out of arizona. that will be, only, the early vote. the ballots that have been processed up until election day. and then, as the night moves on, erin, those ballots that are out at the vote centers will be

processed, counted, separated, and brought over here to the tabulation center to be processed and that information is going to start to come out, as well. it is a multistep process. it takes time. there has to be signature verification. the ballots have to be cured in maricopa county. something i want to address quickly, this is something happening right here in arizona as we watch the clock wind down. there are still long lines at some of the spots that we are watching, some of these vote centers. at mesa community college, where we were out, it is still an hour long. if you are in line when the polls close at 7:00 local time, you will still be allowed to vote. >> it's amazing that people are doing that and waiting. that is something, as you said, that everyone should be happy about. to say, i'm going to sit and wait another hour to vote. thank you very much. let's go back to the voting

desk. as these votes are coming in, people have questions about how it's happening, what's happening. pam in michigan, what are you seeing there? >> reporter: i just got off the phone with this key swing county with the county clerk, and he tells me he is hopping in his car now with a police escort to get tabulator memory sticks because they are delayed with the results coming in. why? he says there were very long lines. the polls were supposed to close at 8:00 p.m. eastern time. they had to delay closing and stay open until everyone had the opportunity to cast their votes. officials are tabulating the results right now, but the first results were supposed to be reported around 9:00 p.m., five minutes from now. i'm told by the clerk it's going to be later than that due to the long lines. according to the clerk, there were over 122,000 early votes cast in person there, and 182,000 mail-in ballots as of yesterday. they are on track to have more than 200,000 mail-in ballots, he says, but given the hype,

early voting turnout, he told me the expectation was there would be lackluster turnout. that is not the case in that key county. overall in michigan, let's look at the numbers. the secretary of state says more than 3.4 million voters cast their ballots early or by mail. that is nearly 47% of registered voters. listen to this. another 85,000 absentee ballots were returned to polling centers today. let's go to milwaukee. they have had some issues in milwaukee today. they are going to have to re- tabulate about 30,000 ballots after problems with the counting machines were discovered. all the cavalier machines were set to zero they had initially estimated the ballot count from the absentees would be done around midnight. now, more likely around 2:00 or 3:00 a.m. maricopa county, the largest county, it's taking longer than expected early ballots. the first release of 1.1 to 1.2 million ballots of those early ballots at about 10:00 p.m.

eastern tonight will only account for early votes through last tuesday, october 29th. that is less than the initial estimate that the first drop would be comprise the ballots through friday, they thought. it's going more slowly there. one more thing i want to note, i'm told they will keep up 24 hour shifts at maricopa to keep things moving. they understand how important it is to get those results out as quickly as possible. >> pam, thank you very much. you take all of that together, look at where we are, what you see, john king? >> that tells me to tell the people at home to slow down on the popcorn or make more because we are going to be at this a while. i want to start in michigan. pam was talking about macomb county, michigan this is wayne county. the reason we can't say much about michigan right now is we have zero votes in the largest population center. she mentioned macomb county, which is right here. back in the late 1980s, 1990s, they were studying reagan democrats. why were autoworkers voting for

ronald reagan for president? that debate continues out there right now. it's very early in michigan. let's come back out to the battlegrounds where we have more votes. only up to 15% of the commonwealth of pennsylvania. the vice president with a big lead. no matter who wins pennsylvania, it's not going to and a 30 point race. we will wait and try to get more in pennsylvania. this is one of the surprises. a lot of surprises right now. you see the vice president leaving in kansas, leading in missouri. even though we have already projected arkansas, those early votes.

up to 38% of the vote. trump with a narrow lead there. let's bring it up and look, five outstanding votes. your biggest outstanding votes are in the democratic area. charlotte, raleigh, durham, winston-salem, asheville, and wilmington down there. you have a very competitive race. but there's a lot of vote counting to do. and this is one of the tightest of the battlegrounds. virginia, a bit of a surprise. more counting elsewhere. >> john king, voting is about to end in 15 states. the second biggest wave of results this evening. 163 electoral votes will be up for grabs, and we're watching several crucial battlegrounds. cnn will bring you this projection right now. cnn projects that texas will go to donald trump. the state of texas, as expected,

to donald trump, with his big bucket of 40 electoral votes. cnn also projects that north dakota will go to donald trump, as expected. north dakota with its three electoral votes. two more for trump now. cnn projects that south dakota will go to donald trump. south dakota, as expected, with its three electoral votes to donald trump. and cnn projects that wyoming will go to donald trump. wyoming with its three electoral votes. cnn is not making any projections in the following states that have just closed their polls. arizona, that's a big battleground, colorado, iowa, kansas, louisiana, battleground michigan, minnesota, nebraska, new mexico, new york, and battleground wisconsin. let's look at the electoral map now. donald trump has 154 electoral votes. kamala harris has 27 electoral votes. 270 are needed to win. let's bring you a key race alert

now in battleground pennsylvania. kamala harris in the lead with 64.4% of the vote, donald trump has 34.7% of the vote. kamala harris in the lead there with 326,000 plus votes. only an estimated 16% of the vote has been counted in pennsylvania. in battleground michigan, kamala harris in the lead, 54.8% of the vote. donald trump with 43.3% of the vote. kamala harris with a 55,000-plus vote lead. that's with only an estimated 8% of the vote counted in michigan, still very early in michigan. in battleground north carolina, donald trump in the lead there now. 51.8% of the vote. kamala harris with 47.1% of the vote. donald trump with a more than 106,000-vote lead with 39% of the estimated vote counted in battleground north carolina. in battleground georgia, donald trump in the lead there. 25.8% of the vote. kamala harris with 46.6% of the vote. donald trump has a healthy 221,000-plus vote lead. that's with an estimated 66% of the vote counted in georgia,

about two-thirds of the vote in georgia has been counted. in the commonwealth of virginia, donald trump in the lead there now with 49.3% of the vote. kamala harris with 8.7% of the vote. donald trump with a 13,334-vote lead. that's with half the vote counted in the commonwealth of virginia, 50% count there had in virginia. in the state of new hampshire, kamala harris has 53.6% of the vote. donald trump has 54.7% of the vote. kamala harris in the lead there by roughly 16,000 votes. that's with about a quarter, 25% of the estimated vote counted in the granite state of new hampshire. in ohio, donald trump in the lead, 52.9% of the vote, kamala harris with 46.3% of the vote. donald trump with a 197,000-plus vote -- that's with half the vote counted in ohio, 50% of the vote counted in ohio. let's go to john king at the magic wall. john? >> jake, let's start with the context of what you just went through. i'll wander over to this wall here, to show the race to 270 at

the moment. if you're a republican, you might be saying, wow, this is a rout. if you're democrat, you may be saying, oh, my goodness, we should be worried. no, no one has broken serve yet. as in, every red state here, donald trump won in 2020 when he lost the white house. every blue state on the map so far, joe biden carried when he won the white house. what don't we have? we don't have rhode island. we don't have connecticut, we don't have new jersey, we don't have illinois just yet. long-time blue state. so as we move west and as the count advances, in new york as well, some of the most reliably blue states, this map will change in the near future, at least, that is our expectation. we'll keep an eye on it. that's the path to 270. you get there by filling these states in red and blue. so let's see, again, an unusual map at the moment, just because the vote count is early, or because we'll have the most surprising election of my lifetime. but in nebraska right now, statewide, you have the vice president winning, but you see most of the votes are out here. she's not so much worried about the state-wide vote, she would

love to win nebraska. nebraska's second congressional district is right here in the omaha area, they award electoral votes based congressional district, so eastern nebraska is what matters most to the vice president. we'll see if nebraska stays blue. to its south, the state of kansas, 29% of the vote in, but you see all of this? that's -- if you're playing legos, that's donald trump. that's how he builds his buildings, those small rural counties all across america, especially in the heartland. so kamala harris, the vice president, ahead with 52% of the vote. it's all over here. kansas city, missouri, the suburbs here, the more blue areas. the college towns and the more urban areas ins is why she's ahead right now. it's only 2% of the vote. we'll watch as that map goes in. missouri,wy started doing this in 1998, spent a lot of time in missouri with michael dukakis. it's not a battleground state anymore. at the moment, it's 51%. you see votes coming in in the suburbs to the west of st. louis, suburbs just to the east of kansas city. that's why the democrat is leading at the moment, as we go through it.

now let's get to the states that we actually think will be the battlegrounds in the end. we'll keep looking, keep looking, open to surprises here, but let's check in on the big ones. the commonwealth of pennsylvania still at 16%. this is a 30-point race, just shy of a 30-point race in a state we know will be decided by one or two points. we'll continue to watch to see. i'll check in on it to see if the vote count has gone up. it has not in a while. still 16%. michigan, we're up to 10% right now. about 53 to 45. again, if it's an eight-point lead in michigan, with you have a blowout. you expect this to be very close in the end. we're missing a lot. earlier tonight, grand rapids was red for donald trump. that's kent county out here. right now, you see, it's almost a tie right here. this is one of the battlegrounds within the battlegrounds. fiercely, formerly reliably red, now a closely fought suburban area around grand rapids. we'll keep an eye on that. still nothing out of wayne county, detroit. i want to come up here to ingham county. this is where michigan state is. if this ends the night there, donald trump will feel very good about his michigan chances. we're at 3%.

students here, state capitol, government town. should be blue by the end of the night. if it's not, that would tell you something huge. let's come to where we have more votes in these battlegrounds. i want to check on virginia again. this is our surprise at the moment. we're up to 50% of vote and donald trump with a very narrow lead. i want to do this again for people at home. most of the outstanding votes, these circles tell you, the larger the circle, the more outstanding votes we're waiting to be counted. . and the color tells you how the vote is coming in so far in that area. you see a lot of blue up here. virginia now has become a blue state because of the washington, d.c. suburbs. the places and counties within 25, 35 minutes depending on traffic drive, plus richmond and the suburbs around there. we'll see. donald trump is remarkably in play in this state. and even if it's close, it might tell you something about that's going to happen to its south in north carolina. they're not twins, but very similar, virginia and north carolina. north carolina has a higher african-american population. if you're the vice president, that's part of your base. here's donald trump with a lead,

52, 41% reporting. should the harris campaign be nervous? both campaigns will be nervous about battleground north carolina. it's going to go back and forth. again, you see, there are still some large pockets of democratic votes. also some pretty good-sized pockets of republican votes. in a battleground state, this will take a while to sort out. you can see where the outstanding votes are. let's go down and look at battleground georgia and bring that up here ight now. we're up to 56% of the vote in georgia. if you're in the trump campaign, you're thinking, i'm more than two-thirds of the vote counted, you start to feel good about a lead that good, especially in a state with 11,700 votes four years ago. let's see what's left out. where are the outstanding votes. you can see right there why in the harris campaign you're nervous, you're checking in with all your field captains and precinct and county people, but you can see those giant circles right there and another big circle over here. there are still a lot of areas that we know vote disproportionately democratic, where votes are to be counted in

georgia. i want to come back and make one more observation. you see that lead, it's a little after 9:00 on tuesday night. if you go back to 2020, donald trump was leading georgia by 244,000 votes at 9:00 on tuesday night, election night in 2020. it was 240,000 votes there, it's 242,000, joe biden carried georgia. doesn't mean kamala harris will this time, it just means we need to count all the votes. you come back out and take a look again to see if the map has changed at all. texas and florida has gone back. ohio has gone back. and that lead seems to be growing. i want to check in again on this battleground here, still at 18% there. i'm going to do something now. this is an exercise. this is an exercise. you see trump leading in north carolina and trump leading in georgia. i want to switch the map here and come over to the race for 270, okay? this is an "if." this is an "if." we're nowhere near there. we have a lot of votes to count there. but why is this so important?

when you take battleground states off the board, when we're able to project and call them, it changes the chess of getting to 270. if donald trump were to hold that, he's leading there now, it's close, it's close. there's plenty of vote still for the vice president to catch up. we have to wait to see what happens, but if donald trump takes those two, the vice president of the united states needs to win that. that's what makes the math interesting. she needs that 1 votes right there. because if donald trump gets that, donald trump gets that, it gets him to the finish line. if that happens, that becomes essential. we're not there yet, jake, but just like to do the math in our head as we go through the scenarios. >> all right, john king, and cnn can now bring you a new projection. cnn projects that kamala harris will win the state of delaware. delaware, as expected, will go to kamala harris with its three electoral votes. the small wonder state. let's take a look at the electoral vote count. donald trump has 154 electoral votes, kamala harris has 30 electoral votes, 270 electoral votes are needed to win.

let's bring you a key race alert now. in the commonwealth of pennsylvania, kamala harris has 60.4% of the vote, donald trump, 38.7% of the vote. kamala harris with a 284,000-plus vote win -- i'm sorry, lead! 284,000-plus vote lead, with only an estimated 19% of the vote in, not even a fifth of the vote. still a lot of votes to count in pennsylvania. in battleground michigan, kamala harris with 53.1% of the vote. donald trump has 44.9% of the vote. kamala harris with a 46,000-plus vote lead. only a tenth of the vote has been counted in michigan. 10%. still very early there. in north carolina, donald trump in the lead with 51.9% of the vote. kamala harris with 46.9% of the vote. donald trump with a 119,000-plus vote lead, with 41 % of the estimated votes counted in north carolina. in battleground georgia, donald trump in the lead there, 52.4% of the vote, kamala harris with 46.6% of the vote.

donald trump with a 225,000-plus vote lead. that's with 69% of the estimated vote in georgia. they're really counting the ballots in georgia there. 69% of the estimated vote has been counted. in the commonwealth of virginia, donald trump still has his 49.5% lead, now it's 49.4%. kamala harris is 48.6%. donald trump is 18,000-plus vote ahead of kamala harris right now, with more than half, 52% of the estimated vote counted in the commonwealth of virginia. in new hampshire, kamala harris in the lead with 53.3% of the vote. donald trump has 46% of the vote. that's with more than a quarter, 28% of the estimated vote in the granite state of new hampshire counted. in ohio, donald trump till in the lead there. kamala harris has 45.2% of the vote. donald trump with a 275,000-plus vote lead. that's with more than half, 52 52% of the estimated vote counted in

ohio. john king? >> let's look at the map, jake, and one of the wonders, as we get into the 9:00 hour, this will be in the 10:00 hour, the 11:00 hour, but you're beginning to see more state fill in. most of it is very early voting. but you can just see as the polls close and we go from east-to-west, you now see many more state reporting votes. let's take a peek. we've projected this one to be for donald trump. i want to show you in north dakota, these states feel they don't get respect. they're not electoral battlegrounds. i want to show people the votes. south dakota starting to fill in slowly. very early on, 1% of the vote. this is a surprise at the moment. nebraska, the vice president so far carrying the state statewide. but only at 27%, and again, most of this gray you see from about here west, rural republican farm country, where trump tends to run it up. just go back and give you the 2020 example of what i'm talking about. that's what tends to happen. we're not there yet. if that happens, when that happens, that number will change. for the vice president, what you want to do is be here.

douglas county, it's the big piece of nebraska's second congressional district. this is where you want to win. the blue dot, they call it. if she wins the blue wall, michigan, wisconsin, pennsylvania, i went backwards, but if she wins those three and nebraska's second congressional district, she can get to 270 electoral votes. we'll keep an eye on that as it plays out. first votes in wisconsin, it's red at the moment. 796 to 479. we have a long way to go in battleground wisconsin. just for context when joe biden won it four years ago, it was 1.6 million votes. we are in the fantasy stages of counting the votes in battleground wisconsin. and you watch as it plays out. one of the places we'll watch here, show you now, zero votes in yet, the green bay area, brown county. this is one of the key tests. can the vice president hold on to the president's share of white working class voters? i just want to show you as we go pack in 2020, joe biden did not win brown county, but got 46% of the vote. the margins within the margins sometimes make the difference in a battleground state.

wisconsin settled by 20,000 votes. you look at that 46% for joe biden and then you move back in time and you see 42% for hillary clinton. that makes the difference. she lost the state, he won the state. one of the things we will watch as the 2024 results come in is not just can she turn out the african-american vote in milwaukee, not just can she compete in the suburbs, waukesha, just to the west of milwaukee, but can she hold her own, just be as competitive as biden was in some of these blue collar counties? a long way to go there. let's pop over to michigan, as jake just told you, we're only at 10% there. not a lot to look at. move it up so you can see it a little bit for the at home. the vice president has pulled ahead in kent county. that's grand rapids, but it's early, and you're looking down here. i told you earlier, one of the warning signs was washta county. dearborn is over here near detroit. her question marks in michigan are young voters and arab american voters. you find the young voters here at university of michigan campus. and again, you say, wow, that's

a 30-point lead. why are we worried about that for? you're worried about it because the president of the united states had that four years ago. it's a county where if you've got to win michigan, joe biden won by 154,000 votes. you could say she has some to spare, if you will. she could lose a little bit in the coalition, but don't want to lose a lot. i was at the michigan campus just last week, they have a very aggressive young voter turnout operation there. we'll see later in the night if those numbers change at all. that's michigan. let's come back up and come over to the home state of mr. tapper, still at 20%. it's bumped up just a little bit there. what are we looking at? let's move it up just a little bit. we have some votes. erie county, as i told you earlier, 25 counties in america, twice for barack obama, then for donald trump, and flipped back to joe biden. it's a bellwether county. doesn't mean the person who wins erie county will win the commonwealth and win the president, but that's what happened in the last several presidential elections. 512 votes, just for context, it will take close to 70,000 votes to win that county. that's one of them. back to 2024 and move over here

to north hampton county, right along the new jersey border, not terribly far from allentown. the vice president is ahead there at only 22 % of the vote in. look how close it was. joe biden just barely carried it, donald trump just barely carried it four years before that. that's the way it tend to end up. we'll watch as that plays out. here's something we do want to look at is lehigh county. only 20% of the vote in here. if there is an exact from the donald trump madison square garden event, where so many insults were made about puerto ricans and mexicans and latino and hispanic americans, if you're going to see an impact, this is one of the places you might see it, right here. this is why both trump and harris went to allentown in the final days of the campaign to try to take advantage of it. we're only at 20%, but you're doing this for context. 62% of the vice president, you go back in time to lehigh county, 2020, 53%. if the vice president can overperform joe biden in lehigh county, pennsylvania, she's in good shape. we watch that as it plays only.

we're only at 20% of the vote right now, and we come down to it. where else are you looking in pennsylvania? let's bring this up. you also had the vice president door knocking in berks county. berks county, at the moment, is blue. if becker county ends the night blue, my bet would be on vice president harris winning pennsylvania. why? let's look at it. let's show you where it is. here's philadelphia, here's the closed in suburbs around it. then as you drive out, what used to be farm country, now you see the homes lined up. people moving farther out, that's the only place they can afford a home. that's places like berks county, pennsylvania. half the vote counted, 51-48. let's go back in time. that was a 53% county for donald trump in 2020, when he lost pennsylvania, and it was a 53% county in 2016, when he won pennsylvania. so if you're the vice president of the united states, you're keeping an eye on this one. if you can keep this blue, your chances to win the commonwealth improved dramatically. spent a lot of time there over

the past year. it is interesting. a lot of nikki haley voter, a lot of reagan republicans who don't like donald trump, who were tormented about voting for trump or harris. we'll keep an eye on this one. this is the number two in the commonwealth of pennsylvania. the labor vote, the blue collar vote. a smaller african-american population, but the urban vote democrats need. she's at 68%, when you look at that there, come back in time, he was 59%. again, we're early, we're early. let me come back to 2024 and come out. it's 40%. it's early, these tend to be early votes, which tend to favor democrats more. we want to wait and get more to see if that's contextual. at the moment, she's out-pacing the president of the united states in the commonwealth of pennsylvania if some key places. we'll see if that holds up. the flip side, pick one. cuyahoga county, runs it up in

small rural counties. keep an eye on that. we're still counting votes right there. is trump base turning out in the same math numbers in a place likepennsylvania. it's only 5% reporting. 75%, 71%. again, even in these small rural counties. the early vote, not a lot of democratic votes there, but a lot of it comes out in the early votes if you're follow along when they count it, so let's be careful to not make any projections, any tough, lasting analysis, but we'll keep an eye on that. virginia, every time i come out, i wait to see if virginia will flip back. we're still at 59%. the lead has narrowed somewhat. this would be a shocker. joe biden won virginia by ten points, by ten points. even if it's closer, even if the vice president comes back, let's take a peek -- yeah, the outstanding votes are still largely in democratic, the big circles are in democratic areas. the math is there for the vice president to recover. but even a close race in virginia might tell you that it's a more competitive

environment for donald trump, especially, jake, as we've talked before, can he do well in the suburbs? and then you see, we're looking at virginia, it's interesting, what lessons can we learn there? again, they're not exactly the same, but they're similar. you come down in north carolina, we're above 50% now. it's close. this is welcome to north carolina. this is what it's going to be. so you just take a look and you say, what's missing, right? where are they still counting votes? again, mecklenburg county, charlotte and the suburbs around it, african-american voters, upscale suburbs around it, key to the democratic coalition. a lot of votes there. a lot of votes in raleigh-durham, the research triangle. so you see that happening right there. and go back here and come back up to virginia. and we see 49.4, 48% there. again, pretty remarkable. 17,000 votes. again, we've got a long way to go. but joe biden won it by ten points. if you're in the vice president's camp, you're a little nervous about this. >> let's bring in david chalian to get some insights now on the

outstanding vote in virginia, which is, as of now, a little tighter than i think the harris campaign would like. >> yeah, jake, we're trying to determine how much of this vote we're looking at now is pre-election vote. our estimate right now is that we are looking at in virginia 39% of the vote that's in is pre-election votes. that, we think, at the end of the day, is going to go up to 52%. so there's still quite a bit of pre-election vote come in here. so kamala harris is winning the pre-election vote by about 17 points. so you can imagine there's real room here for harris to grow, jake. >> we have some projections right now for you at home. cnn can project that illinois will go to kamala harris. kamala harris, as expected, will win illinois and its 19 electoral votes. cnn can also project that rhode

island will go to kamala harris, as expected. kamala harris will get the four electoral votes from rhode island. so where are we on the electoral map, as of right now? donald trump has 154 electoral votes. kamala harris has 53 electoral votes. 270 are needed to win. neither of them is within spitting distance of that. let's take a look at the actual votes coming in from the battlegrounds that we have not projected, in battleground pennsylvania, kamala harris in the lead, 57.5% of the vote. donald trump, 41.5% of the vote. kamala harris with a 258,000-plus vote lead. that's with about a quarter, 23% of the estimated vote in pennsylvania counted as of now. in battleground michigan, kamala harris with 53.7% of the vote. donald trump with 44.3% of the vote. harris with a 64,000-plus vote lead, that's with an estimated 12% of the vote counted in michigan. still very early in michigan. in battleground north carolina, donald trump in the lead, 50.7% of the vote, harris with 48.1%

of the vote. donald trump with a 75,000-plus vote lead, that's with more than half, 51% of the estimated vote counted in battleground north carolina. in battleground georgia, donald trump still holding on to his lead, 52.9% of the vote. harris has 46.4% of the vote. donald trump right now with a 249,000-plus vote lead. i'm sorry, now it's a 255,000-vote lead, with an estimated 71% of the vote counted in battleground georgia. in virginia, donald trump in the lead, as of now. 49.3% of the vote, kamala harris has 48.7% of the vote. donald trump is ahead by more than 15,000 votes. that's with more than half, 56% of the estimated vote, but still a lot of vote to come in in the commonwealth of virginia. in new hampshire, harris with 53.4% of the vote, harris with an 18,000-plus vote lead with under a third of the vote counted in new hampshire. 30% of the estimated vote counted in new hampshire. in ohio, donald trump in the lead, 54.3% of the vote, harris

with 44.8% of the vote. donald trump with a 323,000-vote plus lead, with almost 60%, 58% of the vote counted in the buckeye state. now let's go to john king at the magic wall. john? >> you lay out the results, and there are some surprises there. we just want to go back and follow-up with where we were. david chalian following up with some of the outstanding vote. virginia, we know that's an early vote and that percentage will jump and the vice president is doing quite well in that vote. donald trump's lead has been shrinking. it was 16,000 not that long ago. it's 12,395 now. look at the northern virginia suburbs here. i want to show you, these circle s help us understand, where are there live outstanding votes. votes that have not been counted yet. the biggest circles are around the northern virginia suburbs. richmond and the suburbs around that, and some big republican circles here, the virginia beach area, and the exyou urbs south

richmond. you can say early on, whoa, what's happening here, but things can change quickly when large population centers report their votes. let's take fairfax county, the largest of the suburban county, the number one county population wise in virginia. look at the number where she is. 250,000. we know turnout is robust. so we should be somewhere around 2020, when we end 2024. maybe a little higher, maybe a little lower. 250,000 votes right now. so if she's winning 60-plus percent, the president was winning 70% four years ago, you have vice president harris winning 66, a little below. virginia looks like it's going to be a little more competitive this year. but just right there in that one county, there's a lot of votes still out and she's winning disproportionately in the math right now. that can change, but it generally tracks was get above 60% of the vote. just in that one county, when the votes come in, the math can change. doesn't mean it will, but there's more than enough democratic votes still

outstanding or votes outstanding in democratic areas, is the better way to put it, for that to happen. let's check in on the other battlegrounds as we go through. this one, again, go back in time, this was the closest donald trump victory in a battleground state. of the battlegrounds he won, 74483 four years ago. he's 110 ahead right now, but only at 54% of the vote. see these gray areas, that's where you have no votes in yet. we're still waiting, some of these smaller counties. this is a tenth of the population wise. it's not tiny. but the big population centers are charlotte, let's see just see how much we have. only 10% of the vote in mecklenburg county. if you're looking at this number, you're saying, okay, donald trump's got a four-point lead, 3 1/2, four-point lead in north carolina. but then you come here, it's the largest democratic area, only 10% of the vote. and look where we are, 36,000 votes for the vice president right now. you go back four years. 378,000 votes.

so we just need to slow down, where are we going here in north carolina and count more votes. there are more than enough votes out there. again, if you come out statewide and just apply the entire graphic to the whole thing, live outstanding votes, you see some republican pocks here. but where are the biggest circles? where are the biggest circles? charlotte and the suburbs, raleigh-durham in the suburbs, winston-salem in the suburbs, wilmington in the suburbs, asheville, in the suburbs. doesn't mean the vice president will win north carolina. by no means does it mean the vice president will win north carolina. it just means there are a lot more votes to be counted in areas that right now are blue and some of them blue by a pretty lopsided margin. now, just to be fair, see all of these little tiny dots? there's a lot of little tiny red dots, right? they're not going to match the vote count here and here, but there's a lot more of them. when you come out and take a look, again, i'm a broken record sometimes, but this is the wonder of donald trump. this is how he runs up the math. 72% there, only 25% reporting there. but 72% in rutherford county, right down here along the border here. let's just go back in time and

take a peek. 72%. donald trump is consistent. he is the constant in this race. in most places you look, he's getting what he got in 2020, and getting what he got in 2016. he's pretty constant and pretty consistent. the 24,000 votes there 72% four years ago, so so then you come forward there, we're only at 25%. again, fit comes in around the turnout of four years ago and stays at that centage, there's a chunk of votes there and many of these other small rural counties for donald trump. which is why we count late into the night and sometimes into the morning. sometimes 15, 20, 30 rural counties, match them up, that's how you get a battleground state. let's pop down to georgia. this one here, again, in a state decided by 11,000 votes four years ago, with 75% of the vote in, donald trump's ahead by 241,000. you start to think, oh, we're about 75% of the vote, are we at the point of no return? let's take a look. number one, how many votes does

it take to win georgia, donald trump is leading right now with 2.1 million. joe biden won it in 2020 with 2.4 million and change, and we hear turnout is pretty good down there. it could be somewhere around that, could be a little higher than that, number one. you start there. and number two, jake, you just apply, what are we baiting for? and look at the size of the blue circles. again, doesn't mean the vice president will come back and win georgia, it just means everybody, take a breath. let's count votes. you see atlanta and the suburbs around it and where most of those big circles are, which means, you know, in a place like fulton county, where 78% reporting in fulton county, that's interesting. we'll see what comes out. because of the population center, it's a big chunk of votes. but she's running at 73% right there. look at that. look at that. 72.6. 72.6. >> funny. >> it's a mirror image right there. i always look at the ones a little farther out. 80% now in cobb county, it's 57.4. go back here, you know, she's -- the question is, can he improve, is really the bigger question.

i keep focusing on her. can he improve in the suburbs? he's not there. let's come over here to gwinnett. he's 39% right now and he was at 40% -- he's close, he's close. but those little tiny margins can matter. but again, 16% of the vote there. we've got a ways to go. it's a healthy lead for donald trump, but there are a lot of votes still to be counted in this blue circle right here. >> let's bring back the map that shows where the vote is still outstanding, if you can do that. because i want to bring in pamela brown to get us up to speed on some of the outstanding votes that remain in georgia. pamela, what are you learning? >> let's talk about that. i'm just getting off the phone with gabriel sterling, a key election official in georgia. he says, give or take, there are 1.5 million outstanding votes still in georgia. again, give or take. not a precise number, but around there. let's zoom in here on gwinnett. this is a democratic stronghold. they are significantly delayed, according to zak manifold, who i just got off the phone with. he says there's an issue with their adjudication software for the write-ins on the ballots.

so that is why we're seeing such a low number. now, overall, in gwinnett, i'm told that there are 419,000 votes there. that was of 6:30. he says that number is likely going to go up. out of that breakdown, there are overall 96,000 day-of votes in gwinnett, 322,000 early votes. so if you look at the numbers here, the rough estimate of 16% of the estimated vote in, there are still roughly more than 350,000 outstanding ballots just in gwinnett alone. and then you put that into the bigger picture of what i just said, from gabriel sterling, that there's still 1.5 million outstanding ballots in georgia, give or take. jake? >> and we actually have a correspondent/anchor in the gwinnett county election center in suburban atlanta, victor blackwell. victor, what can you tell us

about the vote counting in gwinnett county? >> reporter: let me tell you what's happening right now. zach manifold, who pam just mentioned, the supervisor of elections is on the phone right now with brad raffensperger explaining what the delay is, as pamela said, it's a problem with the adjudication of some of those write-in ballots. we spoke with him just a few moments ago, at the 8:15 news conference here, in which he said said there was some delay in processing those and getting those 322,000 early in-person and absentee mail-in ballots to the state tabulation center, to that computer. it statutorily had to be there by 8:00 p.m. he says that it was just the computer system clicking down to identify the names in the write-in column for president, specifically, for that race. and there appears to be a problem with that system.

voun, they are from gwinnett county, about 72,000 votes still above 250,000 of the early in-person votes and those mail-in absentee votes that were supposed to be in more than an hour ago. and he's on the call right now to determine what happens next and explain to the secretary of state's office what they're doing and probably look for some guidance on how to move forward, jake. >> victor blackwell in gwinnett county and john king, as happens every election, human beings are fallible, machines, all the more so. >> which is why you want trusted officials to deal with the problem when it arises. and we know from 2020, georgia happens to be a republican secretary of state and these local county officials, they know what they're doing. they have a problem, they make a plan. they have a problem, they try to find a solution. where is victor blackwell? he's right here in gwinnett county, one of the most important suburbs in the atlanta area, to the northeast of atlanta. and as we note, at only 16% of the vote reported in this county

right now. so a long way to go in the count, jake. this is a place where, again, donald trump with a pretty healthy lead statewide, that's what you're waiting for. a giant basket of votes reported from there, it gives you better context about the real state of the race. >> john king, we have a projection for you at home, you people at home. cnn can project that new york, as expected, will go to kamala harris. kamala harris will be the winner of the 28 electoral votes offered from the empire state. let's take a look at the electoral vote count now. donald trump in the lead, 154-kamala harris with 81. 270 are needed to win. neither of them is there as of yet. let's go to abby phillip at harris campaign headquarters here in washington, d.c., on the campus of howard university. abby? >> yeah, jake. this group here has been here for a little while now. and they've been watching the returns as they've been coming in. you're hearing them right now cheering as they're seeing you,

a little bit delayed, calling new york for kamala harris. they want some good news tonight. can i feel the anxiety in the crowd. these are all people who want to have a party, they want to celebrate. there's been a dj playing all night long, but the results are coming in and coming in slowly, but each time a race is called for harris or she is shown in the lead in one of these battlegrounds, it is a big moment for the folks here at the kamala harris headquarters. and jake, as i'm talking right now, you can probably me hear you talking to you, but the crowd, they're excited, they're ready to go tonight. they want to see more reporting and results that they like to see. back to you, jake. >> abby phillip in washington, d.c. on the campus of howard university, where harris is holding her campaign headquarters right now. let's go to west palm beach, where we find kaitlan collins at

trump hq. kaitlan? >> reporter: yeah, jake, i should note, obviously, we are all still watching these numbers come in. there is no celebrating happening yet inside the trump campaign, but one thing that is giving them a confidence boost this hour are the numbers that you and john king were just going over in virginia. they were looking at that very closely, comparing to it president biden's numbers there in 2020, and it is making them feel good tonight. lifting their spirits. now, no one is saying that this is obviously anywhere near over yet. they are still watching very closely to the blue wall of michigan, wisconsin, and pennsylvania. donald trump calling into radio shows in wisconsin and pennsylvania in just the last few hours, as he's at his mar-a-lago club, he just spoke to supporters briefly, jake. but as he's talking to the people at mar-a-lago, who's also getting constant updates from his own campaign team. and right now, they are watching a few key indicators, including the turnout from black males in georgia and in other states, but also just watching those numbers in virginia. we'll see, jake, of course, if

that pattern continues throughout the night. >> kaitlan collins, thanks so much. john king? >> jake, a fascinating map at the moment. you just updated the electoral vote count, 154-81. you're looking at a map now, a lot of democrats will look at this map saying, wow, we're having a great night. i would say, be cautious, enjoy the moment, but be cautious. at the moment, we touched on this a little bit earlier. the vcht is still leading statewide in nebraska, but she wants to win is the second congressional district, which is right here. nebraska one of two states that awards electoral college votes bade off of congressional district. only 30% of the state. all of this gray, that's small rural farm country, beautiful parts of nebraska that tend to vote for donald trump in overwhelming numbers. let's wait to see that one play out. but then you move east, and remember was the surprise poll of the last weak of the campaign? it was the iowa poll. that showed the vice president of the united states, actually, no clear leader, but 74-43, if i have it right, a little bit ahead of donald trump, in what has been since barack obama left the scene, a reliably red state. at the moment, only 19% of the

vote in, but at the moment, democrats in iowa, and i suspect elsewhere, are saying, we told you so. but we have a along way to go in the count. so polk county is des moines, 83% of the vote, and this is almost the downside for the democrats, if you will. she's getting 56% of the vote, but you're at 83% already. but this is your biggest basket, biggest democratic stronghold, the capital of des moines. if you haven't been to des moines in ten years, it's a very different city than you might remember. a lot of young professionals, a democratic stronghold there. joe biden got 56% in des moines four years ago. so if you think, oh, wow, look at that, let's be careful and be cautious. we are waiting. ames, a college town, up here, story county, we have nothing right now. that's a place where president biden got 57% of the vote. when we get numbers here, we'll look at that. but let's see that. if the democrats are going to surprise us by making iowa much closer than it was four years ago, you'll see some math in these blue county, enthusiasm

matters in a competitive environment. we'll see what happens with iowa. again, it has been a red state for quite some time. and just to put the exclamation point on the "it's early," the state of missouri has the vice president of the united states ahead right now. missouri hasn't voted blue for president in a very long time. again, let's be open to surprises and we'll count votes. now let's come in to the battlegrounds, are we are waiting. wisconsin is blue. it was red last time. still very, very early. 18% of the vote counted. this is critical. for vice president harris, if, if, if, emphasis on if, you can win pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, hold that nebraska congressional district i just showed you, then you're the president of the united states. right? that's her easiest, no path is easy, but her easiest path is keep the blue wall. pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin. so let's move up wisconsin so you can get a better look at home. she's ahead right now at the moment, but we're only 18% of the vote. and again, john's a broken record tonight, but i want you to look up at all of those gray

areas and remind you in most of them, you're in rural trump country. so as you come back to the 2024 map, and you say, the vice president is ahead, that's where you want to be. you want to be ahead. but you've got a long way to go. what are we looking for? i'm going to do this in reverse order. because of the questions about young voters turning out, whether unhappiness with the white house over israel/gaza, israel/hamas policy would impact youth turnout. 38% in dane county, the university of wisconsin. absolutely essential for any democratic win in wisconsin, to run it up here, not just in the personal, but with the raw math. let's look. 38% of the vote, a long way to go, let's compare it to the president. president biden had 76%. keep an eye on it. don't panic yet if you're a democrat, but keep an eye on that. because the vice president needs to be as close to that as she can be. and at the moment, she's running a little bit behind that. that's dane county. that's madison. this is the biggest population center. spent a lot of time here in the past year. the big question here is, do black voters turnout, and the subset question of that is, does

donald trump make inroads, especially among black men. we did see some evidence of that from our several trips out to milwaukee. i was texting with someone in milwaukee earlier who said they thought turnout was going pretty good for the democrats. we'll see if that turns out. at the moment, 25% of the vote in, 66% if you round up, 32% for donald trump. let's go back in time knowing we have a long way to go and milwaukee sometimes reports late. if you go back in time, joe biden at 69% . trump is a little above right now where he was four years ago, she's a little behind where the president was four years ago. it's only 25% of the vote. we're not pouring cement on any of this. that's where you sayworkers, we've got to keep an eye on that we move forward. then waukesha, long has been a republican suburb. the challenge for democrats, i've been saying this about trump in the battleground states that tend to lean blue, where's trump's number in the suburbs? can he compete?

he's not going to win, was can he compete? that's the challenge for the vice president here. waukesha county tends to be a republican suburb. there she is at 40%, trump at 59%. again, you go back in time, 59% to 39% four years ago. welcome to another 20 thourkds vote rate probably in the end, in wisconsin, based on that. it's 66% of the vote in there. it's essentially matching where we were in 2020. just so you remember our history here in the blue wall, harris is leading right now. we've got a lot of vote to count right here, but i'm laughing a little bit at the 22,000 number, because if you look at that right there, joe biden won this state in 2020 by 20,000 votes. four years before that when he cracked the blue wall and became president, donald trump won wisconsin by 22,000. that, welcome to wisconsin. it's a state that tends tomargi votes. there we go, as we go through the count in wisconsin. very early there. let's come over to battleground michigan.

let me come back for a second. see that? if they stay that way -- it's early, it's early. don't call your bookie, don't make any bets, don't pop the champagne, but pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, especially if you're looking at a map where north carolina and georgia are red at the moment. they're not done either, but if you're a democrat, you're kind of a little, oh, should we be nervous about this? and you should be, wow, should we be optimistic about that? let's take it away and see what i mean by that. number one, let's start to the east and go west. up to 32% in pennsylvania. a long way to go. long way to go. i want to check on where we are in philadelphia. still at 26%. you get philadelphia over 50%, then we can start to understand what the math is elsewhere, as you go. again, you see most of the rural areas filling in for trump. that's his strength. that is his strength in pennsylvania, one of his best states. let's come up here into michigan. still only at 14% in michigan. and we have our first votes out of wayne county and it shows

donald trump with a lead in wayne county. if wayne county is red at the end of the night, donald trump is winning the presidency in a landslide. we're at 1%. this is more interesting, mccomb county, but 506 votes. trump wants to keep it somewhere around there. you can see he's at 53%. it keeps him competitive in the state, the higher above 50 he gets. it matters. this is up with of the signature key counties for vice president harris and her michigan chances. oakland county, the birthplace of moirm itt romney. used to be a republican county when i started doing this. they're just past half the vote. look at the 55%, a little behind joe biden. that can matter. that can matter. a little bit behind. biden at 443,000 votes when he won the county, and you're just checking on turnout, east at 243,000 with 54%. you're in the ballpark of similar tourpt. let's see what happens as this comes in. and you'll watch that number and

that number. tiny changes in the margins can affect the battleground states. so trump is at 43. let's do it that way. trump was at 42. it's tiny in the close states, tiny can matter. we'll keep an eye on that as we go throughout count in michigan. and one more, i was already over there earlier. let's come back out and see. the blue wall at the moment is blue. and the sunbelt states that used to be reliably red and are now battleground states at the moment are ped. we'll just check in to see if anything else came in. georgia is at 79%. president's lead is 240,000. the president's lead has come down a little bit. i want to remind everybody, in this hour, four years ago, donald trump was leading georgia by about 240,000 votes. joe biden won georgia when the votes were all counted. doesn't mean that's what's going to happen the time. it means, you would rather be ahead than behind. let's come back to north carolina, this count is coming now. this count's coming up a little

bit. you're at 177,000-vote lead. that would be a blowout. four years ago, the closest of the battleground states that trump carried, 74,000 votes then. you can see how close it was. 50-49. let's come back now and take a look. the blue then is where the blue is now except for this one, out here. i believe this one, hayward county, we're only 594%. go back in time, that was a republican county. i look out there, if anyone is out there watching, we hope you're doing all right. this is an area of the state that was hit hardest by hurricane helene and the state and the county officials and the local officials, god bless them. they did amazing things so people can vote. the more important things are can you live, get housing, food, water, things like that, but the fact that people are voting in good numbers is a testament to the state and county officials. people have heard a lot of misinformation out there, and democracy is unfolding in western north carolina. this is where it matters most if you are the democrats. and only 14% of the vote is in. you can see donald trump leading

in north carolina. but you see only 14% of the vote in in mecklenburg county. let's go through and see. the vice president is at 60% right now. you go back in time. again, if you're the vice president's camp, he lost. joe biden lost north carolina getting 67% of the vote in mecklenburg county. she at the moment is getting 60% of the vote. is that meaningful? we don't know yet. we don't know yet. it would be meaningful if we end up there, but it's only 14% of the vote right now. you come back out here. and again, that would be donald trump doing better in the suburbs. if he gets her number down from joe biden, that means that donald trump is going better with black voters and in the suburbs. we watch that. we have a long time ago. wake county is raleigh. mecklenburg. number one, population wise, wake county is number two. at 64% right there. trump's at 35. go back in time, trump at 36. she's a 62. roughly the same. roughly the same. won't make a big deal about that

now. sometimes, roughly, you have to start looking to the margins of roughly, if we get to 80 , 90% f the vote. over here to durham, your sixth largest county. raleigh, durham, the research triangle, young voters, black voters, some college-educated suburban voters in the health care industry and the other industries in the research triangle there. 81% of the vote right now with 85% in. this is where you can make a comparison. you're at 85% of the vote. you would say, okay, where are we? where was joe biden, 80%. she's matching joe biden here in a key place. trump's at 18% in 2020. we see him at 18% now. a little bit below that. this, if you're the vice president, you're matching the president. the question is, is that good enough? he lost the state by 74,000 votes. where else do you want to look. you look at the other democratic pockets. cumberland county, this is fayetteville, we're just starting. we're just starting. this is the fifth largest county in the state. so if you're the vice president, you think there's some room for growth there, because we're not there yet.

and you can see the blue in the urban areas. north carolina, along here, has developed here. these are black voters here for the most part in these democratic counties. absolutely essential to the vice president's map. and then you come down to georgia, again, in these states, you just see all of that red. not a lot of people live in those, but county after county after county after county, you run it up. and jake, just one more check, fulton county still at 80%. the georgia map, we still have the biggest population center where we're waiting to see some key results. >> all right, john. as we stand by for the next poll closings at of the hour, here's an update on the race to 270. donald trump has 154 electoral votes, kamala harris has 81 electoral votes. obviously, 270 electoral votes are needed to win. now, another key race alert. let's go to the states where we have not called. kamala harris in the lead in pennsylvania, 51.4% of the vote. donald trump has 47.7% of the vote. kamala harris has 88,000-plus

votes of a lead, but it's about 35% of the votes that's been counted in pennsylvania. about a third. still a lot of votes to count in pennsylvania. michigan, kamala harris has 52% of the vote, donald trump has 46.1% of the vote. kamala harris with a 49,000-plus vote lead. that's with only an estimated 15% of the vote counted in the battleground of michigan. in wisconsin, another battleground, kamala harris, 52.2% of the vote, donald trump, 46.1% of the vote. harris with a 52,000-plus vote lead, but only 27% of the vote counted in wisconsin, still very early in wisconsin. battleground north carolina, donald trump still in the lead there with 52.1% of the vote, kamala harris has 46.7% of the vote. donald trump with a 201,000-plus vote lead as of now, with 64% of the estimated vote counted in the battleground of north carolina. in battleground georgia, donald trump in the lead, 54.9%, kamala harris, 47.1% of the vote.

donald trump with a 208,000 plus vote lead. that's 79% of the estimated vote in georgia counted. still a lot to count there. but a lot of votes are already counted. in the commonwealth of virginia, donald trump -- in the commonwealth of virginia, donald trump has 49.5% of the vote. kamala harris has 48.6% of the vote. that is a 27, a 28,000-now vote lead with 63% of the vote counted. i am going to now bring you a projection. and cnn can project louisiana will go to donald trump. louisiana with its eight electoral votes, as expected, to donald trump. let's see what that impact is on the electoral vote count. donald trump has 162 votes, electoral votes. kamala harris has 81 electoral votes. she has exactly half, 270 votes are needed to win.

we're getting deeper into the night and another round of results. we're getting -- we're counting down to the top of the hour, 10:00 p.m. eastern, when 16 electoral votes are on the line in three states. every vote is vital to get to the winning total of 270. polling places are about to close in manhattan and battleground nevada and utah. nevada is the key battleground to watch in the next hour. kamala harris fighting to hold on to nevada for the democrats, a state that donald trump narrowly lost in 2020 and in 2016. as we await the end of voting in nevada, let's check in with jim acosta who's at a polling place in las vegas. jim, you have new information from the nevada secretary of state. >> reporter: yeah, jake. one interesting development that has emerged here in nevada is they're running into a problem with some of the mail-in ballots that have come in so far. some of the signatures have been an issue. and election workers are now reaching out to some of those folks out there who have signature issues. your signatures need to match

those that are on file with the state. an interesting anecdote here, one of the problems that they're running into is that a lot of young voters don't know how to sign their names. and so when they sign their names on some of these ballots, they are not jiving with what state officials have on file. so they're frantically reaching out to a lot of young voters across the state of nevada to say, hey, wait a minute, hopefully they're looking at their texts and saying, hey, wait a minute, there's a problem with your ballot, you need to check in with the state and make sure that your signature is verified so your ballot can be counted. . that is one that i ing they're looking at at this point. they do have several days to work that out. and as you mentioned, jake, the polls are about to close here in nevada. if you're still in line, you can stay in line. we heard out in nye county, they have a line about two and a half hours line. that process is going to go well into the night in that county as well as here in las vegas, jake? >> jim acosta in las vegas, thanks so much.

let's go to kyung lah in phoenix. kyung? >> reporter: we're in maricopa county, phoenix, and the most populous county, jake, in this entire state, as maricopa county goes, so does the rest of arizona. that is why we are here and we are watching the clock. in just minutes, in about eight to ten minutes, we are hearing that the county will be reporting its very first batch of election results. 11 electoral votes on the line here out of arizona, maricopa county, will give us a strong indication after that first drop. but it takes a long time to count all of the ballots. the first drop that we're going to see, the first result will be the early vote that has counted before election day. and it's not all of them, but it is a majority of them. the early vote that is counted before election day. that is what we are going to know in just minutes. we are watching to see ways happening. and the sense that we are getting, jake, from all of the election officials we've spoken to here in maricopa county is

that they are overwhelmingly pleased that there hasn't been major, major problems here in this county. things have gone relatively smoothly. yes, there have been some small issues here and there. overwhelmingly, they say this has gone fairly well, and they are really looking forward to continuing to keep that going, as they go lout throughout the . after that first report, we are expecting to hear further reports as that in-person vote from today starts to come in. >> kyung lah in phoenix, arizona, big battleground out west. david chalian has exit polling from nevada. david, what are you learning about nevada voters and the issues that they're focused on? >> well, the democracy, democracy and the economy are battling for that top spot. 33% of nevada voters in this election, jake, say democracy is the most important issue to their vote. 32%, basically, the same, say the economy is most important. then that is followed by immigration at 15%, abortion at

11%, and foreign policy down in the single digits. your family's financial situation, is it for better or e than four years ago? a plurality nearly half of nevada voters, 48% say, it was worse than four years ago. it's worse today than it was four years ago. only 22% say it's better than four years ago, 29% say it's about the same. undocumented immigrants in the u.s. should be offered a chance at legal status or should be deported. 54%, a majority in nevada, side with the harris position on this, offered a chance at legal status. 42% in nevada side with the trump position, that they should be deported. abortion, should it be mostly legal or illegal? 68% of nevada voters, nearly seven in ten, say abortion should be mostly legal. 28% say it should be illegal. and biden's job approval rating is at 40% in nevada, 49%

disapprove. that is about where it is nationally, jake. >> all right, david, thanks so much. let's go to john king at the magic wall. >> jake, we're starting to watch now as we go further west, we have more states coming in. some of the states we talked about earlier that we thought were aberrations or early votes, you can see right here now, including kansas. kansas has gone back to being a republican state. we expect it will finish out that way. there are democratic pockets of support, mostly in the eastern part of the state. it was kansas that sounded the first alarm after dobbs when the amendment passed out there protecting abortion rights. so we'll watch the results margin. we expect kansas will be a red state at the end of the night. but we'll keep an eye on that to see about that. you keep coming forward. here's the up with that's interesting and staying interesting, but we're only at 31% of the vote, iowa, which has not been a state we've paid much attention to since barack obama left the scene, donald trump won it comfortably twice, the harris lead is shrinking a little bit, but still ahead in iowa, 51% to 48%. and if you look, i said earlier, we were at 83% in pockett, we're

still there. that's the bulk of your democratic vote. you start moving down, come over here to cedar rapids, you're only at 34% of the vote. if this one is competitive, it would be a surprise, and election night surprises are always interesting. you can see there, dubuque county there. we'll see how that plays out, as we go forward. for now, over to the bigger battlegrounds, if you're in the harris campaign, we're not done by any means. but if north carolina and georgia, trump's ahead there, you would rather be the candidate ahead in the blue wall states. 34%, a little more than a third of the vote counted. green bay, blue collar workers. kamala harris is not going to win brown county. is question is, can she compete? we're only at 12%, we have to do this a little bit later. joe biden has 45%.

assist key test of white blue collar workers. can the vice president of the united states try to at least come close to where the president was? at the moment, she is not. but it's very early in the count right there. again, the foundation of any democratic victory is down here in milwaukee. we're almost at half the vote right there. she's at 67% there. let's go back in time and look. the president was at 69%. it sounds like not a big deal, 67, 69. let's see. right now, we're only at 48% of the vote. if at the end of the night she's underperforming the president in milwaukee by a couple points, that can make the difference in a state that in two elections in a row has been decided by 20,000 votes. jake? >> that's right, john. voting is about to begin in the key battleground of nevada. a total of 16 electoral votes are on the line right now. and cnn can project that donald trump will win the state of montana, as expected, trump gets

montana with its four electoral votes. and cnn can project that donald trump will win the state of utah, with its six electoral votes. nevada is too early to call. a battleground state that donald trump has narrowly lost in the last two elections, but is making a big play for this election. let's look at the electoral map right now. donald trump has 172 electoral votes. kamala harris with 81 electoral votes. 270 electoral votes needed to win. neither of them is there yet. let's look at the key races now. pennsylvania, kamala harris, 49.9% of the vote. donald trump has narrowed her 20,000-plus vote lead. he's at 49.2% of the vote. more votes have come in from the commonwealth of pennsylvania. 43% of the estimated vote from pennsylvania is in. and kamala harris right now has an 18,000-plus vote lead there. kamala harris in the lead in michigan, 51.6% of the vote. donald trump has 46.5% of the

vote. kamala harris with a 46,000-plus vote lead. still only 16% of the estimated vote in michigan has been counted. in battleground wisconsin, harris is at 49.8% of the vote. donald trump is at 48.4% of the vote. she has a 15,000-plus vote lead. that's with more than a third, 35% of the vote counted in wisconsin. in battleground north carolina, donald trump maintaining his lead. he has 52% of the vote, kamala harris has 46.8% of the vote. donald trump with a 196,000-plus vote lead, with two-thirds, 66% of the estimated vote in north carolina counted. in battleground georgia, donald trump maintaining his lead, 51.9% of the vote. kamala harris, 47.1% of the vote. donald trump with a 208,000-plus vote lead. that's with 79% of the estimated vote in from the battleground state of georgia. we're now getting an update on the vote in north carolina. let's go to john king, actually, right now. john king, what can you tell us?

>> jake, you see the map. and when we get later in the night, that's when you start to see things change. by that, i'm going to refer to iowa. just a moment ago, i was showing iowa with the vice president ahead. still competitive, but you can see iowa is now red. there was that late iowa poll that showed the possibility of the vice president maybe being a little bit ahead of donald trump. no clear leader. it's a competitive poll, and this is a competitive race at the moment. 36%. this would be a surprise. we were surprised at how close virginia is. this is a surprise as well. donald trump just 3,800 votes ahead in battleground iowa, a state he carried quite comfortably by nine points, eight points four years ago. so you keep an eye on it, and you watch and see what happens there. but it's interesting on this night now. let's move over to the battlegrounds that matter at the moment. the blue wall states still being held by the vice president. the sun belt states. the north carolina and georgia are the two battlegrounds we care the most about. they are held by the former president of the united states.

this was his closest battleground win in terms of biden was the closest to him back in 2020. it was 74,000 votes. he's just under 200,000 votes right now. 66% reporting. the former president at 52% of the vote. and as you come over and join me, just to remind our viewers, still votes to be counted. we know that. so then we want to use our and the color tells you what's happening there. and at the moment, doesn't mean it will continue to be that way, you see mecklenburg county, that's charlotte and the suburbs. over here in the raleigh-durham area, winston-salem area, a little bit out of nashville. more votes to be counted there, but donald trump at the moment with a pretty healthy lead. >> you know we have one of our excellent journalists is in charlotte, is in the mecklenburg county, brianna keilar at the board of elections in charlotte. brianna, what can you tell us? >> reporter: yeah, that's right. so at this point, jake, about 100,000 ballots are in out of several hundreds of thousands of

ballots. and that really could change any moment, because we are expecting about 420,000 to 430,000 votes, which would have been early in-person votes to have been closed out and posted here to the state board of elections. so we could be seeing that literally any moment. but what we see right now is a picture of a fraction of this key county. it's about 34,000 absentee ballots that were received before 5:00 p.m. yesterday. and it's also an upload of about 70,000 election day ballots from today. and you see right behind me, you can see that red satchel right there. that is really the key here. these are being delivered by car. we're almost in sort of what is a drive-through situation here, outside of the building of the board of elections here in county. and these are delivered. these flash drives. they go inside through a very strenuous process. ultimately are uploaded to a

computer that has never, ever touched the internet, and then that is compiled and ultimately posted to the state board of elections, jake. >> all right, brianna keilar in charlotte. let's get more on north carolina from pamela brown, who's at the voting desk. pamela, what can you tell us? >> just dpegt off the phone with an official in north carolina there. this official says, look, first and foremost, it's going to take some time to get more results from across north carolina's hundred counties. he says, this is going to be close, it's going to take some time. there are counties that haven't reported yet that are red and counties that haven't reported yet that are blue. let's dive a little bit more into the numbers that we have. wake county. this is the most populous county in north carolina. it's right here. i am told, so far, more than 510,000 votes that be reported. that's according to the state's dashboard. so for context on that, there's 830,099 registered voters. that's the most. it's likely to be a lower number in the end. they're actually making some

headway there. over here in mecklenburg, home to charlotte, they're having a logjam uploading the numbers to their site, so far. things are moving quickly, so this could change, but just a second ago, there were more than 84,000 votes reported so far and for perspective, there's 857,000, 354 registered voters in mecklenburg. that's a very small fraction at last check that we're seeing bear out. and the results there, again, because they're having issues uploading on their site, which is bound to happen. and again, that city official there in the tar heel state telling me again, be patient, it's going to take some time. >> pamela, thanks so much. john king, north carolina, al of people thought that we would know pretty quickly this election season who won, but i'm not sure that we're going to know before midnight, at least. >> define "pretty quickly." compared to 2020, it could be pretty quickly, we're at the 10:00 hour. you're right. these states thought they

learned a lot of lessons in 2020. fewer mail-in votes, but human things happen. you can see the officials all out there watching this. brianna made a key point. it's so sad that we have to make it, but these voting machines are not connected to the internet, all of these conspiracy theories that people are hacking into the voting machines. whether they're democrat, republican, agnostic, they do a good job. where are we. 213,000-vote lead. it's what pam and bree just laid out. 10% of the population. the largest of the 100 counties in north carolina. so we have a long way to go, right? so the can democrat come back is the question, right? you see that healthy donald trump lead. the question is, can the democrat come back? the vice president has 65,000 votes there and a little bit of change. mecklenburg county, the winner of mecklenburg county will be over 300,000, close to 400,000 votes. we have a long way to go in mecklenburg county. >> the point you're making here is that joe biden pocketed a net of 200,000 votes last time. >> a net of 200,000 votes.

we see right now, we're waiting for a whole lot of votes. she's at 61%, and he was at 67%. if it ends that up way, donald trump will win north carolina. but there's that giant number of votes left out, so the vice president's percentage, remember, the president's 67. you know, did she get closer to 67, number one? and number two, what's the raw math in the margin? if she's below biden's number, that means donald trump's again, doing a little bit better. might only be a little bit, but a little bit is a big deal in a battleground state in the suburbs. maybe it's with black voters in charlotte. we'll have to see how that plays out. that's the biggest county. pam noted wake county is your number two. here we're higher at 76%. she's at 64%. remember, joe biden lost north carolina. only by 75,000 votes, but he lost. you're trying to figure out, how do you match that up? you come back here, and again, not a lot. the turnout might be up a little bit. maybe the winner of the county gets a little bit more than

that. you see him at 393, and more importantly, at 62% of the vote. then you come here. she was a little behind the president in mecklenburg president, was the largest. you don't want to be behind it where the most votes are, a little bit ahead. we compare her to biden, because that's the last election. every candidate has their own coalesce. if she's doing a little worse than him with some voters, can she make it up somewhere else. you can look at it this way you want. let's bring this out. where is harris overperforming biden in the state, right? this will slide away in just a second. she's only overperforming biden in the state in a very small number of counties. one, two, three, four. so does that mean she'll lose north carolina? no. it just means that she's -- we have to wait to see those votes. and we can flip the question. how about trump? is trump overperforming trump in 2020, in a lot more places, at the moment. the key to that is in these blue areas, in mecklenburg county, where we just noted. . that's where the most votes are

in the state. the biggest of the 100 counties population wise, vote count wise, is right there. and donald trump is overperforming his 2020 performance at the moment. remember how many votes are still out. at the moment, he's overperforming. and he's overperforming here in the fayetteville area. if donald trump overperforms in the urban area, where you have an african-american population, then donald trump is in better shape now than he was then. i want to remind people as question close this out. i said he's overperforming at the moment. we only have 18% of the vote. let's see if it holds up. here we only have 22% of the vote. let's see if it holds up. >> with all the caveat s that yu just said, if that were to hold, an explanation of it can come in what we've heard from both campaign that is donald trump is doing a little bit better with african-americans, especially african-american men, than he did last time. and that kamala harris is overperforming with white suburban women, which she would have in raleigh.

>> this is why i spent 15 months traveling. where's the addition? where can she perform better? for donald trump, he had two goals. number one, keep your base. in 2020, donald trump got more goals than he did in 2016, almost everywhere. where his base came out, he suffered in the suburbs. pick up as many black votes and latino votes as you can and improve your standing in the suburbs. that includes women. republicans are ripping their hair out the last we can of the campaign every day watching donald trump insult women. you know, pick your day. nancy pelosi one day, the vice president of the united states every day, women writ large some of those days. republican strategists were ripping their hair out, because they know if donald trump improves his standing in the suburbs, literally, literally by half a point, then he's the next president of the united states. and they're ripping their hair out. but as you watch through this and go through it, we'll see how it performs out. i want to keep checking here, 213,000 votes. we're still here.

mathematically, you do it this way. the big question is, are there enough votes out there for the candidate who's losing to catch up? >> a lot of blue. >> the answer is, yes, there are enough votes out there for the candidate who's losing, the vice president, to catch up. that doesn't mean she will. it comes down to, as we get more votes in those places where i said trump was overperforming, if he continues to overperform, especially in mecklenburg county, that's good math for him. but we have a ways to go in county. and that's just north carolina. let's go down to the biggest surprise -- that was very tight. the democrats in every election cycle they say, why can't we get north carolina? this was the big surprise one, it flipped, again. can we just do this for a second real quick? let's go back up. remember that. 204,000 votes. >> let's go back to 2020. this is 9:00 on election night. we're at 10:00. now we're at 10:15. donald trump was ahead by

244,000 votes in 2020. the next day, midnight, i'm sorry, midnight, as we turned, we're two hours away from that, 1:45, he was ahead by 272,000 votes, when tuesday turned to wednesday in 2020. all right? and then at noon the next day, it was down to 101,000 votes, because they were counting the mail-in ballots. and then, it flipped to the vice president on friday, joe biden flipped to him on friday, and then on saturday when the election was called, it was at 7,200. then in the end, it was tin famous 11,779. so donald trump has the same lead now roughly, 10 or 20,000 votes that he had in 2020. that does not mean that kamala harris will win georgia, it just means that she can. it just means that she can. it means that there's still math out there to do it. and we've lived through this before. 2024 will not be identical to 2020. states will count most votes faster. it's unlikely we'll wait until saturday. i say that with some hope, as we go through this.

>> look at all of those big blue bubbles. >> with donald trump 224,000 votes ahead, it's a healthy lead, especially with a state settled by 11,000 last time. donald trump will win georgia. hang on. 81%, 20% of the vote is a lot of the vote, especially when what you're looking for, the votes that are outstanding, the larger the circle, if you're just joining us, the more live outstanding votes. the color of the circle, the way the votes inside that circle are coming in. jake, you could look at this and say, you would rather be donald trump and be ahead, but there's plenty of opportunity for the vice president to make up that ground in battleground georgia, jake. >> and we have some projections for you now. cnn can project that kamala harris will win the state of colorado. colorado, as expected, will go democratic with its ten electoral votes. cnn can also project that donald trump will be the winner of mississippi, as expected. mississippi and its six electoral votes go to the republican. let's bring in the electoral map right now. donald trump in the lead, 178

electoral votes, kamala harris has 91 electoral votes. 270 electoral votes, as always, needed to win. let's take a look at the outstanding races right now. arizona joins the map of key race alerts. kamala harris has 50% of the vote. donald trump has 49.2% of the vote. that is a 50,478-vote lead for kamala harris with 49% of the estimated vote counted. kamala harris in wisconsin, 49.9% of the vote. donald trump bringing up the rear, 48.5% of the vote. kamala harris with a 19,910-vote lead with 43% of the estimated vote counted in wisconsin. pennsylvania, donald trump in the lead there now, 50.3 president of the vote in pennsylvania. kamala harris has 48.7% of the vote. donald trump with a 58,648 lead right now with an estimated 51% of the vote in pennsylvania in. georgia, donald trump in the lead there, 58.1% of the vote,

kamala harris, 47.2 pgt of the vote. donald trump with a 240,000-vote lead with 81% of the estimated vote in georgia in. in battleground michigan, kamala harris in the lead, 51.1% of the vote. donald trump with 47% of the vote. kamala harris with a 43,307 vote lead, with an estimated 19% of the vote in battleground michigan. in battleground north carolina, donald trump in the lead, 52.4% of the vote, kamala harris with 46.4% of the vote. that's with 72% of the estimated vote in. in new mexico, kamala harris in the lead, 50.7% of the vote, donald trump with 47.6% of the vote. that means that harris has a vote lead over trump with less that a third of the estimated vote in in new mexico. kamala harris takes the lead again in virginia with 49.1% of

the vote, donald trump with 49% of the vote. kamala harris with a 100118 vote lead with 61 % of the estimated votes in from virginia. john whab do you want to talk about? >> we have a changing map. we can talk about it all. let's take a quick look at virginia and what happened there. last time i was there in fairfax, that's what happened. last time i was in fairfax, it was a much lower number. depending on traffic, it can be a 40-minute drive, but a 20-minute drive at least this time of night, if we want to give ate try. these suburbs, alexandria -- >> it's a very narrow lead still. >> very, very narrow lead. so this was a ten-point race for joe biden. so you're seeing, even if harris wins it, does that tell you you have a more competitive environment elsewhere or donald trump is doing well in one state? sometimes there's that. it has a republican governor since the last presidential

election. you have to be careful about these things. let's see what's still out there. this margin is going to change. the republican votes are down there, but there's plenty of opportunity for that tie, slight harris lead, to turn into something else. it's the surprise of the night so far in terms of how close it is, but it just flipped blue. let's come back 20 minutes ago and see how we're doing. this is the most interesting one. mr. tapper's home state, the commonwealth of pennsylvania just flipped red. earlier, i was saying, the three blue wall states had stayed blue throughout the night. we are nowhere near the end. we're at 51% right here. battleground pennsylvania one of these. >> he just jumped up. she was leading there. john, i'm sorry to interrupt. we have an update on the outstanding vote in georgia and gwinnett county. victor blackwell is at the gwinnett county election center in lawrenceville. victor, what are you hearing about the vote count there? >> jake, i have the supervisor of elections for gwinnett county with me now, zach manifold.

thank you for a few minutes here. we've been told that there is a large tranche of votes that are soon going to be reported. how many and how soon? >> yeah, we're just working with the state to go over it. we have uploaded it to the state, so they're just going through it. and it should be up here in a few minutes. yeah, about 320,000 advanced and in-person and absentee by mail, they're coming. >> okay. so 323,000 and when you say minutes, you're talking five, ten minutes? >> i don't know. it's with the state, so they just -- they'll review it and then tell us when to push those results. >> reporter: and can you simplify, what in the adjudication process held up these votes for hours? >> it was just the images loading slow. i'm not sure what caused that to happen. it usually isn't that slow. it was just literally kind of ingly slow. but like i said, we got it resolved and moving forward and getting out those results.

>> this is also a problem that happened in 2020, though, was it not? >> i don't know? i was not here in 2020, so i'm not sure. i know they had issues similar, but i'm not sure. >> reporter: so this has now been resolved. we should not expect this to be a problem with adjudicating ballots moving forward? >> no, you shouldn't see this with election day. and we actually do have all 156 precincts locations, their memory cards are in the office now. so we've got everybody back. they're going to start running those memory cards now. >> reporter: so after those 323, it should move pretty quickly? >> yeah, we're expecting to it pick up. >> reporter: zach manifold, supervisor of elections here in gwinnett county, we'll send it back to you. >> let's get more on georgia from sara murray who's in fulton county. what are you hearing about the outstanding votes there? >> reporter: well, jake, for all the flack that fulton county gets for how it runs its elections, things have been going very smoothly and very steadily here tonight. they've had these memory cards

coming in, they're uploading the day-of election vote and hoping in fulton county to be able to upload all of their day-of voting by 11:00 p.m. there is another large county where things are going a little bit slower, kind of like gwinnett, dekalb county, i spoke to them a little bit ago. they said they don't have a number of a their overall election day count was, and they're not sure how long it's going to take for them to get through it. they're just chugging through it, little by little. in cobb county, another large county here in georgia, they said they still have less than a thousand absentee mail-in ballots that they had to get through. and they also had about 85,000 votes. that was their day-of votes that they were turning to. they, too, are hoping to be done by 11:00 p.m. the last one i talked to is clayton county. they were also working through their day-of voting. they had hoped to have it done by 10:00 p.m. looks like they're missing that deadline a little bit, but they were definitely saying they only had a handful of precincts left. about 13 precincts when i talked to them a half an hour ago that

they were trying to upload the day-of voting for. things seem to be going pretty smoothly. behind me, you get a sense of the process. this is where the memory cards come through. they get checked in, here with a police officer, day get ned in, and here in this glass room, here's where the memory cards are removed and we start to see them uploaded. that's t's happening in fulton county and we'll have more for you at 11:00. >> she's in fulton county, which is here. this is where the big outstanding vote is. let's come back statewide first to put it into context. the trump lead now, 170,000 votes. it has come down some. let's just walk through what we just heard real quickly. ton county, you're at 81%. this is a hugely democratic area of the state. that's where we're waiting for votes. gwinnett, county number two in terms of the population. plus, the other counties right around atlanta. any path to a democratic victory, jake, has to come there. when we get more of those votes,

we'll be able to get closer to being able to answer the question, is that lead that donald trump have safe or is there enough votes out there for the vice president not only to catch up, but pass. >> we have another projection. cnn can project that donald trump will win the state of ohio. ohio, as expected, will go to donald trump with its 17 electoral votes. what does that mean for the electoral count map? donald trump has 195 electoral votes. kamala harris has 91 electoral votes. 270 are needed to win. john king? >> jake, as we watch more of the map fill in, and, to the election, we're now 10:20 in the east and see votes as far west as mount and new mexico and arizona starting to come into the map, we haven't touched this one all night. let's take a quick look out there in arizona. i haven't say maricopa county on election night. it's very close right there. it says 50 pgt of the vote.

that's pretty fascinating that arizona is getting that vote in so fast. lest move more to the east and some of the battlegrounds that we know are absolutely key dot path to 270. and an interesting development. again, it's early, we're still counting votes, but pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, half an hour ago are all still blue, wisconsin has flipped to red by 8,000 votes and only at 47% of the votes. either donald trump is overperforming or we're filling in the rural counties. let's get a look at the map and see what we have here. let's look at the live outstanding rote.vote. a big blue dot here in milwaukee, in madison, but a lot of red dots as well. donald trump with a very narrow lead in wisconsin. welcome. two elections in a row, 20,000 votes in change. 22,000 votes, 20,000 votes. this certainly shapes up to look like we'll have another one of those. a photo finish in wisconsin. a lot of outstanding vote. it's hard to make any projections or analysis, except

to say wisconsin once again is incredibly close. so let's come back out and move over to battleground michigan. this one here, for those of you familiar, if you watch a lot of cable television, you've seen debbie dingell, the democratic congresswoman from west of detroit, washington county and ann arbor is her district, she got a lot of attention for saying she was nauseously optimistic about washington. and she said she's cautiously optimistic. cautiously optimistic is better than nauseously optimistic. this is her district right here. this is one of the things i highlighted earlier. the home of ann arbor, the home of a campus where they have a remarkable voting operation, encouraging young people to vote. encouraging students who live out of state to switch their registration to michigan, so they vote a battleground state. if you're from a state that's not a battleground state. 66% right now, if you round up for the vice president, with 60% of the vote reporting, and 73% for vice president biden. fit ends up that way, that's a

problem. doesn't mean you can't make it up somewhere else, but if you're losing votes in one key county, losing percentages, you better make them up. michigan is the one state to come back to the 2020 example. it's not wisconsin, 20,000 votes. it's not georgia, 11,000 votes. it's not arizona, 10,000 votes. it's 154,000 votes. so if you want to argue a 2020 replay, the vice president has a little more to lose in a state joe biden won a little more comfortably. if you're the vice president for the united states, you don't like the fact that washta county is so close up. now this is where you find lansing, the state capitol. the combination of those two things, the state capitol and a big university normally says that's a democratic area. it is. it's at 59% if you round up for the vice president. but go back in time, danger zone. 65% for the president four years ago. how much can she give up will

become the question you find more counties like that, where she's underperforming the president of the united states. another way to look at it is come back to 2024 and ask that question, is she overperforming the president anywhere? in a couple of places, she is. if you're losing one place, can you make up the math somewhere else? where is she overperforming? kent county. 15 years ago, even in 2016, donald trump won this county, 15 years ago, reliably republican, western michigan. you can see right now with 27% of the vote in, ump is at 32%. the vice president, 66. you go back and see the difference. but, but, we're early in the count. let's blank this out and come back up. there are places, if you're losing in one key constituency, looks like at the moment, she's losing with young voters in counties where those voters are important, can you make it up someplace else. another place i would look, the

second largest county in michigan is oakland county. this is detroit, right here. if you follow eminem, think about eight-mile road, you come up into macomb county. oakland county, she's at 64%, with six in ten votes counted. you go back in time and look, 56%. again, underperforming the president of the united states in a county that is absolutely critical. four years ago, joe biden at 56. right now, she's at 54. i said she had some to lose. and you go county by county by county, and she's a little behind. you start to worry about the math, but then you see, it's only 12%. if this one stays blue, the vice president will win michigan. this is macomb county, birthplace of the reagan democrat, if you will. it's the auto industry, a lot of union workers. the tug-of-war for the union leaders trying to convince their members to vote democratic, instead of voting for trump, this is exhibit "a" of the laboratory of that. trump tends to get 50% of the union vote. at the moment, only 12%, but the

vice president is ahead at the moment. go back to 2020, that's why i point this out. if she's losing a little bit in washta, a little bit of ingham, it would be nice to make it up in macomb. joe biden got 45% right there. the challenge for the vice president's campaign would have been happy with a 45 there, actually, if they're doing everything else somewhere. we'll watch if she can keep her lead in macomb county. here's an aberration. donald trump is not going to win wayne county. we only have a little more than 6,000 votes there when you add it up. this is detroit, but dearborn are here in wayne county. that's where hundreds of thousands of arab americans voted for joe biden in 2020. he won that vote overwhelminglying and they are wide at the white house because of israel and gaza and hamas. let's see what happens. this is 1% reporting. wayne county will be blue at the end of the night. but the margin in wayne county will matter and matter huge in deciding who wins the state again, the president of the united states, joe biden, getting 68%, donald trump just

30%. when we come to the end of the night, these numbers are meaningless. when we come to the end of the night, where's harris and where's trump? where's trump? is he getting more black voters, any of that arab american vote? last time i was out there, trump's prospects weren't great. a lot of people saying they might vote for jill stein or skip the presidential line because of their anger at the white house over that. kamala in pennsylvania, shaded red. we're not done, but for donald trump, that would be recreating the 2016 map. he's trailing in michigan. but getting close, right? he's getting close. he's at 51% right now, 106,000 votes ahead in the commonwealth of pennsylvania. only at 56% reporting. you're a long way to go. you're asking, what's missing. let's just see what's outstanding, start there. and step back and look at that. you can see, the small circle means not a lot of people live there. but you see a lot of places where donald trump is still going to get votes. a lot of rural areas you still

have outstanding votes, right? and at home, your eyes tell you, oh, look, philly in the suburbs, huge. lehigh valley, allentown, pittsburgh over there, bigger blue circles. that tells you you're right if you think that this map out there for the vice president will catch up. you're absolutely right. that means there's math out there for the vice president to catch up. but do not underestimate these. do not underestimate these. this is beaver with -- bedford county, excuse me. donald trump is getting 83% of the vote. it's not a ton of votes, but he's getting 83% of the vote. this is washington county, 72% of the vote in, trump getting 60%. let's compare it. trump getting 61. he's 61%. i guess you can argue whether or not he needs to improve on that or not. beaver county, this is key trump county. 66%. see about a 10,000-vote marpg. this is a medium-sized rural

county. some of them are a couple hundred votes. you're doing some business in a state that's very close, take 10,000 extra votes. only 33% of the vote. trump had 66%. almost more importantly, can she match joe biden? in counties you lose, you at least be competitive? can you at least pick up votes? she's at 33% in beaver county. white, working class blue collar workers. joe biden at 40%. that's a big difference. that's a big margin. again, we're not done with the count. but if you're in the vice president's campaign, and you know, you had senator fetterman out there for you trying to help you, the vice president herself was out campaigning in the pittsburgh area just the other day. you want to improve your standing there. you know donald trump is going to win those counties. you're just trying to cut into his margins in a close state. bedrock of the democrats will go west-to-east. second largest county in pennsylvania. there are 67 of them in all. again, 74%, so more votes to count in pittsburgh. suburbs surrounding allegheny

county, used to be steel county, must different diversified economy now. 61% for the vice president at the moment. come back here, 60% for the president. so a little under the president, in some of these smaller rural counties. maybe a little over the president. we'll see how this comes out as we come back. and i want to move over very quickly to look at bucks, we're only at 34%. a lot of blue votes still to be counted. still a lot of votes to be counted. chester only at 11%, and delaware only at 25. in the suburbs right around where jake tapper grew up, democratic leaning and a lot of votes still to be counted. a good number for trump now, emphasis on now. >> the points you're making are so resonant, i remember when everybody was trying to figure out, how did hillary clinton lose pennsylvania in 2016, it wasn't that she ran so much under how obama had done in 2012, although she did, it was really just how much better trump did in those rural counties than mitt romney did.

it was more the overperformance of trump than the underperformance of hillary clinton. we'll see exactly what happens tonight, of course. david chalian, what are you seeing in the exit polling about the latino vote. >> we wanted to look across all three blue wall states that john was just walking through, looking at this slice of the vote. the latino vote in the blue wall states. they only make up 6% of the electorate in each of these states, but look at the difference in the margin. harris is standingan in pennsylvania 58% of the latino vote to donald trump's 41%. that's a 17-point advantage. but four years ago, biden beat trump with latinos in pennsylvania by 42 points. so that is a huge movement for trump in narrowing that gap. similar story in michigan. you can see the latino makeup 6% -- sorry, not a similar

story. reversed donald trump is winning the latino vote in michigan with 60% of the vote, harris, 35% of the vote. that's a 25% advantage for trump among latinos. that is a big change when biden won latinos in michigan by 11 points four years ago. that's a 36-point swing in the margin. and if you look at wisconsin, again, 6% of the electorate, these margins matter. that is about where biden and trump were four years ago. not a lot of change in the latino vote in wisconsin, but a lot of change in michigan and pennsylvania towards trump. >> fascinating stuff, david chalian, thanks so much. and let's talk about this with my panel here. dana bash, your thoughts? >> i mean, pennsylvania and michigan, in particular, pennsylvania, because there has been so much focus on the latino vote in pennsylvania, especially

the puerto rican population there since the madison square garden debacle, even donald trump and the people around here, even though they're not saying publicly believe what that comedian did was not helpful, and yet, and yet, according to this exit poll, it shows that she -- let's stick with trump. that trump is doing way better than he did four years ago with that very population, the latino population overall, not necessarily with puerto ricans. >> yeah, and let's face it. even before the "garbage" remark, trump was making a very concerted effort. he thought and obviously had reason to believe that he could make some gains with atinos, particularly with latino men. i think their economic issues that all people are facing, also cultural issues. there's a real social conservative among latinos.

and one of them adds that trump and a lot of people sort of wondered about, i think played more than any other was the transgender ad. and you wonder if it did actually score with social conservatives and in winning votes for him and turning him away from kamala harris. whatever the reason, you can see tremendous gains. i mean, michigan was extraordinary. >> i think we're also used to considering this identity, where the identity that might be key is rural. i would love to hear from john where the hispanic heartland is. where are these voters, and we're looking at the blue wall for a reason, you're not necessarily having to talk about the border, you're not necessarily have to fight over your identity. you are the ideal trump voter in that you are rural and more socially conservative. >> since madison square garden, we have been talking, john king, if you're over there at the map, about two particular towns in

pennsylvania. allentown and reading. i believe it's lehigh county and berks county. do we have any sense of where the votes are there? >> so here, this map you're looking at now just shows you, it's not a very large latino population in pennsylvania. i'll put that into context in just a minute. but where you do see the deeper shagd is where you have the higher population of latino votes. you see the concentration in lehigh county, and inned in reading area, that's berks county. nationally, pennsylvania has no where are near the latino population of a florida or a texas or an arizona, but in a battleground state, a small population can make the difference, right? so let's come off of that and come back into pennsylvania, 2024. where were they? the exit polls are taken of people when we leave the polls. we're still counting votes. some of this may not have kicked in yet. people say that when they leave the polls. we don't know what precincts are in allen town. some of our people can jump at

me. the lehigh county, the tenth largest of the 67 counties in pennsylvania. it's important, it's a blue collar county. 53-45 right now. only 43% of the vote. let's watch and see if this percentage changes. but just come out of this and look at 2020. she's about matching joe biden. trump's at 46. i'll focus on him. come here, he's at 45. and berks county here, i spend a lot of time in berks county in this campaign. and it's gone back to being republican. it was blue earlier and we're at 22%. maybe a little bit more there. >> all right. we have some projections right now. cnn can project that iowa will go to donald trump, as expected. iowa and its six electoral votes will go to donald trump, cnn can project. cnn can also project that kansas will go to donald trump. kansas and its six electoral votes will go to donald trump. so that's 12 additional electoral votes for donald trump, who now has 207 electoral

votes. kamala harris has 91 electoral votes. there are 270 electoral votes needed to win. donald trump holding a sizable lead in the electoral vote, but we are expecting more votes to drop in democratic strongholds in key battleground states. we're also counting down to the next round of poll closings at 11:00 p.m. eastern, when democrats are expecting to claim a gold mine of electoral votes out west in california. that's all ahead.

as we prepare for the next round of poll closings in about 15 minutes, let's take a look at the fight for electoral votes. as of right now, donald trump has 207 electoral votes, kamala harris has 91 electoral votes. there are 270 needed to win. the results, of course, are still coming in and we have a key race alert right now. in arizona, donald trump is in the lead with 49.6% of the vote.

kamala harris has 49.5% of the vote. donald trump with a narrow lead with 51% of the estimated vote in from battleground arizona. in battleground wisconsin, donald trump is in the lead there with 49.3% of the vote. kamala harris is 49.1% of the vote. donald trump with a 4,004 -- that just increased to 5,000, to a ,056 lead ahead of kamala harris with an estimated 55% of the vote in from wisconsin. in pennsylvania, donald trump maintaining his lead, 50.9% of the vote, kamala harris's 48.1 48.1% of the vote, donald trump with a 121,000-plus vote lead. that's with 61% of the estimated vote in from the commonwealth wf pennsylvania. in georgia, donald trump maintaining his 51 -- his lead with 51.2% of the vote, kamala harris has 48% of the vote. donald trump with a 153,980-vote lead with an estimated 86% of the vote in.

in battleground michigan, kamala harris in the lead. she has 52.5% of the vote. donald trump with 45.7% of the vote. kamala harris with a more than 102,000-vote lead. that's with 7% of the estimated vote in from battleground michigan. in north carolina, donald trump maintaining his lead. he is 50.7% of the vote. kamala harris with 47.9 of the vote. donald trump is ahead with 84% of the estimated vote in in the tar heel state. in virginia, kamala harris still in the lead, 49.9% of the vote. donald trump has 48.3% of the vote. kamala harris is maintaining a 55,000-plus vote lead with three quarters of the vote in there in virginia, 75% of the estimated vote. and then in new mexico, kamala harris with 53.2% of the vote in the lead there. kamala harris has 48,589 more votes than donald trump right now with an estimated 65% of the

vote. still about a third of the vote left to count in new mexico. and boris sanchez has a new projection for us in the fight for control of the u.s. senate. boris? >> yeah, jake, a handful of important projections to bring you, beginning with history being made in the state of maryland. there democrat angela alsobrooks will defeat larry hogan. she becomes the first african-american person ever elected to the senate from the state of maryland. another projection to bring you. this one prosecute state of delaware. congresswoman lisa blunt rochester defeats eric hanson, a former walmart executive. a democrat here becoming the first woman and the first african-american person ever elected to the senate from delaware. a projection to bring you in the northeast, this time, incumbent democratic senator kirsten gillibrand, a former presidential candidate. she'll win her third term in office. let's get you some updates on the republican side, beginning with the lone star state of texas.

going into the night, democrats had optimism about potentially flipping this seat from red to blue instead. republican incumbent ted cruz wins re-election, cruising to his third term against colin allred, a congressman from the dallas area, a former tennessee titans linebacker. cruz winning by a substantial margin in the lone star state. an update now from mississippi. there incumbent republican roger wicker wins his third full term. re-election for wicker in mississippi. an update now from one of the reddest states in the country, wyoming. their incumbent republican senator john barrasso wins his fourth term as he defeats scott morro, a union official who touts his black belt in tae kwon do on his campaign white house. barrasso re-elected in wyoming. more projections to bring you, beginning in missouri. there josh hawley, perhaps best known for being the first senator to object to certifying the 2020 election results in favor of joe biden, he defeats

lucas in missouri. meanwhile, pete ricketts defeats preston love jr., a former campaign manager for jesse jackson's presidential campaign in 1984. this is to serve out the term left by retired republican senator ben sasse. an update from north dakota now. there, incumbent republican senator kevin cramer wins his second term defeating engineer, cramer elected in north dakota. what do all of these results mean for the magic numbers that republicans need to take control of the u.s. senate? remember, they started out the night needing two democratic seats to flip the chamber. currently, as of this moment, republicans are leading in four races, where democrats hold seats. but hold on, because that needs some context. two of these states are fairly early. one of them is montana and that race is expected to be competitive, but the other one is minnesota, in which we're not really expecting that close of a

race tonight. and there's also potentially a twist. i'll explain that in just a moment, as we take a look at some key race alerts. these are live results coming into cnn right now. in pennsylvania, this race has been back and forth all night. look at what separates the former ceo of a hedge fund, dave mccormack, from bob casey. 0.1 percentage point, 44,000-vote lead for mccormack, with 61% of the vote in, in the commonwealth of pennsylvania. meantime, the most expensive senate race in the country, in history, nearly half a billion dollars spent on this race. currently, colombian born businessman bernie moreno leads sherrod brown with 261,000 votes, 84% of the vote in in ohio. where mow donald trump has won the buckeye state three times in a row. this was twist i was talking about before. no one expected this senate race in nebraska would be this close. we have dan osborn, an independent, who has not said which party he would caucus

with. in fact, saying he would caucus with neither party. right now he holds a 10,000, almost 11,000 vote lead over incumbent republican deb fisher, 48% of the vote. and if he wins, it could change the map a little bit for what republicans need to take control of the senate. let's step back and give you a look at the balance of power. the raw numbers, democrats hold 49 seats, republicans one. there are 17 seats still up for grabs. you need 51 for control of the chamber, jake? >> that nebraska race is fascinating. the presidential race is moving west right now. and we are counting down to 11:00 p.m. eastern. that's when a total of 8 electoral votes are on the line. most of them are in california. polling places are about to close there and also in idaho and oregon and washington state. kamala harris is pushing on them to push her closer to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the white house. let's go back to abby phillip at white house campaign

headquarters. you and jeff have been talking to people inside the harris campaign. what are they telling you? >> yeah, jake, let me just give you a gut check here about what we are hearing here, as we've been sitting here reporting from the harris headquarters. and i think the operative word right now is silence. there's not a lot being said, because the harris team appears to be searching for bright spots in the map, as these results very very, very slowly come in. >> searching for bright spots, and very aware of the warning signs throughout the electorate. in virginia, in iowa, in other places. i am told that milwaukee and detroit and philadelphia, that is what the harris campaign tonight is holding out hope for, more votes to come in. they have always said the blue wall was the most straightforward path, now it may be the best, not only at all, only because georgia is also something that is developing tonight. >> i still hear from harris aides that feel good about

georgia, but it is very, very close. the blue wall still remains the best option for her in this moment. that's, just, jake, where things stand right now. usually, as the night impose go the campaign is trying to spin these numbers as they come pout. jeff and i have been sitting here reporting for hours. there's been a slowdown in that spin, because they really are digging into these numbers as they are coming in and trying to understand what's left out there for them, especially in these big urban centers, jake. >> this is my seventh presidential election, i would observe that when campaigns go silent, this is generally not a positive sign. kaitlan collins, you're in west palm beach. what are they saying? >> jake, much lively here, as you can see, donald trump's favorite song, ymca is playing behind me. and certainly the audience here as gotten a lot livelier in the last 45 minutes or so, jake.

we've been here for several hours, that matches the feeling back at mar-a-lago where we are hearing from trump campaign sources that they are feeling a lot more optimistic about these numbers, boosted by virginia, but also by iowa, a number that proved wrong that poll that came out on saturday and sent shock waves through the trump campaign. and kristen holmes, i know you've been talking to sources. what are you hearing about what they're thinking right now, watching this come in? >> they're starting to feel even more optimistic. a lot of them are looking at the poll numbers and they're seeing a lot of movement. some of it we've talked about on our air, but the big numbers there, latino voters. that is something that they really worked at this cycle. they believe in 2016, donald trump won the election on the back of working class voters. they believe he could win the election this time around on the back of latino voters, particularly latino men. now, one thing to watch, arizona and nevada, what do those numbers look like? he specifically in nevada reached out to latino voter.

they were trying to launch their coalition for hispanic voters in nevada. they believe that this could actually carry him in that state, which obviously he did not win in 2020. he didn't win it in 2016. but day do believe that if he wins it in this cycle, it is because of latino voters. >> very good about improving his standing with those voters from where he was, not only in 2016, but 2020, kristen holmes. and jake, i should note, a sign, you're always just kind of looking at moments to see what they mean. we're told that partygoers who were at mar-a-lago where donald trump still is right now are now filtering in here to the party at the convention center. of course, it remains to be seen if and when donald trump himself shows up here, jake. >> all right, kaitlan, thanks much. what you tell us about georgia right now? >> let's look at battleground georgia. there's a lot of red on that map, a lot of red on that map and that tells you right now with a lot of votes to be counted, this map looks a lot more like 2016 than it does like 2020. and you know at home what

happened in those two elections. but we're not done with the count. let's look in georgia. right now, the former president leading in georgia by 136,000 votes and change. right now, you're saying, what's left and is it enough? is it enough to overcome 136,000 votes. let's start with that. let's look at where our live outstanding votes are. the bigger the circle, the more votes still to be counted. the color of the circle, how are the votes coming in in that area right now. you do see a lot of big circles in atlanta and the suburbs. down here in savannah and the suburban areas around that. columbus, georgia, down here. you see some pockets of democratic votes that are still out. they're large pockets. that's a lot of votes. and if they come in in big numbers, we'll see how significantly the vice president narrows that gap. you also see a lot of these little blue dots. they're not done in the rural counties in georgia. and that matters, too. because, yes, if you get a big basket of votes, and cobb county

is at 95%. you're not going to get a ton there. fulton county is at 90%. it's the largest population center. 10% can be a lot of votes because of the population center. this is the one where we're waiting the most on. gwinnett. but they're up to 72% now. and then we'll come down here and look at dekalb county. they're at 89% now. so we have more votes to come from many this circle of atlanta and the suburbs around it that are blue, but also more votes to come fl in some of these counties out here. that one's at 94, that one's at 95, that one's at 98. that one's at 92. so you got a lot of the vote in in these places. donald trump still has some votes to pick up in the rural areas. the question is, how big are the vice president's advantages in the democratic's area. when you're down, when those votes come in, not only in the atlanta suburbs, i want to check down here in chatham county, only at 36%. if you're in the harris campaign, abby and jeff are exactly right. they are scrubbing the books, looking at their data

projections, calling people in the states, trying to figure out what happened here. how many people turned out. we're getting 60% of the vote, how many more do we get? are they all ours are are we splitting this. it gets frantic at this point when you're trying to figure out if is the math possible. i would say, yes, the math is possible, but you would rather be donald trump right now in georgia than the vice president of the united states. so let's look at north carolina. another of the sun belt states. 145,000 votes ahead. that's almost twice what donald trump won north carolina by four years ago. 85% of the vote, same test. what's the outstanding vote? again, again, smaller circle now in mecklenburg. i'll go there in just a sect to see. that was a little bit bigger earlier in the night. that's the largest county. mecklenburg county is charlotte and the suburbs around it. out here, raleigh-durham area, still a lot of votes to be counted. not a lot out there, but all of

those little rural counties add up. cumberland county, that's fayetteville. only 21%. this is where, if you're the harris campaign, when i was in those georgia counties, they were at 75%, 80%, somewhere in that ballpark. that gets you nervous and jittery. here, you're still jittery because you're losing, but you know there are a lot more votes out there. this is the second largest county in the state. they're up to 82%. they're starting to get a little nervous there. that's 94%. you're looking for places that are your color, that's 95%, that are in the 60s, 70s, or 30s. this county is not as much population, but at least there you have some hope. let's look at mecklenburg. they're at 90%. again, this is where the biggest numbers come in. that 10% can matter, but it's the only big county you have left. and the other guy has 145,000-vote lead in a state he has won twice. so then we come up here and that's what made donald trump president in 2016. he flipped the blue wall states that voted. they have voted together since

1992. they have vote d blue in every one of those elections with the exception of 2019. as we get closer into late night here, donald trump is leading in pennsylvania by 116,000 votes. only 67% vote, so ways to go there, a ways to go. the senate race is also tight. there we are in pennsylvania. he's leading in wisconsin. this is a state, two elections in a row has been decided by a ballpark 20,000 votes. trump's lead is 26,000 votes right there. again, battleground wisconsin, very close. the vice president's team scratching to try to find votes. and michigan, she's leading in michigan, only 30% of the vote there coming in. to me, as i look at this map, the blue wall states become paramount, jake. >> indeed.

what does that mean for the electoral, too early to call, we have washington state with 12 electoral votes and oregon, with eight electoral votes. let's go to the map. right now, donald trump with 211 electoral votes at this hour, kamala harris has 145 electoral votes. 270 are needed to win, let's look at these battleground states. arizona, trump in the lead there, 49.6%. harris, right behind him at 49 point 5%. wisconsin, trump in the lead there, too, 49.9%, paris, 49.4%. trump has a 28,576 vote lead.

pennsylvania, trump maintaining his lead, 50.7%, trump with a 119,411 vote lead with 68% of the vote in from pennsylvania. georgia, trump, still in the lead, 51% of the vote. that's 88% of the estimated votes in georgia. north carolina, donald trump leads 50.8% of the vote, harris has 47.8% of the vote. an estimated 85% of the vote in from the tar heel state. in battleground michigan, harrison believed, 51.3%, from,

46.9%. harris is 74,838 votes ahead of trumpet that's less than a third of the vote counted there. virginia, harrison the lead but narrowly so, 50.1% of the vote, trump has 48% of the vote. harris, with a 73,375 vote lead, that's what 78% of the estimated vote in. new mexico, harris leads. that's with an estimated 69% of the vote in. harris with a 43,000 vote lead. let's go to abby philip, whose and harris campaign headquarters

in washington, d.c. at the campus of howard university. abby, what are you hearing from the harris campaign, if anything? >> jake, we got a pretty significant update from the harris campaign manager, who sent out a memo to her staff tonight, laying out what they see ahead in the coming days and hours and my colleague jeff zeleny is here with me. it says essentially that the returns are coming in slowly and they still see the path but the path is largely going to be through the blue wall as jeff and i were just discussing. the key point that jen o'malley dillon is making is that this is a close race. she says to her staff, we are built for this, let's finish the night out. we will see you tomorrow. they are not expecting this to be wrapped up tonight. >> the margins are so small,

they point out the cities we were talking about, milwaukee, detroit and of course, philadelphia. a central question hanging over all of this, is vice president harris going to address the crowd? that's a possibility. we will see in the coming days as we hear some helicopters overhead. but the bottom line is they know this is a close race. this is going to be not resolved tonight, in their eyes. >> jeff, this is a critical moment, i think, for the harris campaign, to show they get to 270, and jake, it looks like they are not foreclosing on anything in the map that's not called. they are still waiting for the polls to close in parts of the sunbelt, for those results to come trickling in. and again, it is the blue wall again, it's pennsylvania, it's wisconsin and it's michigan, where the best chances are for

harris to get to that to 70 that she needs to become president of the united states. >> let's go to john king at the magic wall. john, explain the theory of the case for the harris campaign right now, if you would. >> you heard jeff and abby emphasizing, even the campaign saying, essentially, we are banking on the blue wall. at the moment, as we speak, two of the three blue wall states, that's pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin are red, we are not done. let's look at the sunbelt state. again, the harris campaign is not ruling this out but trump, 142,000 votes ahead in north carolina. i can show you the outstanding votes and why show you those votes, you will see some pretty big circles in the blue areas, large, metropolitan areas where

the democrats do well but i want to say that 85% reporting statewide, and 142,000 vote lead, is it mathematically possible? yes. when you get to this point in an election, trump won twice, you start to think this look like it did in 2016, to be honest but look at it and if you are in the harris campaign, you're calling all of these counties and trying to figure out how many votes are out. but looking at the north carolina map, i would rather be donald trump right now. then you bring up the georgia map in this one, i'll say this again, 2024 is not 2020. there's not as many mail-in ballots. we won't have as many large percentages of democratic votes coming in the days after but trump was ahead by more than 200,000 votes at this point four years ago, so let's because as for the sake of being cautious and at the same time, i want to tell you he's 136,000 votes ahead in the state that was decided by 11,000 votes.

88% of the vote is in. live outstanding vote, this is where the harris campaign, you're just hoping overnight these democratic areas report not just their votes but a lot of votes. you are hoping that turnout excited exceeds your expectations. savannah, this is where races are won or lost. again, a key point, fulton county, 90% of the vote is in. she's getting 72% of the vote. i want to compare that, it's a little below where biden was. but remember, she can't really afford to be below him anywhere. move over to cobb county, 91% in. it's a big suburban county. 91%, you have some change to make up there. the president of the united states is running a little bit ahead there. let's go over to dekalb county,

let's come up to 2024 and see what's left. 11% left, very democratic area, let's check 2020, biden, getting 83, you might think that's not that big of a difference, in a race that's close, yes, it can be a big difference. we have to watch, what to do it this way, come back to 2024 and let's just pop in this and see where is harris underperforming, where is she underperforming joe biden, you can't really underperform, she's underperforming in 28 of the 159 counties. we have more votes to be counted, we are not done yet. he see in the rural areas, this is part of the secret of joe biden's win in 2020. he got his butt kicked by trump in the small rural counties but he did that are then clinton. people who work with their hands, biden did a little bit better. in a state decided by 11,000

votes, that can matter. you asked about the map, we are not done. the harris campaign will update us, we have people on the ground asking when votes are still outstanding but if you look at this map, let's just check real quickly where we are in wisconsin, 61%, i want to check milwaukee, okay, only 53% in milwaukee, black turnout in milwaukee, it better be huge in the uncounted vote for the present -- vice president to catch up. so we will see how that plays out. dane county, 74%, 91% again, not to be a broken record, 75%. a percentage point can matter. so she's losing in wisconsin, got a ways to go there, she's holding on in michigan, only 32%, we've got a long way to go. and this one is the biggest one and i'll show you why, pennsylvania, we've been saying it for week, 19 electoral

votes, 72% in, 178,000 vote lead, that's a healthy lead. again, let's look, there's a lot of votes and this is what happened, remember 2020, trump was ahead in pennsylvania, this was what brought joe biden back, they counted the votes, in philadelphia but also the suburbs around it, that was 2020. there were a lot more early mail in votes to be counted then there are now but we shall see as we come out and jake, before you jump in, one quirky thing, trump leading in northampton, harris is leading in erie, those are the two swing counties. here's what i want to say, i just want to show the stakes for the harris campaign right now is the counting in north carolina and georgia gets higher, this is a hypothetical but if donald trump hold these two and he won this in 2016 and

lost it by 11,000 votes in 2020, not at all inconceivable, in history and when you look at the numbers. if that happens, harris cannot lose that. why? because 251, +19, that makes donald trump president of the united states. the rest of them wouldn't matter. in terms of the path to 270, if he holds believes that he has right now, she cannot afford to lose that. she cannot. and at the moment, as we switch maps, jump and if you want, -- >> i want to stick on pennsylvania and bring in k2 zada vote counting center in philadelphia, the best city in

the world, what are you learning? >> the only area that you are allowed to be biased, john was focusing in on the outstanding mail in ballots. that is something that we've all been waiting for. i've just learned from a source close to the counting process that the next batch, the second batch of mail ballots, that will be loaded and posted, scheduled to at 11:55 p.m., that will be tens of thousands of ballots, there still working through it, so narrowing the number down any further, not possible at this time, we will continue to work with it but it'll be tens of thousands of mail-in ballots that will be posted at 11:55, just before midnight, adding to what was the first batch which ended up being 115th thousand mail ballots which is narrowing the universe of what is outstanding, getting us closer and closer to as john has been talking about, once you get 50% of the vote in, then you can

really start seeing where things are headed and what we are seeing in philadelphia, they are not yet at 50%, they are getting closer to it and these mail-in ballots, that will get us quite a bit more there. >> let's go to the other side ryan, what is the status of the votes there? >> the bottom line is we are headed to the finish line quickly and allegheny county. i'm with the election divisions manager, david, it'll be counted pretty soon, by midnight, how much of the vote you think will be in? >> roughly 98%. i believe i'm sorry, 89%. by midnight, we should be at 98. >> just about all the mail and have been reported. >> they will all be counted and tabulated this evening. the only thing that will not be is any military or overseas ballots. they will be scanned in later. >> the illustration is coming right behind us.

what are these? >> these yellow bags are the physical paper ballots, they are put in these bags and sealed and locked. and they will be locked up and kept here. >> just how smoothly has it gone because we've heard that it's gone incredibly smoothly. >> they've gotten really good at this since 2020. we posted our first batch of 186,000 ballots by a: 02. >> is there anything we can look to to be outstanding after midnight tonight? >> provisional ballots, that's when we will start researching those and see how many we have and start counting those and the overseas and military ballots, this will get into the system. >> any sense of how many of those there are? >> less than 4000 total. >> allegheny county, close to

the finish line here. >> let's get more on the commonwealth of pennsylvania with pamela brown. take us through what is left to be counted, what is outstanding? >> these are the blue leaning counties that the harris campaign has been trying to drive up turnout, that's box, delaware, montgomery counties where the results have been coming in. i spoke to an official in chester county and they say they just released a large batch of ale and ballots, so that was 60,000, and by 1:00 a.m., we will see results from today's in person votes. they have to take the memory card and drive it in. total ballots counted so far, this is the universe, 151,009 50 eight and i should say that the ballots cast in person is 91,277, so let's go over to bucks county, this is another

critical county. i'm told results will trickle in. and an official i was just texting with and bucks, so so for over 90,000 mail-in ballots are accounted for and have resulted in a possible of 151,000. the state will be required to report the outstanding early vote by midnight, so we should get a clearer picture soon in this battleground commonwealth of pennsylvania. >> she was just talking about bucks county, walk us through bucks county, this is where harris had a couple of big events, including the one with liz cheney, making the play for republican women especially, in bucks county. >> and for nikki haley voters. two things to say. number 1, it's only half the vote, so think we have 200,000

more votes. you've got roughly 200,000 votes to come in. bucks county, the most competitive, she's at 50%, the vice president, you round up, biden was at 52, you say that's not a huge difference but you know the commonwealth area well, and the competitive swing pout counties, half a point could matter and right now that number is not good for the vice president. >> we can bring a projection now, folks at home, the state of oregon will go to kamala harris as expected, oregon, with its eight electoral votes were go to kamala harris. right now donald trump has 211 electoral votes. kamala harris, 153 electoral votes. let's take a look at the key races now, arizona, trump is leading. trump with a 3000 vote lead,

that's with 51% of the estimated vote in from the state of arizona. in wisconsin, trump maintains his lead, 50.4, harris, 48%, trump with a more than 50,000 vote lead right now with 63% of the estimated vote in. in the commonwealth of pennsylvania, trump maintaining his lead. trump with more than 165,000 more votes than kamala harris with more than three quarters of the estimated vote in. battleground georgia, trump in the lead, he's got a more than 131,000 lead over harris, that's with 90% of the estimated vote in. we've got 10% to go in georgia but trump, in the lead. north carolina, another battleground, trump still in the leave there with 50.7%, trump has a more than 130,000

vote lead. battleground michigan, harris is in the lead, 50 taught .2%, trump, has 48% of the lead, harris has a more than 40,000 vote lead over donald trump with one third of the vote in. >> jake, just going through some of these counties again, joe biden won the state, let's go back and show you, 81,000 votes, he liked to call himself a scrappy kid from scranton. this is lackawanna county, this is where joe biden was born, scranton, pennsylvania, you say the vice president is winning it but again, in a close battleground state, margins within some of these counties can matter, she's at 51, joe biden, four years ago, he was

at 54%. that is a big deal. look at the margin you say that's only 9000 votes but you are trying to make up this late, that's 3000 votes. the reason it matters is because you are trying to make up 173,000 votes. when you're losing ground in each of these counties, it hurts. this is lucerne county, this is trump country, harris getting 42%, 43 if you round that up, trump, 57%. so there, she's competing, not so bad, just looking for the pieces as you go through, we want to check back in with lehigh county, the vice president getting 52%, looking for population centers, this is the 10th largest of the 67 counties. if you're harris, you're looking at the population centers trying to see what is left.

a modest amount of people in lehigh valley but you see it right there, 52%. joe biden was at 53. you see the pattern, i was saying that donald trump has to improve himself a point or two but she has to match biden and in a place that matters, blue- collar pennsylvania, you don't see it right now. maybe she makes it up but the other point is, if you are losing places, can you make it up? can you make it up somewhere else? look at delaware county, she's getting 60% of the vote. only 70% counted. biden got 63%. again, there's time, 70% of the vote to come but look at this, you've got 70%, the most you are going to make up, if the percentages stay the same, you will make 15 to 20,000 votes, that's great, but his lead is 178,000 votes. you are looking for places that

you can make up a ton. what kate bolduan told us is essential. it was saturday morning and 2020 when the last installment from philadelphia came in. the next installment will not be the last, but she said tens and tens of thousands of votes. the vice president is getting 77% of the vote in philadelphia. they are approaching 70% reporting. you come back in time, the president of the united states is getting over 81% in philadelphia. this is your biggest basket of votes, the democratic coalition, this is the foundation. there's no house without the foundation of philadelphia. at the moment, she is underperforming and she has to make up 178,000 votes. the math is clear. it's not mission impossible, but the more you get deeper into the count, the question is after this next big batch from philadelphia, does it become mission improbable, that's what you are looking for as we wait,

and trump wins pennsylvania, the math gets near impossible. >> there have been stories written a week or two ago about democrats in philadelphia sounding the alarm and basically using the press to send the message the harris campaign that they didn't think the harris campaign was listening to the philadelphia democrats enough about the need to improve the margins and donald trump lost pennsylvania in 2020 but he improved his vote count in philly from 2016 to 2020 and it looks like he is doing that again tonight, even while improving his margins as opposed to what happened four years ago. >> we don't have the raw numbers, let's go back and look. he certainly on track to, if he keeps percent it's that he's at now, he that 18% there, 132,000 votes, he's at 117,000 votes and we still have 36, it sure

looks like he's over performing 2020. and so the analysis afterwards will be, who is a, is it black voters in . philadelphia? there are some affluent white voters as well but the thing that strikes me as we are going through this state, the thing you heard in the last week from the harris people is we are on the ground, our labor allies are on the ground. are lgbtq groups are on the ground. we don't see the trump people anywhere. trump did contract out his get out the vote. we didn't see many trump people out there, just doing phone banks but in 2016, trump's support was organic. and so, the trump campaign says texts and phone calls works to turn out voters, democrats think it's knocking on the

doors. if this map holds up, this will be a big conversation about turning out voters in this technology age. what kind of contact works best or, the vice president campaign will say she only had 110 days. that part, we are not done yet. that's what's going to happen, if that happens. we are not there yet but as you watch this map fill in, another thing that is distinctive at the moment, into presidential elections, he's lost the popular vote both times. at the moment, he is ahead. so there's a long way to go and that could change. but that would be a trophy if he wins the election, that would be a trophy that he would very much like to claim after losing the popular vote in two elections in a row. >> there are people in the senior echelons of the trump campaign that say that they still do direct mail because you can't reach seniors through texting and email's and the way

to reach them is with direct mail, and a lot of people in politics laugh off but guess who votes more than young people, seniors. >> i want to bring in sarah, right now, with 66% of the vote in milwaukee, trump is in the lead there. donald trump right now in the lead by 60,000 votes. you have officials who with you -- what can you tell us? >> i just heard a cheer go up in milwaukee at the central count as they call it because all of the words have reported, they are counting these as fast as they can. they do believe they will be able to give some kind of idea of the count after midnight. it will not take the extra 2 to

3 hours that they thought it might because of the problem with what happened with the tabulator's which are right behind me. there was an issue, a door was not locked, so out of an abundance of caution, they decided they were going to run through the absentee ballots that they've been able to do that now there are 125,000 that have been processed. with me now we have patricia and douglas haig, republicans, democrats, both of them are on the milwaukee election commission. how are things going and you think we will find out something soon? >> things are going really well, even though we had a hiccup but as we united all the workers and the parties, i think it's extremely important that we were on the same page

and we had an agreement and everything is going well. i know ron johnson came out and was very upset about all of this, >> when it was caught, we simply did a rerun with the tabulator's. but it was caught by one of the observers who brought it to the executive director's attention and it was acted upon immediately. and yes, we anticipated a ch further delay than where we are. you can look at the poll workers at work. many of them have been doing this for many years and they become very efficient. i think we will be able to have

those numbers fairly soon. i don't want to say as early as we would like but i think it'll be earlier than what we thought before we have a hiccup, so to speak. >> what do you think of the number of voters question mark are you seeing the numbers larger than in 2020 and what are you seeing now? >> i'm not seeing it as large as i thought. most of us were going out to the polls earlier, when i did see was a high volume of same- day registrations. that seemed to be one of the more interesting sites. it was all over, and i talked to the chief inspector and that's the area that i saw much increase in the participation of same-day registration. >> we also saw that in cedarburg. thank you both so much.

we should make it clear, you heard it here from a republican and a democrat, that there was a glitch in this will be a free and fair election. people are watching every single bit of this, agreeing that things are going smoothly. >> let's take a look at milwaukee and wisconsin at large, donald trump in the lead with 66% of the vote in. tell me about the wow counties, if you could. >> right around milwaukee, senator johnson likes to put out press releases before he knows what the facts are. they had a human error and they

are all human. but that's how it works, sometimes it means that you wait a little while. everything will be fine. the point that he made at the end, was if you come to hear, you are down, you're losing by just shy of 60,000 votes. this is the number 1 county. it's 17% of the state population, you're getting 66%. you say still 40% of the vote to come in but let's see what the final numbers are. when joe biden carried it four years ago, it was 317,000. 317,069% of the vote, she's got 66% of the vote and the raw math, you need the higher percentage but you need the raw master overcome what is happening in all of this red. especially, one more check,

dane county is 95% in. this is madison, university of wisconsin, young voters, college area, tends to be more liberal, 242,000, again, again, biden's numbers were higher and the math was higher. >> get out the vote and get out the vote. >> so, in a place where the state was one by 20,000 votes, let's go to the while, waukesha county, this is a place, the harris campaign was hoping, you know, women, you don't have to tell your husband who you will vote for, if you believe in reproductive freedom in a conservative county, vote harris, just don't tell your husband. this is one of the places that they thought the dobbs decision would help them. we are at 91% but 40% is her number if you round that up. if we go back in time, it's a tiny bit but not a significant jump. trump is at 59%. maybe a tiny and road for her.

but you go up to washington county, this is a big 70% of the vote. he improved a little bit, i did while backwards, i put the o at the end. the former president, 55% of the vote in 2020, and he's a roughly 56, when you see that well behind where president biden was and now you are waiting on this, there are some other small things. as you can see, the biggest thing is here if you are in the trump campaign, we are talking about, can she come back but if you are in the trump campaign, do we have a cushion, and the answer is yes. >> they've got all that green

bay vote. >> the next thing we learn from milwaukee is how many votes, what is her percentage, how does it affect the statewide map and how much is left? i want to come up here and look at this. round county, this is green bay, blue collar workers. the vice president is getting 30%. that matters. >> oh my god, he shot up almost 10 points. >> in a battleground state, he's up and she's down, in a place, if you are the harris campaign, you know you are not going to win here. but if you make it to that race, if you make it that close, instead of that close, you get a better result. >> let's go on to the third of the blue wall states, michigan, jim, you have an update on the vote in wayne county, tell us? >> me tell you, we've been in

touch with the secretary of state's office every few minutes, trying to figure out when we will get another batch of detroit, of course the surrounding wayne county votes and we are told, very soon, they won't put a figure on very soon. we know they are working hard, calculating those numbers, counting those votes, and there have been no issues, they are not encountering any issues with machines, this is just a process of getting the work done. we've also been in touch with macomb county, where we were outside of detroit earlier today. they are also expecting they say, another batch of votes to be recorded quite soon and here where we are in detroit, this is where they been counting the absentee ballots in the last hour, another 2500 or so absentee ballots came in, that rings is pretty much to the end of the 100,000 that they expected. in the next hour we will see another u-haul truck come in with the remaining absentee ballots that they've collected from drop boxes around the city

and they've been counting as they been going, they started counting last monday and they didn't have to wait until election day. so those numbers will be done soon. i will say the secretary of state told me earlier this evening that she is moving up her expectation that by midday tomorrow they could report final unofficial results saying, she believes they might be able to do that tonight, perhaps after midnight, in the next couple of hours but they will have to get the wayne county numbers done first. the secretary of state just walked into monitor the counting of the absentee ballots. >> thank you so much. jim, in detroit. john, it's 2024, they only have 16% reported in wayne county, home of detroit? >> one of the things that you look for is consistency, wayne county, gary, indiana, they are consistent. this is my 10th election and

it's the 10th time that i'm saying, hello, projection? it's nothing nefarious, it's just inefficiency. jim just said, they change the law in michigan so you can count some of the early voting beforehand and release them after the polls close. it adds to the y, so let's focus on the what, which is an almost 87,000 vote lead for the former president. i'm just going to pull that out to make sure i'm right, yes, he's leading in all three of them. >> that changed while we were talking. she was ahead in michigan and now she is no longer, now donald trump is in the lead. right now, he's leading in all three blue wall states. >> plus georgia, north carolina,

arizona and nevada. >> this is right now the map of 2016. >> that's the map of 2016. and that is the five alarm fire, again, we are not done and we lived through 2020 i will say it slowly and clearly, 2020, this time of night, there were states that changed, pennsylvania change, trump was ahead in georgia, things have changed, there's not as many mail ballots as 2020, the question becomes, state-by- state, county by county, is the math there. when you are leading in all of them and you're trump, that's what you are watching, maybe you will not win them all but they are leading in all of them. number 1, it's the smaller rural counties, when they fell in, you say that's not a lot of

votes. when you have it here and there and again here, he's getting 500, 1000, 3000, all of these little counties. it's a lot when you are going through a state and you have all these counties in the question is, so what are the democrats margins, you've got 83 counties in the state of michigan, 56%, we are halfway through in kent county. jake, the big question in michigan is, when do the wayne county votes come in and what do they do to the statewide total? >> cnn has a major projection. cnn projects that donald trump will win the state of north carolina. this is the first of battleground states that we are keeping an eye on, and we are calling it for donald trump. what does that mean for the electoral count? he now has 227 electoral votes, kamala harris has 153.

270 are needed for the win. let's go to trump hq in west palm beach, florida, where we find kaitlan collins, and cnn is now calling north carolina for donald trump. this is the first of seven battleground states that the campaign is watching with eagle eyes. >> remember when i told you a few hours ago that it was going to be seen as a gut check for the trump campaign, it's a bit of a delay but your call is playing right now over the loudspeakers in the room. you can hear the party here, the partygoers, gathered at the convention center in west palm beach, sharing as your call is coming on the screen, they have been glued to cnn for the last

several moments, watching john king, going over each of these numbers but north carolina is important for the trump campaign because they were watching it to get a gut check of how they believe the rest of the evening could go and i can tell you what i'm hearing from sources is that they are increasingly confident as the night is going on, still not certain of course watching the very important blue wall states to see what they look like, so that is going to be the big question as they continue to keep an eye on pennsylvania, michigan, wisconsin, jake, i will tell you that we are seeing more people from the mar- a-lago party come over here to the trump headquarters where this party is going to be held, but also, some republicans are flying into palm beach. we heard from mike johnson who was watching back in shreveport, he is now headed here tonight because he is predicting a bigger republican margin in the house, a republican takeover of the senate and he says, he believes a republican is going to win the white house therefore, we are still waiting to see but a noticeable shift in the mood at trump headquarters. >> thank you so much. so, the first of the seven battleground states to fall, cnn projecting north carolina for donald trump. >> this was the most probable

pickup for harris, if that was the world in which we were living, that's why donald trump went down there multiple times in the last 24 to 48 hours of the campaign. and it clearly did not happen for kamala harris, and trump is telling his people, i'm told, just like we heard from caitlin, that this is something that portends well for the future. what we do know is more evidence that the blue wall is the path for kamala harris. >> the path is more and more narrow, i think we are seeing that as the night goes on but also, so many people thought that this would be an election that in tenor and tone would be closer to the midterms. a big conversation about abortion. it's not where it's going. it seems that you are seeing

the mail turnout is starting to produce what the campaign wanted. >> a lot of us came into tonight wondering if it would feel more like 2016 or 2020, and four years ago i was at fox and almost exactly at this moment, at 11:00 p.m., we made the controversial call of arizona, and that change the whole feeling and that's one of the reasons the trump campaign was so furious about that call because it was the first flip and the first indication that maybe it was going to be different than 2016. right now, look, there's a lot of states to be called, right at this moment, this does feel more like 2016 than 2020. >> and the fact that we are calling it at this point, is also significant because i don't think north carolina was called last time four years ago, and told may be a week after the election. it was certainly after pennsylvania. pennsylvania came on saturday. i think north carolina was sunday or monday. the fact that we are making

this call now suggest that there's a bigger gap than there was last time. and donald trump won last time. >> generally speaking, he is over performing with what he did in 2020 and she is underperforming what joe biden did in 2020. at this point, it's a narrow defeat for harris. >> other thing about north carolina, you do have kind of a sense of the country in the state of north carolina, in that, there are growing minority populations, and there is a growing suburban may be more moderate population in and around the big cities, so that is why the harris campaign thought with the dynamics of the country right now that she would have a better shot but look, the headwinds of the

economy, the inflation that people are feeling, the difficulty in their everyday lives. >> she could not outrun the biden economy. >> the economy, that's what people are feeling every day. we were talking earlier about whether or not the women and the idea of this being the forest -- first post-roe presidential campaign was going to supersede how people felt when they were buying eggs and milk and certainly, in north carolina and other places that we are seeing start to formulate in the southern states, the answer is no. >> we've talked about it all night and we've disagreed about the right track and the wrong track, and it was 27% right track, 60% wrong track. you know maybe part of that is dissatisfaction with trump, maybe some of that is dissatisfaction with the abortion overturning, but in

terms of what people live every day, it is the economy, it is the price of eggs, it's the fear of inflation, with the spread of illegal immigrants, that's being felt as an issue not just on the border but northern states as well. >> jake, i'll be interested to find out once we get all the details, how much success the trump campaign had in increasing their share of the mail vote, they worked really hard at that. >> let's bring you a key race alert, battleground pennsylvania, donald trump, with 51.3%, paris, 47.6%, trump or than 212,000 points ahead .

battleground wisconsin, donald trump in the lead, 50.7% harris, 47.7%. battleground georgia, trump up 50.8% to harris's, 48.3%. trump with 128,582 more votes than kamala harris, with 92% of the estimated vote counted in the state of georgia. arizona, trump in the lead there, 49.8% to harris's, 49.3%, trump with a 7588 vote lead over kamala harris, that's with 52% of the estimated votes in. in nevada, trump in the lead, 73%, kamala harris, 26.2%, trump with a 10,985 point lead, that's with only 2% of the vote in from arizona sorry, from

nevada, boris sanchez has new projections in the fight for control of the u.s. senate. >> a major, major moment for republicans, they have just flipped, they were expected to flip their second democratic seat of the night, this one coming in ohio, there, the publican bernie marino defeating sherrod brown. marino attached brown to the biden administration, brown, a populist who had survived difficult tests in the state before, could not overcome the political headwinds that he was facing. we are projecting that bernie marino is the new junior senator from the buckeye state. for democratic cold, the first one, a historic one in new jersey, congressman andy kim is set to become the first korean

american ever to serve in the u.s. senate. meanwhile in virginia, senator tim kane, a former vice presidential candidate, he's expected to defeat the former navy captain. martin heinrich, seeking his third term, defeating dominant she, another democratic hold to project, this one coming in the state of washington, maria cantwell wins her fifth term as she defeats role garcia. was the pickup in ohio mean for the magic number? we started out with republicans needing to pick up to democratic seats to take control of the chamber with west virginia and ohio, they had to and now they are seeking to pad the numbers currently as we speak, republicans are leading in force else aspect seats currently held by

democrats. we start with the state of wisconsin, there, the ceo of california-based sunwest bank, 29,000 votes ahead of democratic senator tammy baldwin, we just got an update, delete pretty much the same in wisconsin, this has been going back and forth all night but right now the former ceo, dave mccormick leading democratic senator bob casey by 120,000 votes. still a very close race. 81% of the vote in. now, a key race alert from the state of michigan, this has been close all night as well, mike rogers, currently leading current democratic congresswoman elissa slotkin, 48,000 votes.

let's take a look at the balance of power in the senate, the raw numbers, what do you see, democrats hold 40 seats, republicans with the two pickups, hold 49, 11 seats remaining to be determined, you need 51 for control of the chamber. >> thanks so much, cnn can make a projection, cnn projects that washington state as expected will go to kamala harris, 12 electoral votes, to the democrats, let's look at the electoral map, donald trump has 227 electoral votes, harris has 165 electoral votes, 270 are needed to win. we are waiting for more votes in the big three blue wall title ground of pennsylvania and michigan and wisconsin, both campaigns are watching this very closely. stay right here for the next big rollout of votes.

we will squeeze in a quick break. stay with us

dad: hey boss. you okay? son: i said i'm fine. ♪

dad: you can talk to me. son: it's been really, really hard for me. cnn projects donald trump will win three out of the five electoral votes from the state of nebraska. allow me a second to explain. nebraska and maine allocate their votes partly in addition to the statewide votes according to congressional districts, that's already too complicated, but it this way, trump has won three out of five of the vote, the other two, we do not know yet but he has three of the five which means three more electoral votes for trump and what does that do for

the map, trump has 230 electoral votes, he is 40 away from winning, kamala harris has 165 electoral votes, she is 105 electoral votes away from winning. let's see where the other states are. pennsylvania, donald trump is in the lead with 51.2% of the vote. trump is ahead of her, i more than 206,000 votes, that's with 83% of the estimated vote in. that's pennsylvania. battleground michigan, trump up 51.3% of the vote, harris, 46.9% of the vote. trump with a more than 111,000 vote lead with an estimated 44% of the vote in from michigan. wisconsin, trump in the lead there, too, 50.8% of the vote, harris, 47.6% of the vote, trump almost 80,000 votes ahead of her with three quarters of

the vote. battleground georgia, trump is up 50.7%, kamala harris, 48.4%, trump, more than 118,000 votes ahead of her with an estimated 93% of the vote in. arizona, trump ahead there, two with 49.8%, harris, 49.3%, he's more than 7500 votes ahead of her right now. but they still have about 40% of the vote to count. nevada, trump, is in the lead with 73% of the vote, harris has 26.2% of the vote, trump has a more than 10,000 vote lead. that is with only 2% of the estimated vote in. as we follow these crucial undecided races, we are also getting closer to another poll closure, for more electoral votes are at stake in the battle to reach 270. every electoral vote counts.

we are minutes away from voting ending in the reliably loose state of hawaii. john? >> a quick look, these three states, wisconsin, michigan and pennsylvania, will determine the fate of the harris campaign, other there's any chance that she can come back. i just want to show you something. remember january 6th, trump was finished, even republicans are running away from trump, he was done as a national politician. i want to show you something, this is trump over performing his 2020 performance by 23% or more, we are not done with some of these count out here but this will change a little bit but trump over performing in 2020, after january 6th, that's the statewide look. look at this, look at this when you go, look at how many counties across america, 994 of the 4000+, 4600+ counties and

townships, nearly 1000, this will change as we go but trump is over performing a look at where they are, he's mostly performing in red areas, his vote is getting higher in the areas where he wins elections. yes there are places where he's over performing but look at pennsylvania, look at all these red counties, where he has over performed by 3% or more what he did in 2020, then you come out here, let's go out to battleground michigan. look at in the areas, those are his base areas, he is getting more, the same over here in wisconsin, so the former president, given up all right. john king, thank you so much. every electoral vote counts, and four more are on the line right now. the polls are about to close in hawaii and we predict, har