townships, nearly 1000, this will change as we go but trump is over performing a look at where they are, he's mostly performing in red areas, his vote is getting higher in the areas where he wins elections. yes there are places where he's over performing but look at pennsylvania, look at all these red counties, where he has over performed by 3% or more what he did in 2020, then you come out here, let's go out to battleground michigan. look at in the areas, those are his base areas, he is getting more, the same over here in wisconsin, so the former president, given up all right. john king, thank you so much. every electoral vote counts, and four more are on the line right now. the polls are about to close in hawaii and we predict, harris

will win the state of hawaii with four electoral votes. not a surprise. hawaii, a reliably democratic vote. that does mean a pick up of four votes for kamala harris. donald trump is 230. he is 40 votes away from winning. 101 votes away from the 270 to win. john king. >> let's look at the map and we will go through some of these battleground states where we are still waiting. just look at the map right now. a lot of red, right? let's look at the 2020 map. you see the blue. georgia, arizona, nevada. now watch. this is where we are now. 2024 it's a lot different than 2020, but at the moment, it looks pretty similar to 2016. donald trump won the blue wall. donald trump won georgia , arizona. the only difference would be hillary clinton in 2016 didn't carry nevada.

donald trump leads there right now when we come back to 2024. sorry. 2024. let me come appear and do this and hit this and you go there. 2024. that is the one. it is just a dramatic change when you come here. donald trump is remaking the map again at the moment. the question is, is there any way for harris to come back? we have given donald trump north carolina. let's see where we are in georgia. donald trump also carries georgia, the vice president cannot afford to lose pennsylvania. yes, nevada is out there. arizona is out there. 19. i will show you what i mean in a minute. can she come back in georgia to stop that from happening? if he wins in georgia, her past is so limited. it is 118,000 votes are now in a state the size of four years ago by 11,000 votes. donald trump , 93%. that is an important number. ahead by nearly 120,000 votes. you are looking, this is where they would have to be. you can put

your votes elsewhere, but that is where most of the votes are. that is close to half the states population in nevada. so what is out there? are there live outstanding votes are there? let's take a look. the answer is yes. the answer is yes. they are out there. you are at the point now where you are talking about drawing to an inside straight flush, essentially. you need these votes to come in. you do see there is a mathematical possibility, this is why the harris campaign is on the phone. this is why i would assume donald trump has not come out yet to say anything because he hopes this one will come off the board as well. you are looking at the matter there. it is possible. we are waiting for more votes in georgia. then you come up and look at the blue wall states to see if any of the math is changing. if you look at the map right now, it would rather be donald trump than the vice president. >> all right. cnn can project that kamala harris will win the commonwealth of virginia.

commonwealth of virginia with its 13th electoral votes will go to the vice president, kamala harris. what does that mean for the electoral math? let's take a look. with 270 electoral votes to win, donald trump is only 40 behind that with 230. kamala harris has 182 electoral votes. where are we with all of the states that we have not projected yet? pennsylvania with donald trump in the lead. 51.3% of the vote with kamala harris. donald trump has a more than 213,000 vote lead over her with 84% of the estimated vote in from pennsylvania. in battleground michigan, donald trump up there. 51.2% of the vote. kamala harris with 47% of the vote. 1700 vote lead over harris . still, that 55% of the vote that has not been counted in michigan, a lot of votes to count in michigan. wisconsin now, donald trump, 51% of the vote, kamala harris, 47%. a 92,000 vote lead over harris. that is with more than three quarters of the votes counted

in wisconsin. 77% of the vote. in georgia, donald trump up 50.7% over harris is 48.4% grade donald trump with a 118,838 lead over harris with 93% of the estimated vote in. battleground arizona, donald trump up 48.9% to harris's 49.3 percent. he has a 9600+ vote lead. 52% counted. in nevada, donald trump up 73% and harris 26.2%. donald trump with almost 11,000 vote lead. that is only 2% of the estimated vote in nevada counted. still a lot of votes to count in nevada. john. >> jake, right now you're looking at the big map. all that red. virginia is projected for the vice president. we will take a look in a minute. you look at the blue wall states. harris's path to come back in these three straits right there. she only has to come

back in two of them but she has to come back in all three of them. a reasonable path . it is a problem at the moment. 168,000 votes. i am told more votes just recently came in in philadelphia. now you are up to 76% estimate. this could change more as votes come in. you see the vice president opening a healthy lead in philadelphia, which is the building block of a democratic win in pennsylvania. is that enough? i just showed you chump was leading. 477,000 votes. you go back four years ago, it is 81%. 603,000 votes. remember that. 81 and 603. 78 and 477. can she move both numbers up? that is the challenge because you need that math , forgive me, to overcome that. 168,000 votes. that was decided four years ago. and 40,000 votes for years before that. that is a big lead

in a tight state like pennsylvania with 85% of the vote. is it just philadelphia, the suburbs, where there are outstanding votes? the larger the circle, the more votes that are still outstanding to be counted. the color, the way the candidate is winning in that area at the moment. so you still do right here. philadelphia, delaware county, chester county. there is still some math to be done there. allegheny county, where we talked to brian. up in erie county, which is a swing county. very close though. let's come back and look at this as we go through. number winds, there are counties in pennsylvania. trump is winning with 52% of the vote right now. this county usually picks the winner in the state. as i say that, i will state its twin is eerie, way over here. not twin geographically. they voted twice for obama, then for trump, then for biden. two of the 25 counties that did that.

the vice president is leading in erie county. and last we had this county in the end. we will see if the two swing counties in pennsylvania split as the selection goes through. looking at this map right now, 85% of the vote. it is this. that is big. if you are looking at 50,000, 60,000, it is easier to do. is it impossible? no. but when you start coming in here, chester county is that 81%. large suburban counties, where if you get 20 or 30% of the votes still out, you can do some big math. montgomery county at 68%. this is a much more populist county. you are waiting for it to come in there. the vice president would have to win it higher than the percentage she is getting so far. a little below, a little below president biden. pretty consistent when you go through some of these areas across the states. bucks county right here. that is montgomery. bucks has turned red. only 55% of the

vote in, but if this is right at the end of the night, donald trump will win pennsylvania. this is the more blue-collar, the more competitive of the counties. bucks, delaware, and montgomery. it used to be that this was democratic and the others were republican. the education divide has flipped that one. montgomery and delaware, reliably blue. donald trump, only 55% of the vote in, 50 to 49. if you go back in time, 51, 48, 47. trump was competitive here. a little bit more than that four years ago. you want to move the margins, you flip the county. let's see if that goes as we go. harris campaign, that particularly makes you nervous. then you come out here and i just want to pick them randomly. this is were trump just runs it up. you say, can she come back in philadelphia? mathematically, you can make this case. common sense wise, you start to think,

he has got 75% here. 78% here. a little bit out there. not much. hardly anything left there. not much left there. his vote is mostly in. trump's vote is mostly in when you look at the map but is there really enough there? let's see where they are here. 94% and allegheny county. again, 59 to 39, 20 point gap. so yeah. that has got to be a lot of votes to come in. so it is not impossible. i would say we are starting to lean into the improbable. let's go over into michigan. this is a state where the vice president is leading and donald trump took the lead. all these rural counties filled in. look at them. and again, you find him at 60% here. he said 65% here. he is at 66% plus there. not a lot of people. but when you have got 83 counties and you are winning 60 or 70, that is how it works. and he builds it up there. the question is, can the democrats

over, with huge numbers where the people live? number one, this county at 16%. if you are in the harris campaign, you are saying, we have almost nothing. 20% from detroit. she is getting 62%. she has 88,000 votes. back to 2020. donald trump won michigan. 68. he gets close to 600,000 votes. that is sort of our test. wayne county gives us more votes. do we get a huge number like that? donald trump at 30%. that is detroit in the suburbs around it. donald trump right now, only 20%. less than 20%. but if he is even above 30. anything above 30 is an improvement for him. so we can't see it all on this map. we have to get more granular. detroit. is trump doing better? where is overall turnout may be down a bit from 2020? that is a big question, too. over here, you have dearborn. those are two very

important pockets , american voters, 200,000 plus voted for joe biden four years ago. we don't have that granular detail just yet but that was one of the big questions of the campaign. i spent a lot of time on my trips there. younger voters. students. a lot of young, progressive students at wayne state. a lot of questions. now i am raising questions that we will answer in more detail next week and the week after that. if you are 158,000 votes ahead, only halfway in michigan, i mean, i hate to say it, but you are looking at this. that is the best. >> let's go to wayne county right now. let's go to detroit with an update on the vote count there. jim . >> jake, there have been a lot of questions and some consternation as to why we haven't seen more data from wayne county yet. i just spoke with the secretary and we believe we have the answer

here. quite specifically. she said the reason is that wayne county, in part, given all the scrutiny on this county as it impacts the outcome of the election in this state, is not reporting partial results. it is waiting until it has either all or the vast majority of those results in before it in effect gives that back and makes it public. this is going to happen in the next hour, perhaps even in the next few minutes. a nondescript u-haul van is going to drive in one of these doors behind me here with the last remaining outstanding absentee ballots in detroit , part of wayne county. about 4000, we expect. that is the final batch, not just we are told of absentee ballots outstanding, but the final outstanding votes in detroit. a big part of wayne county. so when that truck comes to the door, they begin to tabulate those. that gets us to the point where they are going to

have, in effect, all the votes counted and be ready to report those final figures. we were told it could be in the next few minutes. we will report back when it happens. you could get that big batch reported publicly. >> jim in detroit, wayne county. you are noting that we don't have wayne county to the granular level, that we can't see dearborn and other places where there were a lot of uncommitted votes during the democratic primary. but just to remind our viewers, during the democratic primaries, this is a protest of president biden support for the netanyahu government of israel. it is more on hamas and gaza. 100,000 democrats voted uncommitted. presumably most of them had a protest vote against biden for that issue. >> most of them were located here in wayne county, in detroit. but also dearborn, to

the north and to the west. large pockets and communities there. they're very angry at the white house. the next one, you come out here. this is washington county. i have been here, i think four times. to go to the university of michigan and talk to people out there. 71% right now. the numbers could change. 66. again, you have a big college campus. it tends to be a very liberal, progressive pocket. >> oh my god. 73%. in the math, 150 to 7000. we have the votes still to come in. all the votes that are our from the campus. it uses up the number a little bit. but if you're looking that now, you are underperforming the president of the united states. donald trump has had 22%. if that gap holds and his improvement holds, go ahead. that's a big

deal. >> one of the things you hear from the arab-american and muslim-american community is not that they were going to vote from donald trump, but they were either not going to vote or they were going to vote for jill stein or cornell west. these numbers don't add up to 100 here, so i am guessing that there is a better than my guess would be there is going to be a better than average showing for jill stein in michigan than in other states. >> she was out there quite a bit. >> yeah. one of the other things i heard about people talking about michigan is everybody in the media, all you talk about is arab-american, but really , the issue in terms of a big, sizable, bigger chunk of votes is working-class voters. union voters. because the trump campaign ran ads slamming harris's position on electric vehicles. evs. and that is actually going to be

more significant . ultimately, this is just their projection, then the american vote. is there any way that we can gauge how well she did compared to biden when it comes to white, non-college-educated union voters? >> that is a question on the exit polls. i can show you some counties where we were. the union autoworker group. i want to just say this up front. there are more automobile manufacturing jobs in the united states today than at any point in the trump presidency. there are more auto manufacturing jobs in the united states today than at any point in the trump presidency. the ev debate is a debate. just laid off 1100 people in part because they say they have electric vehicles sitting on the lot. the union says that is bs. it is corporate greed. they are not keeping their word. this is a conversation. are they going too fast? a lot of workers say, why are you forcing this on us? culturally,

people aren't ready for. where you going so fast? right here in county. joseph knowles , just laid off. the union autoworker. no one in his family had ever voted for president. he was voting for donald trump. everyone in his family was not him. another ford worker who wanted to vote for robert f kennedy jr. but he dropped out, backed trump. he voted for trump a third time. some of them have been in trump's camp, but joseph knowles voted democrat all his life. there in macomb county county, a long way to go here. 36%. trump at 58 when you round that up. trump at 53 right there. we will see if that sustains itself. in the bided number at 45. the harris number at 40. if that is the number at the end, then we will see. >> there you go. not all of that changes from that one issue. but that is quite

significant if it holds. let's jump to wisconsin because we want to talk about milwaukee. >> i have been talking to officials in milwaukee county as well as the city. let's look at milwaukee county right now. a large portion of the vote that remains is from the walkie city itself. this is the largest county, the largest city in wisconsin. according to a source in milwaukee county, 9 out of 19 municipalities are completely reported in the source also says that the county clerk there expects all results from milwaukee county to be reported between 2:00 and 4:00 a.m. tonight. these results coming in overnight there from milwaukee county. that is the expectation. now let's dive in here to milwaukee city. i spoke to an official there. milwaukee city has 27,724 mail-in ballots left to be counted so far. officials are still waiting for results from more words still and those will be the day of votes. from

election day. there is still quite a bit to go tonight in milwaukee city. for context, 69% voted for biden in 2020. this is the largest county in wisconsin, so we are keeping a close eye on this. >> pamela, thanks so much. let's take a look at wisconsin. >> a critical point she makes . four wards in the city of milwaukee still have not reported their election day votes. again, texting people in the state, they said turnout was good. gangbusters. they were saying good. so we are waiting for the city. this is milwaukee . the county is what you see here. she is at 66% and joe biden is a 69%. when the city of milwaukee votes come in, not only does that percentage need to move, but that math needs to change quite significantly if you are trying to make up that. 96,000, better than 100 and . sometimes it

comes down to basic arithmetic's. are there enough votes still out there to overcome the lead? if so, four big words are still out in milwaukee city. a little bit more in milwaukee county. the answer is maybe. you are getting to the point where you are drawing to an inside straight flush, but may be. looking around at democratic areas. 55% of the vote. i just want to compare that. that's okay. a little better maybe. not a ton of people there. then you come down across. looking at the blue areas, there is not much left. not a huge swing anyway. so if you are looking at this now, i just want to check. what was our percentage here? 85%. these other counties around it, they are pretty small population -wise. 95% , rock county. 95%, greene county. 92%, lafayette county.

again, the math is getting really hard if you are trying to figure this out in wisconsin. i would say it comes down to that in those milwaukee precincts that are out. >> me i do a personal prerogative? we haven't checked pennsylvania in a while. i have questions about it. one of them is, allentown , which is blue right now. allentown , the city of allentown, is 54% latino and pennsylvania , as we have discussed, has the third largest puerto rican population on the mainland. only behind new york and florida. so my question is, how is she doing in this latino area compared to joe biden four years ago? >> again, cannot go granular just into the city. you look at lehigh county here. i can already tell you, 51 to 48. if

you are looking at 48% in lehigh county, then you are feeling pretty good because you were 46 last time. again, in a battleground state, you think margins within the margins. battlegrounds within the battlegrounds. joe biden, 53% with 98,000 votes. the vice president at 58% with 93,000 votes. we are not completely done there, but that makes a big difference. it just does. that is there. then you come out here and you just move on up. look at this. trump getting 73% of the vote. he has improved. he has over performed himself. then you move up here. scranton, pennsylvania, joe biden's hometown. it is a tough, competitive, blue-collar area. 51 to 48 now. 54 to 45 then. >> that move of 4%. >> a couple thousand votes here or there. i want to show you -- >> by the way, the area which has always voted with him. the

presidential victor is now with. >> let's see where the turnout is there. one of the 25. it is very close, but it is always very close. you see erie county. very close there. i want to come across the state. northampton county. buffalo, new york. here is new jersey here. 52 to 47 there. not done yet, but the two counties, twice for obama, then for jump, then for biden. i want to show one more thing tonight. i just want to bring this up. here. it is here. sorry. i will figure this out eventually, i promise you. i just have too many gizmos. come on. show you this. so let's go out first. everybody has been talking about the headwinds. there will be a lot of questions. this is not an environment for any incumbent. kamala harris is the incumbent vice president. this

shows you the darker the county, the more that county has been hit by inflation. meaning the dark of the county, the more cost-of-living, energy crisis, housing prices in a lot of places have outpaced wage increases. try to find me, see the green? >> what does that mean? >> that is the county where your wages have outpaced inflation . you can use one hand in the more than 4000 counties and townships in the united states , you can use one hand to fill out the counties where wages have outpaced inflation. >> can i make an observation? >> i want to back this with the darker the county, the more punishing. the more inflation has outpaced your wages. the fact she is doing this well in the suburbs is a testament to the democratic strength there. you see these other places, that was the headwind. and that came up, i could tell you, that came up from the first trip to the last year. even people

voting for harris. even for people gladly and proudly voting for harris were saying, it still sucks when i go to the grocery store. >> that is also why the right track, wrong track numbers are 75, 25, but the election is not 75% because there are people who think it is a wrong track and are still going to vote for the democrat. yet this is difficult to fight against if you are the incumbent. >> that is north carolina. especially if you are trying to win back. >> look at the dark colors in arizona. >> it gets worse as you go less. look down here. these are working-class people. you are absolutely right. then you come out here and you look in arizona. that is maricopa county. that is the largest county. up here. >> he is wanting maricopa county. >> let's come up there. it is close still . half-and-half. and then you come here. this, to me, of all the visits. you

see a place that still has the covid body bruise. unemployment hit 30%. twice the national average. look at it right there. the darker the county, the more , and out here, it is housing, more than anything. not a lot of land to build new houses. so the rents go up. once those rent increases go up, rent went through the shoots and a lot of the working class people other are complaining about that. >> i wasn't done with pennsylvania. >> hold on. let's go down to pennsylvania. i am going to throw it to pamela. there you go. pamela, what have you got for us? >> this is important information in georgia. the top election official there. the margin right now in georgia is 118,000 votes. 100,000 votes are outstanding right now. this is what i am being told from gabriel stirling. he says the split will go marginally for harris. let's break down what we know about where some of

that outstanding vote is. chatham, 40,000 outstanding, i am told. this is a county that went to biden in 2020. carol, outstanding, 18,000. this is a county that went to trump in 2020. and then you have the blue counties of dekalb and fulton. the cap has 3000 outstanding and fulton has 2000 outstanding balance. just to recap. 118,000, 100,000 votes still out in georgia , and gabriel stirling says it , the split coming from that will be marginally his prediction is for harris. this is what the data coming in is showing right now. back to you. >> john, do you have any questions for pamela? >> you say the total outstanding votes ? >> he said 100,000 votes out. yes. so i just gave you a little snapshot of where some of those places are. when are we going to find out these results from these counties? he

did not have a timeline for that, but hopefully soon. >> and donald trump right now has a margin of 118,000 right now. you are saying there is 100,000 left. >> he is being literal. they are getting calls from counties. >> john. can i just jump in? we asked about, how do you know these numbers? by law, they have to have the actual numbers. so i understand your point, but i think they do have more precise numbers based on what the law requires. >> that math sends a shockwave through the harris campaign. that is literal. even if she won the mall. 100,000 left, and she won them all. >> marginally for harris, which means probably like 53, 47, or something along those lines. can i go back to pennsylvania for one second? i want to look at philly for a second. it is

so important for every democrat to drive up the margins here. harris with 78% reporting. harris is a 78.1%. donald trump, 20%. we already talked about this. this is a better performance by donald trump then in 2020 and also in 2016. >> watch where he is. he was at 18% and now he is above 20%. when he won the state, he was at 15%. more statewide than they did in philadelphia. we just tracked donald trump in philadelphia. philadelphia. 15% and 108,000 votes in 2016. 18% , 132,000 votes in 2020. we are not quite done in 2024 but it is a low count. >> the margins. >> if he keeps that number, that is going to pass. the last one. again, she is a 78%. there are some places that are swing

counties. when you are planning to run for president and you know how much jump, how deep trump support is across pennsylvania, you have to know. 30% of the state population lives are here. >> if you are going to offset that, you are just going to run it up here. she is at 78%. he was at 81%. this will be the conversation. if this plays out the way it is going right now, this will be the conversation for the democratic party. this is what is happening in america, both in terms of the numbers, the math, and the percentages. >> i read this in an exit poll. whoever is listening from the exit poll desk, if i get this wrong, and there has been an updated number, let me know. it said a black man in pennsylvania , in 2020, 10% . in 2024 , 25%. went for trump.

black men in pennsylvania more than doubled for trump. >> if that number is true, after every election, you have the conversation. what it is doing to democrats. but probably with white working-class people. and now i would say, take the white out of that. >> it is just about working-class people. >> the gains are about people who work with their hands, and the conversations that strike you for 15 months on the road is, i could afford a new car, but if any prices go up, i cannot . there is no way. so you are asking, can i keep this on the road for a little bit longer? at christmas time, you are telling your kids, you are getting one gift, not two. we are going to go to the amusement park that is a couple hours away by car but we are not going to disneyland or some big thing like that. these are the conversations you're having in state after state after state with people who have working-class jobs. union autoworkers, they think that is

a good middle-class job. they get the employee discount. they can get preferable financing. i am not going to take the risk to buy a new truck. i just can't do that on the family budget right now. i can't do it. >> trump hq in west palm beach, florida. what are you learning right now about the former president's plans ? >> well, jake, we have been waiting to hear whether or not he was actually going to come here to the convention center. just a reminder of how there are two separate parties happening right now. a watch party here where i am at the convention center in florida and donald trump was also having an event in his mar-a-lago club surrounded by allies, major donors, people like elon musk . we are hearing from sources that donald trump is making plans to come over here to prepare the motorcade for him to get in and take a 10 minute drive over here, where the convention center is. that is a sign of how good the trump

campaign is feeling based on the numbers . donald trump is preparing to come over here. he said earlier, we will see what he says when he is here. we have been watching all of this. watching the breakdown here of how he has been doing with certain demographics. now he is improving from where his standing was actually in 2020. certainly in 2016. >> we were told that that isn't what they were saying in internal polling, but given what we were seeing, we had to see how it was laid out. now we just have to add to what donald trump is doing right now. while he was over at mar-a-lago, essentially this was a watch party and the plane was always that if donald trump was going to come over, they want to bring those members that were there at mar-a-lago over here. currently, those numbers are being bused over here, meaning that this is likely imminent. all those members will have to be in place. it is kind of sparse here. not a lot of people. they are expecting over

100 people to be bused over here. those people are going to have to be in place before donald trump takes the stage. these are some of his biggest fans. but now they are coming over so gives you a little bit of a timeline of when we see donald trump moving from mar-a-lago to hear. as we know, this room is about to fill up pretty quickly probably in the next half hour. >> the net question is what he is going to say. you wouldn't come here and take the stage that is behind us . this room is already filled with his supporters. we have been watching closely. ever since a few hours ago those numbers were coming in. that was what first gave that sense of confidence to the trump campaign. that has only continued to grow ever since. in north carolina, how well the republican senate candidates are doing as well and in pennsylvania, jake. >> thank you so much. so as we prepare for what we think is going to happen, trump coming out and speaking, it is good to

take a measure of where the night is at this moment. we are still waiting to call several battleground states . six out of seven of them. but right now , i think it is fair to say anybody watching would rather be donald trump than kamala harris at this moment. >> absolutely. if he declares victory, he hasn't won the race yet. there is still a potential path. none of the blue wall states have been called. if he says the trends are looking very good tonight, you can't argue with that. >> i am going to go to jake for our major projection. >> that is right. we have another major projection for you right now. and cnn can project that georgia will go to donald trump. very highly contested battleground with 16 electoral votes. this is the second of seven battleground states that we have called , and both of them have been for donald trump. let's take a

look at what this means. donald trump right now has 246 electoral votes. , harris right now has 182 electoral votes. there are 270 needed to win. as of right now, cnn is not ready to project two is going to win the presidency, but , sorry for so rudely interrupting. donald trump has now been projected to have won the second of seven key battleground states with five more to go. obviously, the blue wall states are crucial. >> in 2020, joe biden won . despite the fact that donald trump tried really hard to find those 11,000 plus votes that were there . this time around, the projection that you just made is that they are there, plus who knows however many votes there are. so this is even more evidence why we heard

the harris campaign manager say to reporters , maybe an hour or two ago, that this was basically gone and they are looking at the blue wall and they are still insisting that it is possible, but this is, again, very bad news for harris. >> we went into the night with a lot of people talking about potential realignment of both parties. who would be the mix of people in each coalition. it is looking pretty close to what we know in the past. you are looking at white women voters with no college degree. looking at trump in our exit polls. similarly with latino men going very heavily for trump in our exit polls. there is a sense that people did not necessarily go into the ballot box and secretly vote for someone else. the people who in the past voted for trump came home to trump . >> and people will be going through these exit polls in the

analysis , and what worked for trump and didn't work for harris. on gender. back in 2020, biden won women by seven points more than trump won men. this time, exactly even. harris won women by 10 points. trump won men by 10. the one that stands out, sort of a flashing light, jake, hispanics. biden won hispanics four years ago by 42 points. as of tonight, harris has won hispanics by 8 points. >> one thing about georgia projection means. what it means is that she has got to win pennsylvania. if she doesn't win pennsylvania, it's over. >> absolutely. especially with the fact that he is leading right now in the five battleground states that we have not called. he is leading

in all five of them. nevada, arizona, wisconsin, michigan, and pennsylvania. donald trump widening his lead . with this new win in georgia. ballots are still being counted in these battlegrounds. there could many reporting on votes at any time. we will squeeze in a quick break. we will be right back. election night in america and the magic wall is brought to you by aura. keep your finger on the polls, literally. track your stress and heart health with oura .

it is election night in america. let us bring you back to where we are right now with 270 electoral votes needed to win. donald trump is in the lead with 246. kamala harris is at 182. there are still five battleground states that remain. by cnn. let us go look at where they are. pennsylvania, donald trump in the lead with 58% of the vote. kamala harris with 48.1% of the vote. donald trump has a more than 165,000 vote lead. let's go to kamala harris. let's listen in. >> good evening. good evening

hu. i want to say good evening to all of the harris campaign. the campaign family. thank you for all that you have done. thank you for being here. thank you for being believing in the promise of america. we still have votes to count . we still have states that have not been called yet. we will continue overnight to fight to make sure that every vote is counted, that every voice has spoken . so you won't hear from the vice president tonight , but you will hear from her tomorrow . she will be back here tomorrow. to address not only the hu family, not only to address the supporters, but to

address the nation . so thank you. we believe in you. may god bless you. may god keep you. and go, hu, and go, harris! thank you all. >> that is cedric richmond, top adviser to kamala harris. he will be top adviser to joe biden in the white house, basically telling people at harvard university where vice president kamala harris was going to have her celebration. or theoretically that kamala harris is not going to come out tonight, she will come out tomorrow and address the nation, which i guess is what we could expect given the fact that we are not going to know definitively this evening the results. >> when there is a big crowd, that is not the sound of a big crowd there. that is not a celebratory mood. i think it was a tough kind of coming out conversation for cedric richmond. >> i mean, yeah. is the 2024 version of the center at this time. i am not saying it is

going to end this way, but at this time. it is feeling like it is too early, and this senior person comes out and says, everybody go home and we will see what happens. we will see what happens. we will get the rest of the votes. >> in the immortal words of bob dylan, you don't have to be a weatherman to know which way the wind is blowing. we talked before about how this felt more like 2020 or 2016. this felt so much like the center. and specifically, her campaign, john podesta, came out at almost the same .8 years ago and made almost exactly that same speech. the next day, hillary clinton came out and conceded. now, again, he is not at 270 yet. she has not lost his race. but you don't have to be a weatherman. >> right. just where we are right now, there are seven battleground states and we have a call projected that donald

trump will win two of them. north carolina and georgia. so of the five that are remaining, there is arizona. trump is in the lead currently with 0.72% of the vote. pennsylvania, donald trump is in the vote with 2.6% of the vote. wisconsin, donald trump is in the lead by 3.53% of the vote. and then there is michigan. donald trump is in the lead with 6.12% of the vote. there is also nevada, which i don't see on that list there. i haven't committed it to memory but there wasn't enough of a percentage of about to definitively say anything. the point i am trying to make is of the five battleground states that are outstanding, donald trump is currently in the lead in all five of them. >> in a place like nevada, the demographics are something that is more favorable to them, that is a lecture, has more male voters, more latino voters. >> i just want to go back to ,

even though we don't know where the blue wall states are yet , we are still waiting for votes to come in, some of the underlying themes that we are seeing that you were talking about a little while ago that i think is important to go back to. one of the things we started out the evening with was about the question about whether or not women were going to come out for kamala harris. whether or not men were going to come out for kamala harris in a post world on that issue. and if you just look at, for example, suburban women . according to the national polls, they went for trump. >> it seems like abortion was not the animating issue it was the way it was right after the dobbs ruling. in so many of these exit polls, i'm seeing that the economy, the people who were most upset listed themselves as angry or facing severe hardship, those of the people who believe went for trump. >> i have to confess, i thought

in the last week or two of the campaign, this idea of trying to appeal to secret voters was something of a risk. anderson. >> jake, thanks very much. we have all talked . what do you make of what we have seen? >> look. i think that this was a race that was very, very close in the polling. and for the longest time , including up until last night, i and others said we had notions, we had feelings, but we weren't going to make any predictions. the truth is , we are sitting here tonight and we are waiting for the three states that can determine the race one way or the other to render a verdict and they are close. and she is right to wait to have those votes counted. what was very clear, watching the night unfold, is that -- voted for her in significantly less

numbers than percentagewise than they did for joe biden four years ago. she could make up the difference in some of these suburban areas in the cities. and i think the discussion that john king had was very pertinent. i care deeply , more than i can say tonight, about democracy and what it means. i have said it 1 million times. i am the son of a refugee. i revere this country and i am so grateful for what it has given my family. and everyone else. but part of democracy, and this is my major difference with donald trump. part of a democracy is to honor the will of the people. to honor its institutions. and i imagine

that that is what the vice president is going to do when the final verdict comes in. if it is not a positive verdict. and i think there is a message in that. there is a message in that. and i think it is an important message. >> i think the reality is, kamala harris faced tremendous headwinds heading into this. i was riding off of the vibe that it was the sense of a final stretch. the fundamentals have been against her from the outset. biden's unpopularity was dragging her. she had opportunities to create distance with him and i think chose not to. i think it is a respectful thing. you don't want to throw your boss under the bus. but the reality is, donald trump was going to blow joe biden out of the water and she needed to create that distance. there is also some fundamental shifts that i think are happening . a realignment within the parties and within the country and i think we need to be more in tune with them. this could end up being the most diverse coalition that ends up possibly electing donald trump and we need to hear about why that is. >> the way this is playing out tonight, i think we need to

recognize that over half of america feels very strongly about the things that donald trump feels strongly about. a secure border. the economy. crime. they may not , he may not be a perfect messenger, but the message resonates. we talked about this earlier. the check engine light. democracy is a luxury when you can't pay your bills. and i think there are americans tonight were sitting back and looking at it. everybody, the elite sneering and kind of saying, we told you so. we are not garbage. we are hard-working people. people don't like to be talked down to. this coalition, hispanics. trump is crushing in the hispanic vote in pennsylvania. he is getting the women vote. >> lehigh county, he is up from 2020. >> allentown. we were talking about how the puerto ricans are coming out. he is winning those

votes. you know those people care about? they care about security. they care about economy. they care about this things around the kitchen table. if the former president is going to be the next president, i think it looks like he may win the popular vote. there is going to be a reckoning in america. the people are going to have to sit back and say, maybe some of these things trump is espousing are not crazy. a.b. he is right. maybe the democratic party needs to come back to the center. they are going to say, we need to go further to the left. >> i hear what you are saying. i am thinking about the people who are not a part of anybody's delete who are hurting tonight. there are african-american women who know a little bit about being talked down to. they know about having their economic dreams crushed. they tried to dream a big dream over the last couple of months. tonight, they are trading and a lot of hope for a lot of hurt.

and they were hoping that maybe this time , this time , one of their own could be seen as worthy. and, once again, they are facing rejection rate and that hurts. they thought tomorrow morning they are going to walk out with their shoulders back a little bit. maybe be able to breathe for the first time. and belong someplace. they did everything they know how to do. and it is going to be harder than it should be tomorrow. they're not the only people who are hurting. if you are a parent of a trans- kid. your child's face was used as a springboard to power for somebody. that doesn't feel good. there are going to be people tomorrow were going to be handing out clothes at the dryers to people who don't have papers. people who don't have papers. they are terrified tonight. all of the elites , they will get

their comeuppance? it is not the elites who will pay the price. it is the people who woke up this morning with a dream and are going to bed with a nightmare. and those people didn't deserve to be , those people will pay the price. >> how do we know that a large portion of those people aren't the people who elected donald trump? that's a good part of -- >> i'm going to try to -- >> the democratic party put those black women down. not donald trump. >> all right. thanks so much. now we are going to bring you a key alert right now. let's check out with the states that we have not projected. pennsylvania. 51 percent of the vote. donald trump with the more than 216,000 vote lead their . 92% of the estimated vote. coming in from the great commonwealth of pennsylvania. michigan now. the wolverine state. donald trump, 52% of the

vote. kamala harris. donald trump with the lead. 61% of the estimated vote in from michigan. wisconsin. that is the badger state. kamala harris with 47.3% of the vote. donald trump with a more than 110,000 vote lead with an estimated 66% of the vote in from wisconsin. arizona. donald trump leading there too. kamala harris has 49.2% of the vote. donald trump with a 242,000 vote lead their . we are awaiting more votes from the outstanding presidential battlegrounds as this race goes into the night shift and we expect to hear donald trump speak to his supporters very soon. we are going to squeeze in a quick break. we will be right back. stay here.

now we have a projection

for you. cnn can project that kamala harris will win the state of new mexico. new mexico will go to the vice president, kamala harris. what does that bring us ? let us look. donald trump is 246 electoral votes. kamala harris, with new mexico, has 187 electoral votes. there are 270, as always, needed to win. let's look at the states we have not called you. in pennsylvania, donald trump in the lead still. ahead of kamala harris, who has 48% of the vote. trump leads with an estimated 92% of the vote in. michigan, now. donald trump in the lead. kamala harris, 46% of the vote kamala harris, 47. 2% of the

vote. donald trump more than 113,000 votes ahead of harris with an estimated 86% of the votes in. in arizona, donald trump in the lead. 49% of the vote. 49. 2% of the vote with more than a 12,000 vote lead. with only 52% of the vote in. still a lot of votes to count in air air. nevada, they've really counted a lot of votes. donald trump, 49.9%. donald trump with a more than 33,000 vote lead with 70% of the estimated vote in from nevada. last time we looked, it was only 2%. john king, look at that. your buddies in nevada reporting their votes there. >> well, you know, last time it took a very, very long time. if they're starting to get some in, that is progress for nevada. this was the conversation the other day. on the importance of pennsylvania as we're at this point now. north carolina and georgia

have gone to trump. you see the yellow on the map. we project alaska will come in republican. official that were to change, it would change this path. there's no path to 270 for the vice president that does not include the commonwealth of pennsylvania. yes, she needs to winwin blue states to get there. that would do it. but there's no way to get there without pennsylvania which is why that is absolutely critical that she would get there. let's assume she came back and won michigan. she's trailing now. let's assume she wins wisconsin. she's trailing now. she's trailing here and here. even if she won them all, if donald trump won that, he would be over the top. if she is winning this, she can afford to lose something else along the way. because this is why we talked about this for weeks and that's why both campaigns spent more money in pennsylvania, kamala harris by far. 19 versus 16. 19 versus 11. 19 versus 10.

it affects your path to 270 math in such a profound way. as you look at where we are now into the latest vote count there, pennsylvania is paramount. that does not mean the others don't matter. just winning pennsylvania wouldn't get her there. she can't win without pennsylvania. donald trump can. if you look now, where are you? that's 219,342 votes with 93% of the vote in. this is why when you heard richmond at the event saying we would not hear from her tonight, she wants every vote counted. he did not say we see a viable path to victory. the states have not been called. he did not say we see a viable path to victory. he said we want all the votes counted. when you look at 51%. the big question was, could donald trump get over 50? he was up 47, 48, maybe he was at 49. in pennsylvania right

now, donald trump is at 51.1. again, you're looking at a state the vice president simply, there is a lot of states to count still. if you want to look at one question, she cannot lose pennsylvania. she cannot. the math doesn't work if she does. there are still votes to be counted down here. i think when we get closer to 100% in philadelphia, that will settle the math once for all. it is improbable but not impossible. 78% though. 78% estimated in philadelphia. she's at 78%. looking at the 484, you come back here. 71% to 81%. 3 points in the state's largest city that is absolutely fundamental to democratic victory. underperforming joe biden by 3 percentage points. at the moment, more than 100,000 votes. we're not done with the math yet. that is it. you can find other places, too. we looked at some of the

blue counties where she was underperforming biden. we can look at that again. trump outperforming in 2020 by 3% or more. this is significant. it is happening mostly in counties he's winning anyway. a little bit in chester county down there. eight, ten years ago was a republican party. bucks county, which he's currently flipped to red. a lot of it is out here in places where donald trump already runs strong. he's running stronger. that's critical. one of the questions was, donald trump got 2016 phenomenon. more votes in 2020 but he lost. are there really more trump voters out there? yes, apparently there are. and you see them there and you see them in other states as well. i want to go through these quickly to see if the math has changed. 53%. we've been stuck there a bit. when you are looking at 234,000 votes. joe biden won by 150,000 more votes. you're looking and saying, where?

where? is it possible? the only place you can get that many votes is wayne county. they're at 24%. you see, she's at 58% there. donald trump at 39%. again, the conversation is going to start once these states are called. so we stay on the trajectory we're on. the trajectory we're on. not there. we're not at the finish line. the trajectory is an overwhelming donald trump victory for the electoral college. the possibility of flipping back all three blue wall states. even if he loses michigan, look at that. that will be a conversation of the democratic party. how is donald trump getting 30% in, up to 39%? how is that happening? how did he -- the democrats were already debating how did he get 30% four years ago. if that number holds, if he's close to 40% in wayne county, michigan, the democratic party has a big conversation on its hands. when i started doing that,

it will be about the trump democrats everywhere. the trump democrats everywhere including black men in wayne county. people say it is the young voters who didn't come out. the analysis will start as soon as we're done getting to 270. that's a huge problem. and you see it again here. the foundation of the democratic party is urban america. and then the suburbs. that's where the math is. that has allowed joe biden to withstand all of that. donald trump's phenomenon in rural america where he's not only winning the counties. the math is up. this time he turned out more voters. this is milwaukee. the vice president hit 66%. that looks impressive. except when you go back four years ago and you see the president of the united states was at 69%. so in place after place, especially starting in the foundations, anderson, the building blocks of the democratic party which is urban america, she's having a problem. we're not done with all the

vote counting but she's under biden four years ago. in the close suburbs, she's doing reasonably well, exceeding in some places. but trump is doing better in some battleground states and turning out even more voters in the red rural counties where we've seen the trump phenomenon in 2016 and 2020. it's with us in 2024. >> we'll come back to you. kaitlan collins is at trump headquarters where we expect the former president to speak soon. do we know how soon he may get there and any idea what he may say? >> reporter: no and no. we're waiting to see what this will look like. this is so new to the trump campaign as well. they've been watching these numbers carefully all night. they've been going back and forth on the magic wall. they themselves were it with aing to see. were there surprises in store?

the gut check came through. now donald trump is making preparations to head to the convention center. this is where the official watch party is. we were seeing the teleprompter on stage, checking the microphone to make sure it is ready. so a clear sign that we expect to hear from him. when that happens reminds to be seen. trump is famously very superstitious. he doesn't like to start planning things too far in advance, talking too much about who he would put in a potential cabinet, much less working on a speech which he said today he did not have remarks prepared. >> even the people around him were hesitant to put anything down. there were some conversations about potentially drafting something either way. drafting two versions of the speeches. but they were still hesitant to even do that. donald trump finished his rally last night at 2:30 in the morning. when they got on the plane, there were conversations about what tonight would look like. esngsly, everybody was like,

let's wait and see. i am told when donald trump gets here, it's not clear if he is going to the stage right away. we know obviously, they have called north carolina and georgia which were big wins for the trump campaign. whether or not they're going to wait for one more of those big swing states reminds to be seen. we do believe he will be here imminently. he will head over from mar-a-lago. we know they've bused over all the people from mar-a- lago who just arrived here. we've seen this room fill out. how exactly he will handle this moment remains to be seen. we know what happened in 2020. i am told he's in a very different head space now than he was at that point. probably because of the fact that they're telling him he could win this. >> could you sense it today when he was voting at the polling places. he was talking in more reflective ways about the campaign. he believed it was one of the best campaigns they've ever run, talking about pure messaging. obviously, some of his allies would disagree.

one thing about this room, it is filled with supporters who are here. a lot of them were from mar-a-lago. people like elon musk, robert f. kennedy jr. , we've seen marco rubio trickling in here. house speaker mike johnson is on the way. so it's also important to see who will be around him. >> that will matter to donald trump a lot who actually steps up and shows up here tonight. who will left their races early before they were called or right after they were called to come to palm beach. we were told a lot of people were considering doing that because they know donald trump cares about loyalty. they were considering it if it goes the way it looks like it is going. we can expect more house members here than we've seen already. >> and we know family members have been around him. i was told by someone that melania trump went and voted with him at their polling place a few hours after you all got back from michigan from

that early morning rally. ivanka trump, jared kushner, they've not been prominent faces on the campaign trail. >> they came and saw him after he was convicted but stayed behind closed doors at all times. they were up at trump tower. they never made an appearance with him. he has done this campaign without any of their help. they've been with just -- >> yeah. obviously, thank you, jake, back to you. we have a major projection in the control for congress. cnn can now project that republicans will win back control of the united states senate. we can make this projection because cnn projects the republicans win the senate seat in nebraska. the gop picking up enough seats to reclaim the majority that they lost four years ago. this is a huge victory for donald trump's party as we're still waiting the final

outcome of the presidential race. and dana bash, there were a lot of questions in the air about what would happen. ultimately what happened with the u.s. senate is what we generally thought would happen. republicans now have control. >> it was a very, very good math for republicans this time around. a very badbad for democrats. one of the questions was whether or not these brand- name long-serving democrats would be able to kind of outperform the realities of their states. whether it is john tester in montana or sherrod brown in ohio. the answer is no. >> sherrod brown is a great example. he came to office in 2006 during a kind of blue wave. survived 2018, he was always there when it was more favorable for democrats and that was not this year. >> let's talk about the significance of a republican senate if, and i repeat if donald trump is elected president. it means they can

confirm without any democratic votes any appointment he makes to his cabinet, to the government, to the supreme court should there be a vacancy. it is an enormous advantage to a president and at this point, we haven't talked about it much. in the house, although that hasn't been decided yet, the republicans have flipped three democratic seats. the democrats haven't flipped a single republican seat. so there is the possibility here of a complete united republican government with donald trump as the president and with the republican house and senate which means that in terms of appointments, in terms of immigration policy, economic policy, environmental policy, you name it, he could have a pretty blank check. >> so for example, on immigration policy which is something we think that donald trump would, if he wins, want to enact something along the lines of the proposals he's

made, republicans have said, we passed an immigration bill. hr- 2, which was -- no, no. wasn't a compromised package. it was a tough immigration bill. the house version. the senate version was bipartisan. when you asked speaker johnson, what have you accomplished? he said we passed all this legislation but it just died in the senate because chuck schumer wouldn't allow a vote on it. assuming republicans hold on to the house, and we have no idea -- >> you're getting into a level of detail that i think -- >> my point -- >> donald trump campaigns are mass deportations. >> my point is whatever donald trump wants, they have the senate now. if they get the white house and the house, whatever donald trump wants will become law. there will not be the

backstop of the senate controlled by democrats. >> but they did not want the backstop. we may be looking at a map of voters who weren't looking to give him a backstop. >> that's what i'm saying. >> not to get too dorky here, but i think it is still possible if he is president that some big pieces of legislation could be stopped in the united states senate because legislation at this point still needs 60 votes. but it is the cabinet who he will have in his, not just in and around his administration, but again, the bench. that is all regular majority. >> it's interesting when you think about it. the supreme court passed -- passed -- they've ruled on the deference and said executive agencies can't have the authority to do what they want.

it has to be passed by congress. and you could end up with the democratic minority. again, all of this is somewhat speculative. democratic minority in the senate being able to block legislation. and the trump agency is not able to enact it on their own. >> one of many things that we would be talking about if donald trump does in fact win. we're not there yet. jake, over to you. >> thanks, dana. let's bring you back to the key race alert and where we stand with the battleground states we have not called. pennsylvania, crump in the lead. 51.1%. donald trump has an almost 220,000 vote lead. that's with 93% of the vote in. michigan, donald trump up 52.4%. donald trump with a mrn 244,000-vote lead in michigan with 66% of the estimated vote

in. in wisconsin, donald trump, 51.2%. harris, 47.1%. donald trump with the more than 120,000 vote lead with an estimated 89% of the vote in from the badger state of wisconsin. arizona, donald trump in the lead. 50% to harris's 49.1%. donald trump has a 16,000- plus vote lead with an estimated 53% of the vote in from arizona. 51% to kamala harris's 47.4%. donald trump with a more than 37,000- vote lead with 70% of the estimated vote in. from nevada, john king? >> you're looking at the map we're watching. we're trying to see the only question, the first question is, can the vice president win pennsylvania? if she does not, donald trump is the next president of the united states. if she wins pennsylvania, donald trump has other paths to 270. for the vice president, the priority is here. you'll notice all three of

those states are red. that's the so- called blue wall. the blue wall is ruby red at the moment. let's wander through them. starting with pennsylvania, the key thing here, these are close battleground states. look at the size of trump's lead. donald trump is ahead with 93% of the vote in by 219,000 votes plus. that's hard to overcome. when you're at 93% and statewide you're getting 48% if you round that up. doll the math at home. she has to get well in excess of that. hugely in excess when you're at 93%. miracles happen. so you look here at philadelphia. this gets pretty stunning when you go through county by county. we're not at the final results. maybe the end will look different than this. the vice president getting 78% of philadelphia. you go back when joe biden

won the state. donald trump was at 18. the president was at 81. you're seeing this over and over again. you go to bucks county here. joe biden at 52%. if you round that up, trump at 47. four years ago. you come back here, i said early in the night, if this stays red, donald trump will get pennsylvania. it's not done but it's still red. this is the firefighters move out of the city to get a patch of grass. look at this. she's at 48%. 49% if you round it out. it's a very competitive battleground county. to win pennsylvania, youable and to be on the top end in bucks county. at the moment, the vice president is on the losing end. then you move over here to lehigh county. both candidates in the final days with the madison square garden event. will trump lose the puerto rican vote, the latino voice? at the moment, harris, 95%.

not a lot of room for this toto change. she's winning the county. but she's not winning the county again, look at joe biden. trump had the advantage. it was a pandemic. you can rationalize it away. we do the math and the math is that she's running behind. 53% for the president. and once again, the vice president. it will be a lot of conversations about blue collar workers. is it racism? is it sexism? this will be the conversation. here's the place. this is trump country, pennsylvania. you always look at the margins where the other guy is winning or the other gal is winning. you want to cut into their margins. donald trump at 60. the vice president at 39%. you come back here. joe biden at 39%. when you're

winning, round them up. when you're losing try to cut the other guy's margins up. i could go on but the point is the point. then there is this. in a big state like this, a complicated state like this, this is just trump country. 70% here. 51% there. a little more competitive. 75% there. 73% there. and you have to contrast that. even in those counties, in most of them, harris not matching where the president was. that's the commonwealth of pennsylvania. you look at the popular vote. donald trump lost the popular vote twice. even when he won in 2016, he lost the popular vote. at the moment, a lot of votes to be counted. at the moment, he's 5 points ahead. in addition to the 270 electoral votes, he's on a path to it but not there yet. he would love that trophy. we'll see if he gets it. michigan, this has been a show

walk. 154,000 votes four years ago. donald trump's lead is well in excess of that. there's more vote out. at love t of it is right here. philadelphia, if the vice president will have some improbable mathematical comeback in pennsylvania, it must be based in philadelphia. that's where the motors people live. in michigan, only 32% in wayne county. again, this will be the conversation. if we get to the finish line and the result is as it is, donald trump at 41% in wayne county. that's in detroit and the suburbs around detroit. 30% in 2020. 40% in 2024. donald trump has a 10- point gain in detroit. that's detroit. that's wayne, auto factory, autoworkers here, inner city detroit here.

that will be a giant conversation in the democratic party now much like this was in the late 1980s when vague reagan flipped macomb county from blue to red. trump has flipped it back. 58 if you want to round it up. this conversation where it is looking, 41% for the democrats. 45% for joe biden four years ago. pick your challenge. black voters in the urban area, blue collar workers in places like macomb county. like lucerne county or lackawanna county. she's underperforming where joe biden was four years ago. there can be many reasons for that. one of them is a very effective trump ad when they asked her on "the view," she said not a thing. trump himself, this looks pretty impressive. the ad messaging. the cost of living thing which she said not a thing.

she tried to amend that later. >> we've been saying it all year. it was the most professional campaign that trump has had in his three runs for president. i came over here because i want to, i want you to show me even in the blue states what is going on. for example, take me to new jersey. all right? that's a state -- i mean, just look at that. someone, with 88% in. how did joe biden do? >> 5 points better than donald trump. >> if you're a democrat in a blue state, you're trying to figure out what's happening to my party, is it all trump? there's a second conversation going on. at love people will be there. you know a lot of them don't like him. they wish he weren't the leader of their party but he is. they'll work with that. so the republican candidate for

president, 41% in new jersey and the republican president. nobody focused on the presidential race there. make all the excuses you want. that's a problem. it was a 16- point spread last time and a 5- point spread now. what about new york? take me to new york. >> come back out and take me back in. the umpire state. >> she's up by 11 percentage points. how did biden do? >> from 23 points to 11 points. you know what? show me some of the counties. can you go into queens? >> you can get into manhattan here. >> so manhattan -- >> manhattan wasn't trump territory. >> queens, bronx. >> you can wander around in here if you want to go to the bronx.

27% for donald trump. >> so he made inroads in these outer boroughs. they we're expecting donald trump to speak at any moment. first we'll squeeze in a quick break. we'll be right back.

it's election night in mexico. forget the polls. it's time to count votes. let's look at where we are in the electoral map. kamala harris has 187 electoral votes. 270 are needed to win. there are still a number of states that are outstanding. let's bring them to you now. pennsylvania. donald trump, 50. 9% of the vote. harris, 48%. donald trump with the more than 189,000 vote lead with 94% of the estimated vote in in the commonwealth. michigan, 52.1. harris, 46.1. donald trump with more than 286,000 vote lead.

69% of the estimated vote in from michigan. wisconsin, donald trump, 90% of the estimated vote in from the badger state of wisconsin. arizona, donald trump, 50%. harris, 49.1%. with 53% of the estimated vote in. from arizona. nevada now, donald trump 51.1%. harris, 47.3%. donald trump with the more than 38,000 vote lead over harris with an estimated 71% of the estimated vote. i have two more i want to show you now. as you know, maine and nebraska award their electoral votes according to congressional district. names, second congressional district, the more rural part of the district. donald trump is in the lead there. harris, 43. 9% of the vote. donald trump with a almost

14,000-vote lead in maine's second congressional district with just over a third of the estimated vote there. then nebraska, this is actually the congressional district number one. not the more competitive one. in this one, which has not been called yet. donald trump has 51. 5% of the vote. harris with 46. 7% of the vote. donald trump with an 11,311 vote lead there with 75% of the estimated vote in. nebraska's district one. nebraska's district two, we should note, is the one that we're really keeping an eye on. >> keeping an eye on for the miracle trajectory for the vice president if she can pull it off. she would need the blue dot, the omaha area congressional district in addition to the blue wall. i want to note, your eyes aren't playing with you at home. the so- called blue wall is deep red. she's losing in nevada but

it's not done yet. watch this map. this is where we are now at 1:34 in the east. it might be 1:33 in the east if somebody wants to correct me. that's 2020. a lot more blue there. this is what i wanted to get to. this is donald trump remaking his 2016 map. at the moment, if things hold up, we have a long way to go. it is possible they'll even add nevada to the 2016 map. we're not done. this is a very impressive ma'am for donald trump. i shouldn't have waited until 1:35 to do this. there are a lot of people here working the cameras and everything else. i want to show you one of the things the imagine wahl team, the new media team came up with. challenging in wisconsin. the vice president has to turn around donald trump's pretty big leads. big leads. 125,000. wisconsin, two elections in a row decided by 20,000 votes and change change. his lead is by 125,000.

that's a landslide in current- day wisconsin. we're not done yet but you're looking at votes over time. what's the challenge for the vice president? the vice president needs to fair tow gap. back to the beginning. trump was ahead early. harris got ahead of them. they danced together for a while and then you see this flat line. you see it down here. the only way for her to win is to close those. that's wisconsin. move over to battleground michigan. she starts off way ahead. he comes up. competitive. he pulls ahead. and again, you're going past midnight to where we are at 1:00 a.m. pretty much a straight line across meaning she's not narrowing the gap as more votes come in. try to come back. pretty simple to look at at home. so those two there. and let's go to the biggest of them all. the commonwealth of pennsylvania. it's closer. she opened up the big lead early on. that's the early votes.

you see what happens. welcome to battleground pennsylvania. they are just running in a straight line across. the red line has stayed on top all the way across. it's close. 51-48. but that's close but she needs it to narrow even more. at the moment there's no evidence that the lines are coming together. closest but donald trump at 51%, 191,000 votes ahead with 94% reporting the commonwealth of pennsylvania. back in time at the beginning of the night. she's the variable. the first time as the presidential nominee. he's the constant. three elections in a row, the same republican nominee for president. donald trump getting 50%, 51% right now in pennsylvania. in 2020, he was at 49. in 2016, he was at 49.

trump it was constant, right? the question. democrats always said trump can't get to 50 in the battleground states. you have to eliminate the third party candidates. trump blew that partum. where we are right now. he's above 50 in pennsylvania. you go back to 2016. 48. trump was a constant except this year he grew. he grew. or he's growing, anyway. we don't have the final numbers there. he's above 50 in wisconsin. i won't go back and forth again through it but 2016, 2020, and there he is above 50% again. this state decided by 20,000 votes two elections in a row. donald trump is ahead by 125,000. this state won by joe biden last time by 154,000 votes. a big win for the democrats here. then the democratic governor wins in 2022. the democrats made gains in the legislature.

the democrats think michigan is growing in their favor. donald trump is 243,000 votes ahead with 69% in. still some room to go. and anderson, i throw it back to you. the commonwealth of pennsylvania, so critical to trump cracking the blue wall, flipping the blue wall in 2016. his biggest disappointment when he lost it in 2020. still won't admit he lost it in 2020. now you see it in 2024. again, an 80,000 vote win last time. up by 191,000 votes in battleground pennsylvania. that's a blowout. >> yeah. it's amazing. you were pointing out in wayne county in detroit, 10 percentage points higher than in 2020. we're seeing in it county after county. what do you expect him to say tonight? >> i don't know, anderson. i think it will be short and concise. hopefully, we see happy trump, happy trump is great for

america. i think he'll thank the team. the people who have been there when no one else believed. those folks believed. susy has been on this team. he was a pariah and she was there. we sat here, anderson, through a lot of different trials and tribulations, literally. and two assassination attempts. i think he has a right to be a little victorious on this stage and pump his fist and say, we won. be happy. >> the trials are probably over now. the question is will the tribulations be out? >> can i just say, by the way, this isn't the outcome i personally wanted. i'm happy with the decision i made not to support him. but i think americans will semithe results of this. i think we'll move forward. i don't think we'll be storming the capitol and spreading lies about our elections. that's what you do if you care about democracy.

i do want to get on one thing. abortion, abortion, abortion. many people thought this would be the driving issue in the election. i warned about a year ago in the key battleground states, georgia is the only one that has what would be considered an ultra restrictive abortion law. if you're expecting voters to be highly animated about the laws of another state. in pennsylvania and michigan, i don't think that materialized. also, that a significant portion of the country did support the overturning of roe. that is a fact. so i think there was an overemphasis there on not reading that there were other issues. >> there are two states that had abortion issues on the ballot today. arizona and nevada. >> and florida. >> but i'm saying that of the battleground states, they were on the ballot and yet, we'll see what happens in those states. he appears to be headed toward it. i think, look. first of all, let's just note that -- i hope what he

does is stand up and talk about the country and show grace and thanks. you say, he should take a victory lap. >> yeah. four years. >> he refused to accept the last, the results of the last election because he helped instigate what we saw on january 6th. that's why he's been taking what he's been taking. these are things of his own making. that's in the past now. the people have made this judgment. the question is, what does he do now? and one of the things that has not been apparent is the ability to actually put others firstfirst put the country -- first, not make it all about him. you heard the whole discussion about he will remember who showed up and who left the campaign headquarters to be here and so on. these are not the instincts of a big leader. these are the instincts of a --

these are selfish instincts. can he change? at 78? we'll see. >> i think that, i'm still absorbing all this. it's a lot. and i think when he steps out on the stage, we see him as like america's next president. the world is looking, too. if you're a soldier in ukraine, looking at russians being more and more aggressive, you're very nervous tonight. you're very nervous tonight. if you're a solar farmer in a red state trying to deal with this, your financing might fall apart tomorrow morning because you can't now count on the federal government being at the front lines of this fight the way the biden- harris administration put the united states government at the front of the climate fight. so you have people all around the world whose fates are now in the hands of someone who can

be aggrieved or can be big. usually not big. i think this is a shock. this is a political realignment for sure. the republican party can now claim to be a multiracial working class party. that is a shock. the policy implications for planet earth are yet to be known. >> i think that's the real open question. are we getting 20% tariffs? that will be devastating for the economy. will there be mass deportations on american soil? that's what he ran on and i believe it is the mandate voters gave him. >> tariffs are a negotiating tool. that's what it was in the first administration and it will be in this administration. there are 350,000 illegal aliens in the united states. it will take five years to deport the murderers off the streets. i don't think anybody in america will be complaining if we lock those folks up. >> he doesn't speak with that level have

specificity. >> i always hear that. during the obama administration, they actually deported more of them than was, were deported during the four years of the trump administration. >> we should keep rounding them up and kicking them out. >> the point is what he says to get elected -- we don't know. we just don't know. it is basically a vehicle for him. the question is, does the country benefit? >> we expect donald trump to speak at any moment as we await more votes from the key battleground states.

it is election night in america and americans ever voted and the votes are being counted. let's look at the electoral vote map. donald trump has 246 electoral votes. kamala harris has 187 electoral votes. obviously, 270 electoral votes are needed to win. let's look at the states that remain outstanding. pennsylvania outstanding

in so many ways. donald trump has 50. 9% of the vote. kamala harris, 48% of the vote. donald trump with a 193,000 vote lead there with an estimated 95% of the vote counted in that commonwealth. in michigan, 52.2%. kamala harris, donald trump with the lead with 71% of the estimated vote in the great state of michigan. in wisconsin now, donald trump, 51.3%. kamala harris, 47.2%. donald trump leading by more than 121,000 votes with an estimated 90% of the vote counted in wisconsin. john king, those are the three blue- wall states. they remind uncalled as of now but donald trump leads in all three. >> the blue wall states are all red as we are approaching 2:00 a.m. in the morning. you went through margins.

these are not insignificant margins. this is not 10 or 20,000 votes that a big county can change. 193,000 votes again, to remind you. michigan was -- i mean, pennsylvania was 81,000 votes four years ago. and 44,000 votes eight years ago. donald trump's lead at the moment is 193,000. the math there is pretty obvious. he is overperforming. his 2016 and his 2020 performance in one of the states that is trade marked to the trump movement when you look at all that red in rural areas. that's pennsylvania. before i leave it, where is the math? is it at all possible? it's very improbable. but the votes, most of the votes that are outstanding are in democratic areas. that's a fact. however, the percentages of those votes, and the number of those votes that would have to come in to overcome 193,000, i won't say impossible but

highly improbable. then you move to the next one. the state of michigan. this is now up to 71%. it was 63% the last time we looked at it. it was right here. lapierre county just came in for trump. a modest- size county. you see right there, again, the counties, the more votes that just came in, it drove the percentage reporting up. if you're harris trying to catch up before that gets to 9,900. the new votes that just came in helped trump. again in michigan, this was a big win for joe biden in 2020. 154,000 votes. it's a bigger win at the moment for donald trump. 253,000 votes in battleground michigan. that's a big deal. then we move over to wisconsin. we're at 91%. and donald trump is 120,000 votes ahead. that is 100,000 more votes than the size of the state of wisconsin. it was 22 in one. 20 in the other.

it is 120, 549 at the moment. 91% in. you look again. is it possible for the democratic votes out there? this is where they're missing. the biggest basket. there are some good trump circles here too. if you look at that, again, i'm not going to say impossible. we have a decision desk that does that for me. for us, for you, i'm saying that's improbable. we'll see how it plays out. i want to show something. we're looking at donald trump above 50% nationally. if you look at donald trump winning the popular vote which he has not done in his prior two run for the presidency. how is he doing that? he's obviously overperforming what did he in 2020. that's sort of a simple duh. he's winning so he's obviously overperformed from 2020. these are states where he is outperforming. we talked going this earlier. new york, you were looking at that.

throughout new england, connecticut, rhode island, massachusetts, he's performing better than he did in 2024. remember the last couple weeks of the campaign? where is nikki haley? why is he demeaning the vice president calling her stupid? why is he beating up nancy pelosi? why is he so dark on immigration? whyment is he trying to reach out to the suburbs? he is going to repel people away. if you come here, let me start here in wisconsin. he's winning 60% of the population lives in player coma county. donald trump is not overperforming in maricopa county. but look where he is overperforming. in republicans areas. more votes in 2020. a lot of democrats are saying there can't be more trump voters in rural america. well, yeah, there are. smaller counties, more votes coming in from here. and then you come over here. navajo county, down here in the

southern part of state. yuma county, 74% of the vote. that's almost double when you look at the raw vote count. how did he did it? that's arizona. you come up to nevada. it's not in clark county. that's the suburbs. in these other places, the end of the campaign, when everyone is saying, why is he only talking to his base? well, he overperformed in a lot of republican counties. most of the places he overperformed dramatically. this is by 3%. you will see suburbs, that will be something we will talk about in the days and weeks by 1 point. 1.5 points. when you look at this, don't think about california yet. >> these are all the counties where he overperformed by 3% or more. >> over his 2020 number by 3% or more. right now we're over 1,000 the counties and townships. mostly in new england but

they use the word "townships. " 4,600 townships and more than a thousand of them, he has overperformed. they're mostly red. there are some blue. and the democrats have to study. that we say a republican cannot stand up to donald trump. not looking at that, they're not. he's increasing the voteful he's up over 2020. now up over 2024. so you come in here and you look, it includes bucks county. very significant in there. and these other counties that donald trump likely wins anyway. let's bring this out and come back to the real world. >> can i say one more word about bucks county? >> absolutely. >> that was an area where kamala harris made a big play. even though it's a county that donald trump, that joe biden won, she made a big play there. she did an event with liz

cheney there. she made a real pitch to the haley voters there. let's check in with pamela brown with an update on the ballots left to be counted. >> i'm getting information for bucks and philadelphia. right now, trump is slightly ahead. let's talk about philadelphia. we were talking about the fact that 6,000 mail- in ballots came in there. i'm told by an official. that maximum mail- in ballots is 31,000. this official says, look. there will be some issues with some of these. the signatures don't match up. and it is too late for them to be cured. that's the max amount. bucks county is a county that biden won if 2020. it is typically a bl- leaning county outside of philly. i'm told there are 56,000 mail-in ballots left to count. out of the ballots cast their overall, they're still

waiting. as well, they should note, these counties across pennsylvania including bucks, including philadelphia, they're going to be continuously counting there until every mail- in ballot is counted. that's per the law there. jake? >> thanks so much. appreciate it. i'm sorry to interrupt. take me back to the places where donald trump is overperforming. are there any places where kamala harris overperformed ? >> these votes, maybe kamala harris comes back. >> he's up by 11,000 -- >> maybe she comes back. again, you're talking about the margins, right? he's winning by 4. if she comes back and beats him, it will be 50/50. underperforming the president in places. you asked, are there any places the vice president

is performing? >> let this go away and see if there's anything on the east side there. >> literally nothing? >> literally not one county. >> by 3% or more. right now. so you come in there. in 58 counties, we just showed donald trump was over 1,000 counties. in the 46 counties in california. there's where you see harris at the moment. there maybe more on the west coast. possibly one or two more. in the states that matter, i just showed you all the trump counties. in one county in battleground pennsylvania, he's outperforming by 3% or more. >> there were biden stalwarts who argued that kicking him out of the nomination was a mistake. now, i don't know that i buy that because i don't know that the joe biden of 2024 is the joe biden of 2020. what do you think?

>> i think that, well, you know, let's come out of this math to have this conversation to show where we are. let's turn this off as well. after the debate, all the energy collapsed. the debate you moderated with dana. the biden- trump debate. joe biden was going to get blown out. >> you think it would have been worse. minnesota, new mexico, colorado -- >> would the democrats have lost those in the end? i don't know the answer to that but all the democrats would have broken with the president. donors were not going to give money. i don't want to be disrespectful to the president of the united states but have you seen anything -- the vice president of the united states looks like she's about to lose the presidential election. she was campaigning vigorously from the second she got the nomination until the votes counted today. is there any evidence on the table that the president of the united states could do half of what she did? >> no. >> a third of what she did. >>

no. >> i don't want to be mean to the president of the united states. >> we saw the last weeks -- >> i can tell you from my first trip 15 months ago, people were saying where's the president? one of the legacy conversations will not just be the switch from biden. but the two years before that, would you travel and people would say where's the president? he was invisible because he couldn't do events. he wasn't talking about his agenda and trying to explain the of the could of living stuff. yeah, it sucks in a lot of places. the united states is could go better than a lot of the places around the world. >> there will be a lot told about that. >> kaitlan? >> reporter: yeah, jake, to give you a reality check of where the trump campaign has been watching this election day playout. they woke up confident that ultimately, their candidate was going to win. that donald trump would win this race. when i was talking to