[ all ] i'm with scottrade. an impressive win for mitt romney. we want to welcome our viewers in the united states and arnold the world. le's take a look at the vote tally as it stands right now.

he's 28,000 votes ahead of ron paul. huntsman comes in third. there is a battle underway for fourth and fifth. rick perry barely did anything in new hampshire. let's go over to mid romney headquarters right now. he delivered a pretty powerful victory speech. >> if the romney people cough scripted it could not have gone any better. a good and solid first place. ron paul, really the candidate they fear the least, the man they don't think will ever be

acceptable to the mainstream of the republican party. newt gingrich, rick perry, gone down in the 10% perry. this was bound they wanted going into south carolina where they really believe looking at the polls as we all are, romney is ahead. which is why, when you listen to mitt romney, he is not really talking about his republican opponents. >> we know that the future of the country is better than 8 or 9% unemployment. and the failed leadership of one

man. the president has run out of ideas. now he is running out of excuses. tonight i am asking the people of south carolina to make 2012 the year he runs out of time. >> two wins in a row. two very different evenings. iowa was a very, very flat sort of celebration here. there was energy in the room. you could really feel that in terms of the one thing a lot of people thought mitt romney was laughing. he was able to get it here and

he can use it to steam himself towards south carolina. >> all eyes will be in south carolina. john huntsman third this is an important win. that number could go up. >> could go up a bit. mitt romney is doing well. let's echo candy's point. this was an impressive win for mitt romney. he was polling in the last few days. he's going to get at least 38%. he can claim a victory. why is this important? 70% of the people in new hampshire live here. they call it the gold triangle. 70% of the population here. close to the boston media market. romney is winning them all. if you check in on some of the places, he's winning most of these more than state-wide. this is his margin of victory, close to masdz mass. as you note, also an impressive note, as he throws in the map

for ron paul. orange. all the other candidates say he's not a main stream republican. he continues to prove he's a factor in the race. at the moment, the buffer between mitt romney and everyone else. huntsman began this thinking he would stumble in iowa, falter in new hampshire, but 17% wasn't what they were looking for. we leave new hampshire, romney is 2-0. watch how this fills in on the 21st. along the coast, your more establishment republicans down here and a critical area in this state, right up in here. now, mitt romney goes in with momentum. huntsman said he's fighting on. there we go, go back to the map. not sure why that happened, but huntsman said he's going to fight on. let me fix it that way. we're having fun with the ball. here we go.

gingrich said he'll fight on, huntman, perry, santorum. t get a repeat of what happened in 2008? this is mike huckabee, john mccain country down here. what mitt romney is counting on is win the establishment of republican votes. if there is to be a conservative challenge to mitt romney, they're going to have to win big down here, but when you have this crowded field, does one candidate emerge or does the momentum romney had give him enough to win again? >> the fact that newt gingrich is from neighboring georgia and

is going to spend millions of dollars, presumably, in south carolina, he needs to get on track, and this could be the place. >> with this split, newt gingrich when he was the candidate surgingsurging, was doing well in south carolina. you'll have a different electric. south carolina, the darker the color, the higher percentage of people classified as evangelicals. another key, a constituency we have talked about a lot, will they be counted, the powerful force of two years ago, the tea party. the darker the area, the number of people who say i identify with the tea party. will they endorse one candidate to go against mitt romney. it may be as important as ever as we move to state three. there's a momentum factor. he can go on into florida with considerable momentum. >> it will be a three for three sweech, which is going to be very, very impressive. anderson, let's throw it to you. >> romney's momentum tonight,

let's see if it's changed minds in south carolina. we have been talking with a focus group. tom foreminute, when i was with you before, a number of people said their minds had been changed tonight or they were moving in a direction tonight based on tonight. we wanted to know who they're moving toward, what candidate? >> good point, anderson. let me show you that again with this group, all of you have been very patient this evening here at the college of charleston. let me ask you all, you came in here tonight, all saying you were undecided. how many of you moved closer to making up your minds tonight? look at that, anderson. tremendous amount of people here considerably closer, and i want to play a little bit of sound

and watch how the group reacted with their dial testing devices being monitored by southern methodist university. they turned the dial indicating how they felt about things. watch how the group reacted to newt gingrich. >> let me put in context where we are. we have an opportunity, i think, to unify the country around a message of jobs, economic growth, and very dramatic programs. the opportunity is to reach out to everybody of every background who would rather have paychecks than food stamps, to convince them what ronald reagan did in the 1980s in creating millions of new jobs, what we did when i was speaker in the '90s, in creating millions of new jobs, can be done again. >> all right, all of you who now are leaning heavily toward newt gingrich, put your hands up. one, two, three, four, five of

you in the group here. let me ask you something, what did you -- that made you feel better about him? >> i felt like he had a true conservative values. he has innovative ideas and concrete ways to solve some of the problems that we have. that none of the other candidates mentioned. and i feel like he has the best interest of this country in mind, and he's putting that far ahead of his own personal gain. >> let me ask some of the other candidates, what about rick santorum, how many of you felt you would lean his way after what you heard and saw. one. okay, how about jon huntsman? one.

two maybe. you see a little hesitant, three maybe. this is like an auction. three going up there. very slow process up here. ron paul, we talked about here. show me the ron paul support. this is similar to what we saw tonight. one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, and you said you're still kind of flirting with some other possibilities, too. this isn't all made up. how about jon huntsman? he's a guy betting a lot on this. who is leaning his way? maybe you back there. maybe one, maybe two. here's the thing, anderson, i want you to think about this, jon huntsman thing, we'll come back to that because i want you to see the reaction, but look at the room here when i say this, how many of you now feel you're going to go with mitt romney? there, i can't -- it's not overwhelming, but it looks like -- you dropped your hands. put them up so i can see all of you. there's a pretty good number. any of you in here rick perry? not a one. so look, there's nothing scientific about this part of it, but you can see even in this room how people are getting

closer to making up their mind. in conversation,many of you still willing to chachs. are you locked down? >> not locked down, but it's between the two, newt or ron paul. they're the most conservative and liberty minded people or candidates. >> a little up in the air, especially when it comes to folks like huntsman and some of the folks who aren't ncessarily out in front. >> what did the dial testing show when huntsman was speaking? >> take a look at one of the things he did which seemed here, almost, like a misstep, in which he said something that was clearly an applause line, got tepid applause where he was, but look at the group when he said that. >> if we don't get our act together at home, we will see

the end of the american century by 2050, and we're not going to let that happen, are we? >> yeah, so you saw that, anderson. i want to ask somebody over here about that. one of the things i saw in the group time and time again, if you watch the numbers closely, by and arg, when the campaigns went negative, when they talked too much about what was wrong with america, what they didn't like, even when they talked too much about what they didn't like about the obama administration, you as a group didn't like it much. why? >> we just don't like negative advertising in the south especially. well, and a lot of it is propaganda. i mean, you can talk an ad and cut clips out of a certain section and say anything you want to. >> all right, anderson, you get a sense of it tonight. a fascinating evening with all of these folks who have been

very, very patient, but have shared a lot of interesting views. and as we said earlier, we're are wrap it up this way. they came in saying they haven't made up their minds. every campaign out there is looking for these people, and tonight, how many of you are pretty much closer to making up your mind? big change, and big change stakes here in south carolina. anderson? >> please let them know how much we appreciate their patience and participatation. it's been faceinating watching their dial testing. thanks for that. ron paul said he's in the best position to top mitt romney. stand by for an exclusive cnn interview with the number two interviewcandidate, ron paul. and we're checking reaction to mitt romney's win. [ male announcer ] the cadillac cts sport sedan was designed with near-perfect weight balance from front to back... and back to front.

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getmid gradee travel bag when you join dark roast forest fresh full tank brain freeze cake donettes rolling hot dogs bag of ice anti-freeze wash and dry diesel self-serve fix a flat jumper cables 5% cashback right now, get 5% cashback at gas stations. it pays to discover. mitt romney has gone up to 39%. take a look at this. 85% of the precincts now reporting. mitt romney has 39% of the vote. 81,843. some 34,000 votes ahead of ron

paul, who has come in second with 23%. john huntsimate with 17%, coming in at third. newt gingrich and rick santorum, they're basically tied for fourth place. 10% for newt gingrich, 19,986. santorum, only one% less. for the texas governor, rick perry, 1%. you still have ron paul supporters with you. we heard from what the texas congressman had to say. you had a chance to speak with him yourself. >> as you can see and hear behind me, they're not letting up. they'll be here for some time. very excited about ron paul's second place win. i did have a chance to speak to the congressman after we knew for sure he was going to come in second place. i did have a chance to talk to the congressman just minutes before we knew that he was going to come in second place. we asked him what that means for the rest of the field. are you now the buffer between mitt romney and the rest of the candidates?

i don't know what you want to call it, we're next in line to him. i would say we're the only ones really in the race with him. and we'll have to remain to be seen what turns up. >> now, here, when he spoke, he has said explicitly he believes he's nipping at the heels of mitt romney. he also gave a rousing speech, not the kind of speech we generally hear from him, ironically. he sounds kind of profess profess professorial. here, he sounded like a candidate talking about the fath he people call him dangerous, now he's dangerous to the status quo. he's on his way, probably to sleep right now, but tomorrow, he'll go to south carolina, make a noon rally to make it clear to his supporters and everybody else he's just beginning, not letting up, and he plans to

contend very heavily in south carolina. he's hoping to get money and get sort of organic support. and you can see people are still here, and i should tell you that the bar is still open. maybe you can tell. >> the folks are happy, ron paul supporters. a lot of ardent supports. thanks very much. i spoke with ron paul myself earlier in the day. he seemed to suggest that he wasn't necessarily going to invest heavily in florida. he was going to look into some of the caucus states in february. this impressive second place finish in new hampshire might force him to reconsider, especially if he could generate a lot of money. >> interesting to hear him talking to dana, not answering his question about what he would tell his supporters to do, who he would support if he's not the nominee, which is most likely. >> he's been very, very cagey about that.

and really refused, dangled out the possibility if i'm not listened to, you don't listen to me, i may well break from you, but i do think it's certainly clear that ron paul and the group that he represents has become a force within the republican party. almost a quasi party. >> and the republican party would like to ignore that. >> and there's no second choice. it's ron paul or nobody else, or maybe barack obama, as a person in the focus group said. >> and i think it's one of the issues republicans are going to have to face. we've talked about having a fractured field. but it's increasingly clear that there may be a fractured party, the tea party, now the ron paul movement, whether they can bring all of the people together, that's what i think for republicans, there is some premium on trying to end this sooner rather than later so romney has a chance to unite the party.

there was something john said tonight, and he said our mission with mitt romney is not to excite but to unite. and i did think that, yeah, i can see why he wants to do that. >> it's interesting to me, though, because ron paul could decide he wants to take this to the convention. >> absolutely. >> ron paul can take his delegates to the convection, can be a powerful force, can get a powerful speech, and that's something that has to be considered right now. and it would be very important because he could say, you know what? i want a primetime speech. >> and even though he's older,

so many of his supporters are young, which suggests they have a future in the party. you have to recognize that. >> how does it impact the party down the road? a lot to watch for. >> a son who is popular son from connecticut rkt rand paul, who is looking down the road as well. ron paul came in second. mitt romney came in second, but jon huntsman came in third. let's go to jim. he's over at huntsman headquarters over there. he was happy about a third place finish. and he's saying he's off to south carolina, jim. >> that's right. that's right, wolf. i have never seen so many so happy to finish inside third place. we're inside huntsman primary headquarters. that's the podium where we heard governor huntsman saying we're on the hunt, we have a ticket to ride to south carolina. and desite the third place finish, sources still see a path to the nomination. they might be kidding themselves, wolf, but they're very optimistic after tonight. a wounded romney may not have been stoppable here in new hampshire, but perhaps in south carolina, when they take the fight to him down there, perhaps they can slow him down down in south carolina. that's the thinking inside the huntsman campaign. i had a chance to talk to the governor exclusively earlier tonight about where his campaign

goes from here. that's what he said for the first time, he's going to south carolina. going to continue the campaign, and he's going to continue to take the fight to mitt romney. >> do you hope you can make the case in south carolina, the same case you made up here, hold on, it's not over. >> the people of south carolina will be alonging at exactly what the people of new hampshire have been looking for, electability. they're going to stand for the issues that can carry us to victory. the trust deficit and the economic deficit, not about firing people and pink slips in a way that they'll get tripped up by the dnc and the chicago machine with a billion dollars behind it. >> and the huntsman campaign said they have an event set up for columbia, south carolina. 3:00 tomorrow afternoon at the university of south carolina. they're going right after the

college students that they were trying to attract here in new hampshire. and they say they have the resources to compete. i spoke to several sources here, including the campaign manager, and he said any talk of this campaign dropping out of the race, any talk of the governor dropping out of the race rhymes with bull spit, and i should mention that the bar is also open here tonight, they're still partying in huntsman headquarters. >> i can see they're having a good time there. jim acosta at huntsman headquarters. headed to south carolina. i think all of us will be headed to south carolina soon. an exciting race. can't wait. >> yeah, i mean, can jon huntsman compete in south carolina? he's very low in the early polling there. >> i don't see that he has much of a con stit wency there. you saw in the focus group, there didn't seem to be a person for huntsman. he can use some money there, but i just see that the fight is going to be among the other -- the conservatives in the party,

the santorums and perrys to fight there. >> it's interesting that his dad was there. and he could have a pack that could hunt him, but huntsman play has to be like a carom shot. he has to allow newt to spend all of his many. >> what kind? >> carom. >> a pool shark. all right. >> if newt spends all of his money and brings romney down, then it's possible that huntsman and the chaos in the dust could arise as the alternative. >> he wasn't able to catch fire in new hampshire where he devoted a significant amount of time. >> people are so sick of negative -- i think what happens is there's too much noise and romney benefits from it.

>> the best line had to be john sununu saying jon huntsman has been here for six months and he got this number of votes. at this rate, he could catch us in 25 years. >> all of the gop candidates are promising to fight on in south carolina. they say the vase not over. we'll talk more about the strategy and the battle to stop romney. also the top reasons romney won tonight. the exit polls tell an interesting story. we'll be right back. great guest experience. that makes my day.

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>> newt gingrich and rick santorum have been battling for fourth place in new hampshire. they have about 10% or 9%. very close. i want to go to their headquarters. joe, first to you, newt gingrich gave a pretty rousing speech today, although i suspect he's probably a little disappointed he didn't do better in new

hampshire. >> i think you're right. i mean, when you think about it, here is a guy who performed pretty poorly in iowa and now in new hampshire, and he's still talking about moving on to south carolina. their still striking the set in the ballroom in the hotel where he had the speech and his headquarters, and the funny thing about it, i got an e-mail just a while ago from the gingrich traveling party and they're already on the plane on the way to south carolina. so moving on south at this point. the thing about his speech, i thought, that was really captivating, is that he made it very clear he's planning to go to south carolina and fight. listen to the sound bite. >> this is step two of a long process. and having both been a historian and been active a long time, you

learn certain things. let me put in context where we are. we have an opportunity, i think, to unify the country around a message of jobs, economic growth, and very dramatic programs. the opportunity is to reach out to everybody of every background who would rather have paychecks than food stamps, to convince them what ronald reagan did in the '80s in creating millions of new jobs, what we did when yuz waspeaker in the '90s, in creating millions of new jobs, can be done again. this campaign is going to go on to south carolina. >> so they're going to get started in rockhill, south carolina, which is on the nort carolina border tomorrow morning, on to spartanburg, which is one of those areas where there are a lot of people, we're told, who are very skeptical about mitt romney. >> newt gingrich will do better next to his home state of georgia. one guy who doesn't like mitt romney very much walking behind you. gary tuchman is standing by. he came out of iowa with a lot of momentum. it didn't really deliver a huge punch in new hampshire, gary.

>> it wasn't a great night for rick santorum tonight. the podium is bare, the stage is empty, the ballroom is empty. it was another nick and tuck night for rick santorum. last week it was nip and tuck for first place. today nip and tuck for fourth place. a lot of rationalization from the santorum forces, but a lot of it is honest and practical. he was saying before new years, the polls here in new hampshire had him at 1% or 2% or 3%, he ended up with 9%. he atrinted that to the victory in iowa. he also said he didn't spen a lot of money here. that, too, is accurate. he's now on his way to south

carolina to campaign tomorrow, and he said and his people say they're putting most of their eggs in the south carolina basket. wolf. >> all right, gary. thanks very much. joe johns, thanks to you. let's go to erin and gloria. they're taking a closer look at the numbers. new hampshire is different from south carolina, but what did we see in new hampshire. >> different from south carolina and different than iowa. we wanted to hone in on two important categories. opinion on the tea party movement. we were talking about whether mitt romney can win over the voters. 51% of the people who voted say they support the tea party. let's flip this over. gloria, you can see in new hampshire, people who like the tea party go for mitt romney. >> and the question, of course, number two is ron paul, which is interesting because it's the fiscal conservatism of ron paul that attracts the tea party people. the question, of course, is whether mitt romney will be able to keep the number as he heads

to south carolina. >> on that note, let's look at a born again christians in new hampshire, those who identify themselves as such still when for mitt romney. so different than in iowa where born again and evangelical christians went for santorum. >> he did 23% with the born again christian, so his values message was getting through, but evangelicals, 30% going for mitt romney, a mormon, whether he can keep it going in south carolina, evangelical leaders are meeting this weekend. they're going to talk about whether they should endorse an

anti-mitt romney candidate or do something else. that's going to be important to see what they do. i guarantee you romney is going

to have a tougher time in south carolina with tea party and evangelicals. >> 23% of people who voted in new hampshire, evangelicals, about 60% in south carolina. much like iowa. >> i'm getting a lot of tweets. they want to know, can you do a back handed flip. >> oh, my god. >> drum roll. >> we did it. backhanded flip. >> that wads good. >> the pressure was on. >> impressive flip. >> so piers, you talked to rick perry. a pathetic showing for rick perry in new hampshire as it was in iowa. what keeps him going? gloyou have to hand him something for the fortitude, but you're placing fifth at best in the moment. what was interesting i thought in the interview was his point of attack against mitt romney. it may be where they are go at him, where the gingrich pac money goes, an interview, you'll see what he called mitt romney. >> there is a real difference between a venture capitalist and a vulture capitalist, and venture capitalists are good. nay go in, they inject their capital, they create jobs, bane capital, it appears to me, are vulture capitalists all too often. i don't confuse for a minute that barack obama and his team wouldn't attack mitt romney on that in a general election. we're doing mitt a favor by exposing him early on so he can figure out how to defend that or more importantly and better from my perspective, he's not the nominee to begin with. >> more of the interview with

rick perry after midnight. and interesting perspective there, calling him a vulture capitalist. what i haven't seen yet is a full breakdown of mitt romney's time at bane that shows how many jobs he created and how many he got rid of. if you can prover he was a force for good, and job creation, that was good for romney. if you can prove that a lot of people lost his jobs because of him, he may qualify as a vulsure capitalist. >> wall street journal did a close look at it, it's hard to get numbers on that. peter is standing by in south carolina. it was interesting to hear him tone to go after mitt romney as a vulture capitalist. that attack that wads tried in new hampshire didn't work among voters in new hampshire. do you think it will work in south carolina? >> in new hampshire, it didn't come up until the last few days. i think although it's unusual to attack someone's business credential, it's potent because

the inemployment rate has gone up to almost 10%, and it plays into a bigger narrative of romney being out of touch. the questions about mitt romney are not about his mormonism, it's more about his northern ped gree, his squisiness on issues and the fact he can't connect with people. once these tv ads start to hit from newt's super pac, which is going up tomorrow, we could see those resonate. and it's surprising that we still haven't seen a romney care ad dropped on mitt romney, but we'll see if this works in the next few weeks. >> i had jack welsch on my show who was vociferous in his support of romney, calling him the best candidate he's seen to run for president in his lifetime and began to laud his record, and his wife, she said the same thing. that actually his record there could be a vote winner. rather than a vote loser, and he certainly thought the rhetoric from romney today, beginning to try to turn it around into a positive, saying that actually, i did a very good job at bane. i created jobs. that's what i could do for america.

could he turn it into an advantage, i think? >> i think so. a lot of caricatures about south carolina, painted as a hive of evangelicals and good oild boys. it's a cross section of republicans, in greenville and spartanburg, where there are all those evangelicals, there's also a ton of international businesses there, a strong chamber of commerce crowd, lot of business folks along the coast in the northern part of the state, so it could be a strong message for romney. he has a good message to make. >> we're going to take a quick break. we'll take you behind the scenes. >> i think so. a lot of caricatures about south carolina, painted as a hive of evangelicals and good oild boys. it's a cross section of republicans, in greenville and spartanburg, where there are all those evangelicals, there's also a ton of international businesses there, a strong chamber of commerce crowd, lot of business folks along the

coast in the northern part of the state, so it could be a strong message for romney. he has a good message to make. >> we're going to take a quick break. we'll take you behind the scenes. we'll be right back. [ todd ] hello? hello todd. just calling to let you know i'm giving you the silent treatment. so you're calling to tell me you're giving me the silent treatment? ummm, yeah. jen, this is like the eighth time you've called... no, it's fine, my family has free unlimited mobile-to-any-mobile minutes from at&t. so i can call all i want. i don't think you understand how the silent treatment works. hello? [ male announcer ] buy unlimited messaging and get free unlimited calling to any u.s. mobile on any network. at&t.

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>> we're back with the latest numbers. 91% of the precincts have now reported. 39% for mitt romney. 90,429 votes. almost 38,000 votes ahead of number two, ron paul with 23 first, 52,562. huntman in third, 38,650. newt gingrich in fourth, 10%, 21,612 to 21,426 for rick santorum with 9%. rick perry, only 1%. all night, while we have been on tv and politicians have been talking, poll workers across new

hampshire have been busy certifying ballots and making sure that the primary is completely legal. official, our political reporter shannon travis shows us democracy in action at manchester as he followed the ballot from the voting booth to its final resting place. >> we may be hearing candidates speeches and results, but this process is far from over. we're following along with the ballots as they're leaving ward 1 here at the webster elementary school in manchester. we're going to follow along and show you where they're going for the final resting spot. this coverage is special because this basically shows you how

democracy works, how the ballot you cast at the ballot booth, how they're processed, where they go, weever been showing you all night how they're being counted, secured, and now we're going to show you how they're being procured at city hall. they're loading up the car now, putting the ballots inside. a lot of the boxes have seals on them. they have to deliver these ballots to the city clerk's office, the same exact amount they received from the clerk's office previously. >> we're doing about 30 miles an hour. diane and paul are steadily just moving along so that we can get the ballots down to city hall. >> so we're here, watching, as diane and paul unload the ballots. they have arrived at the drop-off point at city hall. it's right in the middle of downtown manchester. it looks like a count, boxes of one, two, three, four, five, six boxes of ballots, and a few

boxes of paperwork, some binders, some administrative things they also have to drop off, obviously, for voting procedures, and they're going to now hand this off, as you can see, an armed guard here. maybe not armed but definitely a security guard who is taking possession of the ballots as they go inside city hall here. it's a fascinating look at what actually happens when people cast their ballots. this is a very critical piece of this process because these ballots now have to be certified, checked in, all of that. the numbers that we have been hearing so far are the projections, the unofficial, but these ballots will be very key to certifying, to making it all official that mitt romney in fact came in number one, ron paul in fact came in number two, and jon huntsman in fact came in number three. the ballots are coming off the elevator here, and the next place, the next home for them is the vault in city hall. >> a rare sighting of the inside of the vault at a city. a municipality that houses ballots and vital records. you're getting a rare glimpse inside of how these ballots are

preserved for a while. there's a federal retention law that new hampshire mirrors that saves these ballots for 22 months and basically, because they are paper ballots, they're destroyed. this is where they'll live for 22 months. >> shannon travis reporting for us from manchester, new hampshire. i love the fact they're still doing it the old fashioned way. ladies, new hampshire history now. all eyes very soon if not immediately on south carolina. and mitt romney, erin, tell us what we're seeing looking ahead. >> you can get a few hours of sleep before all eyes firmly on south carolina, but we're

talking about the importance of the evangelical vote in south carolina. we have loaded the data from 2008, and obviously, mitt romney, advantage/disadvantage of having run then, we'll see. religious candidate, great deal or somewhat? i want to blow that up and give them a chance to see how this went. oh, no. >> hold on, come over here. >> let's do it here. >> it's all right. fine, we can fix it. okay, so 2008, great deal or somewhat inthose voters went overwhelmingly for huckabeehuckabee, then mccain. romney, only 11%. >> you're going to see that romney does a little better. and hot the other candidates are hoping for, particularly the rick santorums andperry, what they want is to get that huckabee vote for themselves. >> we were talking as we send it back to you, how the awareness, perhaps, of the mormon faith has increased over the last four years. mitt romney has been kwoen, you see ads on buses. television about being a mormon, and perhaps that has contributed

to more acceptance or understanding of the mormon faith. >> there will still be a lot of skepticism. >> brook, what have you been dpauloing? >> i can't take you inside a vault. >> not since al capone's vault have i been so isexcited. >> we have been looking, tracking twitter, and you see the gingrich social drop. the one candidate who actually did worse when it comes to sort of perception and resonance on twitter is the former speaker of the house. take a look at the numbers. first off, twitter 10:00 eastern time. right around that time, 50/50 positive negative perception of gingrich. you can see the green and red

change, and he's the only candidate, the only candidate we can find. one other fun factoid, i know it's about midnight and you were here until -- >> 3:30 not that i was counting. >> 3:34 is when i left cnn, last week, because it went so long, when we looked at the number of tweets until the end when you projected by the eight votes mitt romney, that was half the amount of tweets from today, and we're still not even in the a.m. >> interesting. let's go to some of our analysts and contributors have been monitoring events. not making late dinner reservations. what have you been looking at in the last hour? >> the vault. >> i was banking on that story. >> numbers. last election, 2008, john mccain got 37.8% of new hampshire. barack obama, 36.6% in his primary.

hillary clinton, 39%. romney looks like he's between 39% and 40%. here is the other thing flashing forward. the month of february for republicans. six contests for delegates who will get selected. mitt romney probably has an inside lead on five of them. maine, new england, michigan, where he grew up. advantage romney in all of the early states. >> do you think it's still possible tomorrow morning when folks wake up that there may be an e-mail, a press release that one of the candidates has dropped out? >> look, if rick perry didn't drop out, they'll try to see it through. i think the race -- i have always thought this race is romney. the only person in the field who has a chance of being nominated. i have thought that for some time and am completely convinced of it now. sometimes the guys, it takes a while to come to the realization that you're out of this. watching huntsman get beat by 23%, the hardest thing to do is

act like you're happy on election night when you're not. we all do it. >> they're estimating turnover at 236,000. that's 6,000 more. >> it's not terribly bad, but i agree with ari and james on the passion and the intensity. you don't want to repeat 2008, and we would see more people out if we didn't have -- mitt romney has been endorsed by jimmy carter and john mccain for crying out loud. it's mccain, 2008, all over. >> carter? >> not carter, carter was saying nice things about romney. carter said he was glad to see him win. so i don't know. >> maybe they go way back. >> republicans have been dismissing the whole bane ad by saying we shouldn't do these type of things. i think it's a powerful ad in a climate where you have blue collar workers who are not happy

at all about companies coming in, using a debt, slashing and burning, firing people, and making off with lots of cash. it's no shock republicans are saying this is the last thing we want to see, but the push back, even bill is writing about this, when you go so far as to say we're so happy to be about capitalism and we're so tied to it, that they're reenforcing it's the party of a lot of rich folks. gingrich has messed up the argument when he could have been more effective making the argument we need to be concerned about the little guys who have been played off. it's still a strong argument that could help obama. >> reports of my death have been

greatly exaggerated, and the reports of this enhanced republican enthusiasm have been exaggerated. that enthusiasm is probably matching democrats right now, but that's about it. this is all subject to change, mid-january, we have to go until early november here, but there's not much evidence of this really enhanced republican enthusiasm that you saw in november 2010, which was quite evident. >> i don't disagree with that. what is going to rally republicanicize not love of romney. it's beating barack obama. that's what gets republicans' blood flowing. >> that's what folks in south carolina want more than all. mapping out the new hampshire results and looking for clues about the baltal ahead. stand by for a special piers morgan at the top of the hour. ag exactly as planned. cut. cut! [ monica ] i thought we'd be on location for 3 days -- it's been 3 weeks. so i had to pick up some more things. good thing i've got the citi simplicity card. i don't get hit with a fee if i'm late with a payment... which is good because on this job, no! bigger! [ monica ] i may not be home for a while. [ male announcer ] the new citi simplicity card.

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that's a big accomplishment to me. i don't know how much money i need. but i know that whatever i have that's what i'm going to live within. ♪ ♪ >> very impressive win for mitt romney tonight. look at this, 39%. he could wind up with 40%, still 8% of the precincts unreported. >> that's his home turf, but he did what he had to do, win and win convincingly. 70% of the population in the bottom corner. mitt romney running up big numbers. where do we go from here? south carolina, and his is critically important. mitt romney, but a crowded

field. gingrich, huntsman, paul, perry, santorum, say they would be a stronger nominee. can governor romney win it here? it's a state that often decides the election. south carolina on the 21st, we clous out in florida. we're going to go into yet another swing state. iowa, new hampshire, here is sahuge swing state. mitt romney adertiing here. if the race goes on, where do we go? nevada, romney leading in nevada right now. we'll see how the race goes. the race also would be in arizona, a big primary, a state where mccain carried it four years ago r and also on the map ahead, when we get into february, the state of michigan. remember george romney, the former governor, mitt romney has