[inaudible conversations] [applause] good morning welcome to the national press club.

daniel patrick moynihan has wrote more books than most have read. but remember there four times more house members newt gingrich is here to talk by his latest book "understanding trump" he is not previously purchased a book but to benefit the national press club journal with his journalism training so please turn off for silence your cellphone a bite to it knowledge the of members me centcom larry, deborah frank, and

also to our staff liaison. thank you. [applause] i first met speaker gingrich 40 years ago at a town hall meeting times governor cuomo would never run for president he didn't but for a while for those opinion polls and then as a historical figure himself. and as the speaker from 1995 and from the opposition party he never reached the white house despite the

polls up until election day showing hillary clinton ahead. and then having a better than 70 percent chance to read a first female president pro as the top trump advisor and somebody close to the white house with new previous political experience but he is the first president with no experience read out of the business world never running for office before. but speaker gingrich thank you for coming. [applause]

>> it is initially the establishment candidate george h. to view bush john mccain and mitt romney and then donald trump the merger is victorious. so then when donald trump would play the role and win. >> goldwater won the nomination and in 80 reagan won. those were the precursors to trump for growth so i feel a little bit fortunate so i do think they have a continuity

that is a much better candidate and that is a unique phenomenon but i laughed at them is that i will not give you vice you have a unique style your said the effective and if you try to learn what i do you would screw that up suggests me you are into what you do but if you measure the audience rather than that debate system but then to spend $15 million in florida. in one day after south carolina the advisers said

she would be the nominee i did not have the resources then but trump had enough resources at any time but he did something that i could not have done as one of the great backs of genius in american politics this is part what i know that nobody's understands donald j. trump had a prime-time television show for 13 years the top so at --- a talk show in the country over four years it was not on pbs nova is understood that run negative nobody understood that this city by definition he is formidable. so what he learned in new

york in the '80s was any publicity that printed your name correctly billed string. so i do think he should modify with his tweets but i told him to an% less trump would be 100 percent more effective. but to figure out early if he couldn't gauge the media over that 24 a day cable new system and that meant he could take all of that air out of their rooms of their all running around raising money the trump gets up in the morning and would tweet and said of his argument that he would call that morning joe he will restate their call argue 25 minutes then fox and friends with a love fest over 25 minutes.

[laughter] he has already generated so now they're covering that argument then he goes to a press event that he does one hour for free at any the in the end of the day city as $1 million free media brawl the competitors were riding around the country trying to raise money to get on the year. so there is only one poll in the entire campaign he is not a head. he was a front runner from the date he analysis except for what's when dr. carson pulled ahead. nobody could say if he is the front runner in every single poll could he be the front-runner? [laughter]

everybody said he couldn't beat because then that would be crazy so he had to be crazy and if he is crazy he could not be the front-runner. this went on. so looking at these so-called experts. to be as stupid and as wrong and those that laughter in the primaries that laughed at the general election. one that is a repudiation of their own life. and then to decide the world has changed dramatically and that his literary where we are right now to see how the defense continues but trouble figuring out inning goal to break out of all of this.

>> series a people have learned?. >> look at the whole russian fantasy. the democrat said hillary could not have lost some of the dollar trump could not have one so somebody cheated if putin she did you realize this is all his fault? so they must have colluded. and then to watch for the russian connection. even feinstein the ranking democrat if there was an obstruction of justice so technically they cannot obstruct justice 25 air those fbi director's if jfk

fired hoover -- j. edgar hoover it would have thought that was obstruction so whose record at running anonymous leaks without was an enormous achievement so with that energy and enthusiasm that is the olympics of stupidity and then not to get anything in his finances by opposed to renewing the independent counsel act. they give the regular career

and then is in the fitzgerald case the godfather to his children to a point a special counsel when they knew there is no crime because valerie blame was no longer protected at the cia. in the still pointed that independent counsel it is the most grotesque mischaracterization. that is why very worried about robert mueller. he has served with great distinction from vietnam have no doubt he is a person but he is surrounded himself with a collective group of people that will engage in a

witch hunt. he needs to read the crucible. we know somebody is evil or dead maybe it is you for i have to yell ladies that were college republicans said for the entire week they would be only because it was inappropriate to smile because he won. >>. >> but that is at the root of the left right now. >> you talk about president from was also facing an

investigation but those who have broken so many stories. one regarding the efforts committee. the then what everybody else has. >> but this is ancient history. but before a blessing real white men. and then diplomat and rescue that begin. to be on the cover of "time" magazine and scrooge, but i

broke the cryogenics told a crutch the title was how would that gingrich america be to the poor fall of one week later by a "newsweek" had me on the cover as dr. seuss figure called the grinch that stole christmas. those did not hurt at all. so now we get to what it to mistakes in my career. the by the third charge i should have filed a charge against the people who did it. the liberal political abuse of the ethics process.

they knew they were observed and fake they knew that was a constant repetition is somebody files 82 charges but one charge and we also won against the irs. but the one charge they got me but then that they never did anything that was a federal. so i warned the white house to be very careful. to be hired by the ethics committee.

and imagining his bias. now to get anything out of 1 million pages with obstruction of justice so now try some time to remember four years ago it 3:00 in the afternoon and that is what they are up against. so i keep telling everybody at the white house. this is not real estate law is criminal law. this is not a game. and then to elect public and institutions so what of

those were very successful. one better not big enough to compete nationally. but we had to grow the system to be competitive. so what did we 16 years to create a majority literally. some people say 94 was a great year but it wasn't like we magically woke up we were doing this every single year. and. >> as the democrats were working with you and welfare reform and then you wind up

balancing the budget comes with that every structure program and then to repeal the affordable care racked. and those that were part of the senate democrats to sit down to negotiate. because that would not have mattered. >> one so anybody who voted to the hit by a private -- by a primary one so that was plausible so they had that and restrict -- the average tractor to work with democrats won so they were

carrying very large majorities on medical research so it is not inevitable but when schumer m policy say you'd like to work with you to say we will not cooperate with the winter bring back $1 trillion of money. so i believe they can gradually pickoff the every structure bill is the best place to start. >> you were talking in your book it was john mccain

that lindsey gramm has criticized with a former bush administration columnist. >> but clearly they are on their rights. and one was a tory. s like things to be done in the appropriate way so trump by his standard is a buffoon talking in the fourth grade level so a guy who wins a successful hostile i'll take over the republican party

beating hillary and the media is not a buffoon. he may have a style that is different so i try to say to people with "understanding trump" it is always worth trying to understand the president on their own terms. you have to say what is it that they and stand that we didn't? the nose is out of joint but he doesn't actually drink but there are so many ways when he think

he will start becoming presidential? because by definition of what the president does is presidential. so they had a model to alan donald trump tax. >> so those opinion polls are at the record lows. so what do you suggest?. >> to communicate directly with the american people. to not waste time and energy fighting but communicate about jobs or focus on infrastructure and tax cuts to create more jobs they

should spend a full week on the veterans administration they have passed more reform legislation than the other did in the first five months. so they need to figure out that strategy to focus on that veterans rally talking about the greatest achievements in reform to say we must me doing something right is spaces between 39 and 41. so can he add 10 points? of love to say in front of the liberal audience for his second term and the start to

quiver. the mind cannot adjust to that concept. >> we have a microphone. >> as retired navy captain from the first goal for the mirror bloomberg regardless of what the white house does how will that play out. >> being there is a symbolic behavior of the left so as a side note how can rahm emanuel with 4,000 people shot last year to be a sanctuary city how did they

believe could be a criminal alien back on the street so they make great postures. with the paris accord. what does that mean? the na only go to buy electricity because it comes from coal when so it is all public-relations nonsense i asked buddy that is concerned to read it trump's speech was a brilliant economic speech. and he said what trump has done where now we can take the lead on the environment. said china started to promise to do something and

now will move up by 14 years that is fabulous '01 tuesday the chinese take the lead but the truth is is any country in the world to have the same level of carbon loading as in the '70s and there was no chinese industry. this is the problem of the modern left to be a symbolic system as a substitute for thought and with that speech about economics they have said give us a couple trillion dollars why would we give india money? to

attack somebody in atlanta and georgia. >> you mentioned health care so $3 trillion industry but the affordable care act is costing $20,000 per person with highly unaffordable with better health care from what we pay now?. >> this comes from a lot of experience that was probably the most elegant fitting that we did. but the most complex thing i a fairly knowledgeable about

health and national security i would say it is 10 times more complicated and is always a mistake we don't know enough to write big bills they have unintended consequences but sooner or later you have to publish of bill then people will study it and they'll tell you what doesn't work i also think this is a good example were trump has not penetrated so now the senate reconciliation rules and the cbo scoring. that is an artifact of the middle east terror and make no sense as a practical matter. so that senate parliamentarian approves that it is utterly irrational.

locale often that is wrong period they pretend there was a great editorial because the cbo had a really bad score on hillary care. said you could project a 20 or 30 year pattern is absurd . in the true trump world you would abolish the cbo and change the reconciliation rules so to get to maximum personal choice or access to care with 8,000 community health centers if we pay for these where they've been in control component so instead of 100% insurance then leaving canada gets.

if you look at what made has done they have a high risk pool to guarantee coverage and there are ways to do that it is an uncomplicated it isn't that hard to do do the second one i would do and the commissioner who did this by now running for governor so maine passed a rule if you have no children you have to work to get medicaid. the 12,000 males who fit that category 11,000 got jobs. and are no longer on medicaid. it is a radical idea you reduce the number by take

those that need to be so now they air and more money with the real job and the audience stayed a substantial amount of money so do that in california how much money would save and how many people to hate to see them working instead of depending on the government. >> thank-you speaker. so the concept of the intellectual 80 it with the context of the elite media and the bureaucrats is it

possible to get around the bureaucracy in the intellectual idiot? direct for those who have not yet read the book carries an entire article in the book. to have intellectual yet idiot. it comes at a hundred words. it was the most satisfying explanation of what i had not understood of modern government that i had read anywhere. so people who are really good to take the test or write to the essay so with the study of the under professor to take the test in right tsa they get bid

job as a supreme court clerk the problem is that they can write a brilliant essay on how to change a tire but if you have a flat tire they have to call aaa because they have no idea this is the ultimate the of the best and brightest. a great study of leadership decisions early in the book when bin johnson comes back and he says to sam rayburn the quality of the cabinet like mcnamara and goes down the list of brilliant people and then he says i feel a

lot more comfortable. and that texas sheriff was probably asleep and was not doing his job. so what you had with the kennedy cabinet with the theoretical world views so the rationality of the north vietnamese bin they could have beaten them. they were not confuse.

so when you have all these people if there was an opportunity so we could guarantee to guarantee democracy in iraq would not stay one day longer than correa there was no great to get out of korea remember go so then to thank you have a functioning government city star at somalia or yemen or libya or syria iraq, afghanistan but the better part of wisdom to we

know how to do that would be a better example. >> how much do you think the media is responsible for the left-wing attacks?. >> first of all, that is the individual responsibility. and then to say they are deranged. for the comedian who hold of bleeding head of the president is psychological

for those who have that cultural overview. but i do think with those underlying patterns if you look at college campuses is the left look at the news media. cnn is 97 percent -- 90% negative you cannot do that unless it is delivered. nobody feels any shame about that so it is very dangerous and this is why we worry about the justice department 97% of the donations went to

hillary 99% with two hillary so what is the cultural pattern? in a room 97 / three they donate to hillary? but these three for political appointeesand then be gone presently just relax. >> and tuesday during the campaign that she would never deport the illegal immigrant child or his

family i did not believe her campaign rhetoric but have much should that rhetoric be translated into real policy when they become president?. >> but think you're better off to a campaign what you mean as a candidate to say what you mean then you do it for a that is how you build faith in the system we're the first elected house majority in part because we kept our word. the only group that has balance the federal budget in their lifetime so i was

very happy this morning vhs and they will not deport any of the dreamers but on the other hand, obama is the effort to extend that was illegal. said tuesday i will enforce the court order but he did not have the authority is extended 6 million people that was very solomon like decision that they should not be deported and it did so little goofy to say.

below are potentially breaking up families. >> of campaigns communicate symbolically that is not normal of american politics obama promised to keep your insurance policy we knew that was a lie when he said that. you cannot imagine and became a billionaire by selling actually that is kind of mediocre. [laughter] but that brings that baggage

so trump always wants to negotiate down not up we will build a wall and mexico will pay for that. so then congress cut the deal with the democrats but they cannot build the concrete wall so the following day then they release the picture of the steel wall if you negotiate with trump read the fine print he has done more contracts than all of congress combined and knows how to negotiate. [laughter] >> good morning for

acquiring a software engineer working for federal agency. my question is along the line of whistle-blowers you are light years away from the white house so help me to a understand from your perspective a framework of which the software engineers like myself will work with this administration given the animosity of the cyber security issue a represent a software organization of edges cannot help but get your opinion. >> i would hope he would come forward and i will offer specific advice how to offer cybersecurity issues because you know, something

about the topic because you actually know that topic so that would be very helpful and the step to the right direction but second i would hope you try to implement those laws that relate to your job and then not worry about most of the ways and third we have to rethink the current civil service rules that it is totally incompetent the you still keep your job. the people who love their job who want to work hard are drawn down and talk to somebody who runs a small agency and she said she is one person over two years

comes in and puts his head of the desk is sleeps the entire day. one person does not come into years and cannot get the h our department to fire them. that is just crazy that lowers the morale of everybody else so that sets the tone so obey the law it is a great privilege to be able to serve but i also understand if people don't care about the country so i am glad you are here today. if you get them to me i personally will put them in the white house. >> in your opinion what are

the ways the average american person can spend time energy resources to affect change to help the administration?. >> i think first of all, speaking up with your friends calling into talk radio or writing to the editor do a block or tweet there is a lot of things like facebook to reach out to live in the era to find other people who can agree with you i also think frankly it is decentralization away from washington. said to find ways for

everybody at every level to be creative so that they flow back up to washington rather than flowed down. >> what are your thoughts on the election next week?. >> it is probably even many who wins. with over $23 million. and billy the weights of the

money keeps him in the game. so the republican vote is up 16%. and the guess is the college students have gone home. in now to see a significant shift if he visits after $22 billion in then the left low go crazy they have so much more at stake is unbelievable. that is the worst you can

say right now. to the democrats call it getting crazier the national chairman including the u.s. senator so at some point that has a relatively small base that's what happened under captured because reagan never parental left in the united states so like badger he is a mortal threat so the left under thatcher went crazy so the news media

routinely referred to them it is the democrats keep drifting into this insanity 25% of the country. they have done so much on veterans administration and reform with a weak communication system air the bet one does the best veterans' team of all times and they cannot communicate any of that. and then to learn to break past so every american hears them despite the hostility. if they saw that in the left keeps going crazy spell

curate sure owe intellectual giant but just to play devil's advocate is it possible he becomes like mccarthy that was known as a demagogue it took a few years but it got there in to give the framework with the robert mueller investigation you don't think he will find anything with russian money? as they pay triple of funding and flynn you don't think they will be indicted

as the senate voted 98 / 24 russian sanctions? there is a lot of evidence whatsoever but also thank you for the advertisement for the event that will be hearing tuesday to read your questions. [laughter] >> i remember somebody asking that. [laughter] i will take your question at two levels. there is a remarkable play called american betrayal that says that mccarthyism is the great victory of the left because they decided they had to smear record the

-- mccarthy but the underlying truth there were 500 soviet spies but the people on the left today will tell you alger hiss was not a communist spy we know that because for a brief period we had access to their records when the soviet union fell and we know about your hess -- alger hiss was given the highest civilian award in the soviet union because to be such a of a brilliant agent of influence. but professors around this country will passionately teach that richard nixon going after him was terrible also lot of people in

hollywood was communist the reason why reagan became so anti-communist reagan would offer a drink and the guys that i am a stalinist and if he wins that will put you in jail then reagan realizes he was serious but of course, the empire disappears but so the very framing of your question was interesting. i think we shouldn't look at russian influence why did the bank hired john podesta why did the people who wanted uranium give millions of dollars to the canadian foundation? so i am very

happy this is what drives me crazy of the republicans incompetence look at russian influence efforts and the propaganda efforts to start with the clintons so why is it we are really worried about paul but not these other people? what is the difference between john best is brotherwire really were a drab and million dollars? because at the same point to make a decision about uranium wide is that matter? it can because it is impossible for russia to be pro clinton so in this disaster to his credits the other day talk about the

russian ambassador so how about the president said as soon as the election is over i can do stuff i cannot do now? that is what obama is said to the evidence of -- negative but i do think it should be bipartisan with having money poured into the clintons' and frankly i would expand it so how many countries like saudi arabia have professors that give propaganda to the countries that give them money? this is an important long-term question i am very concerned of the government to corrupt the american system would be very helpful to have a deep and fundamental look at how much foreign money

penetrates our culture. . . if

[inaudible conversations] >> okay we are going to start. good evening for joining us. i am of the community relationss manager at the nyu bookstore. this is part of our event series that we have been having for the past seven