wind and solar in power generation rises from 3% in 2009 to 15% in 2035. and hydro, which is a major source of generation, maintains its share at 15%. so overall, we're saying all would be about 30% of world power generation by 2035. >> okay. all right. i think this has all been very useful testimony. we appreciate you all being here. and we will try to stay in touch with you as these trends change. thank you very much. >> thank you.

congressional budget office director douglas elmendorf testifies wednesday about the economy and the federal budget. a cbo report released on tuesday predicts a $1.1 trillion budget deficit this fiscal year. we'll have live coverage of mr. elmendorf's testimony beginning at 10:00 a.m. eastern here on c-span3. this is c-span3 with politics and public affairs programming throughout the week and every weekend, american

history tv. 48 hours of people and events, telling the american story. get our schedules and see past programs at our websites. and join in the conversation on these social media sites. the pentagon's number three official gave her last major speech sunday at the reserve officers association symposium in washington,tedown from the p on friday. this is just under an hour. >> welcome back, everyone. we'll continue with our program, continuing with the excitement. today's presentation titled "d.o.d. policy: a look back and a look ahead" will be in just a minute. before we begin the key speech,

we would like to present the r.o.a. chaplain, lieutenant father vincent robert capidano, chaplain of the year award. the father was the only chaplain to receive the medal of honor. he was killed in action in vietnam in 1967. and we named the award for him about 10 or 15 years ago. presenting this award is majorc cap lynn christina moller, united states army reserve command, command chaplain, and the reverend ron brevold, endorser of chaplain of the year with the international ministerial fellowship. this award is given annually for

extraordinary contribution to the welfare, morale and effectiveness of the military reserve services. chaplain karen hallet served the 411th engineer brigade as the brigade chaplain. originally enlisted in 1983, enlisted in the army, went on to graduate from the united states military academy in 1988. chaplain hallet is an ordained and licensed nondenominational minister of the gospel with credentials and endorsements from international ministerial fellowship. minneapolis, minnesota. she has more than 20 years in ministerial and missionary experience which, in addition to military service as a chaplain, includes organizing and directing missionary efforts in the united states and ghana, west africa.

the recipient of this year's award goes to chaplain captain karen army reserve. chaplain. >> hold this. now let's get everybody in the picture. move over here.

>> you may be seated. >> no, don't be shy. come up here and join me. members of the association, it's with great honor that i'm about to announce to you that our outreach, our congressional outreach, this year has borne much fruit as it relates to our strategic partnership with the united states house of representatives. for the first year, all of our schedules have aligned to where when our members are on the hill visiting with their legislators, chap tin hallet who has been

chosen to be the guest chaplain for the house of representatives by congressmen, the honorable scott garrett from new jersey. and with that note, i would like to encourage all members and anyone who will be in the vicinity of the house of representatives on wednesday to pl or their aides if they could escort you to the gallery to show support for chaplain hallet as she becomes part of history, inducted into thcord with her br and a one-min congressman, praising r.o.a. and a contribution that my esteemed peer and colleague has made on behalf of the republic. chaplain hallet, we congratulate you and thank you for representing us in such an esteemed accomplishment by our legislators.

thank you. >> chaplain hallet, do you have a few words, please. >> people have asked me what this award means. first of all, all glory and honor goes to the lord who called me to this position and has allowed me to serve our soldiers and, of course, in our joint coalition forces, our airmen and our sailors and our marines as well. and secondly, this is an absolute credit to my command, to the 411th engineer brigade, the commander, general weeks, and to the commanders and the staff that allow me to do whatever it is that i need to do in order to serve our soldiers. so credit to those two folks. i've really just done my job.

>> i now turn the time over to major general davis who will introduce our keynote speaker. t absolutely clear that we have five eagle rings, army, navy, air force, marines and coast guard. i had a question about it in the hall. and if you look at the numbers, if you're in the marines or the coast guard, you have a much better chance of winning a ring. so update your profile. about a month ago, "the washington post," the newspaper of record for washington, d.c., and the political trade journal for the united states of amer a

america, had a full-page story on the most powerful woman in the defense establishment. and she is our next speaker and guest today. i'd like to introduce the honorable michelle flornay, undersecretary of defense for policy. she has a bachelor's from harvard and a master's in international relations from oxford. great schools, but our last two speakers are phds from princeson. what's next? her previous positions included center for new american security, one of the most important of the nonpartisan think tanks in washington. principal deputy assistant secretary of defense for strategy and threat reduction and deputy assistant secretary of defense for strategy. we were just chatting. and secretary flornoy's tenure

of service in this undersecretary position will end on friday. we hope that that doesn't diminish her ability to speak forthrightly, boldly and with some controversy and invite all the questions that we can off the floor. again, if you have questions, start writing them as soon as it pops into your mind, pass it to the center, and we will continue the q&a after the secretary's prepared remarks. secretary flornay. >> good morning. the kind introduction. the most important qualification, though, for me to speak to this crowd that was forgotten, and that is i am the wife of a navy reservist.

but it's really an honor to be re and what makes this particularly meaningful for me, as was noted, this is my last public speech in office, as the undersecretary of defense for policy. and i really audience that i would rather sign off with than this one. the r.o.a. is al remarkable organization. not only a professional organization of some 60,000 members from all of the uniformed services, and an advocate for the 1.5 million americans who are now serving in but also an educational body that seeks public understanding of national security issues. as many of you have no doubt know, the roa's corporate charter was signed into law in 1950 by president harry truman.

there's something very fitting about the fact that an organization dedicated to promoting public awareness of national security issues would be so recognized at that particular moment in time by that particular president. afterall, it was a moment of profound transition in the world. and in our own defense establishment. the world war ii had ended only five years before, and a new cold war soviet union was just beginning in earnest. moscow had just carried out its first successful atom bomb test in august of 1949. another wartime ally, china, had just seen the end of a long civil war and mao's forces were now leading the world's most populist nation. on the neighboring korean peninsula, the year 1950 would see an invasion of the south by the north and quickly drew in the forces of the united states the world.

in response to these and other changes in the security landscape, president truman and truly extraordinary group of senior advisers responded by embarking on a series of programs and reviews and ghtbout fundamental changes of the national security and foreign policy systems, and think about it, the marshall plan and the establishment of the department of defense and an independent air force, and the formation of the cia, and the development of multinational bodies like nato, the united nations, and the development of nsc 68 and the containmenthe soviet union. this multidimensional response drawing upon a range of american diplomatic and economic and cultural and military resources proved to be quite successful i setting the stage for ultimate victory in the cold war. with that victory some observers holl history

had come to an end, and that fe ba -- global policy and that obviously did not come to pass as i vents on 9/11 and other events made all too clear. in the years we have passed one sign post after another, and marking the arrival of an even more complex strategic era. the swift growth of china's economy and the though quite opaque modernization of the armed forces, the emergence of asymmetric and hybrid forms of challenges for states and militaries. the arrival of cyber space as a domain of potential conflict and one that forces us to revisit long-standing ideas of deterrence and culpability, and the very definition of warfare, itself. the potentiale st dangerous tec

in the world, and particularly to irresponsible regimes. north korea has tested nuclear weapons and iran continues to w capability in violation of the treaty obligations and and the emergence of broad international norms and the security consequences are potentially enormous but still somewhat unclear from the arab awakening to the global climate change and as if all of this weren't enough in 2008 we suffered the most acute financial crisis stiince the grt depression, and shaking the foundation of america's security, our economic strength. this is requiring some painful adjustments and as you know the budget control act passed by congress would have $478 billion be found in savings in the department's budget over the

next decade. several observers at home and abroad have looked at the factors and concluded that we are embarking on an era of long-term u.s. decline. a steady erosion of american leadership in the world. i'm here to tell you that i strongly, strongly disagree with this thesis. while the challenges are undeniable, they are no greater frankly than those that previous generations of americans have fac faced, including harry truman and his advisers early on in the cold war. that generation of statesmen and officers met the challenge cans of their time by thinking strategically and seriously and practically about how to sustain u.s. leadership, and in a time of great change. that is exactly what prompted his president, president obama, panetta to undertake a

comprehensive review of the defense strategy and the forestructure at this time. the department, the title of the guidance of the department recently released sustaining u.s. global leadership, and principles for the 21st century, and it was chosen very deliberately, and with with the emphasis throughout the review from president obama to secretary panetta on down has been at the size, structure and capabilities of the military must be driven by strategy, and not the other way around. to protect our country and maintain u.s. leaderership, we need to set smart sensible priorities for the future. at the outset of the review, secretary panetta laid out four main principles to guide us which in turn also guided plan rolled out last week. first he said we must maintain

the world's finest military and one that supports and sustains the global leadership role of the united states. second, we must avoid hallowing out the force and a smaller and ready and well equipped military is preferable to a larger force without adequate investment or modernization, and third, savings must be achieved in a balanced manner and everything must be on the table, and no sacred cows including potentially sensitive areas to likely provoke opposition and congress, industry, and some advocacy groups. fourth, we have to preserve the quality of the all volunteer force and not break faith with the men and the women who serve and with their families. i think that the strategic guidance remains true to all four of the principles. the force of the future that it outline

outlines will remain capable across the spectrum of missions, while it will be smaller of necessity, it will also be flexible, agile and above all ready. this force is going to be called upon to meet a very broad range of challenges and objectives, and the new guidance laid out a series of strategic elements including the l increasing our emphasis on the asia pacific and sustaining the forces in the middle east while keeping america's article five commitments in europe. the protection of investments in vital areas such as special operations forces, isr, precision strike, counter-wmd and cyber space and ensuring that the u.s. can still conduct combat operations and still effectively deal with aggression in more than one theater at a time. it is not a question of whether we are able to confront more than one adversary at a time, but it is a question of how and how the operational concepts are

evolving and changing to meet the future. our ground forces to meet sustained and operational forces and somewhat smaller and ground force operations to respond ta to a wider range of surges, and to immobilize and counter any threat around the world and that is a degree to what we call reversibility to ensure that the forces are not caught off guard by unforseen or swiftly developing threats. this is critical about a humility of the ability to predict the future. in the weeks since the president and the secretary of defense and the chairman of the joints chief of staff and the chiefs stood altogether at the pentagon to introduce the new strategic

guidance, this document has generated a fair amount of speculation, and this is washington, afterall. are we adhering to the two war foresighting construct or abandoning to it? as we commit to the asia pacific will other parts of the world be neglected? by shifting away from the foresighting the ground forces for large scale operations, are we turning our back on the hard-fought lessons of the last decade? and most important of all by slowing the historic post 911 military spending as congress required us to do, are we signaling somehow that we are entering a period of american global en trtrenchment and retr from the world? as i mentioned earlier, the new strategy to sustain global leadership was quite deliberate. we are retaining full capability

to confront more than one aggressor anywhere in the world even if we are engaged. in large scale operations we will be quickly to identify the objectives of an opportunistic adversary and impose acceptable costs in another theatre of the world. even as we rebalance the posture toward asia pacific and continue to place a premium on the presence in the middle east, we will uphold the nato commitments, including through new rotational deployments of additional ground nato forces announced by secretary panetta a few weeks ago and in other areas of the world such as asia and africa, we will continue to develop a small footprint and innovative approaches to maintain the presence, an invest in our relaktionships with partner nations at relatively low cost. the use of an austere base in

djibouti for the recent soft rescue of two aide workers held in somalia is how effective such presence can be. and even if we no longer size the army and the marine corps for large scale multi-year operations like those in afghanistan and iraq, we are establishing ways to retain the key expertise and the lessons learned so that subsequent generation of americans do not have to painfully relearn them as we did after vietnam. the underlying theme that runs through all of this is an emphasis on flexibility, agility, readiness, on retaining capability across the full spectrum of missions. our leadership in an era of complex challenges and hard fiscal choices. consider for example one of the most discussed words in the

strategic guidance and i mentioned it before, rever reversibility. some have seized on this word as a sign that somehow the principles are not firmly fixed or that the decisions on key programs are subject to rapid change. in fact, reversibility means something completely different. it refers to our ability to make co response to strategic economic and technological change. for example evenb as we reduce the overall ground forces, we keep a relatively high p proportion of mid grade officers if we need a premium to build up the forces quickly. in the context the guard and the reserve will play an extremely important role. it is your expertise, your dedication and your commitment and your readiness that will enable our military to have the built-in adaptability and

resourcefulness that we have described. we expect the reserve components to continue to provide both an operational and strategic reser reserve in the future. they continue to be a source of innovative approaches to building the capacity of critical partners around the world. here, i want to take a moment to highlight the state partnership program which pairs the national guard units of a given state with a particular partner country. one of the first such partnership relationships was established back in 1993 between the illinois national guard and the polish military. since then illinois guardsmen and polish forces have deployed together to both iraq and afghanistan, and the troops from the land of lincoln have helped the polls with such matters of a stronger nco corps along the american model. as for the reserves, we have already begun to see a further

expansion of the missions and the responsibilities to help the nation meet urgent national needs. in the national defense authorization act of a fiscal year '12 for example, there are provisions allowing the service secretaries to call up, up to 60,000 reservists into active duty for as long as a year outside of times of war and emergency. this allows greater access to reserve comb poent ve component commanders and also allows the secretary of defense to activate reservists up to 120 days upon request from a state governor for a disaster or emergency situation. before this, as many of you know, this was notab possible. it deprived us of access to the great expertise that n such a s. these provisions reflect to awareness of the part of the

administration on the hill and just how important the reserve can be to our security across the range of potential situations. whirl the guard and the reserve will be essential components of the future force there remains many questions about the future role. for example, how should reserve component units returning from combat be reset? how should we reset their equipment and training in light of the new strategy recognizing that we can't afford to place equal emphasis on all scenarios and mission sets? what types of skill sets and units should be considered as candidates for the operational reserve that we d be activated and deployed more frequently than normally the case. what types of units if any can be held at lower levels of readiness and utilized in tims s of large scale protracted conflict, and how can we as a department and community as a

nation do a better job of ensuring that our guard and reserve members are not unfairly penalized by current or potential employers in what is already a difficult economy. the obama administration is extremely serious about expanding career opportunities for veterans and we have la launched a series of ip ishtives to help out. but there is certainly much more to be done in this arena. i'd like to conclude my remarks on a note of optimism. one of the reasons that i so strongly believe that we will indeed see a period of sustained american leadership is that when circumstances are difficult, we as a country, as a people do find a way to come together for the broader national interest. we have seen a broader practical illustration of this in the recent "review" in that