in 2009 2 5.9% today. because youre here want the state to keep cutting in the right direction. all, you are here because this election will determine what happens on every single one of these issues. you guys are lively here. you guys are all fired up. [applause] you guys want this to be a respiratory rally. come on up here on stage. -- you cannot yell in the audience unless you are going to vote. [applause] every single issue that you care

,bout, whether it's schools towns, dreamers or neighborhoods, so many of those decisions are made by your governor. understand this -- this is local politics. more of us have to understand how it works and that is why you are here for dan malloy. because over the past four years, you have seen with your own eyes how this man has transformed this date while other governors were cutting education. your governor invested in your schools and test scores are up, regulation rates are up. [applause] that is real work. dan malloy help create 60,000 jobs. paid sick leave, something everyone, especially our young people should

understand. wage, onethe minimum of the most important things that will help working class families get some stability. he fought for equal pay for women. [applause] come on, ladies. his governor has shown such a compassion after he sat with those grieving families in newtown, he said never again. he has the courage to stand up and pass commonsense gun reform. rate here inime connecticut is at a 40 year low. we can't forget why we are here today. you know who dan stands for. you know who your governor fights for. he fights for you.

dan malloy is your governor. imagine as he to achieves so much and for years, just imagine what he could do if you gave him another four years. talk grassto tactics. i'm happy to feel the energy. i'm happy to hear the hecklers because it shows folks are rubbed the and it's important. but there is work that must be done that doesn't happen just because we will feel good about it. it happens because we work for it. we need to do everything in our power to reelect dan malloy. we've got to do it.

be easy.ot going to we know there's too much money in politics. we know special interests have way too much influence. plenty ofer, they had money and plenty of influence in 2008 and 2012 and barack obama still won those elections. [applause] why he wont to know those elections? because we showed up and we voted. that is why. the folks running those special interest groups who poured millions into those elections, they each have just one vote and so do each of us. what decideare

elections in this country will stop make no mistake, every single one of these vote matters because the selection is going to be incredibly close. we know something about close. i want you to think back to dan's race in 2010 because the outcome of that election was decided by 3200 votes. just than give 3200 people had voted for his opponent instead, dan would have lost. i like to break stuff down. when you take that 3200 and break it down, that is for votes per precinct. take that and for a moment. that is for votes per precinct. if there is anyone here who think their vote does not

matter, if there is anyone who thinks that voting is not worth their time or you know young people sitting on the couch, votes sout those four ,e cannot afford to miss out this is real. think about your passion, think about things you care about. need now, here is what i you to do right now. i want you all to make it plan. sometimes people don't vote because they don't have a plan. make a plan. when are you going to vote? where are you going to go. do you need a ride? do you need babysitting? are you going to take somebody with you can't get there on your own. plan.t to make a just like everything. stuff doesn't just happen.

everybody here has got to figure out how they are going to make their voices heard. organize. haven, this is fun. i've got a lot of help on this speech today. are going to make this happen. you guys are helping me out all through my speech. november 4,and spend every single minute you have doing the groundwork, knocking on doors, finding neighbors, making phone calls for dan malloy. is how it happens. then on november 4, get yourself, get everyone you know and if you haven't registered yet, that's ok.

people, for those who may not have registered, you can register on november 4 end of the very same day. is. is how easy it there is no excuse. get a congregation workers and coworkers -- voting here couldn't be easier. all you got to do a show up will even the homeless can vote. i love new haven. [applause] i love it. don't be left out. your friends will be there, your neighbors will be there. you will be joining millions of folks across the country making their voices heard on the issue they care about. that is how you make change.

all those folks are doing this because they know elections matter. they know what is at stake on november 4 because if we stay home on election day, all we are doing is letting other folks decide the out come of our lives for us. exactly that, we know what will happen. we will see less support for our kids schools. we will see more folks interfering in women's private decisions about our bodies and our health care. that, you know. we will see more special breaks for those at the top instead of hard-working folks. connecticut, i want to be very clear. you believe folks who are working full-time shouldn't have to live in poverty in the wealthiest nation on the planet, if you think every community in this state should have good jobs

, that we should have commonsense gun laws that keep you thinkes safe, if every child in connecticut should have the education they need from preschool to college to fulfill every last bit of their god-given potential, then you need to get everyone you know to vote for dan malloy for governor. you've got to do it. end, that is what has -- that is what it at -- that is what is at stake -- that's the kind of world we want to leave for our kids and grandkids. those kids are counting on us. these young people here are counting on us to stand up for them. i know these kids and you know these kids. they are here. country all over the and that's why we have to stay focused.

i will tell you a story about , one of mye kids mentees in washington. her father was murdered when she was a baby. for years, her family was homeless. there were days she didn't have clean clothes to wear to school, but that did not stop her. she showed up every morning to school on time. herself into every class and often had to wake up in the middle of the night just to do her homework because it's the only time it was quiet. but by her senior year, she earned a 4.0 gpa. [applause] she graduated as valedictorian of her class. she is on full scholarship at georgetown

university. [applause] and as i travel across this kidsry, i meet so many kidslike her every day, who are working two or three kidsto save up for jobs, whose parents don't speak a word of english and are fighting so hard to make it in this country. kids who are out there on their own waking up early, staying up late, studying as hard as they can because they know that is the only way to make it. what the president thinks about is these kids have every reason to give up. saidhey are so hungry, desperate to lift themselves up,

and that is why we are here today. get it twisted, that is why we are here today. as barack and i tell ourselves every day, because those kids never give up, neither can we. november, wend need to be energized for our kids. we need to be inspired for them. we need to pour everything we have into this election so they can have every opportunity to build the future they deserve. this is on us. the kids who are desperate to make it into this country, the kids working every day to get out of high school to get into college, we are standing up to them and for them.

up, i amp stepping confident we can keep making the change we believe them. we can reelect dan malloy as governor and i know we can build a future worthy of all of our children's dreams. inc. you all. get it done. [applause] >> president obama is in connecticut -- in connecticut today to show support for dan malloy's election bid. it's one of two stops the president is making today.

philadelphia be in for an event with tom wolfe who is running for governor of pennsylvania. we will have that tonight on c-span shortly after 7:00 eastern. senator rand paul recently spoke on behalf of pennsylvania , dan corbett. president obama's roll this onction cycle we heard about the go. the democraticof and republican senatorial campaign committee's. they talked about outreach. this is about one hour.

>> today, we are hosting the executive director of the national public and senatorial committee, rob collins, and his counterpart from the democratic ,enatorial campaign committee and this is only the second time they have appeared together in the first time in public. we are excited to hear their look ahead to the coming up election day. we will also be taking your questions by twitter. we would like to thank the bank of america for supporting these events, the playbook event series is about the issues and policies that matter most in washington. we have had a lot of fun events on the road throughout this

midterm election cycle. we thank you for making this conversation and partnership possible. [applause] >> thank you very much. start tweeting your questions to playbook lunch. -- therning on politico crystal ball was headlined "bet on a gop senate majority. how sure are you he is right? >> we feel pretty good. we are working hard and our campaigns are working hard. at the end of the day,

candidates matter and as mitch mcconnell says, this is the best recruiting class in 30 years. our job is we are not on the votet and we don't get one will stop our job is to put campaigns in the position to win by recruiting in them, investing in them and giving them the best tactics and strategies and technologies and everything else how you doending on the math, we have between eight and 10 campaigns that are on the razor's edge. ofre we started in february 2013, the dems were going to take the house and we are really pleased with our progress. i think all the prognosticators arestatistically, the odds republicans will take the senate and we feel great where we are. tulare and nate silver -- if

they are wrong and it can happen, why would that be? >> i missed the headlines predicting a super majority last year. the fact of the matter is despite the historical trends, that have taken place in the last hundred years where the president's party has lost it all but one and despite the fact there are nine states within the margin of area -- arjun of error, and states with the present lost, despite all of are onight to 10 races the razor's edge, within the margin of error. from our perspective, the question that is going to be put to voters is not -- put to voters is not how do you feel about the president or what do you think about what is happening in washington, it's going to be about the two people actually on the ballot.

>> given the environment that you have, why are there eight to 10 races on the razor's edge? >> we are going as incumbents and where we are not, they are purple and blue states and incumbents are really hard to beat. three in the last 10 years have been beat. 86 raceanalogous to the reside big republican class come in with reagan and in an 86, you saw the same class had more money and a better turnout machine and beat the heck out of a bunch of democrats. arkansas, georgia, north withina -- they all one 50.9 the entire time. that is how we have always framed it up. look at how we have conducted ourselves. we have tried to push these races over. incumbents are tough to beat.

the good news is our incumbents are looking good right now and we've got them all through the primary for the first time since 2008. wereg out incumbents that well-funded and had huge name id game that, a ground had been put to work before. we went in with a lot of candidates who had not been put in before. three closeste races in the country? >> i think georgia would be at the top of the list. courses changed over the of the last five or six weeks. colorado is a close race. those are the three i think will be closest. >> i put north carolina and new hampshire. 96% of voters will vote on

election day in new hampshire. movement has been toward scott brown, same with north carolina. >> scott round's movement has to have surprised just about everybody, probably including him. not to beys said, argumentative, but we said after the primary that the republican base is going to go to the republicans in that race is going to tighten up. i think he has run the race that he predicted, which is at it would be a short race, hard race and what he said to me when we were talking about running was i want to be on the ground shaking hands and he's done an unbelievable job of it. >> how do you explain his durability and closeness and he's not even from their westmark >> i think the most important number is that the, which is the number jeanne shaheen has never been below in the course of our polling which has her now at 52%.

new hampshire is a notoriously fickle state. house members have flipped back and forth. we prepare for and expect those races everywhere, which is why over the last eight cycles we have one most of the close races everywhere. but the't surprise us problem for scott brown is that it is a two-way race and 47% doesn't do it. >> nate silver says republicans a 64.0% chance of winning on theority, the upshot new york times gives republicans the moderate edge and the lost -- the washington post is hedging their bets, saying republicans have a 92% chance to control the senate. a guy on the way over here in the cab, the subject line says guy cecil is cautiously

optimistic why? >> i would offer for other predictions nate over has made over the last election cycle. >> are you going to go negative on nate silver? >> i'm going to go factual. heidiwas a 7% chance heitkamp was going to win and a 37% chance jon tester was going to win. there was less than 30% chance -- the one thing all of those people have in common is that they want. that's not to say nate silver is going to be wrong in every race but we are on a razor's edge. to be wrong to make a difference in terms of who controls the authority. polls, we knowal in the top 10 races in this cycle, but all of those are on the other side of the number. today is headlines --

president obama is costing them a credit control of the senate. true? >> false. i'm glad to jump on that one. i appreciate his perspective. he also predicted kerry lynn lane would be in a margin of error race. all of these are gnostic asians is not aboutis barack obama personally. -- everyagan lost president in their second midterm has the challenges this president has. going to nationalize this election play on the terrain of the republican party. the number two issue log -- among all voters is education. why? we have made it about education. i think a bit of the hyperbole

around the president is overplayed will stop >> has president obama done enough to help senate democrats? have's done everything we asked. he's raised over $25 million for senate democrats. available his entire data operation which is the best in the country. he has made available every just to lookthe -- at whether the president stopped at a restaurant in a medium market is the only member -- only measure by which he is judged -- >> what are you going to say? a second,ous for there's a pretty bearish outlook, understanding is not about the president, but to what degree is it in part because of the president? headwinds you face are real will stop >> it is indicative of a math it is difficult for democrats regardless of who the president is. that's the important part.

we are dealing with states like arkansas, alaska, louisiana, many of which the senate candidate is the only democrat elected state wide or is the only democrat elected to congress. is less perspective, it about identifying and isolating the president as the number one issue and recognizing what the fact that our, that irrespective of who the president is, we are dealing with a set of states that are more republican than they are democrat. up -- if you are going to be writing stories and doing commentary on election night, how hope all has the president then to your -- how helpful has the president been to your camp? >> the challenge the democrats have had as they have a president of 42% approval. >> let's talk about your candidates. how has the president or the environment help you.

you have a president who your baseline is an unpopular president. presidents under 50% lose on average. look at the past summer we had -- obamacare rollout, the generic ballot slip, republicans move in that direction. the border crisis, ukraine, ebola,isis and then use where it's not me speaking. the president has not gotten high marks will stop foreign policy, he's got the worst job approval. approval is 4, 5, 6 points worse. it helps us recruit and talk to people and say there is an opportunity here to serve and when. there's an opportunity to talk to the american people and say there is an alternative to

mother is a different direction. if you believe midterms are about the president and presidential czar about the future, this is about where we are right now. the american people have lost confidence in the economy in the last month and feel we are on the wrong track. they feel this president has not led in the right way. it has everything to do with his job approval and our candidates are comfortable talking about that. >> how much of the difference has it: made? >> majority of americans inc. the president has handled the ebola crisis well. >> it has contributed to an extreme unease. >> you are isolating these inevitable issues. if we go back to the v.a. or we go back to ukraine, there are a dozen commentators saying this is the issue that's going to matter most. the context through which to

look on this is that in north carolina, we are going to spend between the two parties over $100 million. in alaska, one congressional district, $55 million will stop the ability to break through when every other commercial is a paid advertisement for the campaign is overstated. go back to north carolina or let's talk about georgia, david purdue's unfavorable rating has risen over the course of the last seven weeks, the same seven weeks we are talking about ebola. in georgia, it's a contest between the two people on the ballot and not just a referendum on an individual crisis or challenge the president faces. are we nationalizing the election or is it a choice between the two people? tois clear republicans want nationalize it and democrats want to make about the two candidates on the ballot. that's a question that over the course of the next month we will

have when the elections are finally finished will stop -- finally finished. >> tom talks about education -- talking about social security -- talking about all the above, talking about education, we have invested a lot of run a, not only in positive ads.

talking about local issues, we have framed we have framed it through the prism of a group of incumbents voting with the president. an unpopular president over 90% of the time. but we have talked about local issues. that narrative is not accurate. >> you all work together. which state is the biggest surprise? >> georgia. at the point we met last time, we were down seven or eight points. today, we are up three points, 47%. we have 8.5% or 9% undecided. >> why has the -- >> because we have done the opposite of what the republicans have done. we have localize the election. when you look at the case he made and what voters are seeing, they are coming to terms with david purdue's record.

the biggest issue is outsourcing. also, david purdue is probably the worst republican candidate of the cycle. for a candidate to stand at a podium -- >> worse than senator roberts? >> close call. [laughter] worst nonincumbent. >> there are plenty of bad democratic candidates, don't worry. >> is not often that a candidate says i was only sued by 2000 women for gender dissemination. by most measures, that would be seen as being sued by a lot of women. [laughter] so i think it is a combination of the fact that purdue has been inadequate candidate.

michelle nunn is the single best candidate we have this cycle as a challenger. >> who's the worst democratic candidate? >> that's a good question. so many. >> who has underperformed and been weaker than you expect? >> kay hagan. i thought she has hid behind a big pile of money. she has not been out with her voters. missing a debate that was covered by the top three political journalists was a mistake. the denver post endorsing cory gardner. there is a clearly striking change from endorsing democrats. endorsements, you have to be cautious not to overthink them. it is an indication of a campaign that is a little off. >> you know colorado better than anyone in this room. technically a purple state but many are thinking of it as a blue state. why has he done so well?

>> because it is a purple state. republicans won almost every statewide office. they defeated a sitting democratic congressman. most of what happened under the aiken looper and bennett was republican. in a state like colorado or iowa, purple states would be competitive. that has been true in the case. the one thing i think, and this is a misperception, is that mark udall has spent all his time talking about choice and contraception. 50% of his as have not talked about choice and contraception. 2010, we had a dozen editorials written against us that we were making choice

and contraception a big issue. there was no way republicans were ever going to roll back choice and reproductive rights. we have seen over the course of time that they have done exactly that. this idea that somehow talking about choice and contraception is a disqualifier, i'm trying to think of a nice word i can say. it shows a misunderstanding, especially, of women in suburban colorado. who see it not just as a social issue but economic issue. >> who all agree are the key to the election. >> absolutely. >> they are the key. the war on women they have tried to nationalize has not worked. in the latest polling they have , a seven point advantage. it is not enough. they have turned off voters.

they should have been talking about the economy. instead, they pivoted into the single issue and it has not worked and turned off people. >> everyone in the room and the live stream is a pundit. some get paid for it. the others are volunteers. everybody here has a conversation in their circle of influence. a little pungent prep here. on election night, what is the state we can watch for how the night will go? >> new hampshire, north carolina is a go for us. obama had many paths to get to the 280 -- we have a lot of paths to get the majority. some in runoff scenarios. the east coast states will post early.

if we do well in one vote, keep , and then looking to the west to alaska. we will not get returns until 1:00 or 2:00. that is what we are looking at. >> do agree that new hampshire and north carolina are bellwethers? >> i would add georgia in their, iowa. alaska, the reality is in rural parts the state, in some cases the ballots will not be cast for four or five days. we are spending a lot of time preparing for a runoff and recounts. just to be prepared. those two states, georgia and probably the ones that will probably give you a good impression of what is going to happen. >> if republicans take the majority, we will know that when? >> i would predicted election

night, meaning my election night, before i go to bed. i feel good about where we are. how the races are closing. the momentum and enthusiasm. how the independents are breaking. key constituencies. they rely on either through early voting or just in polling, they are not where they need to be. i think election night, we could have not an early night but a majority. >> the runoff in louisiana, virtually certain. >> i think it is most likely. yes. >> you think likely? >> yes. >> georgia? >> there is a path for us to get to 50. i am pretty coveted david perdue will not hit 50 on election night. >> you agree, likely runoffs in both? >> there are more scenarios. there are more polls that say we

are up. >> actually one of the last seven. that sounds like most. >> there have been five public polls that have perdue up. >> we will check on that. >> i guess i would say this. we had a dip in the polls during the outsourcing debate. it is what it is. it tightened up. now we are seeing david perdue nudge back up. it is a republican state. the early voting has not been where it needs to be for the democrats. there is a path for david to hit 50. we are prepared for both scenarios. we will be to finance it. >> how heavily do the national parties play in that? some but he told me, between the be $35es, a runoff could million.

>> i think 35 million is a conservative estimate. when you think about 55 million in alaska, georgia is a large state. atlanta is a big media market. you have five media markets in louisiana. already, we are already at $10 million in television reservations in louisiana. we haven't even gotten to election day yet. >> while we are on that, you think each of them could be 50 million? >> between $35 million and $45 million. >> if the majority is on the line, sure. >> journalists will have a good time, spending their thanksgiving and christmas in atlanta and new orleans. >> and new year's. >> and new year's. on the issue of early voting, i was looking at the north carolina numbers. the fact of the matter is the margin between democrats and republicans in early votes right now is almost 17%.

that is a larger margin between democrats and republicans than the last president election. when you look at iowa, the largest number of individual voters are actually democratic gop voters who did not vote in 2010. 75% of republican votes are -- in a number of places, we have seen a change in the makeup of the early vote. animals every case, to benefit democrats. in almost every case, to benefit democrats. >> we are going to come to jonathan in a second. how will the undercount of hispanic voters in the polls play out? >> that has been one of the primary challenges in colorado. in 2010, there were five or six polls that showed ken buck was winning among hispanics. that michael bennet's lead was within 10 points. we went on to win. i think hispanics in colorado,

native alaskans are also undercounted in alaska. it could play a large role in either election. >> in the new york times, polls are likely to undercount democrats. it is easier for pollsters to lean republican. you're clearly feeling good. do you worry about polling data? any flashbacks to 2012? >> we have been really tough on our pollsters. the polling community has changed the mix and technology they are using. it has given us a more, richer mexican polling. you a moreng to give three-dimensional look. you always question. that is the nature of any successful venture. we are always questioning, but also after 2012, how can you

not? after 2012, we learned a lot of lessons. if anything, i feel good about where we are. we are seeing a preponderance of polls that favor our worldview. we are not fooling ourselves and saying, our polling is the right is wrong.eir polling we are constantly checking and looking at the mix. and are we waiting or did we actually speak to them? are we extrapolating based on a few interviews? it is time-consuming and more expensive and the pollsters do not like it, but that is the challenge we face in becoming a smarter party after 2012. the only signs you have in a campaign is a poll. >> jonathan? >> wanted to ask about kansas.

>> no south dakota question? >> it was said it is an impossibility that he will caucus with republicans if he wins in kansas. so, my question is whether or not you agree with that and are republicans ruling out they would go to him the day after the election and try to convince him to caucus with them? i know you don't have a candidate in kansas -- how do you assess that raise? >> republican senators do not caucus with private citizens. it would be hard to understand how that can happen. all the movement has been towards roberts. public polling has this type. we have ourselves up, where we need to be. the roberts campaign released an ad, and endorsement ad by the

popular football coach. we feel good. state party is high functioning. we have a great ground game. pat roberts is going to win. >> i asked you hypothetically. i know we have engaged in hypotheticals. >> i love hypotheticals. >> if he wins, are you saying republicans will not go to him and say, try to convince him? >> i am on the political side of the equation. i will leave that to the policy equation. >> it's possible? leadership will try to have as many voices at the table supporting republican policies. if that is part of the equation, it is part of the equation. those are decisions made in the great big white building in the middle of the city, not where i live.

>> either of you may buzz in. excuse me, go ahead. >> i think the leader will try to get him to join the republicans. the fact of the matter is, we do not have a candidate. we are not polling in the race. we are not investing in the race. we see the same polls as everyone else, which is it is a jump ball. i will expect that it will go until election day. >> either of you may buzz in. which of you has the technology edge in this election? >> listen, voter vault has been a tremendous asset. it was created in 2002. it provides great historical data. it got a little threadbare. the movement itself inside and outside the party structure has

invested over $50 million in data. we don't have the real-time application we had in 2012. i think we have made massive strides and it has worked well. some mayoral races, florida 13, where we went head to head with the democrat technology and turnout machine. it performed well. the proof will be in the pudding on how we do tuesday and the runoffs . . but based on the cultural changes, in which we have the data, i think that has been an unbelievable change. i was joked it is hard to turn an elephant. you have to smack him hard. we got smacked hard and we turned him. >> you are turning? >> we are turning. do we catch up? i don't know.

can you catch up to something built over the course of the obama presidency? we are going to have to find out. a massive investment and cultural change. really make it a priority. early returns show we are doing all right. possible in the technology area that was not possible in 2012? >> one of the things we decided early was we were going to try to apply lessons learned both in senate races in the presidential race. that is why, in addition to bringing on field and technology folks, we also brought on board the president's analysts team. we brought on the presidents deputy campaign manager. to serve as advisors for our field director. the real-time application, i -- talking a couple of days ago.

our ability to go in and look at, from my office, the organizer in the arctic circle office. to see whether the doors have been knocked on, the goals have been met. to look at the flake rate of volunteers. >> what is the flake rate? >> that would be the number of volunteers who sign up but do not show up. that allows us to adjust the total number we need. also on the early vote up east. piece.y vote i think maybe four or five days ago, the rnc put out a huge press release the first time in history that republicans have passed democrats for early voting in iowa. they have been silenced since then. since then everyone of those days we have outpaced them in both requests and returns. we have about 835,000 vote lead. we are looking at unaffiliated voters.

which are most likely to vote for different candidates. the real-time application of the data, the ability of us and campaigns to share facts, is something that has moved leaps and bounds. >> what have you learned about technology that will help your presidential candidate in 2016? >> the further application. >> what is the next frontier? what are you hoping to do? >> the better the date it is, the more robust the data is, the better the application is going to be. the actual ability to not only target your mail to a household but target your individual television ad to a particular household is a huge next step. it could certainly happen within the next four years to six years. >> what have you learned about

your electorate? your voters? that will help your presidential -- that will2016 shape how the 2016 primaries run? >> all the talk about the republicans being a regional party and having demographics against us is a talking point. >> wait a minute. you think the demographics are working for you? >> i think what we have learned is that if we engage these audiences, if you talk broadly but also specifically, almost to the household level -- there are predictive analytics that say they can predict how the kids will start voting. that is how in-depth you can get. you can do well and do better. we spoke about the gender gap. also, if you look at millennials.

2010, -12. plus four.we are >> what did you make of that? >> the same of what i make of most public polls. >> now you are going negative on harvard? >> this is not a nationalized election. this is not about the president. we are operating in an election -- in some cases the elections are going on three weeks. whenever you have midterm elections where the environment is difficult, the map is difficult, the coverage is difficult, or a president who like every president that is at 40%, you are going to see these types of changes. not just among millennials but all voters. the reality is that republicans find a new ways to alienate the emerging coalitions.

that happens to be the emerging american coalition. you can't expect to welcome latinos when they are running ads attacking democrats for supporting a bill that was originally authored by marco rubio. that is not the way you expand your election. they are basically picking up the shovel and digging their graves for the 2016 and 2018 elections by alienating young people, unmarried women, african-americans, latinos. ultimately that is a failing , philosophy of politics but of government. >> i think you heard you say, when you get away from generalities and look at specific audiences, you are more optimistic. what is the most encouraging demographic trend for republicans? listen, long-term demographics are something for other people to worry about.

our job is 22 months. >> you saw clues. >> it is hard for me to make broad generalizations looking out 10 years. we don't study that. i would be honest and say, outreach to younger voters and single women has shown in impact. we can move votes if we talk to them. if we invest the time, talent, and resources of our people. we have seen that movement. it implies a status model. the democratic and republican parties will be on these paths and america is going to change. tremendous changes going on within the republican party. if you look at our leaders, and

who is going to run for president, who was going to do things in the future, we have diversity on our side. if hillary clinton does not run, they have none. they have a bunch of blues dates -- states. >> what is the diversity on your site? >> look at our candidates. , brian paul, ted cruz sandoval. >> a lot of people running for president. >> it is a better bench than yours. >> what has been your most effective surrogate? >> over the course of the last couple of weeks, president clinton and secretary clinton have been remarkably effective. in particular, there is not a better communicator to women who are going to decide the election than secretary clinton.

the other great surrogate for us in terms of motivating our base and getting volunteers excited has been senator warren, who has traveled around the country. we have been the beneficiary of a handful of surrogates. president clinton and secretary clinton bring a lot to the table. >> who's your most eager surrogate? >> you change the question. my answer would have been barack obama. he was always able to say, my policies are on the ballot. that was helpful. we don't have the president or first lady. a former resident or first lady on the stump. we have had john mccain. mitt romney. rand paul, jeb bush, marco rubio. they have been engaging. they are not only going out but they are bringing them in.

saying, come to my state. i want to help you out. it has been a great effort. i'm sure i forgot somebody. what has been gratifying is how many people have said the senate thing, even though i may not be in the senate or have visions outside this one race, everyone gets how important this is. they are working hard. we are going to see that continue through the election. >> a question from the playbook reader. with the map and environment you have, how could you possibly let guy out raise you. >> the nrc has been a small committee. they are in the majority. obviously to the victor goes the spoils. they got the spoils. i would say this. they raised $30 million more than we have. however, if you look at spending and our cost of fundraising, we

have been able not only to the -- be competitive over the summer, when they had a spending advantage between their party and outside groups, but also to wo things have been important factors. last month, we have been competitive. we had a great september. we were able to keep cost down. two, we have had a partner. we've had a partner that has $100 million that they have invested in races. governor, house, senate, dogcatcher. the focus on the senate, we have focused energy to build a world-class ground game. while we got outspent on tv and it has been a challenge, we have been competitive. they will outspend us. we knew that going in. february, 2013, nothing would have changed to change that

fact. the important fact is we have enough resources that people get there is a choice. based on the incumbents. it is not just one-sided. >> how helpful has mayor bloomberg been? >> i don't think he has done any fundraising for us. he has been engaged in some races. it is less about the raising that is important, even though we have raised more. it is more about the spending. >> who has been the most helpful outside force? >> the senate majority pack has been more engaged and involved. i would expect by the end of this, there will be over $80 million. they were able to combat what was a significantly more aggressive, earlier operation on television than our side had.

the other key is most of the television coverage is about how much money is spent. in many cases, we are being outspent. we have significantly more points on television because we reserve time earlier, more efficiently, and that has made a huge difference in not just the amount of money spent on television but how many points it is actually buy, how many ads it is actually buying. >> do you worry about a tom sire who can come in and play big. >> broadly, it's no secret that most democrats believe that we a campaign finance system that rewards outside donors. what i am concerned about is not that it is tom sire or

michael bloomberg or michael koch. i am worried that candidates have less and less of a say in what is happening in their races. when you look across the board, it is not uncommon for a senate candidate to have 20% of those -- the voice on television. everything else -- by the way, not just what is on the other side but also on their side. 70% of the advertising is something that is completely out of your control on both sides. i am not sure that is the way that we want to run campaigns. ultimately, long-term, it is not the way you want to govern. >> i agree. [laughter] and the gators. >> you have agreed to have lunch together. >> after, yes. >> every cycle, two ed's get together and have lunch.

we are going to do that on roll call. [laughter] >> how did your researchers miss the john walsh plagiarism incident? in october, he said john walsh was the right candidate with the right team in the right time in place to win for 2014. >> probably in the same way that republicans missed the plagiarism charges. have situations like this. on both sides, both sides have struggles with dealing with it. in john's case it is regretful only in that john is remarkably kind person who has spent his entire career in service to this country and put his life on the line repeatedly and led one of the largest national guard battalions in iraq.

my only regret is that it happened to him. but this is something that happens, as we get more and more into research and income pain that runs on two years, it happens on both sides. >> we made a strategic investment early on. we were going to internally and with outside groups research demography. we keep investing millions of dollars in today's things that we don't understand. and they find these little things that blow up our campaign. we put $3 million into research in the off year. we are going to bite the bullet and we will continue to do that. the researcher who discovered elizabeth warren's native american claims is a fabulous researcher. he was going through the paperwork.

what caught his attention was there was a very pro-bush neocon thesis. he was investigating it and he put it through a translator that checks for plagiarism. the entire last five pages turned bright red. subsequently, the name on the wall at the university has been pulled off. it was pretty dead to rights plagiarism. >> how did your side come across michelle nuns campaign plan? >> it is the secret sauce as to who found it. but the research team through america rising and our team -- you know, i don't know much about the research techniques and i asked the same questions. what kind of insane under web, dark web, or silk road?

we basically googled michelle nunn and there was a link right to it. so they downloaded it and no one wants to go there because they were afraid to see a bunch of outside things. but it was an unsecured google documents. so we pulled it down. we thought it might be a ruse or a trick so we watched it all the way through. our goal was to actually campaign to make sure that she did not go up on tv -- she is sitting on a huge pile of money. david purdue was coming out of a rough runoff. they should have gone in and knocked him down. we ran a memo to try to distract him for a couple of days. we distracted him for three or four weeks. we were able to get him some money and prepare him for the general election. >> is there something unique to the cycle or has something

changed in our politics that the research hits grab so much of the conversation? >> i think it has gotten more prevalent in part because there are more avenues to deliver the hits. 10 years ago, we talked about an apo hit, you would go to a local reporter and talk to them. now the reality is that so many newsrooms are depleted. most of washington drives a lot of this conversation. there are still very active news bureaus in des moines to cover politics and in some cases in big cities. i think it is the function of the expansion of the d.c. cases that has driven a lot the expansion on the research side of things. we already have research operations like american rising and american bridge whose express purpose is research for an election that will not be happening for another 2.5 years.

i think this is what we are -- and i use this word intentionally -- stuck with unless something fundamentally changes about the way we run the race. >> what is the biggest story about the cycle that was either overlooked or underplayed by the press? something you felt would be a big deal or that you thought should be a big deal that went under the radar? >> kay hagan is worth $50 million. she got her husband and her son stimulus funds for a job that they had never done before. i could not believe that the north carolina press took a pass on it. >> you have a better answer. [laughter] >> that was unbelievable. i don't even remember the question. i am processing all the -- >> the question is -- i am talking about a bigger picture, something about the landscape. what is it about this cycle that you thought would be a bigger deal and it has been under

looked. >> when you are in the middle of challenges, when you are in the middle of the website rollout, which obviously was not helpful, it feels like the worst thing that could possibly happen. then you get two months away from it and the reality was all of our incumbents recovered their favorable rating and we were restarting the race. i think it is just a reminder for us that, in the moment, things that feel very big will have an enormous influence on the election because it receives 145 blog posts and was on the nightly news for two nights. i think that perspective is something that all of our campaigns tried to work their way through. i don't know that there is one story that is fundamentally -- >> how has the game changed?

>> the focus on technology, the real investments, not just the thought of, well, i've got a college kid who wants to do some kind of website so give him a few pizzas and he will do it to the actual professionalization of investment in technology, investment in digital and data, but also investment in grounding. i was on 13 campaigns and it was always a point of pride that they paid their volunteers and we had better volunteers. they showed up for love and not for money. but in 2012, we learned that there is a hole in our logic which is to professionalize the whole operation. and now you have seen a much more professionalized ground game, and the proof is in the pudding. we are hanging tight against the democrats. >> i think we have learned a new

phrase here -- paid volunteers. >> yeah. >> we don't have paid volunteers, but i think the reverse is actually true of us. we do have about 4000 staff around the country. we have invested about $60 million in the ground operation that is about four times as big as 2010. actually, our staff, we prohibit them from doing the voter contact. we want them out there extending the volunteer base, managing the volunteer infrastructure, keeping it local, making sure they are talking to their folks in their precinct, on their block. a give you one example. the difference between a paid ground game and a volunteer ground game, americans for prosperity put out a press release a week or two ago that they had knocked on 140,000 doors since june in colorado. we are on the path for 225,000

doors this week and 4000 calls a night. that is not from paid volunteers. that is from doing everything you can to get people motivated and excited about the race and it is why in colorado it makes what we did frankly in 2010 look pretty junior varsity just in terms of size, scope, technology and we hope that it pays off. >> we appreciate the numbers guys put out. a lot of smiles in colorado. >> i will ask you all -- people in this room and people on live stream, we have a lot of young people who watch and they want to be used. [laughter] what is your advice to a young person watching? >> run. >> america needs more lawyers. go to law school. [laughter] >> serious specific advice for , getting ahead in washington. >> the most common question i

get is why i decided to come back after last cycle. >> you are a former southern baptist minister. >> i am. >> explain. >> explain? [laughter] i do this job because i care about it. i took the job because i believe in what our party stands for and i took the job because i wanted to have an impact on the election. if the source of your motivation is that and not am i going to get promoted? when will i become the field director? at what point will i get to manage a campaign? you will do remarkably well. the two pieces of advice i give to anyone who asks is work hard and be nice. the combination of those two things, actually despite all of the back and forth between the two of us and what you see is the most important thing you can do in order to be successful. don't always live up to those two at the same time, but try my best to do it.

>> i would echo what guy said. the people who make it long-term in this town are easy to deal with and they have passion. if you are doing it and just because you want to get some title on a business card, you won't be happy. if you have passion for what you do and you walk in every day and say i am going to make a difference, d.c. is a great place. i remember i was 27 and i was on a $10 million governors race. where do you see in corporate where they would entrust so much responsibility on someone so young. you've got to work hard. >> guy young is said of the board of el james charter school. be kind, work hard, get spark --

get smart. what are you going to do next? >> last night, i was talking to my wife and we are going to disneyland. [laughter] >> january 6? >> you have to book in advance if you want to have breakfast with the princess. i have four kids. it is not just my wife and i going to disneyland. as exciting as that would be, we would probably go somewhere else. >> what is your next professional endeavor? >> i've got to get through this election. i used to work at a really great place. corporate strategy.

we will see how that goes. >> what is next for you? >> i got married last year so the honeymoon is going to get scheduled. we will not be going to disneyland. [laughter] >> group rate? >> we are going to take a honeymoon. that is the plan. >> you are often mentioned as a potential campaign manager for hillary clinton. is that a cup that you would drink eagerly? >> it is not any surprise that i hope secretary clinton runs. i think that she would make a remarkable president. but i am going to focus on winning one election at a time. if the opportunity presented itself, i will deal with it then. >> you are a fleetwood mac guy. you are a grateful dead guy. why? >> you want to go first?

it's a long story that could be summed up that my older brother handed me a tape. he was getting rid of a bunch of tapes and he gave me a cassette tape. i was cutting grass. it my job when i was 12 years old for the neighbors. i put it in my walkman. as they say in grateful dead world, the bus came by and i came on. >> you've got fleetwood mac. tell us why? >> that was the best wedding gift that we received that my husband could care less about. it was a first edition, never-opened fleetwood mac album. they are a little before my time. i just want to stipulate. i did not grow up with them, but i am a big stevie nicks fan.

and fleetwood mac will be here halloween. so i will be there. >> as we say goodbye, we want to thank a member of the politico family who is going to a great job in new york who helped us putting on many events over the years. we want to thank sophie for her hard work. [applause] we appreciate all of you in live stream land for watching. we thank the bank of america for making these conversations possible. thank you for coming out in the middle of the day. and thank you. [applause] >> we will have more later today on newsmakers. our guests are stuart rothenberg

and amy walter. they talk about the racist, current the current trends and numbers. here is a preview. in terms of contest for the u.s. house, you have to do that and it context of a partisan division in the country. democrats are on the defensive in both the u.s. house and senate. republicans don't have the upside potential. i think governors races and the problem many governors have has to do with the angst out there. you have the strange situation of republican governors in kansas and alaska being enrolled

trouble. republicans might win in massachusetts, connecticut, and maryland. with governors, it is reflecting the general dissatisfaction with government and the direction of the country. >> you can see the rest of that discussion today at 6:00 p.m. eastern on c-span. >> throughout campaign 2014, c-span has brought you more than 140 candidate debates and raises that would determine the next congress. live election night coverage to see who wins, loses, and which party will control the house and senate. our coverage begins at 8:00 p.m. eastern. you also see candidate they treat and concession speeches. throughout the night and into the morning, we want to hear

from you with your calls, facebook comments and tweets. campaign 2014 election night coverage on c-span. >> from the wall street journal, don't overstate voter enthusiasm. we want to bring in the reporter who wrote that story. the issue of voter enthusiasm. good morning to you. what specific groups of voters are more enthusiastic? guest: these are men over the age of 50. t party supporters. that is particularly interesting. into this election, a lot of republicans are excited, maybe even giddy over the fact that they have enthusiasm. t: is it a clear sign of victory?

st: for years, pollsters thought that the most reliable indicators with voter enthusiasm. in the wake of the 2012 elections, pollsters are starting to think how reliable a measure that is. it turns out that you don't want to overstate it. it may not be as reliable as you think. host: why not? guest: when pollsters measure voter enthusiasm, they ask questions like, how interested are you in voting? for some people, the answer may be not that interested because i already made up my mind a month ago. only 50/50 interested,

you show off as not enthusiastic. host: are they relying on those voters? t: people also tend to skew more democrat. voters and hispanics, for example. the last time we had a midterm election in 2010, groups like hispanics and young people showed up as not that interested. the electorate ended up expanding, not contracting. more younger people and latinos voted. of hope forthreat democrats. as a result, democrats have been putting a lot of energy into targeting those people. ost: what about the key quote from that these of years in the washington journal?

guest: that was one of the hard lessons he learned of 2012. you may remember karl rove getting very upset on election night. president obama can have one. they learned the hard way. he didn't have to be super enthusiastic to sign-up ballot form. ost: correspondent for the wall street journal. thank you for joining us. >> coming up on the next , some of theurnal key races in midterm elections. and we talk about the impact of younger voters. wisconsinniversity of

, justice department's role in monitoring federal elections. as always, we take your calls and you can join the conversation on facebook and twitter. washington journal live at 7:00 a.m. eastern on c-span. >> the international foundation for electoral systems as a foundation tomorrow. that begins live at 9:15 a.m. eastern. the federal government's role in future elections. you can see that on c-span two. >> monday night on the communicators, author and former chief technical officer under president obama. >> if there's one message in the book to take away, it is the notion that a state is characterized by handshakes and handbells. this beast to your question

about who should do what. the handshakes are what washington's have been doing lately behind the curtain. they are shaking hands on some of the key principles, opening up data, encouraging workaround standards. opportunityhat the to have a more open government starts with a bipartisan commitment to lay the foundation. what is critical is that you're handing off to the american people entrepreneurs and into -- inventors to take that raw data and develop more interesting products and services. >> that is on the communicators on c-span2. student cam video competition is underway. it is open to all middle and high school students to create a 5-7 minute documentary on the three branches in you. policies, law, or

action by the executive, legislative, or judicial branch has affected you are you community. for students and teachers totaling more than $100,000. for a list of roles and how to get started, go to student cam.org. >> in georgia today, the candidates for u.s. senate held the final debate before election day. the race features michelle non-, david purdue, amanda swofford. the tv. of ws >> it is your voice, your vote. the debate for u.s. senate live from the tv studios in atlanta. there is her moderator. >> welcome to this life debate. this is big in georgia. this is for the balance of power in the united states senate. this is the final debate before

tuesday's election. we also want to welcome those of you watching our lifestream. please remember to tweet us your questions. let's meet our candidates. they are trying to earn your vote to replace the retiring senator. first, the republican candidate, david purdue. next, the democratic candidate, michelle non-. the libertarian candidate, michelle's offered. i am joined by our panelists. the assistant program director for wsb radio. daniel malloy. lori geary. candidates will have one minute for response. 45 seconds for rebuttal. these are loose guidelines today. some conversations may warned more time. i will try hard to get some clarity on this campaign ads. first question is mine.

no disrespect to your position, clearly you are outside the beltway of politicians who hope to soon be politicians. you,have you done, each of starting with mr. purdue, what have you done in your life to prepare you for one of the most powerful jobs in the u.s. government? >> thank you. it is great to be here this morning. as i go around the state, the number one issue that i hear from hard-working georgians is they are concerned about their jobs. if they have one, they're worried about keeping it. if don't have one, they are worried about how hard it is to find one. in my career, i spent my entire career creating tens of thousands of jobs. i try to help provide individuals the opportunities provide for their families. that there are about 10 peoplee

experienced. i think it is time we add a little depth about how to create jobs. i just believe that in this environment, the people of georgia want somebody who will fight for them and not fight for this president. >> if i may follow without. what would you do specifically if you say create jobs? what would you do as a u.s. senator? >> for the last year, we have been talking about the things i would do. we would need serious tef