them by more than ronald reagan and that is 3%, 10% more, 3.4%. and it is tied. and polls, by the way, i'm sorry, polls are not great at saying, i know for sure that we are going to get lower brand in these areas and there will be higher turnout in these areas. and even by the way, all these analytics. i have made 100,000 phone calls. i do all these predictions, they are not all that great down to one or two point, couple points level. so what i suggesting is there am is, i understand, i also understand, believe me i'm getting it, i understand all across america, people are saying the polls were all wrong. the polls were all wrong. i just think that if you do this for a living, the internal clients in each campaign were not shocked. as i said, i did not have jeff's poll. but i had a poll in michigan four days out that had trump ahead. my client said, that cannot be right. i said guess what?

, you paid for one poll. there was incredible money. she's in detroit on friday. if my poll is wrong, what is she doing in detroit on friday? so i said the reason you should believe that there is something , big going on in michigan. this poll picked it up, because the people running the race have more money than god are putting her in michigan on friday, and van -- fridayay than detroit. that is telling me this poll is correct. >> their numbers are usually not necessarily better than public polling, but the polling you guys see every day in newspapers and on tv, there tends to be a lag because news organizations that are publishing these polls are not doing it day-to-day, they're not spending the kind of money that the campaign are doing, minute by minute. i don't know what kind of polling you are talking about, but they do different kinds, tracking phones. so a lot of times that is why , often will just survey people like jeff and the people that work around him to say, what you

are you guys seeing? because i think your point is very much taken. in the last couple days, it can actually move. if you're not paying attention at that particular moment, you are not going to see it. >> the other part about the network polls, the public polling and the network polls, the networks are paying for them. they are going to give them a tremendous ride. and it is going to look like the most fabulous moment in the campaign history because they are paying for them. so they run with them. these two guys -- >> bill has done great work for nbc news. which has historically been -- >> that poll is hillary clinton by three or four points. i can say lots of good things, for how that poll's constructed and i can also say here that, , hey, guess what? it did not lead to the expectations people want. but people who were getting our poll briefing we were doing a , pretty good job saying yes, here is what happened. >> but i think, i mean, yes,

it was close. there were misses on state-level polling. some of these polls -- >> wisconsin. >> north carolina? some of these polls should have shown donald trump ahead. if you assume that -- >> north carolina was -4 for clinton. >> right. ok, but we hear, we took our poll our firm did something , different. the real clear politics averages all the polls within two or three weeks. we said ok, how about this? we will take the last week of polls. we compared the margins from the last weeks of polls in these states compared to what really happened. every state was margin of error except for wisconsin and north carolina. and so, again, what i am saying is if you actually take a moment -- and let me drop the ones that are two or three weeks old. look at the last week, that even at the state level from all of the public polling -- but again here is what happens. , the margin of error is, wow,

she's been ahead for weeks in florida. at the last public poll, she is plus one? you can't, you know -- and then it becomes, she lost by three. you can't go, you can't meltdown -- >> let me -- let jeff have the last word. we will take two more questions and then i think we are out of time. >> well, the second part of the question was campaigning for senate candidates. i, working for a lot of senate candidates, i appreciated the effort, but in campaigns, you can't look like you are taking a victory lap. you have to run through the tape, the voters have to see you run through the tape, especially in this kind of election. and -- you know, it sent the vibe -- ron vibe i think -- wrong vibe i think for a lot of voters. and the truth is, after the comey letter, they had to change that anyway. >> let's do two more. the fellow over there in the

blue? >> labor union local 942. i do know a lot of people who voted for trump. lots of them, and a lot of people who said i was going to , vote for bernie sanders but since he is not in the race i'm voting for trump. i was saying the whole election why doesn't the democratic , establishment get it? president obama is up there saying earlier this year saying , we have got -- this country is not in decline. he said, it is a wonderful time to be young. there is all of this opportunity. and i am looking at massive segments in a country that are , who are working at or near minimum wage. they've been in constant decline since the 1970's. these chickens are coming home to roost since the 1970's. i mean, if you look at what it takes at minimum wage to buy a car or peanut butter and jelly sandwich now compared to the 1970's, it is three times more expensive. these people in upstate new york had a 60% wage cut. they can't make it anymore. they're running like mice on wheels, going faster and faster.

they can't keep up and they're getting further and further behind. they are saying it just can't go , on like this. i don't understand -- i don't understand why the democratic establishing couldn't get this. i'm a lifelong democrat. >> anybody want to address that? jeff, you want to go first? geoff garin: i totally agree. it it was what i was trying to say about the party going forward is about giving hope to people who are experiencing not just feeling those things but experiencing those things that are -- we need to not just have a message but a set of policies for people who are struggling to stay in the middle class, who don't, who think it is impossible for their kids to be in the middle class. who find it, who you know think their aspiration to rise into the middle class is at a dead end. you know the one thing is that , when you have the office for 8

years, you can't just say, you can't -- you know, act as if the eight years didn't exist. you have to be able to say something about your record, and if you are the person who held that office, you want desperately to do that. so that, you know i think , president obama was always careful to say we have much further to go. but when you have saved the economy from a real disaster, that is what we were facing in 2008, you would like a little credit for that. and so, it is not shocking, you know that president obama took , some. he deserves some. but that led to a very kind of confused, schizophrenic message. >> ok, we have time for one more. yeah, go ahead. >> if this election is about

>> if this election is about anything -- it's -- broken government. in that regard, perhaps gerrymandering covers some of that ground. what would it take to connect the dots of this pernicious, they did to us, we're going to do it to them. in fact, most people think it started with governor gary in massachusetts. it was first done by patrick henry in the fifth district of virginia. anyway, i worked that campaign. [laughter] north carolina, ohio, pennsylvania and how -- in the statehouses. and what would it take, many experienced people say this is the secret sauce of modern politics. >> you mean the safe districts that never change? >> packing district and what it is doing to statehouses. >> has to be our last round of answers.

>> this is another topic in which i have a lot of information and a strong opinion, which is that if what's happened in congress is most members of congress can only lose in a primary. what happens is you wake up as an elected official and you say, oops, i have to stay close to my party's base. i believe if we had state supreme court round the country for each state drawn maps, instead of having 90 competitive districts, we would have 240. these men and women wake up and say, yikes, i could lose my district. i have worked with a lot of different members of congress. the members of congress and one of those swing states have a political antenna where every day they're going like this. the men and women i work with in safe seats are -- they've never had to do that. so, it is an unfair system that

produces what this polarization, and we have very unfair seats. you can look at the two-party votes cast, and republicans are getting a list of about three to five points more seats than we are votes. i don't cry for that, because 30, 40 years ago, democrats had seven points. you have to change the system, but also why? for the one thing that both members of congress feel, every party agrees on is i will take the current system, because i have a better shot at a safe seat. then you try to do initiatives, this is the ultimate process fight and process fights are very hard to mobilize. california initiatives change the california primary systems because i believe that our country with state supreme court

drawn districts with fair and more competitive seats, would instantly and fundamentally change the political rewards culture in a way that would produce a radically different outcome legislatively. we have roughly only 90 competitive seats out of 435, maybe 90 unless you have massive scandal. it would half the seats. african-american areas, rural areas, half the seats being competitive would radically change american government in terms of how much got done and what the cooperation would you -- would be like across parties. what ever party are in, you have to produce a result of allow you to be reelected in a competitive seats. >> on that point, arizona is that, have an independent counsel that does it and there's , more seats competitive than you might think.

actually to answer your question about the democratic establishment. i think my answer to that would be the clintons themselves. it's probably because she lost in 2008 and when she ran in 2008, there was an ascension -- an assumption that she was going to be anointed. she lost to barack obama and then in the ensuing eight years, it had built up to this point where no democrat could really cross her, and a younger member of the party, you'll notice that bernie sanders was the only one who really stepped up to run against hillary clinton. there was a reason for that. the clintons made sure that was the case. >> you are breaking martin o'malley's heart. >> i know. he tried. the second part of that is the clintons are products of their own environments and what they learned when they were in politics. the democratic party have become too liberal, and their answer to

that was to run as centrists. previously, he only got elected president as a democrat if you were from the south where you had to be more moderate. they ran on globalization and the lessons and things the clintons have internalized for decades is that this is how you win as a democrat, and anyone who tries to do it another way doesn't understand that. i think that they, in becoming a political institution, failed to learn that sometimes anger -- younger people are quicker to pick up on what's going on around them. the challenge for the democratic party, we been talking so much about the republican civil war, but the civil war within the democratic party, because the clintons have held such a hole of the party, their bench is not going to step up. who's going to run in 2020?

it is possible senator sanders good take another crack at it, that's four years down the line. >> concluding thoughts? we are at that point. >> i think it's crucial, it occurred to me that the last time you had a president as a moderate who faces a congress that is united but is more extreme, was jimmy carter. and he comes from nowhere to win, completely unexpected, two years out. i'm wondering if carter, and his experience with the democratic congress is what we may see with trump and the republican congress. i don't know. that's the case, then 2020 is when the democrats need to find ronald reagan. [laughter]

>> anybody else? well thank you so much for coming. [applause] thank you. [captions copyright national cable satellite corp. 2016] [captioning performed by the national captioning institute, which is responsible for its caption content and accuracy. visit ncicap.org] >> president-elect donald trump announced that republican national committee chair reince priebus has been selected to serve as white house chief of staff. reince priebus is an attorney, 44 years old, who deviously served as general counsel for the rnc and chairman of the republican party of wisconsin. he has been rnc chair since 2011. president-elect trump announced that stephen bannon will serve

as chief strategist and senior white house counselor. fort knox was chosen because it was america's most impenetrable location. it was the gold bullion depository, and opened several years prior. there had been a lot of gold already transferred there. henry morgan without his permission to use a portion of the depository for these documents. , an authoron q and a talks about the decision to move of america's most hit -- most important historical documents 9 fort knox on december 46, -- on december 26, 1941. >> the original engrossed constitution, the articles of confederation, pre-constitution. the gettysburg address. he makes this decision very methodically on what is going to

go to fort knox. these are considered the most valuable documents in the country. the magna carta is the document that he has been asked to preserve or the brits. >> tonight on q and a. >> president obama paid tribute to the nation's veterans ride a at his final veterans day front -- veterans day ceremony at the arlington cemetery. he laid a wreath at the tomb of the unknowns before laying a wreath. this is just under an hour.

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[indiscernible] present.

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>> ladies and gentlemen, please rise for the arrival of the

official party. ladies and gentlemen, please welcome the commanding general of the united states military district of washington. [applause] mr. patrick j hallinan. executive director, army national cemetery program. [applause] mr. robert swan. polish legion of american veterans. [applause] and the honorable robert a mcdonald, secretary of veterans affairs. [applause] ♪

>> ladies and gentlemen, the president of the united states. [applause] >> please remain standing for the procession of our nation's colors and those of our veteran service organizations. as we march on the colors, the navy band will play the national emblem march. please place your hand over your heart or render a hand salute. [playing "national emblem march"]

please remain standing for the prayer for all veterans. >> let us pray, almighty and

eternal god, who gives us the freedoms we enjoy in this great nation. come visit us in this most sacred garden of where many of our veterans have gathered and many of our veterans and nation's heroes rest. fill our hearts today with thankfulness for our veterans who answered the call to defend the honor and just causes of our nation. we thank you for their patriotism, their devotion to liberty and justice, human dignity and rights, compassion and self giving. we thank you for their diversity and unity and mission. let all who would beget war reach out and compassion to those who must remember, made the nightmare of all wars cease so healing can take place. may each american find a reason

to love, not hate, and strength to build than to destroy. renew our sense of unity, hope, faith, give us the joyous spirit of celebration of our veterans and their families. bless us now with your presence. in the name of our god, who challenges us to care a men. >> i would like to invite mr. robert swan to lead us in our pledge of allegiance. >> i pledge allegiance to the flag of the united states of america and to the republic for which it stands, one nation, under god, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all.

>> please be seated. it is my distinct pleasure to introduce the members of the veterans day national committee. it was formed in 1954 to plan this observance in honor of america's veterans and to support veterans day observances throughout the nation. please hold your applause until i have introduced the guests. if able, please stand when your name is called. robert swan. tomas stevens. national president korean war veterans association. angel zuniga.

catholic organs of the usa. david everly, chief executive officer, america x prisoners of war. john rowan, president, vietnam veterans of america. -- throwback, brian duffy, commander in chief, veterans of foreign wars of the united states. harold chapman, national commander. dale stamper, national president, blinded veterans us -- association. richard gore senior, national commandant. marine corps league. donald larson, national president, fleet reserve association. richard rinaldo, national

commander. leader of valor, united states of america. executive director of the military chaplains association. donald youngblood, national commander, army and navy union of the usa. ostrowski, executive director, noncommissioned officers association. douglas bolt, national vice commander, the american legion. david riley, national commander, disabled american veterans. mike plummer. deputy legislative director, national association of uniform service is. clay lebron's junior, commander in order of the world wars. john adams, national president.

herschel gober national , commander, military order of the purple heart. dana adkins, national president, military officers association of america. the associated members of the committee are located in the boxes to my left. i would like to ask them to stand and be recognized. please recognize them with your applause. [applause] it is my pleasure to introduce our veteran organization host for 2016. polish legion veterans of america, usa. usapolish legion of veteran

is honored to serve as the host organization for the 2016 veterans day national observance at arlington national cemetery. it was founded after the end of world war i, holding its first convention in 1921. today, they celebrate over 95 years of providing assistance to veterans and their families. it was chartered by congress and represents over 3 million veteran americans of polish the -- polish descent who have served in all wars and conflicts of the united states since its inception. with knowledgeable and train -- trained service officers, as well as representation in washington, d.c., they continue to provide assistance to deserving veterans and their families. with post chapters around the country. veteran and ladies auxiliary volunteers donate endless hours of service and help in v.a.

medical centers, providing aid and support to hospitalized heroes. they also have scholarships available at the national as well as state-level departments, providing financial aid to qualified students. they are represented today by their national commander. please welcome mr. robert swan. [applause] mr. swan: welcome, mr. president, mr. secretary, veterans, friends, all of you gathered here today. it is a great honor i am able to speak to you on this special day. it marks the 95th anniversary of the polish legion of american veterans. congress unanimously voted to

proclaim polish legionnaire an citizen.united states president obama signed public 94 which proclaimed him the seventh in history to receive this honor. we would like to recognize the contribution of all men and women that was provided while they were on active duty. it helps many veterans in need at the v.a. hospitals and homes and individual families in need. the values gained in the military offers many a pathway to success. as a veteran or friend, we know what they go through while serving and we know how hard it was when our service members return home. we are interested in helping in

many ways. v.a. hospitals and homes are always in need of support. either monetarily or through comfort item donations. membership in the organization's that are declining, i am pleased to see younger veterans are still joining or creating newer, more specific organizations, where they are able to continue to help our veterans. now, may we salute our military servicemembers and their family that made that ultimate sacrifice. thank you for the honor of speaking to you today. [applause] mr. cornish: please welcome the honorable ronald mcdonald, secretary of veterans affairs.

[applause] president, honored guests, in the last scene of saving private ryan, he kneels in front of captain miller's grave. he gave his life in combat to save private ryan. ryan says to miller, i have tried to live my life the best i could. i hope, in your eyes, i have earned what all of you have done for me. i am a veteran. when i come to arlington, i imagine myself saying that to every veteran resting here. i hope, in your eyes, i have earned what all of you have done for me. we would do well to kneel at any

one of these markers and repeat ryan's words. we would all do well to ask if i am earning this. seven years ago today, right here in arlington, president obama made a vow to veterans . america will not let you down, he said. we will take care of our own. then, he fulfilled that vow. president obama and congress provided the largest single year a budget increase in over three decades, his very first year. [applause] under his leadership, the budget has nearly doubled. opened the v.a. stores --

doors, and he supported presumptive conditions for veterans exposed to agent orange. today, there are nearly 1.2 million more veterans receiving some type of v.a. care and services. [applause] 1.2 million more veterans are enrolled for v.a. health care. 1.3 million more receive disability compensation. half a million more have v.a. home loans. we have seen a 76% increase in veterans receiving benefits. we have cut veteran homelessness and half -- in half since 2010. unemployment has dropped. [applause]

veteran unemployment has dropped by over half in the last five years. unemployment for post-9/11 veterans has dropped by 70%. america will not let you down, the president said. we will take care of our own. he stood by that commitment year after year after year. and for good reason. america met sergeant first class cory remsburg when president obama introduced him during the 2014 state of the union address. the president met corey 4.5 years earlier in france. corey was one of the elite rangers who parachuted into commemorate the d-day landings. then, he returned to afghanistan for his 10th tour.

the president next saw corey in a hospital bed in bethesda naval. he had been wounded by a 50 pound roadside bomb. corey could not speak. he could barely move. he gave the president a thumbs up. three years later, when the president and i traveled to phoenix, president obama quietly took a detour. he needed to see corey. corey had made miraculous progress. this time, with help, corey stood, saluted, and said what you would expect. rangers lead the way, sir. corey is the epitome of the rare combination of qualities that characterizes the best among us.

a dogged sense of duty, indomitable courage, plain, american grit. president obama admires that in corey. he admires it in all american veterans. it is why he loves them. ladies and gentlemen, honored guest, the commander-in-chief and the 44th president of the united states, barack obama. [applause] [cheers] pres. obama: thank you. thank you so much. thank you. thank you very much. thank you so much. thank you. thank you very much. please.

thank you. thank you. thank you. secretary mcdonald, distinguished guests, most of all, our extraordinary veterans and your families. the last time i stood on these hallowed grounds on memorial day, our country came to together to honor those who had fought and died for us. a few days before, our nation observed armed forces day. honoring all who are serving under that flag at this moment. today, on veterans day, we honor those who honored our country with its highest form of service. you, who once wore the uniform

of our army, navy, air force, marines, or coast guard. we owe you our thanks. we owe you our respect and we owe you our freedom. we come together to profess our profound gratitude for the sacrifices and contributions you and your family made on the battlefield, at home, and at outposts around the world. america's gratitude towards our veterans is always grounded in something greater than what you did on duty. it is an appreciation of the example that you continue to set after your service has ended. your example as citizens. veterans day often follows a hard-fought political campaign.

an exercise in free speech and self-government you fought for. it often lays bare disagreements across our nation. the american instinct has never been to find isolation in opposite corners. it is to find a strength in common creed. to forge unity from our great diversity. to sustain strength and unity, even when it is hard. and when the election is over, as we search for ways to come together, to reconnect with one another, with the principles that are more enduring and than transitory politics, some of our best

examples are the men and women we salute on veterans day. it is the example of young americans, our 9/11 generation, whose first responders went into smoldering towers and then ran to a recruiting center and signed up to serve. the example of a military that meets every mission, one united team, all looking out for one another, all getting each other's backs. it is the example of the single most diverse institution in our country. soldiers, sailors, airmen, who represent every corner of our country, every shade of humanity. immigrant and nativeborn. christian, muslim, jew, nonbeliever alike. all forged in the common service. that is the example of our veterans. patriots, who when they take off their fatigues, put back on the

camouflage of everyday life in america and become our business partners and bosses, teachers, coaches, first responders, city councilmember's, community leaders, role models, all still serving this country with the same sense of duty and with valor. a few years ago, a middle school student entered an essay contest about why veterans are special. this is what he wrote. when i think of a veteran, i think of men or women who will be the first to help an elderly lady across the street. i think of someone who will defend everyone, regardless of their race, age, gender, hair color, or other discriminations.

after eight years in office, i appreciate he included haircolor. [applause] that middleama: schooler is right. our veterans are still the first to help, still the first to serve. they are women, or like the retired military policewoman who founded an american veterans post and is building a safe place for homeless female veterans with children. [applause] they are men like the two veterans from tennessee, one in his 50's, one in his 60's, who wrote me to say they would suit up and ship out if we needed them. we might be a little old, they wrote, but we will be proud to go and do what we were taught to do. whenever the world makes you cynical, whenever you seek true

humility and selflessness, look to a veteran. look to some like first lieutenant irving lerner. he was born in chicago to russian jewish immigrants during world war i. he served as a bombardier in the air corps, flying dozens of missions towards the end of world war ii. when he returned home, he did what a lot of veterans do. he put his medals away and kept humble about his service, started living a quiet life. one fall day, walking on fairfield avenue on chicago's -- sheffield avenue on chicago's north side, a stranger stopped him and said thank you for your service, and handed him a ticket to see the cubs play in the world series. [applause] it is a good thing he took that ticket.

it would be a while until his next chance. irving worked hard, managing warehouses for his brother-in-law's tire company. he got married to a sergeant. he raised four children, the oldest of whom is celebrating her 71st birthday today. on a june morning, many years ago, another one of his daughters called to check in. her mother answered but was in a rush. check in. we can't talk, she said, your father is being honored and we are late. carol asked, honored for what. the answer came, for his heroism in the skies above normandy exactly 50 years earlier. his children never knew they -- that their father flew over the french beachheads. he never mentioned it. to check in and

say thank you for saving the world. irving, sharp as ever always replies, well, i had a little help. whenever the world makes you cynical, whenever you doubt the courage and goodness and selflessness is possible, stop and look to a veteran. they don't always tell stories of their heroism. it is up to us to ask, to listen, to tell those stories for them. and to live the values for which they were prepared to give theirs. it is up to us to make sure they get the care they need. when i announced my candidacy for this office almost a decade ago, i recommitted this generation to that work.

we have increased funding by more than 85%. we have cut veterans homelessness almost in half. more veterans have access to health care and fewer are unemployed. we help disabled veterans, we are delivering more mental health care services because we know not all wounds of war are visible. together, we began this. together, we must continue to keep that sacred trust with our veterans and honor their good work with our own, knowing that our mission is never done. it is still a tragedy 20 veterans a day take their own lives. we have to get them the help they need. we have to solve problems like long wait times at the v.a. we have to resist privatizing

the health care we owe america's veterans. [applause] on veterans day, we acknowledge that we could never serve them quite the same way they served us. but we can try. we can practice kindness, pay it forward, we can volunteer, we can serve. we can respect one another. we can always get each other's backs. that is what veterans day asks us to think about. the person you pass as you walk down the street might not be wearing our nation's uniform today. consider for a moment, a generation ago, he or she might have been one of our fellow citizens who was willing to lay down their life for strangers like us.

we can show how much we love our country by loving our neighbors as ourselves. god bless all who serve and still do. god bless the united states of america. [cheers and applause] >> please remain standing and joined the united states navy band in singing "god bless america."

>> ♪ while the storm clouds gather far across the sea let us swear allegiance to a land that's free let us all be grateful for a land so fair as we raise our voices in a solemn prayer

god bless america land that i love stand beside her and guide her thru the night with a light from above from the mountains to the prairies to the oceans white with foam god bless america my home sweet home god bless america

my home sweet home ♪ [applause] >> ladies and gentlemen, please remain standing as we retire the colors. retire the colors. [playing "national emblem march"]

>> this concludes the 2016 national veterans day observance. please be seated for the departure of the president of the united states. thank you for joining us as we celebrate and honor all who served. [applause] ♪

♪ [applause] ♪

♪ ♪

[captions copyright national cable satellite corp 2016] [captioning performed by the national captioning institute, which is responsible for its caption content and accuracy. visit ncicap.org] donald this afternoon trump announced that reince has een selected to serve as chief-of-staff. he's 34 years old and served as rnc and council for the chairman of the republican party of wisconsin. 2011.been rnc chair since president-elect trump also the trump hat campaign, will serve as chief strategist and junior white house counselor.

> this week on "newsmakers," we're joined by the republican from indiana. thank you for being on "newsmakers." we also have with us daniel knew and a congressional reporter with the "washington post." michael, go first. >> thanks so much. congressman, thanks for joining us today. days, threewe're two days now from the american voters just making a stunning by electing donald trump. hat do you think those voters want, with the republican to ress and donald trump tackle first? >> it turns out the american people are still in charge. loudly.ke i think they are tired of the status quo. it's the first time in a long republicans will be in charge of in the only the presidency but the house and senate. there will ban