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tv   Washington Journal Charlie Cook  CSPAN  October 25, 2018 6:52pm-7:01pm EDT

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>> coming up life from south carolina, a debate with the candidates for governor. before the debate begins, some of a recent segment from the washington journal. >> we're proud to welcome back charlie cook. us for the next hour to discuss the midterm races that you are most interested in and i want to start with the battle for control of the senate.
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this is what you said. one question that keeps coming back up is whether those who lead the out-of-control demonstrations on capitol hill against the kavanaugh nomination have any idea of how much damage they did. my guess is they do not. i think if you just look at the testimony, dr. ford was compelling and convincing. it was the demonstrations. i lived in washington for 46 years. kinds ofer seen those behavior in the halls of the capitol and senate office buildings. they effectively diminished the effectiveness of her testimony out in heartland america. incrediblen an reaction in senate races.
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going in, democrats had a 35% chance of getting a majority in the senate. now, it is 5%. >> usually this time of year, we start to look for the surprise in elections. the kavanaugh confirmation the october surprise? wax the reason i do not like the term october surprise is it is goingthat one party to seven touch an election. our elections are competitive. in the last 60 days, events don't stop. thate house, i will get to , i don't think -- conversely in the senate, republican chances of holding onto the senate were already good.
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are fantastically high. >> let's put numbers to that. in the house what are the predictions today and what was it a month ago? wax democrats needed a 23 seat net gain to get a majority. if i were sitting here two months ago, i would have said it would likely be between 25 and 45. i would put a caveat on that. i would have said if i am wrong if it is not between 25 and 45, it would be more likely to be north of 45 then south of 25. be symmetric. it would not be a pure bell curve. today, it is more 20 to 40 which is not that big. . would leave out the chance the ceiling for democratic gains has been lowered and hardened. i still think republicans will lose a majority.
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it is not going to be an ugly loss. >> run the numbers for us in the senate. >> in the senate, a couple of months ago i would have said that we can see a billion dollars spent in the u.s. senate this election cycle with one of the most plausible outcomes would be no change whatsoever. if there was a change, maybe republicans would pick up one seat and go to 52. or maybe they lose one seat and it goes to 50-50 with president -- vice president pence breaking the tie. did even would have been the most likely scenario. right now, i think raking even for democrats would be as good as they could get. i think we are looking at republicans picking up one or two. it has gone over to clicks that way. it has to do with what seats are up. >> we can talk about the individual seats that are up with charlie cook.
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are as usual.s tell us what races and what states you are most interested in. folks are calling in, there is an article in today's new york times. who is winning the social media midterms. the democrats have more facebook interactions than their opponents. what numbers should we be looking at? >> i am about one month short of 65 years old. probably not the person to ask about social media. party hasy whichever is most younger candidates
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likely to outdo on social media. right now, that democrats. at polling,ng election results, midterm election patterns. it all points to a very challenging year for republicans except in the senate. map in the most lopsided any direction we have ever seen. is,way i would look at it it's like we have elections in two different countries. one country is red republican america. races wherepublican there is any doubt about the there is an election for everything else. that is a lot tougher for republicans. >> this is from the political action committee supporting
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democrats in the senate. >> donald trump and bob keegan, they have a lot in common. >> he paid himself $150 million at the expense of cancer patients and taxpayers. this is the wrong prescription for new jersey. >> with so many battlefields in red states, why are democrats spending money in the blue state of new jersey? wax you can be sure the democrats are not happy about having to do this. new jersey is a state where president obama carried by 18 points. announcer 1: we are going to the
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this now, but you can find this and other segments online. we take you live to south carolina for a debate between the candidates for governor. live on c-span. >> public radio, the post and courier are co-presenters for this program. ♪ good evening and welcome to the 2018 gubernatorial candidate debate. live from the campus of greenville technical college here in greenville south carolina. joining me this evening to question the candidates for governor is andy shane of the post and courier. election day is less tha

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