virtual and we repowered a new reality because at mediacom we are built to keep you ahead. >> mediacom support c-span alon with these other television providers giving you a front row seat to democracy. >> coming up this morning after a look at the news and viewer calls, jessica taylor of the cook political report talks about key senate and governor races to watch in the midterm elections. also jessica hill joins us to discuss nevada's role as a battleground state ♪ host: good morning. november 4, four days out from election day 2022, when they

election will decide the balance of power in congress. it is set to total more than 16.7 billion dollars according to open secrets.org we had that is busting the last midterm election cycle record. some of the most expensive races were spent at the senate level with outside groups spending nearly $2 billion. we will stick with the campaign in our first hour. we will ask your approach to voting, in a few days. you plan to vote for your party all the way down the ticket. if so, dial in. do you plan to split your vote? dial in at (202) 748-8001. ever undecided or independent voters, call us at (202) 748-8002. you can also tell us how you plan to vote in a text. include your city or state and a

text at (202) 748-8003, or post to facebook.com/c-span, and you can send a tweet with a handle at c-span wj. fox.com with this headline. split ticket voters. could and old approach -- could an old approach to voters decide the outcome to who controls the gubernatorial seat or the senate ? which party ntls the senate? we might see the return of what was until rent a dng tradition. split ticket voting for different statewide congressional or predeial races. for most of american political history, voting like this was

not out of the ordinary. it reached its height in the mid to late 80's at the federal level. people voted differently for president and congress. arossor of political science noted th. but a political polarization, the decline of nicole -- local news, split ticket voting has been dying a slow death. it appears to be making a comeback. last week on the washington journal, david wasserman, who watches key house races discussed ticket splitting in this year's midterm elections. >> it is more we are seeing split ticket voting. republicans might do better in arizona and georgia than they do in the senate races. the question is will enough joe -- voters split their votes between brian kemp and rafael

warnock for senate. the opposite dynamic is at play in pennsylvania and wisconsin where we are seeing democratic governors do better than democratic senate candidates. josh shapiro is doing better than john sapir -- federman. that is because of the crime issue that republicans have hammered home, but also because the abortion issue is simply more potent in these closely contested swing states where you have ferocious battles at state capitals over the future of laws. that has helped gretchen whitmer in michigan. it has helped josh shapiro or tony evers. we have seen democrat members holding up well in the midwest, and yet republicans have strong opportunities in some blue states in the west where they have been able to take abortion off the table and make it more

about democratic management and cities in crime and homelessness. republicans are looking at nevada, new mexico and oregon where they won the governors -- have not won the governorship in 40 years. host: david wasserman at the washington journal. we want to hear from you and your approach to voting. if you plan to vote straight republican or democrat, let us know. if you plan to split your ticket, dial in at (202) 748-8001. undecided or independent, (202) 748-8002. straight ticket voters, (202) 748-8000. take a look at the map. david wasserman was talking to some of the states were we could see split ticket voting. those are the purple states. if you are from one of those states, and you potentially plan

to split your vote, let us know. we want to hear from you. nbc reported on this with that line, ticket splitting voters are going extinct. now they may decide 2022's biggest races. nowhere is the dynamic clearer than in pennsylvania, though there are signs voters favor both a republican or democrat in swing states from georgia to new hampshire to ohio. jeff from indianapolis, who are you going to vote for? caller: i'm going straight democratic ticket. i cannot see any of these extreme maggot republicans -- maga republicans back in office. all they are doing is pulling the american people. they want to get into power so

they can run investigations because they think they can find something to run a fake impeachment campaign against joe biden. that is basically it. they have no agenda with the economy. host: that is motivating you to turn out and vote? caller: i am here. host: this issue of stopping republicans from having control of congress is what is getting you out to vote? caller: that is the main reason. they had no agenda. host: sharon in new york, independent. good morning. how do you plan to vote? caller: good morning. i am very frightened about what is going on in the united states, and i feel we are going to have to rebuild, and we will have to start and make history better because right now, it is not looking so good for the history books in the future.

host: why? caer: i understand both parties when they were doing the right thing. i was comfortable with democrats, republica rated wh we have to do is come together and mostly vote democrat jt to get rid of and clean up what we havthat is really hurting everybody. can start a new and built a new -- democrats have tgoad more to the right, and republans have to go a bit more to the left, but let's have the same -- let's have seen people. i hope the democrats can come out with yeaand people loving us all over again, and we will be a good example for the future. host: all right, sharon. how do you plan to split your ticket?

jordan, in chicago. caller: i plan to split my ticket for the governor, and for u.s. senate, and i really encourage people to be thoughtful about who they choose and why they choose them. it is good to see what party someone is involved in. host: who are you voting for this candidate -- those two races? caller: i am going with the republican in the senate and democrat in the governor race. host: why? why the republican? caller: i looked at the candidate values, and mainly the value so far. i have looked into it for about two hours of research, so i may do some more research, but mainly, the values. i won't go into detail, but i

wanted to make a conscious choice about whether or not a candidate would be a good person for the job. host: what is it about tammy duckworth? caller: like i said, i am not in front of a computer. i'm voting for the other candidate there. she said things on her website, and based off of her history, she went to my alma mater, but that is not that important. that is not really definitive, but so far, i'm a look at some debates on youtube between the two of them, to get a greater comparison, but for right now i'm leaning that way. host: jordan in chicago illinois. tammy duckworth is the incumbent. the amount of money she raised,

in comparison to her republican opponent gives you an indication of where the republicans see that race going, given there is not an influx of money from outside groups. judy in morville, mississippi. independent, good morning. caller: good morning. i was a former republican. until donald trump. i did not vote for him either time, so i went with the democratic party. even if somebody ran in 24 like larry hogan from maryland, i don't know if i'd vote republican then until they get some of these crazy trump supporters out of the republican party. i don't trust any of the republican party right now. host: will you be voting in a few days or are you staying home? caller: i'm going to vote.

host: are you going to vote all democrats or some local republicans you can vote for? caller: no. i think the ones that don't stand up against what is going on, the republicans that don't stand up, they need to be gone. host: ok. judy in mississippi. we'll go to houston, texas. straight party. which party? caller: democrat. host: tell us why. caller: so president biden can have somebody he can work with to straighten this country out because if we don't, we are not going to have a country because we cannot survive the way we are doing. i want to ask you a question. how do they pull cell phones? host: how do they pull cell phones? i don't know off the top of my head. caller: where do they get these

polls from? my kids have cell phones. no one has called my mainline. where these phones coming from. host: straight party for brian. good morning. caller: i'm going straight party republican because like i said, i believe all democrats are lying when you watch tv about the republicans on social security and medicare because that is political suicide. host: what do you like about dr. oz? caller: he seems to be more genuine. more honest about everything than federman. host: ok. have you already voted? caller: not yet. i'll go to the polls like everybody else should. host: the rain in georgia,

another state with potential split tickets. but you're voting for one party. what is it? caller: republican. host: tell us why. caller: i think the democratic party has gotten us nowhere. the other countries don't even respect the united states anymore with biden begging for oil and that, when we have it right here in the united states. he is just making the united states a poor country. we need to get republicans in and we can be a good american, strong, united country again. host: lorraine in georgia. the state of ohio is one where the incumbent governor is on the ticket. and then there is a contest for a senate seat left open by a retiring senator. that contest between tim ryan, the democratic congressman who has been serving in the house for many years and j.d. vance,

the republican endorsed by the former president trump, is a closely watched race. the two of them held a debate recently. he brought that into c-span along with key senate and gubernatorial debates. take a look at this portion were both respond to a question about the january 6 insurrection and the threat it poses to american democracy. >> it as shown from the very beginning that it is not interested in the truth. it is interested in a political hit jobs. -- hit job. it goes back to four years ago when donald trump has the election stolen by the russians. there has been a nonstop political effort to not honor the election of 2016, and that is as much a threat to democracy is the violence on january 6. i condemned the violence repeatedly, and tim talked about brave law enforcement officers

and kept the capital safe. the fraternal order of police has endorsed me because you have staffed the police of this district and state many times. that is why they have endorsed me. why won't you condemn the violence in summer of 2020 when people were rioting and looting and burning down american streets? tim ryan is nowhere to be found. maybe another he is running for senate, he will be somewhere to condemn it. here is the biggest problem. what happened on january 6 was bad. i don't like violence at the united states capital, but the media obsession and tim ryan's obsession with this issue, while people can't afford the cost of groceries, where his's -- policies have made it impossible for people to support their families, where we have a border security problem, where we know that big tech companies are involved in the 2020 election anyway that hit hunter -- hated hunter biden's -- hid hunter

buys corruption. the obsession with january 6 suggests that they are not concerned with the voters of the state that are getting crushed by the policies you support. >> we are a very complicated democracy here, but we can walk and shoe gum at the same time. if a group of people stormed the capital while we were trying to file the paperwork for an election, and they are trying to prevent that from happening, and they want to kill the vice president, that needs to be looked into. you want to sweep it under the rug. i don't want to talk about this anymore than anyone else. i want to talk about jobs and wages and pensions. i want to talk about dignity, but you have to look into it. >> i'm trying. >> liz cheney is not a democrat. adam kinzinger is not a democrat. liz cheney's dad was dick

cheney. he was vice president under george w. bush as a republican. this is a bipartisan effort. host: if you are in ohio or just a political junkie, you can find it on our website where we have been calling many of the key debates from across the country this election cycle. your place for campaign 2022 -- c-span.org. great in lincoln park, michigan. independent. all right. how do you plan to vote because there is a tight race in michigan for governor. what will you do? caller: i will vote straight ticket, all republican, because of the fact that the democrats have gone way too far left. they are not my dad's democrats or my grandfather's democrats. it is just crazy what they are trying to do in the schools it how much money they are spending.

we are in this mess that we are in, gasoline, groceries, everything, bills -- my heating bill -- my mortgage, i was fuming because it was another hundred dollars extra from a year ago. it is not the right thing to do, what the democrats are doing. host: go ahead. i was curious. where do you think they are spending too much money? caller: on useless things, especially paying off student loans. come on. i couldn't afford to go to school. if i could afford to go to school, i would be making less. -- like 2000 -- $200,000 a year. i was stuck at $40,000 year because i couldn't go to school

and now i have to pay for someone else to go to school. i don't believe that is right. caller: that's it. host: you are reflected in this pole. the president is making it part of his closing arguments. he was in new mexico yesterday according to the washington times. biden touts student loan relief in the last days of midterm, vows to defend against gop challenges. the public seems split on this idea. it is not wildly popular. the wall street journal as well on this spending issue, this morning. republicans are increasingly opposed to aid for ukraine. according to new polls, craig also mentioned the price of gasoline. that is why he voted straight republican. this headline from the washington post.

guidant -- biden sees gas prices as gauge of popularity. prices go up, popularity goes down. good morning to paul. paul, wilson? let me push the button. there we are. paul in north carolina, good morning. you are going to split your ticket. caller: yes. there are number of races that actually only hold a democrat or republican candidate. that will result in a split ticket, regardless, but generally, like a lot of people, i want to look at what each candidate offers and what their values are. but i called in today to say we will have some split ticket voting on my voter card, but i will never vote for any election deniers. that is what i called to say. host: that is your criteria?

caller: that's it. kevin in st. petersburg, florida. we have a tax. this is the first time i've ever deliberately voted straight ticket. i voting republican. the madness must end. chris in illinois. i voted by mail in ballot, choosing candidates for the various offices that were democrat, independent, republican. anyone who vote straight party ticket is perpetuating this power struggle that has crippled our government. james and georgia plans to vote for one party. which party, and tell us why? caller: i'm voting straight republican because of the fuel prices. the democrats do not realize this country runs on diesel. trains, trucks that deliver our products. they don't have diesel. things are going to get short. i also feel like if we don't

have a republican majority, blocking some of these wild bills in congress, this country may split wide open. in georgia, is the same way as the rest of the country. split, and then we have state city of atlanta that bodes democrat, and it is hard not to get a republican majority. i hope to see a majority of the republican party. host: what is your view on herschel walker? caller: i'm voting for him. i think you will do all right. he's not going to go up there and not listen to other people. he will go up there and listen to people from tennessee. other republican states, how to do business. host: what is your view of stacey abrams, the democratic challenger?

caller: georgia will be split wide open. they will be fighting each other. host: ok. jameand georgia with his thoughts. let's go to the debate between the incumbent republican governor and his challenger stacey abrams. >> if the legislature passes a more restrictive abortion law, would you sign that bill? >> i'm not going to say yes or no to any specific legislation, or see exactly what is going on because it is not my desire to see the needle move on this issue. we have been dealing with this issue for three years. that is where the general assembly was. i don't see a need to go back, but when you are governor, you have to deal with all kinds of legislative issues out there, so we will look at those when the time comes, but my focus is going to be on helping georgians fight through the 40 are high. joe biden inflation caused by a disastrous policy in washington

dc. we are going to make our first order of business to do another tax rebate orate tax relief to help georgians be able to go into the grocery store or the gas pump. >> let's be clear. he did not say he wouldn't. he has praised the bounty system that allows neighbors to make $10,000 by reporting on women. we know that under the law he signed, women can be investigated for miscarriages and other pregnancy losses. 52 counties have said they indeed will pursue those investigations because they don't think they have a choice. we know that under this governor, women are in danger. georgia is the number one mortality, and it is only going to be worse when women are forced to carry pregnancies, and one in five women do not have health insurance before pregnancy. they will be compelled to carry pregnancy to term, and while there is an improvement in medicaid to provide access for women during pregnancy on day --

the first birthday of that child, the health care goes away. he does not have a plan for the lives of women forced to carry a pregnancy for unwanted pregnancies. more importantly, he refuses to protect us. he refuses to defend us, and he descended herschel walker saying that if you didn't want to be involved in the personal life of his running mate, but he doesn't mind being involved in the personal medical choices of women in georgia. host: from the governor debate, you can find on c-span.org. on the issue of abortion, latinos leaning on abortion rights. this is when a newspaper found. latinos frank abortion as their second biggest issue after prices according let's month. the economy is first, and then they were posting the issue of

abortion rights. they were favoring abortion rights. then, you have this in the new york times this morning. a campaign nears and, and you can see the limit of a focus on abortion rights. they take the case of michigan. many democratic remain optimistic that voters will support of motion abortion rights when the issues put on a referendum. they have been optimistic about michigan where they believe a measure to amend the constitution to protect abortion rights would drive voters to the pole and help lift gretchen whitmer, a democrat, to reelection. but privately, some democrats have begun to worry that voters will focus on the economy and jeopardize witmer, whose pulling has shrunk and we sent weeks, as well as the ballot measure. two headlines for you on this issue of abortion this morning.

eugene oregon. you plan to split your ticket. who are you voting for? let me push the button. hello. go ahead. caller: can you hear me? host: i can hear you. caller: definitely split ticket. first of all, there are a lot of races to be had. in other words, we have state and local. when you vote for something, it's probably a good idea to listen. if candidates make a difference, --. host: can you tell us which candidates in which parties? where you plan to split your ticket? caller: on the federal level, all blue. at the state level, well, that's a different story. at the local level, i'm sorry,

shy speak slow you for you -- should i speak slowly for you? at the federal level, all blue. at the state level, representatives at the state level, that's a tossup. at the local level, i don't think they have a d or r behind their name. my hope, i can't hear you. i can see her face. we can hear you. you have to listen and talk through your telephone when you call him. you have to meet the television because that causes confusion. richard in kentucky. straight party ticket. caller: straight party. a while ago, you played a debate

between tim ryan and j.d. vance. in all my life, since the start of the afghan war, i've never heard a democrat speak highly of dick cheney as tim ryan did a while ago when he was praising liz cheney and her wonderful father. dick cheney, the same guy, who gave us weapons of mass destruction. i would ask tim ryan, he should probably as liz cheney, by the way, have you set anything to your father about those weapons. now you have randy weingartner, just to change gears here, screaming about, well you need amnesty or the covid debacle. no. you need to find out what she, the biden white house, and the department of justice did to our children, and the way you have one caller earlier talk about

all they want to do is investigate. you bet your bottom dollar we are going to come after those people who did wrong to this country, and we are not going to stop until we find out all the bad. thank you so much. host: tim in pennsylvania. being a registered nonaffiliated voter, i will vote all democrat until i see a full culture change and republican parties, and i will not consider, even if i have no democratic choice. the 14th district of pennsylvania, writing out side democrats for local positions. connecticut, independent. good morning. how do you plan to vote? caller: i vote split. the reason being is that i was a republican all my life, i am 93 years old, and as of january 6, 2021, i decided if a republican

has some bad people involved. i plan to split my votes this year, and i'm going to vote for a person that i feel represents me thoroughly, and also represents the district that they work in or representatives and also the senate. we have a senator, richard blumenthal, who has done exactly nothing for this state. all he does is get his nose in front of a camera. that is it. even though i don't know that much about bernard leavy, i will vote for. that is about the best i can say. thank you. host: joey, in atlanta, good morning. how do you plan to split your ticket? caller: i think there is good in

both parties. but i believe there is good decent people running for office both in the democratic party and in the republican party, but i urged all of your viewers, and i'm talking to every viewer and listener, listening to this program. i bake you. please, watch the movie, the documentary. that will change your look opinion. it will shock you to the core. it is so important that you look at this documentary and look at it for what it is. i really believe that this country, if everyone went to see this movie, you would all be so shocked, and if we don't come to an understanding of how bad corruption has reached this country, we are going to lose america. please, do a favor. watch the documentary 2000 meals. i am begging you. host: who are you voting for

from the top down? caller: to be honest with you, we just don't have enough time, but there are so many good people on both sides. host: what about the governors race? who are you voting for? caller: in georgia, i love camp, he's not perfect but he's a good person. his opponent, to be honest with you, lady is just dead wrong. she is just dead wrong on so many issues for georgia, and i feel sorry for her, to be honest with you. host: what about the senate race? caller: i've got ago, but i perceive your time, and i wish you a good day, god bless you all. host: john in texas, straight party. caller: good morning. in 2022, and in 2020, i said

donald trump was going to win, and everyone booed me. at the end of the day, there is the presidency, and i wouldn't. this cycle is going to be a big blue wave. it is all of the polls. there are young people who did not vote here, and they are not on the data. they are going to show up on tuesday. there is minimum wage tax in-laws, equality for women, and then the dark money. medicare for all. that is what were talking about because we are involved. 18 to 29. host: do you predict the youth vote will turn around the democrats. caller: yes.

host: is that why the president is talking about student loan forgiveness in his closing days? [indiscernible] caller: all of these, abortion. thank you to the supreme court that said a woman is a second citizen. all of the women will come out and they will vote against the supreme court. against abortion. a favor of the abortion, and they are going to turn around. all of these calls are going to be ashamed, and the democrats are going to win. host: stay with us. we are going to talk to jessica taylor from the key senate governor races for the cook political reporter. she is out with new analysis in the final push for senate control. republican momentum is growing. for the senate, those republicans with senate races are looking like republicans

have the advantage. but she notes that the dam -- democratic senatorial candidate still has a scenario, giving the tightness of polling where they can run the table and pick up one c. it is still within the realm of outcomes, which means they flip pennsylvania, they keep the most vulnerable incumbents, like nevada senator catherine cortez, who they argue has gotten momentum as of late and private point. however, the first latina senator has been at a ceiling of about 46% in recent public polling, which does not bode well. the challenger, a former nevada attorney general has been a generic republic, more than other nominees, but it is still a margin of error rates. that is one to watch on election day. the nevada senate race. what will happen to control the senate, and you also have from a neighboring state of arizona, a race between mark kelly and the

headline in the washington post reads national headwinds catch up to mark kelly in this arizona race, and he has decked out passes from his time as an astronaut, and he wore a ball cap. the same hat favored by the famous party bucking president in the senate. the late republican john mccain. and no matter the question, he found a way to talk about working across the aisle. his appearance encapsulated the attempt to build his own brand in a purple state. it rewarded candidates with an independent streak willing to stray from the party lines, but the efforts have run into strengthening headwinds in the final stages of the midterm elections, and inflation is high here. democrats are on the defensive, and on the border policy, republicans have coalesced behind gop challenger blake master as election day nears. polling shows an increasingly

tough test of the ability to separate the ability from the party, and the national woes. another one. april, sacramento california. you are up early. thank you for that. thank you for watching. you are an independent. how do you plan to vote? april? your turn. good morning. april. you have to meet your television. ok. gotta meet your television. kim, cedar park, texas. splitting your texas -- ticket. caller: i haven't talked you a while. to the guy in georgia, you're drinking from the bottom of the barrel if you think that 2000, 3000 meals. that's been out for almost 12 years. that is the right wing propaganda. in georgia, please study what putin is about. all the other dictators, look at

the characteristics. you watch the party. you need to study the dictators and the end for terrien's, you need to value what the party is collecting. you're at the bottom of the barrel. it's no good. these are right wing extremists. they have turned rabbit, and they are not healthy, and everyone should know this by now. please vote. that's it. host: compton, california. eric. good morning. which party is it for you? caller: straight ticket democrat because i agree with that lady. what she was referring to, calling in. we are dealing with a lot of people that are only concerned about self interest, and the voting process. they call themselves christians doing this stuff, because if you understand the word of god correctly, it is not about self interest. is about the greater good of everyone to be peaceful. not violent. these people who are using the

word to god, it teaches us that if anyone goes to the self interest, is about public disgrace, so we can see, and it makes a governor service about self interest. host: ok. mark in scottsdale, arizona. we were talking about your state. how are you going to vote in that senate race. >> hello c-span. yes. we've got some good candidates. i'm excited about her. she's a real person page she's an outsider. i guess the larger point would be, if you look at all of the tickets across the country, i am an independent, but i do lean conservative. republican candidates are more like outsiders, people without political experience, which i think is a good thing. i think they have just as good

judgment as career politicians. better judgment. more trustworthy. regular people. that is where country is set up for. we have blake masters and kari lake, two good candidates. and then, let's talk about herschel walker. the last thing i will say is people, get on youtube, and youtube played herschel walker's football footage. watch this man. when he played football. watch how he was running back. everyone can watch this on youtube. host: that a reason to vote for him or against him? caller: it's a reason to vote for him because you can see how amazing this man was. termination. i've -- you might say what does

that matter, and i will say it's an amazing thing to see how this man plays football, and how he won the heisman trophy. it is strength and determination. i guess it doesn't have much to do with his political philosophy, but it shows what kind of man he was. he's just an amazing thing to watch. i've never watched. host: tell us how you are voting in the senate race in arizona? caller: definitely blake masters. host: market arizona. caller: in the pennsylvania race, federman secured oprah winfrey against the formal guest of her show, dr. oz. he drew oprah into the race against oz. the longtime talkshow host one in office career, but she is backing an opponent in eight senate race.

on thursday, they landed the target. that is the federman campaign. a superstar announced that the virtual get out the vote in pennsylvania is a crystal race for the senate. this is what she reported. i said it was up to the citizens of pennsylvania, and i will say this. if i lived in pennsylvania, i would have already cast my vote for john fetterman for many reasons. it is a big deal not only because of her unique status among women, black people and other americans, but also because she helped make the republican opponent famous. it was a powerful nod from winfrey, and it worked to court her. they made a direct appeal for a meeting for person familiar with the outreach. celebrities and prominent democrats support federman, and they also urge winfrey to back him. this is also a closely watched race. take a look at the latest ads in this contest and in the closing days. >> this is frank o harris from

steel country. it is been a while since we had a senator from western pa, in those years have not been great. washington forgot us. that's why i'm with john fetterman. he's been fighting here for 20 years. washington sees us as grunts. john sees steel. john will fight to make more work for you, and cut taxes to make sure no one forgets our home. >> i am john fetterman, and i approve this message. pennsylvanians are in pain. i see in your faces and eyes. inflation is hurting everyone. gas prices, food prices, retirement savings, diminished. john fetterman would raise everyone's taxes, making inflation that much worse. we need more balance and less extremism in washington. i'm not a politician. i'm a heart surgeon. more importantly, a husband and a dad. i am running to improve people's lives. that's what doctors do. i'm dr. oz and i approve this message.

>> the senate race between john fetterman mma allies. good morning. we have about 50 men's left in this conversation here on the washington journal. we are sticking with campaign 2022 here. throughout the morning, jessica taylor is going to be with us to talk about the key senate races like that one, and the governor races as well. joseph in new york. you are going to do a straight party ticket. good morning. caller: good morning. i am 77, and i am going split ticket, but my concern is, what i'm hearing from people, crying out, they are looking for people who vote country first and then politics. that is an issue of what i see for quite a while. the example of that is a candidate running for the house,

facing at least the 21st district with matt caselli, who is really putting out so much effort to become for a debate, what she keeps denying, whatever excuses for local radio stations, and she probably feels she won, but i will tell you, this will be a close race. that person spent 14 years in the cia, and this committee in this country, it is a very high level, so good luck to everybody. vote. host: vote what? caller: get out and vote. host: how do you plan to vote in the governors race? caller: i will stick with hotel. she hasn't been around for too

long, but i am a democrat heart, but thinking about becoming an independent and looking for an independent party someday, but i will stick with hotel. host: you probably saw that the former secretary of state, along with the vice president, kamala harris, made a trip to your state, and focused on future threats to put democrats at a disadvantage, accusing the gop is stoking fear without plans for crime and inflation. other headlines are about how the political stars of the democratic party are running to blue states in these closing days to keep those seats. naples florida. you are undecided. good morning. are you there? naples, florida. caller: i am here. host: we can hear you now.

you are undecided. what -- which way are you leaning in the senate race between marco rubio and val demings. caller: marco rubio. i'm leaning towards marco rubio. and desantis. definitely desantis. host: two republicans. caller: yes. i'm an undecided voter. host: where are you undecided? caller: i was undecided in the national elections and their platform. president biden is completely out of touch with reality. he knows that inflation could be reduced by reducing the oil prices. there is transportation that is the cost of all of the goods and

services throughout the country. he is a very confused man. host: we are talking about the midterm election cycle in just four days. voters will decide which party controls the races, and which party controls the house and senate. in kansas, you planned this what your ticket. how so? i'm a registered democrat, and i have voted with democrats, and they were totally out of touch with what is going on in our world, and like the caller before us, they have no clue. biden is trying to blame the oil company for high prices, and gasoline and diesel and fuel is what runs our whole economy. you cannot raise the price on that, and expect the price to go

up when you raise a price on fuel. he blamed the oil company, and with gasoline at eight dollars 70, crude, was $38 a barrel. now crude is a hundred 20, and they expect the fuel companies to do it for the same price. it would be at least three times higher. it is common economics. any schoolboy should be able to figure this out. anyways, i pretty much have been voting republican just to try and straighten things out. i don't -- i see the democrats have no answers. host: joe in indiana. you're next. hello. caller: good morning. thank god for c-span. host: how do you plan to vote? caller: i voted by mail, straight ticket, crack, from top to bottom, and i am a will roger

democrat. i'm not a member of any organized political party. i vote democrat. that's where i'm at. host: why do vote democrat? caller: policy. people. stop listening. you're getting your news from social media, and to research, and if you are for the working people, you know the democrats are or the working people. not the republicans. i would like to encourage all of my fellow will roger democrats in the independence to please vote democrat this year. it is so essential. host: what did you do for a living? caller: i am 74 years old and retired. i worked as a painter, but i have a college degree, and i fell in love with my craft, and right now, i just know, and i went through the political

turmoil of the 1960's when they assassinated our president kennedy, his brother, and martin luther king. people, you don't know. we have gone through this before, and we can survive, and yes, joe biden is not senile. please don't believe that lie. host: joe in indiana. we started off the program talking about record spending in this midterm election cycle, and it is approaching nearly $17 billion right now with all of this tallied, but is closer to 18 billion. this is from open secrets, and it is tracking the money. this is a newspaper article from the new york times. billionaire donors are smashing political spending records again. 16.7 billion is the estimated political spending. it is surpassing the midterm

record of 14 billion, and they note that 15.4% is the portion of spending on federal races that is from billionaires. mark in texas, an independent voter. good morning to you. caller: good morning. thank you for taking my call. host: gina how you are going to vote? caller: you can see the turmoil the nation's in under the democrat party. everyone who can read these and find a dictionary and can look up republican and look at democrat, you will see that republicans are for the people. democrats are for the government. right now, the democrat party is for the international banker. in the biden families on the payroll of china. it tears up the hello sees who are the best friends of china,

so, so, people need to vote intelligently, and i believe the paper ballot. that is my preference. host: james in philadelphia. good morning. you are one of those split ticket voters. what are you going to do? caller: frankly, i am going to vote for democracy. i'm voting for democracy and i'm voting for choice, but i'm also voting for crimes, so i'm splitting my ticket for crimes, for the sake of crimes, and i'm doing it locally because crime doesn't go as far up as the senator. it does include the governor because the governor runs the state police, but it does not include crime, and it is more of a local issue. it doesn't include the senator anything like federally, the federal candidate, so locally, crime is terrible in philadelphia.

everyone knows someone who is been a victim of a crime here. i'm saying everyone. and, when it comes to being such a local issue, next year, it's our local meeting in may. it's our local primary for the mayor, for the city council, things of that effect, and right now, our local city council has people on the ballot because their people and city council running for mayor, and there are open seats, but i feel we do not need the same type of people that have done such a terrible job with client -- crime locally to be back in power. host: what about the governor's race? caller: i'm voting for schapiro for sure. i'm voting for him because he is for choice. and he is for democracy. when it comes to a senator's race, even just endorsing our lieutenant governor federman,

that is for dr. oz who works for her. that is kind of ironic. when it comes to democracy, i feel like that is utterly necessary. when you start messing with peoples rights, i feel that it will never stop. it will continue on and on and on. i feel choice is very important. we all should have a right. if you want a right to carry a gun, we should have a right to vote, or a right, we should have a right over their body. things to that effect. host: all right. paul in plantation florida. good morning. who are you voting for? caller: straight republican. a record number of serb urban wives are coming over to the republican party to vote in the polling. it's not surprising because

mothers want to look out for their daughters. they don't want new to males in their daughters locker room. they don't want biological males in athletics. they don't want propaganda in the classrooms. they just want their daughters to be educated properly. they don't want the streets full of released criminals. they can attack them. they don't want anybody telling anybody what pronouns they can use. host: paul talking about articles about a suburban female vote. here's the wall street journal. right -- white suburban women swing towards backing republicans for congress. you can read that in the wall street journal. we are going to take a short break. when we come back, we will focus and dig down into these key

senate and governor races. we will be talking with jessica taylor who is covering those races for the cook political report. she will be with us in just a minute. ♪ >> there are a lot of places to get political information. the only at c-span do you get it straight from the source. no matter where you are from, or where you stand on the issues, c-span is america's network. unfiltered, unbiased, word for word. if it happens here, or here, or here, or anywhere that matters, america is watching on c-span. powered by cable. >> middle and high school

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before election campaign 2022 we are happy jessica taylor could be with us this morning, she covers the senate governors races for the cook political report. i want to share the headline and final push for senate control republicans'a meant to him grows. what are you finding? guest: history tells us that republicans it be doing well because of backlash to the president, the first midterm election but democrats would have gotten some hope the summer with the roe v. wade being sent back to the states. i think democrats wish the election or a month ago because they were doing much better in some of these races but we are just seeing a tightening and a shift toward republicans in many of these races. we have shifted one final race and that is wisconsin senate race with ron johnson. he is much more vulnerable we

have moved it as a tossup at this point. the other big news, we are shifting our makeup of no net change which means democrats do keep the senate but the republicans can pick up to three seats at this point. our final top states that we believe will be the closest pennsylvania is one we are looking at one of the main races i'm going to be watching early in the 19 and though it can take a while to count ballots. that's democrats'best pickup opportunity there with john fetterman there. this was a, we moved this race to lean democratic back in august shifted it back and this is just a margin of error race. some democrats i talked to feel

oz does have a little momentum there. we still aren't sure how to perspective. they have three other incumbents that are in tossup categories. host: does the oprah winfrey endorsement make a difference these days? guest: just the fact that she helped sort of elevate oz to his position, but sometimes i'm a little skeptical of celebrity endorsements especially ones that come this late. i think she can help maybe motivate base voters in different things but i think it's just too hard to tell right now. and then for the most vulnerable incumbent we see this nevada. this is a seat that biden one by less than three points. nevada has been hit hard very

hard with the pandemic. and she's running against former republican attorney general and we talked about weaker republican candidates. there is not really a candidate quality issue there in polling, democrats is to argue she has a little bit of momentum but polling is showing her in the mid-44, 40 5% and that's a real danger territory for an incumbent this late. host: this is from the unit -- new york times. both parties pour money into a political fight this could decide the balance of power in the senate the race was the most expensive political contest in nevada history even before in 80 million splurge over the last month brought local and spending to 176 million according to a trucking firm.

a recent poll showed the candidates deadlocked at 47% each. there was a comfortable lead among men while she had a lead among women. what do you think about that? what could that mean? host: that's not really surprising to me and i think the question, it comes down to turn out. it really does. democrats, john roston there in nevada he has been tracking very closely the early ballots, the absentee ballots and things he has found they are sort of behind the 2018 target of where they needed and the pattern that we have seen in recent years is democrats vote early but republicans come out on election day. so if they get the election to crush that could be crucial. she talks about abortion, certainly, but i'm skeptical about how much that could impact edit. the are one of the states that

have codified roe v. wade into their constitution so i think it is an economy and crime issue and they have one of the closest governors races. i think at this point is just a lack and a danger to a democratic incumbent governor. guest: the other one is georgia with warnock having to run in two years. herschel walker. this one we expected to go into overtime, let's say which is a little bit of deja vu with what happened in 2020 of course they had a run off a little bit earlier so it doesn't ruin everybody's holiday plans. and this one has still been very tight but i'm watching the governors races influence where they have dual races because

brian kemp has opened up a significant lead over stacey abrams. can he pull walker across the finish line if he has a big turnout and they can avoid the turnout? i think at this point the best hope is a runoff but then the question is does it come down to senate control again? that's not something that democrats are optimistic about if they go to a runoff it would be if republicans already have the majority. it's just one sick because walker, he clearly had problems as a candidate. helping former conference have abortions even if he had allegedly after he had come out very strong against without any exceptions, his history of domestic violence allegations in different things. there will be different voters that are lukewarm on him. do they come back out for the runoff if it's not to the side of the majority? and the final one is arizona

with mark kelly. kelly seems to have the momentum of moberly up until about a few weeks ago against blake masters. even the weaker candidates that we talked about herschel walker and dr. oz, people know them. people didn't really know blake masters and he is not running a very good campaign i have heard republicans complaining about this. we had the super pac guys for mcconnell pull out their ads. it seems to signal we have better options really but we have seen other groups come in and try to make up this difference. particularly fentanyl action funds, the heritage foundation's political arm so they have been coming with ads. even if you look up mark kelly spending the candidate dollars go much further and he is outspending them 221 essentially.

2-1 essentially. i think all of the states it comes down to where biden's approval rating is. people are looking even just two months ago. he was mid-40's in places. in arizona he is in the 30's. high to mid 30's there. for someone like kelly to outrun them by double digits, that's just very hard to do. host: and the governors race having an impact there. guest: it is. republicans defending the seat. they have a former tv anchor she was a mainstay there for two decades which i think is helping her even though she has a lot of conspiracy theories. she has continued to save the election is stolen she is running against katie hobbs who is sort of everywhere on television. you know, audit and different things they have there in

defending arizona's result she has not run a very, democrats don't feel she has run -- done enough of an aggressive campaign. there's either charisma or people, she's very good at campaigning. and she has been drawing a lot of crowds and i think that is something that is helping masters. the same we we can see brian kemp helping herschel walker all the polls show that very close there is a chance she can help masters as well. host: 5:38 this morning with a new poll and the judge report but the headline on it as now 55% chance republicans winning the senate, republicans are just a normal polling area away from a sand -- landslide. guest: we are seeing differences in the polling that we see. democrats feel the polling has

been better but still very close. it really is a question of polls were off in 2020, 2016 they were a little bit more accurate in 2018 so is this in error when trump is on the ballot? they of course have struggled to reach these voters that are skeptical of polling the sort of trump voters that didn't really showed up. so i mean that's something that keeps me up at night wondering where these polls are because they are data points that we have. 538 average, i looked at keeping track of it so, yeah, they shifted it sort of the same time we did. you are seeing a shift really across the scene. democrats have no of holding the session? it does not show that. they could stay 50-50.

there is that there that they could pick up one seat. if they hold everything they could flip arizona. i'm going to be looking at some of the early closing states one particular is new hampshire. maggie hassan, we have her in the democratic leaning column but polls have been showing it close and she's running against an retired army brigadier general. he is just, he's been one of the weaker candidates. that is showing it so close or she is falling behind that most of the polls in the state, we should get an idea hopefully early. that might not be a great night for democrats. host: crime rates, and upset may

be brewing in new hampshire and it talks about how democrats wanted bolduc to run. they put money behind him because they thought that was senator hassan's guest: best chance. she saw mcconnell's super pac try to help mcconnell. the question of if the stronger candidate had been running this could have been a tossup. and they win in spite of all the things that have gone against them? this was a major recruitment fail in new hampshire early on. they really anticipated that christopher sununu was going to run that was the most likely state to flip if that happened. he declined, several other people, they were left without

sort of a star candidate. bolduc was sort of the bottom of the pack. it's clear why democrats wanted him but the fact that is so close even with such an underperforming candidate just tells you how the landscape has shifted. host: is he underperforming? this article talks about how a new van -- new hampshire voters want somebody from the outside even during the primary they were not favorable because they like the idea of an outsider. guest: i think underperforming, i would mean that as a campaign method. not raising a lot of money, not going on television, that sort of the time we would think you would need to do all of these things. but, yeah, certainly he very much touted a grassroots support he ran in 2020 in the primary and lost that race. his name was out there and it

feels like he never stopped campaigning because he was already in this race, one of the earliest when chris sununu decided what he was going to do republicans were not enamored with him but again early is the cycle, it comes out to candidate versus claimant. mitch mcconnell has talked about this nightmare about 2010 when they lost some seats in places like nevada, colorado, delaware. 2012, missouri and indiana because of weak candidates. or things they said that went viral. politics have become more nationalized that i thought the climate would win out. when things were shifting a little bit this summer and it looked like candidate volume mattered i thought maybe candidates really do matter and this is where we are. but it really feels like the climate is now sort of what is winning out because you see these candidates that really and

an other year should not be as competitive period when you look at the campaigns they have run that they really are. we are going to get to calls here in a minute so start dialing in with your questions in your comments about these senate and governor races. new hampshire, let's talk about the impact of the governors race. we could see a split ticket outcome here. guest: it's one of the states where we see split tickets more. voters are used to more splitting their tickets. governor chris sununu is going to win probably by 20 points and they want their governor every two years that they are used to electing them every cycle. that certainly could help but the irony is sooner new was no fans of bolduc really bashed him in the primaries. he has not been complementary of

sununu in the least so that is the irony that he needs, he could need him to went to pull off what would be a real upset. host: running in clarksville, we will go to you first. caller: i prefer dr. oz for sure. host: and tell us why. caller: dr. oz, hac out your good to go. if he became senator if they passed any deal in front of him he could definitely go through that deal and dissected, opposed to fetterman. fetterman is nothing but a full-blown crackhead. host: i will leave it to that but sounds like he's a republican. what is the republican enthusiasm like in pennsylvania? guest: it seems to be growing

but here is where we can see governor candidate helping. while the senate race is very tight the governors race is not. josh shapiro did not have a primary, doug mastriano he has been sort of the leading voice trying to overturn election results, no exceptions for abortion, conspiracy theorist with the 2020 election. this is who republicans feared would get the nomination. he did, democrats put in some money to try to help that but i think the case was already banked at that point. again, somebody who has run barely a functional campaign. no money and you do see a lot of crossover supporters or schapiro because some of those reasons. could that help fetterman? this is a state we have seen biden two. given it is his home state.

but this is just a race with such different dynamics when you have a candidate that has had a major stroke and is recovering from that is what it looks like. oz, you look at the numbers beneath the horse race and he is still very unpopular with voters. will people overlook that? are they going to look at it do i want a democratic or republican senate. host: president trump heading there on saturday is that helping? guest: it can help excite the republican base. trump was more of a factor this summer it felt like. he was out there endorsing these candidates. doesn't seem to have been much of a factor in the past few months but him getting back on the campaign trail right before election, could that fire up some democrats or independents? who might've been voting republican remind them what they

didn't like about trump we have never seen a former president metal or use his influence in elections this way. especially in ways that don't and if it has party that are more about who helps me. versus who -- trying to get to 51 seats. so that stokes questions in the mind. you really can't stop him but you can't control what he does certainly. host: indian trail, north carolina is where anne is watching. good morning. caller: good. hello? host: we are listening, go ahead. caller: i've been listening all morning but what is your question right now? host: were not asking questions were getting your thoughts on the senate races. caller: my thoughts are with the

democrats and i'm going to explain that if you give me a chance. you give a lot of other people chances. i can't believe biden that took over in the beno -- middle of a pandemic if you don't believe that half of the things that are going on, the pandemic caused like the lack of jobs, the lack of a -- if you don't believe this is because all this brouhaha with everybody you are confused, dissolution, this that and the other and then blame biden after they received checks from him to help them pay their rent and so forth. they took that money and the

republicans call and say they didn't accept that check. we went back to work when everything was trying to get back in force. the economy, the people that were not making money i heard a neutral news station the other night a man came home from the company, companies that oversee speculations and things. he sees that the oil companies had made billions off of us this past year and a half. he also said the big stores, i don't want to name them but if you shop at the grocery stores, you are very well aware they are bumping up prices not just because of the deliveries or anything like that anymore it's because they can. host: you say it's not the president's fault, even the white house is checking white --

gas prices. they are talking about his chief of staff who in the opening paragraphs as he looks up at -- wakes up at 3:30 am and the first thing he checks as the gas prices. guest: this is driving a lot of things. when we saw that sort of surge in august and september. gas prices is one thing for me the white house certainly has things they point to that they have done like the inflation reduction act. really when you look back at inflation republican started blaming the higher spending that happened during the pandemic. they argue that was necessary to keep the economy afloat but with gas prices at something everybody notices. maybe you are not in the

household dust the person in the household that shops. people are clearly paying more they are seeing shortages the white house can point to these numbers but it's really what voters yield. if your paycheck is not going far enough, you are paying so much more for groceries you are really feeling that and essentially republicans argument is are you better off than you were? it is a very big number that think that. suburban women talk about that vote and the economy. host: right. guest: these are the swing voters that don't like trump. maybe some voted for him in 2016 but went against him in 2020. and the question now they are the ones that are looking at the bank accounts, they are worried

about crime, crime is another very big issue. we are seeing that in a lot of these races people feel they are saying that out. that is something republicans have used effectively in a lot of advertising as of late. where does that folk come down to? democrats feel like abortion could plate an issue and we did see a surge of voters particularly women and young people it still helps democrats and what would have been another year because it did help republicans they were enthusiastic to turn out. even biden's disapproval was among democrats and independents , but they come out if they didn't feel that the white house was doing what they wanted. i think that number that we sort of now see moving or we are

going and this impact the economy and crime that's a big issue for the suburban voters. they could differ did bite state-by-state. host: latinos leaning in on abortion rights first the economy for them but republicans thought they could make headway with some latino voters who tend to be religious, conservative on this issue and instead the washington post is saying latino vote leaning in on abortion rights. guest: this is an economic issue for many people too when their family -- when they are family planning for things happened during a pregnancy. it something that affects all, sort of all races, all sectors but republicans have made gains with latinos. latinos are building blocks

cuban voters and florida are more conservative we are seeing places like arizona and nevada that is crucial. going to be looking at the exit polls where the latino vote is. host: couldn't make a difference which race it is? guest: i think both for arizona, down ballot races nevada it certainly could. florida is a lot more competitive that we see we rate races likely republican but those of the two main states in looking at area new mexico is another one that could be an to watch. very narrowly closer than expected. this is a race republicans are

very optimistic about. they see crime in the major issue in albuquerque. around christian, --grishalm. he says i support some limits versus making it a major issue. new mexico that's another place it could be we are certainly watching. some places lean democratic but it could be one of those closer on election night. host: president biden went there yesterday. guest: he is a places he feels he could be useful. this is a place where you can excite democratic voters and other place they went to his oregon because oregon has one of the most surprising governor races this cycle. it was a very legitimate shock to pick it up because the relay race with mccright, you have

independent betsy johnson who has spent a lot of the race, that is sort of the way she is a former democratic legislator. she was taking fits away from code tech. we are seeing johnson's numbers dissipate and democrats are feeling a little bit better about that race but it still could be very close. had to send the president to work to sort of help shore up some of this. the new york governor race has also been one that is tightening. the vice president and hillary clinton were campaigning there. host: james in tennessee, and dependent. caller: good morning, ladies. inc. you for taking my call. something i had been finding interesting throughout this whole campaign here democrats control congress and everything all the people that voted for

them it's almost like there is a border remorse now of people going from a good economy to a bad economy. host: let's take that notion. guest: i'm hearing a lot of this. if i saw a lot of focus groups this year especially looking at swing voters that voted for trump in 2016 voted for biden in 2020. they have been undecided in a lot of these races. they are the key coalition to watch and the one thing that i heard very consistently is they don't want biden to run or trump to run again in 2024. the arch frustrated with but they are frustrated with democrats. they feel they couldn't get enough done. there is a late surge of legislation in the summer that the white house can point to but it goes back to jobs, the

economy, rising prices, all of these economic indicators. when you have history against you and an economy that looks as dire as this does i think interest rates, that's another huge thing. double what you were paying a year ago or more that is the housing market. that is another major issue all of these economic struggles that we see people are feeling. host: they want to check on this democratic president. guest: that is where we have seen in his fist term election obama lost the house, trump lost the house, that was a little bit delayed for bush because of 9/11. yes, you do see ok what -- who

we elected is not working. the last two years of biden spread his seat and what he is able to get done. particularly in the house and how that margin can get for republicans. they are going to want investigations into biden, into hunter biden. i'm sure impeachment will come up. there is a lot of things that make has last two years difficult. host: tony in florida texting when they say they feel bullish about the election they could be trained to influence voters. don't you have to watch how they spend their money? isn't that a better indicator of how they see things? guest: it certainly is. the new hampshire tightening, we haven't seen a major republican group go back in there necessarily. arizona, again, that was a big signal to us when sls pulled out. they were able to make up some of this.

democrats are still where they are despite such a large spending advantage. candidates get lower ad rates. outside groups are going to be paying exponentially higher. democratic candidates have raised so much money in many places they are up 2 to 1. but the races are still deadlocked. host: david from florida welcome to the conversation. caller: good morning. host: go ahead. caller: i have two questions for jessica. does she have definitive evidence that herschel walker paid for two abortions? and the second question is does she remember the race with judge roy moore in alabama and the number of allegations that came out? it was in the dozens that roy

moore was a child predator, sex offender. guest: i certainly remember theroy moore race that was one of the many i covered. that was to fill the seat of jeff sessions there. he won the nomination despite republicans try not to give it to him. you had the democrats there winning in an upset and a lot of it was because of these allegations against moore we saw crossover voting there but this was a special election. in part, backlash to the trump white house. so right now, we don't report on the allegations. other publications do that. but we have seen a lot of evidence and there have been a lot of stories about voters looking at this and thinking,

yeah, well he would still vote to outlaw abortion. he is a very conservative voter, you can make that argument in your mind. it took a lot of people that is very hypocritical, certainly. but there is still of republican edge there in a state that biden only won by 3/10 of a point so it's already very close. this is not a blue state by any means. then you have alabama. doug jones was able to have that upset but even the other senator there that is retiring, shelby, seems to indicate it was ok to vote for doug jones and that helped him. the allegations are a little bit different, certainly. there was certainly domestic violence allegations against walker that democrats are going to message on and a few days but i'm not sure the abortion issue has resonated with as many people as they thought that it would. host: the latest on the economy,

the job numbers are out this morning. october, the unemployment rate picked up we .7 however 251,000 jobs were added. you will see how this is spun by both parties. will this be a factor? guest: will they point to the unemployment rate? i'm not sure if it was higher than they expected or different things. so what in the last economic indicators like i said, i think it comes down to what's happening to you, but happening to your friends come up with to your community versus what is happening nationally. but economic news coming out of their, perhaps. host: we will go to barbara in ohio. who do you plan to vote for governor in ohio? caller: that's probably, not

very much advertising but i'm definitely democrat all the way down. host: so tim ryan as well? caller: democrats are, they are saying they're going to be running behind but i usually vote early. i'm disabled, i have kidney issues. i'm definitely for jim ryan. i think he's excellent. host: do you know any republicans or independents who are favoring tim ryan? caller: no. unfortunately. i don't know any. host: i ask because he was quoted saying even republicans are saying whispering saying they are voting for me. guest: when you look at states

that trump one, that certainly can help j.d. vance, and other candidate who has struggled. you look at it as a, it's a rest day. it's not the purple swing state we thought of in the beginning. it's another place where republicans had nominated another competent nominee they have to raise money. they had to spend over $24 million justice labor date in this race to help him and ryan has been raising a lot of money. he has rent and almost near, the campaign you need to win. that is what he is looking to. brown has run in years before.

i think it's going to be close but giving those last few points in ohio i think this type of environment is just incredibly hard but what he has done is made this race so competitive and vance has liked behind that republicans had to move money that they would rather spend on offense where they had to crouch down. the first priority was defending these open seats. and speak to were a party has gone because you have these races didn't have to worry about the psycho he shocked people to say he was going to retire. shelby retiring, and they are in their 70's and 80's. this didn't seem to be an age-related issue or anything but he someone that has been sort of a more pragmatic

establishment type of republican in that mcconnell lane and he can get replaced with someone that would be very different but again if republicans had not retired from places like ohio, pennsylvania, north carolina they could have focused more on offense instead they are having to play defense in these open seats. host: randall in maryland. caller: hello, think you for taking my call. i realize this discussion is mostly political i'm curious about a question and we have a very dangerous situation going on with north korea. we have the president of the united states changing policy on china and saying we will go to war to defend taiwan which looks like a possibility. we obviously have the decision going on in ukraine which heavily involved.

it could turn into a bigger war. there has been zero discussion of foreign policy as far as i can tell. foreign policy issues are more generally what the role of the united states should not be part of political discussion or discourse even though the u.s. is probably entangled in all kinds of different foreign-policy commitments. host: before you ask your question let me show you this poll from the wall street journal. republicans increasingly opposed to aid for ukraine. i didn't mean to cut you off i didn't realize you were going to ask a question go ahead caller: so my question basically is why is it that this question about foreign policy and the role of the united states in the world is just not really part of our

public elections and public discourse the lack of the media interest in it? is it politicians? i'm just curious about that. host: thanks, randall. guest: it's a domestic policy election. the are so many problems at home there are things happening abroad that affect us, russia and ukraine in particular. china, all of these continue to be foreign-policy issues. they could be concerning that i think other issues are outweighing them and we are not seeing that as a driving factor. the aid to ukraine could come into question their if republicans when the house in different things. i think we could see a pushback against hyden's -- bidens foreign-policy. host: vince and a lancaster, pennsylvania. caller: the deal with ukraine,

that's just wrong. they're going to have to be accountable for where this money goes. we have all these troubles here and the next thing, you know, when this is over were going to be talking about giving billions to rebuild that country. that is billions of taxpayers money that has to be earned that's going to another country. my concern with this and i don't hear nothing about it as the truck problem in this country. me as a pain patient took a bad hit i didn't have any problems but because there was such an outrage of wanting to get medical marijuana placed over the painkillers -- host: i think you are alluding to crime which i think jessica has talked about. guest: that has factored into it as well as immigration when you look at drugs coming across the

border. opioid addiction is still a big issue across the country. ohio, we were just talking about how it has been hit very hard where j.d. vance has been saying detailing his family struggles with addiction. ryan accusing his charity of hiring drug companies essentially that have perpetuated this and different things. you are hearing both of them talk about this. but, again, i think some of that if we are looking at the drug issue and different things that tyson. it ties into crime. host: and border security playing in issue in the arizona senate race. guest: very much so. masters has gotten support from border patrol agents.

this is not an issue that they have handled very well. states like arizona that have a lot of people at the southern border. that is affecting bidens approval rating. it's not review want to be. as much as mark kelly tries to distance him has self he has that hanging over his head. immigration can absolutely resonate there more. host: let's hear from brad in savannah, georgia. caller: in morning. -- good morning. so i'm one of the rare democrats that i have already voted and georgia being the heartland. i live in a chest pumping trump

country done here. the standout playback. they scream herschel walker because he's the right guy. red i. they may leave that one blank. host: how did you vote? you said you split your ticket? caller: yes. when you look at brian kemp while i don't agree with all they are thinking, that has much to do with legislature as it does with their politics. when they had the opportunity to do the easy think they took the hard right. while i don't support their campaigns i was able to support them with my boat. host: interesting. guest: and has become something

of a unicorn. he is completely right, that is because for a reason he pointed out brian kemp seems he refused to overturn the election. trump-endorsed candidates against both of them in the primaries. both of them won are more than expected. the fact that they have made the point i stood up to trump, you are still going to need republican votes that has earned him respect. it looks like kemp will be reelected and the issue, people leave that blank that is an issue. what i still think is another factor walker is a football

hero. heisman trophy winner, national championship in the 80's, george just won it again. football is king. i still think that helps him somewhat. one of the more interesting ads was he showed georgia fans saying i love herschel walker like he belongs on a poster on my wall. they had to sort of attack that way knowing walker was such a beloved figure in the state saying you can still like him as a person and he could be your football hero but should he really be senator? host: and when he showed up at that game. what a campaign strategy. guest: that is the place to be 3:30 tomorrow and once again go georgia. host: we talked in new mexico

yesterday also that he is talking about student loan forgiveness in these closing days. one of our viewers predicted it's because of the youth vote. it is the youth vote that is going to go against all the public that we have been talking about and the youth are going to turn out and some states you think are going to go republican, the viewer was talking it's going to be for democrat. guest: that's what democrats are banking on. they need the youth turnout and they are not typically reliable midterm voters and i think the student loan thing is something that could energize them. democrats are reaching out on campuses. but again we do see sort of higher turnout among middle-aged and older voters typically in these types of elections. if there is a major surge in the youth vote that is something the polls have undercut. all of this, polls are imperfect.

a lot of these things are imperfect we sort of make the best analysis of what we have and if the data was wrong, which was last cycle in many ways. democrats ended up losing seats in the house. it will cause another question of reforms that might need to be made. host: it does seem that the white house is seeing something there otherwise why do they have the president address these issues in the closing days? guest: this is a campaign promise, some people think it didn't go far enough. republicans are messaging against it saying your hard-working dollars, maybe you paid off your student loans or you didn't go to college and you are paying for somebody else. so it could be a double-edged sword. republicans can also use this against him. last weekend in the paper there was a story about the democratic

strategy of reaching out to influencers on tiktok and they had about eight of them who have millions, millions of subscribers here in washington and trying to convince them that they have influence over some of these key races. is that something that gets on entered? host: the tiktok user? guest: digital is something that campaigns have to integrate because of ads on streaming platforms like tiktok, instagram, twitter. twitter is a whole different story right now. they have different mediums to reach people. tiktok is very big with the younger generation it seems. you've got to reach people where they are and where they are in life and if they can get through to these people a couple hundred beds can make a difference. we have seen that time and time again. host: from san diego, leo, and.

good morning. caller: it sure is a good morning. he only pulse that i know that are correct are the north's -- north pole and south pole. i met change is closer to america, i think. it seems to me that a lot of these races that are supposed to be blowouts for democrats are tossup's and a lot of the polls, there are so many it's hard to believe. it seems to me that the polls are tight all the way across. if jesus christ ran as an independent in california he would lose to newsom by several digits. that's how polarizing this races.

you made a comment about donald trump losing and i don't give a damn, i'm in california almost doesn't matter but you said donald trump lost. he got 75 million votes. i think he actually got more votes than anybody thought he would. that was just one point. the other thing is, this is the fourth member of your organization that has come on. i would like to have heard from a different polling group. no disrespect to you, a lot of what you say i agree with. host: hold on because jessica, talk about what you do. guest: we analyze these elections, we rate them from the likelihood to flip. right now we talk to different groups about it. we look at polling and analyze it but we do not to any polling ourselves. host: talk about what you do

early on these candidates want to talk to you, you know who these people are. guest: we build those relationships and check back in. we are talking with strategists that are looking at different polling and seeing where the money goes in different things. it's not, our number is not just based on polling data but we look at other trends. they are working on these races inside or outside and working on outside groups that are helping them. we have a broad swath of people we talked to. my colleague amy walter his enter -- editor and chief she is out there talking to people all the time. host: and on election night will you be capping those sources? guest: texting or emailing and sometimes when we don't hear something back that tells you

things are not going well. i've had a couple of people this week that didn't want to take my call. host: all are from kentucky, democratic color. caller: how did the republicans when they want money, they can get all they need but anything that would help the poor for the needy, they want to cut to go back into their pockets. i would just like to know why they don't stay on this. trump, as far as him, all the things that that man done that was covered by national enquirer because it was all over the papers why in the world did none of this stuff come out about him being a pedophile and epstein

getting killed on suicide watch and all of the other things who pays that money to have things like that done? and i would like to know how can they get by with everything said? host: let's talk about the factor of the former president in an midterm election cycle. guest: midterm cycle is supposed to be about the current president but when you have these former president out there teasing a 2024-bit republicans are signing a of relief. he has waded back in their we expect him to run biden is able to say this is trump's party, if this is what you want you are helping trunk epic -- get back into power is that what you want in a way that you didn't see former president bush, obama necessarily try, both of them

could not run again certainly but you just have not seen a president that has tried to wield his influence this way. he thrives on winning these primary victories. he will endorse so many candidates including ones that are in state districts saying look i have this huge record. you are endorsing candidates that are going to win heavily republican seats. host: following the campaign money we told you this election cycle is going to break another record. funding candidates at the state level the former president poured money into candidates but in a way that many national politicians did not. he contributed money to state-level races across the country. right after trump lost the 2020 election despite election fraud he has given money. it states closely watched will take place.

what is your take on this where the money was spent here? guest: the trump group did come in and this was after a lot of questioning by republicans because the former president, republicans have struggled with fundraising and they think because of trump's digital operation asking for money to give to him when these other candidates needed more. it's good news to republicans but it's also he could have had far more money. you break it it in a kind of way. so he has been spending it, he has been spending it in -- in states that he needs to turn to him and backing people who were election deniers that backed his bogus claims of election fraud and trying to get people in states to overturn the election. this is a consequential thing

happening and this is what democrats have tried to message on. that is what biden's speech at union station was about. they are trying to make it a big issue, some of the hearings over the summer elevated this with the inquiry into january 6, and it feels like it is fading as an issue ultimately. but watch where he is spending and watch some of these governors races. they can be really important, 2024. host: mike, independent. caller: can you hear me ok? host: we can. caller: there are two categories that weigh heavily in terms of making my decision. one is the republican study committee and what they want to do, some republicans will say there are just a few republicans talking about this. but this is the republican study committee that encompasses more

than just friends republicans. this is what they want to do and they have been talking about it for years. when it comes for social security their plan calls for raising the retirement age to 70. i am sorry, but 70, i know that people are living longer but 70 is too old for retirement, especially i am a white-collar worker. but for blue-collar workers who are working until 70 is not practical. you base your social security benefits on 40 years average earnings instead of 305i think it is currently. so that affects a lot of people, especially women who might start their careers later in life. if they were 20 years because they raised a family, they will have 20 years of zeros to average and. the other broad category, i think people think about that, do you really want them to cut your social security benefits. host: i am going to jump in

because democrats thought this would resonate and the president was talking about it in florida this week, medicare and social security, a big issue with older voters in florida. guest: arizona is another high retiree area. this is the third rail and politics and this is something that has worked. even blake masters with some of his background and different things saying that one of the most damaging things that democrats had on him was that he has -- he did say that he would be open to looking at medicare and social security. again they pounced on that, and we certainly see elections turn on this before. we saw that with paul ryan coming out with his plan last decade. if you can get them animated about that, but right now

nothing is probably going to change because you still have a democratic president. it is that check and balance that we were talking about, but that is an issue, clearly there are issues with keeping social security solvent but neither party has been able to reach a consensus. host: the president increasing the cost of living for seniors. guest: there has been quite an uptick in checks for that and we have seen that with my father with getting social security benefits and disability for the military. the reason for that increases because of high inflation. host: mountain home, arkansas. a republican. caller: good morning to both of you ladies. you know, you are not reporting about what our military are doing? we have the first airborne division on the border of ukraine, and now we have troops

in ukraine. and only 1% of this country makes up the military. so when the body bag start coming home before christmas, everybody is going to wonder why . the families are being told that have loved ones there not to talk about the deployment. i have a lady in church, her granddaughter just returned from over there. the news is spending -- is spending a lot of this stuff and it is terrible. i voted already. i voted early, i wanted my vote to count. and if you want the same things that you've had in the last two years, go ahead and vote democrat. us poor people who have very little money to live on, the border, the food prices, the gas prices, the increase in rent,

the property tax, that is where they get the money to work with. host: listing off the reasons why he is voting republican. guest: he is representative of a lot of republicans or republican leaning people and independents that this is exactly the concerns that they have. he asked the question look back, are you satisfied with what you have? that is a question that a lot of voters are entering the voting booth with. host: sort of hinting at 2024. if the situation in ukraine escalates the u.s. is brought in more after this midterm election. the impact on that on 2024 could be wide? and i would add that cnn reporting the former president eyeing the third week of november for a 2024 announcement. guest: trump had an isolationist policy, america first which was a departure from traditional

republican roles that we would see, more republicans were hawkish with the military. he wanted to build up the military, and certainly if trump got back in, he has a better relationship with vladimir putin. that has been an issue, where does he fall with this and what happens to the aid in ukraine? well that must not be a major factor in this election it certainly will be in the presidential election where foreign policy is more the purview of a president. we talk about that a lot more during presidential years than midterm years. one of the things that we have heard biden is that we have moved wanting not to send people to different places with the afghanistan withdrawal. that did not go well but you had people who were very tired of having soldiers over there for two decades since 9/11. host: let us hear from joshua,

raleigh, north carolina. democratic caller. caller: i am a democrat now and i originally voted for trump when he first ran against hillary clinton because i thought he was going to tighten up our grip on china. now i am a democrat mainly because of january 6. and the insurrection. my question is why is it ok during the pandemic for businesses to take billions of dollars of loans that they are never going to pay back, i heard lindsey graham say this, that we cannot allow this -- that we cannot allow these businesses to go under, but students who are just starting off their life when they will buy a house and contribute to the economy, it is not ok to give any kind of relief on the student debt? i do not understand, even when my fellow old republicans why do not -- why do they not see that

as a double standard. host: she is not a public policy expert, but i want you to talk about what he said. 2016 voted for president trump. flipped in 2020 because of january 6. caller: its -- guest: it seems a lot of what trump happens and he became the democrat because of what happened. this is not unusual that we see, this focus group that we have been tracking this cycle, he is a type of person he will fit into that. for a lot of people january 6 was the straw that broke the camel's back but even in the aftermath we saw a republicans, out and do a final strike against president trump that have softened what they said. kevin mccarthy, mcconnell did not backup and convince -- convict trump in an impeachment so he stashed so that did not happen. you saw a back off.

democrats have tried to make it an issue. with some people it is, but it is also not a driving issue that is top of midterm voter's mind. host: we have 20 minutes left and then we have another jessica joining us this morning, jessica hill, who is a politics reporter joining us to talk about that state, so why is nevada so competitive this year? jessica hill? guest: i am glad to be here. all the country has its eyes on nevada. we have a race that could flip the senate red. we also have a lot of key races such as secretary of state where there is a republican who has been pretty straightforward about being an election denier and if he gets control could receive a democratic president in 2024. host: and the governor's race.

guest: that is between a democrat and a county sheriff. there are a lot of pull saying it will be a tight race. abortion is a key part of that campaign. host: what about the economy? guest: the economy also. we know that voters vote with their pocketbooks in mind. the current governor has had a tough challenge with the pandemic and the opening. nevada had one of the hardest hit states with very low unemployment -- a very high unemployment rate. and that has definitely affected him a lot. he mentioned how inflation and state level and hasn't mentioned a few of his accomplishments and has helped schools with free lunches. host: let us talk about the

nonpartisan voter in nevada. in 2014 that voter made up 18% and grew to 30% as of november. how are these voters trending? guest: in the last several years, maybe 20 years, the number has increased and there is a ballot question coming up where it will give nonpartisan voters more power to actually participate in primaries and elections and also force parties to really campaign toward the independent voter which during primaries you do not see a lot of. most candidates go to their bases and are extreme on both sides and this would allow them to really appealed to the moderate votes in the beginning. we see a lot of independent voters really wants to focus on the economy, abortion issues are big as well as inflation and immigration. host: what about the latino

vote? guest: yes, just like across the country the latino vote is a decisive role in nevada. they are the largest minority to have an increase in the last couple of years. historically they have been more democrat. some polls that they do show that they are leaning more republican. you saw that with donald trump in 2016. he did not do so well in the latino vote but made more strides with them in 2020. we are seeing that the latest polls show that catherine cortez who is a democratic senator, she has managed to maintain the latino vote. host: jessica taylor has a question for you. >> the state wells -- was well-known for the read machine that would come out and the former senate leader passed away and there has been a lot a lot of turmoil with the state party. what have you seen on the ground

about democratic turnout efforts and how they might have differed from previous cycles? guest: yes, so i think that machine is still alive and doing well. we are seeing multiple groups, out and try to get more of the latino vote, and really just try to get that independence, and one thing that has been a concern or criticism. bernie sanders was out here i couple of days ago and he mentioned that the democrats are not doing a good job on the economy and we are seeing a possible red wave with so many republicans and independent voters are thinking with the economy and the gas pumps being so expensive, the democrats are really focusing on abortion, however so many people are thinking you need to touch on the economy more than they are. host: what about the hospitality industry and the union that represents the workers?

what role will they play in this election? guest: so the culinary union and other unions have been politically active. this year especially the culinary union has knocked on 800,000 doors trying to get people to vote. they are usually more democratic and have endorsed the democratic candidates. host: jessica hill, excuse me, i knew i would do that. with four days to go, what are you watching? guest: right now we are on the senate race with the polls so close. at last check it was still within the margin of error and anything could happen. the secretary of state raises interesting with aguilar as a democrat and sean as a republican. the polls are showing that aguilar is ahead by 4%. and we are seeing that with down

ballot races which are really important, but i think so many people are paying a tenant -- attention to the senate and governor's race and not the down ballot races. host: for a daily update jesca hill and those on twitter, where do they find you? guest: at jes_silvia and reviewjournal.com. host: thank you very much. jessica taylor, what are you watching in the closing days? guest: it is that turnout where it is in clark county. the democrats get a high turnout and i am watching on the governor's race because you have joe lombardo as the nominee and he will not win clark county, but i can he cut into margins enough and the swing county is washoe county that takes in reno and the upper parts of the state outside of las vegas.

this has been the swing county. and both sides are really heavily on this. it has been important in the last elections. it can be a big hand to where nevada is. this is a state where we can see a lot of mail-in ballots and we not -- we might not have all of the results on election night and viewers know that there -- they are being counted, there is no conspiracy, although we could have more republican numbers early in the red mirage in 2020 with democrats voting more absentee or early voting or different things. so nevada is not a state that if it remains very close we might not know for a few days. host: where will we need to be patient and other states? guest: nevada and arizona could be a late counting state. states with all mail-in ballots,

colorado does this. washington state could be very slow to count because they do it as well. there is a senate race to watch with patty murray and tiffany smiley. we still rate this is likely democratic but if that one is tightening, so we are hopeful on the east coast we can get some hints of where things are going with north carolina, new hampshire, and ohio and pennsylvania in particular. host: georgia might be one we have to wait on. guest: another state has seen high turnout and if there are ballots left to be counted and 50 is a magic number that both kemp, andy warnock or walker need to hit. host: if they do not it so runoff, december 6. pam: the big question will be control of this -- will that be in control of the senate? things will change if it is or is not.

host: mike in highland, maryland from -- and independent. caller: a lot of my colleagues think it is time for a third paul -- party of moderates were people from either extreme views of the parties would leave the party to become a moderate candidate and give us a chance to vote for some of the other than just a party line. when you know that the parties are so extreme that they just spread a lot of pain about the other guy rather than anybody working together. i think this is time for that. host: have you heard of the forward party? have you heard of the forward party? caller: hello? host: mike cannot hear me. let us talk about the forward party, jessica taylor. i mean the former presidential candidate, i am blanking on his first name, mr. yang. guest: andrew yang. host: and then the former

governor of new jersey and others forming this third-party option. caller: week -- guest: we have seen people do it before and we have had this two-party system in america for better or for worse for centuries. but i will say there are places where you could see independents have an effect or where they have made races competitive. we talked about the oregon's governors race where you see betsy johnson running as a middle-of-the-road candidate. she was polling hi support earlier and that does seem to have dropped. a race to keep an eye on where you have an independent running is in utah. evan ran as a presidential candidate in 2016. utah is where he is from and he is mormon. you saw a lot of mormon runners skeptical -- mormons skeptical of trump. he is now a supporter of the

president and he is running as an independent promising not to caucus with either party. he is running as an independent but he has certainly made the parties sweat. we have independents in the senate but they caucus with the democrats and it is clear where their proclivities live. we have never seen someone that would say i will not going to caucus with your party, that is how you get things done. he said he would be on two committees because that is a requirement and different things that he has talked about getting in there and forming a middle caucus because you have some people like kyrsten sinema and joe manchin for democrats lisa murkowski and susan collins that could have this moderate block. whether that happens or not, we will see. host: is not a popular sentiment where you have mitt romney who has balked the republican party.

guest: he will be up next cycle and it is a strong possibility that he will face a primary challenge if he decides to run again. he has stayed neutral which tells you a lot about his relationship with michael and his views on him. he said both our friend so he is staying out of it but that seems to hurt lee more than mullen, staying agnostic and it can be sort of seen as a tacit endorsement to vote whoever you want to because mcmullen has republican roots. so many of the things that he does believe and are still more conservative, but he has made democracy on january 6 and what lee did during the time really sort of a focus of his campaign. host: new york, republican. caller: good morning and thank you for taking my call. i live in new york state and it

is definitely a democratic state. i am a republican, and one of the biggest issues we have is energy. the whole country has that. gas prices and fuel oil to heat homes. currently i'm in the catskill mountains and people cannot afford few -- fuel oil for their homes. there is a redo supply of diesel for trucks to deliver our goods and services. secondly crime in new york city is so out-of-control control it is unbelievable. the border is a national problem but it is also for the states. these people are being flown in by biden's administration into montgomery airport and dispersed. where do they go? all of this has to be addressed. it is not just a new york problem, it is a national problem. guest: the new york governor has been a surprise races. kathy hogle and then the

lieutenant governor took over when andrew cuomo resigned. after sexual harassment allegations he stepped down. she is an interesting candidate and a former congresswoman who won a special election in 2011 so she does not come from new york. the worry is what is the turnout going to be like in new york city and the big issue is crime where we have seen that it is plastered on all of the tabloids. people are worried about riding the subway with people being pushed onto tracks and that is being played up by the tabloids and had the democrats point and feel like this is a growing issue but one that is being magnified in the press and it has been made a key part of the republican campaign. he could get strong support from long island and outside of the city. i am looking for the turnout and some of the other boroughs, the bronx and other things. this is what we have seen it tightening and we shifted it last week from solid democratic

to lightly democratic. so this when i am watching closely and we have not seen a pullout -- poll out and democrats have had to spend outside money to help selden. so it is a race certainly under the radar but now one that people are watching. host: on election night are you watching voter turnout? guest: i am, particularly in the city-owned where it registers, are we seeing a higher turnout in the suburbs and log ireland -- long island? but if we are seeing the turnout in the city that could spell danger. host: jacky, stratford, connecticut. democratic caller. caller: hello. the create -- the previous organs are caller said that he was -- arkansas caller said that he was struggling.

i would be concerned about how he made it when he loses his social security, can you please address this again. guest: again no one is losing it they are social -- losing their social security but this is a talking point. republicans have talked about reforming it but it is the third rail of politics it is hard to touch especially when seniors are such an important voting block and we have a lot of callers that would fall into that and they are often the most plugged in. they watch the news quite a bit and different things. host: and reliable. guest: exactly. it is a big worry where it will go, i think the question also seems to be a larger solvency issue down the line of people paying into it earlier in their careers and how much of that will they have down there, they are getting an increase in social security and it is not going anywhere especially not in the next congress regardless of

how things shake out because he would still have a democrat in the white house. host: james, a republican. caller: my question is how much does the democrat regret spending all of that money supporting the weakest were publications during the primary now it is coming back to haunt them, it seems. the second seat -- the second thing is just a comment. i hear the media talk about election deniers and i would consider myself one, but president biden is our president and i would put it like this. i am a cowboys fan. every year we lose but i have a reason why they lose, i am a denier but every time we lose. he is the president, but i think the more the media does it it puts a bad taste in our free thoughts.

i mean i have a right as an american to believe what i want to believe, not be dictated and told to believe something because people believe in ufos. i do not. but it is what it is. guest: i mean, he does acknowledge that biden is the president. but we have had had candidates in the cycle which in order to win primaries have questioned the election and tried to walk that back. blake masters and arizona cut a primary at essentially saying that trump is a legitimate president and should be president and then try to soft walk it back and we saw john doing that and walked it back and seemed to slow back in new hampshire so he bobbled back and forth. the caller also mentioned democrat spending on these races to help these deniers win. that has caused frustration in the house races, but again i have seen places where democrats have spent for instance in the

pennsylvania's governor's race where you had schapiro going in without a primary from dutch opponent. i think mastery owner was going to win and they tried to get democrats -- and i think john new hampshire was a weaker candidate compared to other ones. but the environment could be so increasingly better for republicans that that might not matter as much. host: that caller was from virginia, so let us talk about the youngkin factor. guest: it does feel like what happened a year ago, and this is where i expect i turnout because if you look at democratic turnout you would have expected terry mcauliffe to win. but there was so much higher turnout among republicans and rural voters and they managed to get voters in there that might come out that did not come out in 2020. so youngkin has provided this model in a way, but there were

idiosyncrasies about that that he was able to do. he ran in a closed convention with range choice voting so he did not have to cater to trump. he has been one of the most visible circuits for a governor. he has gone around to so many republican races and incumbents. he wasn't in oklahoma. host: around other states? guest: yes. he has been campaigning in house races in virginia. but he is trying to sort of, this was my strategy, education was always a big issue and thanks to it he had his signature red vest on the trail. and it also raises speculation that he is raising his profile before 2024 and he has someone where there has been frustration and he has moved more to the

right on issues and people say that he campaigned on, but virginia governor you cannot run for reelection or consecutive terms so he is not inhibited by needing to run for reelection. host: virginia taylor who will not be getting a lot of sleep. guest: i appreciate it. host: when we come back we will be an open forum, any public policy or politics issue on your mind, start dialing in. ♪ >> tuesday, election day, starting at 8:00 p.m. eastern watch the live election night coverage to see which party will control congress. here the results from the house, senate and governor races. see victory and concession speeches on c-span, our free

mobile app and at c-span.org/campaign 2022. c-span shop.org is the latest -- our store. browse through our selection of products, apparel, books, home to core, and accessories. there is something for every fan and every purchase help support our nonprofit operation. shop now or anytime at c-spanshop.org. >> sunday on q&a "strength in numbers" which tracks the opinion polling until the 19 century and the accuracy of today. >> predicting that donald trump has a 30% chance of victory in the 2016 election not because national polls will be wrong because the race is close.

i do wonder if every person in the media had sort of understood that 30% of -- as meaning out of these polls if you had three elections they are going to be wrong one time and if your shambles sizes are 18 elections there is that the polls will miss enough that the losing presidential candidate could end up winning. i wonder how the tone of the campaign would have been different and what the people would have would happen. >> elliott with his book " strength in numbers" saturday night he -- at 8:00 p.m. eastern on q&a. you can listen to all of our podcasts on our free c-span now app. live sunday on in-depth, from the texas book festival in austin, the president of ceo of

the lbj foundation will be our guest talk in about the u.s. presidential history. his books include "the last republican" and "incomparable grace." join the conversation with you texts and tweets live this sunday at noon eastern on c-span2. >> be up-to-date in the latest in publishing with book tv's podcast about books with current nonfiction book releases plus bestseller lists as well as industry news and trends through insider interviews. you can find it on c-span now, our free mobile app or wherever you get your podcasts. >> washington journal continues. host: we will wrap up the

program with open forum, any public policy or politic issues on your mind and of course the economy is on many voters' minds with four days to go before election day 2022. here is the associate pressure -- press on the laded numbers. employers continue hiring. "america's employers hired briskly in october adding a substantial amount of positions a sign that the economy needs a picture -- remains a picture of solid job growth. last month hiring remained near the robust pace it had maintained since the pandemic recession ended. the unemployment rate rose from a five decade low of 3.5% and a strong job market is deepening the challenges that the federal reserve faces as it raises interest rates at the fastest pace since the 1980's to bring

inflation down from a 40 year high. studying -- steady hiring and a low unemployment rate have been good for workers but they have contributing to rising prices. there are the numbers, the unemployment rate 3.7%. arnold in brooklyn, a democratic caller. what is a public policy issue on your mind? caller: the vaccinated mandate being underplayed by everyone who focuses on different issues. you have for example youngkin won because people were coming out from the rural areas. no. he won because he did so much better than the republican cap presidential candidate in the washington, d.c. suburb where people who were mandated to get the vaccine, of course did not vote for the democrats.

they switched to the republicans, everybody wants to ignore that and overlook the issue. they are not looking -- they are overlooking the importance of these vaccine mandates. when people lose their jobs and their children cannot go to college, they remember this, and this is what -- these are the ones who are the former democratic voters and they are switching and that is making it close. host: bruce in florida. republican. what do you have to say? caller: i want to correct the misinformation that obama and biden are talking that the republicans want to do away with social security. "the washington post" which is not a right leaning publication

gave biden four pinocchioa. -- tokyos, there is no republican advocating forgiving -- doing away with toki -- of social security and medicare. the democrats bring this up every election and it is misinformation. host: i am finding it truth. let us see. well, here is cnn. "white house to sleep -- deletes misleading tweet about social security" but i will try to find the washington post one as we hear from the independent line. your turn. caller: thank you so much for taking my call. i would like to start by saying i am a proud american citizen and i love this country and i am hoping that both sides of the coin are represented in this world. i would like to start by saying

i am frightened about the economy. a four year high in inflation is devastating to middle-class americans. i would like to say that with regard to crime, the no cash bail is not helping anyone. it is putting folks back on the streets to redo crimes again and again, and that is not what we want for this country. we want to law & order. with regard to the border, mrs. harris never went to the border to view the situation. god in heaven, i hope she decides to do this. with regard to gas -- wait, i am not done. with regard to gas prices we cannot keep emptying the strategic oil reserves. we cannot fuel our military with water. i do not think that planes and tanks can be fueled with water.

that would make us resort to using big four letter words that are nuke. i plead that the u.s. issue a psa regarding sentinel. with regards to the abortion issue i really think it is imperative that the states codify these things that it is not to be banned everywhere. rape, incest, and the health of the mother is vital in importance. and i ask the president, pretty please with sugar on top to reinstate the military released due to their unwillingness to get the covid vaccine. host: i do not know what else is on the list but you have a lot on their. michael in pensacola, florida. democratic caller. caller: my concern is that people with smart can really

determine the concern about the inflation. all they have to do is compare the inflation in canada, mexico, and you look at the gas prices. usurer smartphone, germany. we have a better end of the deal in the united states. this is not all president biden's fault. on this planet you have inflation. host: this is "the washington post" article that i believe the caller was referring to about the plans for social security. glenn kessler gave four pinocchios to the claim from senator patty murray that republicans would end social security and medicare if they win control of the chamber. "the presumptive republican leader rejected the idea in september, senator rick scott and said that mary would be on more solid ground if she describes the changes in

proposals as biden had recently done." lorraine, port washington, new york. republican. hello. caller: how are you? i am calling because i was once a democrat and converted to republican. one of the things that i find upsetting, hello? host: we are listening. caller: is the issue of how the political parties are dealing with each other. in particular i converted because i found them to be a little more of the elitist mentality. when they indicated people that only people who voted the republicans in 2016 were under educated, not college, not women and racist. so coming across in that kind of

nature one someone votes for what is their opinion and demonizing those individuals who voted is quite counterproductive to me. and the other thing that i feel is they have morphed differently from the working class type of days when my family immigrated. i came over from italy. from working-class individuals to have opportunities to individuals who look at people in a way to whoever is the taxes are just paying the taxes are the bad people. a lot of the middle-of-the-road individuals who look at the democratic party at one time change their policies because of the way they morphed into a party of pretty much not respecting the people who pay the taxes that also brought them into -- voted for them. host: got it. night we will bring in one last debate for you, it is the h dakota senate debate where

the incumbent republican who is also part of the leadership in the senate will be debating his challengers and that will be tonight live 0 p.m. eastern time. on our video mobile app, c-span now or on-demand at c-span.org. you can watch on demand all of the key house and senate governor debates on our website, c-span.org. that is a central place where you can find all of the campaign 2022 coverage. we talked about a lot of candidates that are running today. some of those names intrigued you and you want to see what has been like in the races go to c-span.org. eddie and the cincinnati, independent. are you next? caller: i guess i am. thank you. i have been watching c-span for god knows how long and you bring

up some good stuff on there. however, everybody complains about every little thing but nobody comes up with a solution to do it. the democrats, republicans, we all beret all of them. half of them are too old to be up there anyway with their antique ids. so if we get some young people in their, not in their 20's and 30's because i do not know what is going on anyway. but i think the old people in the house and senate, they get in there and they are supposed to get out of there and let somebody else get out of there in -- get in there with new ideas, their old ideas like when i was coming up does not work anymore. as far as partyline voting that is one of the biggest farces

that we have ever had. i vote for the person not the party. the parties, both of them together cannot get together and solve nothing. host: you split your ticket? you vote for the person? caller: i do. i do not vote for the party because the party will promise you anything to get them in control of everything, and when they get control of everything, they cannot get nothing done because it is all for the party and not the people. host: let me ask you this the president is arguing that democracy is on the line in this election. does that resonate with you? caller: democracy is not a party. it does resonate with me because now i'm going to tell you my age. i remember way back when hitler's got his first term in office and got kicked out. and when he came back in, he was

-- you are too young to know, let everybody my age knows what happened. he tried to conquer the whole world. and if we do not wake up and smell the tea, that is what is going to happen if the wrong party gets control of everything. and which is the wrong party? i do not know. host: president biden is making the argument that you need to vote for democrats to save democracy and here he is wednesday just across from our studios saying that democracy is on the ballot this year. [video clip] >> this is the first election since january 6, when the armed angry mob stormed the u.s. capitol. i wish i could say that the assault had ended that day, but i cannot. as i stand here today there are

candidates running for every level of office who will not commit to accepting the results of elections that they are running in. this chaos is unprecedented, it is unlawful, and it is un-american. i have said before, you cannot love your country only when you win. this is no ordinary year, so i ask you to think long and hard about the moment that we are in an atypical year, we are often not faced with questions on whether the vote we cast will preserve democracy or put us at risk. this year we are. [end video clip] host: the president wants you to believe that democracy is on the

ballot and the republicans are talking about the economy which seems to resonate with many of you. here is 5:38 this morning, the republicans are a normal polling error away from the landslide or wiping out. this is what they found, with five days away from election day they are in good shape. if each party were to win every race they are considered to win republicans would have 51 senate seats and democrats would have 49 according to our deluxe forecast as of wednesday at 3:00 p.m. eastern time. if the same thing happened in the house republicans would win 220 five seats and democrats would win 210. the games would be modest by the standards of midterms, and in other words according to the forecast this likely will not be a red wave election like 2010 when republicans picked up 63 house seats or 2014 when

republicans picked up nine senate seats. it is looking more like a red ripple but does that not -- but that does not mean a red wave is impossible. freddie in south carolina. democratic caller. caller: thank you for taking my call. and i was just going to ask c-span to do me a favor, show me some paperwork that donald trump wrote in his own handwriting, a letter, a love letter, a note to somebody because i do not think he can see, really. he writes in big letters when he signed something that is the only thing i ever see his handwriting on everything. but i would like for c-span to show me some of the writing that he did to his daughter, to some of his children. just show me something that he wrote himself, not like he uses everybody to write for him. host: jackie in chattanooga,

tennessee. republican. hello. good morning. what is the public policy or your politics? caller: yes. i just want to talk about -- i am a young man, and i was trying to see why -- i voted for policies. and also not just for a man, i voted for the policies that the republicans and trump had. i am just tired of african-americans being treated by the democrats like we are on the plantation. and it is sad that we continue to do that and allow them to brainwash us. there is no problem with that, but they need to come over right. we just need to start looking at this racism stuff.

people love each other, i have plenty of different types of friends in different cultures that they just want to use this to brainwash us to continue power and control, and when we talk -- when they talk about democracy, they destroyed our democracy because of their lives, everything they say and do has been a lie. host: patrick in portland, oregon. independent. your turn. caller: good morning and thank you for having me. my biggest concern is homelessness. and specifically the lack of conversation about this problem, which is truly a national problem at the national level. the only candidate in the last five years who has talked about homelessness and even briefly was bernie sanders. it seems like the problem is relegated to municipalities and

states that do not have the resources or frankly sometimes the ingenuity to solve the problem. homelessness is a systemic problem with collateral damage from the kind of economic system that we have which creates winners and losers. it seems like we have drifted into a culture where we are willing to accept people living intents wit -- in tents without political solutions. it has come a political football to blame the right and the left uses it to bolster more government programs for more nonprofits, and building high-rise apartments. none of these are getting to the problem of economic justice and equity that causes people to fall off of the train, if you will and become homeless, and nobody wants to discuss the problem of drug use which seems to be the heart of the problem in many cases. host: how are you going to vote?

is this issue swaying your vote and if it is how do you plan to vote for the governor's race? caller: it absolutely is and i will be voting for the independent candidate, betsy johnson who is a solutions oriented non-dogmatically driven candidate that i think has, and just to reflect one of your previous callers is not -- does not have loyalty to one party or the other. parties serve themselves and they often really do not care about solutions because the longer a problem can be perpetuated the more fundraising they can do, more campaigning they can do, and very little with regard to specific solution so betsy johnson has my vote. host: phil -- jail, woodward, iowa.

democratic fighter -- democratic caller. caller: thank you for taking my call. my big concern is just and overall lack of understanding of complexity and respect for expertise in all fields. i toxic -- i taught sixth grade for 30 years and taught six different curriculums, and had to unfold the complexity of each one. and move deeper and wider in each of those and i survived the horribly named no child left behind and education. it is really clear to me that what we need is something like no constituent left behind. we need to put guardrails back in our politics. for every republican that calls in and insists on these 20 mules, which by the way i watch, which -- because that is my

thing. i have a very varied media diet and i source myself to watch different sources, ones that i agree with and do not. if you are not watching any new sources that you do not disagree with that it is going to be difficult for you to evaluate what the truth is. and explaining truth in facts i go back to my math curriculum. if we want to talk about facts most people understand math. two plus two is not seven. the fact is that two plus two is four. and there are facts and other curriculums. another big one that people need to study is history because krisha -- christian nationalism, there is history there. this deep state stuff, it is ridiculous. people also need to understand the cold war and where people is and how evil exists.

and what fascism is. and what the signs of tyrany are. all of those things are well documented and can be investigated. host: usa today. donald trump teases iowa crowd " i will very very very probably run for president. as he stomped for iowa republicans he told his fans that the midterm elections are a step towards a greater victory, one that hinted strongly with him at the center. outside of the sioux gateway airport where the frigid wind carried a strong sentiment where the crowd chanted his name, get ready he says, that is all i am telling you, get ready. stan sibley he came to stump for state republicans headlined by governor kim reynolds and chuck grassley but his speech quickly shifted and fixated on trump himself."

andy, phoenix, arizona. republican. caller: thank you for taking my call. there are so many things to talk about. what i would like to talk about is election denial. i do not understand why republicans cannot question the results of an election but democrats are allowed to. there have been several high-profile democrats that said donald trump is illegitimate. he did not win the election. you have had jamie raskin and hillary clinton stacey abrams is still denying the outcome of the election back when she ran last time against governor kemp, so all of this election denial making it sound like the republicans are the only ones. i think people need to take a look at it as a whole. host: i am going to jump in because happening here in washington the american enterprise institute is holding a discussion this morning on

election campaign disinformation on social media platforms and we have live coverage for you on c-span. thank you for watching. [captions copyright national cable satellite corp. 2022] [captioning performed by the national captioning institute, which is responsible for its caption content and accuracy. visit ncicap.org] [indistinct conversations]