o, don't worry, vote all you want. if you live in a democratic county no, no, we don't want you to vote. these guys are hypocrites. they don't want you to vote. they don't even like the democracy. the whole thing is a scam for them. "viewpoint" with eliot spitzer is next. [ ♪ music ♪ ] [ ♪ theme music ♪ ] >> eliot: good evening, i'm eliot spitzer, and this is "viewpoint." president obama is edging up in the polls with a boost from women voters. while the far right is pushing mitt romney to name wisconsin congressman paul ryan as his run running mate. we start with the numbers. the latest poll has president leading romney by 7% and it also among registered voters nationwide. a three-point pick up since july. breaking the cnn numbers down by

gender. men prefer the president romney by six points while women gave the president a nine. point edge over his republican opponent. in colorado, where roadside bomb campaign the past two days has obama leading romney by eight points. mr. obama was in pueblo, colorado where he told supporters to get ready for an advertising onslaught boone on. >> obama: over the next three months you'll see more negative ads more money spent than you've ever seen in your life. >> eliot: including the latest ad from the romney campaign attacking president obama's requiring contraception services in employers healthcare plans. >> eliot: the president counter that after an introduction from

georgetown law student and activist sandra fluke. fluke. >> obama: they don't have to pride it. they development have to pay for it. most ofwe're changing that. >> eliot: while the president defended his judgment, activists urged romney to rely on his his. no surprise that wall street journal announced quote ryan best exemplifies the nature and stakes of this election. the democrats would make mr. ryan's budget a target, but then they are already doing it any way. and "the weekly standard" agrees quote, it's hard to see how ryan on the ticket could hurt what would make things worse is if romney tries to run away from the ryan plan, whoever's on the ticket.

then romney will have been for the ryan plan before he turned against it. wherever he runs, and whomever he mix the cnn poll shows republicans and g.o.p. leaning towards marco rubio by 12 points to new jersey governor chris christie and ryan. but no running mate can solve romney with his tax reference. an overwhelming say 63% say romney should release tax returns beyond the years he has already made politics. for more on politics and gender in the race i'm joined by david and reef. let me start with you we've come to expect a bigger gender divide by men and women beyond a margin of error for the president. what has happened to shake this up in the past couple of days?

>> well, i think this is sort of the end of a long hot damaging summer for mitt romney. he has taken a lot of hits for bain capital. he has taken a lot of hits for not releasing his tax returns. now you have these trial balloons who his v.p. is going to be. many say you better pick one of our guys to do this. it's a combination of factors. i think look, this is turning into a base election. we had a story on our side on politico today talking about how there is only 3% to 8% of voters who are still undecided. we haven't even gotten to the fall yet. that's why you see obama in battleground states play to go women, playing up the affordable care act, which you see in polls is not popular but in talking to women voters. he's probably going to lose men in that state but if he jacks up the women turn out that will with a win out of that state.

>> eliot: white men off with mitt romney with substantial numbers but everybody else skewing to the president. is that solidifying and this is this getting beyond the reach of mitt romney because he's not making inroads to women african-americans, latinos, if he doesn't make inroads in those three voter bases, mitt romney probably can't put this together. >> it feels like mitt is still trying to convince his own base to turn out. obama does not have a base problem. he maybe wants to in 2010 women really didn't turn out. as a result you had all these republicans sweeps. you had women voting republican. mitt romney now has the situation where his own social conservative base doesn't trust him. and he has chosen so many hills to die on that alienate women such as running these ads of how your employer should be able to deny you birth control. if he picks paul ryan then we have a whole different discussion about women medicare and medicaid.

>> eliot: it's interesting. in a way what the president is doing is picking and choosing parts of the healthcare bill. and named it obama-care and embraced it and said this is something that i care about making the best of something used to critique him. saying you'll get the care that you want. contraceptive care, the ability of kids up to age 26 to be on health insurance. pre-existing conditions covered. turning a negative to a virtue saying, i dare you attack me for these things that the public really likes. i think it's a winning argument. >> look how the romney campaign is responding. just yesterday their own spokesperson came out and said, you know, if this person lived in massachusetts, they would have been covered responding to an ad that one of the super pacs is running against mitt romney. you have a pivot another pivot for mitt romney on healthcare who sort of didn't want to talk about the massachusetts plan that he implemented as governor during the primaries.

here we are in august on the eve of the convention and on the eve of his own vice presidential pick, and they're going to take their own argument that obama-care is unconstitutional off the table. it's kind of perplexing to me. >> you're making it sound like there was a plan there. i'm not so confident that andrea saul was going to reenter the debate they were running away from. >> that's the problem. >> i think you have to go there. >> saying hey pointing, citing to the plan that you've been running away from for months, that's a messaging problem. >> eliot: andrea saul should be dusting off her resumé. there is no way they can put her out there talking about things this divisive. what the president needs to do is win women by significant margins in swing states that are still swing states and this debate that we're having, that

the president and mitt romney is having every day will solidify when it comes to healthcare for women. the poll numbers we saw at the top of the show verify and validate what we think and mitt romney has become such an etch-a-sketch candidate he stand for nothing and his base is not% with him. >> it's fascinate watching the obama campaign strategy. as someone who writes about women's issues, they're running with the planned parenthooded and running with the fact that romney said planned parenthooded we're going to get rid of that. this new set of ads they've woman who considered herself a pro-life democrat in virginia, the transvaginal ultra sound radicalize her. to say that you can't figure out what romney stands for. >> eliot: on a iconning figure

being a victim of those attacks. >> the fact that she had been denied the right to testify. but you had rush limbaugh going days for days. they think this is going to work? go for it. keep calling her a and see where it gets you. >> let's get back to you. the only thing that the romney campaign can hope for is a fundamental reset. it's still the dog days of august. the same people, dare i say are probably not watching the politics. realistically it's still early with 90 days left to go. they're hoping the convention in the v.p. reflames reframes the entire campaign. there are three metrics three fundamental decision points. one, is ideological. one is your geographical base. and then demographics. which is the best pick. >> i think it's going to be tim

pawtimpaul lente. i think he's too radical. and if anything we know about mitt romney. he's cautious, disciplined. not one to throw a hail mary. he's running tryouts. look how he's sending out as surrogates and look who he's sending out on sunday's show. tim pawlenty and rob portman. i don't think you send tim pawlenty out there so much, and he's not in the mix. this is a governor from the midwest, who they can run as the outside team. you pick paul ryan you got some washington there even without the medicare stuff that you have to go into. portman, ohio's portman he's important. but he has bush bag.

do you want to relitigate that? i still think he's in the top tier. i think if you have to look at all of them, paw lente is the guy i would potiches as my number one guy. >> eliot: lauren, who do you go with. >> this is something romney never will do. to go with martinez. you talk about two groups we've mentioned. demo gaveygraphy is not deaf. >> eliot: she would hit two of the three metrics on the other hand david you're right. tim pawlenty is an easy choice. we served together. as nice a guy you'll ever meet. he's plain toast vanilla so

borey. he'll never make a dent in the national scene. if you're looking for a change of setting, i don't think pawlenty does it. >> well, do you really want to throw a long paul and talk ball and talk about medicare and taking vouchers from seniors for the next two months. they're saying, go long, go big. but this election, the fundamental still favor romney. unemployment for 40 months. over 8%, you know, he has got a lot of statistics he can to here. but there is a likability factor. i don't think-- >> eliot: here is the interesting thing. time is running short. we have not been talking about economics for the past couple of days. and until recently everybody said mitt romney is hanging around, it's neck and neck. now if these poll numbers are correct, we're not talking economics and we're slipping

significantly. lauren, he has one last chance to reset the table. will he be able to do it? will he give that blockbuster speech and say this is the blockbuster plan. here is the agenda. now i'm ready to stand head to head with obama. >> i think it's highly unlikely. >> eliot: er >> eliot: 0-for-3, you're not going too it. david, lauren, thank you for your time tonight. is 2012 the new 1984, more "viewpoint" coming up. >> this court has proven to be the knowing, delighted accomplice in the billionaires' purchase of our nation.

>> and you think it doesn't affect you? think again. enttv

ant to get out. ♪ ♪ every coach, every rival who ever pushed her. she's the tip of a spear that goes all the way back to the beginning. it's amazing how far you can go with a little help along the way. td ameritrade. proud sponsor of the 2012 u.s. olympic team. >> eliot: remember when we were warned about a whole in the ozone layer? well, wait until you find out what has happened in australia where they have a huge one. that's next. but first ryan lochte shares

the secret the jersey shore shares knowledge and how terrible ana coulter really is. when it doesn't fit anywhere else, we put it in the viewfinder. >> what the "f" is wrong with you people? i have a baby inside of me. i'm seriously worried about this country's future. >> he is trying to get the stupid single women's voter which is the democratic party base. i would just say to the stupid single women voters. your husband will not be able to pay i couldn't child support. >> what color do you call that? we used to have a bug light in front of our house that color. >> you're comparing my outfit to bug zapper. >> 014 scents. that's not even the cost of one large pie. people are willing to swallow that. they're willing to swallow this. wrong, wrong. people will not pay another cent because when you order a papa

john's people it's only when you have reach the stage of desperate gnawing hunger. >> he has a point from a game theory standpoint as offer by more again stern. >> are those groups going to be able to obtain photos necessary. >> there is legislation that will further battle this voter fraud. you would like to vote you'll be matched against this, okay? [ ♪ music ♪ ] >> pee in the pool, is that true? >> that is very true. the pool is the biggest and most expensive toilet and it's all

mine. like animals they mark their territory. i pee in the pool. that's my territory. >> there is not a blue state and influence voters. >> a keen observation but keep in mind there are local candidates and ballot initiatives that you need to be aware of. >> where did you learn about all this. >> mother jones. >> eliot: the ozone takes another hit. that's next. >>it's the place where democracy is supposed to be the great equalizer, where your vote is worth just as much as donald trump's. we must save the country. it starts with you.

hershey's drops. a lot of hershey's happiness in little drops of milk chocolate.

and cookies n creme. pure hershey's. what's my secret for sunday lunch? my little helpers... and 100% natural french's yellow mustard. it has zero calories for me, and a taste my family loves.

>> eliot: two of every three australians will get skin cancer before the age of 70. why? because australia falls under a large hole in the ozone layer which provides critical protection against ultraviolet race. this fate may soon befall us. a new study from professor james anderson find increase of thunderstorms caused by climate change is damaging the ozone layer over the united states. the increased moisture forced into the debleats our ozone layer. climate change causes more powerful storms. more powerful storms destroy the ozone later. joining me now from the anderson research group and philip weld atmospheric chemistry harvard

professor james anderson. thank you for joining us tonight. >> you're welcome. >> eliot: how does rain cause the ozone layer to disappear and that causes cancer. >> let me give just a brief background. in the late 80s we used the nasa u-2 spy plane to fly over the antarctic into the ozone layer and establish the cause of the ozone hole. it turns out if you can measure the proper species it's a very simple solution. it's chlorine and bromine that is brought in by bromide. we thought it was the extremely cold conditions over the over the over the

antarctic that created and attacked the ozone. indeed that's primarily what controls the the antarctic. the arctic is slightly warmer, and it turns out that ice crystals were not necessarily. the aerosols were all that were required to execute this confusion of none reactive chlorine to retive free radical form that attacks the ozone. that crucial understanding that anywhere in the globe that you satisfy a condition of water vapor and temperature that triggers these reactions these reactions can occur anywhere. well we thought the proper conditions only existed over the

antarctic and the arctic. then i researched the climate with the much greater climate focus than a chemistry focus. in the process of tracking down the structure of clouds over the united states that form very thin cirrus that trap infrared radiation, we discovered to our dismay and to our shock these storms were injecting water vapor deep in the stratosphere over the summer. that means that the conditions of water and temperature that execute the reactions that convert inorganic chlorine to the reactive form that attacks ozone can occur anywhere in the globe if those conditions are satisfied. these direct measurements demonstrated that, indeed the storms were injecting water to a very high altitude and they satisfied the conditions of water and temperature. so this opens up the direct

possibility of destroying ozone not over the arctic and the antarctic in the winter but in the summer. >> eliot: those are of increased frequency was of global warming. and that last condition and step i gather those storms that push the moisture in the stratosphere causes a cycle that is very dangerous to us. >> well, eliot that's a very good question. in fact, this was a complete surprise to everybody studying this issue. there is a chemistry issue about what happens when water and chlorine and bromine are mixed with sunlight and introduced to the ozone. then there is the physics of the problem that examines the mechanism by which the water is injected by these convective events. what was shocking, nobody

suspected to see water injected this deeply into the stratosphere. we don't know because we have no history of the frequency and the depth of the penetration, we were stunned to see the water in fact, is injected that high. now there is a very intense issue that is emerging about the connection between increasing carbon dioxide and it's link to the frequency and intensity of these storms. we know that there is a developing base of understanding linking carbon dioxide methane to frequentedly an intensity of storms. but quantitatively this is the issue. this is an issue of risk that we're pointing out how sensitive the system is to the presence of water vapor and how sensitive it is to the depth of the penetration of the water vapor. >> eliot: it was a good thing i didn't try to become a

scientist. i clearly would not have made it in your field of study. i did recognize the tournament free radicals. but one serious question. when you have an ozone hole over the antarctic or the arctic or one potentially opening up over the united states, it remains static. why do the holes in the ozone layer not move around the globe as the wind moves? i know this is a dumb question, but why does it remain static over one piece of the earth. >> that's not a dumb question. that's a very good question. the localization over the arctic the antarctic is created by avowry text that creates a chemical booker sitting over beaker and sits more or less over the northbound in the northern hemisphere winter. it's controlled dynamically. what we're talking about here is

more a question of fraying the fabric of you ultra violet protection. so there are two very different dynamical problems, but the chemistry is very similar between the two. it's not a matter--in fact, australia was a very good example. when the ozone hole begins to come apart during the summer, it stays intact and circumnavigates the globe and causing a huge public health problem. in the northern hem hemisphere it's more diffused and weaken fabric and we believe that is the problem here. >> eliot: thank you so much for your insight your research. i'm going to go back to my chemistry books from high school to make sure that i can understand all this. my take away, stay out of the

sun. put on a spf 30 at a minimum because we're at risk because of the ozone desiptation. where is the ozone in the climate change of the collection. that's coming up in my view.

hey joe? yeah? is this a bad time? no, i can talk. great -- it's the 9th inning and your hair still looks amazing. well, it starts with a healthy scalp. that's why i use head and shoulders for men. they're four shampoos for game-winning scalp protection and great looking hair... go on, please. with seven benefits in every bottle, head and shoulders for men washes out flakes, itch and dryness. and washes in... confidence. yeah it does. [ male announcer ] up to 100% flake free scalp and hair with head & shoulders for men. [ air howling ] [ air howling ]

peppermint that cools as you chew. stimulate your senses. 5 gum. now in micro pack. >> eliot: coming up, the truth about taxes and in other words we'll talk to someone who is not a politician. but first let's check in with "the war room." good evening governor, what have you got for us tonight. >> speaking of truth and lies. mitt romney is slinging all these accusations at the president. and that the president is lying in his latest ad. we're going to expose who is really the liar. we'll give a fascinating perspective on the destruction of the middle class in america. james steele is going to be my guest. how many manufacturerring jobs do you think america has lost since 1979? >> eliot: you're really doing this a live quiz on tv. >> i'm such a terrible person. i hate it when people do that.

>> eliot: 6 million. >> more, more, more. i'm going to have the answer at the top of the answer. >> eliot: come on, what's the answer. >> i'm not telling you you got to watch. >> eliot: where is my google. >> suffice it to say that you're low. >> eliot: all right, i'm going to be watching. am i more than a factor of 2-to-1. >> you're not wildly wrong but you are wrong. >> eliot: what kind of grade is not. not wildly wrong. i never did that badly at school. >> i'll ask the professor what your grade should be. >> eliot: they're easy graders. more "viewpoint." we'll be watching your show. >>you couldn't say it any more powerfully than that. >>it really is incredible.v