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the science of that goal is there any such thing as a 100 percent scoring chance what's the secret of the supremes set piece strategy around what makes this team statistically i'm stuff of all right so. my cat blacked out but that's it so i took. in the company of bundesliga legend lou tomatillos we take a state of the art analytical tour of the 20192020 season. surprising statistics crime numbers revealing insights old coming up in our special reports secretly his biggest fans. to. me believe. it can happen to the very best of them.

cut your head in disbelief mulling the inevitable question. can. i just. only squandered opportunities and fall into the same statistical category the clear cut scoring chances now that we can differentiate them in a more nuanced manner. it would be or do you suppose that. with this league a match facts powered by a ws calculating the precise goal probability in play has been raised to an analytical art form just how clear cut was that opportunity is there such a thing as the 100 percent sits up until you actually makes the most of the chances coming that was. a good. day to play today is can be evaluated to accurately assess the likelihood of the bull hitting the net in any given situation with multiple factors taken into account. the most straightforward

example the penalty kick the distance to goal naturally is always the same there's no pressure from opponents on the angle to the posts a constant such the 7 degrees the only obstacle in your way is the key that sets up to the spring probability of 77 percent 3 out of full penalties that way in. which case. it's far more complex in open play where every situation is different take this triple chance for a bar spoke about the cost in the middle fool made his out with a generous shooting at gold is a gold probability of such the 2 percent. with much the same defensive configuration but a to narrow angle his chances of scoring drop off rapidly ultimately there's only a 7 percent likelihood of him putting this like. that. second. the analysis also

costs a differential light on what might appear the most clear cost of misses you don't expect robot levon dusty to spend an opportunity like this but the speed of both the bullet and its intended recipient make it harder to control statistically just over half of these kinds of chances that when on his we collect foot live and off speed also fails to connect cleanly such variables are not factored in. and the miss of the season award goes to live accuses carom dimmy of i. told her that no kill it full wrath of 5 times this is a goal it's old see a comfortable approach speed close range finish and exceptionally wide scoring angle gotta keep a yon's on my is out of the picture for the relatively minimal pressure applied by nico proved enough to frustrate to me a bike. the opposite of the mists that to is the oldest if i

dispatch jake sanchez who has quite a collection of those already. started to go. but. time and again sanchez has scored for dortmund from the unlikeliest of positions against cologne pushing into the box of speed he's sound which by 2 opponents he 30 mohan is ideally position presenting century with a minimal scoring at goal which he exploits to maximum effect build probability 6 percent share a concert share issue. this time it's when he owned the land on the receiving end to defend his talk at the young london as he comes to sign a piece of the route with the previous goal trillian every 100 such chances go in the everetts with the aid of a slight deflection but sometimes you might be right now. away to the born again sun show surrounded he gets. ball on his less favored left foot based on

the finish you wouldn't guess it was just the same show. but it's a little shit for such a list so you can't pin it down i was always switching positions such a part of how does one place and then draw on his share all round quality he's got impatient technique and vanishing ability because they can make or not translate outstanding close control and the final execution to match in terms of statistical probability at the shop and jayden sanchez is the bundesliga overachiever of the season last. the unbreachable but in this league a fortress does it still even exist or is home advantage fast becoming the relic of a bygone era this season teams have done better than ever on the road. to.

the old rule home and away results are almost even steven a bundesliga 1st and game day 6 served up an utterly unprecedented sequence of results 8 away wins in 9 games and not a single home success germany's top flight has been very hospitable to visitors in 20192020. rewind the film of the $57.00 win this league season and there's one particular recurring same class family. to play record champions by name record champions by nature as they were happy to remind the opposition once again. to. the clock face to face the truth. top of the bundesliga pile for the 8th year

running by and mention simply the best. with him still setting the ball as a higher. because he was looking at it just to get the ball. rolling it would rather live up to the truck stop. living skis world class credentials a long established box in his tent when does a good campaign just how does the polish shop she to keep pitching these new milestone. just. by her hysterics to. get the feel of the things like. the us is the 1st of all he's hungry recluse and he's got every quality a striker needs he's fast strong technically adept and imposing presence and above all he always wants more. than just secret formula to play. the buy in number 9 was insult for him from the get go so much said that by the end of game day 6 his goals

tally for the season was already into double figures no one had ever managed that before in the bundesliga. should live pictures just go to the cities of the trip to put the figure record. on target invariably weekend we challenge 11 dusty schooled at least once on each of the i think 11 match days another top flight 1st deciding what you can trust him to do anything because he's become a real on field leader or. the league's most prolific story if we simply use the right coaches his tool of choice but he can also finish that is left from a set piece. over the head no one's noted most exceptional story goes a little dose to. counties having his game even further against the defensive line and most of these goals come inside the reds that the central defenders have to decide to cover the space on the striker is a large man. k.-man you have to deal with his ton of pace here they opt to zonal

marking $11.00 he keeps his distance and slips fighting between them. in a similar vein against fried would never again sits him behind the defendants they try to put the squeeze on him inside the box. but when alfonso davis sweeps in the low cross he still gets on me and it is mostly the doorstep thank goodness leaguers go grab a secret to him it's been a season of personal bests but a cool 70 space not the only one making this team a veritable scoring machine. they wouldn't be the same without him. and the sonics fight. the fun loving homegrown hero who brings his own unique qualities to the agang.

6 typical. trip to. the gulf he's blossomed under hunching flag and has become vital to the team again so if a player's got the self-confidence he can deliver that level of performance so he lie still and superclass a match takes the team miller laid on his 20th the sister of the season a new bundesliga record remarkably off to match day 10 he had just 4 assists to his name but said hansei flick took charge the bandai hodges being honest to club run for 4 which is probably a cheesy thankful thanks i love. buttons attack is in a league of it's a bit it doesn't operate in isolation but the back can often under the radar teams another pivotal service provider. their game plan

revolves in big culture around him he makes numbers speak for themselves averaging 12.7 kilometers a match he covers the most ground folded and she's on the ball more often than any other player in the bundesliga with his recovery you click to place him in that deal midfield role because he has the football brains for it and the technical capabilities often take on a set piece especially corners he's developed into a real leader. or. a real leader under the new leader handed the reins in early november the flick made the old adjustment and by and her team transformed into virtually of an ice his 1st league assignment a 4 nail thumping i don't mention starting with a nominal 4339 not the players positional play tells you don't trust the pictures here between the 17th and 19th minutes everyone of science outfield players was caught in the door and told. inside the space of 20 seconds they go on to win the

bulls 3 types the record chance hit that great rivals in a way out of commission to have them all tied up chauncey flicks a new body and her dining hall of attacking machine on to him they've been averaging more than 3 goals again another put the speedo but this time for a coach. telephoto lens on just a. little can see flicks he is buying from 1st place to that 8 straight title child and once again it's time for some righteous celebrations in the camp of the munich post-ops i. that have been the country of the coast of the sea. robyn nevin dusty team of them alan hall and they all have the pleasure of a hatrick sport it shall come on match day 11 most stuff that extra special i. think . this is the most ruined henning's with the nets. in this league of 1st one old

from the spot the stuff has come back. pulling the guests level one small shall go in front again and again handing his response. to the. oh those below 000000. 0000. 0000 just watch the ball when you were just holding hands. i gave it to a friend to keep a close eye on it all fetch it from him in a minute. there i don't want a group like it or. straight equalizes in one buddhist league get ruined happenings his story straight and shout i. now know who rules the bundesliga by and the wind knights is no cologne of the

deadliest and on a space. shuttle needless to say it's not a matter of luck taking up head is an intentional possibility good style of play an unstable special set piece strategy to maximize that has achieved its leaves oh i miss most of the art of creating havoc from a dental situation the trick here is to get the opposition fully focused on the initial jewel in the middle of the ready anticipating the next step the knock on to the final post it was he at leaving you an aspect off for you to finish the flame. but. it's proved a fruitful tactic and there's no obligation to close things out with a heads up this is against the temple one same basic concepts same sequence of events to touch on from the hold up the ball and has played more goodness. sets up the. water line british. game

a shout to highlights an added bonus with this tactic here it's rough failed seals lacking at the back spin on this occasion is not needed they scored another one just like it this season most of it gets the ball bearings. to post to clear some free kicks around the 1st. 60 when cologne won the double under a tennis vice wyler in 1970 age but they scored a lot of headers or maybe now they're going back to the roots to the public in the highballs they've got some big players who are strong in the air. and i was aerial combat strategy has paid dividends and to help keep them in the disease. i always said to myself my dream is to one of the best place in the world to open some wonderful winter signing. up. to. one of

europe's most coveted talents and he got the ball rolling with the bundesliga records. stuff. 3 goals coming up the bank tryptophan around victory at our club the going to sleep i have never seen a deputy dockets was in full force and he's a penalty box striker who knows where and when to run and above all not a score of us would get. the norwegian force of nature which demonstrates it as much as a rest taking rights the next one does legal records 7 goals in his 1st 3 outings that's well finding a balance with an instinct for being in the right place at the right time and also makes a finish from the unlikeliest angle. and he was trying. to shop. at the flick of his 1st 8 scoring chances 7 landed in the net. colin is exactly the kind of dog rabbit don't but ted binion can't.

talk is perfect for dortmund because they get into the box so often now but earlier they didn't have that kind of straight up center for work and i think that he now doesn't just get the ball but he puts in a way to homophobia that was another job and youngster has been every bit as productive to charities such. as moses who 1st of all he's a great group secondly besides good at scoring goals he's also really good at setting them up. helps clear up his top provider jaden sanchez the hockey solid don't fence down sling and deadly from going to pass. up the last couple of chargers subsection. a rising star and he's in very good company yet don't men still stumbled a little towards the ends can a young guns finally toppled by him from that such next season and bring them ice to charlotte back to the a district maybe these numbers will give us

a clue. there's a new way to analyze the outcome of matches thanks to modern technology and the expos facts are expected going to what degree is a victory deserved was the ratio of miskolczi to inability now the numbers didn't tell us. this so i missed your chance. to. go to a. judgment against by and 2nd against 1st the key game in the title tussle with all the makings of a draw or to get the clearest shelves is falling to alec baldwin for the hosts and said you cannot break for the visitors the sum total of each side spring probabilities gives an overall x. goals value here it's 0.85 but it's a very even contest ultimately decided by useless to me straight pitching. yes

listen go a little bit. jealous of the play. this game however makes no sense of the statistics frankfurt's versus freiburg on match day 28 with the hottest some the front but virtually throughout the fact reflected in exit polls value suggesting that they should win big time but series one thing practice quite another. a touchstone for the right to follow the. race so. it's like that's a jiggs does one chance after the other guy is begging to do it quick succession he and the bass doest and entering silva private by comparison shared resource efficiency drive bugger love and so it continues time and again the eagles come up short silva in the middle relatively free to heads at the other end pietersen is under more pressure and rounds but can still our. next example

frankfurt's martin him to echo with a chance in a promising position and just one defender on the keeper in the way. such freiburg at it. again comparing contrast between chance i'd prefer here but typically for the run of the game this bulls bound for the next. race by covered all the time so i statistically it's the oldest game of the season $35.00 chances to 10 but next goes fact and notwithstanding friends that need to lay goals to salvage a surreal jewel box football. they couldn't staple for medication in the end but part of born by the time fighting the no one knows side and that uncompromising but still. close to jesse it was just the less structured the budget. the ultra combative

klaus just 0 resetting the ball for a get a college collection over to james he knows it. you better watch out when klaus is about half measures with him. no surprise by just 7 to get to the seeds of if you break the rule to put it. close to 0 when does he get a notebook a. little one of the new iraq that likes age union not as mountain challenge last summer and such about making a top class team even better. the laughing stock of players through the house was to look. selfish but it was fun to watch him like to join the 1st half of the season they were taking their chances exceptionally well for be up to. the top storing team at the winter break with one on the

security critical. part of the team. $18.00 in the 1st 17 match days a new individual best month for him and a club record to base. the foresee a running like cigs number one goal grab i guess by the name the team is bad. but it kills me you'll find at the heart of this team its muscles up that's a little magical for a kid muscle stop it is the midfield sprinkler who keeps things going in the right direction and you feel i'm a leader on the field and i always step up and try to help the changes you've indicated. in his fit here like since he's also been sparring like never before thanks no he's devoted to the influence of schnoz mom. is great value michelle me further develop i'm glad i got the chance to work under him. you know you can plan

. an ambitious young coach and the players to match with a touch more consistency they can go a long way but i feel they drop too many points to challenge dorfman and why aren't buying them but from that viewpoint side like jake has a lot of potential for next season of i think it's move to. the league's rising styles here which is 3. davids. not just around an instant hit it mention got back in his maiden previously good campaign the french strike has double digit hole has helped the phones fuck and to europe. there from ghost club has played an attractive brand of football with its style and speed it certainly keeps the fans happy. it was a kitchen in the car and just going to flank celebrations are a trademark already. and to have meant to have another top prospect in their ranks . giovanni now the brain does leave his

youngest ever a us player i just 17 he's already become part of lucien far from his regular much take planning and his calling stevie think he's going places as well. i called him the american dream before and you know he's 17 years old and know what he's doing on the pitch is day to day is amazing so he has a huge huge future in front of him. the next generation is raring to go with one at full pelt already davies is still gurkha up scolari alfonso davis started the campaign in the subdivision with bryant's reserves now he's a fixture in hansie flicks take the 19 year old canadian has blazed up when does he get trailed this season with his ability to put in pinpoint crosses and an electrifying turn of pace at raymond how much a 32 he set a new high speed record for the division $36.00 and a half. has now. you got no part of that when you think oh i have time i have time

advantage me me me me the road runner me me me me there to buy the road runner comes i had that and there's still the ball fod alfonzo davis road runner i'm now rookie of the year missed well congratulation us to rethink talents spray you scenarios posts a couple minutes is fascinating fact that the full of this week i think you next time.

been robbed of their so much more to people experiences when their heritage is taken from them countless cultural artifacts were stolen from africa by colonialists them to cardinal. off to europe. what should be done with the

stolen art from africa. so i'm sol starts september 7th on d w. t 5 done some years ago german chancellor on the american made a famous claim of his us and us. germany opened its borders to refugees 5 years later we take an in-depth look at what happened then and. what follows. and the consequences of the refugee crisis that we're still say some today. are topic on d'italia. every journey begins with the 1st step and every language but the 1st word published in the book. the code is in germany to learn german why not with him it's simple online on your mobile and free stuff d w z e learning course nikos speak german made easy. all

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can live. this is. from berlin. calls to an all the disputed results of the presidential election the country's supreme court says no it is a defeat for exiled opposition leader. and in these exclusive she tells us why the protest movement poses the biggest challenge to the government. also coming up tonight russia hitting back.