in bethlehem, and we'll be back with more headlines for you at the top of the hour. marion evan stain from the entire team. thanks for watching. ah, [000:00:00;00] with, with,

with a war and eternity. time. it can be measured precisely in did everyone experiences it differently? as if there are different forms of time time, a phenomenon, a dimension. if we know we won't live forever and illusion. about time presenting futures past starts december 31st on d, w a. him ah, is europe's energy crisis shackle to its political crisis with russia. a spike in natural gas prices this week, and russia's frustrations over the certification of

a new gas pipeline with germany. have both sides claiming the other is playing politics. we'll take a closer look also on the show. semiconductors are in short supply around the world that has automakers rethinking their sourcing, especially as a new crone of ours, very and threatens more supply chain problems. loan, welcome to the show. i'm seen beardsley and berlin or supply chain issues have plague businesses for months. now microchips are among the items most desperately needed and among those hardest to find, especially for automakers, even basic car models need at least 50 semiconductors. they control everything from gps to air conditioning even rear view mirrors, and as not to mention safety and comfort features that you might find in more upscale cars. according to one estimate, 11000000 fewer cars were to be built in 2021 due to supply chain bottlenecks. and

that sums up around $210000000000.00 in miss sales. now the vast majority of semiconductors are made in asia. that makes the u. s. and europe strongly dependent upon imports to get those ships. and so now many automakers are exploring partnerships which it producers to make their own semiconductors. some experts, however say it's too little too late. they blame the industry for t shirts are short term planning and it's lack of investment of more that i'm joined by reggie biswas, he's executive director and asia pacific chief economist at i h s. market where she could have you on the show. is it fair to say that these automakers were perhaps short sighted by not really securing their necessary supplies to something is an absolute vital component. i think what we've seen during the pandemic is something quite exceptional. and it's broad out these supply chain vulnerabilities for older mater makers that hadn't been there in that kind of form. the for, i mean,

what we've seen is lost production in 2021 of millions of order units. and that's meant that demand has been much greater than the ability to supply. so we're seeing a new kind of problem for the auto industry that they haven't seen in a similar way before. so i think they're reacting to that, and of course it will take time um whether it's through their concept of building their own semiconductors plants, which is obviously a highly complicated area for them to move into. or another possibility which is being suggested by companies like intel, is that they will build factories specifically for the order industry to help alleviate some of those concerns about disruptions. and i think at a government level, we're also seeing a lot of action to try to reduce that vulnerability of supply chains. reduce the supply from asia in the u. s. for example, the u. s. government's pushing ahead with

a chip act that's going to put in about $50000000000.00 us dollars to help ship makers, billboard facilities in the u. s. and in the e. u. a very similar projects underway to try to boost the production of chips within the e. u. m to about 20 percent of total requirements. so these kind of actions are signaling that both companies and governments are trying to reduce those supply chain vulnerabilities. and he won the league concern if i may interrupt them. so you just mentioned asia there. we've seen that china has just locked down an entire city. she, on of 13000000 people. it's shown how seriously it's going to go against any sort of outbreak. china, of course, a major manufacturer for many, many companies. the supply problems are going to continue. is that fair to say? well, i think even leaving aside the situation in china, which obviously is very concerning and has

a lot of potential implications for supply chains. if this were to spread more widely, but even even leaving that aside, this backlog in areas like semiconductor supply is still going to continue into 2022. even if the situation are dependent might, improves through the year. so i think we are looking at a 2022 with continuing problems and o our sector. and if on top of all about the pandemic creates new waves and use plots are options. then clearly the risk is that you have a whole new set of disruptions to supply chains, not only for semiconductors, but potentially for many all areas. old manufacturing that are critical for industry as well. so we are very much looking at those downside risks for the 2020 to outlook. if this o micron variant turns out to be a big disrupt her and all right, we'll have to leave it there as jeep as was with i just market. thank you very much

. thank you. was speaking of supply crunches, wholesale gas prices in europe briefly. spike this week after a russian pipeline began reversing its supply to germany. a russian president vladimir putin now says the move is not political, although it does can side with right coincide rather with rising tensions between moscow in the west. the europe was already facing a winter of high gas prices due to lower supplies. some now, if you, the tensions with russia are going to make things worse. guess from the jamar pipeline usually flows from here in siberia to germany. but flows had been falling since saturday on tuesday, the gas stopped and began to flow back in the other direction. the more than 2000 kilometer long jamar pipeline links, natural gas feels in siberia with poland and germany viable arrows. it's one of the major roots for russian gas to europe. some west and politicians and industry experts have accused russian president vladimir putin,

of withholding deliveries to europe amid political tensions over ukraine and not string to something that he denied during his annual news conference. the road to him, it would buy them, they lie all the time. they mix everything up. gas. prom supplies all are requesting gas volumes under current contracts. and not only that, not but it's also increasing the volume of war. uh, we measured the contract spokespeople for our w e and uni power, which are among gas prompts. biggest gas by us and germany said the russian company was still meeting delivery obligations. but measurements show that gas volumes flowing through the yama pipeline have been reversed. some western politicians believe protein wants to put pressure on not stream to it's another pipeline which is set to deliver gas from russia through the baltic sea, directly to germany. germany has not approved the pipeline yet. some experts believe the kremlin is deliberately reducing flows to drive up gas prices in europe,

and speed up the approval process. experts warn that consumers in western europe need to brace for even higher prices. more cold weather in europe over the coming months is going to drive up demand. and i'm joined by his lawyer side. he's director of energy climate and resources at the raise your group. that's a political risk consultancy, and thanks for coming on the show. you know, russia says that it's meeting its obligations here at the same time, some in europe are crying foul. can you help us understand what is going on? it, thanks for letting me know. so one of the main problems is, of course, one size that we're meeting all the obligations. the other side is saying we're not having enough gas. so what's happening is gas is meeting probably its minimum annual obligation, so they have long term contracts with customers in the u, and they are meeting that, but they're not sending any further gas. so if you want to have received more gas

because it's cold, for instance, or your customer who doesn't fully contract, it's annual gas supply, then it's hard to get that guess because i'm really isn't sending more gas in. it absolutely has to the moment the question is, of course, whether the gas form isn't sending the gas because it can't or because it doesn't want to that we're not entirely sure sure of. we don't really know where the gas form is sending all the gas. it can or whether it is actually withholding that, and that is sort of the mystery here in europe. problems, of course, the gas market is tied. we do need more gas and n g is coming from a markets around the world by shipping to europe. but it would be good if it came from the us from russia or so europe says the pollutants playing politics here, put and says the same thing that they use playing politics with, nor string to is he not correct? they're well, i mean, no 3 to and it's better says the not true 110 years ago, what they are, but highly political projects. you are linking to major consumer producer blocks

together with the physical pipeline infrastructure. it is political by nature and this politics when it goes well, it's good, it's, you are making a big producer to get the consumer and improve politics. but of course, when politics get sour, as they are now between russia and europe in the west, more general over ukraine, for instance, which of course, is the gas transit routed traditionally was. then if things get complicated and that is the issue now. yes, both sides are playing politics. however, the approval process that has been put on hold is a commercial one. and this is important to keep in mind. the approval process with a bonus next are going to in germany is a commercial process. it will stream to gas from has to comply with the european market rules and in its current form, it doesn't. so that is a separate process. but then of course, there is politics, the german government, the americans, brussels. they have become skeptical about the political viability of this pipeline . not just its commercial liability. or i think last time with your age group.

thank you very much. thank you. and let's go now to some of the other global business stories making headlines. united airlines and delta have cancelled more than $200.00 christmas eve flights. they say the spread of the new omicron varian is taking a toll on flight crews and ground personnel. the airlines are trying to reboot travelers as soon as possible. tick tock has surpassed google as the world's most popular website. that's according to cloud fair, a tech from the tracks online activities. more than 1000000000 users sign on to scroll, tick, tock, monthly, mostly children and teenagers. tick tock was launched in 2016 by china's bite dance . intel has apologized for angering the chinese government after called on suppliers to avoid goods and services in the sheen john region. the united states, the european union and other countries, have accused china of a brutal crack down on the muslim,

weaker minority and the use of force labor camps there. and finally tis the season when many indulged their sweet tooth, especially chocolate. and especially here in germany, it turns out that germans eat an average of 9 kilos of chocolate per year. that's about 90 traditional sized chocolate bars and back puts the country squarely in 1st place globally for chocolate consumption. close 2nd, the swiss. a christmas is the main season for chocolate. germany's chocolate ears have sold 160000000 chocolate santa's this year alone. right, that's it for me. and the dw business team will be back in a little bit with more headlines in the meantime. finest online he to be dot com slash business team. beardsley,

thanks for watching. ah ah ah ah joe india. an unequal gain. women and climate change

with lower income changes unless i think he said they are the west effect to fight impact. but women and not just going to stand there and watch. they have tangible ideas against the consequences of global warming. eco, india. in 60 minutes, d w. m. what secrets lie behind these walls? discover new adventures in 360 degrees. and explore fascinating world heritage sites. d w world heritage 360. get the app now this is did under news asia. i'm british manager. as 2021 comes to a close, we're taking a look back at some of the biggest stories of the europe. for me,

none was bigger than seeing my own country india struggling to breathe in the us. devastating both with global 19 that took away people i knew and destroyed many families forever. today we look at how indian schools and if the country is better prepared for any new wave of infections. ah. as 2021 began, many in india thought the worst of over 1000 might be behind them. the country had emerged relatively unscathed from the virus in 2020, but i spring ton to summer in the us, covered 1000 outbreak brought the country to its knees. fueled by the delta variant, it became apparent in april that india 2nd wave would be catastrophic. and the number's ball that out in me for the 1st time in the pandemic, the daily case count was recorded at more than 400000 the highest ever worldwide.

and in june indian saw the world's highest single day death stalled from the virus . more than $6000.00 health systems in cities around the country collapsed. oxygen ran out, medicine ran out, beds, ran out, and death seemed to be everywhere. here's a report from me. the fires burn day and night. but daily's morticians are barely able to keep up these makeshift crematorium have become a symbol of india's coven, 19 catastrophe. fucking both of these parking lot on this was a parking lot, but we got permission to set up an extra $24.00 crematorium sites javascript. and now there are so many corpses we thought were running out of fire when i'm already already looking for them. oh yeah, i was on the argument. oh, coven 19 has taken an enormous toll on india. many died because there was no one to

take care of them. for days there had been lines of patience in front of hospitals. no one let the men because there aren't enough beds or oxygen tanks. people feel abandoned. that was the fate of many who couldn't get a hospital bed. those that did were cared for by an army of doctors and nurses battling tremendous odds. one of them was pulmonologist, doctor launcelot pinto. at the b. b. hindu ger hospital in one bite. i spoke to him earlier and began by asking what it was like for medical staff like him at that time. i think those are memory is that a lot of as a whole probably will be able to. it is sunday because it was a, it was a time of a lot of spot in iowa around i, fortunately wasn't a city that did not run out of oxygen and you know, so the lack of oxygen or the lack of beds wasn't a concern yet. but we were seeing scenes from across the country where people were

finding it difficult to find hospital bed, find the finding it difficult to, to get oxygen and be able to stream the scare that that would eventually happen to us as well. so our hospitals would reasonably full, but i think we had ramped up in the infrastructure to a point that we did not suffer those acute shortages. that being said, you know, the numbers raising people, getting hospitalized. this, this be out of the unknown in terms of the number of different medications being prescribed without a brocklow scientific rational. i think it was just paranoia and there was a lot of field all around. and, you know, i mean, it was, it was just the times and in many different ways. and how did your, your colleagues of other health care worker that you know, off personally, how did they hold up i think it was a stressful, i think a lot of, as we're also doing the consultations, we'll be seeing people at home through

a video consultations from across the country and you know, we were trying our best to help them as much as we could by live at home with the knowledge that if they did to, to read unfortunately, would be extremely challenging for a lot of them to find a bed or 2 to get hospitalized. so in, you know, we, you know, i think most of us were sleeping at night hoping that the next morning is in the morning where we wake up with use of people eating at home. when we were hoping that people managed to push through those 2 beats, which are generally good folk over it and, and somehow managed to get through that. that being said, that a lot of our health care workers also had the organ, family members and the old friends get affected by call it and, and watch them directly, sometimes watch them, you know, being hospitalized in isolation. that way from their families was, was heartbreaking. a lot of read, so not only where you admitted to a hospital, but you were nice solution without contact with your family. and there are lot of individuals passed away in that kind of situation. and i think that's,

that that's not something that anyone would want for anyone. we know what flaws in the health care system to the became a pattern to do think during this time infrastructure building is something that's really important so that we don't suffer through this again. be tougher from individual dying sometimes because for lack of gaz available because of the old building of the system. i think the lessons to be learned in communications is when in terms of health communications because that was all of on because of the unknown . and i think as a physician, i think the lessons learned in terms of guidelines and streaming clinical clinical treatment algorithms so that everyone does pretty much what is evidence and signs be used. we live there that, i mean, but thank you so much for sharing your experiences. with us dr. launcelot into now the start of the prime minister in the movie had claimed india had defeated the colonel nevada's. but as a 2nd covert wave swept the country,

he saw his claims and his leadership tested. quote on, on the 2nd in the fight against this wave of corona virus, some sound good. whatever obstacles are there, we are trying to remove it and we are working on a war footing. good. the product, i'm going to go off other countries to worked on a war footing to help india, the united states, the u. k. the europe in union. what among the many nations that sent in india as waive the most prized commodity oxygen. thousands of oxygen cylinders were transported into india. germany also sent an oxygen generating plant to delhi, to sustain a specialized coven hospital, the double deli bureau to you by explaining why that was so important. the city of demi has gone to a hiring time. people have seen their loved ones, literally gasping for breath,

as oxygen supplies rad out. any attempt to boost supplies here is hugely welcomed. people across old straw to a society felt angry and abandoned by the government, as they watched their relatives get sick and many die. people desperate to find spare beds or oxygen done to social media, they possibly for help on platforms like facebook, instagram, and twitter, crowdsourcing care for their loved ones. but the crush of sickness was something that some believed no one could have prepared for it. it came as a joy, the o ward, i'm the best and i suppose, but we both know that the situation will get this bad because before people didn't so severe. so i didn't, i don't think anybody expected this like right now. my mother is colbert positive, and i am going through the same thing and there are for many others also, and it's happening in every house. debts and new cases from india. second over wave began to recede. near the end of june,

a national vaccine drive also ramped up in the following months. and in october, india crossed the 1000000000 vaccinations marked in its fight against the corona virus pandemic. however, the 1000000000 refers to just total vaccinations in the country, not people. the government now claims it's fully vaccinated. 50 percent of citizens above 18 years of age. got men is a professor of physics and biology at a stroke and diversity in india and has been following the countries response to covert 19. professor men and a very is a new variant to that the countries dealing with now only kron, how water should india. b from what the hearing is should be a little. but it, it seems that at the rate at which, when the car has taken off in south africa and other countries in europe, if only one man is displayed in india. and it's also immunities that we should be fee a shop raising cases pretty soon. and that certainly concerns me. so when you sir shaw price, in case of that, you're imagining

a situation like the summer in this year where an india is devastating. second curved wave hopefully may not be as bad as that because the difference between then and now is that many new have been vaccinated. i mean, did some already caught cold 19 once, so the combination of getting it once and then being vaccinated? shouldn't principal protect you a little better? the problem is, we don't know about the on the convent, whether it respects that or whether it be the to the, the mood response is just so much stronger. that it doesn't really make much of a difference that he would in fact be it or not, based on the data that you've seen so far, professor man, and do you think that it can evade immunity? it certainly does seem to be able to. they didn't, you know what we don't know. what really important to know is if the severity of the disease it causes it can evade immunity. contrast with better the provided it doesn't cause to the disease of the type, the delta didn't cause that we should be ok,

but we don't know that yet. i'd like to go to reflect on the past summer and it's been the kind of some of the no one really saw coming. i think least of all the government. i mean, i wonder what you think the biggest lesson is from how india handle this 2nd wave of the pandemic. the lesson is, i think we should more openness with data was important. had people been looking at the data to be easy to find patted, the sudden increase the theme, almost coordinated across the country. we need to have better sequencing to identify the database early on to show that this was something new that was happening in 1st of all in, in rural areas of a particular state about upgrading didn't spreading across the rest of india. we needed to have been more serious about oxygen, i few support hospitals, etc, to be prepared for the 3rd. it took us completely unaware of all of the the lesson that i hope people are for the future. do you think some of the lessons haven't

taken i wish there was more open the silver on, especially the guiding data. i think that's important. that's wonderful. we have not that i think overall, been better prepared in terms of hospitals, oxygen, etc. following the lessons of the 2nd leave, and i do hope a has, this is a not be strained to the extent that we're doing the secondly progress amend. and we'll leave it there with the timing. but thank you so much for joining us today. ah, and that's it for today. be sure to check out or other stories on the date of the dot com, forward slash geisha on facebook and twitter. believe you with a looked back at the lens. indian healthcare workers have gone to,

to carry out vaccinations in the country. it's useful to fight against the corona virus pandemic. how has the rate of infection been

developing? what does the latest research say? information and context? the corona virus update. the comic 19 special net on d w. and we're interested in the global economy. our portfolio d w business. beyond the closer look at the project, our mission to analyze the fight for market dominance. east versus west. get a step ahead with the w business beyond on you to ah! ah, the fi is burnt day and night. these opening ceremonies have become

a symbol of the coven. 19 catastrophe. and not just in india, cremmit toria around the world have buckled under a break. old surgeon cova debts over 5000000 people have officially fallen victim to the virus. but the news magazine, the economist estimates that the pandemic true death toll is 4 times higher. ah, many people who die while infected a never tested to they don't enter the official tally. the patients have died of preventable causes, because overstretched. hospitals could not treat them. and many countries struggle to count deaths under normal circumstances. let alone a pandemic. the official covert told could just be the tip of the iceberg. welcome on ben fizzle. and can we put our trust in numbers or the institutions that provide the statistics? in many respects, this pandemic has become

a crisis of trust. just how dangerous or deadly is covered 19. well, williamson's can tell us about the situation on the ground. he's a chief physician at the san antonio hospital in ash weiner. he's also on the board of the german interdisciplinary association for intensive care and emergency medicine and is in berlin today for us. the me treat kobuck is a data scientist from tubing and university and joins us from tubing and to crunch the numbers. the me to let start with you, what's the likelihood of the global death toll being 4 times higher than the official right? this number is very approximate. the official comment tell at the moment is i think wrong. 5000000. i think based on the data we can do reasonably sure that it's more than twice that much. so it's about 10000000 and i would say it's probably below 20, and it's hard at the moment to know more exactly, because unfortunately for many, many countries,

we don't have any reliable data whatsoever. so this estimate of economist is an extrapolation from the data we have to large parts of the world where we don't have any data vote. would you say that lines up with what you're seeing and hearing about in intensive care units? yes, that's exactly the thing we saw last year. we learned a lot about the delay in treatment. for instance, in cardiovascular disease like acute my colleague fortune or all of possibly colleague arrest and in some regions, for instance, in italy or in paris, me all the death toll triples in comparison to, to 2019. so it's something we now learn and we don't know what will be the effect in the next few years, because the people don't go to doctors. they don't go to doctors when they have

symptoms and so on. so we must get the data. but at the moment, the figures are quite unsure what about assess mortality in the over eighty's or in kids. dmitri, that's hard to detect because the, the numbers are all small. we and for many countries, the one important thing is that for many countries, we don't have this information. countries many countries, we ease numbers of the overall death, but we don't have to possibly we'll get that later. detailed age breakdowns. another question for you, i guess some people may think it's quite simple, but i guess it could be complicated. how. how do you distinguish between cobit and non covered deaths? it was difficult if some people think about it and they said did this, that person died from code 910 on the id with the code 9 and was code 910 the

exec cause for the death or is it just the we measured the soft cough to virus and the person died from acute my coding fire can, but we also know that many of the diseases, for instance, cardiovascular diseases may, may be aggravated by the soft costs to virus. so it's a streaming, difficult to differentiate exactly at the time when we and the intensive care unit, and we have a co 19 patient. he dies from monte organ failure. this is, he died from the all and figure when the patient got some cute micro in faction in combination with off of 2 and he dies for mike holding such and maybe that soft go to attitude it and that this was to call up there. so it's quite difficult and not all people are brought in germany to autopsy. so we don't know the exact figures, and it's in the end the, the, the, the doctors who told this was,

do all died with when it comes to the fake is dimitri. what does the world mortality data set show when it comes to other diseases? we see in multiple countries that the exceptional talent, which is what the matter is about mortality data set, just tracks the call, the deaths freshly. during the call with outbreaks, the entire excess mortality is explained by call and other contributions are very small in comparison. so we don't, we don't think that with, with i don't think that with our data set, we can say anything about how to use it. but i think that the contributions of all the diseases to the assessment challenges are very small. when we talking about accept my challenge, we primarily talking about cause it influenced deaths. dmitri, will we ever know the true number of deaths from coven? i don't think so. not very precisely. there are unfortunately large areas in the

world where without reliable reporting of either the cases or the death, or also all cause mortality and particular i'm talking about developing countries. but i do think that we will know the number more precisely than now the data come in and many countries will leave the data later. there are ways to monitor mortality by, for example, monitoring cemeteries and don't rely on official data at all. and the estimates were going to be coming in the coming years and the number the, the, the total estimates will get more precise. got a scientist, committee kovak, and she physician, we answer is great too heavy both here. thank you. thank you. let's take a look now though, at how the code, 900 pandemic is hurting the fight against other diseases. in particular, patients who are chronically ill at the marine house clinic and mines germany. one sarcastic surgeon, has lost faith in his job and the world. he's our phones,

it's definitely very painful for us. when was sat in the tumor conference and realized that our skills can't help any of our patients anymore. alcohol, when it's too far advanced, really hurt. sean hart, peter hollows, hence the marine house clinics. the erratic surgical ward, he seeing more and more patience with tumors that have grown to the stage where they're no longer operable. they all follow the same pattern. fearful of contracting the corona virus. patience lead routine checkup slide all the while they're tumors growing unseen. by the time they get to the clinic, it's almost too late. somebody to take for the lead, martin and the snow question about it is it drives you crazy. was mondays because you know that a couple of months earlier, you'd have had a realistic chance of effecting a cure in the home cubits of him. so that means our therapies can now buy a patient some time given them, but we can no longer offer them. the prospect of

a full recovery is home coast close in our system. the marine house clinic isn't the only hospital experiencing this sad trend of 1st german t v station a r d documentary survey, the 20 clinics with the highest number of lung cancer patients. 71 percent of those responded said they were recording an increase in severe cases. hospital safety officer and patient activist would hecker sees political failures south going north to management and it would have been better and highly commendable if the federal health minister had used his social media campaigns consistently raise awareness of this matter as well. that i said to go visit the hospital again, go to your g p. 's. if he's been radiating, confident as it would have been communicated to the population at large, out of latin before the cold. germany's health ministry told the a r d journalist. it has addressed the situation many times that the minister himself spoke about it in may 20, 20,

and february of this year. as did the federal center for health education. but that treatment and therapies are up to doctors to decide they for their part, expect to see an increasing number of severe cases emerging among people whose lung cancer hasn't yet been recognized. time for derek williams. and if you'll question which won't be all that easy to answer, but it's something i want to know if i lost my sense of smell or taste. oh my daughter had good 19 months ago and still hasn't regained her sense of smell or taste. will they come back? the sense of snow in the sense of taste are closely intertwined, and losing them is a very common symptom of covered 19. and several studies have shown that the loss of smell, or changes to the sense of smell in particular, are an issue for at least half the people who get the disease of probably more.

sometimes it's the only symptom that develops in a patient who's otherwise asymptomatic. although there's still a lot that we don't know about what causes the loss of taste. there is evidence indicating that the loss of smell is likely linked not to the virus infecting the all factory neurons that carry signals from the nose in the direction of the brain, but instead to its infecting cells called suss 10 tackler cells, which play according to an overview of studies that i read the loss of taste and the loss of smell usually occurs very suddenly, at the onset of coven 19, and often begins to slowly return. after around 3 to 5 days, many patients had pretty much regained the senses completely. within a few weeks, but a significant percentage, maybe as many as one and 20 people,

they continue to have major deficits and even many months later. so your daughter's condition is not all that rare ynez. if the century loss is persistent, a lot of experts, including ones that we've had here on the coven, 19 special. they recommend what's called all factory training. it involves repeated targeted exposure to specific sans on a daily basis. and it's helped a lot of patients recover at least some sensory perception. mm hm. nice to have a long stay safe and see with, ah, ah,

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