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tv   Sports Life  Deutsche Welle  March 26, 2022 10:15am-10:30am CET

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recently focus is f as in east and ukraine with that's all for me for now, but up next sport, life looks at footballs. most common results. the one i'll draw, i'll be back with more headlines at the top of the hour time. told me all that well, thanks for your company. ah ah, i'm just kinda, i want, that's hard and in the end it's a me, you are not a lot of to you anymore. we will send you back. are you familiar with this? with lions, debbie? what's your story. ready ready he wasn't, i was women, especially victims of financing. a lot of them take part and send us your story. we
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are trying always to understand this new culture. so you are not a visitor, not the guests. you want to become a citizen in full migrants, your platform for reliable information. hm. oh, a. this man is a prediction champ. he won a tipping contest by predicting that every game across a all but does league as season would end? what nil?
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you think that was pretty clever? i'll just go for the most common results in football. but is that really true? each one neil, the most common school like others think not the most common result to 121 to one. definitely to one to one. go up to one. yeah. i think it should be to one. indeed, most punches. go if it to one. but hold up, make psychologist james curly who's hobby escalating football results through the ages. and here is the outcome. some 200000 schools from the top 4 english divisions going all the way back to 1888 home goals going down a weggles going across i started with the last 20 years, but then i got a bit completist about it. so i just started collecting more and more and more. and
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then the older results are actually harder to find. so results from the 19th century from before world war one. they were the hardest to find. some of these games took place while jack the ripper was still roaming london in the 1800s but the reds here has nothing to do with his victims. it shows how common results off the dock of the read, the more common the school line. and we can see a trend already, the doc, his shades of red, appear in the top left corner where the low scoring results. so it's kind of interesting but scoring more than 2 goals are just very uncommon. so i think, i think, i think that just more much more defensive than perhaps people expect. so the most common results will feature a low number of goals. football simply have fewer scoring actions than many other
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sport. it's a game of strategy. not one of racking up goal of the gulf. by comparison other sports like action game, i saw the matches get 6 goals on average, while and be 18 score a $113.00 points. again, often playing areas a small lot, the games foster and in basketball. there's also a shop in football there along spells where the ball is passed back and forth. and sure, sometimes that can get boring. well, that's a good question. so what makes for all exciting? i think is, is it goals? i guess it is goals and i think for some people the lowest score, i mean americans would say boring campuses. not like scoring. i think, i think football seems to still be as popular as ever in terms of tv, revenue, tv, number of people going to game. so i don't think it can be that or i think it's still exciting. i think people are suggesting now that sometimes you know,
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seems like magic. the city in england are boring because they're just so clinical and there's no jeopardy. so i'm not sure whether it's purely just scoring goals is what's exciting. but i think having some level of jeopardy, or where it's unsure whether which team will win or which team will lose, that's what makes any sport exciting. but in the old days, there were plenty of high score and games back on much a one in 1888 darby, 163 a wait to bolton, and kept the wonder as go was a go. first was no rarity, but then those results probably were more common when teams just didn't defend properly. and so i think it's like school yard, where people just go crazy to try and school goals and they're not interested in defending. but 63 away when of accounted for less than 0 point,
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one percent of results in the 130 years since. so why a results like that in football, as red as the blue malicious postage stamp. set and score lines have in fact only occurred once in english football. like if 76 home when that came back in 1957, when chelton athletic beat. how does feel, john actually came back from a massive deficit winning the game after having been 51 down. that also makes us feel the only team in english football history, disco 6 goals, and still go home, losers. but the point is, these things almost never happened at the number of goals drops though, the result becomes more common, like the full, full draw. we can think of a couple there was the infamous wounded league game where dorman, lead that try the shocker for nil at half time shall hit one freight. and finally the equalizer also.
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similarly, i think the famous for, for recent osceola, newcastle, where one team went for 0 up and then the other team just came straight. oh, those will happen when one team goes really attacking. but then just completely forget to defend what they, if they are so rare. but i think it's a breakdown in, in play, a mentality and coach that leads to that. and it's so rep that to happening professional, professional games. mo common are the absolute thrush ings, why? well, sometimes of really good and other teams. you know, aunt, you get these everywhere in england, man city, be what did i know in spain, rail madrid beat, riots tend to those the big of the gulf in quality within
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a league. the more often you get these results, and by the way, they become more common in recent years. over the last 2 decades, the leaks are becoming more and more unequal in tons of power. he has g in france, the munich and germany, manchester city, liverpool, and in work that becoming more and more powerful women's football has suffered badly from inequality, with big school lines the norm for many years. for example, in 2018 by and beat labor cruise and spend one away. the chasm in class remains a serious issue in many leagues, but in women's football to most much is these days don't contain more than 3 goals . the game and many taught leagues are improving consistently and seems a gradually becoming more evenly matched. but it's a balanced lee of teams,
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of resources and home field advantage is not acting. then you'll get fewer goals. so let's get down to business. what's the most common result? remember most people bet on a to one. when eat a home or a way for the fun of it. let's put those 2 together. by be there, right? there's good reason to think that on average there are $2.00 goals per game in europe, top lakes. so about 3 goals, that sounds like it to one home or away when. right? but don't forget 3 goals could also be a 3 nill. so no 21 is not the most common school. when we come together, we see the $21.00 outcomes are less common than one nil outcomes. which means our competition winner was right to only predict one mill victories smart guy. and it's not just in lead football and african 2022 more than 40
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percent of greek games finished with just one go school. what nil was the standard results if we count them together, one nil home and a way winds are the most common result. make sense? ah, once you've got a goal ahead, i guess most team decides to tend to lead rather than trying to extend a lot of course hum and away wins and not the same 0. 1 is less common clearly than $10.00. obviously one ill and neil one are completely different based out on the pitch with the former, the whole stadium celebrates with the letter. the team has to tear itself on without the fans. that's a big difference. when we split the 2, we see that another result is actually the one seen most often. in football.
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the most common result is 11. this is true across the top lakes in italy, it's almost always $11.00 in spine 2. and in the bond is legal, it's only been a different school line once in recent years. so why are one old rules as common as anson, an unhealthy? fish in water will birds in the sky. it makes sense really at the start of every game. it's real nil then no mistake or moments of quality, but one same head. when a goal is scored, some team is in the lead, and the other team therefore has to come out attack on the team in front, then sits back to protect its advantage. which means the team chasing a go can a tackle and has a greater chance of scoring. so the equalizer becomes more likely,
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especially if the goal is scored later in the game, saying the fact that the 1st team just doesn't look to try and score again. hold on . that means need aside wants to take risks as neither wants to end up losing. i think us to do probably with the mentality of the team and how that playing. but i think a deeper analysis what need to look at when goals is scored in the game? because i think if goals is for the 1st go to school in the 1st, i think that the game is much more likely to end up with a 2 no or $21.00 result as opposed to a $1.00 to $1.00. but i'm not sure whether people have actually done that kind of analysis. my guess here is that is to do with ships of the mentality of the team that score hospice team. that's good 2nd, and that's why we end up with 11 more than we end up with 200. really, it's only human for both sides to settle for a $11.00 drawer, no one loses, no one suffers. the 3 point rule was supposed to encourage teams to push victory.
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clearly it's not enough, but there's something nice about draws. there's actually some psychological research that shows that the effectively the highs of winning a not as high as the low as of losing. so being defeated, you feel that much more than you feel the elation of winning. and i think that that must play a part. i think another thing is that a lot of managers, coaches are getting a draw is much more respectful than getting a loss. okay, it's not the most exciting outcome, but perhaps one old rule is can help drools can help us all keep the peace. and that is no bad thing at all.
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