tv Conflict Zone Deutsche Welle April 7, 2022 2:30pm-3:01pm CEST
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dan joe caught up the theme with a little select, he was leave who love one, centreville hunted london, liberty to give them. i had a serious problems on a personal level, and i was unable to live there with you want to know their story info, migrant clarified and reliable information for my grants. ah, abandoning merely everything a fate that millions of ukrainians have had to encounter so far. on the show, we meet a filmmaker who managed to flee the war and is now worried not only about his business, but about the lives of his employees. to 70 percent are still in the crate or against the south. some of them are in territorial
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champs, and some of them are volunteering. keith were in western ukraine, helping his new group and to monitor in health and with ukraine. and it's vital agricultural areas under attack. we take a look at what the war means for farmers exporters and those in the world that rely on the say. welcome to this special edition of d, w, a, business, ukraine, and economy under attack on chris cockburn, berlin. we thought the show and brussels, where it has been a decisive week in the european union's stance towards russia. so far the u has been united in using far reaching economic sanctions to try to stop the kremlin killings in ukraine. but the block has shied away from targeting rushes energy sector, as europe is heavily dependent on it,
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that has changed now. these pipelines are rushes lifeline, delivering gas and oil from siberia to europe. russia has earned a 1000000000 euros a day by supplying energy to the e. u. since the start of the war, ukraine's president has called for a stop to all energy payments to russia, to drain hooton's war chest, a message under consideration at the european parliament in strasbourg pena to the u. s. provides us with at least additional 15000000000 cubic meters of allergy gas this year. this gives us the opportunity to replace the russian l n g this year. second, for the coming years we're aiming for at least an additional 50000000000 cubic meters annually. this will give us the opportunity to replace at least one 3rd of the russian pipeline gas arriving in europe. spawn tuesday was in a funder lion proposed an import ban on coal were 4000000000 euros a year. cement,
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wood and vodka from russia are also on the new sanctions list. half of the use imports of league night and hard coal stem from russia, which it needs for steal and electricity production. those supplies would need to come from elsewhere, such as the usa, columbia, and south africa. the dependence on russian gas is similarly high. 45 percent of the use gas comes from russian. it's far harder to replace than coal. so far, germany has stood in the way of a complete gas shut off, claiming the economic impact on europe would be too high. let's get more of this from the w's ashtosh pan day. he is our expert for commodities ashtosh. the e. o is russia's biggest oil buyer. what would it mean for the blog if it were to ban these oil imports? like chris? that's right. and to be clear, it's going to be extremely painful. this band is going to remove straight away 3 to 4000000 barrels of oil per day by some estimates. that's going to be huge. prices
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are going to go up. people would have to brace for higher prices at the pump station gas stations. and then they would actually have to brace for the fact that there would be more inflation because you know, how much of that oil is used for transportation. so good. the good price is also going to go up. companies in the chemical industry are going to suffer a lot. they would be forced to shut down because they are one of the biggest uses of oil here in european union. so it is going to be painful. but having said that, it is still going to be much more manageable than cutting off gas applies for the very reason that oil is much more flexible to move around. europe could look at other countries to buy oil from. it is easier to move around and you don't really need a huge network of pipelines actually as you need in the case of guess a speaking of flexibility, how difficult would it be trying to find alternatives to russian oil
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lakers? any alternative to the problem would be to force actually one on the supply side and the other on the demand side, though. so now let's on the demand side, you will have to encourage people calling people to cut down their usage. that's actually very important because even if you go spouting from oil for oil, from elsewhere, it will be very difficult to bridge such a huge gap. so yes, encourage people to use public transport, tell them to use or less than what they were already using. now as my supplies concern, yes, they'll have to 1st dive into the strategic reserves. you know, that we see the has a strategically is over 1500000 barrels of oil. that is something they could use it . industrial could actually look at their own reserves that they have been over the years. so that's one of the things then they could actually go starting from or, or elsewhere to middle east. look for partners, maybe encourage the diplomatic talk that is going want to bring it on back to the
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market. iran in oil would be a big savior in, in a situation where there's going to be much lesser oil enter the market. so still a major issues to navigate there as a touch, of course, the sanctions are mentor, increase pressure on the kremlin. how much financial pain would such a boycott inflict on russia's state budget is, is going to be huge for russia. it is like now europe is finally thing. we mean business as far as the sanctions are concerned. they're not going the whole distance by also by banning, say, gas. but all is going to be huge. we always talk about how oil and gas, industrial, oil and gas revenue is the cash call for moscow. but in that, oil plays a much larger role. oil revenues last year, what? 3 times, what must go on from selling gas? so clearly you can understand how important oil is this year, it is projected that most people could earn somewhere around 310 $1000000000.00.
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but if it keeps supplying oil and gas, if the buyers continue to keep buying, it's oil and gas. so you can actually understand if there is an embargo oil is going to be a huge setback for moscow or certain, of course, any business transaction involves at least 2 parties. so who would rush and turn to trying to sell the oil? the you might not want anymore. yeah, this is interesting aspect because here what is going to do for moscow is that it is going to actually nullify some of the damage that would be done by this embargo by the european unit because russia would try and i would that oil, which is already doing, selling it on the cheap to the countries like india. china is going to be a major destination market for russia, because understand that russia is the, the 2nd biggest supply of oil. do china after saudi arabia. and there are all the expectation that moscow would try to actually up seat of saudi arabia from the top
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sport becoming the biggest seller of oil to china as well as india is concerned. india would continue to buy oil if it's been given at a discount as much as $35.00. but in the long run, i don't think that is going to be a very reliable way of selling russian oil. because both of china and india have actually graduated this relationship with the middle east and suppliers for decades now. and they would like to jeopardize that of by buying cheap oil, which is only temporarily cheap in the market. so that's one point to look at and they will also be very of inviting the eye of the united states to w's ashtosh panting. ashtosh, as always, thank you. more than 4000000 people have so far fled the war and ukraine. the nation says after that, the scores of people that are displaced within the country and people forced to leave behind family, friends and homes,
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are also abandoning their jobs and what they have worked hard for to achieve. our next report shows you one man who managed to flee with a family to berlin and is now across many borders, trying to build back what he lost. it's hard to understand what feelings are connected to arriving to burley. what feelings are just connected with all the situation with a war in general? so yeah, that's why i'm happy my family safe. i'm safe. my parents are safe, so yeah, i'm happy at the same time, the lot of my friends and again, my brother's in law and my close friends, my colleagues in ukraine. and so my country actually is there. yeah, it's good and bad at the same time and moved is going like this. alexi, it's gonna be a film producer from keith. now living in berlin,
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her own the filmmaking business, which has been decimated by the war to the business. it is dead for, for, for the small. so, i mean, there is no business. all commercial filming is on hold. and the 30 employees and pre dancers have seen that day to day lives totally appendages get the gear. most of them like the, like 60 to 70 percent, are still in ukraine against some of them who are in territorial chance. and some of them are volunteering in cave or in western ukraine, helping to move goose and humanitarian help. but some i still out filming sometimes teaming out with other filmmakers to get footage out to the world in general film community of
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ukraine, of cave and all the people who are there, the like groups somehow and trying to do this old types of volunteer projects. what they can do, they can feel they can ducky mount all what's happening on the streets of cave. since arriving in berlin alexi, it's gone. it has been trying to rebuild the business. the 36 year old has to ames support colleague still in ukraine and provide employment opportunities the ukrainians, who had to flee or so today he's having a team meeting with the project managers of the firm. one is also in berlin, one still in keith. they're figuring out how to hire directors for new projects in germany and the you it's hard starting from scratch at took him, he has to establish his network of contacts in ukraine. now he needs a new one and berlin. that's why he's meeting today with local producers to try to organize
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a collaboration. finding new partners is going to be vital to fem survival and retaining the stuff got to discuss, but we just had some, some money left to nowhere account. so we were able to pay at least last last month, and we are able to pay this month. and that's why i'm here this. why part to forward teams here to do our, our best to, to be able to support our team. it is urgent. we where we are, like we are hoping to to get some job like next couple of weeks at least to get peaches and to to be involved and don't see alexys gone. x was allowed to leave ukraine because he has 3 children to take care of a friend of his award winning film, make him mantas clutter. beaches was killed by a russian rocket this week. let's talk some more with alexander scott. actually
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just saw the report. welcome to the studio, and you, you have to flee ukraine, and as we saw the reports, you could take your children, your wife, with you. give us an idea of what you had to leave behind. like everything, press everything else, all my life. my rest of my family, my some of my brothers and sisters, my friends, my colleagues, my business. all my life is there in my house, my car. everything. you mentioned your business, you are a film producer. what does this business look like? human now or in general general, it's slow, it looks like it's shooting films, no music videos, tv commercials, or feature films. documentary is short films and everything you can seen movies and on tv. so and now that you're here in
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berlin, you try to keep this business alive as good as it gets. how do you do that? yeah, exactly. i'm trying to, to establish new contacts here. what we do have some we used to work with european and german producers, but still i'm trying to build up new network, new connections to be able to get some of the project. at least commercial wants to be able to support our team. a lot of people are here in germany or around, you know, ukrainians from this business and they just have no job and we don't want them to don't she don't grade because they're super qualified to crane was like one of the top markets for service production for you for the last 5 to 7 years, so we just want try to give them job to do what they can do the best here. but at
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the same time, the film industry in ukraine is not really operational now is at the moment. so what, what is there to support for an industry that depends on people having time and money to spend and you know, the mind for creativity. the environment now is very different. absolutely, we're, we're not talking about showing fields to the audience now in ukraine, but i'm talking about supporting people from the industry who just lost their jobs and they all volunteering every day. they spend all their money for support. thing like him and terry and medic medical help and are me everything. so they are now just exhausted. they out of money, they just need jumps and some of them are relegated to western part of the brain and they are able to, should they're able to do the both production. so does,
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that's actually what we're trying to do. we're trying to, to support them with a job with the money in a job, in their industry, or any type of job job in their industry that they're due. russia doesn't appear to be willing to end this war anytime soon. when you look at the weeks ahead, what is, what are your thoughts? i'm, i'm just stand shocked and, and, and speechless. but i think it's like hen aside and what's happening. my goal is now they're shooting documentaries, in boucher or been now couple of yesterday they were great. now for this move to bar dunker, which is i don't think you already heard about it, but it's even worse the butcher. and yesterday night we had to call with my colleagues documentaries, who are,
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who are there was criminal medical experts spend the day with them. and i mean, i'm just, it's just, it's, it's crazy. do you have an idea of how to restart in ukraine or does that not cross your mind as a, as a business person, restarting ukraine, ukraine in ukraine? of course. i mean as soon as it's got to be done i, i have like a dozen. so, requests from here and all around the world to, to support producers and filmmakers and directors to come to crane to get, to, should the material even even now a lot of major companies are sending their people there already to shoot it. and we have couple of projects on the table or that i've been developed now a soon as we will be ready to, to finish even now. people are working there and shooting. alex, a scottish from producer from ukraine. thank you for your visit. thank you so much
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. ukraine is the 5th largest, which producer in the world in peace times. that is of course. but now grenades are destroying fields and farmers that should be out sowing seeds are busy fighting since russia started its invasion of ukraine. the price for wheat has increased by 70 percent continuing a rise that started before the war. now that has dramatic consequences, not only for those who rely on the stable, but for farmers and explorers as well. the only thing that should be firmly lodged in these fields are weak plants. but sprouting from the soil is part of a russian missile. in michel, i have farmers already trying to manage a shortage of seeds and fuel, were forced to contend with the presence of russian soldiers. where can you imagine there are still loaded missiles or side with the soldiers had camped
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out next door for 2 weeks. farmers couldn't access their crops with them, they kept shooting incessantly. it was terrible that because under these conditions, wheat is becoming harder and harder to produce. it's also a challenge getting the staple out of the country. and because of the war, we have no access to the black z, russian army ships are blocking the port or in wooden operations. at ports have come to a near complete standstill and back at the farm. wheat fields are looking more like battlefields, so producing food for the world has become a serious problem for ukraine. that's why exporting the grains and produce that can, is even more important not only for the people around the globe who depend on it, but also to ukrainians themselves. global business can work as an act of defiance.
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that is one of the main takeaways from the annual fresh produce trade show currently underway here in berlin. since the russian invasion, ukraine's fruit and vegetable exports are important nourishment for the flailing economy. we try to push ourselves as hard as possible even, and it's hard times to work. and, and many people are ready to do it. many people want to support ukraine. we want to keep our economic going. going, as men have to remain in the ukraine to fight in the war. women and children are holding the fort at this year's fruit fair and berlin most are currently refugees, the ukrainian stalls smaller than in past years. but international trade is more important than ever, says the rena cortina. the organizer of the booth a local fish is in power of people is very low and we'll be very low during grand
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to yes, at least a while. the really cover our cost is sold for us. export is a source of income for the economy so, so income for the company is for salaries in the pony carves company. some eco pack relocated from the war torn east of the country to the polish border and the west to stay in business. keeping up the production means keeping up food and money supplies for ukrainians. seal, we can say that it's safe to work to continue production. we will do this because it's very important for the nation, for ukrainian producers at this year's fruit fair. the booth carries more than economic value. it is an act of defiance. we are hopeful we will not give up and we know that we will take a look now at some of the questions you sent us about the war in ukraine and for
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that my colleague, cassandra jones, i'm in a studio, cassandra, we got a question from one user on youtube calling themselves john kelly, and he pointed out the germany has been talking about building l and g terminals with form, which has longer america bringing up the issue back in 2018. he posted specifically, specifically on our youtube channel. i'm not hearing of any discussion about these terminals, therefore i'm assuming that the l and g ports where not built what happened. so long story short, there have been some road bumps. some of the men clear just how slow these things tend to go and germany the pandemic, and the temptation of cheap russian gas. so yes, back in 2018. following criticism from former president donald trump, former chancellor england merkle did commit to building more. ellen g terminals that the german government even committed to co financing a 500000000 euro. ellen g terminal port. but since then, a lot of these projects have kind of sputtered one example in 2020. and ellen g
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port and g porch just said that they were going to shelf the plan, the utility trying to build the sports that they're going to show the plan because of a lack of interest from quote, market players. so things have kind of sputtered out, and part of this is the financial incentives. why would you invest hundreds of millions of euro's into l n. g terminal ports, when you've already invested hundreds of millions of euros in other projects including nordstrom to. so if you're just looking at the bottom line here at that time, the incentives were clear, fast forward to 2022 though the high of cheap brushing car gas has firmly worn off . and we are now very clearly in the hangover period because of the warrant crane and the subsequent sanctions were to much, much different place. so after the invasion directly after the invasion of ukraine, chancellor, olaf schultz said that they were going to resume some of these projects. in total, there are 3 german cities that could be the home for potential
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n g ports and they're all in the kind of the northwestern part of the country, i think in the neighborhood of homburg. and one that was moving along the permitting process was in shotwell and analysts say that that project could get the green light could get a building permit in the next few weeks. but best case situation that would be completed in 2026. still a far way off, cassandra, we see on the topic of energy. there's a 2nd question of came in. the big problem at the moment is the reliance of the, especially germany on russian gas. as you pointed out, another youtube commodore richie asked us, how is europe becoming dependent on the united states? a good thing. i don't think anyone wants us to switch from getting nearly half of our liquefied natural gas from one volatile, arguably volatile superpower to another, arguably volatile superpower. when you look at the foreign policy coming out of the u. s. between the 3 different administrations, there have been big swings in how they've approached the e. u and germany. so no one saying, oh yes, let's put all of germany's energy eggs into another countries basket. even though
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this port has been pushed by the americans, that doesn't mean it would be used exclusively for american liquefied natural gas. it could be used by any of the top ex borders from around the world that includes guitar, australia, malaysia, nigeria, and maybe even one day in a different world, russia. and cassandra, a 3rd question, other concern that popped up in our common section, is the idea of using this crisis assigned to invest in renewable energy. so you to remain to bain, m asked, what has been done to massively ramp up renewables. there is a lot of pressure right now to have diversified, not just gas sources, but all energy sources not includes renewables. just on wednesday, the german government unveiled a plant called the renewable energy sources act. and there were some highlight, some really interesting factors. so one of the things was raise the amount to the goal amount for green energy in germany right now for reference in our power mix, there's about 40 percent renewable energy. by the end of the decade,
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and the green thank worried about the planet with a meal host of the on the grievance of ghost. and to me, it's clear we need to change the solutions or out the join me for a deep dive into the green transformation. for me to do for that ah, some people don't care about me because they don't see my beauty. some people don't care about me because they think i have nothing to give but 2000000000 people due to then i am every
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ah ah, this is the w news live from berlin. more evidence comes to light of the devastation left behind by russian troops after their withdrawal from the new, pri, this whole town of chief, so intense fighting between russian and ukrainian forces, all corresponded, spoke to residents about their ordeal under russia occupation. also coming up above the hospital in mario full ukraine on wild health state and appeal from the united
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